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Growth and instability
Introduction to economic
prepared by : Brother Mohamedboss
Economic Growth
An increase in real GDP occurring over some
time period.
An increase in real GDP per capita occurring
over some time period.
Economic growth is calculated as a percentage
rate of growth per quarter (3 month )/per yr.

prepared by : Brother Mohamedboss
CONTINUE......
• RATE OF ECONOMICS GROWTH
REG = Last GDP – Initial GDP *100
Initial GDP
• In real GDP...
• REG : REAL GDP
Population size
prepared by : Brother Mohamedboss
GROWTH AS GOAL
• The expansion of total output relative to
population results in rising real wages and
income.
• Rising real wages and income provide richer
opportunities to individuals and families .
• Growth lessens(reduce) the burden(heavy) of
scarcity .
prepared by : Brother MohamedBoss
Rule of 70
• Quantitative grasp of the effect of economic
growth.
• It tells us that we can find the number of yrs it
will take for some measure to double.
• Approximate # : 70
Of yrs require Annual % rate of growth
To double
The real GDP
prepared by : Brother MohamedBoss
Main sources of growth
• Society can increase its real output and
income in two ways
By increasing its inputs of resources
And by increasing the productivity of those
inputs.
Productivity : measured broadly as real output
per unit of input
prepared by : Brother MohamedBoss
The Business cycle
• Alternating rises and declines in the level of
economic activity .
Peak : business activity reach temporary mxm
full employment ,(price rise during
this phase ).
Recession : decline total
output/income/employment .
Trough : bottom of recession .
Expansion : recovery of economy(temporary rise
income, full employment and rise production
prepared by : Brother MohamedBoss
Causation (Business Cycle)
• Innovation such as the railroad , the
automobile, synthetic fibers ETC.
• Productivity : the expand of productivity
causes economy booming while when
productivity falls economy recedes.
• Monetary phenomena : when gvnt creats
much money inflationary boom occurs .
Immediate cause of cyclical change is change
in level of spending .
prepared by : Brother MohamedBoss
Cyclical impact (durable & non-
durable)
Capital goods i.e commercial building , heavy
equipment and farm implements are durable
goods.
It can postpone the purchasing of capital
goods
Consumer goods i.e service industry food
industry are non-durable goods
Can’t postpone and they insulted most severe
effects of recession .
prepared by : Brother MohamedBoss
Un employment
• Total number of able men and women
of working age seeking paid work
• Twin problems that further inflame the BC are
unemployment & inflation .
prepared by : Brother Mohamedboss
Measurement of unemployment
• Unemployment rate : unemployed *100
• labour force
• Unemployment excluding :
• part-time employment: either their choice or
can’t find suitable work
• Discouraged workers : an employed individual
who isn’t actively seeking regarded as ‘Not in
the labour force ‘
prepared by : Brother Mohamedboss
Types of unemployment
• Frictional unemployment :for workers who are
either searching for jobs or waiting to take jobs in
the near future.
• Structural unemployment : unemployment
results because the composition of the labor
force doesn’t respond immediately or completely
to the structure of the job opportunities .
• Cyclical unemployment :(unemployment caused
by fluctuations in the level of economic activity
inherent in trade cycles .
prepared by : Brother Mohamedboss
Full employment
• When it’s experiencing only frictional and
structural unemployment .
• Natural unemployment rate : occurs when the
number of job seekers equals the number of
job vacancies.
Economy cost of unemployment :
 GDP Gap and Okun’s law- the basic economic
cost of unemployment is forgone.
 GDP gap = actual GDP – Potential GDP
prepared by : Brother Mohamedboss
Inflation
• A rise in the general level of prices
• When inflation occur each dollar of income
will buy fewer goods and services.
• Inflation reduce the purchasing power
• Inflation doesn’t mean that all price are rising
even during periods of rapid inflation, some
price may be relatively constant while other
are falling.
prepared by : Brother Mohamedboss
Measurement of inflation
• Consumer Price Index (CPI):A measure of price
changes in consumer goods and services such as
gasoline, food, clothing and automobiles.
• Price Production Index (PPI): A family of indexes that
measure the average change over time in selling prices
by domestic producers of goods and services.
• Wholesalers’ Price Index (WPI):represents the price of
goods at a wholesale stage i.e. goods that are sold in
bulk and traded between organizations instead of
consumers.
• GDP inflator (C+I+G+X-M)
prepared by : Brother Mohamedboss
Types of inflation
• Demand pull inflation: occurs when demand for a
good or service increases so much that it outstrips
supply.
• Cost push inflation : When there is a decrease in the
aggregate supply of goods and services stemming from
an increase in the cost of production.
Cost-push inflation basically means that prices
have been "pushed up" by increases in costs of any of
the four factors of production (labor, capital, land
or entrepreneurship).
prepared by : Brother Mohamedboss
Redistribution effects of inflation
• Inflation hurts some pple , leaves others un
effected and actually help still others.
• Nominal income: # of $ received as wages ,
rent ,interest or profit.
• Real income : measure of amount of goods
and services that nominal income can buy
(purchasing power of nominal income)
prepared by : Brother Mohamedboss
Who is hurt by inflation
• Fixed-income receivers
• Savers
• Creditors
Who is un affected or helped by inflation
Flexible income receivers
Debtors
Nominal interest : real interest rate +
rate inflation premium
(the expected rate of inflation)
prepared by : Brother Mohamedboss
Hyperinflation
• Extraordinary rapid inflation.
• Can have devastating impact on real output
and employment.
• Business owners don’t know what to charge
their product.
• Consumers don’t know what to pay .
• Examples ; Germany after 1st world war ,
prepared by : Brother Mohamedboss

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Introduction to economic

  • 1. Growth and instability Introduction to economic prepared by : Brother Mohamedboss
  • 2. Economic Growth An increase in real GDP occurring over some time period. An increase in real GDP per capita occurring over some time period. Economic growth is calculated as a percentage rate of growth per quarter (3 month )/per yr.  prepared by : Brother Mohamedboss
  • 3. CONTINUE...... • RATE OF ECONOMICS GROWTH REG = Last GDP – Initial GDP *100 Initial GDP • In real GDP... • REG : REAL GDP Population size prepared by : Brother Mohamedboss
  • 4. GROWTH AS GOAL • The expansion of total output relative to population results in rising real wages and income. • Rising real wages and income provide richer opportunities to individuals and families . • Growth lessens(reduce) the burden(heavy) of scarcity . prepared by : Brother MohamedBoss
  • 5. Rule of 70 • Quantitative grasp of the effect of economic growth. • It tells us that we can find the number of yrs it will take for some measure to double. • Approximate # : 70 Of yrs require Annual % rate of growth To double The real GDP prepared by : Brother MohamedBoss
  • 6. Main sources of growth • Society can increase its real output and income in two ways By increasing its inputs of resources And by increasing the productivity of those inputs. Productivity : measured broadly as real output per unit of input prepared by : Brother MohamedBoss
  • 7. The Business cycle • Alternating rises and declines in the level of economic activity . Peak : business activity reach temporary mxm full employment ,(price rise during this phase ). Recession : decline total output/income/employment . Trough : bottom of recession . Expansion : recovery of economy(temporary rise income, full employment and rise production prepared by : Brother MohamedBoss
  • 8. Causation (Business Cycle) • Innovation such as the railroad , the automobile, synthetic fibers ETC. • Productivity : the expand of productivity causes economy booming while when productivity falls economy recedes. • Monetary phenomena : when gvnt creats much money inflationary boom occurs . Immediate cause of cyclical change is change in level of spending . prepared by : Brother MohamedBoss
  • 9. Cyclical impact (durable & non- durable) Capital goods i.e commercial building , heavy equipment and farm implements are durable goods. It can postpone the purchasing of capital goods Consumer goods i.e service industry food industry are non-durable goods Can’t postpone and they insulted most severe effects of recession . prepared by : Brother MohamedBoss
  • 10. Un employment • Total number of able men and women of working age seeking paid work • Twin problems that further inflame the BC are unemployment & inflation . prepared by : Brother Mohamedboss
  • 11. Measurement of unemployment • Unemployment rate : unemployed *100 • labour force • Unemployment excluding : • part-time employment: either their choice or can’t find suitable work • Discouraged workers : an employed individual who isn’t actively seeking regarded as ‘Not in the labour force ‘ prepared by : Brother Mohamedboss
  • 12. Types of unemployment • Frictional unemployment :for workers who are either searching for jobs or waiting to take jobs in the near future. • Structural unemployment : unemployment results because the composition of the labor force doesn’t respond immediately or completely to the structure of the job opportunities . • Cyclical unemployment :(unemployment caused by fluctuations in the level of economic activity inherent in trade cycles . prepared by : Brother Mohamedboss
  • 13. Full employment • When it’s experiencing only frictional and structural unemployment . • Natural unemployment rate : occurs when the number of job seekers equals the number of job vacancies. Economy cost of unemployment :  GDP Gap and Okun’s law- the basic economic cost of unemployment is forgone.  GDP gap = actual GDP – Potential GDP prepared by : Brother Mohamedboss
  • 14. Inflation • A rise in the general level of prices • When inflation occur each dollar of income will buy fewer goods and services. • Inflation reduce the purchasing power • Inflation doesn’t mean that all price are rising even during periods of rapid inflation, some price may be relatively constant while other are falling. prepared by : Brother Mohamedboss
  • 15. Measurement of inflation • Consumer Price Index (CPI):A measure of price changes in consumer goods and services such as gasoline, food, clothing and automobiles. • Price Production Index (PPI): A family of indexes that measure the average change over time in selling prices by domestic producers of goods and services. • Wholesalers’ Price Index (WPI):represents the price of goods at a wholesale stage i.e. goods that are sold in bulk and traded between organizations instead of consumers. • GDP inflator (C+I+G+X-M) prepared by : Brother Mohamedboss
  • 16. Types of inflation • Demand pull inflation: occurs when demand for a good or service increases so much that it outstrips supply. • Cost push inflation : When there is a decrease in the aggregate supply of goods and services stemming from an increase in the cost of production. Cost-push inflation basically means that prices have been "pushed up" by increases in costs of any of the four factors of production (labor, capital, land or entrepreneurship). prepared by : Brother Mohamedboss
  • 17. Redistribution effects of inflation • Inflation hurts some pple , leaves others un effected and actually help still others. • Nominal income: # of $ received as wages , rent ,interest or profit. • Real income : measure of amount of goods and services that nominal income can buy (purchasing power of nominal income) prepared by : Brother Mohamedboss
  • 18. Who is hurt by inflation • Fixed-income receivers • Savers • Creditors Who is un affected or helped by inflation Flexible income receivers Debtors Nominal interest : real interest rate + rate inflation premium (the expected rate of inflation) prepared by : Brother Mohamedboss
  • 19. Hyperinflation • Extraordinary rapid inflation. • Can have devastating impact on real output and employment. • Business owners don’t know what to charge their product. • Consumers don’t know what to pay . • Examples ; Germany after 1st world war , prepared by : Brother Mohamedboss