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Team 6: Hui Lin Tan / Alejandro Gaviria / Carlos Velasquez / Cristiano Casagrande / Mario Isaac / Juan Diego Cordon
Founded in 1940 by Dick and Mac McDonald
Self service restaurant
Drive-In
21,586
22,787
23,522
22,745
24,075
27,006
27,567
28,106
27,441
25,413
2,873
2,335
4,313 4,551 4,946
5,503 5,465 5,586
4,758 4,529
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
REVENUES & NET INCOME (US$ million)
-2.4%
-8%
-15% -4.8%
TURNOVER PLAN HIGHLIGHTS
- Improve food quality
- Service leadership development
- Savings in G&A expenses
- Return cash to shareholders
- Refranchise its own restaurants
- Financial discipline
The fast food giant issued
more debt to fund the US$
10B return of cash to
shareholders.
BBB+
A-
A May 2015
Nov2015
ROYALÉ WITH CHEESE!!!
DIVIDENDS, SHARES REPURCHASES & STOCK SPLITS
McDonald's has raised its dividend each year since paying its first dividend in 1976.
From 2002 to 2012 (10% every year). Last 3 years (5%)
McDonald’s remains committed to returning excess cash to shareholders through
dividends and share repurchases.
Since going public in 1965, McDonald's has executed twelve
stock splits.
“An investment of $2,250 in 100 shares in
1965 is worth approximately $7.0 million now.”
S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats
25 or more consecutive years
of dividend increases
1,217 1,766 1,823 2,236 2,408 2,610 2,897 3,115 3,216 3,230
1,984
2,805 3,371
2,465 2,235 3,029
2,287
1,545 2,963 5,782
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Dividends Change in Capital Stock Free Cash Flow
DIVIDENDS & STOCK REPURCHASES VS. FREE CASH FLOW (US$ million)
DEBT TO EQUITY RATIO
55 53 76 75 79 87 89 88 117 340
0
100
200
300
400
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
111% 196% 120% 103% 94% 102% 95% 83% 130% 199%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
DISTRIBUTION RATIO
WHY IS MCDONALD’S DOING THIS?
McDonald’s wants to keep their stock price high, an activity that
has become the major focus of its corporate strategy over the
past decade.
“McDonald’s has to do more than
manipulate its stock price”
William Lazonic
Harvard Business Review
RECOMMENDATIONS
REEVALUATE DISTRIBUTION POLICY
Leverage
Rating
Financial Risk
WACC
Profitability
Growth
Firm Value
Step 1: Forecast results for future needs based on different distribution scenarios
• Revenues and net income
• Capital expenditures needs
• Working capital variations
Step 2: Align board of directors and senior management with new redistribution policy
• Continue paying dividends
• Gradually stop stock repurchases
Step 3: Communicate to investors in a delicate way to prevent adverse reaction
• Understand the profile of McDonalds’s investors
Gain confidence of debt holders. Regain A rating.
Less risks would lead to less cost of debt. Would increase
value of the firm. Good for the owners.
Stop the historical growth of dividends.
Anger investors. Possible shock in the stock
price in the short term.
POSITIVE OUTCOMES
NEGATIVE OUTCOMES
To protect the firm´s sustainability, McDonald’s needs to be careful in managing their
capital structure. If they continue with the current policy on distributing cash to
shareholders, the financial risk will continue increasing exponentially.
Team 6: Hui Lin Tan / Alejandro Gaviria / Carlos Velasquez / Cristiano Casagrande / Mario Isaac / Juan Diego Cordon

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McDonalds Presentation

  • 1. Team 6: Hui Lin Tan / Alejandro Gaviria / Carlos Velasquez / Cristiano Casagrande / Mario Isaac / Juan Diego Cordon
  • 2. Founded in 1940 by Dick and Mac McDonald Self service restaurant Drive-In
  • 3.
  • 4. 21,586 22,787 23,522 22,745 24,075 27,006 27,567 28,106 27,441 25,413 2,873 2,335 4,313 4,551 4,946 5,503 5,465 5,586 4,758 4,529 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 REVENUES & NET INCOME (US$ million) -2.4% -8% -15% -4.8%
  • 5. TURNOVER PLAN HIGHLIGHTS - Improve food quality - Service leadership development - Savings in G&A expenses - Return cash to shareholders - Refranchise its own restaurants - Financial discipline
  • 6. The fast food giant issued more debt to fund the US$ 10B return of cash to shareholders. BBB+ A- A May 2015 Nov2015
  • 8.
  • 9. DIVIDENDS, SHARES REPURCHASES & STOCK SPLITS McDonald's has raised its dividend each year since paying its first dividend in 1976. From 2002 to 2012 (10% every year). Last 3 years (5%) McDonald’s remains committed to returning excess cash to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. Since going public in 1965, McDonald's has executed twelve stock splits. “An investment of $2,250 in 100 shares in 1965 is worth approximately $7.0 million now.”
  • 10. S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats 25 or more consecutive years of dividend increases
  • 11. 1,217 1,766 1,823 2,236 2,408 2,610 2,897 3,115 3,216 3,230 1,984 2,805 3,371 2,465 2,235 3,029 2,287 1,545 2,963 5,782 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Dividends Change in Capital Stock Free Cash Flow DIVIDENDS & STOCK REPURCHASES VS. FREE CASH FLOW (US$ million)
  • 12. DEBT TO EQUITY RATIO 55 53 76 75 79 87 89 88 117 340 0 100 200 300 400 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 111% 196% 120% 103% 94% 102% 95% 83% 130% 199% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 DISTRIBUTION RATIO
  • 13. WHY IS MCDONALD’S DOING THIS? McDonald’s wants to keep their stock price high, an activity that has become the major focus of its corporate strategy over the past decade. “McDonald’s has to do more than manipulate its stock price” William Lazonic Harvard Business Review
  • 15. REEVALUATE DISTRIBUTION POLICY Leverage Rating Financial Risk WACC Profitability Growth Firm Value
  • 16. Step 1: Forecast results for future needs based on different distribution scenarios • Revenues and net income • Capital expenditures needs • Working capital variations
  • 17. Step 2: Align board of directors and senior management with new redistribution policy • Continue paying dividends • Gradually stop stock repurchases
  • 18. Step 3: Communicate to investors in a delicate way to prevent adverse reaction • Understand the profile of McDonalds’s investors
  • 19. Gain confidence of debt holders. Regain A rating. Less risks would lead to less cost of debt. Would increase value of the firm. Good for the owners. Stop the historical growth of dividends. Anger investors. Possible shock in the stock price in the short term. POSITIVE OUTCOMES NEGATIVE OUTCOMES
  • 20. To protect the firm´s sustainability, McDonald’s needs to be careful in managing their capital structure. If they continue with the current policy on distributing cash to shareholders, the financial risk will continue increasing exponentially.
  • 21. Team 6: Hui Lin Tan / Alejandro Gaviria / Carlos Velasquez / Cristiano Casagrande / Mario Isaac / Juan Diego Cordon