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FOREST MANAGEMENT AND MARKETING IN 
A GLOBAL INVESTMENT ENVIRONMENT 
Southeastern Regional Forest Landowner Conference 
Valdosta, GA 
Marc Walley 
October 28, 2014
CONFIDENTIAL | 1 
OUTLINE 
 Timberland investments “101” 
 Global markets and management implications 
 What matters most and what matters less?
2 
FOREST INVESTMENT ASSOCIATES (FIA) 
 Registered investment adviser founded in 1986 
 HQ and main office in Atlanta 
 Field offices across U.S. and in South America 
 2.4 million acres in 21 states and Brazil 
 54 employees – 25 are foresters 
 Employee-owned, entrepreneurial firm 
 Recognized for high standards and strong 
culture 
 Company logo – The Broad Arrow
3 
FIA OPERATIONAL FOOTPRINT 
The areas highlighted represent counties / countries in which FIA’s existing clients own timberland. 
As of June 30, 2014 
Location Acres 
AL 123,765 
AR 118,537 
CA 43,725 
FL 209,383 
GA 322,440 
LA 7,155 
ME 61,898 
MO 2,691 
MS 202,764 
NC 224,916 
NH 750 
NY 4,205 
OR 68,618 
PA 81,550 
SC 276,811 
TN 100 
TX 199,601 
VA 162,059 
WA 31,244 
WI 63,350 
WV 21,670 
Brazil 144,595 
Grand Total 2,371,826 
2,371,826 Acres Under Management
4 
WHY TIMBER? 
Benefits of a timberland investment 
 Asset Diversification 
 Don’t put all your eggs in one basket 
 Risk Reduction 
 Minimize volatility of portfolio returns 
 “Real” Rate of Return 
 Inflation hedge 
 Biological Growth 
 Trees don’t read the Wall Street Journal
5 
MANAGEMENT OBJECTIVE AND STRATEGIES 
Maximize long-term total return 
 Manage for optimal biological growth 
 Utilize intensive forestry with proven economics 
 Maximize cash flow from effective marketing and timing of timber 
sales 
 Maximize cash flow through secondary sources of income besides 
timber sales 
 Capitalize on alternative use options and land sales when such 
opportunities yield greater returns than traditional timberland 
management
| 6 
GLOBAL WOOD SUPPLY – SOURCE AND SPECIES 
Understanding global wood sources and species is key to understanding markets 
U.S. PNW: Douglas 
fir, Hemlock 
Canada: Spruce 
fir 
U.S. Northeast: 
Black cherry, 
Maple, Red oak 
U.S. South: 
Loblolly pine 
Brazil & Uruguay: 
Loblolly pine, 
New 
Zealand: 
Radiata pine 
SE Asia: Acacia, 
various tropical 
Canada: Douglas 
fir, Hemlock 
Chile: Radiata 
pine, Eucalyptus 
Australia: Eucalyptus 
Radiata pine, 
Eucalyptus
| 7 
Understanding global wood flow is key to understanding markets 
China continues to be a leading 
importer of logs and finished products, 
but Japan, Korea, and India are viable 
markets 
The United States is an important 
exporter to both Asian markets (from 
Pacific Northwest) and Europe (from 
the U.S. South) 
Brazil, New Zealand and Chile may 
continue to grow market share at the 
expense of countries such as Russia, 
Canada, and parts of Africa 
GLOBAL WOOD FLOW TRENDS
8 
MANAGEMENT AND MARKETS IN THE SOUTH 
 Diverse markets for both large and small timber 
 Mostly domestic demand and local processing 
 Limited but growing export demand 
 Given the long-term nature of forest investments our management regimes will 
not change significantly, however … 
 Generally rotations are shorter 
 Thinning is customary 
 Pellet demand has positively impacted Atlantic seaboard markets 
 Market uncertainty in the future means we need to maximize our options 
 Decisions to sell sawlogs to a domestic producer or exporter or to sell pulpwood 
for pulp production or pellets depends more on the buyers in the 
marketplace at the time of harvest than our management regime 
 Certification can be an important factor for procurement organizations
MANAGEMENT AND MARKETS IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST (PNW) 
9 
 Market is driven almost exclusively by sawlog demand 
 Domestic markets are very good – bigger sawmills than in the South 
 Export log markets are well-established and important 
 Management regimes have changed 
 Shorter rotations – 40 years today vs “old growth” mentality of past 
 Development of small-log sawmills 
 Commercial thinning is still not customary 
 Generally less intensive management than in the South 
 Understanding the cyclical nature of PNW export markets is important 
 Selling timber below 2,500 feet elevation west of I-5 in 4th and 1st quarter 
can yield significant premiums 
 Certification is less a factor in the PNW 

SIZE OF U.S. MARKET DOMINATES FOREST PRODUCTS DEMAND 
| 10
| 11 
WHERE ARE THE WORLD’S TIMBERLAND INVESTMENTS? 
Market Value by Geography ($MM) 
US South 
US Northwest 
Australia & New Zealand 
South & Central America 
US Northeast 
US Appalachia 
Canada 
US Lake States 
Other 
0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 
Source: Timberlink
12 
Where have we been? 
Housing starts plumetted … 
2,500 
2,000 
1,500 
1,000 
500 
0 
Housing Starts, ‘000 
Source: U.S. Department of Commerce 
Average Total Starts (SAAR)
13 
Resulting in collapse of forest products consumption … 
Source: Forest Economic Advisers (FEA) 
Residential down 78%
And timber prices followed lumber production … down! 
$50 
$45 
$40 
$35 
$30 
$25 
$20 
14 
20 
19 
18 
17 
16 
15 
14 
13 
12 
11 
10 
PST Stumpage Prices $/Ton 
Southern Lumber Production BBF 
Lumber Production Southern Stumpage 
Source: FEA, TimberMart South
The Canadian pine beetle epidemic will constrain supply 
15 
• An unprecedented pine beetle epidemic in Canada has wiped out millions of acres of forest 
• 55% of the standing lodge pole pine timber in western Canada as of 2000 is now dead 
• 30%+ of U.S. lumber demand is met from Canadian supply, the single largest non-U.S. source 
• Additional Canadian supply constraints due to reduction of allowable annual cut in eastern provinces 
Volume of Live Canadian Lodgepole Pine Affected Area 
1350 
1200 
1050 
900 
750 
600 
450 
300 
150 
0 
1999 
2004 
2009 
2014 
2019 
Millions of Square Meters 
| 
Live Trees in 2000 
Today 
Source: Biodivcanada.ca
16 
Southern lumber production to exceed previous peak 
CONFIDENTIAL | 
Source: FEA 
25 
20 
15 
10 
5 
0 
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 
Billion Board Feet (BBF) 
US South Lumber 
Production 
US South Peak Lumber 
Production 
~19 BBF
30% 
27% 
24% 
21% 
18% 
15% 
12% 
| 17 
US West Coast Log Demand 
The West Coast Log Demand Will Be Increasingly Driven by Domestic Demand 
Source: FEA 
9% 
6% 
3% 
0% 
10 
9 
8 
7 
6 
5 
4 
3 
2 
1 
0 
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 
Billion Board Feet (BBF) 
Other 
Pulp 
Log Exports 
Plywood 
Lumber 
Exports Share of Harvests
CONFIDENTIAL | 18 
SUMMARY 
 There are multiple benefits to timberland investments, 
the primary one being diversification 
 Global market dynamics have not dramatically 
changed forest management and marketing strategies 
 International markets are more important in the PNW 
than in the South 
 The most important market for U.S. timberland owners 
is the U.S. market

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“Forest Management and Marketing in a Global Investment Environment” Marc Walley, Forest Investment Associates

  • 1. FOREST MANAGEMENT AND MARKETING IN A GLOBAL INVESTMENT ENVIRONMENT Southeastern Regional Forest Landowner Conference Valdosta, GA Marc Walley October 28, 2014
  • 2. CONFIDENTIAL | 1 OUTLINE  Timberland investments “101”  Global markets and management implications  What matters most and what matters less?
  • 3. 2 FOREST INVESTMENT ASSOCIATES (FIA)  Registered investment adviser founded in 1986  HQ and main office in Atlanta  Field offices across U.S. and in South America  2.4 million acres in 21 states and Brazil  54 employees – 25 are foresters  Employee-owned, entrepreneurial firm  Recognized for high standards and strong culture  Company logo – The Broad Arrow
  • 4. 3 FIA OPERATIONAL FOOTPRINT The areas highlighted represent counties / countries in which FIA’s existing clients own timberland. As of June 30, 2014 Location Acres AL 123,765 AR 118,537 CA 43,725 FL 209,383 GA 322,440 LA 7,155 ME 61,898 MO 2,691 MS 202,764 NC 224,916 NH 750 NY 4,205 OR 68,618 PA 81,550 SC 276,811 TN 100 TX 199,601 VA 162,059 WA 31,244 WI 63,350 WV 21,670 Brazil 144,595 Grand Total 2,371,826 2,371,826 Acres Under Management
  • 5. 4 WHY TIMBER? Benefits of a timberland investment  Asset Diversification  Don’t put all your eggs in one basket  Risk Reduction  Minimize volatility of portfolio returns  “Real” Rate of Return  Inflation hedge  Biological Growth  Trees don’t read the Wall Street Journal
  • 6. 5 MANAGEMENT OBJECTIVE AND STRATEGIES Maximize long-term total return  Manage for optimal biological growth  Utilize intensive forestry with proven economics  Maximize cash flow from effective marketing and timing of timber sales  Maximize cash flow through secondary sources of income besides timber sales  Capitalize on alternative use options and land sales when such opportunities yield greater returns than traditional timberland management
  • 7. | 6 GLOBAL WOOD SUPPLY – SOURCE AND SPECIES Understanding global wood sources and species is key to understanding markets U.S. PNW: Douglas fir, Hemlock Canada: Spruce fir U.S. Northeast: Black cherry, Maple, Red oak U.S. South: Loblolly pine Brazil & Uruguay: Loblolly pine, New Zealand: Radiata pine SE Asia: Acacia, various tropical Canada: Douglas fir, Hemlock Chile: Radiata pine, Eucalyptus Australia: Eucalyptus Radiata pine, Eucalyptus
  • 8. | 7 Understanding global wood flow is key to understanding markets China continues to be a leading importer of logs and finished products, but Japan, Korea, and India are viable markets The United States is an important exporter to both Asian markets (from Pacific Northwest) and Europe (from the U.S. South) Brazil, New Zealand and Chile may continue to grow market share at the expense of countries such as Russia, Canada, and parts of Africa GLOBAL WOOD FLOW TRENDS
  • 9. 8 MANAGEMENT AND MARKETS IN THE SOUTH  Diverse markets for both large and small timber  Mostly domestic demand and local processing  Limited but growing export demand  Given the long-term nature of forest investments our management regimes will not change significantly, however …  Generally rotations are shorter  Thinning is customary  Pellet demand has positively impacted Atlantic seaboard markets  Market uncertainty in the future means we need to maximize our options  Decisions to sell sawlogs to a domestic producer or exporter or to sell pulpwood for pulp production or pellets depends more on the buyers in the marketplace at the time of harvest than our management regime  Certification can be an important factor for procurement organizations
  • 10. MANAGEMENT AND MARKETS IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST (PNW) 9  Market is driven almost exclusively by sawlog demand  Domestic markets are very good – bigger sawmills than in the South  Export log markets are well-established and important  Management regimes have changed  Shorter rotations – 40 years today vs “old growth” mentality of past  Development of small-log sawmills  Commercial thinning is still not customary  Generally less intensive management than in the South  Understanding the cyclical nature of PNW export markets is important  Selling timber below 2,500 feet elevation west of I-5 in 4th and 1st quarter can yield significant premiums  Certification is less a factor in the PNW 
  • 11. SIZE OF U.S. MARKET DOMINATES FOREST PRODUCTS DEMAND | 10
  • 12. | 11 WHERE ARE THE WORLD’S TIMBERLAND INVESTMENTS? Market Value by Geography ($MM) US South US Northwest Australia & New Zealand South & Central America US Northeast US Appalachia Canada US Lake States Other 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 Source: Timberlink
  • 13. 12 Where have we been? Housing starts plumetted … 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 Housing Starts, ‘000 Source: U.S. Department of Commerce Average Total Starts (SAAR)
  • 14. 13 Resulting in collapse of forest products consumption … Source: Forest Economic Advisers (FEA) Residential down 78%
  • 15. And timber prices followed lumber production … down! $50 $45 $40 $35 $30 $25 $20 14 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 PST Stumpage Prices $/Ton Southern Lumber Production BBF Lumber Production Southern Stumpage Source: FEA, TimberMart South
  • 16. The Canadian pine beetle epidemic will constrain supply 15 • An unprecedented pine beetle epidemic in Canada has wiped out millions of acres of forest • 55% of the standing lodge pole pine timber in western Canada as of 2000 is now dead • 30%+ of U.S. lumber demand is met from Canadian supply, the single largest non-U.S. source • Additional Canadian supply constraints due to reduction of allowable annual cut in eastern provinces Volume of Live Canadian Lodgepole Pine Affected Area 1350 1200 1050 900 750 600 450 300 150 0 1999 2004 2009 2014 2019 Millions of Square Meters | Live Trees in 2000 Today Source: Biodivcanada.ca
  • 17. 16 Southern lumber production to exceed previous peak CONFIDENTIAL | Source: FEA 25 20 15 10 5 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Billion Board Feet (BBF) US South Lumber Production US South Peak Lumber Production ~19 BBF
  • 18. 30% 27% 24% 21% 18% 15% 12% | 17 US West Coast Log Demand The West Coast Log Demand Will Be Increasingly Driven by Domestic Demand Source: FEA 9% 6% 3% 0% 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 Billion Board Feet (BBF) Other Pulp Log Exports Plywood Lumber Exports Share of Harvests
  • 19. CONFIDENTIAL | 18 SUMMARY  There are multiple benefits to timberland investments, the primary one being diversification  Global market dynamics have not dramatically changed forest management and marketing strategies  International markets are more important in the PNW than in the South  The most important market for U.S. timberland owners is the U.S. market

Editor's Notes

  1. Been together for some time? Low turnover Combining knowledge of the asset with investment advisor perspective Best in class asset manager - by Focus consultant We have it all We have enough knowledge / experience to focus on what's imporant, and to outsource the commodity mgt / the less important aspect. What are the decisions that affect returns? How much to sell and when.