1. 5/28/2015 2012 World Pulpwood Study
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2012 World Pulpwood Study
Study Highlights:
How resources will be allocated to accommodate accelerated
global demand for pulp
What record pulpwood demand will mean for fiber prices,
investment/divestment in pulp, and international trade of wood
fiber
How the vast areas of high-yield plantation forests in South
America and Asia will satisfy announced capacity investment and
production targets for pulp
Which countries are most exposed to industry restructuring and
consolidation
How trade of wood fiber, pulp and paper will adjust to regional
costs and market developments
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2. 5/28/2015 2012 World Pulpwood Study
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Study provides a comprehensive outlook and analysis of primary pulpwood markets around
the globe.
RISI's World Pulpwood Study provides a unique overview of global pulpwood markets, detailing end-use
markets, production, demand, trade and prices of pulpwood fiber by country. The analysis provides
unique transparency, quantifying expected market developments and the implications for global regional
pulpwood prices and markets. The analysis includes assumptions detailed from stump to mill. This ten-
year outlook is the culmination of two years of work by a team of RISI economists and is the only study of
its kind available in the market today.
Real prices for pulpwood have been tracking downward for the last 15 years on a global-weighted basis.
At the same time the world's pulpwood supply potential has been rapidly expanding.
Barring a surge in global economic activity, price gains will likely be mixed as some regions invest heavily
in new pulp and paper capacity while other countries contend with low profit margins and forced closure.
Over the next ten years, pulpwood consumption in the mature economies of North America and Western
Europe will drift down from current levels. Meanwhile, Asia and Latin America will continue to be the growth
engines for global consumption of logs. As pulp markets shift toward developing regions, correlative
changes are expected to follow – such as shifts in species mix and desired log grades. These changes
evoke many questions, many of which will be answered in this study.
The World Pulpwood Study answers:
How resources will be allocated to accommodate accelerated global demand for pulp
What record pulpwood demand will mean for fiber prices, investment/divestment in pulp, and international trade of wood
fiber
How the vast areas of high-yield plantation forests in South America and Asia will satisfy announced capacity investment
and production targets for pulp
Which countries are most exposed to industry restructuring and consolidation
How trade of wood fiber, pulp and paper will adjust to regional costs and market developments
3. 5/28/2015 2012 World Pulpwood Study
http://www.risiinfo.com/risi-store/do/product/detail/world-pulpwood-study.html 3/4
The World Pulpwood Study includes:
Historical pulpwood log and chip price analysis
Provides global and regional perspectives, analyses and outlooks
Forecasted pulpwood log and chip prices for all major producing regions by species until 2021
Detailed regional supply profiles
Analysis of global pulpwood log and chip consumption and fiber furnish
Review of global pulpwood trade
Study Authors
Peter Barynin, Principle Economist, Timber, RISI
Peter Barynin is RISI's lead economist forecasting US and Canadian regional woodfiber prices for the
Timber Service. Prior to rejoining RISI, Peter was President of Resource Vision, a company specializing
in economic analysis of the forest sector. Peter also served as a Branch Manager for the Ontario Ministry
of Natural Resources' where he recommended and administered government financing of mill
reconfigurations. With the Ontario government, Peter also held the position of Timber Pricing Specialist,
setting the prices for all Crown timber sold from Ontario's 22 million acres of forestlands.
A large part of Peter's experience was as an economist with RISI. His specialties included global woodfiber issues,
natural resource modeling, international trade, corporate restructuring, competition analysis, timberland market structures
and biomass industries. Peter also taught at Harvard University, leading the curriculum in Environmental Economic
