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(15pts) A , B tell the truth with probability p and lie with probability 1 p . A makes a statement and B confirms the statement by A is true. What is the probability that A is actually telling the truth? .

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(15pts) A , B tell the truth with probability p and lie with probability 1 p . A makes a statement and B confirms the statement by A is true. What is the probability that A is actually telling the truth?

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