The U.S. Self improvement Market - Overview & Forecasts

J
Overview & Status of
The U.S. Self-improvement Market
Market Size, Segments,
Emerging Trends & Forecasts
November 2013
John LaRosa, President, Marketdata Enterprises
Value of the Major Market Segments
($ millions)

2007

2009

2011

$1,520

$1,041

$898

Motivational Speakers #

333

296

350

Personal Coaching

750

650

707

Holistic Institutes & Training

475

541

556

Self-improvement Books

808

727

549

Self-improvement Audiobooks

420

406

445

Public Seminars

385

285

308

5,809

5,910

5,818

320

315

208

$10,820

$10,171

$9,839

Infomercials

Weight Loss Programs (medical &
commercial, excl. surgeries)
Stress Management Programs
Total:
* Includes top 10 speakers only

Source: Marketdata estimates
2012-2016 Forecast Annual Growth
10.0

Infomercials
Motivational Speakers #

6.8

Personal Coaching

4.5

Holistic Institutes & Training

4.2

Self-improvement Books

4.8

Self-improvement Audiobooks

6.0

Public Seminars

6.0

Weight Loss Programs (medical & commercial,
excl. surgeries)

6.2

Stress Management Programs

0.0
Total:

* Includes top 10 speakers only
Source: Marketdata estimates

5.5
Nature of The Market


Products & services to improve oneself: mentally,
spiritually, physically, financially

•

Mostly (70%) female customers, affluent, living on
east & west coasts of U.S.

•

Fragmented market populated by small, private
firms, low barriers to entry, many entrepreneurs

•

No trade association or magazine or national
conference

•

Driven by gurus
What Has Not Changed
in 19 Years


Still no industry trade association



Still no industry trade journal or magazine



Just as many scams & frauds, moved online



70% of the market is female clients



Low barriers to entry – lots of entrepreneurs
Multiple Distribution Channels Are Key To
Success For Top Players
Income Sources:









Speaking engagements (public & private)
Book, audiobook, DVD sales
Personal coaching departments, staffs
Workshops & retreats (high priced)
Direct to consumer sales via websites
Webinars and podcasts
Cross promotions with other gurus
Online course and “universities”
Major Market Developments: 2012




Last recession had major impact, consumer spending weak
Market suffers from bad publicity: scams, frauds, bankruptcies,
deaths at James Ray sweat lodge, shady models exposed



No major hits like The Secret, lack of the next “big thing”



Shift to digital/Internet delivery of products, information.



Older gurus are dying or retiring, new young ones emerging?



Customer confusion: content quantity increases, but not quality



Customers more focused on practical skills, financial & business
topics, less spiritual
Market Problems: Lack of Credibility


Does self-improvement work? Where’s the proof?



People, Baby Boomers still need “gurus” to hold their hand



Scandals abound: Peter Lowe goes bust, James Ray sweat
lodge deaths, Robert Kiyosaki bankruptcy, Suze Orman
criticized over her advice



Few gurus for younger generation



Oprah Winfrey leaves void in market when her show ends
Motivational Speakers Market












Live events attendance down a lot, due to cost, travel
Changing of the guard coming: older gurus retire or
die
Fees for top speakers stable ($20-50K per speech)
Speakers giving away more free content as teaser to
buy
High-priced retreats/seminars not selling well
More online home study courses offered
5,000+ pro speakers in U.S., but only handful make
big money
Best-selling book is the usual ticket to enter the field
Personal Coaching Market










Worth $707 mill. in U.S. $1.5 bill. worldwide
Avg. Coach makes $46,400 - $65,300
Estimated 13,750 pro coaches active in the U.S.
Coaching still popular but hit hard by last recession
Projects for corporations, government held up better than
personal coaching
Consumer price resistance, no. of clients per coach fell
Services delivered mostly by phone, email
Consumers now opting for less costly solutions: books,
CDs, free webinars, podcasts, MP3 downloads, rather than
$200-500/month coaching.
Public Seminars Market










Estimated $308 million U.S. market
Mostly 1-day events, travelling roadshows
Tough business to make profitable – high overhead
Stadium type events by Peter Lowe, others few in
number (5+ major speakers: celebrities, politicians,
military, business gurus)
Major competitors: Fred Pryor/Career Track, Landmark
Education, Skillpath, Natl. Seminars Group, Peak
Potentials
Hay House becoming more active in the market
Many acquired by Universities, for non-profit status
Infomercials Market








All infomercial retail sales = $2.82 bill. – selfimprovement shows account for 45% or $1.26 billion
SI sales down 40% from 2007-2011
Health & fitness equipment sells best, followed by
weight loss programs, then business opportunities/financial, then personal development
Sales should improve with the general economy
General motivational category is weakest – consumers
want more concrete and specific programs or products
Holistic Institutes & Training Organizations










16 holistic institutes in the U.S.
152,000 people attended in 2011, up 10% from 2009
Stable mature market, no new entrants
Good venue for gurus to hold workshops, seminars
Dale Carnegie is largest training company - $136
million in U.S.
Toastmasters – public speaking skills
Gaiam Inc. - $275 mill. Retailer
Hay House $45-75 mill., growing, filling seminar void
by closure of Peter Lowe Intl./Get Motivated shows
Self-improvement Books Market




Segment fell 20% since 2007, to $549 million, lack of
any blockbusters like The Secret
SI books sold retail, online and via 4,000 small new
age bookstores/retailers



Avg. new age bookstore does only $125,000/year



Diet books comprise big chunk of SI book sales



Avg. annual growth to 2016 forecast: 4.8%
Self-improvement AudioBooks Market


Total audiobooks mkt. worth $2.97 bill. In 2011.



SI audiobooks account for 15% or $445 million



24 million Americans listen to audiobooks regularly



Customers have higher than average income, education



Market strong: grew 10% in 2010, 13% in 2011



Popular because consumers spending more time
commuting, portability, low cost
The Weight Loss Market












Commercial programs worth $3.42 bill. In 2012
Medical programs worth $2.41 bill. In 2012
108 million Americans diet per year, 4-5 weight loss
attempts each/year, fickle customers
83% are do-it-yourself dieters
Fads still abound via mail order, Internet, supplements
Most diet company revenues down or flat in 2013
Weak economy is main reason for lackluster growth
Strong performance of MLM distributors
Free/low-cost apps, websites, gain traction
Weight loss still large part of SI market
American Adults On a Diet
60%

54%

50%
40%
30% 37%

1996

27%

24%

2000

24%

1998

26%

1989

20%

33%

2010

2004

0%

1986

10%

Source: Calorie Control Council , National Consumer Surveys
Why Do Our Diets Fail ?
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•

Don’t exercise enough – 69%
Feel metabolism slowing down – 62%
Splurge on favorite foods too often – 49%
Not enough self-discipline – 50%
Snack too much – 52%
Often overeat at mealtimes – 37%
Often eat for emotional reasons – 41%
Eat too many high fat foods – 30%
Don’t eat properly at restaurants – 33%
Only watch fat, not calories – 19%
Only watch calories, not fat – 14%
Source: Calorie Control Council, 2010 survey
Where Will Future Growth Come From?
Next 5 Years












Programs catering to under 30 generation
Hispanic population, as their income grows
International markets
Lower cost Internet-based programs: webinars,
webcasts, MP3 downloads
Practical financial & real estate programs
Courses teaching entrepreneurship, starting a business
Audiobooks
Programs/services for men

Low-cost weight loss programs
Need Self-improvement Market Research?
Contact Us Today
Put Our 19-Year Track Record to Work for YOU!

MarketdataEnterprises.com
John@MarketdataEnterprises.com

BestDietForMe.com
DietBusinessWatch.com

John LaRosa, MBA - President
Phone: 813-907-9090
Fax: 813-907-3606
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The U.S. Self improvement Market - Overview & Forecasts

  • 1. Overview & Status of The U.S. Self-improvement Market Market Size, Segments, Emerging Trends & Forecasts November 2013 John LaRosa, President, Marketdata Enterprises
  • 2. Value of the Major Market Segments ($ millions) 2007 2009 2011 $1,520 $1,041 $898 Motivational Speakers # 333 296 350 Personal Coaching 750 650 707 Holistic Institutes & Training 475 541 556 Self-improvement Books 808 727 549 Self-improvement Audiobooks 420 406 445 Public Seminars 385 285 308 5,809 5,910 5,818 320 315 208 $10,820 $10,171 $9,839 Infomercials Weight Loss Programs (medical & commercial, excl. surgeries) Stress Management Programs Total: * Includes top 10 speakers only Source: Marketdata estimates
  • 3. 2012-2016 Forecast Annual Growth 10.0 Infomercials Motivational Speakers # 6.8 Personal Coaching 4.5 Holistic Institutes & Training 4.2 Self-improvement Books 4.8 Self-improvement Audiobooks 6.0 Public Seminars 6.0 Weight Loss Programs (medical & commercial, excl. surgeries) 6.2 Stress Management Programs 0.0 Total: * Includes top 10 speakers only Source: Marketdata estimates 5.5
  • 4. Nature of The Market  Products & services to improve oneself: mentally, spiritually, physically, financially • Mostly (70%) female customers, affluent, living on east & west coasts of U.S. • Fragmented market populated by small, private firms, low barriers to entry, many entrepreneurs • No trade association or magazine or national conference • Driven by gurus
  • 5. What Has Not Changed in 19 Years  Still no industry trade association  Still no industry trade journal or magazine  Just as many scams & frauds, moved online  70% of the market is female clients  Low barriers to entry – lots of entrepreneurs
  • 6. Multiple Distribution Channels Are Key To Success For Top Players Income Sources:         Speaking engagements (public & private) Book, audiobook, DVD sales Personal coaching departments, staffs Workshops & retreats (high priced) Direct to consumer sales via websites Webinars and podcasts Cross promotions with other gurus Online course and “universities”
  • 7. Major Market Developments: 2012   Last recession had major impact, consumer spending weak Market suffers from bad publicity: scams, frauds, bankruptcies, deaths at James Ray sweat lodge, shady models exposed  No major hits like The Secret, lack of the next “big thing”  Shift to digital/Internet delivery of products, information.  Older gurus are dying or retiring, new young ones emerging?  Customer confusion: content quantity increases, but not quality  Customers more focused on practical skills, financial & business topics, less spiritual
  • 8. Market Problems: Lack of Credibility  Does self-improvement work? Where’s the proof?  People, Baby Boomers still need “gurus” to hold their hand  Scandals abound: Peter Lowe goes bust, James Ray sweat lodge deaths, Robert Kiyosaki bankruptcy, Suze Orman criticized over her advice  Few gurus for younger generation  Oprah Winfrey leaves void in market when her show ends
  • 9. Motivational Speakers Market         Live events attendance down a lot, due to cost, travel Changing of the guard coming: older gurus retire or die Fees for top speakers stable ($20-50K per speech) Speakers giving away more free content as teaser to buy High-priced retreats/seminars not selling well More online home study courses offered 5,000+ pro speakers in U.S., but only handful make big money Best-selling book is the usual ticket to enter the field
  • 10. Personal Coaching Market         Worth $707 mill. in U.S. $1.5 bill. worldwide Avg. Coach makes $46,400 - $65,300 Estimated 13,750 pro coaches active in the U.S. Coaching still popular but hit hard by last recession Projects for corporations, government held up better than personal coaching Consumer price resistance, no. of clients per coach fell Services delivered mostly by phone, email Consumers now opting for less costly solutions: books, CDs, free webinars, podcasts, MP3 downloads, rather than $200-500/month coaching.
  • 11. Public Seminars Market        Estimated $308 million U.S. market Mostly 1-day events, travelling roadshows Tough business to make profitable – high overhead Stadium type events by Peter Lowe, others few in number (5+ major speakers: celebrities, politicians, military, business gurus) Major competitors: Fred Pryor/Career Track, Landmark Education, Skillpath, Natl. Seminars Group, Peak Potentials Hay House becoming more active in the market Many acquired by Universities, for non-profit status
  • 12. Infomercials Market      All infomercial retail sales = $2.82 bill. – selfimprovement shows account for 45% or $1.26 billion SI sales down 40% from 2007-2011 Health & fitness equipment sells best, followed by weight loss programs, then business opportunities/financial, then personal development Sales should improve with the general economy General motivational category is weakest – consumers want more concrete and specific programs or products
  • 13. Holistic Institutes & Training Organizations         16 holistic institutes in the U.S. 152,000 people attended in 2011, up 10% from 2009 Stable mature market, no new entrants Good venue for gurus to hold workshops, seminars Dale Carnegie is largest training company - $136 million in U.S. Toastmasters – public speaking skills Gaiam Inc. - $275 mill. Retailer Hay House $45-75 mill., growing, filling seminar void by closure of Peter Lowe Intl./Get Motivated shows
  • 14. Self-improvement Books Market   Segment fell 20% since 2007, to $549 million, lack of any blockbusters like The Secret SI books sold retail, online and via 4,000 small new age bookstores/retailers  Avg. new age bookstore does only $125,000/year  Diet books comprise big chunk of SI book sales  Avg. annual growth to 2016 forecast: 4.8%
  • 15. Self-improvement AudioBooks Market  Total audiobooks mkt. worth $2.97 bill. In 2011.  SI audiobooks account for 15% or $445 million  24 million Americans listen to audiobooks regularly  Customers have higher than average income, education  Market strong: grew 10% in 2010, 13% in 2011  Popular because consumers spending more time commuting, portability, low cost
  • 16. The Weight Loss Market           Commercial programs worth $3.42 bill. In 2012 Medical programs worth $2.41 bill. In 2012 108 million Americans diet per year, 4-5 weight loss attempts each/year, fickle customers 83% are do-it-yourself dieters Fads still abound via mail order, Internet, supplements Most diet company revenues down or flat in 2013 Weak economy is main reason for lackluster growth Strong performance of MLM distributors Free/low-cost apps, websites, gain traction Weight loss still large part of SI market
  • 17. American Adults On a Diet 60% 54% 50% 40% 30% 37% 1996 27% 24% 2000 24% 1998 26% 1989 20% 33% 2010 2004 0% 1986 10% Source: Calorie Control Council , National Consumer Surveys
  • 18. Why Do Our Diets Fail ? • • • • • • • • • • • Don’t exercise enough – 69% Feel metabolism slowing down – 62% Splurge on favorite foods too often – 49% Not enough self-discipline – 50% Snack too much – 52% Often overeat at mealtimes – 37% Often eat for emotional reasons – 41% Eat too many high fat foods – 30% Don’t eat properly at restaurants – 33% Only watch fat, not calories – 19% Only watch calories, not fat – 14% Source: Calorie Control Council, 2010 survey
  • 19. Where Will Future Growth Come From? Next 5 Years          Programs catering to under 30 generation Hispanic population, as their income grows International markets Lower cost Internet-based programs: webinars, webcasts, MP3 downloads Practical financial & real estate programs Courses teaching entrepreneurship, starting a business Audiobooks Programs/services for men Low-cost weight loss programs
  • 20. Need Self-improvement Market Research? Contact Us Today Put Our 19-Year Track Record to Work for YOU! MarketdataEnterprises.com John@MarketdataEnterprises.com BestDietForMe.com DietBusinessWatch.com John LaRosa, MBA - President Phone: 813-907-9090 Fax: 813-907-3606