SlideShare a Scribd company logo
Executive Summary
· Overview of the firm.
· Brief Statement of the situation/problem
· Recommendation
Introduction
USEC was the world’s leading supplier of enriched uranium
fuel for commercial nuclear power plants. USEC’s unique
business model carried with it significant influence from the
U.S. government through its contractual obligations with the
Department of Energy (DOE). USEC faced only three major
competitors: AREVA/Eurodif (France), Tenex (Russia), and
Urenco (Germany). Through the Megatons to Megawatts
government program USEC facilitated the conversion of
weapons-grade uranium by buying the uranium from the Russian
government and then selling it as fuel to commercial power-
generating companies. The Megatons to Megawatts agreement
stipulated that USEC would buy the equivalent of 5 million
pounds of uranium each year at a fixed price of $20 per pound.
USEC was in the beginning stage of a massive capital-
expenditure project known as the American Centrifuge Project
(ACP) that would almost double the scale of the company and
dramatically improve its competitive position.
Analysis
Mackovjak has to analyze USEC, and the American Centrifuge
Project in order to recommend either buying the stock (a long
position) or short sell stocks (a short position). If Mackovjak
found the American Centrifuge Project to be a value-creating
investment, one in which had a positive NPV on discounted
cash flows, it would imply that the USEC stock was
undervalued and you should take a long position in buying.
However, if the American Centrifuge Project was a value-
destroying investment, one in which had a negative NPV on
discounted cash flow, the stock should be short sold to take
advantage of the stock being overvalued by the market.
Recommendation
When looking at the Excel spreadsheet for USEC it is clear to
see that the American Centrifuge Project is a value-creating
investment. When looking at NPV of the ACP it is clear to see
that value is created by the project this would mean that the
stock was undervalued and that you should purchase additional
shares. In taking the long position you are investing in the firm
and its future success in the belief that the value of USEC’s
stock will increase overtime. Success of the firm isn’t entirely
based on NPV, but it does show that the American Centrifuge
project will yield positive net discounted cash flows once the
initial investment has been made. The stock value should
increase if the decision and recommendation prove to be
accurate, and financially profitable.
Conclusion
The American Centrifuge Project seems to be a worthwhile
investment. It yields positive cash flows overtime which leads
to a positive NPV for the project as a whole. This creation of
value by ACP means that you should take the long position on
USEC Inc. and purchase additional shares in the belief that
overtime in the and in the long run the stock price will go up.
UVA-F-1546
Nov. 5, 2008
This case was written by Ben Mackovjak (MBA ’07) and Lucas
Doe (MBA/ME ’04) under the supervision of
Professor Kenneth Eades, as a basis for class discussion rather
than to illustrate effective or ineffective handling of
of Virginia Darden School Foundation,
Charlottesville, VA. All rights reserved. To order copies, send
an e-mail to [email protected]
No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a
retrieval system, used in a spreadsheet, or transmitted in
any form or by any means—electronic, mechanical,
photocopying, recording, or otherwise—without the permission
of the Darden School Foundation.
USEC INC.
When the loudspeaker in Concourse A of the Richmond
International Airport announced
that his 4:00 p.m. flight to Boston was delayed until 7:00 p.m.,
Ben Mackovjak realized that his
hope of seeing any of the 7:00 p.m. Red Sox game at Fenway
Park was gone. Mackovjak worked
as an analyst for Rivanna Capital (Rivanna), a long/short equity
hedge fund based in
Charlottesville, Virginia that focused on publicly traded small
and midcap companies. As a
hedge fund company, Rivanna followed a simple investment
rule to buy stocks (a long position)
that were undervalued by 10% or more and short sell stocks (a
short position) that were
overvalued by 15% or more. Since its inception a few years
earlier, Rivanna’s investors had
become accustomed to earning superior risk-adjusted returns.
The key to Rivanna’s success up to
now had been to conduct careful analyses of the fundamental
value drivers of companies to
identify the right stocks for a portfolio.
Mackovjak had been offered the analyst position for the summer
of 2006, after
completing his first year of the MBA program at the University
of Virginia’s Darden School. If
the Rivanna partners were pleased with his work, Mackovjak
could receive a permanent offer
that would be effective immediately after his graduation the
following May. It was now July, and
Mackovjak had participated in the analysis of many interesting
companies; however, none had
been as interesting as USEC Inc., and none was more important
to his aspiration of securing a
permanent job offer from Rivanna. USEC was the first company
for which Mackovjak had the
responsibility of recommending the stock as either short or long
to the senior partners. With only
one more month before classes started, it was unlikely that he
would have another such
opportunity to display his capabilities.
Mackovjak had been pouring over USEC’s financials, listening
to past conference calls
with equity analysts, and reading various research reports. The
results of his discounted cash-
flow analysis showed him that USEC’s stock price of $10.80
fairly reflected the expectations of
the cash-flow potential of USEC’s existing operations as well as
the future growth of those
operations. But Mackovjak also recognized that USEC was in
the beginning stage of a massive
capital-expenditure project known as the American Centrifuge
Project (ACP) that would almost
double the scale of the company and dramatically improve its
competitive position. Given the
DardenBusinessPublishing:219979
P
le
as
e
do
n
ot
c
op
y
or
r
ed
is
tr
ib
ut
e.
C
on
ta
ct
p
er
m
is
si
on
[email protected]
da
rd
en
bu
si
ne
ss
pu
bl
is
hi
ng
.c
om
f
or
q
ue
st
io
ns
o
r
ad
di
ti
on
al
p
er
m
is
si
on
s.
T
hi
s
do
cu
m
en
t
is
a
ut
ho
ri
ze
d
fo
r
us
e
on
ly
b
y
D
av
e
D
ow
dy
a
t
T
em
pl
e
U
ni
ve
rs
it
y-
F
ox
S
ch
oo
l
of
B
us
in
es
s.
Page 1 of 11
UVA-F-1546
-2-
size and importance of the ACP, it seemed almost certain that
including the project in his
analysis would ultimately be the key to Mackovjak’s
recommendation about the stock. If he
found ACP to be a value-creating investment, it would imply
that the USEC stock was
undervalued, and Rivanna should take a long position.
Conversely, if ACP was a value-
destroying investment, Rivanna should short the stock to take
advantage of it being overvalued
by the market. More importantly, if Mackovjak improperly
assessed the value of ACP, then his
recommendation about USEC would almost certainly prove to
be wrong, which would not play
well for his career aspirations at Rivanna.
Now that he had several hours to kill waiting for his flight,
Mackovjak decided to pick up
where he had left off at the office a few hours ago, evaluating
USEC. It was true that he had been
working long hours all summer and deserved a weekend in New
England with friends, but it was
also true that the founding partner of the firm wanted his
recommendation on USEC by Monday
morning.
USEC Background
Headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland, USEC was the world’s
leading supplier of
enriched uranium fuel for commercial nuclear power plants. In
addition to the enrichment
business, USEC also performed related contract and consulting
services for the Department of
Energy (DOE) (Exhibits 1 and 2). USEC was a publicly traded
company that leased its
technology and facilities from the DOE. USEC’s unique
business model carried with it
significant influence from the U.S. government through its
contractual obligations with the DOE
and through other government agencies who had security
concerns with uranium enrichment.
The company competed in a global market with only three major
competitors: AREVA/Eurodif
(France), Tenex (Russia), and Urenco (Germany) and held a
50% share of the North American
market and 30% share of the global market.
In the early 1990s, USEC was created as a government
corporation to restructure the
government’s uranium-enrichment operation. In 1998, USEC
was privatized, and by 2006, it
operated the only uranium-enrichment facility in the United
States, a gaseous-diffusion plant in
Paducah, Kentucky. USEC also had another plant in
Portsmouth, Ohio, which it had placed in
cold standby1 under a contract with the DOE. Urenco was
planning to expand its operations by
building a competing uranium-enrichment facility in New
Mexico but had not yet begun
construction of the facility, nor had it announced a precise time
frame for the undertaking.
USEC served as the U.S. government’s exclusive agent for the
Megatons to Megawatts
program, a 20-year nuclear-nonproliferation agreement between
the United States and Russia.
Through this program, USEC facilitated the conversion of
weapons-grade uranium by buying the
1 Cold standby was a condition where the plant could be
returned to production of three million SWU within 18
to 24 months if the U.S. government determined that additional
domestic enrichment capacity was necessary. Under
this agreement, the government paid USEC to maintain the plant
in that state of readiness. Mackovjak’s analysis
suggested that the Portsmouth plant had unfavorable operating
economics such that it would only be taken off
standby for a national-defense-related issue.
DardenBusinessPublishing:219979
P
le
as
e
do
n
ot
c
op
y
or
r
ed
is
tr
ib
ut
e.
C
on
ta
ct
p
er
m
is
si
on
[email protected]
da
rd
en
bu
si
ne
ss
pu
bl
is
hi
ng
.c
om
f
or
q
ue
st
io
ns
o
r
ad
di
ti
on
al
p
er
m
is
si
on
s.
T
hi
s
do
cu
m
en
t
is
a
ut
ho
ri
ze
d
fo
r
us
e
on
ly
b
y
D
av
e
D
ow
dy
a
t
T
em
pl
e
U
ni
ve
rs
it
y-
F
ox
S
ch
oo
l
of
B
us
in
es
s.
Page 2 of 11
UVA-F-1546
-3-
uranium from the Russian government and then selling it as fuel
to commercial power-
generating companies. The uranium purchase provided the
Russian government with a steady
stream of revenue and, at the same time, supported the intention
of the United States to keep
uranium out of the wrong hands. With seven years still left in
the program, USEC estimated that
the agreement had been responsible for the dismantling of
20,000 Russian warheads.
The Megatons to Megawatts agreement stipulated that USEC
would buy the equivalent of
5 million pounds of uranium each year at a fixed price of $20
per pound.2 For many years, USEC
had benefited from the fixed-price agreement as the market
price of uranium had risen well
above $20 per pound; however, the requirement of purchasing 5
million pounds regardless of the
demand from USEC’s customers had resulted in a large buildup
of uranium inventory. On
occasion, USEC would sell excess uranium from its inventory
but as of Q2 2006, it carried 29
million pounds of uranium in inventory, which was reported at a
cost of $20 per pound.3
Based on a classic investments book by Benjamin Graham,
Mackovjak had computed the
net working capital of USEC on a book-value and a market-
value basis (Exhibit 3). According
to Graham, companies that sold for less than their working
capital “after deducting all liabilities
ahead of the stock” were truly “bargain issues.”4 Following
Graham’s hypothesis, Mackovjak
computed what he termed a “net working-capital liquidation
value” and found it to be higher
than USEC’s stock price of $10.80 per share. Although he found
this an interesting exercise, he
decided it was not relevant for his analysis, which relied upon
future cash flows at both the firm
and the ACP level.
Uranium-Enrichment Process
Uranium fuel was sold as Separative Work Units (SWU), which
was a measure of the
energy required to convert natural uranium into a blend of
enriched uranium. In order to produce
SWUs for sale, USEC needed to purchase the uranium and then
perform the enrichment process
as needed. Uranium, when found in nature, had two principal
isotopes: uranium-235 and
uranium-238, but only U235 was fissionable. With U235
constituting only approximately 1% of
raw uranium, uranium typically had to be enriched to bring the
concentration of U235 up to a
level approaching 5% to qualify for use by a nuclear power
plant.
USEC’s existing enrichment process at the Paducah plant used
gas-diffusion technology,
which required large amounts of electricity to operate a series
of enormous industrial
compressors. For many years, USEC had managed to keep the
cost of electricity stable until its
long-term contract with a power supplier expired. Without the
benefit of the power contract,
USEC’s margins had shrunk as its cost of production relative to
its competitors had suffered. In
2005, USEC’s enrichment cost for the gas-diffusion process was
$42 per SWU and was expected
2 The MTM program allowed USEC to buy either raw uranium
or the equivalent of 5 million pounds of
uranium. Either way, USEC paid the equivalent of $20/lb. of
raw uranium and recorded it as $20/lb. in its inventory
account.
3 Because uranium was considered a durable material, it was
not depreciated for accounting purposes.
4 Benjamin Graham, The Intelligent Investor (New York:
Harper & Row, 1986), 14.
DardenBusinessPublishing:219979
P
le
as
e
do
n
ot
c
op
y
or
r
ed
is
tr
ib
ut
e.
C
on
ta
ct
p
er
m
is
si
on
[email protected]
da
rd
en
bu
si
ne
ss
pu
bl
is
hi
ng
.c
om
f
or
q
ue
st
io
ns
o
r
ad
di
ti
on
al
p
er
m
is
si
on
s.
T
hi
s
do
cu
m
en
t
is
a
ut
ho
ri
ze
d
fo
r
us
e
on
ly
b
y
D
av
e
D
ow
dy
a
t
T
em
pl
e
U
ni
ve
rs
it
y-
F
ox
S
ch
oo
l
of
B
us
in
es
s.
Page 3 of 11
UVA-F-1546
-4-
to increase in line with inflation. The capacity of the Paducah
plant was 3.5 million SWU per
year. When USEC phased in the ACP, production would be
moved to the ACP, causing
Paducah’s production to fall to 1 million SWU in 2011 and zero
in 2012, and the plant would be
placed in cold standby.5 USEC paid $8 million annually to the
DOE to lease the Paducah plant,
an expense that would disappear once the plant was in cold
standby. If USEC continued to run
Paducah at its capacity of 3.5 million SWU, the company
expected to spend $30 million on
capital expenditures every year, and depreciation on the plant
would approximate capital
expenditures for the near future.
Uranium and the SWU Market
Global energy prices had increased dramatically during the past
several years as had the
prices for uranium and SWU (Exhibit 4). USEC management
estimated that the price of
uranium in 2006 would be $43 per pound,6 while the price of
one SWU would be $127. Like
most commodities, there was substantial volatility of uranium
and SWU prices as supply and
demand pressures changed over time. On average, the best guess
regarding future prices was that
uranium and SWU would increase with inflation. These market
prices were important to USEC
because its customers paid the prevailing price for SWU, which
in turn determined USEC’s
revenues.
The American Centrifuge Project
The ACP was an attempt by USEC to leapfrog over the
technology of its competitors.
USEC expected the cost efficiencies of the new technology to
position it as a low-cost producer
in the enrichment industry; however, the cost advantage would
come at a high cost as the
massive scale of the undertaking was expected to cost $1.7
billion during the next five years. To
date, USEC had spent only $100 million on the ACP. If USEC
could contain the cost of the
project, the remaining balance of $1.6 billion could be spent
during the next five years as shown
in Table 1.
Table 1. Projected five-year USEC spending ($ millions).
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
$185 $300 $350 $350 $415
5 When the centrifuge plant was in full operation and the
Paducah plant was in cold standby, the Portsmouth
plant would be shut down.
6 Raw uranium was quoted and traded per pound, whereas an
SWU depended upon the degree of enrichment of
the uranium, as well as the amount of raw uranium in the
process. On average, however, it was estimated that USEC
used approximately one pound of uranium to produce one SWU.
DardenBusinessPublishing:219979
P
le
as
e
do
n
ot
c
op
y
or
r
ed
is
tr
ib
ut
e.
C
on
ta
ct
p
er
m
is
si
on
[email protected]
da
rd
en
bu
si
ne
ss
pu
bl
is
hi
ng
.c
om
f
or
q
ue
st
io
ns
o
r
ad
di
ti
on
al
p
er
m
is
si
on
s.
T
hi
s
do
cu
m
en
t
is
a
ut
ho
ri
ze
d
fo
r
us
e
on
ly
b
y
D
av
e
D
ow
dy
a
t
T
em
pl
e
U
ni
ve
rs
it
y-
F
ox
S
ch
oo
l
of
B
us
in
es
s.
Page 4 of 11
UVA-F-1546
-5-
If construction remained on schedule, the facility would be
ready in late 2010, and the
plant fully operational by early 2011, at which time the Paducah
plant would begin to be scaled
down. The ACP would be depreciated starting in 2011, using the
straight-line method during its
expected useful life of 15 years, at which time the plant would
have zero salvage value. USEC
expected the plant to produce 2.5 million SWU in 2011,
increase production by 2 million SWU
during the next two years, and reach its maximum capacity at
6.5 million SWU in 2013.
Management was confident that enrichment demand would
ensure that USEC would be able to
produce at full capacity. Selling, general, and administrative
expenses were expected to rise
according to the increased revenues produced by the ACP.
USEC estimated that the electricity
required for enrichment would be reduced by 95%, so that the
overall enrichment costs would be
cut by 50%, relative to the existing gas-diffusion process. For
the longer term, management
expected the enrichment costs for the ACP would increase with
inflation. The company expected
to pay a royalty of 1% of gross revenue to the DOE as
compensation for its initial research and
development of the centrifuge technology. After completion, the
ACP would require a minimal
level of maintenance investment.
The Decision
Mackovjak had most of the information he needed to value the
ACP, although he still
thought he needed a few important assumptions to complete the
analysis. In particular, he wanted
to determine a market-risk premium, a long-term inflation rate,
and the net working-capital
requirements of the ACP. During his first year in the Darden
MBA program, Mackovjak had
made these types of assumptions repeatedly, so he was
confident that a market-risk premium in
the range of 5% to 6% was a reasonable estimate. Picking an
inflation rate and estimating
working capital, however, were not as familiar to him.
Estimating the long-term inflation rate was troublesome because
inflation rates were
often volatile and using an incorrect inflation forecast could
lead to a significant valuation error.
Mackovjak knew that he needed to consult someone
knowledgeable about inflation and decided
to contact his Darden professor, Dr. Peter Rodriguez. Rodriguez
had studied at Princeton under
Dr. Ben Bernanke, currently serving as the chairman of the
Federal Reserve. Mackovjak thought
that Rodriguez would know what Bernanke considered a
reasonable inflation rate, and he was
certain that the dedicated professor would still be in his office
on a Friday evening. Sure enough,
Mackovjak reached Rodriguez and, after a 45-minute
conversation, learned that a reasonable
long-term inflation assumption was 3%, which was consistent
with current Treasury yields.
To determine the net working-capital requirements of the ACP,
Mackovjak needed
another highly qualified person, so he turned to Darden alum
Craig Weise, who was a senior
analyst at Rivanna Capital and had assisted on parts of the
USEC research. Weise judged that the
ACP would require net working capital equal to 5% of sales.
This surprised Mackovjak who had
initially thought that a number twice as large was appropriate;
however, now he understood why
Weise had been named a Shermet Scholar, an award given only
to the best Darden MBA
students. Because Shermets were well known for their net
working-capital estimates and because
he wanted to stay in Weise’s good graces, Mackovjak decided to
defer to him and use 5% of
DardenBusinessPublishing:219979
P
le
as
e
do
n
ot
c
op
y
or
r
ed
is
tr
ib
ut
e.
C
on
ta
ct
p
er
m
is
si
on
[email protected]
da
rd
en
bu
si
ne
ss
pu
bl
is
hi
ng
.c
om
f
or
q
ue
st
io
ns
o
r
ad
di
ti
on
al
p
er
m
is
si
on
s.
T
hi
s
do
cu
m
en
t
is
a
ut
ho
ri
ze
d
fo
r
us
e
on
ly
b
y
D
av
e
D
ow
dy
a
t
T
em
pl
e
U
ni
ve
rs
it
y-
F
ox
S
ch
oo
l
of
B
us
in
es
s.
Page 5 of 11
UVA-F-1546
-6-
sales for his working-capital assumption. For information on
capital-market conditions, see
Exhibit 5.
It was now midnight and Concourse A was almost completely
deserted. The Red Sox had
won in the 10th inning. His flight had been rescheduled for the
following morning. The last place
to buy food had closed, rendering Mackovjak’s $5 food voucher
essentially worthless. As he left
the airport for his comped hotel room, feeling tired and
defeated, Mackovjak wondered if there
was more to the USEC story than just a discounted cash-flow
valuation of the ACP.
DardenBusinessPublishing:219979
P
le
as
e
do
n
ot
c
op
y
or
r
ed
is
tr
ib
ut
e.
C
on
ta
ct
p
er
m
is
si
on
[email protected]
da
rd
en
bu
si
ne
ss
pu
bl
is
hi
ng
.c
om
f
or
q
ue
st
io
ns
o
r
ad
di
ti
on
al
p
er
m
is
si
on
s.
T
hi
s
do
cu
m
en
t
is
a
ut
ho
ri
ze
d
fo
r
us
e
on
ly
b
y
D
av
e
D
ow
dy
a
t
T
em
pl
e
U
ni
ve
rs
it
y-
F
ox
S
ch
oo
l
of
B
us
in
es
s.
Page 6 of 11
UVA-F-1546
-7-
Exhibit 1
USEC INC.
Income Statement as of December 31
(in millions of dollars)
2005 2004 2003 2002
Total revenue $1,559.3 $1,417.2 $1,436.7 $1,380.2
Cost of goods sold* 1,430.6 1,279.9 1,319.1 1,305.6
Selling, general and administrative 61.9 64.1 69.4 54.1
Operating profit 66.8 73.2 48.2 20.5
Interest expense (40.0) (40.5) (38.4) (36.5)
Other, net 10.5 3.9 5.4 7.0
Net income before taxes 37.3 36.6 15.2 (9.0)
Provision for income taxes 15.0 13.1 6.2 (5.0)
Net income after taxes 22.3 23.5 9.0 (4.0)
Net income per share** $0.26 $0.28 $0.11 ($0.05)
Dividends per share $0.55 $0.55 $0.55 $0.55
* Includes depreciation expense as: $35.0 $31.8 $29.3 $23.9
** Using weighted average shares outstanding as: 86.1 84.1
82.2 81.4
DardenBusinessPublishing:219979
P
le
as
e
do
n
ot
c
op
y
or
r
ed
is
tr
ib
ut
e.
C
on
ta
ct
p
er
m
is
si
on
[email protected]
da
rd
en
bu
si
ne
ss
pu
bl
is
hi
ng
.c
om
f
or
q
ue
st
io
ns
o
r
ad
di
ti
on
al
p
er
m
is
si
on
s.
T
hi
s
do
cu
m
en
t
is
a
ut
ho
ri
ze
d
fo
r
us
e
on
ly
b
y
D
av
e
D
ow
dy
a
t
T
em
pl
e
U
ni
ve
rs
it
y-
F
ox
S
ch
oo
l
of
B
us
in
es
s.
Page 7 of 11
UVA-F-1546
-8-
Exhibit 2
USEC INC.
Balance Sheet as of December 31
(in millions of dollars)
2005 2004 2003 2002
Cash and short-term investments 276.9 174.8 249.1 171.1
Accounts receivable—trade, net 256.7 238.5 254.5 225.4
Inventories 961.6 992.2 860.9 839.6
Deferred income tax and other 120.5 83.4 100.3 51.6
Total current assets 1,615.7 1,488.9 1,464.8 1,287.7
Net property/plant/equipment 171.2 178.0 185.1 190.9
Goodwill, net 11.1 4.3 -- --
Other long-term assets 282.8 332.2 484.9 570.9
Total assets 2,080.8 2,003.4 2,134.8 2,049.5
Accounts payable 217.4 202.3 189.4 218.5
Customer advances 99.0 73.3 68.3 45.0
Other payables 111.6 89.7 197.5 106.6
Total current liabilities 428.0 365.3 455.2 370.1
Long-term debt 475.0 475.0 500.0 500.0
Pension benefits—underfunded 153.9 145.2 138.1 137.8
Deferred income tax and other 116.3 99.2 117.9 127.2
Total liabilities 1,173.2 1,084.7 1,211.2 1,135.1
Common stock, total 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0
Additional paid-in-capital 970.6 963.9 1,009.0 1,054.8
Treasury stock (99.5) (109.2) (127.7) (133.5)
Retained earnings (accumulated deficit) 26.5 54.0 32.3 (16.9)
Total equity 907.6 918.7 923.6 914.4
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity 2,080.8 2,003.4
2,134.8 2,049.5
DardenBusinessPublishing:219979
P
le
as
e
do
n
ot
c
op
y
or
r
ed
is
tr
ib
ut
e.
C
on
ta
ct
p
er
m
is
si
on
[email protected]
da
rd
en
bu
si
ne
ss
pu
bl
is
hi
ng
.c
om
f
or
q
ue
st
io
ns
o
r
ad
di
ti
on
al
p
er
m
is
si
on
s.
T
hi
s
do
cu
m
en
t
is
a
ut
ho
ri
ze
d
fo
r
us
e
on
ly
b
y
D
av
e
D
ow
dy
a
t
T
em
pl
e
U
ni
ve
rs
it
y-
F
ox
S
ch
oo
l
of
B
us
in
es
s.
Page 8 of 11
UVA-F-1546
-9-
Exhibit 3
USEC INC.
Net Working-Capital Liquidation Value
(in millions of dollars)
Book Market
Cash and short-term investments 276.9 276.9
Accounts receivable—trade, net 256.7 256.7
Megatons to megawatts inventory* 580.0 1,247.0
Other inventory (SWU, uranium, etc.) 381.6 381.6
Total current assets $1,495.2 $2,162.2
Accounts payable 217.4 217.4
Customer advances 99.0 99.0
Other payables 111.6 111.6
Total current liabilities $428.0 $428.0
Net working capital $1,067.2 $1,734.2
Less debt ($475.0) ($437.8)
Less pension underfunding ($153.9) ($153.9)
Liquidation value $438.3 $1,142.5
Liquidation value/share $5.1 $13.1
Premium over current stock price ($10.8) −53% 22%
*Book value of uranium computed as 29 million equivalent
pounds × $20/lb. = $580 million.
Market value of uranium computed as 29 million equivalent
pounds × $43/lb. = $1,247 million.
DardenBusinessPublishing:219979
P
le
as
e
do
n
ot
c
op
y
or
r
ed
is
tr
ib
ut
e.
C
on
ta
ct
p
er
m
is
si
on
[email protected]
da
rd
en
bu
si
ne
ss
pu
bl
is
hi
ng
.c
om
f
or
q
ue
st
io
ns
o
r
ad
di
ti
on
al
p
er
m
is
si
on
s.
T
hi
s
do
cu
m
en
t
is
a
ut
ho
ri
ze
d
fo
r
us
e
on
ly
b
y
D
av
e
D
ow
dy
a
t
T
em
pl
e
U
ni
ve
rs
it
y-
F
ox
S
ch
oo
l
of
B
us
in
es
s.
Page 9 of 11
UVA-F-1546
-10-
Exhibit 4
USEC INC.
Uranium and SWU Market Prices
DardenBusinessPublishing:219979
P
le
as
e
do
n
ot
c
op
y
or
r
ed
is
tr
ib
ut
e.
C
on
ta
ct
p
er
m
is
si
on
[email protected]
da
rd
en
bu
si
ne
ss
pu
bl
is
hi
ng
.c
om
f
or
q
ue
st
io
ns
o
r
ad
di
ti
on
al
p
er
m
is
si
on
s.
T
hi
s
do
cu
m
en
t
is
a
ut
ho
ri
ze
d
fo
r
us
e
on
ly
b
y
D
av
e
D
ow
dy
a
t
T
em
pl
e
U
ni
ve
rs
it
y-
F
ox
S
ch
oo
l
of
B
us
in
es
s.
Page 10 of 11
UVA-F-1546
-11-
Exhibit 5
USEC INC.
Capital-Market Conditions (July 21, 2006)
U.S. Treasury Bonds Rates
Maturity Yield
Last
Week
Last
Month
6-month 5.02 5.03 5.20
3-year 5.02 5.05 5.17
5-year 4.98 5.02 5.13
10-year 5.04 5.06 5.15
30-year 5.09 5.11 5.19
USEC Public Debt
Amount S&P
Issue ($ millions) Rating YTM
7.75 % due 2015 475 B− 9.04%
USEC Beta
Five years of monthly data 1.30
Stock Price Performance
Recent share price $10.80
USEC Inc. Stock Price
DardenBusinessPublishing:219979
P
le
as
e
do
n
ot
c
op
y
or
r
ed
is
tr
ib
ut
e.
C
on
ta
ct
p
er
m
is
si
on
[email protected]
da
rd
en
bu
si
ne
ss
pu
bl
is
hi
ng
.c
om
f
or
q
ue
st
io
ns
o
r
ad
di
ti
on
al
p
er
m
is
si
on
s.
T
hi
s
do
cu
m
en
t
is
a
ut
ho
ri
ze
d
fo
r
us
e
on
ly
b
y
D
av
e
D
ow
dy
a
t
T
em
pl
e
U
ni
ve
rs
it
y-
F
ox
S
ch
oo
l
of
B
us
in
es
s.
Page 11 of 11
Sheet1Your nameDave Dowdy, Mengting Xu, Stewart FishTU
ID915139649 (DD), 915083951(MX), 914983343
(SF)Date10/28/15Calculating cost of equityCash flows of the
debtMarket risk
premium6%2006200720082009201020112012201320142015Bet
a1.3$36.81$36.81$36.81$36.81$36.81$36.81$36.81$36.81$36.8
1$511.81Risk free rate5.09%Marekt value of
debt$435.70Interest On Bond9.04%Cost of
equity12.90%Calculating WACCMarket value of
equity$929.90Market value of debt$435.70Total Value of
E/D$1,365.60Tax rate40%WACC10.51%Initial Value of Capital
Investment on ACPYear200520062007200820092010Capital
Investment on
ACP$100,000,000$185,000,000$300,000,000$350,000,000$350,
000,000$415,000,000Total Initial Value of Capital
Investment$1,700,000,000Total Years15Depreciation Per
Year$113,333,333Factors for Projections (From Case)Inflation
Rate3%Royalty Rate1%SG&A Percent of Revenue4%NWC % of
Sales5%For 2006:SWU Price$127Price of 1 Pound of
Uranium$43Enrichment Cost of One SWU$21Projections on
Individual Factors (Formula
Based)Year2011201220132014201520162017201820192020202
12022202320242025Price of One
SWU$147.23$151.64$156.19$160.88$165.71$170.68$175.80$1
81.07$186.50$192.10$197.86$203.80$209.91$216.21$222.70Pri
ce of Uranium per
Pound$49.85$51.34$52.88$54.47$56.11$57.79$59.52$61.31$63
.15$65.04$66.99$69.00$71.07$73.20$75.40Enrichment Cost per
SWU$24.34$25.08$25.83$26.60$27.40$28.22$29.07$29.94$30.
84$31.76$32.72$33.70$34.71$35.75$36.82Calculating cash
flows of
ACPYear200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152
016201720182019202020212022202320242025Units of SWU
sold2,500,0004,500,0006,500,0006,500,0006,500,0006,500,000
6,500,0006,500,0006,500,0006,500,0006,500,0006,500,0006,50
0,0006,500,0006,500,000Gross
revenue$368,069,519$682,400,887$1,015,260,876$1,045,718,70
2$1,077,090,263$1,109,402,971$1,142,685,060$1,176,965,612$
1,212,274,580$1,248,642,818$1,286,102,102$1,324,685,165$1,
364,425,720$1,405,358,492$1,447,519,247Net
revenue$364,388,823$675,576,879$1,005,108,267$1,035,261,51
5$1,066,319,361$1,098,308,941$1,131,258,210$1,165,195,956$
1,200,151,835$1,236,156,390$1,273,241,081$1,311,438,314$1,
350,781,463$1,391,304,907$1,433,044,054Cost of
uranium$124,621,963$231,049,119$343,749,745$354,062,238$
364,684,105$375,624,628$386,893,367$398,500,168$410,455,1
73$422,768,828$435,451,893$448,515,450$461,970,913$475,83
0,041$490,104,942Cost of
enrichment$60,861,889$112,837,942$167,877,783$172,914,116
$178,101,540$183,444,586$188,947,923$194,616,361$200,454,
852$206,468,497$212,662,552$219,042,429$225,613,702$232,3
82,113$239,353,576Depreciation$113,333,333$113,333,333$11
3,333,333$113,333,333$113,333,333$113,333,333$113,333,333
$113,333,333$113,333,333$113,333,333$113,333,333$113,333,
333$113,333,333$113,333,333$113,333,333Cost of goods
sold$298,817,185$457,220,395$624,960,861$640,309,687$656,
118,978$672,402,547$689,174,624$706,449,862$724,243,358$7
42,570,659$761,447,779$780,891,212$800,917,948$821,545,48
7$842,791,851SG&A$14,575,553$27,023,075$40,204,331$41,4
10,461$42,652,774$43,932,358$45,250,328$46,607,838$48,006
,073$49,446,256$50,929,643$52,457,533$54,031,259$55,652,1
96$57,321,762EBIT$50,996,085$191,333,409$339,943,075$353
,541,367$367,547,608$381,974,037$396,833,258$412,138,255$
427,902,403$444,139,475$460,863,659$478,089,569$495,832,2
56$514,107,224$532,930,441Taxes$20,398,434$76,533,363$13
5,977,230$141,416,547$147,019,043$152,789,615$158,733,303
$164,855,302$171,160,961$177,655,790$184,345,464$191,235,
828$198,332,903$205,642,890$213,172,176Net
income$30,597,651$114,800,045$203,965,845$212,124,820$22
0,528,565$229,184,422$238,099,955$247,282,953$256,741,442
$266,483,685$276,518,196$286,853,742$297,499,354$308,464,
334$319,758,264Operating cash
flow$143,930,984$228,133,379$317,299,178$325,458,154$333,
861,898$342,517,755$351,433,288$360,616,287$370,074,775$3
79,817,018$389,851,529$400,187,075$410,832,687$421,797,66
8$433,091,598Net working
capital$25,000,000$18,403,476$34,120,044$50,763,044$52,285
,935$53,854,513$55,470,149$57,134,253$58,848,281$60,613,7
29$62,432,141$64,305,105$66,234,258$68,221,286$70,267,925
$0Change in net working captial0-
$6,596,524$15,716,568$16,642,999$1,522,891$1,568,578$1,61
5,635$1,664,104$1,714,028$1,765,448$1,818,412$1,872,964$1,
929,153$1,987,028$2,046,639-$70,267,925Net capital
spending$100,000,000$185,000,000$300,000,000$350,000,000$
350,000,000$415,000,000Total cash flow of ACP-
$100,000,000-$185,000,000-$300,000,000-$350,000,000-
$350,000,000-
$415,000,000$150,527,509$212,416,810$300,656,179$323,935,
262$332,293,320$340,902,120$349,769,184$358,902,259$368,3
09,327$377,998,607$387,978,565$398,257,922$408,845,659$41
9,751,029$503,359,522NPV$639,084,481.23IRR11.96%

More Related Content

More from gitagrimston

External Factor Analysis Summary (EFAS Table)External Factors.docx
External Factor Analysis Summary (EFAS Table)External Factors.docxExternal Factor Analysis Summary (EFAS Table)External Factors.docx
External Factor Analysis Summary (EFAS Table)External Factors.docx
gitagrimston
 
Exploring Online Consumer Behaviors.docx
Exploring Online Consumer Behaviors.docxExploring Online Consumer Behaviors.docx
Exploring Online Consumer Behaviors.docx
gitagrimston
 
External and Internal Analysis 8Extern.docx
External and Internal Analysis 8Extern.docxExternal and Internal Analysis 8Extern.docx
External and Internal Analysis 8Extern.docx
gitagrimston
 
Exploring Music Concert Paper Guidelines Instructions.docx
Exploring Music  Concert Paper Guidelines Instructions.docxExploring Music  Concert Paper Guidelines Instructions.docx
Exploring Music Concert Paper Guidelines Instructions.docx
gitagrimston
 
Expo 12 Discussion QuestionsThink about the cooperative learni.docx
Expo 12 Discussion QuestionsThink about the cooperative learni.docxExpo 12 Discussion QuestionsThink about the cooperative learni.docx
Expo 12 Discussion QuestionsThink about the cooperative learni.docx
gitagrimston
 
ExplanationMaster Honey is a franchise-style company that sel.docx
ExplanationMaster Honey is a franchise-style company that sel.docxExplanationMaster Honey is a franchise-style company that sel.docx
ExplanationMaster Honey is a franchise-style company that sel.docx
gitagrimston
 
Explain where industry profits are maximized in the figure below.docx
Explain where industry profits are maximized in the figure below.docxExplain where industry profits are maximized in the figure below.docx
Explain where industry profits are maximized in the figure below.docx
gitagrimston
 
Exploratory EssayResearch - 1The ability to Wallow in complex.docx
Exploratory EssayResearch - 1The ability to Wallow in complex.docxExploratory EssayResearch - 1The ability to Wallow in complex.docx
Exploratory EssayResearch - 1The ability to Wallow in complex.docx
gitagrimston
 
Exploring MusicExtra Credit #2 Due November 6 in classIn G.docx
Exploring MusicExtra Credit #2 Due November 6 in classIn G.docxExploring MusicExtra Credit #2 Due November 6 in classIn G.docx
Exploring MusicExtra Credit #2 Due November 6 in classIn G.docx
gitagrimston
 
Explain why Franz Boas did not accept Morgan’s view about evol.docx
Explain why Franz Boas did not accept Morgan’s view about evol.docxExplain why Franz Boas did not accept Morgan’s view about evol.docx
Explain why Franz Boas did not accept Morgan’s view about evol.docx
gitagrimston
 
Explanations 6.1 Qualities of Explanations Questions 0 of 3 com.docx
Explanations  6.1 Qualities of Explanations Questions 0 of 3 com.docxExplanations  6.1 Qualities of Explanations Questions 0 of 3 com.docx
Explanations 6.1 Qualities of Explanations Questions 0 of 3 com.docx
gitagrimston
 
Experts PresentationStudentPSY 496Instructor.docx
Experts PresentationStudentPSY 496Instructor.docxExperts PresentationStudentPSY 496Instructor.docx
Experts PresentationStudentPSY 496Instructor.docx
gitagrimston
 
Explain whether Okonkwo was remaining truthful to himself by killi.docx
Explain whether Okonkwo was remaining truthful to himself by killi.docxExplain whether Okonkwo was remaining truthful to himself by killi.docx
Explain whether Okonkwo was remaining truthful to himself by killi.docx
gitagrimston
 
Explain How these Aspects Work Together to Perform the Primary Fun.docx
Explain How these Aspects Work Together to Perform the Primary Fun.docxExplain How these Aspects Work Together to Perform the Primary Fun.docx
Explain How these Aspects Work Together to Perform the Primary Fun.docx
gitagrimston
 
Explain the 3 elements of every negotiation. Why is WinWin used m.docx
Explain the 3 elements of every negotiation. Why is WinWin used m.docxExplain the 3 elements of every negotiation. Why is WinWin used m.docx
Explain the 3 elements of every negotiation. Why is WinWin used m.docx
gitagrimston
 
Explain how the Kluckhohn–Strodtbeck and the Hofstede framework ca.docx
Explain how the Kluckhohn–Strodtbeck and the Hofstede framework ca.docxExplain how the Kluckhohn–Strodtbeck and the Hofstede framework ca.docx
Explain how the Kluckhohn–Strodtbeck and the Hofstede framework ca.docx
gitagrimston
 
Exploration 8 – Shifting and Stretching Rational Functions .docx
Exploration 8 – Shifting and Stretching Rational Functions .docxExploration 8 – Shifting and Stretching Rational Functions .docx
Exploration 8 – Shifting and Stretching Rational Functions .docx
gitagrimston
 
Exploring Innovation in Action Power to the People – Lifeline Ene.docx
Exploring Innovation in Action Power to the People – Lifeline Ene.docxExploring Innovation in Action Power to the People – Lifeline Ene.docx
Exploring Innovation in Action Power to the People – Lifeline Ene.docx
gitagrimston
 
Experiment 8 - Resistance and Ohm’s Law 8.1 Introduction .docx
Experiment 8 - Resistance and Ohm’s Law 8.1 Introduction .docxExperiment 8 - Resistance and Ohm’s Law 8.1 Introduction .docx
Experiment 8 - Resistance and Ohm’s Law 8.1 Introduction .docx
gitagrimston
 
Experimental Essay The DialecticThe purpose of this paper is to.docx
Experimental Essay The DialecticThe purpose of this paper is to.docxExperimental Essay The DialecticThe purpose of this paper is to.docx
Experimental Essay The DialecticThe purpose of this paper is to.docx
gitagrimston
 

More from gitagrimston (20)

External Factor Analysis Summary (EFAS Table)External Factors.docx
External Factor Analysis Summary (EFAS Table)External Factors.docxExternal Factor Analysis Summary (EFAS Table)External Factors.docx
External Factor Analysis Summary (EFAS Table)External Factors.docx
 
Exploring Online Consumer Behaviors.docx
Exploring Online Consumer Behaviors.docxExploring Online Consumer Behaviors.docx
Exploring Online Consumer Behaviors.docx
 
External and Internal Analysis 8Extern.docx
External and Internal Analysis 8Extern.docxExternal and Internal Analysis 8Extern.docx
External and Internal Analysis 8Extern.docx
 
Exploring Music Concert Paper Guidelines Instructions.docx
Exploring Music  Concert Paper Guidelines Instructions.docxExploring Music  Concert Paper Guidelines Instructions.docx
Exploring Music Concert Paper Guidelines Instructions.docx
 
Expo 12 Discussion QuestionsThink about the cooperative learni.docx
Expo 12 Discussion QuestionsThink about the cooperative learni.docxExpo 12 Discussion QuestionsThink about the cooperative learni.docx
Expo 12 Discussion QuestionsThink about the cooperative learni.docx
 
ExplanationMaster Honey is a franchise-style company that sel.docx
ExplanationMaster Honey is a franchise-style company that sel.docxExplanationMaster Honey is a franchise-style company that sel.docx
ExplanationMaster Honey is a franchise-style company that sel.docx
 
Explain where industry profits are maximized in the figure below.docx
Explain where industry profits are maximized in the figure below.docxExplain where industry profits are maximized in the figure below.docx
Explain where industry profits are maximized in the figure below.docx
 
Exploratory EssayResearch - 1The ability to Wallow in complex.docx
Exploratory EssayResearch - 1The ability to Wallow in complex.docxExploratory EssayResearch - 1The ability to Wallow in complex.docx
Exploratory EssayResearch - 1The ability to Wallow in complex.docx
 
Exploring MusicExtra Credit #2 Due November 6 in classIn G.docx
Exploring MusicExtra Credit #2 Due November 6 in classIn G.docxExploring MusicExtra Credit #2 Due November 6 in classIn G.docx
Exploring MusicExtra Credit #2 Due November 6 in classIn G.docx
 
Explain why Franz Boas did not accept Morgan’s view about evol.docx
Explain why Franz Boas did not accept Morgan’s view about evol.docxExplain why Franz Boas did not accept Morgan’s view about evol.docx
Explain why Franz Boas did not accept Morgan’s view about evol.docx
 
Explanations 6.1 Qualities of Explanations Questions 0 of 3 com.docx
Explanations  6.1 Qualities of Explanations Questions 0 of 3 com.docxExplanations  6.1 Qualities of Explanations Questions 0 of 3 com.docx
Explanations 6.1 Qualities of Explanations Questions 0 of 3 com.docx
 
Experts PresentationStudentPSY 496Instructor.docx
Experts PresentationStudentPSY 496Instructor.docxExperts PresentationStudentPSY 496Instructor.docx
Experts PresentationStudentPSY 496Instructor.docx
 
Explain whether Okonkwo was remaining truthful to himself by killi.docx
Explain whether Okonkwo was remaining truthful to himself by killi.docxExplain whether Okonkwo was remaining truthful to himself by killi.docx
Explain whether Okonkwo was remaining truthful to himself by killi.docx
 
Explain How these Aspects Work Together to Perform the Primary Fun.docx
Explain How these Aspects Work Together to Perform the Primary Fun.docxExplain How these Aspects Work Together to Perform the Primary Fun.docx
Explain How these Aspects Work Together to Perform the Primary Fun.docx
 
Explain the 3 elements of every negotiation. Why is WinWin used m.docx
Explain the 3 elements of every negotiation. Why is WinWin used m.docxExplain the 3 elements of every negotiation. Why is WinWin used m.docx
Explain the 3 elements of every negotiation. Why is WinWin used m.docx
 
Explain how the Kluckhohn–Strodtbeck and the Hofstede framework ca.docx
Explain how the Kluckhohn–Strodtbeck and the Hofstede framework ca.docxExplain how the Kluckhohn–Strodtbeck and the Hofstede framework ca.docx
Explain how the Kluckhohn–Strodtbeck and the Hofstede framework ca.docx
 
Exploration 8 – Shifting and Stretching Rational Functions .docx
Exploration 8 – Shifting and Stretching Rational Functions .docxExploration 8 – Shifting and Stretching Rational Functions .docx
Exploration 8 – Shifting and Stretching Rational Functions .docx
 
Exploring Innovation in Action Power to the People – Lifeline Ene.docx
Exploring Innovation in Action Power to the People – Lifeline Ene.docxExploring Innovation in Action Power to the People – Lifeline Ene.docx
Exploring Innovation in Action Power to the People – Lifeline Ene.docx
 
Experiment 8 - Resistance and Ohm’s Law 8.1 Introduction .docx
Experiment 8 - Resistance and Ohm’s Law 8.1 Introduction .docxExperiment 8 - Resistance and Ohm’s Law 8.1 Introduction .docx
Experiment 8 - Resistance and Ohm’s Law 8.1 Introduction .docx
 
Experimental Essay The DialecticThe purpose of this paper is to.docx
Experimental Essay The DialecticThe purpose of this paper is to.docxExperimental Essay The DialecticThe purpose of this paper is to.docx
Experimental Essay The DialecticThe purpose of this paper is to.docx
 

Recently uploaded

How to Add Chatter in the odoo 17 ERP Module
How to Add Chatter in the odoo 17 ERP ModuleHow to Add Chatter in the odoo 17 ERP Module
How to Add Chatter in the odoo 17 ERP Module
Celine George
 
RHEOLOGY Physical pharmaceutics-II notes for B.pharm 4th sem students
RHEOLOGY Physical pharmaceutics-II notes for B.pharm 4th sem studentsRHEOLOGY Physical pharmaceutics-II notes for B.pharm 4th sem students
RHEOLOGY Physical pharmaceutics-II notes for B.pharm 4th sem students
Himanshu Rai
 
Reimagining Your Library Space: How to Increase the Vibes in Your Library No ...
Reimagining Your Library Space: How to Increase the Vibes in Your Library No ...Reimagining Your Library Space: How to Increase the Vibes in Your Library No ...
Reimagining Your Library Space: How to Increase the Vibes in Your Library No ...
Diana Rendina
 
NEWSPAPERS - QUESTION 1 - REVISION POWERPOINT.pptx
NEWSPAPERS - QUESTION 1 - REVISION POWERPOINT.pptxNEWSPAPERS - QUESTION 1 - REVISION POWERPOINT.pptx
NEWSPAPERS - QUESTION 1 - REVISION POWERPOINT.pptx
iammrhaywood
 
Your Skill Boost Masterclass: Strategies for Effective Upskilling
Your Skill Boost Masterclass: Strategies for Effective UpskillingYour Skill Boost Masterclass: Strategies for Effective Upskilling
Your Skill Boost Masterclass: Strategies for Effective Upskilling
Excellence Foundation for South Sudan
 
The basics of sentences session 6pptx.pptx
The basics of sentences session 6pptx.pptxThe basics of sentences session 6pptx.pptx
The basics of sentences session 6pptx.pptx
heathfieldcps1
 
How to Make a Field Mandatory in Odoo 17
How to Make a Field Mandatory in Odoo 17How to Make a Field Mandatory in Odoo 17
How to Make a Field Mandatory in Odoo 17
Celine George
 
How to Fix the Import Error in the Odoo 17
How to Fix the Import Error in the Odoo 17How to Fix the Import Error in the Odoo 17
How to Fix the Import Error in the Odoo 17
Celine George
 
BÀI TẬP BỔ TRỢ TIẾNG ANH 8 CẢ NĂM - GLOBAL SUCCESS - NĂM HỌC 2023-2024 (CÓ FI...
BÀI TẬP BỔ TRỢ TIẾNG ANH 8 CẢ NĂM - GLOBAL SUCCESS - NĂM HỌC 2023-2024 (CÓ FI...BÀI TẬP BỔ TRỢ TIẾNG ANH 8 CẢ NĂM - GLOBAL SUCCESS - NĂM HỌC 2023-2024 (CÓ FI...
BÀI TẬP BỔ TRỢ TIẾNG ANH 8 CẢ NĂM - GLOBAL SUCCESS - NĂM HỌC 2023-2024 (CÓ FI...
Nguyen Thanh Tu Collection
 
Life upper-Intermediate B2 Workbook for student
Life upper-Intermediate B2 Workbook for studentLife upper-Intermediate B2 Workbook for student
Life upper-Intermediate B2 Workbook for student
NgcHiNguyn25
 
What is Digital Literacy? A guest blog from Andy McLaughlin, University of Ab...
What is Digital Literacy? A guest blog from Andy McLaughlin, University of Ab...What is Digital Literacy? A guest blog from Andy McLaughlin, University of Ab...
What is Digital Literacy? A guest blog from Andy McLaughlin, University of Ab...
GeorgeMilliken2
 
MARY JANE WILSON, A “BOA MÃE” .
MARY JANE WILSON, A “BOA MÃE”           .MARY JANE WILSON, A “BOA MÃE”           .
MARY JANE WILSON, A “BOA MÃE” .
Colégio Santa Teresinha
 
Présentationvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvv2.pptx
Présentationvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvv2.pptxPrésentationvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvv2.pptx
Présentationvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvv2.pptx
siemaillard
 
South African Journal of Science: Writing with integrity workshop (2024)
South African Journal of Science: Writing with integrity workshop (2024)South African Journal of Science: Writing with integrity workshop (2024)
South African Journal of Science: Writing with integrity workshop (2024)
Academy of Science of South Africa
 
How to Manage Your Lost Opportunities in Odoo 17 CRM
How to Manage Your Lost Opportunities in Odoo 17 CRMHow to Manage Your Lost Opportunities in Odoo 17 CRM
How to Manage Your Lost Opportunities in Odoo 17 CRM
Celine George
 
How to Setup Warehouse & Location in Odoo 17 Inventory
How to Setup Warehouse & Location in Odoo 17 InventoryHow to Setup Warehouse & Location in Odoo 17 Inventory
How to Setup Warehouse & Location in Odoo 17 Inventory
Celine George
 
Wound healing PPT
Wound healing PPTWound healing PPT
Wound healing PPT
Jyoti Chand
 
How to Create a More Engaging and Human Online Learning Experience
How to Create a More Engaging and Human Online Learning Experience How to Create a More Engaging and Human Online Learning Experience
How to Create a More Engaging and Human Online Learning Experience
Wahiba Chair Training & Consulting
 
Digital Artefact 1 - Tiny Home Environmental Design
Digital Artefact 1 - Tiny Home Environmental DesignDigital Artefact 1 - Tiny Home Environmental Design
Digital Artefact 1 - Tiny Home Environmental Design
amberjdewit93
 
Pengantar Penggunaan Flutter - Dart programming language1.pptx
Pengantar Penggunaan Flutter - Dart programming language1.pptxPengantar Penggunaan Flutter - Dart programming language1.pptx
Pengantar Penggunaan Flutter - Dart programming language1.pptx
Fajar Baskoro
 

Recently uploaded (20)

How to Add Chatter in the odoo 17 ERP Module
How to Add Chatter in the odoo 17 ERP ModuleHow to Add Chatter in the odoo 17 ERP Module
How to Add Chatter in the odoo 17 ERP Module
 
RHEOLOGY Physical pharmaceutics-II notes for B.pharm 4th sem students
RHEOLOGY Physical pharmaceutics-II notes for B.pharm 4th sem studentsRHEOLOGY Physical pharmaceutics-II notes for B.pharm 4th sem students
RHEOLOGY Physical pharmaceutics-II notes for B.pharm 4th sem students
 
Reimagining Your Library Space: How to Increase the Vibes in Your Library No ...
Reimagining Your Library Space: How to Increase the Vibes in Your Library No ...Reimagining Your Library Space: How to Increase the Vibes in Your Library No ...
Reimagining Your Library Space: How to Increase the Vibes in Your Library No ...
 
NEWSPAPERS - QUESTION 1 - REVISION POWERPOINT.pptx
NEWSPAPERS - QUESTION 1 - REVISION POWERPOINT.pptxNEWSPAPERS - QUESTION 1 - REVISION POWERPOINT.pptx
NEWSPAPERS - QUESTION 1 - REVISION POWERPOINT.pptx
 
Your Skill Boost Masterclass: Strategies for Effective Upskilling
Your Skill Boost Masterclass: Strategies for Effective UpskillingYour Skill Boost Masterclass: Strategies for Effective Upskilling
Your Skill Boost Masterclass: Strategies for Effective Upskilling
 
The basics of sentences session 6pptx.pptx
The basics of sentences session 6pptx.pptxThe basics of sentences session 6pptx.pptx
The basics of sentences session 6pptx.pptx
 
How to Make a Field Mandatory in Odoo 17
How to Make a Field Mandatory in Odoo 17How to Make a Field Mandatory in Odoo 17
How to Make a Field Mandatory in Odoo 17
 
How to Fix the Import Error in the Odoo 17
How to Fix the Import Error in the Odoo 17How to Fix the Import Error in the Odoo 17
How to Fix the Import Error in the Odoo 17
 
BÀI TẬP BỔ TRỢ TIẾNG ANH 8 CẢ NĂM - GLOBAL SUCCESS - NĂM HỌC 2023-2024 (CÓ FI...
BÀI TẬP BỔ TRỢ TIẾNG ANH 8 CẢ NĂM - GLOBAL SUCCESS - NĂM HỌC 2023-2024 (CÓ FI...BÀI TẬP BỔ TRỢ TIẾNG ANH 8 CẢ NĂM - GLOBAL SUCCESS - NĂM HỌC 2023-2024 (CÓ FI...
BÀI TẬP BỔ TRỢ TIẾNG ANH 8 CẢ NĂM - GLOBAL SUCCESS - NĂM HỌC 2023-2024 (CÓ FI...
 
Life upper-Intermediate B2 Workbook for student
Life upper-Intermediate B2 Workbook for studentLife upper-Intermediate B2 Workbook for student
Life upper-Intermediate B2 Workbook for student
 
What is Digital Literacy? A guest blog from Andy McLaughlin, University of Ab...
What is Digital Literacy? A guest blog from Andy McLaughlin, University of Ab...What is Digital Literacy? A guest blog from Andy McLaughlin, University of Ab...
What is Digital Literacy? A guest blog from Andy McLaughlin, University of Ab...
 
MARY JANE WILSON, A “BOA MÃE” .
MARY JANE WILSON, A “BOA MÃE”           .MARY JANE WILSON, A “BOA MÃE”           .
MARY JANE WILSON, A “BOA MÃE” .
 
Présentationvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvv2.pptx
Présentationvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvv2.pptxPrésentationvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvv2.pptx
Présentationvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvv2.pptx
 
South African Journal of Science: Writing with integrity workshop (2024)
South African Journal of Science: Writing with integrity workshop (2024)South African Journal of Science: Writing with integrity workshop (2024)
South African Journal of Science: Writing with integrity workshop (2024)
 
How to Manage Your Lost Opportunities in Odoo 17 CRM
How to Manage Your Lost Opportunities in Odoo 17 CRMHow to Manage Your Lost Opportunities in Odoo 17 CRM
How to Manage Your Lost Opportunities in Odoo 17 CRM
 
How to Setup Warehouse & Location in Odoo 17 Inventory
How to Setup Warehouse & Location in Odoo 17 InventoryHow to Setup Warehouse & Location in Odoo 17 Inventory
How to Setup Warehouse & Location in Odoo 17 Inventory
 
Wound healing PPT
Wound healing PPTWound healing PPT
Wound healing PPT
 
How to Create a More Engaging and Human Online Learning Experience
How to Create a More Engaging and Human Online Learning Experience How to Create a More Engaging and Human Online Learning Experience
How to Create a More Engaging and Human Online Learning Experience
 
Digital Artefact 1 - Tiny Home Environmental Design
Digital Artefact 1 - Tiny Home Environmental DesignDigital Artefact 1 - Tiny Home Environmental Design
Digital Artefact 1 - Tiny Home Environmental Design
 
Pengantar Penggunaan Flutter - Dart programming language1.pptx
Pengantar Penggunaan Flutter - Dart programming language1.pptxPengantar Penggunaan Flutter - Dart programming language1.pptx
Pengantar Penggunaan Flutter - Dart programming language1.pptx
 

Executive Summary· Overview of the firm. · Brief Statement of.docx

  • 1. Executive Summary · Overview of the firm. · Brief Statement of the situation/problem · Recommendation Introduction USEC was the world’s leading supplier of enriched uranium fuel for commercial nuclear power plants. USEC’s unique business model carried with it significant influence from the U.S. government through its contractual obligations with the Department of Energy (DOE). USEC faced only three major competitors: AREVA/Eurodif (France), Tenex (Russia), and Urenco (Germany). Through the Megatons to Megawatts government program USEC facilitated the conversion of weapons-grade uranium by buying the uranium from the Russian government and then selling it as fuel to commercial power- generating companies. The Megatons to Megawatts agreement stipulated that USEC would buy the equivalent of 5 million pounds of uranium each year at a fixed price of $20 per pound. USEC was in the beginning stage of a massive capital- expenditure project known as the American Centrifuge Project (ACP) that would almost double the scale of the company and dramatically improve its competitive position. Analysis Mackovjak has to analyze USEC, and the American Centrifuge Project in order to recommend either buying the stock (a long position) or short sell stocks (a short position). If Mackovjak found the American Centrifuge Project to be a value-creating investment, one in which had a positive NPV on discounted cash flows, it would imply that the USEC stock was undervalued and you should take a long position in buying. However, if the American Centrifuge Project was a value-
  • 2. destroying investment, one in which had a negative NPV on discounted cash flow, the stock should be short sold to take advantage of the stock being overvalued by the market. Recommendation When looking at the Excel spreadsheet for USEC it is clear to see that the American Centrifuge Project is a value-creating investment. When looking at NPV of the ACP it is clear to see that value is created by the project this would mean that the stock was undervalued and that you should purchase additional shares. In taking the long position you are investing in the firm and its future success in the belief that the value of USEC’s stock will increase overtime. Success of the firm isn’t entirely based on NPV, but it does show that the American Centrifuge project will yield positive net discounted cash flows once the initial investment has been made. The stock value should increase if the decision and recommendation prove to be accurate, and financially profitable. Conclusion The American Centrifuge Project seems to be a worthwhile investment. It yields positive cash flows overtime which leads to a positive NPV for the project as a whole. This creation of value by ACP means that you should take the long position on USEC Inc. and purchase additional shares in the belief that overtime in the and in the long run the stock price will go up. UVA-F-1546 Nov. 5, 2008 This case was written by Ben Mackovjak (MBA ’07) and Lucas Doe (MBA/ME ’04) under the supervision of
  • 3. Professor Kenneth Eades, as a basis for class discussion rather than to illustrate effective or ineffective handling of of Virginia Darden School Foundation, Charlottesville, VA. All rights reserved. To order copies, send an e-mail to [email protected] No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, used in a spreadsheet, or transmitted in any form or by any means—electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise—without the permission of the Darden School Foundation. USEC INC. When the loudspeaker in Concourse A of the Richmond International Airport announced that his 4:00 p.m. flight to Boston was delayed until 7:00 p.m., Ben Mackovjak realized that his hope of seeing any of the 7:00 p.m. Red Sox game at Fenway Park was gone. Mackovjak worked as an analyst for Rivanna Capital (Rivanna), a long/short equity hedge fund based in Charlottesville, Virginia that focused on publicly traded small and midcap companies. As a
  • 4. hedge fund company, Rivanna followed a simple investment rule to buy stocks (a long position) that were undervalued by 10% or more and short sell stocks (a short position) that were overvalued by 15% or more. Since its inception a few years earlier, Rivanna’s investors had become accustomed to earning superior risk-adjusted returns. The key to Rivanna’s success up to now had been to conduct careful analyses of the fundamental value drivers of companies to identify the right stocks for a portfolio. Mackovjak had been offered the analyst position for the summer of 2006, after completing his first year of the MBA program at the University of Virginia’s Darden School. If the Rivanna partners were pleased with his work, Mackovjak could receive a permanent offer that would be effective immediately after his graduation the following May. It was now July, and Mackovjak had participated in the analysis of many interesting companies; however, none had been as interesting as USEC Inc., and none was more important to his aspiration of securing a
  • 5. permanent job offer from Rivanna. USEC was the first company for which Mackovjak had the responsibility of recommending the stock as either short or long to the senior partners. With only one more month before classes started, it was unlikely that he would have another such opportunity to display his capabilities. Mackovjak had been pouring over USEC’s financials, listening to past conference calls with equity analysts, and reading various research reports. The results of his discounted cash- flow analysis showed him that USEC’s stock price of $10.80 fairly reflected the expectations of the cash-flow potential of USEC’s existing operations as well as the future growth of those operations. But Mackovjak also recognized that USEC was in the beginning stage of a massive capital-expenditure project known as the American Centrifuge Project (ACP) that would almost double the scale of the company and dramatically improve its competitive position. Given the DardenBusinessPublishing:219979 P
  • 11. -2- size and importance of the ACP, it seemed almost certain that including the project in his analysis would ultimately be the key to Mackovjak’s recommendation about the stock. If he found ACP to be a value-creating investment, it would imply that the USEC stock was undervalued, and Rivanna should take a long position. Conversely, if ACP was a value- destroying investment, Rivanna should short the stock to take advantage of it being overvalued by the market. More importantly, if Mackovjak improperly assessed the value of ACP, then his recommendation about USEC would almost certainly prove to be wrong, which would not play well for his career aspirations at Rivanna. Now that he had several hours to kill waiting for his flight, Mackovjak decided to pick up where he had left off at the office a few hours ago, evaluating USEC. It was true that he had been working long hours all summer and deserved a weekend in New England with friends, but it was
  • 12. also true that the founding partner of the firm wanted his recommendation on USEC by Monday morning. USEC Background Headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland, USEC was the world’s leading supplier of enriched uranium fuel for commercial nuclear power plants. In addition to the enrichment business, USEC also performed related contract and consulting services for the Department of Energy (DOE) (Exhibits 1 and 2). USEC was a publicly traded company that leased its technology and facilities from the DOE. USEC’s unique business model carried with it significant influence from the U.S. government through its contractual obligations with the DOE and through other government agencies who had security concerns with uranium enrichment. The company competed in a global market with only three major competitors: AREVA/Eurodif (France), Tenex (Russia), and Urenco (Germany) and held a 50% share of the North American
  • 13. market and 30% share of the global market. In the early 1990s, USEC was created as a government corporation to restructure the government’s uranium-enrichment operation. In 1998, USEC was privatized, and by 2006, it operated the only uranium-enrichment facility in the United States, a gaseous-diffusion plant in Paducah, Kentucky. USEC also had another plant in Portsmouth, Ohio, which it had placed in cold standby1 under a contract with the DOE. Urenco was planning to expand its operations by building a competing uranium-enrichment facility in New Mexico but had not yet begun construction of the facility, nor had it announced a precise time frame for the undertaking. USEC served as the U.S. government’s exclusive agent for the Megatons to Megawatts program, a 20-year nuclear-nonproliferation agreement between the United States and Russia. Through this program, USEC facilitated the conversion of weapons-grade uranium by buying the
  • 14. 1 Cold standby was a condition where the plant could be returned to production of three million SWU within 18 to 24 months if the U.S. government determined that additional domestic enrichment capacity was necessary. Under this agreement, the government paid USEC to maintain the plant in that state of readiness. Mackovjak’s analysis suggested that the Portsmouth plant had unfavorable operating economics such that it would only be taken off standby for a national-defense-related issue. DardenBusinessPublishing:219979 P le as e do n ot c op y or r ed is
  • 19. of B us in es s. Page 2 of 11 UVA-F-1546 -3- uranium from the Russian government and then selling it as fuel to commercial power- generating companies. The uranium purchase provided the Russian government with a steady stream of revenue and, at the same time, supported the intention of the United States to keep uranium out of the wrong hands. With seven years still left in the program, USEC estimated that the agreement had been responsible for the dismantling of 20,000 Russian warheads. The Megatons to Megawatts agreement stipulated that USEC
  • 20. would buy the equivalent of 5 million pounds of uranium each year at a fixed price of $20 per pound.2 For many years, USEC had benefited from the fixed-price agreement as the market price of uranium had risen well above $20 per pound; however, the requirement of purchasing 5 million pounds regardless of the demand from USEC’s customers had resulted in a large buildup of uranium inventory. On occasion, USEC would sell excess uranium from its inventory but as of Q2 2006, it carried 29 million pounds of uranium in inventory, which was reported at a cost of $20 per pound.3 Based on a classic investments book by Benjamin Graham, Mackovjak had computed the net working capital of USEC on a book-value and a market- value basis (Exhibit 3). According to Graham, companies that sold for less than their working capital “after deducting all liabilities ahead of the stock” were truly “bargain issues.”4 Following Graham’s hypothesis, Mackovjak computed what he termed a “net working-capital liquidation value” and found it to be higher
  • 21. than USEC’s stock price of $10.80 per share. Although he found this an interesting exercise, he decided it was not relevant for his analysis, which relied upon future cash flows at both the firm and the ACP level. Uranium-Enrichment Process Uranium fuel was sold as Separative Work Units (SWU), which was a measure of the energy required to convert natural uranium into a blend of enriched uranium. In order to produce SWUs for sale, USEC needed to purchase the uranium and then perform the enrichment process as needed. Uranium, when found in nature, had two principal isotopes: uranium-235 and uranium-238, but only U235 was fissionable. With U235 constituting only approximately 1% of raw uranium, uranium typically had to be enriched to bring the concentration of U235 up to a level approaching 5% to qualify for use by a nuclear power plant. USEC’s existing enrichment process at the Paducah plant used
  • 22. gas-diffusion technology, which required large amounts of electricity to operate a series of enormous industrial compressors. For many years, USEC had managed to keep the cost of electricity stable until its long-term contract with a power supplier expired. Without the benefit of the power contract, USEC’s margins had shrunk as its cost of production relative to its competitors had suffered. In 2005, USEC’s enrichment cost for the gas-diffusion process was $42 per SWU and was expected 2 The MTM program allowed USEC to buy either raw uranium or the equivalent of 5 million pounds of uranium. Either way, USEC paid the equivalent of $20/lb. of raw uranium and recorded it as $20/lb. in its inventory account. 3 Because uranium was considered a durable material, it was not depreciated for accounting purposes. 4 Benjamin Graham, The Intelligent Investor (New York: Harper & Row, 1986), 14. DardenBusinessPublishing:219979 P le as
  • 27. ni ve rs it y- F ox S ch oo l of B us in es s. Page 3 of 11 UVA-F-1546 -4- to increase in line with inflation. The capacity of the Paducah
  • 28. plant was 3.5 million SWU per year. When USEC phased in the ACP, production would be moved to the ACP, causing Paducah’s production to fall to 1 million SWU in 2011 and zero in 2012, and the plant would be placed in cold standby.5 USEC paid $8 million annually to the DOE to lease the Paducah plant, an expense that would disappear once the plant was in cold standby. If USEC continued to run Paducah at its capacity of 3.5 million SWU, the company expected to spend $30 million on capital expenditures every year, and depreciation on the plant would approximate capital expenditures for the near future. Uranium and the SWU Market Global energy prices had increased dramatically during the past several years as had the prices for uranium and SWU (Exhibit 4). USEC management estimated that the price of uranium in 2006 would be $43 per pound,6 while the price of one SWU would be $127. Like
  • 29. most commodities, there was substantial volatility of uranium and SWU prices as supply and demand pressures changed over time. On average, the best guess regarding future prices was that uranium and SWU would increase with inflation. These market prices were important to USEC because its customers paid the prevailing price for SWU, which in turn determined USEC’s revenues. The American Centrifuge Project The ACP was an attempt by USEC to leapfrog over the technology of its competitors. USEC expected the cost efficiencies of the new technology to position it as a low-cost producer in the enrichment industry; however, the cost advantage would come at a high cost as the massive scale of the undertaking was expected to cost $1.7 billion during the next five years. To date, USEC had spent only $100 million on the ACP. If USEC could contain the cost of the project, the remaining balance of $1.6 billion could be spent during the next five years as shown
  • 30. in Table 1. Table 1. Projected five-year USEC spending ($ millions). 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 $185 $300 $350 $350 $415 5 When the centrifuge plant was in full operation and the Paducah plant was in cold standby, the Portsmouth plant would be shut down. 6 Raw uranium was quoted and traded per pound, whereas an SWU depended upon the degree of enrichment of the uranium, as well as the amount of raw uranium in the process. On average, however, it was estimated that USEC used approximately one pound of uranium to produce one SWU. DardenBusinessPublishing:219979 P le as e do
  • 35. rs it y- F ox S ch oo l of B us in es s. Page 4 of 11 UVA-F-1546 -5- If construction remained on schedule, the facility would be ready in late 2010, and the plant fully operational by early 2011, at which time the Paducah
  • 36. plant would begin to be scaled down. The ACP would be depreciated starting in 2011, using the straight-line method during its expected useful life of 15 years, at which time the plant would have zero salvage value. USEC expected the plant to produce 2.5 million SWU in 2011, increase production by 2 million SWU during the next two years, and reach its maximum capacity at 6.5 million SWU in 2013. Management was confident that enrichment demand would ensure that USEC would be able to produce at full capacity. Selling, general, and administrative expenses were expected to rise according to the increased revenues produced by the ACP. USEC estimated that the electricity required for enrichment would be reduced by 95%, so that the overall enrichment costs would be cut by 50%, relative to the existing gas-diffusion process. For the longer term, management expected the enrichment costs for the ACP would increase with inflation. The company expected to pay a royalty of 1% of gross revenue to the DOE as compensation for its initial research and development of the centrifuge technology. After completion, the
  • 37. ACP would require a minimal level of maintenance investment. The Decision Mackovjak had most of the information he needed to value the ACP, although he still thought he needed a few important assumptions to complete the analysis. In particular, he wanted to determine a market-risk premium, a long-term inflation rate, and the net working-capital requirements of the ACP. During his first year in the Darden MBA program, Mackovjak had made these types of assumptions repeatedly, so he was confident that a market-risk premium in the range of 5% to 6% was a reasonable estimate. Picking an inflation rate and estimating working capital, however, were not as familiar to him. Estimating the long-term inflation rate was troublesome because inflation rates were often volatile and using an incorrect inflation forecast could lead to a significant valuation error.
  • 38. Mackovjak knew that he needed to consult someone knowledgeable about inflation and decided to contact his Darden professor, Dr. Peter Rodriguez. Rodriguez had studied at Princeton under Dr. Ben Bernanke, currently serving as the chairman of the Federal Reserve. Mackovjak thought that Rodriguez would know what Bernanke considered a reasonable inflation rate, and he was certain that the dedicated professor would still be in his office on a Friday evening. Sure enough, Mackovjak reached Rodriguez and, after a 45-minute conversation, learned that a reasonable long-term inflation assumption was 3%, which was consistent with current Treasury yields. To determine the net working-capital requirements of the ACP, Mackovjak needed another highly qualified person, so he turned to Darden alum Craig Weise, who was a senior analyst at Rivanna Capital and had assisted on parts of the USEC research. Weise judged that the ACP would require net working capital equal to 5% of sales. This surprised Mackovjak who had initially thought that a number twice as large was appropriate; however, now he understood why
  • 39. Weise had been named a Shermet Scholar, an award given only to the best Darden MBA students. Because Shermets were well known for their net working-capital estimates and because he wanted to stay in Weise’s good graces, Mackovjak decided to defer to him and use 5% of DardenBusinessPublishing:219979 P le as e do n ot c op y or r ed is tr ib ut
  • 44. us in es s. Page 5 of 11 UVA-F-1546 -6- sales for his working-capital assumption. For information on capital-market conditions, see Exhibit 5. It was now midnight and Concourse A was almost completely deserted. The Red Sox had won in the 10th inning. His flight had been rescheduled for the following morning. The last place to buy food had closed, rendering Mackovjak’s $5 food voucher essentially worthless. As he left the airport for his comped hotel room, feeling tired and defeated, Mackovjak wondered if there was more to the USEC story than just a discounted cash-flow valuation of the ACP.
  • 50. UVA-F-1546 -7- Exhibit 1 USEC INC. Income Statement as of December 31 (in millions of dollars) 2005 2004 2003 2002 Total revenue $1,559.3 $1,417.2 $1,436.7 $1,380.2 Cost of goods sold* 1,430.6 1,279.9 1,319.1 1,305.6 Selling, general and administrative 61.9 64.1 69.4 54.1 Operating profit 66.8 73.2 48.2 20.5 Interest expense (40.0) (40.5) (38.4) (36.5) Other, net 10.5 3.9 5.4 7.0 Net income before taxes 37.3 36.6 15.2 (9.0) Provision for income taxes 15.0 13.1 6.2 (5.0)
  • 51. Net income after taxes 22.3 23.5 9.0 (4.0) Net income per share** $0.26 $0.28 $0.11 ($0.05) Dividends per share $0.55 $0.55 $0.55 $0.55 * Includes depreciation expense as: $35.0 $31.8 $29.3 $23.9 ** Using weighted average shares outstanding as: 86.1 84.1 82.2 81.4 DardenBusinessPublishing:219979 P le as e do n ot c op y or r ed
  • 56. l of B us in es s. Page 7 of 11 UVA-F-1546 -8- Exhibit 2 USEC INC. Balance Sheet as of December 31 (in millions of dollars) 2005 2004 2003 2002 Cash and short-term investments 276.9 174.8 249.1 171.1 Accounts receivable—trade, net 256.7 238.5 254.5 225.4
  • 57. Inventories 961.6 992.2 860.9 839.6 Deferred income tax and other 120.5 83.4 100.3 51.6 Total current assets 1,615.7 1,488.9 1,464.8 1,287.7 Net property/plant/equipment 171.2 178.0 185.1 190.9 Goodwill, net 11.1 4.3 -- -- Other long-term assets 282.8 332.2 484.9 570.9 Total assets 2,080.8 2,003.4 2,134.8 2,049.5 Accounts payable 217.4 202.3 189.4 218.5 Customer advances 99.0 73.3 68.3 45.0 Other payables 111.6 89.7 197.5 106.6 Total current liabilities 428.0 365.3 455.2 370.1 Long-term debt 475.0 475.0 500.0 500.0 Pension benefits—underfunded 153.9 145.2 138.1 137.8 Deferred income tax and other 116.3 99.2 117.9 127.2 Total liabilities 1,173.2 1,084.7 1,211.2 1,135.1 Common stock, total 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0
  • 58. Additional paid-in-capital 970.6 963.9 1,009.0 1,054.8 Treasury stock (99.5) (109.2) (127.7) (133.5) Retained earnings (accumulated deficit) 26.5 54.0 32.3 (16.9) Total equity 907.6 918.7 923.6 914.4 Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity 2,080.8 2,003.4 2,134.8 2,049.5 DardenBusinessPublishing:219979 P le as e do n ot c op y or r ed is
  • 63. of B us in es s. Page 8 of 11 UVA-F-1546 -9- Exhibit 3 USEC INC. Net Working-Capital Liquidation Value (in millions of dollars) Book Market Cash and short-term investments 276.9 276.9 Accounts receivable—trade, net 256.7 256.7 Megatons to megawatts inventory* 580.0 1,247.0
  • 64. Other inventory (SWU, uranium, etc.) 381.6 381.6 Total current assets $1,495.2 $2,162.2 Accounts payable 217.4 217.4 Customer advances 99.0 99.0 Other payables 111.6 111.6 Total current liabilities $428.0 $428.0 Net working capital $1,067.2 $1,734.2 Less debt ($475.0) ($437.8) Less pension underfunding ($153.9) ($153.9) Liquidation value $438.3 $1,142.5 Liquidation value/share $5.1 $13.1 Premium over current stock price ($10.8) −53% 22% *Book value of uranium computed as 29 million equivalent pounds × $20/lb. = $580 million. Market value of uranium computed as 29 million equivalent pounds × $43/lb. = $1,247 million.
  • 70. UVA-F-1546 -10- Exhibit 4 USEC INC. Uranium and SWU Market Prices DardenBusinessPublishing:219979 P le as e do n ot c op y or r ed
  • 75. l of B us in es s. Page 10 of 11 UVA-F-1546 -11- Exhibit 5 USEC INC. Capital-Market Conditions (July 21, 2006) U.S. Treasury Bonds Rates Maturity Yield Last Week
  • 76. Last Month 6-month 5.02 5.03 5.20 3-year 5.02 5.05 5.17 5-year 4.98 5.02 5.13 10-year 5.04 5.06 5.15 30-year 5.09 5.11 5.19 USEC Public Debt Amount S&P Issue ($ millions) Rating YTM 7.75 % due 2015 475 B− 9.04% USEC Beta Five years of monthly data 1.30 Stock Price Performance Recent share price $10.80 USEC Inc. Stock Price
  • 82. Sheet1Your nameDave Dowdy, Mengting Xu, Stewart FishTU ID915139649 (DD), 915083951(MX), 914983343 (SF)Date10/28/15Calculating cost of equityCash flows of the debtMarket risk premium6%2006200720082009201020112012201320142015Bet a1.3$36.81$36.81$36.81$36.81$36.81$36.81$36.81$36.81$36.8 1$511.81Risk free rate5.09%Marekt value of debt$435.70Interest On Bond9.04%Cost of equity12.90%Calculating WACCMarket value of equity$929.90Market value of debt$435.70Total Value of E/D$1,365.60Tax rate40%WACC10.51%Initial Value of Capital Investment on ACPYear200520062007200820092010Capital Investment on ACP$100,000,000$185,000,000$300,000,000$350,000,000$350, 000,000$415,000,000Total Initial Value of Capital Investment$1,700,000,000Total Years15Depreciation Per Year$113,333,333Factors for Projections (From Case)Inflation Rate3%Royalty Rate1%SG&A Percent of Revenue4%NWC % of Sales5%For 2006:SWU Price$127Price of 1 Pound of Uranium$43Enrichment Cost of One SWU$21Projections on Individual Factors (Formula Based)Year2011201220132014201520162017201820192020202 12022202320242025Price of One SWU$147.23$151.64$156.19$160.88$165.71$170.68$175.80$1 81.07$186.50$192.10$197.86$203.80$209.91$216.21$222.70Pri ce of Uranium per Pound$49.85$51.34$52.88$54.47$56.11$57.79$59.52$61.31$63 .15$65.04$66.99$69.00$71.07$73.20$75.40Enrichment Cost per SWU$24.34$25.08$25.83$26.60$27.40$28.22$29.07$29.94$30. 84$31.76$32.72$33.70$34.71$35.75$36.82Calculating cash flows of ACPYear200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152 016201720182019202020212022202320242025Units of SWU sold2,500,0004,500,0006,500,0006,500,0006,500,0006,500,000
  • 83. 6,500,0006,500,0006,500,0006,500,0006,500,0006,500,0006,50 0,0006,500,0006,500,000Gross revenue$368,069,519$682,400,887$1,015,260,876$1,045,718,70 2$1,077,090,263$1,109,402,971$1,142,685,060$1,176,965,612$ 1,212,274,580$1,248,642,818$1,286,102,102$1,324,685,165$1, 364,425,720$1,405,358,492$1,447,519,247Net revenue$364,388,823$675,576,879$1,005,108,267$1,035,261,51 5$1,066,319,361$1,098,308,941$1,131,258,210$1,165,195,956$ 1,200,151,835$1,236,156,390$1,273,241,081$1,311,438,314$1, 350,781,463$1,391,304,907$1,433,044,054Cost of uranium$124,621,963$231,049,119$343,749,745$354,062,238$ 364,684,105$375,624,628$386,893,367$398,500,168$410,455,1 73$422,768,828$435,451,893$448,515,450$461,970,913$475,83 0,041$490,104,942Cost of enrichment$60,861,889$112,837,942$167,877,783$172,914,116 $178,101,540$183,444,586$188,947,923$194,616,361$200,454, 852$206,468,497$212,662,552$219,042,429$225,613,702$232,3 82,113$239,353,576Depreciation$113,333,333$113,333,333$11 3,333,333$113,333,333$113,333,333$113,333,333$113,333,333 $113,333,333$113,333,333$113,333,333$113,333,333$113,333, 333$113,333,333$113,333,333$113,333,333Cost of goods sold$298,817,185$457,220,395$624,960,861$640,309,687$656, 118,978$672,402,547$689,174,624$706,449,862$724,243,358$7 42,570,659$761,447,779$780,891,212$800,917,948$821,545,48 7$842,791,851SG&A$14,575,553$27,023,075$40,204,331$41,4 10,461$42,652,774$43,932,358$45,250,328$46,607,838$48,006 ,073$49,446,256$50,929,643$52,457,533$54,031,259$55,652,1 96$57,321,762EBIT$50,996,085$191,333,409$339,943,075$353 ,541,367$367,547,608$381,974,037$396,833,258$412,138,255$ 427,902,403$444,139,475$460,863,659$478,089,569$495,832,2 56$514,107,224$532,930,441Taxes$20,398,434$76,533,363$13 5,977,230$141,416,547$147,019,043$152,789,615$158,733,303 $164,855,302$171,160,961$177,655,790$184,345,464$191,235, 828$198,332,903$205,642,890$213,172,176Net income$30,597,651$114,800,045$203,965,845$212,124,820$22 0,528,565$229,184,422$238,099,955$247,282,953$256,741,442
  • 84. $266,483,685$276,518,196$286,853,742$297,499,354$308,464, 334$319,758,264Operating cash flow$143,930,984$228,133,379$317,299,178$325,458,154$333, 861,898$342,517,755$351,433,288$360,616,287$370,074,775$3 79,817,018$389,851,529$400,187,075$410,832,687$421,797,66 8$433,091,598Net working capital$25,000,000$18,403,476$34,120,044$50,763,044$52,285 ,935$53,854,513$55,470,149$57,134,253$58,848,281$60,613,7 29$62,432,141$64,305,105$66,234,258$68,221,286$70,267,925 $0Change in net working captial0- $6,596,524$15,716,568$16,642,999$1,522,891$1,568,578$1,61 5,635$1,664,104$1,714,028$1,765,448$1,818,412$1,872,964$1, 929,153$1,987,028$2,046,639-$70,267,925Net capital spending$100,000,000$185,000,000$300,000,000$350,000,000$ 350,000,000$415,000,000Total cash flow of ACP- $100,000,000-$185,000,000-$300,000,000-$350,000,000- $350,000,000- $415,000,000$150,527,509$212,416,810$300,656,179$323,935, 262$332,293,320$340,902,120$349,769,184$358,902,259$368,3 09,327$377,998,607$387,978,565$398,257,922$408,845,659$41 9,751,029$503,359,522NPV$639,084,481.23IRR11.96%