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1Genworth MI Canada Inc.
June 2016
Proven Business Model
2Genworth MI Canada Inc.
Forward-looking and
non-IFRS statements
DRIVING VALUE THROUGH CUSTOMIZED SERVICE EXPERIENCE
Public communications, including oral or written communications such as this document, relating to Genworth MI Canada Inc. (the
“Company”, “Genworth Canada” or “MIC”) often contain certain forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements
include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to the Company’s future operating and financial results, expectations
regarding premiums written, losses on claims and investment income, the Canadian housing market, and other statements that are
not historical facts. These forward-looking statements may be identified by their use of words such as “may”, “would”, “could”, “will,”
“intend”, “plan”, “anticipate”, “believe”, “seek”, “propose”, “estimate”, “expect”, and similar expressions. These statements are based
on the Company’s current assumptions, including assumptions regarding economic, global, political, business, competitive, market
and regulatory matters. These forward-looking statements are inherently subject to significant risks, uncertainties and changes in
circumstances, many of which are beyond the control of the Company. The Company’s actual results may differ materially from
those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements, including as a result of changes in the facts underlying the
Company’s assumptions, and the other risks described in the Company’s most recently issued Annual Information Form,
Management’s Discussion and Analysis, its Short Form Base Shelf Prospectus dated June 18, 2014, the Prospectus Supplements
thereto, and all documents incorporated by reference in such documents. Management’s current views regarding the Company’s
financial outlook are stated as of the date hereof and may not be appropriate for other purposes. Other than as required by
applicable laws, the Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a
result of new information, future developments or otherwise.
To supplement its financial statements, the Company uses select non-IFRS financial measures. Non-IFRS financial measures
include net operating income, interest and dividend income (net of investment expenses), operating earnings per common share
(basic), operating earnings per common share (diluted), shareholders’ equity excluding accumulated other comprehensive income
(“AOCI”), operating return on equity and underwriting ratios such as loss ratio, expense ratio and combined ratio. The Company
believes that these non-IFRS financial measures provide meaningful supplemental information regarding its performance and may
be useful to investors because they allow for greater transparency with respect to key metrics used by management in its financial
and operational decision making. Non-IFRS measures do not have standardized meanings and are unlikely to be comparable to any
similar measures presented by other companies. These measures are defined in the Company’s glossary, which is posted on the
Company’s website at http://investor.genworthmicanada.ca. A reconciliation from non-IFRS financial measures to the most readily
comparable measures calculated in accordance with IFRS, where applicable can be found in the Company’s most recent
management’s discussion and analysis, which is posted on the Company’s website and is also available at www.sedar.com.
3Genworth MI Canada Inc.
$3.1 billion
Market capitalization*
92 million
Shares outstanding
$6.2 billion
Total assets
$3.5 billion
Shareholders’ equity
Genworth Canada overview
WHO WE ARE
LARGEST private residential
mortgage insurer in Canada
Helped ~1M+ families
achieve homeownership
Supported 250+
Canadian lenders
WHAT WE DO1
1 2
4 3
Mortgage Application
Mortgage Insurance
Application and Premium
Mortgage Loan Insurance Contract
MARKET FACTS (Q1 2016)
• Mandatory for less than 20% down payment
• Covers 100% of loan, secured by property
• Upfront non-refundable premium
• Lender receives protection against loss from
mortgage default
• Capital relief for lenders
Homebuyer Mortgage lender
(originates mortgage)
Mortgage
insurer
Note: Company sources
1. Denotes transactional mortgage insurance.
*As at June 20th, 2016, Source: Bloomberg.
4Genworth MI Canada Inc.
Q1 2016 financial results
1.03
0.99 1.00
1.03
0.99
Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016
$MM except
ROE, EPS &
MCT
Q1
2016
Q4
2015
Q1
2015
Q/Q Y / Y
Premiums
written
$117 $213 $130 -45% -10%
Loss ratio 24% 23% 22% +1 pt +2 pts
Net Operating
Income
$91 $95 $97 -4% -6%
Operating ROE 11% 12% 12% -1% -1%
Operating EPS
(dil.)
$0.99 $1.03 $1.03 -4% -4%
MCT1 234% 234% 233% Flat +1 pt
Q1 key highlights
• Top-line constrained primarily due to targeted
underwriting changes and a smaller transactional
insurance market
• Loss ratio of 24%, below expected range
• Operating income -4% Q/Q, primarily due to
marginally higher combined ratio
• Ongoing capital strength with MCT ratio of 234%1
Operating EPS (diluted) Book Value Per Share (diluted, incl. AOCI2)
36.07 36.18 36.14 36.82 37.23
Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016
+3%
YoY
1. Q1 2016 MCT company estimate. MCT denotes ratio for operating insurance company.
2. Book value per share, diluted, including AOCI.
5Genworth MI Canada Inc.
Served market: first time homebuyers
Purchase price <300K >300K - <=500K >500K
NATIONALVANCOUVERTORONTOCALGARY
…and what our prudent home buyers purchase
What our prudent home buyer profile looks like…
53%
31%
11%
5%
<= 100K >100K - 150K >150K - 200K > 200K
55%
28%
13%
5%
<= 35 >35 - <= 45 >45 - <= 55 > 55
64% 12% 24% 40% 22% 38% 39% 29% 32% 67% 11% 22%
Detached Condo Row/Semi
3% immigrated
to Canada1
67% bought with
spouse/partner1
752 average
credit score2
Average
household
income
= $97K
Average
borrower age
= 36 years
Avg. price3
$427,634
Avg. price3
$326,967
Avg. price3
$461,688
Avg. price3
$406,113
Note: Company sources.
1. Jan16-Mar16 timeframe; Purchase Business only.
2. Credit score references the Q1 2016 YTD timeframe; Purchase Business only
3. Average price represents Greater Calgary Area, Greater Toronto Area and
Greater Vancouver Area as at 2016 YTD; Purchase Business only
6Genworth MI Canada Inc.
Drivers of losses on claims
UNEMPLOYMENT & PORTFOLIO QUALITY
DRIVE PROBABILITY OF DEFAULT
Sources: Statistics Canada, Canadian Bankers Association (CBA, annual average) and Company sources.
1. Based on Company’s estimate of outstanding balance of insured mortgages as at December 31, 2015 of $193B.
Mortgage arrears and
unemployment rate
2. Portfolio quality
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
0.0%
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
0.4%
0.5%
2002
2004
2005
2006
2007
2009
2010
2011
2012
2014
2015
Mortgage Arrears
UE Rate (R)
Strong correlation
49% 49%
67%
71%
76%
81%
87%
92%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Portfolio<=2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Portfolio 2015
> 20% Equity
O/S
Insured
Mortgage
Balances1
($B)
Transactional Segment
$76 $23 $9 $12 $14 $15 $20 $24
Transactional
Effective LTV
(National, as at December 31, 2015)
1. Unemployment 3. House prices
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
'07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15
MIC All Market All
Median house price appreciation
(‘$000s)
PRICE APPRECIATION & EFFECTIVE LTV
DRIVE LOSS GIVEN DEFAULT
7Genworth MI Canada Inc.
Insurance risk framework
• Portfolio analytics
• Identification of emerging
loss trends
• Dynamic underwriting
guidelines
• Proactive loss mitigation
• Comprehensive master
policy
Portfolio risk
management
• Underwriting fundamentals
• Risk limits and triggers
• Proprietary mortgage
scoring model
• Robust quality assurance
Manage the quality
of new business
RISK PILLARS
• Macro-economic
environment
• Housing market trends
• Regional risk factors
Identify & assess
key risks
Supportive
regulatory
framework
• Defined underwriting best practices (OSFI’s B20 / B21 support
safety and soundness)
• Borrower recourse
• Efficient and effective mortgage foreclosure process
REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
8Genworth MI Canada Inc.
Regional risk assessment
Note: Based on Company estimates.
Slowdown will pressure
delqs in Alberta &
Saskatchewan
Monitoring
housing risk in
GTA and GVA
Balanced risk profile
in Pacific, Quebec
and Ontario
Housingrisk
Economic riskLow High
High
GTA
GVA
Quebec
Alberta
Atlantic
Ontario
(ex GTA)
Prairies
Key Metrics
 Price-to-income
 Affordability
 Price growth
Key Metrics: GDP; UE Rate; Economic diversity
Pacific
(ex GVA)
9Genworth MI Canada Inc.
Portfolio quality improving
TRANSACTIONAL PORTFOLIO QUALITY SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVED COMPARED TO ‘07/08
Note: Company sources for transactional new insurance written.
Highlights
Steady credit score
improvement year-over-year
Modest home
price increases
Stable debt
servicing ratios
Credit score Average gross debt service ratio (%)Median home price (In ‘$000s)
16%
3%
716
751
'07
'08
'09
'10
'11
'12
'13
'14
'15
Q1'16
% Score <660 (R) Avg score (L)
24%
23%
22%
24%
25%
24%
23%
24%
24%
25%
'07
'08
'09
'10
'11
'12
'13
'14
'15
Q1'16
$225
$232
$240
$255
$270
$275
$280
$291
$295
$301
'07
'08
'09
'10
'11
'12
'13
'14
'15
Q1'16
10Genworth MI Canada Inc.
Delinquency performance
1,177
1,415
1,232
1,047
735 619 517 395 385 383
108
240
387
492
480
342
295
268 181 187
165
484
862 1,048
722
437
284
222 303 424
413
561
645 552
554
515
482
569 624
656
183
240
255 262
261
240
252
302 336
384
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q1 2016
Number of reported delinquencies
Loss
Ratio2 19% 31% 42% 33% 37% 33% 25% 20% 21% 24%
3,381 3,401
2,752
2,153
1,830 1,756 1,829
2,940
2,046
Ontario
BC
Alberta
Quebec
Other
Dec. 31, 2015
delinquency
rate1
0.31%
0.45%
0.22%
0.18%
0.10%
Note: Company sources.
1. Based on outstanding insured mortgages as at December 30, 2015
2. Loss ratio in 2009 excludes the impact of the change to the premium recognition curve in the first quarter of 2009.
2,034
EMERGING ALBERTA PRESSURE…. QUEBEC SHOWING SIGNS OF IMPROVING
0.21% Total
8%
61%
23%
8%
Portfolio insurance
Core transactional
products
Refinance >80%
LTV
100% LTV
Products
Eliminated
2010
delinquency
mix by
product
Elimination of higher risk products
11Genworth MI Canada Inc.
2016 annual loss ratio expectations
Regional Transactional NIW Dispersion
25% 27% 22% 20%
38% 38%
39% 42%
14% 12% 12% 11%
10% 12% 13% 15%
13% 12% 12% 12%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2013 2014 2015 Q1'16
Alberta Ontario Quebec B.C. Other
Average Credit Score
National 733 737 743 751
Alberta 730 734 740 751
Responsible Underwriting Actions
Enhanced borrower due diligence,
ensuring consumers can afford to stay
in homes for the long term
Increased underwriting due diligence
resulting in slightly smaller but better
quality Alberta portfolio in 2015/16
Increased appraisals and property
risk assessment, ensuring borrowers
are not over-leveraged
12Genworth MI Canada Inc.
Elevated risk: regional markets
Median Prices
(‘$000s)
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
1,100
1,200
'07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15
GNW Single GNW Condo
Market Single Market Condo
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
'07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15
GNW Single GNW Condo
Market Single Market Condo
Greater Vancouver
Note:
Company sources, except for market data based on Teranet, CREA and Statistics Canada.
Median price on transactional new insurance written for purchase transactions (excludes re-financings).
PRODUCT RESTRICTIONS AND AFFORDABILITY CONSTRAINTS HAVE CONTRIBUTED
TO MORE MODEST HOME PRICE APPRECIATION IN GENWORTH SERVED MARKET
Greater Toronto
13Genworth MI Canada Inc.
Loss performance & economic scenarios
MI PRICED TO COVER TYPICAL ECONOMIC CYCLE
Illustration:
Expected over
economic cycle
Stress
scenario
Unemployment rate
change over 5 years
1% to 2% increase 2% to 4% increase
Cumulative HPA /
HPD over 5 years
5% to 7% -15% to -20%
Loss ratio (national)
over 5 years
25% to 30% 60% to 70%
Note: Company estimates based upon historical data and performance trends; expected ranges are approximations.
Actual results may differ materially from those expressed above.
14Genworth MI Canada Inc.
Top line
$3.9 $3.4
$5.9 $4.5
$6.8 $4.1
~$22.0$8.3
$6.1
$6.2
$9.6
2015 Q1'16 2015 Q1'16
New insurance written ($ billions) Net premiums written ($ millions)
Note: Company sources.
$25.2 $25.7
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
New insurance written Net premiums written
Impact of lower transactional
new insurance written
partially offset by a higher
average premium rate
Portfolio insurance
premiums written primarily
reflect low LTVs and high
credit quality
Transactional Portfolio
$104 $99
$183
$236
$181
2015 Q1'16
$705 $104
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Transactional Portfolio
$26 $18
$22
$24
$32
2015 Q1'16
Reflects portfolio insurance NIW
in first three weeks of April 2016
Reflects portfolio insurance
premiums written in first three
weeks of April 2016
Targeted underwriting
changes and a smaller
transactional insurance market
have driven modestly lower
transactional NIW
Portfolio NIW….
strong pipeline
reflects increased
demand ahead of
July 1, 2016
regulatory change
Average premium rate
2.79% 2.91%
15Genworth MI Canada Inc.
Solid financial performance
$MM except EPS & BVPS Q1’16 Q4’15 Q1’15
Transactional premiums written $99 $181 $104
Portfolio premiums written 18 32 26
Total premiums written $117 $213 $130
Premiums earned 154 151 143
Losses on claims (37) (35) (31)
Expenses (28) (27) (24)
Underwriting income $88 $90 $87
Net investment income
(excl. realized gains / losses)
41 44 42
Net operating income $91 $95 $97
Operating EPS
(diluted)
$0.99 $1.03 $1.03
Book value per share
(diluted, incl. AOCI)
$37.23 $36.82 $36.07
Q1 highlights
• Transactional premiums written lower by
5% Y/Y
• Premiums earned increased Q/Q by
$3 million
• Loss ratio of 24%, up 1 pt Q/Q
• Net investment income down $2 million
Q/Q
• Net operating income down Y/Y, primarily
due to an increase in the corporate tax
rate and a $5 million non-recurring
favourable tax item in Q1 2015
• Book value per share up 3% Y/Y
Note: Amounts may not total due to rounding.
16Genworth MI Canada Inc.
Solid underwriting profitability
87 90 89 90 88
24 29 28 27 28
31 25 31 35 37
Q1' 15 Q2' 15 Q3' 15 Q4' 15 Q1' 16
Underwriting profitability ($ millions)
Underwriting
profit
Expenses
Losses on claims
Loss ratio 22% 17% 21% 23% 24%
Expense ratio 17% 20% 19% 18% 19%
Combined
ratio
39% 37% 40% 41% 42%
Premiums earned $151$143 $144 $148
2016 ANNUAL LOSS RATIO ESTIMATED RANGE: 25% TO 40%
$154
Avg. reserve
per delq.
($000’s)
$66.2 $69.8 $70.4 $71.9 $70.9
Highlights
Continued growth
in premiums
earned
New delinquencies net of cures increased by
81 Q/Q, primarily due to Alberta, partly offset by
a modest decrease in Ontario and Quebec
Loss ratio
marginally below
expected range
Solid underwriting
profitability with
42% combined ratio
New delinquencies net of cures by region
114
59 105 96 77
52
38
42 31 40
47
43
75 89
183
130
119
116 156
13876
58
76
82
92
13
2
26
33
38
Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16
432 319 440 487 568
Ontario
Pacific2
Alberta
Quebec
Atlantic
Prairies1
1 Prairies includes MB and SK. 2 Pacific includes the Territories.
Total
17Genworth MI Canada Inc.
Strong balance sheet
($ millions) March 31, 2016 Dec. 31, 2015 Dec. 31, 2014
Assets
Cash and investments $ 5,872 $ 5,917 $ 5,472
Other assets 338 322 299
Total assets $ 6,211 $ 6,239 $ 5,771
Liabilities
Loss reserves 144 132 115
Unearned premiums 1,984 2,021 1,799
Other liabilities 621 666 585
Total liabilities 2,749 2,819 2,499
Shareholders’ equity
(incl. AOCI)
3,462 3,420 3,271
Total liabilities and
shareholders’ equity
$ 6,211 $ 6,239 $ 5,771
234% MCT Ratio
vs. Holding Target
of 220%
Strong capital
position with MCT
modestly above
220% holding
target
$2.0 billion of
unearned
premiums
represents future
revenues
High quality
investment
portfolio 95%
investment grade
fixed income
18Genworth MI Canada Inc.
Federals
Provincials
Preferred shares
Emerging markets debt3
Investment grade
corporates2
Cash4
33%
17%
35%
5%
5%
5%
Investments contribute steady
income
Duration: 3.7 years
Book yield: 3.1%1
Invested assets
(C$ millions, unless noted)
Note: Company sources.
1. Represents market value. Book yield represents pre-tax equivalent book yield after dividend gross-up of portfolio (as at Mar. 31, 2016).
2. Market value, includes CLOs. 3. 99% Investment grade. 4. Cash includes short-term investments.
Total Invested Assets ($5.9B portfolio1) Net Investment Income ($ millions)
$5,917
$5,867
LOW RATES CONTINUE TO PRESSURE INVESTMENT
YIELD…FOCUS ON OPTIMIZING YIELD WITHIN RISK APPETITE
$353 million of
maturities over
remainder of 2016
5,641 5,633
276 235
Q4 2015 Q1 2016
Book value
Net
unrealized
gain
$5.9B $5.9B
43.8
41.5
Q4 2015 Q1 2016
19Genworth MI Canada Inc.
2,396
449 436
569 570
219 217
December 31st,
2015
March 31st, 2016
Capital management
INTEND TO OPERATE IN THE 225-230% MCT RANGE,
PENDING FINALIZATION OF THE CAPITAL FRAMEWORK
Regulatory capital at 220% MCT holding target
(by risk category, $ millions)
Flexibility Efficiency
Strength
Note: Company sources. 1. Market risk includes interest rate, credit, equity risk, and foreign exchange risk.
MCT denotes ratio for operating insurance company. 1Q16 MCT based on company estimates.
2. Represents liquid investments and cash held in addition to capital in operating insurance company.
• MCT ratio of 234%:
• Introduced interest rate hedging
program
• Strong portfolio insurance
pipeline for second quarter
• New capital framework for
insurance risk under development
for implementation in 2017:
• More risk sensitive
• No expected change in overall
level of capital held
• Renewing Normal Course Issuer
Bid
Highlights
3,633 3,636
Insurance Risk
Market Risk1
Operational Risk
Capital in
excess of 220%
MCT 234% 234%
Holdco
cash2
($ millions)
$121 $173
2,413
20Genworth MI Canada Inc.
Keen focus on risk management
Proactive loss mitigation
programs
Investing in our customer
experience strategy
Key takeaways
Proven
business model
has positioned
MIC for
future
performance
Balanced approach to writing
new business
21Genworth MI Canada Inc.
investor@genworth.cominvestor.genworthmicanada.ca
Investor Relations
Jonathan A. Pinto, MBA, LL.M
Vice President, Investor Relations
jonathan.pinto@genworth.com905.287.5482

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Genworth canada investor-presentation-june2016

  • 1. 1Genworth MI Canada Inc. June 2016 Proven Business Model
  • 2. 2Genworth MI Canada Inc. Forward-looking and non-IFRS statements DRIVING VALUE THROUGH CUSTOMIZED SERVICE EXPERIENCE Public communications, including oral or written communications such as this document, relating to Genworth MI Canada Inc. (the “Company”, “Genworth Canada” or “MIC”) often contain certain forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to the Company’s future operating and financial results, expectations regarding premiums written, losses on claims and investment income, the Canadian housing market, and other statements that are not historical facts. These forward-looking statements may be identified by their use of words such as “may”, “would”, “could”, “will,” “intend”, “plan”, “anticipate”, “believe”, “seek”, “propose”, “estimate”, “expect”, and similar expressions. These statements are based on the Company’s current assumptions, including assumptions regarding economic, global, political, business, competitive, market and regulatory matters. These forward-looking statements are inherently subject to significant risks, uncertainties and changes in circumstances, many of which are beyond the control of the Company. The Company’s actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements, including as a result of changes in the facts underlying the Company’s assumptions, and the other risks described in the Company’s most recently issued Annual Information Form, Management’s Discussion and Analysis, its Short Form Base Shelf Prospectus dated June 18, 2014, the Prospectus Supplements thereto, and all documents incorporated by reference in such documents. Management’s current views regarding the Company’s financial outlook are stated as of the date hereof and may not be appropriate for other purposes. Other than as required by applicable laws, the Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise. To supplement its financial statements, the Company uses select non-IFRS financial measures. Non-IFRS financial measures include net operating income, interest and dividend income (net of investment expenses), operating earnings per common share (basic), operating earnings per common share (diluted), shareholders’ equity excluding accumulated other comprehensive income (“AOCI”), operating return on equity and underwriting ratios such as loss ratio, expense ratio and combined ratio. The Company believes that these non-IFRS financial measures provide meaningful supplemental information regarding its performance and may be useful to investors because they allow for greater transparency with respect to key metrics used by management in its financial and operational decision making. Non-IFRS measures do not have standardized meanings and are unlikely to be comparable to any similar measures presented by other companies. These measures are defined in the Company’s glossary, which is posted on the Company’s website at http://investor.genworthmicanada.ca. A reconciliation from non-IFRS financial measures to the most readily comparable measures calculated in accordance with IFRS, where applicable can be found in the Company’s most recent management’s discussion and analysis, which is posted on the Company’s website and is also available at www.sedar.com.
  • 3. 3Genworth MI Canada Inc. $3.1 billion Market capitalization* 92 million Shares outstanding $6.2 billion Total assets $3.5 billion Shareholders’ equity Genworth Canada overview WHO WE ARE LARGEST private residential mortgage insurer in Canada Helped ~1M+ families achieve homeownership Supported 250+ Canadian lenders WHAT WE DO1 1 2 4 3 Mortgage Application Mortgage Insurance Application and Premium Mortgage Loan Insurance Contract MARKET FACTS (Q1 2016) • Mandatory for less than 20% down payment • Covers 100% of loan, secured by property • Upfront non-refundable premium • Lender receives protection against loss from mortgage default • Capital relief for lenders Homebuyer Mortgage lender (originates mortgage) Mortgage insurer Note: Company sources 1. Denotes transactional mortgage insurance. *As at June 20th, 2016, Source: Bloomberg.
  • 4. 4Genworth MI Canada Inc. Q1 2016 financial results 1.03 0.99 1.00 1.03 0.99 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 $MM except ROE, EPS & MCT Q1 2016 Q4 2015 Q1 2015 Q/Q Y / Y Premiums written $117 $213 $130 -45% -10% Loss ratio 24% 23% 22% +1 pt +2 pts Net Operating Income $91 $95 $97 -4% -6% Operating ROE 11% 12% 12% -1% -1% Operating EPS (dil.) $0.99 $1.03 $1.03 -4% -4% MCT1 234% 234% 233% Flat +1 pt Q1 key highlights • Top-line constrained primarily due to targeted underwriting changes and a smaller transactional insurance market • Loss ratio of 24%, below expected range • Operating income -4% Q/Q, primarily due to marginally higher combined ratio • Ongoing capital strength with MCT ratio of 234%1 Operating EPS (diluted) Book Value Per Share (diluted, incl. AOCI2) 36.07 36.18 36.14 36.82 37.23 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 +3% YoY 1. Q1 2016 MCT company estimate. MCT denotes ratio for operating insurance company. 2. Book value per share, diluted, including AOCI.
  • 5. 5Genworth MI Canada Inc. Served market: first time homebuyers Purchase price <300K >300K - <=500K >500K NATIONALVANCOUVERTORONTOCALGARY …and what our prudent home buyers purchase What our prudent home buyer profile looks like… 53% 31% 11% 5% <= 100K >100K - 150K >150K - 200K > 200K 55% 28% 13% 5% <= 35 >35 - <= 45 >45 - <= 55 > 55 64% 12% 24% 40% 22% 38% 39% 29% 32% 67% 11% 22% Detached Condo Row/Semi 3% immigrated to Canada1 67% bought with spouse/partner1 752 average credit score2 Average household income = $97K Average borrower age = 36 years Avg. price3 $427,634 Avg. price3 $326,967 Avg. price3 $461,688 Avg. price3 $406,113 Note: Company sources. 1. Jan16-Mar16 timeframe; Purchase Business only. 2. Credit score references the Q1 2016 YTD timeframe; Purchase Business only 3. Average price represents Greater Calgary Area, Greater Toronto Area and Greater Vancouver Area as at 2016 YTD; Purchase Business only
  • 6. 6Genworth MI Canada Inc. Drivers of losses on claims UNEMPLOYMENT & PORTFOLIO QUALITY DRIVE PROBABILITY OF DEFAULT Sources: Statistics Canada, Canadian Bankers Association (CBA, annual average) and Company sources. 1. Based on Company’s estimate of outstanding balance of insured mortgages as at December 31, 2015 of $193B. Mortgage arrears and unemployment rate 2. Portfolio quality 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 2002 2004 2005 2006 2007 2009 2010 2011 2012 2014 2015 Mortgage Arrears UE Rate (R) Strong correlation 49% 49% 67% 71% 76% 81% 87% 92% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Portfolio<=2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Portfolio 2015 > 20% Equity O/S Insured Mortgage Balances1 ($B) Transactional Segment $76 $23 $9 $12 $14 $15 $20 $24 Transactional Effective LTV (National, as at December 31, 2015) 1. Unemployment 3. House prices 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 MIC All Market All Median house price appreciation (‘$000s) PRICE APPRECIATION & EFFECTIVE LTV DRIVE LOSS GIVEN DEFAULT
  • 7. 7Genworth MI Canada Inc. Insurance risk framework • Portfolio analytics • Identification of emerging loss trends • Dynamic underwriting guidelines • Proactive loss mitigation • Comprehensive master policy Portfolio risk management • Underwriting fundamentals • Risk limits and triggers • Proprietary mortgage scoring model • Robust quality assurance Manage the quality of new business RISK PILLARS • Macro-economic environment • Housing market trends • Regional risk factors Identify & assess key risks Supportive regulatory framework • Defined underwriting best practices (OSFI’s B20 / B21 support safety and soundness) • Borrower recourse • Efficient and effective mortgage foreclosure process REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
  • 8. 8Genworth MI Canada Inc. Regional risk assessment Note: Based on Company estimates. Slowdown will pressure delqs in Alberta & Saskatchewan Monitoring housing risk in GTA and GVA Balanced risk profile in Pacific, Quebec and Ontario Housingrisk Economic riskLow High High GTA GVA Quebec Alberta Atlantic Ontario (ex GTA) Prairies Key Metrics  Price-to-income  Affordability  Price growth Key Metrics: GDP; UE Rate; Economic diversity Pacific (ex GVA)
  • 9. 9Genworth MI Canada Inc. Portfolio quality improving TRANSACTIONAL PORTFOLIO QUALITY SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVED COMPARED TO ‘07/08 Note: Company sources for transactional new insurance written. Highlights Steady credit score improvement year-over-year Modest home price increases Stable debt servicing ratios Credit score Average gross debt service ratio (%)Median home price (In ‘$000s) 16% 3% 716 751 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 Q1'16 % Score <660 (R) Avg score (L) 24% 23% 22% 24% 25% 24% 23% 24% 24% 25% '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 Q1'16 $225 $232 $240 $255 $270 $275 $280 $291 $295 $301 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 Q1'16
  • 10. 10Genworth MI Canada Inc. Delinquency performance 1,177 1,415 1,232 1,047 735 619 517 395 385 383 108 240 387 492 480 342 295 268 181 187 165 484 862 1,048 722 437 284 222 303 424 413 561 645 552 554 515 482 569 624 656 183 240 255 262 261 240 252 302 336 384 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q1 2016 Number of reported delinquencies Loss Ratio2 19% 31% 42% 33% 37% 33% 25% 20% 21% 24% 3,381 3,401 2,752 2,153 1,830 1,756 1,829 2,940 2,046 Ontario BC Alberta Quebec Other Dec. 31, 2015 delinquency rate1 0.31% 0.45% 0.22% 0.18% 0.10% Note: Company sources. 1. Based on outstanding insured mortgages as at December 30, 2015 2. Loss ratio in 2009 excludes the impact of the change to the premium recognition curve in the first quarter of 2009. 2,034 EMERGING ALBERTA PRESSURE…. QUEBEC SHOWING SIGNS OF IMPROVING 0.21% Total 8% 61% 23% 8% Portfolio insurance Core transactional products Refinance >80% LTV 100% LTV Products Eliminated 2010 delinquency mix by product Elimination of higher risk products
  • 11. 11Genworth MI Canada Inc. 2016 annual loss ratio expectations Regional Transactional NIW Dispersion 25% 27% 22% 20% 38% 38% 39% 42% 14% 12% 12% 11% 10% 12% 13% 15% 13% 12% 12% 12% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2013 2014 2015 Q1'16 Alberta Ontario Quebec B.C. Other Average Credit Score National 733 737 743 751 Alberta 730 734 740 751 Responsible Underwriting Actions Enhanced borrower due diligence, ensuring consumers can afford to stay in homes for the long term Increased underwriting due diligence resulting in slightly smaller but better quality Alberta portfolio in 2015/16 Increased appraisals and property risk assessment, ensuring borrowers are not over-leveraged
  • 12. 12Genworth MI Canada Inc. Elevated risk: regional markets Median Prices (‘$000s) 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 1,100 1,200 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 GNW Single GNW Condo Market Single Market Condo 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 GNW Single GNW Condo Market Single Market Condo Greater Vancouver Note: Company sources, except for market data based on Teranet, CREA and Statistics Canada. Median price on transactional new insurance written for purchase transactions (excludes re-financings). PRODUCT RESTRICTIONS AND AFFORDABILITY CONSTRAINTS HAVE CONTRIBUTED TO MORE MODEST HOME PRICE APPRECIATION IN GENWORTH SERVED MARKET Greater Toronto
  • 13. 13Genworth MI Canada Inc. Loss performance & economic scenarios MI PRICED TO COVER TYPICAL ECONOMIC CYCLE Illustration: Expected over economic cycle Stress scenario Unemployment rate change over 5 years 1% to 2% increase 2% to 4% increase Cumulative HPA / HPD over 5 years 5% to 7% -15% to -20% Loss ratio (national) over 5 years 25% to 30% 60% to 70% Note: Company estimates based upon historical data and performance trends; expected ranges are approximations. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed above.
  • 14. 14Genworth MI Canada Inc. Top line $3.9 $3.4 $5.9 $4.5 $6.8 $4.1 ~$22.0$8.3 $6.1 $6.2 $9.6 2015 Q1'16 2015 Q1'16 New insurance written ($ billions) Net premiums written ($ millions) Note: Company sources. $25.2 $25.7 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 New insurance written Net premiums written Impact of lower transactional new insurance written partially offset by a higher average premium rate Portfolio insurance premiums written primarily reflect low LTVs and high credit quality Transactional Portfolio $104 $99 $183 $236 $181 2015 Q1'16 $705 $104 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Transactional Portfolio $26 $18 $22 $24 $32 2015 Q1'16 Reflects portfolio insurance NIW in first three weeks of April 2016 Reflects portfolio insurance premiums written in first three weeks of April 2016 Targeted underwriting changes and a smaller transactional insurance market have driven modestly lower transactional NIW Portfolio NIW…. strong pipeline reflects increased demand ahead of July 1, 2016 regulatory change Average premium rate 2.79% 2.91%
  • 15. 15Genworth MI Canada Inc. Solid financial performance $MM except EPS & BVPS Q1’16 Q4’15 Q1’15 Transactional premiums written $99 $181 $104 Portfolio premiums written 18 32 26 Total premiums written $117 $213 $130 Premiums earned 154 151 143 Losses on claims (37) (35) (31) Expenses (28) (27) (24) Underwriting income $88 $90 $87 Net investment income (excl. realized gains / losses) 41 44 42 Net operating income $91 $95 $97 Operating EPS (diluted) $0.99 $1.03 $1.03 Book value per share (diluted, incl. AOCI) $37.23 $36.82 $36.07 Q1 highlights • Transactional premiums written lower by 5% Y/Y • Premiums earned increased Q/Q by $3 million • Loss ratio of 24%, up 1 pt Q/Q • Net investment income down $2 million Q/Q • Net operating income down Y/Y, primarily due to an increase in the corporate tax rate and a $5 million non-recurring favourable tax item in Q1 2015 • Book value per share up 3% Y/Y Note: Amounts may not total due to rounding.
  • 16. 16Genworth MI Canada Inc. Solid underwriting profitability 87 90 89 90 88 24 29 28 27 28 31 25 31 35 37 Q1' 15 Q2' 15 Q3' 15 Q4' 15 Q1' 16 Underwriting profitability ($ millions) Underwriting profit Expenses Losses on claims Loss ratio 22% 17% 21% 23% 24% Expense ratio 17% 20% 19% 18% 19% Combined ratio 39% 37% 40% 41% 42% Premiums earned $151$143 $144 $148 2016 ANNUAL LOSS RATIO ESTIMATED RANGE: 25% TO 40% $154 Avg. reserve per delq. ($000’s) $66.2 $69.8 $70.4 $71.9 $70.9 Highlights Continued growth in premiums earned New delinquencies net of cures increased by 81 Q/Q, primarily due to Alberta, partly offset by a modest decrease in Ontario and Quebec Loss ratio marginally below expected range Solid underwriting profitability with 42% combined ratio New delinquencies net of cures by region 114 59 105 96 77 52 38 42 31 40 47 43 75 89 183 130 119 116 156 13876 58 76 82 92 13 2 26 33 38 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 432 319 440 487 568 Ontario Pacific2 Alberta Quebec Atlantic Prairies1 1 Prairies includes MB and SK. 2 Pacific includes the Territories. Total
  • 17. 17Genworth MI Canada Inc. Strong balance sheet ($ millions) March 31, 2016 Dec. 31, 2015 Dec. 31, 2014 Assets Cash and investments $ 5,872 $ 5,917 $ 5,472 Other assets 338 322 299 Total assets $ 6,211 $ 6,239 $ 5,771 Liabilities Loss reserves 144 132 115 Unearned premiums 1,984 2,021 1,799 Other liabilities 621 666 585 Total liabilities 2,749 2,819 2,499 Shareholders’ equity (incl. AOCI) 3,462 3,420 3,271 Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity $ 6,211 $ 6,239 $ 5,771 234% MCT Ratio vs. Holding Target of 220% Strong capital position with MCT modestly above 220% holding target $2.0 billion of unearned premiums represents future revenues High quality investment portfolio 95% investment grade fixed income
  • 18. 18Genworth MI Canada Inc. Federals Provincials Preferred shares Emerging markets debt3 Investment grade corporates2 Cash4 33% 17% 35% 5% 5% 5% Investments contribute steady income Duration: 3.7 years Book yield: 3.1%1 Invested assets (C$ millions, unless noted) Note: Company sources. 1. Represents market value. Book yield represents pre-tax equivalent book yield after dividend gross-up of portfolio (as at Mar. 31, 2016). 2. Market value, includes CLOs. 3. 99% Investment grade. 4. Cash includes short-term investments. Total Invested Assets ($5.9B portfolio1) Net Investment Income ($ millions) $5,917 $5,867 LOW RATES CONTINUE TO PRESSURE INVESTMENT YIELD…FOCUS ON OPTIMIZING YIELD WITHIN RISK APPETITE $353 million of maturities over remainder of 2016 5,641 5,633 276 235 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Book value Net unrealized gain $5.9B $5.9B 43.8 41.5 Q4 2015 Q1 2016
  • 19. 19Genworth MI Canada Inc. 2,396 449 436 569 570 219 217 December 31st, 2015 March 31st, 2016 Capital management INTEND TO OPERATE IN THE 225-230% MCT RANGE, PENDING FINALIZATION OF THE CAPITAL FRAMEWORK Regulatory capital at 220% MCT holding target (by risk category, $ millions) Flexibility Efficiency Strength Note: Company sources. 1. Market risk includes interest rate, credit, equity risk, and foreign exchange risk. MCT denotes ratio for operating insurance company. 1Q16 MCT based on company estimates. 2. Represents liquid investments and cash held in addition to capital in operating insurance company. • MCT ratio of 234%: • Introduced interest rate hedging program • Strong portfolio insurance pipeline for second quarter • New capital framework for insurance risk under development for implementation in 2017: • More risk sensitive • No expected change in overall level of capital held • Renewing Normal Course Issuer Bid Highlights 3,633 3,636 Insurance Risk Market Risk1 Operational Risk Capital in excess of 220% MCT 234% 234% Holdco cash2 ($ millions) $121 $173 2,413
  • 20. 20Genworth MI Canada Inc. Keen focus on risk management Proactive loss mitigation programs Investing in our customer experience strategy Key takeaways Proven business model has positioned MIC for future performance Balanced approach to writing new business
  • 21. 21Genworth MI Canada Inc. investor@genworth.cominvestor.genworthmicanada.ca Investor Relations Jonathan A. Pinto, MBA, LL.M Vice President, Investor Relations jonathan.pinto@genworth.com905.287.5482