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Lecture 14
Macroeconomics
Exam 2
Friday March 8
Testing Center
Chapters 10-15
Two Problems
Unemployment
Inflation
Central Banks
Chapter 15
Chapter 15
Central Banks
Money Supplies
Fractional Reserve Banking
Reserve Ratio - Money Multiplier
Monetary Tools
Systemic Risks
Control
AD-AS Model
Jerome Powell
Chairman
Federal Reserve
Bank
Who is the
chairman of the
central bank in
your country?
AD
Real GDP Growth Rate
Inflation
Rate
π
LRAS
SRAS
Recession
Inflation
Negative Positive
Shift Left Shift Right
Aggregate
Supply
Curve
Bad weather Good weather
Higher oil price Lower Oil Price
Tech slump Tech boom
Higher business taxes or
regulations
Lower business taxes or regulation
War, Earthquake, Pandemic Smooth production
Aggregate
Demand
Curve
Slower Money Supply Growth Faster money Supply Growth
Fear Confidence
Reduced Wealth Increased Wealth
Higher Personal Taxes Lower Personal Taxes
Lower Government Spending Higher Government Spending
Decreased Export Growth Increased Export Growth
Increased Import Growth Decreased Import Growth
Negative Positive
Shift Left Shift Right
Aggregate
Supply
Curve
Bad weather Good weather
Higher oil price Lower Oil Price
Tech slump Tech boom
Higher business taxes or
regulations
Lower business taxes or regulation
War, Earthquake, Pandemic Smooth production
Aggregate
Demand
Curve
Slower Money Supply Growth Faster money Supply Growth
Fear Confidence
Reduced Wealth Increased Wealth
Higher Personal Taxes Lower Personal Taxes
Lower Government Spending Higher Government Spending
Decreased Export Growth Increased Export Growth
Increased Import Growth Decreased Import Growth
Federal Reserve Bank - FED
Money
Supply
U.S.
Treasury
Banks
Payment
System
Money Supply Tools
Excess
Reserves
Rate
Open
Market
Operations
Discount
Rate
Reserve
Ratio
Central Bank
Recession
Unemployment
Inflation
AD
Real GDP Growth Rate
Inflation
Rate
π
LRAS
SRAS
Recession
Inflation
Reserve Ratio
Fractional Reserve Banking
Money Multiplier
Reserve Ratio
Fraction of deposits
that must be held in
reserve
Money Multiplies as it is
spent and re-spent and re-
spent again and again…
RR = 1÷ MM
Money Multiplier
Reserve Ratio
RR = 1÷ MM
Money Multiplier
MM = 1÷ RR
Reserve
Ratio
Money
Multipler
100% 1
50% 2
20% 5
10% 10
5% 20
1% 100
Discount Rate
Rate the FED charges
member banks
Discount Rate
Currently 2.75%
Average 4.45%
(1950 - 2017)
Discount Rate
Discount Rate
Influences other rates
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
11%
12%
13%
14%
15%
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30
Time to Maturity
Interest
Rate
FED Changes
Discount Rate
Other Rates
Follow
Pattern?
Open Market
Operations
Buying and Selling
Financial Instruments
Banks
now have
more cash to
loan
Central Bank
Public Banks
Increase Money Supply?
Buy bonds for cash
Banks
now have less
cash to loan
Central Bank
Public Banks
Decrease Money Supply?
Sell bonds for cash
What do banks do with
extra money?
Excess Reserves
The FED will pay them
interest
Excess Reserves Interest
If the rate is high enough
you will leave it in the
bank.
Sets a floor
Quantity of Reserves
FED
Reserve
Interest
Rate
%
Supply
FED Rate
5%
7%
3%
10 155
Illiquid
No cash
Net worth to pay debt, but can’t
sell quick and without loss
Insolvent
No cash
No net worth to pay debt
Illiquid
Assets are frozen
Quantitive Easing
Buying lots of other
financial instruments.
Lots of illiquid assets
Lender of Last Resort
Bailouts
Problem
Recession
Shift AD to
Right
Inflation
Shift AD to Left
Tools
Increase
Money Supply
Decrease
Money Supply
Reserve Ratio Lower Raise
Discount Rate Lower Raise
Open Market
Operations
Buy Bonds
from the Banks
Sell Bonds
to the Banks
Excess Reserves
Interest Rate
Lower Raise
Central Banks
Independent
Political
Pressure
Accountable
Who do they
answer to?
The graph below shows the US economy in long run equilibrium
with a spending growth of 13 percent, a 9 percent inflation rate, and
a 4 percent real GDP growth. 
Step 1: Suppose that to reduce inflation the Fed permanently
decreased money supply growth by 5 percent. Using the copy tool,
show the short run effect this would have by shifting and labeling
the appropriate curve(s). Plot the new short run equilibrium using
the double drop line tool and label it Equilibrium 2. 
Step 2: Show how the economy will adjust in the long run by shifting
and labeling the appropriate curve(s). Plot the new long run
equilibrium and label it Equilibrium 3. 
Total Spending Rate = Inflation Rate + Real GDP Growth Rate
13% = 9% + 4%
8% = 4% + 4%
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Real GDP Growth Rate
Inflation
Rate
Total Spending = Inflation Rate + Real GDP Growth Rate
13% = 9% + 4%
Reduce Money Growth Rate by 5%
Reduces Inflation Rate from 9% to 4%
8% = 4% + 4%
Short Run 8% = 7% + 1%
T.S. = 13%
T.S. = 8%
Long Run 8% = 4% + 4%
RecessionGrowth
Because prices are sticky going
down, you cannot reduce inflation
without having a temporary
recession
As the price level falls, spending
increases back to capacity
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Real GDP Growth Rate
Inflation
Rate
AD1
LRSA
SRSA1
SRSA2
AD2
The graph below shows the US economy in long run
equilibrium with a spending growth of 13 percent, a 9 percent
inflation rate, and a 4 percent real GDP growth. 
Total Spending = 13%
Step 1: Suppose that to reduce inflation the Fed permanently
decreased money supply growth by 5 percent. Using the copy tool,
show the short run effect this would have by shifting and labeling the
appropriate curve(s). Plot the new short run equilibrium using the
double drop line tool and label it Equilibrium 2. 
Inflation 9% to 4%
Push Down by 5%
1
2
Step 2: Show how the economy will adjust in the long run by
shifting and labeling the appropriate curve(s). Plot the new
long run equilibrium and label it Equilibrium 3. 
Inflation 9% to 4%
1
2
3
2
Suppose the Fed permanently increases money supply
growth by 3 percent. Using the copy tool, show the short run
effect this would have by shifting and labeling the appropriate
curve(s). Plot the new short run equilibrium using the double
drop line tool and label it Equilibrium 2. . 
1
3
2

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