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Lecture 30
Economic Development
A solar farm
requires 450
times more
land to produce
the same amount
of energy as a
nuclear plant.
Solar
Nuclear
Land Requirements
Source: quillette.com/2019/02/27/why-renewables-cant-save-the-planet/
What’s
Greener?
It never changes!
The Destiny Instinct
This is the solution!
The Single Perspective Instinct
Dramatic Instincts
The Fear Instinct
It’s scary!
The Negativity Instinct
It’s getting worse!
The Size Instinct
It’s big!
The Blame Instinct
That’s the bad guy!
The Urgency Instinct
It’s now or never!
This poster is part of Gapminder’s free teaching resources. Gapminder is an independent Swedish foundation with no political, religious or economic affiliations. We fight devastating misconceptions with a fact-based worldview which everyone can
understand. LICENSE: Freely available under Creative Commons Attribution License. Please copy, share, modify, integrate and even sell them, as long as you mention ”Based on a free teaching material from www.gapminder.org”.
The Straight Line Instinct
It just continues!
The Generalization Instinct
They are all the same!
The gap instinct
Look at the gap!
Learn to recognize the ten common story types that often make us
misinterpret facts and see them as more dramatic than they are.
1
3
5
7
9
2
4
6
8
10
www.gapminder.org/factfulness
Rules of Thumb
Is there really a gap?
Locate the majority
TO CONTROL THE GAP INSTINCT
Would improvement get attention?
Expect negative news
TO CONTROL THE NEGATIVITY INSTINCT
Is it really dangerous?
Calculate the risk
TO CONTROL THE FEAR INSTINCT
Is it big in comparison?
Check the proportions
TO CONTROL THE SIZE INSTINCT
Isn’t it always changing slowly?
Notice slow changes
TO CONTROL THE DESTINY INSTINCT
What other solutions exist?
Use multiple tools
TO CONTROL THE SINGLE PERSPECTIVE INSTINCT
What system made this possible?
Resist pointing finger
TO CONTROL THE BLAME INSTINCT
Can we make decisions as we go?
Take small steps
TO CONTROL THE URGENCY INSTINCT
FACTFULNESS
Why would this line not bend?
Imagine bending lines
TO CONTROL THE STRAIGHT LINE INSTINCT
How are they different?
Question your categories
TO CONTROL THE GENERALIZATION INSTINCT
Control your dramatic instincts by making it a habit to always
question dramatic stories that trigger your dramatic instincts.
1
3
5
7
9
2
4
6
8
10
www.gapminder.org/factfulness
Global Death Risk from Climate
1920 2018
500,000 deaths with 1.9 billion people
100 per 380,000
20,000 deaths with 7.6 billion people
1 per 380,000
Source: OFDA/CRED International Disaster Database, www.emdat.be
Up in Smoke
Indoor air pollution is the leading
environmental cause of death in the world
World Health Organization
2 million deaths annually
Up in Smoke
Many households accepted the
(almost free) stoves, but they did
not use them regularly, failed to
maintain them properly, and used
them even less over time.
The researchers found that
women in rural Bangladesh do
not perceive indoor air
pollution as a significant health
hazard
Quiz
1.Was the Erie Canal a pull or push innovation?
2.What is the difference between infant mortality and
child mortality?
3.What is the average child mortality rate for Sierra
Leone, Congo, and Somalia?

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Ed30

  • 1.
  • 3. A solar farm requires 450 times more land to produce the same amount of energy as a nuclear plant. Solar Nuclear Land Requirements Source: quillette.com/2019/02/27/why-renewables-cant-save-the-planet/ What’s Greener?
  • 4.
  • 5. It never changes! The Destiny Instinct This is the solution! The Single Perspective Instinct Dramatic Instincts The Fear Instinct It’s scary! The Negativity Instinct It’s getting worse! The Size Instinct It’s big! The Blame Instinct That’s the bad guy! The Urgency Instinct It’s now or never! This poster is part of Gapminder’s free teaching resources. Gapminder is an independent Swedish foundation with no political, religious or economic affiliations. We fight devastating misconceptions with a fact-based worldview which everyone can understand. LICENSE: Freely available under Creative Commons Attribution License. Please copy, share, modify, integrate and even sell them, as long as you mention ”Based on a free teaching material from www.gapminder.org”. The Straight Line Instinct It just continues! The Generalization Instinct They are all the same! The gap instinct Look at the gap! Learn to recognize the ten common story types that often make us misinterpret facts and see them as more dramatic than they are. 1 3 5 7 9 2 4 6 8 10 www.gapminder.org/factfulness Rules of Thumb Is there really a gap? Locate the majority TO CONTROL THE GAP INSTINCT Would improvement get attention? Expect negative news TO CONTROL THE NEGATIVITY INSTINCT Is it really dangerous? Calculate the risk TO CONTROL THE FEAR INSTINCT Is it big in comparison? Check the proportions TO CONTROL THE SIZE INSTINCT Isn’t it always changing slowly? Notice slow changes TO CONTROL THE DESTINY INSTINCT What other solutions exist? Use multiple tools TO CONTROL THE SINGLE PERSPECTIVE INSTINCT What system made this possible? Resist pointing finger TO CONTROL THE BLAME INSTINCT Can we make decisions as we go? Take small steps TO CONTROL THE URGENCY INSTINCT FACTFULNESS Why would this line not bend? Imagine bending lines TO CONTROL THE STRAIGHT LINE INSTINCT How are they different? Question your categories TO CONTROL THE GENERALIZATION INSTINCT Control your dramatic instincts by making it a habit to always question dramatic stories that trigger your dramatic instincts. 1 3 5 7 9 2 4 6 8 10 www.gapminder.org/factfulness
  • 6. Global Death Risk from Climate 1920 2018 500,000 deaths with 1.9 billion people 100 per 380,000 20,000 deaths with 7.6 billion people 1 per 380,000 Source: OFDA/CRED International Disaster Database, www.emdat.be
  • 7. Up in Smoke Indoor air pollution is the leading environmental cause of death in the world World Health Organization 2 million deaths annually
  • 8. Up in Smoke Many households accepted the (almost free) stoves, but they did not use them regularly, failed to maintain them properly, and used them even less over time.
  • 9.
  • 10. The researchers found that women in rural Bangladesh do not perceive indoor air pollution as a significant health hazard
  • 11. Quiz 1.Was the Erie Canal a pull or push innovation? 2.What is the difference between infant mortality and child mortality? 3.What is the average child mortality rate for Sierra Leone, Congo, and Somalia?