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Gale Pooley
Gale Pooley

ED24

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Economic Development Lecture 24 Foreign Debt and Financial Crises Chapter 13
Questions?
Volume of Global Trade
Foreign Borrowing Advantages Avoids FDI issues Fast Payments not profits Investments Profit > Interest Disadvantages Must be paid Overload Exchange Rates Consumption Borrow now, let someone repay
Measuring Debt Total Debt Debt Service
$100 Project Tax Borrow 2% $2
$100 Project Borrow 40 years at 0.75% $2.90 5 years at 7.0% $24.38
Capacity to Repay GDP Exports Tax Revenues
Insolvent No cash No net worth to pay debt Illiquid No cash Net worth to pay debt, but can’t sell quick and without loss
Illiquid Assets are frozen
Capacity to Repay Debt ÷ GDP 30% to 50% Debt ÷ Exports 100% to 300% Debt ÷ Revenues 140% to 260% Debt Service ÷ Exports 20% to 25% Debt Service ÷ Revenues 10% to 15% Short-Term Foreign Debt ÷ Foreign Exchange Reserves 1:1

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