allstate Quarterly Investor Information 2001 4th

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allstate Quarterly Investor Information 2001 4th

  1. 1. NEWS For Immediate Release Contact: Michael Trevino Media Relations (847) 402-5600 Robert Block, Larry Moews, Phil Dorn Investor Relations (847) 402-2800 Allstate Reports 2001 Fourth Quarter Results Provides Guidance for 2002 Earnings NORTHBROOK, Ill., February 6, 2002 -- The Allstate Corporation (NYSE: ALL) today reported operating income after restructuring charges of $309 million ($0.43 per diluted share) for the fourth quarter of 2001 compared to $584 million ($0.79 per diluted share) for the fourth quarter of 2000. Operating income before restructuring charges was $379 million ($0.53 per diluted share) for the fourth quarter of 2001 compared to $589 million ($0.80 per diluted share) for the fourth quarter of 2000. Net income was $264 million ($0.37 per diluted share) for the fourth quarter of 2001 compared to $547 million ($0.74 per diluted share) for the fourth quarter of 2000. Operating income is defined as net income before after-tax effects of realized capital gains and losses, loss on disposition of operations, dividends on preferred securities of subsidiary trusts and the cumulative effect of changes in accounting principle. Operating income after restructuring charges was $1.49 billion ($2.06 per diluted share) for the year 2001 compared to $2.00 billion ($2.68 per diluted share) for the year 2000. Operating income before restructuring charges was $1.58 billion ($2.18 per diluted share) for the year 2001 compared to $2.04 billion ($2.73 per diluted share) for the year 2000. Net income was $1.16 billion ($1.60 per diluted share) for the year 2001 compared to $2.21 billion ($2.95 per diluted share) for the year 2000. “We are not pleased with our financial results in what was an uneven quarter. We saw strong premium growth in the Property-Liability business, very good results from Allstate Financial, and continued progress toward our pricing targets. However, we continue to experience significant challenges in our Property-Liability business. Nonetheless, I am very confident that the strong actions we are taking will significantly improve future performance,” said chairman, president and CEO Edward M. Liddy. “Mild weather contributed to a rebound in homeowners profitability in the quarter, but we need to continue to address the underlying trends in this line with pricing, product changes, and claims programs. Our actions in Texas this quarter are a good example of how we are dealing with these negative trends around the country. We took significant rate actions, made contract changes that include limiting coverage for mold, and
  2. 2. NEWS page 2 modified our underwriting practices in order to improve the performance of this line. With the actions we took across the country in 2001 and will continue to implement this year, we are on track to return the homeowners line to proper levels of profitability within the next two to seven quarters. “We saw an encouraging 9.5% growth of written premium for the Allstate brand standard auto line in the quarter over the prior year fourth quarter. We also saw some pressure on Allstate standard auto frequency during the quarter, and have already responded to the frequency trends with increased rate activity and targeted underwriting programs in specific states. In this line, we finished the year with a loss ratio of approximately 75% and with these actions expect to improve that ratio over the course of 2002. “Allstate Financial’s operating income was up 28% for the fourth quarter of 2001 compared to the fourth quarter of 2000 despite a volatile equity market and declining interest rates. “Almost half of our 13,000 exclusive agencies are now licensed to sell a broad array of Allstate Financial personal retirement and investment products. We are improving the integration of sales between our two main business units as we develop the ability of Allstate agencies to sell a broader range of financial services products to meet the needs of middle-income households. “As we continue to aggressively implement many performance improvement actions, we anticipate that operating income per diluted share in 2002 will be in the range between $2.50 and $2.70 (excluding restructuring charges). Many of the pricing and underwriting actions we have been taking must work through a full renewal cycle, so the improvement in our results will not begin to emerge until the latter part of 2002. I am confident that the strong actions we are taking will have a significant impact on our ability to generate consistent earnings growth in the future,” Liddy added.
  3. 3. NEWS page 3 Consolidated Highlights
  4. 4. NEWS page 4 Three Months Ended December 31 Twelve Months Ended December 31 ($ in millions, except per-share amounts) Est. 2001 $ 2000 $ Change % Est. 2001 $ 2000 $ Change % Consolidated Revenues 7,358 7,220 1.9 28,865 29,134 (0.9) Operating Income Before Restructuring Charges After-tax 379 589 (35.7) 1,576 2,042 (22.8) Operating Income Per Share (Diluted) Before Restructuring Charges After-tax .53 .80 (33.8) 2.18 2.73 (20.1) Restructuring Charges After-tax 70 5 -- 84 38 121.1 Operating Income 309 584 (47.1) 1,492 2,004 (25.5) Operating Income Per Share (Diluted) .43 .79 (45.6) 2.06 2.68 (23.1) Realized Capital (Losses) Gains After-tax (29) (28) 3.6 (240) 248 (196.8) Loss on Disposition of Operations After- tax -- -- -- (40) -- -- Dividends on Preferred Securities of Subsidiary Trusts After-tax (16) (9) 77.8 (45) (41) 9.8 Cumulative Effect of a Change in Accounting Principle After-tax -- -- -- (9) -- -- Net Income 264 547 (51.7) 1,158 2,211 (47.6) Net Income Per Share (Diluted) .37 .74 (50.0) 1.60 2.95 (45.8) Weighted Average Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 714.7 734.5 (2.7) 723.3 748.7 (3.4) • The increase in fourth quarter 2001 consolidated revenues was due to increased Property-Liability premiums earned partially offset by lower investment income as compared to the same quarter in the prior year. • The consolidated operating income decline in the fourth quarter of 2001 when compared to the prior year fourth quarter was due to: - increased loss costs in Property-Liability - increased restructuring expenses - increased guaranty fund assessments - decreased Property-Liability net investment income. These declines were partly offset by: - increased Property-Liability premiums earned and - increased Allstate Financial operating income. • The previously announced restructuring expenses incurred during the fourth quarter of 2001 totaled $107 million, or $70 million after-tax and $0.10 per diluted share. These expenses related to the realignment of the company’s claim offices, Customer Information Centers and other back-office operations, and a non-cash charge resulting from pension benefit payments made to agents in connection with the re-organization of employee agents to a single exclusive agency independent contractor program
  5. 5. NEWS page 5 announced in 1999. The company expects to incur restructuring charges during 2002 related to realignment of claim offices and other back-office operations. The company estimates that the annual expense savings related to these programs, once complete, will total approximately $140 million on a pre-tax basis. • During the fourth quarter of 2001, Allstate purchased 1 million shares of its stock, at a cost of $37 million. The total cost of shares repurchased under its current $500 million repurchase program through December 31, 2001 is $54 million. The company intends to complete this repurchase program by December 31, 2002. • The Good Hands ®Network was rolled out to three additional states during the fourth quarter of 2001. The integrated channel model has now gone live in 30 states and the District of Columbia, which together represent almost 90% of the United States’ population.
  6. 6. NEWS page 6 • The components of pre-tax realized capital gains (losses) were: Est. Three Months Ended December 31, 2001 Three Months Ended December 31, 2000 (in millions) Property- Liability Allstate Financial Corporate and Other Total Property- Liability Allstate Corporate and Other Total Valuation of derivative securities 24 31 - 55 - - - - Portfolio trading 12 (4) 1 9 29 (7) (4) 18 Investment write-downs (41) (55) - (96) (35) (28) - (63) Realized Capital Gains (Losses) (5) (28) 1 (32) (6) (35) (4) (45) Est. Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2001 Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2000 (in millions) Property- Liability Allstate Financial Corporate and Other Total Property- Liability Allstate Corporate and Other Total Valuation of derivative securities (28) (59) - (87) - - - - Portfolio trading 20 (16) 2 6 552 18 (41) 529 Investment write-downs (125) (152) - (277) (46) (58) - (104) Realized Capital Gains (Losses) (133) (227) 2 (358) 506 (40) (41) 425 • Investment write-downs during the fourth quarter include $24 million pre-tax of Enron- related securities.
  7. 7. NEWS page 7 Property-Liability Business Property-Liability Highlights Quarter Ended December 31 Year Ended December 31 ($ in millions, except ratios) Est. 2001 $ 2000 $ Change % Est. 2001 $ 2000 $ Change % Property-Liability Premiums Written 5,595 5,254 6.5 22,609 21,858 3.4 Property-Liability Revenues 6,050 5,934 2.0 23,809 24,191 (1.6) Operating Income before Restructuring Charges After-tax 252 490 (48.6) 1,131 1,584 (28.6) Restructuring Charges After-tax 69 5 -- 79 47 68.1 Operating Income 183 485 (62.3) 1,052 1,537 (31.6) Realized Capital (Losses) Gains After-tax (4) (3) 33.3 (83) 326 (125.5) Loss on Disposition of Operations After- tax -- -- -- (40) -- -- Cumulative Effect of a Change in Accounting Principle After-tax -- -- -- (3) -- -- Net Income 179 482 (62.9) 926 1,863 (50.3) Catastrophe Losses 133 123 8.1 894 967 (7.5) Combined Ratio before impacts of Catastrophes and Restructuring Charges: Impact of Catastrophe Losses Impact of Restructuring Charges Combined Ratio 100.2 2.4 1.9 104.5 95.1 2.3 0.1 97.5 5.1 pts 0.1 pts 1.8 pts 7.0 pts 98.4 4.0 0.5 102.9 94.5 4.4 0.3 99.2 3.9 pts (0.4) pts 0.2 pts 3.7 pts • Factors contributing to Property-Liability premium written growth in the fourth quarter of 2001 as compared to the same quarter in the prior year included: - a 7.6% increase in Allstate brand premiums written  9.5% in standard auto  9.0% in homeowners These increases were partly offset by profit improvement actions causing:  a 6.0% decrease in Allstate brand non-standard auto premium written  a 5.9% decrease in Ivantage premiums written
  8. 8. NEWS page 8 • Factors contributing to the decline in Property-Liability operating income in the fourth quarter of 2001 when compared to the prior year fourth quarter include: - increased loss costs - increased restructuring expenses - increased guaranty fund assessments - decreased net investment income These adverse factors were partly offset by: - increased premiums earned • Factors contributing to the increased loss costs in the fourth quarter of 2001 when compared to the prior year fourth quarter were: - increases in auto loss frequency and severity, - increases in homeowners loss severity including  estimated losses related to mold claims in Texas totaling approximately $75 million pre-tax for the fourth quarter and approximately $180 million pre-tax for the 2001 year - a $59 million pre-tax reserve related to the previously announced preliminary approval of a settlement on the payment of inherent diminished value on auto claims in Georgia - a $57 million pre-tax reserve strengthening related to Encompass losses from current and prior years • Results in the fourth quarter of 2001 include expenses of $49 million pre-tax related to guaranty funds assessments, including the Reliance Insurance Co. insolvency. • Factors contributing to the decline in Property-Liability net investment income in the fourth quarter of 2001 when compared to the prior year fourth quarter include: - lower income from partnership interests - lower portfolio balances - lower portfolio yields
  9. 9. NEWS page 9 • The Company employs a dynamic process to determine the level of additional underwriting performance needed to achieve long-term targeted returns on capital at planned operating leverage. The Company’s intent is to pursue the fully indicated rates to achieve these returns subject to the regulatory approval process, if any, in a specific state. During the fourth quarter of 2001 and on a year to date basis, the following net rate changes have been approved: Three Months Ended Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2001 December 31, 2001 # of States Weighted Average Rate Change (%) # of States Weighted Average Rate Change (%) Allstate brand Standard Auto 20 8.3 38 5.9 Non-standard Auto 23 12.6 45 10.8 Homeowners 25 20.9 40 16.4 Ivantage brand Standard Auto (Encompass) 17 2.0 37 2.1 Non-standard Auto (Deerbrook) 3 16.2 9 12.2 Homeowners (Encompass) 11 7.9 31 5.0
  10. 10. NEWS page 10 Allstate Financial Business Allstate Financial Highlights Quarter Ended December 31 Year Ended December 31 ($ in millions) Est. 2001 $ 2000 $ Change % Est. 2001 $ 2000 $ Change % Statutory Premiums and Deposits 2,311 2,665 (13.3) 10,605 12,245 (13.4) Allstate Financial GAAP Revenues 1,287 1,266 1.7 4,971 4,880 1.9 Operating Income before Restructuring Charges After-tax 148 115 28.7 532 511 4.1 Restructuring Charges After-tax 1 -- -- 5 (9) (155.6) Operating Income 147 115 27.8 527 520 1.3 Realized Capital Gains (Losses) After- tax (25) (22) 13.6 (158) (51) -- Cumulative Effect of a Change in Accounting Principle After-tax -- -- -- (6) -- -- Net Income 122 93 31.2 363 469 (22.6) Investments including Separate Accounts 59,653 55,552 7.4 59,653 55,552 7.4 • Factors contributing to the decline in statutory premiums and deposits during the fourth quarter of 2001 as compared to the same quarter in the prior year included: - a decrease in retail sales of variable annuities primarily due to equity market volatility. This decrease was partly offset by: - growth in fixed annuity sales - growth in the sale of life products • Factors contributing to the growth in Allstate Financial operating income in the fourth quarter of 2001 when compared to the prior year fourth quarter included: - management actions to improve the gross investment margin - an improved mortality margin - aggressive expense management - reserves and investment income recognition adjustments of $13 million This press release contains forward-looking statements about the profitability of Allstate’s homeowners line of business, our loss ratio for Allstate standard auto, our operating income for 2002, restructuring charges and expense savings, and rate changes in our Property-Liability business. These statements are subject to the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and are based on management’s estimates, assumptions and projections. Actual results may differ materially from those projected in
  11. 11. NEWS page 11 the forward-looking statements for a variety of reasons. Loss costs in our Property- Liability business, including losses due to catastrophes such as hurricanes and earthquakes, may exceed management’s projections. Competitive pressures could lead to sales of Property-Liability products, including private passenger auto and homeowners insurance, that are lower than projected by management, as we increase prices and modify our underwriting practices. Investment income may not meet management’s projections due to declining interest rates and poor stock market performance. Expense savings are dependent on the adequacy and timing of actions taken to consolidate operations and facilities. Projected weighted average rate changes in our Property-Liability business may be lower than projected due to a decrease in the number of policies in force. Readers are encouraged to review the other risk factors facing Allstate that we disclose in our current, quarterly and annual reports to the Securities and Exchange Commission on Forms 8-K, 10-Q and 10-K. We undertake no obligation to publicly correct or update any forward-looking statements. The press release contains unaudited financial information. The supplemental operating information included in the tables above allows for additional analysis of results of operations. The net effects of realized capital gains and losses have been excluded due to the volatility between periods and because such data is often excluded when evaluating the overall financial performance of insurers. After-tax realized capital gains and losses are presented net of the effects of Allstate Financial’s deferred policy acquisition cost amortization to the extent that such effects resulted from the recognition of realized capital gains and losses. Operating income should not be considered as a substitute for any generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP") measure of performance. The method of calculating operating income may be different from the method used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited. The Allstate Corporation (NYSE: ALL) is the nation’s largest publicly held personal lines insurer. Widely known through the “You’re In Good Hands With Allstate®” slogan, Allstate provides insurance products to more than 14 million households and has approximately 13,000 exclusive agents in the U.S. and Canada. Customers can access Allstate products and services through Allstate agents, or in select states at allstate.com and 1-800-Allstate. Encompasssm and Deerbrooksm Insurance brand property and casualty products are sold exclusively through independent agents. Allstate Financial Group includes the businesses that provide life insurance, retirement and investment products, through Allstate agents, workplace marketing, independent agents, banks and securities firms. The Allstate Corporation prepares an interim investor supplement, containing standard information that is not available at the time of the earnings release. A supplement will be posted to the company’s website in approximately 10 days, and can be accessed by going to the Allstate web site at allstate.com and clicking on “About Allstate.” From there, go to the “Find Financial Information” button. Allstate Insurance Company Street City, State Zip T 888.555.1234 F 888.555.1256 E someone@allstate.com
  12. 12. NEWS page 12 ###

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