Is solar poised to grow in the Midwest? This presentation to the Midwest Solar Expo by Institute for Local Self-Reliance Director of Democratic Energy John Farrell explains the enormous potential for solar, the favorable economics, and the opportunities for local action to make solar a reality.
4. POTENTIAL PERCENT
OF ELECTRICITY FROM
LOCAL ROOFTOP SOLAR
50% or more
25 to 50%
10 to 25%
0 to 10%
20%
42%
31%
18%
23%
24%
19%
19%
28%
23%
24%
24%
26%
21%
12%
11%
52%
51%
49%
22%
23%
21%
23%
19%
14%
38%
41%
26%
35%
28%
19%
25%
21%
25%
24%
20%
22%
19%
23%
17%
23%
18% 20%
15%
24%
21%
18%
Residential and Commercial roofs
L O C A L S O L A R P O T E N T I A L
21%
23%
49%
6. 0ยข
3ยข
6ยข
9ยข
12ยข
15ยข
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
IA IL IN KS MI MN MO
ND NE OH SD WI Average
R I S I N G R E TA I L E L E C T R I C I T Y P R I C E S
(Residential, ยข per kilowatt-hour)
7. 0ยข
3ยข
6ยข
9ยข
12ยข
15ยข
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Average of Midwest states
R I S I N G R E TA I L E L E C T R I C I T Y P R I C E S
4.7% per year
3% per year
(Residential, ยข per kilowatt-hour)
8. 07 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
st states
R I C I T Y P R I C E S
4.7% per year
9. 07 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
st states
R I C I T Y P R I C E S
4.7% per year
10. 0ยข
10ยข
20ยข
30ยข
40ยข
50ยข
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Average Midwest residential retail electricity price
Levelized cost of solar electricity (Minneapolis)
Cost of solar with ITC
S O L A R PA R I T Y I S C O M I N G
4.7% per year
Subsidized Solar Parity
Unsubsidized Solar Parity
(ยข per kilowatt-hour)
11. POTENTIAL PERCENT
OF ELECTRICITY FROM
LOCAL ROOFTOP SOLAR
50% or more
25 to 50%
10 to 25%
0 to 10%
20%
42%
31%
18%
23%
24%
19%
19%
28%
23%
24%
24%
26%
21%
12%
11%
52%
51%
49%
22%
23%
21%
23%
19%
14%
38%
41%
26%
35%
28%
19%
25%
21%
25%
24%
20%
22%
19%
23%
17%
23%
18% 20%
15%
24%
21%
18%
Residential and Commercial roofs
L O C A L S O L A R P O T E N T I A L
21%
23%
49%
16. Not local
0 25 50 75 100
very negative negative neutral positive very positive
L O C A L P O W E R VA L U E
(political)
17. Attitude towards increased use of local wind energy
Not local
0 25 50 75 100
very negative negative neutral positive very positive
-44%
+33%
+77% net approval
Local
Ownership
L O C A L P O W E R VA L U E
(political)
20. I N S TA L L E D S O L A R C A PA C I T Y ( M W )
18
21
48
39
88
<1
<1
<1
<1
1
58
20
Sources: SEIA & ACORE
0 . 3 G I G AWAT T S
21. Solar standard (RPS)
Community solar
Value of solar
Net metering
State tax/cash incentives
Utility cash incentives
Property/sales tax benefit
N . D A K O TA
1 0 0 K W
Source: DSIRE
18
21
48
39
88
<1
<1
<1
<1
1
58
20
0ยข
5ยข
10ยข
15ยข
20ยข
25ยข
Residential retail electricity price
Value of solar
Solar price with ITC
Solar price
22. S . D A K O TA
Solar standard (RPS)
Community solar
Value of solar
Net metering
State tax/cash incentives
Utility cash incentives
Property/sales tax benefit
Source: DSIRE
18
21
48
39
88
<1
<1
<1
<1
1
58
20
0ยข
5ยข
10ยข
15ยข
20ยข
25ยข
Residential retail electricity price
Value of solar
Solar price with ITC
Solar price
23. N E B R A S K A
Solar standard (RPS)
Community solar
Value of solar
Net metering
State tax/cash incentives
Utility cash incentives
Property/sales tax benefit
2 5 K W
Source: DSIRE
18
21
48
39
88
<1
<1
<1
<1
1
58
20
0ยข
5ยข
10ยข
15ยข
20ยข
25ยข
Residential retail electricity price
Value of solar
Solar price with ITC
Solar price
24. K A N S A S
Solar standard (RPS)
Community solar
Value of solar
Net metering
State tax/cash incentives
Utility cash incentives
Property/sales tax benefit
2 5 / 2 0 0 K W
Source: DSIRE
18
21
48
39
88
<1
<1
<1
<1
1
58
20
0ยข
5ยข
10ยข
15ยข
20ยข
25ยข
Residential retail electricity price
Value of solar
Solar price with ITC
Solar price
25. I O WA
Solar standard (RPS)
Community solar
Value of solar
Net metering
State tax/cash incentives
Utility cash incentives
Property/sales tax benefit
5 0 0 K W
Source: DSIRE
18
21
48
39
88
<1
<1
<1
<1
1
58
20
0ยข
5ยข
10ยข
15ยข
20ยข
25ยข
Residential retail electricity price
Value of solar
Solar price with ITC
Solar price
26. W I S C O N S I N
Solar standard (RPS)
Community solar
Value of solar
Net metering
State tax/cash incentives
Utility cash incentives
Property/sales tax
2 0 / 1 0 0 K W
Source: DSIRE
18
21
48
39
88
<1
<1
<1
<1
1
58
20
0ยข
5ยข
10ยข
15ยข
20ยข
25ยข
Residential retail electricity price
Value of solar
Solar price with ITC
Solar price
27. 0ยข
5ยข
10ยข
15ยข
20ยข
25ยข
Residential retail electricity price
Value of solar
Solar price with ITC
Solar price
M I C H I G A N
Solar standard (RPS)*
Community solar
Value of solar
Net metering
State tax/cash incentives
Utility cash incentives
Property/sales tax
1 5 0 K W
*triple credit under RPS
Source: DSIRE
18
21
48
39
88
<1
<1
<1
<1
1
58
20
28. I N D I A N A
Solar standard (RPS)
Community solar
Value of solar
Net metering
State tax/cash incentives
Utility cash incentives
Property/sales tax
1 0 0 0 K W
Source: DSIRE
18
21
48
39
88
<1
<1
<1
<1
1
58
20
0ยข
5ยข
10ยข
15ยข
20ยข
25ยข
Residential retail electricity price
Value of solar
Solar price with ITC
Solar price
29. O H I O
Solar standard (RPS)
Community solar
Value of solar
Net metering
State tax/cash incentives
Utility cash incentives
Property/sales tax
U N L . K W
Source: DSIRE
18
21
48
39
88
<1
<1
<1
<1
1
58
20
0ยข
5ยข
10ยข
15ยข
20ยข
25ยข
Residential retail electricity price
Value of solar
Solar price with ITC
Solar price
30. I L L I N O I S
Solar standard (RPS)
Community solar
Value of solar
Net metering
State tax/cash incentives
Utility cash incentives
Property/sales tax
4 0 K W
Source: DSIRE
18
21
48
39
88
<1
<1
<1
<1
1
58
20
0ยข
5ยข
10ยข
15ยข
20ยข
25ยข
Residential retail electricity price
Value of solar
Solar price with ITC
Solar price
31. M I S S O U R I
Solar standard (RPS)
Community solar
Value of solar
Net metering
State tax/cash incentives
Utility cash incentives
Property/sales tax
1 0 0 K W
Source: DSIRE
18
21
48
39
88
<1
<1
<1
<1
1
58
20
0ยข
5ยข
10ยข
15ยข
20ยข
25ยข
Residential retail electricity price
Value of solar
Solar price with ITC
Solar price
?
32. M I N N E S O TA
Solar standard (RPS)
Community solar
Value of solar
Net metering
State tax/cash incentives
Utility cash incentives
Property/sales tax
1 0 0 0 K W
Source: DSIRE
18
21
48
39
88
<1
<1
<1
<1
1
58
20
0ยข
5ยข
10ยข
15ยข
20ยข
25ยข
Residential retail electricity price
Value of solar
Solar price with ITC
Solar price
34. 0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Installed Cost per Watt
$6.00 $5.00 $4.00 $3.00 $2.00
13%
15%
19%
26%
39%
5% 6%
8%
12%
22%
L O C A L P E R M I T T I N G
Data from The Impact of City-level Permitting Processes on Residential Photovoltaic Installation Prices and Development Times (LBNL, 2013)
...the savings
Approx.year for residential installation* 2013 2017 2023
*From ILSRโs Rooftop Revolution reports: http://www.ilsr.org/rooftop-revolution/
As the cost of solar falls...
from
permitting rise
streamlined
35. L O C A L P E R M I T T I N G
Leading Cities
Vote Solar: Project Permit
36. L O C A L E N E R G Y F I N A N C I N G
http://pacenow.org/