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Pathwaysto
Middle-Class Jobs
inIndonesia
IndonesiaJobsReport
Indonesia is a storyof
low-productivityjob growth,
not job-less growth
Productivitygrowthisinsufficienttounlockthebacklogof47%of
Indonesiansstuckinaspiringmiddle-classstatus
Tomovebeyondcreatingjustanyjobs
tojobsthatcouldliftIndonesianstoa
middle-classstatus,weintroduce:
ThreePathwaysto
Middle-ClassJobs
1. Accelerate
Across-the-Board Productivity
Growth
2. Transition Workers to
Jobs-Friendly
Sectors and Firms
3. Build a Middle-Class
Workforce
1.1. Unlock firm entry and growth to create
competition and innovation that spurs
productivity gains in the private sector
1.2. Support the growth of SME to be a better
middle-class job creator
1.3. Tailor support to increase productivity in
household enterprises where a large share of
jobs exist
2.1. Prioritize investment promotion
strategies to draw FDI to sectors and projects
(including infrastructure projects) that are
amenable to the creation of middle-class jobs
2.2. Close information gaps to help workers
transition to higher quality jobs
3.1 Facilitate learning by:
- Support at-risk students to complete secondary school
- Develop and improve access to on-line distance learning for
adult workers
- Teach analytical, cognitive, interpersonal, and digital skills
through pedagogical methods
- Enhance the quality of TVET programs
3.2. Provide tailored support to special groups, especially
women, youth, and workers with disability
Comprehensive policy interventions to close infrastructure, human capital and financial services gap
(“within” and sector-blind or specific) (“between” and sector-specific)
Reform Strategy
Contents
1. MC Jobs Challenge
2. (Slow) Structural Transformation Towards MC Jobs
3. Enterprise-level (Little) Dynamics of Job Creation
4. Workforce Not Ready & Not Inclusive for MC Jobs
5. Policy Direction
Definition of Middle-Class Jobs
Middle-class jobs may be defined as jobs that pay a level of wages and a certain level of job satisfaction, benefits and security
that is commensurate with expectations of a middle-class population.
In this report, middle-class jobs are defined as those paying at or above a middle-class income, equivalent to:
(3.5*poverty line*4)/1.5
or
3,752,000 IDR monthly in 2018
where:
- The threshold of middle-class consumption is approximately 3.5 times the poverty line per capita (World Bank, 2020)
- Assuming 4 members in a household on average, with one full-time adult worker and one part-time adult worker
Income data is only available for income earners (wage employees, casual workers, self-employed), excluding profit-earning
employers with workers and unpaid family workers, limiting the analysis to 68.6 percent of all jobs, although the analysis in the
report include the universe of jobs.
Of 124 million
jobs in Indonesia
in 2018
15%
of the 85 million who are income earners hold
a middle-class job, equivalent to 13 million
workers
7%
of the 49 million wage employees earn a
middle-class income, enjoy full social benefits
and hold a permanent contract, equivalent to
3.5 million wage employees
9% of 22 million self-employed household
enterprise owners earn at least a middle-class
income, equivalent to 2 million HHE owners
MC Jobs Challenge
Indonesia is not a story of job-less growth, but limited creation of middle-
class jobs is hampering Indonesia’s middle-class expansion
Source: Sakernas 2000-2018 (August Round), National Accounts and WDI Source: Sakernas 2008-2018, WB staff calculation
Respectable growth and job creation rates, 2000-2018
Percent, per annum
Despite the robust job creation, half of jobs created since 2008
have accrued to low-end, low-wage services
Median real wage 2018, share of job creation 2008-2018, share of employment 2018 (bubble size)
Some types of jobs are more successful in bringing Indonesians into middle-income class status
than others
Source: Sakernas 2011-2018, WB staff calculation
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
Income:
Agriculture,
Self-
Employment
Income:
Agriculture,
Employee
Income:
Agriculture,
Casual
Worker
Income:
Industry,
Self-
Employment
Income:
Industry,
Employee
Income:
Industry,
Casual
Worker
Income:
Service,
Self-
Employment
Income:
Service,
Employee
Income:
Service,
Casual
Worker
Wage employment in industry is good for MC expansion but
not necessarily possible for escaping poverty or economic
vulnerability
Difference in pp between %contribution of jobs to MC jobs and poor & vulnerable jobs
Wage employment alone contributed to two thirds of the increase in the
share of middle class for income earners between 2011 and 2018
Formal employment contributed significantly to the increase of the share of
middle-class jobs than to the decline in the share of poor and vulnerable jobs
Jobs that do not move workers to the middle class:
• Agriculture/ forestry/livestock/fisheries sector
• Community, social, and personal services sector
• Self-employment in the services sector
• Self-employment and casual jobs in industry
though they do move workers out of poverty and vulnerability.
Using a more restrictive definition of middle-class jobs to include worker
protection benefits and contract status of wage employees only, only civil
servants have more than 10 percent (unconditional) likelihood to earn above
middle-class wages.
(Slow) Structural Transformation
Towards MC Jobs
Indonesia’s “structural transformation 1.0” in the 1980’s-1990’s led to a movement out of agriculture to
manufacturing jobs in urban areas, but post-AFC, “structural transformation 2.0” began to shift jobs
towards low value-added services
Source: World Bank staff calculations using data from BPS and Sakernas, WDI
… which led to premature de-industrialization
Source: Diop, 2016
Manufacturing used to drive industrial and overall growth –
but lost momentum
Sector contribution to value added growth, pp per annum
Contribution
to
value
added
growth,
pp
per
annum
The robust expansion of middle-class jobs in the 2000’s has not materialized because “structural
transformation 2.0” has not brought enough productivity gains to shift people decidedly out of
vulnerability and economic insecurity
Source: World Bank staff calculations using data from BPS and Sakernas, WDI Source: Diop, 2016
Labor productivity growth has been driving growth…
Contribution to value-added per capita growth over 2000-2017,
pp, Indonesia and comparators
…but the contribution of structural transformation to labor productivity
growth has been limited, which has limited (positive) impacts on jobs
Contribution to labor productivity growth over 2000-2017, pp; Indonesia and comparator
Percentage points
Indonesia needs to embark on “structural transformation 3.0” with a focus on moving more workers
into manufacturing and high VA services, while increasing productivity in all sectors
Towards more and even better jobs:
Structural Transformation 3.0
Source: World Bank staff calculations using data from BPS and Sakernas
Note: Red arrows represent productivity shift.
Green arrows represent employment shift.
Structural
Transformation 3.0
Reform Strategy 1 & 2
1. Make firms, workers and
jobs more productive in
all sectors of the economy
2. Help workers transition
more quickly from less to
more productive sectors,
firms and jobs
The role of FDI in specific sectors is key; manufacturing FDI can accelerate a jobs transformation
since not only does it create jobs, but it also creates higher-paying jobs
Source: Statistik Industri 2015, World Bank staff calculations
FDI increases the share of manufacturing jobs in total employment
Share of manufacturing employment in total, without FDI and FDI effect, percent
Foreign-owned firms pay better than domestic firms
Share of wages in each class category, by firm ownership
Share
of
manufacturing
employment,
%
Share
of
wages,
%
But,Indonesiahasnot
succeededinattractingexport-
orientedandjobcreatingFDI,
onagreaterscale,largelydue
tolegalandregulatorybarriers
tocompetition,trade,
investment,andaccessto
skilledworkers
Reform strategy 2.1
To accelerate structural
(economic and jobs)
transformation,
FDI should be prioritized
from the jobs and
productivity perspective
Enterprise-level (Little) Dynamics of
Job Creation
Most enterprises in Indonesia are NOT significant job creators, let alone middle-class job creators;
the growth of manufacturing firms is ‘stunted’ relative to other countries
Source: Economic Census 2016, WB staff calculation Source: Cunningham, 2018
Non-agricultural firm size does not
begin to increase until a firm is 22
years old
Employment life cycle of non-agricultural enterprise,
2016, starting with an average of less than three
employees by the fifth year
Number
of
workers
Years of establishment
SMEpoliciesframedinsocial
welfareinsteadof
productivity,lackof
assimilationtoGVC/MNC,
digitalinfrastructuregap,and
limitedaccesstofinancial
servicescontributedto
‘stunted’growthof
Indonesianfirms
Reform Strategy 2.3
To support SME growth
to be a better middle-
class job creator,
policies should focus
on productivity and
efficiency, instead of
(only) social welfare
Although the services
sector is a key sector in
creating middle-class
jobs, …
…firm-level panel
data is unavailable to
allow a deep
demand-side of job
analysis
In the manufacturing sector, combined with more of younger and smaller firms exiting during the
AFC, employment was increasingly absorbed by old and large firms, protected from competition
that may hamper productivity and better job creation
Source: Statistik Industri, 1991-2015, WB staff calculation
Jobs were increasingly absorbed by old firms
Employment share by age group
…and by big firms
Employment share by firm size
Employment
share,
%
Employment
share,
%
Ineffective competition
regulatory framework,
disparate innovation
instruments and
regulatory uncertainties
contributed to the lack of
dynamism by new (and
exiting) firms
Reform Strategy 1.1 & 2.2
Strengthen the dynamism and
allocative efficiency among
private domestic firms
through policy areas of
intervention to unlock firm
entry and growth to create
competition and innovation,
as well as support job
transition
Contrary to what
many people fear,
higher productivity
growth and higher
employment
growth go hand-in-
hand
Reform Strategy 2.1
Facilitating capital
investments will be
crucial, which can be done
by reducing barriers to
capital imports and
increasing access to
financing for investments
Manufacturing FDI has heterogenous
(positive) effects on a sector’s wages
Source: Statistik Industri, 2007-2015, WB staff calculation
Increase average wages and benefits for those who
have at least a primary education
A skills premium where higher-educated and white-
collar workers benefit more
Women appear to benefit more than men (likely a
result of the type of sectors MNC engage in)
The effects are more widespread in low-skilled than
higher skilled manufacturing sectors
Note: firms are classified as MNCs if their foreign capital share is at least 10%.
25
MNC activity in Indonesia is subdued
MNC activity shares over time; firm average, 2007-2015
MNC
activity
share,
%
Someindustries are
better than otherswith
respecttotheir
potential tocreate
goodjobsand women
inclusiveness
Reform Strategy 2.1
Direct investment promotion
strategies (including for
infrastructure development) to
a select set of priority sectors
can improve the overall
effectiveness of investment
promotion from the
perspective of job creation and
productivity
Household enterprise is ubiquitous in Indonesia,
employing 83 million workers or about 69 percent of
total employment in Indonesia
• There are 45 million household enterprise
owners and 38 million working in these
enterprises, both unpaid and paid
• Around half of informal workers are
household enterprise owners
• Very low profit per worker of HHE reflects the
low productivity of HHE in general
•
Household enterprises can be a path to middle-class jobs and would be so even
more if some of the productivity constraints were addressed
9% percent of self-employed HHE owners earn enough
to be classified as MC status (similar finding from a
nationally representative survey in (pre-pandemic)
2020), which is slightly lower (5pp) than the rest of
income earners
Household enterprise owners who:
- have a minimum of senior secondary school
- use the internet
- have financial account
- male
- older
- without any disability
- are located in urban areas or in Java Island
are more likely to achieve middle-class status
Source: IFLS Data 2007-2014, World Bank Staff Calculation
8.5% of HHE owners with
unpaid/family workers that were
below the MC status in 2007
were able to move up to MC
status by 2014
Building an inclusive middle-
class workforce
The Indonesian labor force does not have the
education level required for middle-class jobs…
Source: Sakernas, 2018, WB staff calculation
Only 41% of Indonesian workers
have acquired an upper-
secondary education or more
Educational distribution of workers, 2018
… or the skills that are required in middle-class jobs.
Interviews with a small group of Indonesian employers find that the most severe shortages are in skills to
perform task-type that are most intensive in middle-class jobs.
Moreover, middle-class job holders are more likely to pursue training courses once leaving school. (reform strategy 3.1)
Sakernas 2007-2015 and O*Net task content of occupation, WB staff calculation. Notes: The task intensity score is estimated for each occupation and then aggregated across sample of middle-class occupations to generate a score for each task intensity type for
each year. The sample of “middle-class jobs” is defined in 2015 and the same set of occupations is used for each sample year.
Non-middle-class occupations require manual skills
Task intensity of non-middle-class occupations, 2007-2015
Middle-class occupations require analytical, cognitive, interpersonal
and digital skills
Task intensity of middle-class occupations, 2007-2015
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
digital analytical inter-personal
cognitive (routine) routine manual adaptable manual
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
digital analytical inter-personal
cognitive (routine) routine manual adaptable manual
Task
intensity
Task
intensity
Middle-class job holders acquired jobs through a wider set of proactive methods than non-
middle-class job holders (reform strategy 2.2)
Source: Sakernas, 2018, WB staff calculation
Proactive job search increases with education level
Method of job search, total and by education level, 2018
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
All Primary or less lower secondary upper secondary post-sec TVET college/univ
Register with job mkt Contact company
Looking for/applying for a job in response to advertisements in print/electronic/ internet media Advertising himself/herself in print/electronic/internet media
Contact family/acquaintance Other
Share
of
job
search
method,
%
Women, youth, workers with severe disability are under-represented in middle-class jobs,
though the constraining factors are not clearly established (reform strategy 3.3)
Source: Sakernas, 2018, WB staff calculation
Less “vulnerable” groups are over-represented in middle-class jobs
Distribution of income-earning jobs and distribution of middle-class jobs across defined demographic groups, 2018
28.6%
71.4%
6.4%
26.5%
29.2%
26.8%
11.1%
18.2%
81.8%
8.5% 7.6%
22.2%
15.0%
8.2%
38.5%
4.7%
0.1%
95.2%
34.9%
65.1%
14.4%
27.3%
25.4%
19.6% 13.3%
38.3%
61.7%
34.4%
17.5% 19.4%
13.0%
3.5%
12.2%
6.1%
0.3%
93.7%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Female
Male
Age
15-24
Age
25-34
Age
35-44
Age
45-54
Age
55+
Rural
Urban
Primary
or
less
Lower
secondary
Upper
secondary
(general)
Upper
secondary
(vocational)
Post-secondary
TVET
College/university
Moderate
Severe
None
sex age location education disability
% of MC jobs held by each worker type
% of income jobs held by each worker
type
Share
of
workers,
%
Labor legislation is NOT a viable tool for creating middle-class jobs
middle-class job no middle-class job
Health insurance 86.4% 28.9%
Work accident benefit 78.4% 24.5%
Death benefit 68.5% 16.6%
Old age benefit 62.1% 13.1%
Pension 56.3% 9.7%
Paid annual leave 75.2% 23.0%
Source: Sakernas 2018, WB staff calculation
Minimum wage may affect wages (West Sumatra) or not affect wages (Aceh) even
among those holding employment contracts
Kernel distribution of (log) nominal monthly wage among employees with employment contracts; minimum wages
Worker protections are not synonymous with middle-class jobs
Share of workers who receive each benefit, by middle-income job status
The skill level of the
labor force, job search
inefficiencies, and
social factors hinder
advancement to MC
jobs
Reform Strategy 3
Institutional reforms to
enhance job preparation
and search, more than labor
legislation, can speed the
transition to a middle-class
workforce
Policy Direction
Reform Strategy 1: Accelerate Across the Board Productivity Growth
Accelerate Across-the-Board
Productivity Growth
1.1 Unlock firm entry and
growth to create competition
and innovation
Improve FDI policies, increase
access to inputs, markets, and
foreign talent in shortage, and
integrate firms with global
value chains (GVCs)
Increase the capacity of
domestic firms and workers to
benefit from the technology
spillovers of FDI
A more predictable regulatory
framework
Stronger competition
regulatory framework
1.2 Improve productivity of SME
to help them grow and become
better creators of MC jobs
Design policy instrument to
promote incremental innovative
activities
Design specific measures and
strategies to assimilate SME
to GVC
Expand access to financial
services
Close digital infrastructure
divide
1.4 Tailor support to increase
productivity in HHE where a large
job exists
Rule-of-thumb basic business
skills combined with personal
initiative (soft skills),
competition and innovation
training
Inclusive ecosystem for HHE
by supporting HHE owners to
register in the BPJS
Ketenagakerjaan
Product competitiveness
through (1) on-the-job training
and apprenticeship, (2)
product standardization and
professionalization of HHE
Reform Strategy 2: Transition to Jobs-Friendly
Sectors and Firms
Transition to Jobs-Friendly
Sectors and Firms
2.1 Prioritize investment
promotion strategies in
sectors or projects (including
infrastructure projects) that
are amenable to MC jobs
Revisit the current
strategic roadmap of the
BKPM and apply a lens
of middle-class jobs
creation or Investment
Revisit how prioritization
is implemented and
evaluate in the medium
term
To the extent SME
policies are not sector-
blind, select sectors and
enterprises to target with
policy interventions by
considering their potential
for creating middle-class
jobs
2.2 Support job
transitions through
information and
financing
Continue to develop the
Job Loss Guarantee
Program (Jaminan
Kehilangan Pekerjaan;
JKP) to support workers’
transitions up the job
ladder
Upgrade
KarirHub/SiapKerja and
the overall LMIS
Support job mobility
through re-location
support
3.1 Facilitate Learning
Support at-risk students to complete
secondary education
Develop and improve access to on-line
distance learning for adult workers
Teach analytical, cognitive, interpersonal,
and digital skills through pedagogical
methods
Enhance the quality of TVET program by
prioritizing the development of quality
assurance mechanisms and more
effectively engage the enterprise sector
3.2 Provide tailored support to
special groups
Fine-tune LMIS and training programs to
address factors that limit women’s and
youth’s success in acquiring middle-class
jobs
Expand women’s access to social
benefits through their jobs
Enact legislation to set national norms for
women’s access to the labor market
Reform Strategy 3: Build a Middle-Class Workforce
Thank you
Contact authors:
• Maria Monica Wihardja mwihardja@worldbank.org
• Wendy Cunningham wcunningham@worldbank.org
The full report can be downloaded here:
https://www.worldbank.org/en/country/indonesia/publicati
on/pathways-to-middle-class-jobs-in-indonesia
Annex Table
Summaryof PolicyDirection
Policy Reform Area Selected Policy Actions Actors
Reform Strategy 1: Accelerate Across-the-Board Productivity Growth
Unlock new firm entry and growth to
create competition and innovation that
spur productivity in the private sector.
Improve foreign direct investment (FDI) policies, increase access to inputs, markets, and foreign talent for
occupations where there is a shortage of domestic workers, and integrate firms with global value chains
(GVCs) by: (i) reducing the list of sectors reserved for Indonesian micro, small, and medium enterprises
(MSMEs) and turning burdensome minimum local content requirements across various sectors into
positive incentives to use local supply; (ii) eliminating the Expatriate Manpower Utilization/Placement
Plan as a precondition for employment of expatriates in high-skill occupations for which there is a
shortage of domestic workers; (iii) reviewing, reducing, and streamlining nontariff measures including
measures around product certification, preshipment inspections, and requirements for ministerial letters
of recommendation; (iv) pursuing ambitious preferential trade agreements to lock in domestic reform,
and attract investment by finalizing the EU Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement.
Office of the President; Coordinating Ministry of
Economic Affairs (Kementerian Koordinator
Bidang Perekonomian; CMEA); Ministry of
Finance; Investment Coordinating Board (Badan
Koordinasi Penanaman Modal; BKPM); Ministry
of Trade; Ministry of Industry; Ministry of
Manpower; Ministry of Cooperatives and SMEs;
Ministry of Foreign Affairs; Ministry of Law and
Human Rights; Directorate General of
Immigration
Increase the capacity of domestic firms and workers to benefit from the technology spillovers of FDI by: (i)
increasing the human capital of domestic workers (see Reform Strategy 3); (ii) promoting links between
firms; (iii) providing incentives and advocacy to promote firm-based training programs; (iv) building
business networks; (v) establishing institutional partnerships, especially between domestic and foreign-
owned firms; and (vi) providing information services covering, for example, the quality requirements of
multinationals.
Ministry of Trade; BKPM; Ministry of Research
and Technology; Ministry of Industry
Support firms with a more predictable regulatory framework by: (i) introducing a regulatory oversight
body; (ii) introducing compulsory public consultation procedures; and(iii) consolidating and targeting
policy instruments that better assist firms to innovate.
Office of the President; Cabinet Secretariat;
Ministry of National Development Planning;
Ministry of Law and Human Rights
Strengthen the competition regulatory framework by: (i) strengthening the technical capacity of the
Commission for the Supervision of Business Competition (Komisi Pengawas Persaingan Usaha; KPPU); (ii)
revisiting the existing Competition Law (No. 5/1999);(iii) mainstreaming competition considerations in the
policy-making process.
CMEA; KPPU
Improve productivity of small and
medium enterprises (SMEs) to help
them grow and become better
creators of middle-class jobs.
Develop specific measures and strategies to assimilate SMEs into GVCs. Smallholders should be integrated into
agriculture value chains and home-based workers into manufacturing and services GVCs by: (i) addressing
information gaps between SMEs and multinational corporations regarding quality standards; (ii) supporting
SMEs to meet these quality standards; (iii) providing tax incentives for multinationals that invest in the
upgrading of local suppliers; and (iv) lowering transaction costs for SMEs using free trade agreements.
CMEA; Ministry of Industry; Ministry of
Cooperatives and SMEs; Ministry of Trade
Promote incremental increases in innovative activities to boost productivity with a mix of policy instruments
including: (i) technology extension and diffusion programs; (ii) early-stage infrastructure and advisory services;
(iii) inducement incentives; (iv) vouchers for collaboration; and (v) direct grants for business innovation.
Ministry of Research and Technology;
Ministry of Cooperatives and SMEs;
Ministry of Trade
Close the digital infrastructure divide and ensure affordable, reliable, and ubiquitous high-speed broadband
internet access (fixed-broadband and 4G) by: (i) reforming spectrum management and infrastructure sharing to
stimulate further private investment; and(ii) closing remaining gaps in internet access through targeted public-
private partnerships.
Ministry of Information and
Communications Technology, in
collaboration with telecoms/internet
service providers (private sector); Ministry
of Public Works; Ministry of State-Owned
Enterprises
Expand access to financial services by: (i) preparing a roadmap targeting a leveling of the playing field for the
delivery of financial services; (ii) strengthening financial sector infrastructure such as credit registries and
infrastructure related to secured transactions; and (iii) promoting the use of dedicated liquidity and risk-sharing
facilities.
Bank Indonesia; Financial Services
Authority (Otoritas Jasa Keuangan; OJK);
Ministry of Finance; financial
intermediaries
Target support to increase
productivity in household enterprises
(HHEs), which house a large share of
jobs.
Increase basic business skills through training and education by: (i) creating short training programs with simplified
rule-of-thumb modules in business skills combined with personal initiative (soft skills) training and innovation
training; (ii) providing information to HHEs about the benefits of training and possible routes to enrolling in training;
(iii) in the medium term, synchronizing and integrating government training and support programs across ministries
and bodies.
Ministry of Cooperatives and SMEs;
Ministry of Manpower; Ministry of
Education; OJK
Create inclusive ecosystems for HHEs by: (i) encouraging HHE owners to join the social security system Badan
Penyelenggara Jaminan Sosial (BPJS) Ketenagakerjaan for nonwage workers by providing tailored information on the
benefits of doing so; (ii) providing government contributions to ease entry into and sustain participation in the
program;(iii) promoting the benefits of becoming a legal entity by bundling legal registration with other government
support programs; and (iv) improving the delivery of support programs, and broadening and facilitating HHE access
to them, independently of their participation in social assistance programs.
CMEA; BPJS Ketenagakerjaan; Ministry of
Manpower; Ministry of Finance; Ministry of
Social Affairs; Ministry of Cooperatives and
SMEs
Improve product competitiveness by: (i) promoting on-the-job training and apprenticeships; (ii) providing shared
factories or machines that can be used by HHEs; (iii) supporting product standardization and modernization of HHEs.
Ministry of Cooperatives and SMEs;
Ministry of Manpower; technical ministries,
including Ministry of Agriculture and
Ministry of Industry; National
Standardization Body of Indonesia (Badan
Standardisasi Nasional)
Reform Strategy 2: Transition to Sectors and Firms That Create Good-Quality Jobs
Prioritize investment promotion
strategies to attract FDI to sectors or
projects (including infrastructure
projects) that are amenable to the
creation of middle-class jobs.
Prioritize investment promotion strategies to draw FDI to sectors and projects (including infrastructure
projects) that are amenable to the creation of middle-class jobs by(i) revisiting the current strategic roadmap
of the BKPM (including the goals for infrastructure development) and applying a lens of middle-class jobs
creation using a global best-practice framework, such as the OECD Policy Framework for Investment, when
considering which investment to prioritize; also, (ii) revisiting how prioritization is implemented and
evaluating in the medium term whether the prioritization strategy has achieved the intended result of more
middle-class jobs. Also, to the extent that reforms in the SME and HHE sectors are not sector-blind, select
sectors and enterprises to target with policy interventions by considering their potential for creating middle-
class jobs.
CMEA; BKPM; Ministry of Finance; Ministry of
Trade; Ministry of Cooperatives and SMEs;
Ministry of Manpower
Close information gaps to help workers
transition to higher-quality jobs.
Upgrade KarirHub and the overall labor market information system by: (i) including private jobs portals and
public portals providing services for job search and career development within the system; and (ii) populating
the labor market information system platform with real-time information.
Ministry of Manpower; Ministry of Social Welfare;
Ministry of Education
Provide relocation support for hard-to-fill vacancies by: (i) ensuring the labor market information system
provides information on nationwide (and not just local) information on job vacancies across Indonesia; and (ii)
providing stipends to support relocation (travel, housing, and other social services) for workers who are
relocating to fill critical occupations.
Continue to develop the Job Loss Guarantee Program (Jaminan Kehilangan Pekerjaan; JKP) to support
workers’ transitions up the job ladder by: (i) allowing current workers to opt in (or out) of the program while
mandating all newly hired workers to join the system; (ii) working with social partners to define the program
parameters—including financing mechanisms—and to implement a communications campaign about the
benefits of the reform for workers and firms; (iii) developing a strong monitoring system to avoid misuse of
the program; and (iv) establishing strong links with the rest of the labor market information ecosystem.
Reform Strategy 3: Build a Middle-Class Workforce
Facilitate learning. Provide support to at-risk students to encourage them to complete secondary school by: (i) mapping risk
factors for at-risk populations and designing interventions accordingly; and (ii) expanding the reach of and
modifying the service delivery mechanism of the Paket C diploma equivalency program.
Ministry of Education, Culture and Higher
Education (Directorate of Community Education
and Special Education); local education
authorities (Dinas Pendidikan)
Support the development of short technical and vocational education and training (TVET) courses for adult
workers and also support their access to these courses by: (i) accrediting web-based training courses; (ii)
providing training vouchers for adult learners in critical occupations or skills; and (iii) developing a database
of accredited online training courses.
Ministry of Manpower; Ministry of Information,
Communication and Technology; Ministry of
Education, Culture and Higher Education;
National Agency for Professional Certification
(Badan Nasional Sertifikasi Profesi); National
Accreditation Committee (Komite Akreditasi
Nasional)
Teach nonroutine interpersonal, analytical, and digital skills to students and adult learners through revised
curricula and pedagogical methods.
Ministry of Education, Culture and Higher
Education; Ministry of Manpower; Ministry of
Information, Communication and Technology
Enhance the quality of TVET programs by: (i) prioritizing the development of the competency framework
and the process for accrediting institutions and programs;(ii) developing a centralized monitoring and
evaluation system for TVET; (iii) establishing a National Vocational Skills Steering Committee; and (iv) more
effectively engaging the enterprise sector by amending Regulation 128/2019 to subsidize results-based
worker training, and earmarking public resources to incentivize exchanges of staff between industry and
institutions providing TVET.
Coordinating Ministry of Human Development
and Cultural Affairs; CMEA; Ministry of Finance;
Ministry of Education, Culture and Higher
Education; Ministry of Manpower, National
Agency for Professional Certification; National
Accreditation Committee
Provide tailored support to particular groups. Fine-tune the labor market information system and training programs to address factors that limit the
success of women and youth in acquiring middle-class jobs by: (i) including gender- and age-relevant
information in the labor market information system; (ii) earmarking a portion of training vouchers for women
and youth to participate in courses that teach business practices and the technology needed for engaging in
the gig economy; and(iii) incorporating business development training into entrepreneurship support
programs for women.
Ministry of Manpower; Ministry of Education,
Culture and Higher Education; and technical
ministries
Expand women’s access to social benefits through their jobs by: (i) modifying the Labor Law to protect
against dismissal or disciplinary measures during pregnancy or maternity leave; and (ii) establishing a
grievance procedure process related to firm payment of social benefits.
CMEA; Ministry of Manpower; Ministry of National
Development Planning, Healthcare and Social
Security Agency (BPJS)
Enact legislation to set national norms for women’s access to the labor market by: (i) clearly defining the
“equal pay for equal work” language in the Labor Law; (ii) introducing an article that defines sexual
harassment; and (iii) extending paternity benefits to 30 days.
Ministry of Manpower; Ministry of Women’s
Empowerment and Child Protection

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Three Pathways to Middle-Class Jobs in Indonesia

  • 2. Indonesia is a storyof low-productivityjob growth, not job-less growth Productivitygrowthisinsufficienttounlockthebacklogof47%of Indonesiansstuckinaspiringmiddle-classstatus
  • 4. 1. Accelerate Across-the-Board Productivity Growth 2. Transition Workers to Jobs-Friendly Sectors and Firms 3. Build a Middle-Class Workforce 1.1. Unlock firm entry and growth to create competition and innovation that spurs productivity gains in the private sector 1.2. Support the growth of SME to be a better middle-class job creator 1.3. Tailor support to increase productivity in household enterprises where a large share of jobs exist 2.1. Prioritize investment promotion strategies to draw FDI to sectors and projects (including infrastructure projects) that are amenable to the creation of middle-class jobs 2.2. Close information gaps to help workers transition to higher quality jobs 3.1 Facilitate learning by: - Support at-risk students to complete secondary school - Develop and improve access to on-line distance learning for adult workers - Teach analytical, cognitive, interpersonal, and digital skills through pedagogical methods - Enhance the quality of TVET programs 3.2. Provide tailored support to special groups, especially women, youth, and workers with disability Comprehensive policy interventions to close infrastructure, human capital and financial services gap (“within” and sector-blind or specific) (“between” and sector-specific) Reform Strategy
  • 5. Contents 1. MC Jobs Challenge 2. (Slow) Structural Transformation Towards MC Jobs 3. Enterprise-level (Little) Dynamics of Job Creation 4. Workforce Not Ready & Not Inclusive for MC Jobs 5. Policy Direction
  • 6. Definition of Middle-Class Jobs Middle-class jobs may be defined as jobs that pay a level of wages and a certain level of job satisfaction, benefits and security that is commensurate with expectations of a middle-class population. In this report, middle-class jobs are defined as those paying at or above a middle-class income, equivalent to: (3.5*poverty line*4)/1.5 or 3,752,000 IDR monthly in 2018 where: - The threshold of middle-class consumption is approximately 3.5 times the poverty line per capita (World Bank, 2020) - Assuming 4 members in a household on average, with one full-time adult worker and one part-time adult worker Income data is only available for income earners (wage employees, casual workers, self-employed), excluding profit-earning employers with workers and unpaid family workers, limiting the analysis to 68.6 percent of all jobs, although the analysis in the report include the universe of jobs.
  • 7. Of 124 million jobs in Indonesia in 2018 15% of the 85 million who are income earners hold a middle-class job, equivalent to 13 million workers 7% of the 49 million wage employees earn a middle-class income, enjoy full social benefits and hold a permanent contract, equivalent to 3.5 million wage employees 9% of 22 million self-employed household enterprise owners earn at least a middle-class income, equivalent to 2 million HHE owners
  • 9. Indonesia is not a story of job-less growth, but limited creation of middle- class jobs is hampering Indonesia’s middle-class expansion Source: Sakernas 2000-2018 (August Round), National Accounts and WDI Source: Sakernas 2008-2018, WB staff calculation Respectable growth and job creation rates, 2000-2018 Percent, per annum Despite the robust job creation, half of jobs created since 2008 have accrued to low-end, low-wage services Median real wage 2018, share of job creation 2008-2018, share of employment 2018 (bubble size)
  • 10. Some types of jobs are more successful in bringing Indonesians into middle-income class status than others Source: Sakernas 2011-2018, WB staff calculation -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% Income: Agriculture, Self- Employment Income: Agriculture, Employee Income: Agriculture, Casual Worker Income: Industry, Self- Employment Income: Industry, Employee Income: Industry, Casual Worker Income: Service, Self- Employment Income: Service, Employee Income: Service, Casual Worker Wage employment in industry is good for MC expansion but not necessarily possible for escaping poverty or economic vulnerability Difference in pp between %contribution of jobs to MC jobs and poor & vulnerable jobs Wage employment alone contributed to two thirds of the increase in the share of middle class for income earners between 2011 and 2018 Formal employment contributed significantly to the increase of the share of middle-class jobs than to the decline in the share of poor and vulnerable jobs Jobs that do not move workers to the middle class: • Agriculture/ forestry/livestock/fisheries sector • Community, social, and personal services sector • Self-employment in the services sector • Self-employment and casual jobs in industry though they do move workers out of poverty and vulnerability. Using a more restrictive definition of middle-class jobs to include worker protection benefits and contract status of wage employees only, only civil servants have more than 10 percent (unconditional) likelihood to earn above middle-class wages.
  • 12. Indonesia’s “structural transformation 1.0” in the 1980’s-1990’s led to a movement out of agriculture to manufacturing jobs in urban areas, but post-AFC, “structural transformation 2.0” began to shift jobs towards low value-added services Source: World Bank staff calculations using data from BPS and Sakernas, WDI … which led to premature de-industrialization Source: Diop, 2016 Manufacturing used to drive industrial and overall growth – but lost momentum Sector contribution to value added growth, pp per annum Contribution to value added growth, pp per annum
  • 13. The robust expansion of middle-class jobs in the 2000’s has not materialized because “structural transformation 2.0” has not brought enough productivity gains to shift people decidedly out of vulnerability and economic insecurity Source: World Bank staff calculations using data from BPS and Sakernas, WDI Source: Diop, 2016 Labor productivity growth has been driving growth… Contribution to value-added per capita growth over 2000-2017, pp, Indonesia and comparators …but the contribution of structural transformation to labor productivity growth has been limited, which has limited (positive) impacts on jobs Contribution to labor productivity growth over 2000-2017, pp; Indonesia and comparator Percentage points
  • 14. Indonesia needs to embark on “structural transformation 3.0” with a focus on moving more workers into manufacturing and high VA services, while increasing productivity in all sectors Towards more and even better jobs: Structural Transformation 3.0 Source: World Bank staff calculations using data from BPS and Sakernas Note: Red arrows represent productivity shift. Green arrows represent employment shift.
  • 15. Structural Transformation 3.0 Reform Strategy 1 & 2 1. Make firms, workers and jobs more productive in all sectors of the economy 2. Help workers transition more quickly from less to more productive sectors, firms and jobs
  • 16. The role of FDI in specific sectors is key; manufacturing FDI can accelerate a jobs transformation since not only does it create jobs, but it also creates higher-paying jobs Source: Statistik Industri 2015, World Bank staff calculations FDI increases the share of manufacturing jobs in total employment Share of manufacturing employment in total, without FDI and FDI effect, percent Foreign-owned firms pay better than domestic firms Share of wages in each class category, by firm ownership Share of manufacturing employment, % Share of wages, %
  • 19. Most enterprises in Indonesia are NOT significant job creators, let alone middle-class job creators; the growth of manufacturing firms is ‘stunted’ relative to other countries Source: Economic Census 2016, WB staff calculation Source: Cunningham, 2018 Non-agricultural firm size does not begin to increase until a firm is 22 years old Employment life cycle of non-agricultural enterprise, 2016, starting with an average of less than three employees by the fifth year Number of workers Years of establishment
  • 21. Although the services sector is a key sector in creating middle-class jobs, … …firm-level panel data is unavailable to allow a deep demand-side of job analysis
  • 22. In the manufacturing sector, combined with more of younger and smaller firms exiting during the AFC, employment was increasingly absorbed by old and large firms, protected from competition that may hamper productivity and better job creation Source: Statistik Industri, 1991-2015, WB staff calculation Jobs were increasingly absorbed by old firms Employment share by age group …and by big firms Employment share by firm size Employment share, % Employment share, %
  • 23. Ineffective competition regulatory framework, disparate innovation instruments and regulatory uncertainties contributed to the lack of dynamism by new (and exiting) firms Reform Strategy 1.1 & 2.2 Strengthen the dynamism and allocative efficiency among private domestic firms through policy areas of intervention to unlock firm entry and growth to create competition and innovation, as well as support job transition
  • 24. Contrary to what many people fear, higher productivity growth and higher employment growth go hand-in- hand Reform Strategy 2.1 Facilitating capital investments will be crucial, which can be done by reducing barriers to capital imports and increasing access to financing for investments
  • 25. Manufacturing FDI has heterogenous (positive) effects on a sector’s wages Source: Statistik Industri, 2007-2015, WB staff calculation Increase average wages and benefits for those who have at least a primary education A skills premium where higher-educated and white- collar workers benefit more Women appear to benefit more than men (likely a result of the type of sectors MNC engage in) The effects are more widespread in low-skilled than higher skilled manufacturing sectors Note: firms are classified as MNCs if their foreign capital share is at least 10%. 25 MNC activity in Indonesia is subdued MNC activity shares over time; firm average, 2007-2015 MNC activity share, %
  • 26. Someindustries are better than otherswith respecttotheir potential tocreate goodjobsand women inclusiveness Reform Strategy 2.1 Direct investment promotion strategies (including for infrastructure development) to a select set of priority sectors can improve the overall effectiveness of investment promotion from the perspective of job creation and productivity
  • 27. Household enterprise is ubiquitous in Indonesia, employing 83 million workers or about 69 percent of total employment in Indonesia • There are 45 million household enterprise owners and 38 million working in these enterprises, both unpaid and paid • Around half of informal workers are household enterprise owners • Very low profit per worker of HHE reflects the low productivity of HHE in general •
  • 28. Household enterprises can be a path to middle-class jobs and would be so even more if some of the productivity constraints were addressed 9% percent of self-employed HHE owners earn enough to be classified as MC status (similar finding from a nationally representative survey in (pre-pandemic) 2020), which is slightly lower (5pp) than the rest of income earners Household enterprise owners who: - have a minimum of senior secondary school - use the internet - have financial account - male - older - without any disability - are located in urban areas or in Java Island are more likely to achieve middle-class status Source: IFLS Data 2007-2014, World Bank Staff Calculation 8.5% of HHE owners with unpaid/family workers that were below the MC status in 2007 were able to move up to MC status by 2014
  • 29. Building an inclusive middle- class workforce
  • 30. The Indonesian labor force does not have the education level required for middle-class jobs… Source: Sakernas, 2018, WB staff calculation Only 41% of Indonesian workers have acquired an upper- secondary education or more Educational distribution of workers, 2018
  • 31. … or the skills that are required in middle-class jobs. Interviews with a small group of Indonesian employers find that the most severe shortages are in skills to perform task-type that are most intensive in middle-class jobs. Moreover, middle-class job holders are more likely to pursue training courses once leaving school. (reform strategy 3.1) Sakernas 2007-2015 and O*Net task content of occupation, WB staff calculation. Notes: The task intensity score is estimated for each occupation and then aggregated across sample of middle-class occupations to generate a score for each task intensity type for each year. The sample of “middle-class jobs” is defined in 2015 and the same set of occupations is used for each sample year. Non-middle-class occupations require manual skills Task intensity of non-middle-class occupations, 2007-2015 Middle-class occupations require analytical, cognitive, interpersonal and digital skills Task intensity of middle-class occupations, 2007-2015 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 digital analytical inter-personal cognitive (routine) routine manual adaptable manual 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 digital analytical inter-personal cognitive (routine) routine manual adaptable manual Task intensity Task intensity
  • 32. Middle-class job holders acquired jobs through a wider set of proactive methods than non- middle-class job holders (reform strategy 2.2) Source: Sakernas, 2018, WB staff calculation Proactive job search increases with education level Method of job search, total and by education level, 2018 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% All Primary or less lower secondary upper secondary post-sec TVET college/univ Register with job mkt Contact company Looking for/applying for a job in response to advertisements in print/electronic/ internet media Advertising himself/herself in print/electronic/internet media Contact family/acquaintance Other Share of job search method, %
  • 33. Women, youth, workers with severe disability are under-represented in middle-class jobs, though the constraining factors are not clearly established (reform strategy 3.3) Source: Sakernas, 2018, WB staff calculation Less “vulnerable” groups are over-represented in middle-class jobs Distribution of income-earning jobs and distribution of middle-class jobs across defined demographic groups, 2018 28.6% 71.4% 6.4% 26.5% 29.2% 26.8% 11.1% 18.2% 81.8% 8.5% 7.6% 22.2% 15.0% 8.2% 38.5% 4.7% 0.1% 95.2% 34.9% 65.1% 14.4% 27.3% 25.4% 19.6% 13.3% 38.3% 61.7% 34.4% 17.5% 19.4% 13.0% 3.5% 12.2% 6.1% 0.3% 93.7% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Female Male Age 15-24 Age 25-34 Age 35-44 Age 45-54 Age 55+ Rural Urban Primary or less Lower secondary Upper secondary (general) Upper secondary (vocational) Post-secondary TVET College/university Moderate Severe None sex age location education disability % of MC jobs held by each worker type % of income jobs held by each worker type Share of workers, %
  • 34. Labor legislation is NOT a viable tool for creating middle-class jobs middle-class job no middle-class job Health insurance 86.4% 28.9% Work accident benefit 78.4% 24.5% Death benefit 68.5% 16.6% Old age benefit 62.1% 13.1% Pension 56.3% 9.7% Paid annual leave 75.2% 23.0% Source: Sakernas 2018, WB staff calculation Minimum wage may affect wages (West Sumatra) or not affect wages (Aceh) even among those holding employment contracts Kernel distribution of (log) nominal monthly wage among employees with employment contracts; minimum wages Worker protections are not synonymous with middle-class jobs Share of workers who receive each benefit, by middle-income job status
  • 35. The skill level of the labor force, job search inefficiencies, and social factors hinder advancement to MC jobs Reform Strategy 3 Institutional reforms to enhance job preparation and search, more than labor legislation, can speed the transition to a middle-class workforce
  • 37. Reform Strategy 1: Accelerate Across the Board Productivity Growth Accelerate Across-the-Board Productivity Growth 1.1 Unlock firm entry and growth to create competition and innovation Improve FDI policies, increase access to inputs, markets, and foreign talent in shortage, and integrate firms with global value chains (GVCs) Increase the capacity of domestic firms and workers to benefit from the technology spillovers of FDI A more predictable regulatory framework Stronger competition regulatory framework 1.2 Improve productivity of SME to help them grow and become better creators of MC jobs Design policy instrument to promote incremental innovative activities Design specific measures and strategies to assimilate SME to GVC Expand access to financial services Close digital infrastructure divide 1.4 Tailor support to increase productivity in HHE where a large job exists Rule-of-thumb basic business skills combined with personal initiative (soft skills), competition and innovation training Inclusive ecosystem for HHE by supporting HHE owners to register in the BPJS Ketenagakerjaan Product competitiveness through (1) on-the-job training and apprenticeship, (2) product standardization and professionalization of HHE
  • 38. Reform Strategy 2: Transition to Jobs-Friendly Sectors and Firms Transition to Jobs-Friendly Sectors and Firms 2.1 Prioritize investment promotion strategies in sectors or projects (including infrastructure projects) that are amenable to MC jobs Revisit the current strategic roadmap of the BKPM and apply a lens of middle-class jobs creation or Investment Revisit how prioritization is implemented and evaluate in the medium term To the extent SME policies are not sector- blind, select sectors and enterprises to target with policy interventions by considering their potential for creating middle-class jobs 2.2 Support job transitions through information and financing Continue to develop the Job Loss Guarantee Program (Jaminan Kehilangan Pekerjaan; JKP) to support workers’ transitions up the job ladder Upgrade KarirHub/SiapKerja and the overall LMIS Support job mobility through re-location support
  • 39. 3.1 Facilitate Learning Support at-risk students to complete secondary education Develop and improve access to on-line distance learning for adult workers Teach analytical, cognitive, interpersonal, and digital skills through pedagogical methods Enhance the quality of TVET program by prioritizing the development of quality assurance mechanisms and more effectively engage the enterprise sector 3.2 Provide tailored support to special groups Fine-tune LMIS and training programs to address factors that limit women’s and youth’s success in acquiring middle-class jobs Expand women’s access to social benefits through their jobs Enact legislation to set national norms for women’s access to the labor market Reform Strategy 3: Build a Middle-Class Workforce
  • 40. Thank you Contact authors: • Maria Monica Wihardja mwihardja@worldbank.org • Wendy Cunningham wcunningham@worldbank.org The full report can be downloaded here: https://www.worldbank.org/en/country/indonesia/publicati on/pathways-to-middle-class-jobs-in-indonesia
  • 42. Policy Reform Area Selected Policy Actions Actors Reform Strategy 1: Accelerate Across-the-Board Productivity Growth Unlock new firm entry and growth to create competition and innovation that spur productivity in the private sector. Improve foreign direct investment (FDI) policies, increase access to inputs, markets, and foreign talent for occupations where there is a shortage of domestic workers, and integrate firms with global value chains (GVCs) by: (i) reducing the list of sectors reserved for Indonesian micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs) and turning burdensome minimum local content requirements across various sectors into positive incentives to use local supply; (ii) eliminating the Expatriate Manpower Utilization/Placement Plan as a precondition for employment of expatriates in high-skill occupations for which there is a shortage of domestic workers; (iii) reviewing, reducing, and streamlining nontariff measures including measures around product certification, preshipment inspections, and requirements for ministerial letters of recommendation; (iv) pursuing ambitious preferential trade agreements to lock in domestic reform, and attract investment by finalizing the EU Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement. Office of the President; Coordinating Ministry of Economic Affairs (Kementerian Koordinator Bidang Perekonomian; CMEA); Ministry of Finance; Investment Coordinating Board (Badan Koordinasi Penanaman Modal; BKPM); Ministry of Trade; Ministry of Industry; Ministry of Manpower; Ministry of Cooperatives and SMEs; Ministry of Foreign Affairs; Ministry of Law and Human Rights; Directorate General of Immigration Increase the capacity of domestic firms and workers to benefit from the technology spillovers of FDI by: (i) increasing the human capital of domestic workers (see Reform Strategy 3); (ii) promoting links between firms; (iii) providing incentives and advocacy to promote firm-based training programs; (iv) building business networks; (v) establishing institutional partnerships, especially between domestic and foreign- owned firms; and (vi) providing information services covering, for example, the quality requirements of multinationals. Ministry of Trade; BKPM; Ministry of Research and Technology; Ministry of Industry Support firms with a more predictable regulatory framework by: (i) introducing a regulatory oversight body; (ii) introducing compulsory public consultation procedures; and(iii) consolidating and targeting policy instruments that better assist firms to innovate. Office of the President; Cabinet Secretariat; Ministry of National Development Planning; Ministry of Law and Human Rights Strengthen the competition regulatory framework by: (i) strengthening the technical capacity of the Commission for the Supervision of Business Competition (Komisi Pengawas Persaingan Usaha; KPPU); (ii) revisiting the existing Competition Law (No. 5/1999);(iii) mainstreaming competition considerations in the policy-making process. CMEA; KPPU
  • 43. Improve productivity of small and medium enterprises (SMEs) to help them grow and become better creators of middle-class jobs. Develop specific measures and strategies to assimilate SMEs into GVCs. Smallholders should be integrated into agriculture value chains and home-based workers into manufacturing and services GVCs by: (i) addressing information gaps between SMEs and multinational corporations regarding quality standards; (ii) supporting SMEs to meet these quality standards; (iii) providing tax incentives for multinationals that invest in the upgrading of local suppliers; and (iv) lowering transaction costs for SMEs using free trade agreements. CMEA; Ministry of Industry; Ministry of Cooperatives and SMEs; Ministry of Trade Promote incremental increases in innovative activities to boost productivity with a mix of policy instruments including: (i) technology extension and diffusion programs; (ii) early-stage infrastructure and advisory services; (iii) inducement incentives; (iv) vouchers for collaboration; and (v) direct grants for business innovation. Ministry of Research and Technology; Ministry of Cooperatives and SMEs; Ministry of Trade Close the digital infrastructure divide and ensure affordable, reliable, and ubiquitous high-speed broadband internet access (fixed-broadband and 4G) by: (i) reforming spectrum management and infrastructure sharing to stimulate further private investment; and(ii) closing remaining gaps in internet access through targeted public- private partnerships. Ministry of Information and Communications Technology, in collaboration with telecoms/internet service providers (private sector); Ministry of Public Works; Ministry of State-Owned Enterprises Expand access to financial services by: (i) preparing a roadmap targeting a leveling of the playing field for the delivery of financial services; (ii) strengthening financial sector infrastructure such as credit registries and infrastructure related to secured transactions; and (iii) promoting the use of dedicated liquidity and risk-sharing facilities. Bank Indonesia; Financial Services Authority (Otoritas Jasa Keuangan; OJK); Ministry of Finance; financial intermediaries
  • 44. Target support to increase productivity in household enterprises (HHEs), which house a large share of jobs. Increase basic business skills through training and education by: (i) creating short training programs with simplified rule-of-thumb modules in business skills combined with personal initiative (soft skills) training and innovation training; (ii) providing information to HHEs about the benefits of training and possible routes to enrolling in training; (iii) in the medium term, synchronizing and integrating government training and support programs across ministries and bodies. Ministry of Cooperatives and SMEs; Ministry of Manpower; Ministry of Education; OJK Create inclusive ecosystems for HHEs by: (i) encouraging HHE owners to join the social security system Badan Penyelenggara Jaminan Sosial (BPJS) Ketenagakerjaan for nonwage workers by providing tailored information on the benefits of doing so; (ii) providing government contributions to ease entry into and sustain participation in the program;(iii) promoting the benefits of becoming a legal entity by bundling legal registration with other government support programs; and (iv) improving the delivery of support programs, and broadening and facilitating HHE access to them, independently of their participation in social assistance programs. CMEA; BPJS Ketenagakerjaan; Ministry of Manpower; Ministry of Finance; Ministry of Social Affairs; Ministry of Cooperatives and SMEs Improve product competitiveness by: (i) promoting on-the-job training and apprenticeships; (ii) providing shared factories or machines that can be used by HHEs; (iii) supporting product standardization and modernization of HHEs. Ministry of Cooperatives and SMEs; Ministry of Manpower; technical ministries, including Ministry of Agriculture and Ministry of Industry; National Standardization Body of Indonesia (Badan Standardisasi Nasional)
  • 45. Reform Strategy 2: Transition to Sectors and Firms That Create Good-Quality Jobs Prioritize investment promotion strategies to attract FDI to sectors or projects (including infrastructure projects) that are amenable to the creation of middle-class jobs. Prioritize investment promotion strategies to draw FDI to sectors and projects (including infrastructure projects) that are amenable to the creation of middle-class jobs by(i) revisiting the current strategic roadmap of the BKPM (including the goals for infrastructure development) and applying a lens of middle-class jobs creation using a global best-practice framework, such as the OECD Policy Framework for Investment, when considering which investment to prioritize; also, (ii) revisiting how prioritization is implemented and evaluating in the medium term whether the prioritization strategy has achieved the intended result of more middle-class jobs. Also, to the extent that reforms in the SME and HHE sectors are not sector-blind, select sectors and enterprises to target with policy interventions by considering their potential for creating middle- class jobs. CMEA; BKPM; Ministry of Finance; Ministry of Trade; Ministry of Cooperatives and SMEs; Ministry of Manpower Close information gaps to help workers transition to higher-quality jobs. Upgrade KarirHub and the overall labor market information system by: (i) including private jobs portals and public portals providing services for job search and career development within the system; and (ii) populating the labor market information system platform with real-time information. Ministry of Manpower; Ministry of Social Welfare; Ministry of Education Provide relocation support for hard-to-fill vacancies by: (i) ensuring the labor market information system provides information on nationwide (and not just local) information on job vacancies across Indonesia; and (ii) providing stipends to support relocation (travel, housing, and other social services) for workers who are relocating to fill critical occupations. Continue to develop the Job Loss Guarantee Program (Jaminan Kehilangan Pekerjaan; JKP) to support workers’ transitions up the job ladder by: (i) allowing current workers to opt in (or out) of the program while mandating all newly hired workers to join the system; (ii) working with social partners to define the program parameters—including financing mechanisms—and to implement a communications campaign about the benefits of the reform for workers and firms; (iii) developing a strong monitoring system to avoid misuse of the program; and (iv) establishing strong links with the rest of the labor market information ecosystem.
  • 46. Reform Strategy 3: Build a Middle-Class Workforce Facilitate learning. Provide support to at-risk students to encourage them to complete secondary school by: (i) mapping risk factors for at-risk populations and designing interventions accordingly; and (ii) expanding the reach of and modifying the service delivery mechanism of the Paket C diploma equivalency program. Ministry of Education, Culture and Higher Education (Directorate of Community Education and Special Education); local education authorities (Dinas Pendidikan) Support the development of short technical and vocational education and training (TVET) courses for adult workers and also support their access to these courses by: (i) accrediting web-based training courses; (ii) providing training vouchers for adult learners in critical occupations or skills; and (iii) developing a database of accredited online training courses. Ministry of Manpower; Ministry of Information, Communication and Technology; Ministry of Education, Culture and Higher Education; National Agency for Professional Certification (Badan Nasional Sertifikasi Profesi); National Accreditation Committee (Komite Akreditasi Nasional) Teach nonroutine interpersonal, analytical, and digital skills to students and adult learners through revised curricula and pedagogical methods. Ministry of Education, Culture and Higher Education; Ministry of Manpower; Ministry of Information, Communication and Technology Enhance the quality of TVET programs by: (i) prioritizing the development of the competency framework and the process for accrediting institutions and programs;(ii) developing a centralized monitoring and evaluation system for TVET; (iii) establishing a National Vocational Skills Steering Committee; and (iv) more effectively engaging the enterprise sector by amending Regulation 128/2019 to subsidize results-based worker training, and earmarking public resources to incentivize exchanges of staff between industry and institutions providing TVET. Coordinating Ministry of Human Development and Cultural Affairs; CMEA; Ministry of Finance; Ministry of Education, Culture and Higher Education; Ministry of Manpower, National Agency for Professional Certification; National Accreditation Committee
  • 47. Provide tailored support to particular groups. Fine-tune the labor market information system and training programs to address factors that limit the success of women and youth in acquiring middle-class jobs by: (i) including gender- and age-relevant information in the labor market information system; (ii) earmarking a portion of training vouchers for women and youth to participate in courses that teach business practices and the technology needed for engaging in the gig economy; and(iii) incorporating business development training into entrepreneurship support programs for women. Ministry of Manpower; Ministry of Education, Culture and Higher Education; and technical ministries Expand women’s access to social benefits through their jobs by: (i) modifying the Labor Law to protect against dismissal or disciplinary measures during pregnancy or maternity leave; and (ii) establishing a grievance procedure process related to firm payment of social benefits. CMEA; Ministry of Manpower; Ministry of National Development Planning, Healthcare and Social Security Agency (BPJS) Enact legislation to set national norms for women’s access to the labor market by: (i) clearly defining the “equal pay for equal work” language in the Labor Law; (ii) introducing an article that defines sexual harassment; and (iii) extending paternity benefits to 30 days. Ministry of Manpower; Ministry of Women’s Empowerment and Child Protection