Abstract selection of candidates for general elections

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SELECTION OF CANDIDATES FOR
GENERAL ELECTIONS
This caselet can be used for teaching the concepts of probability including conditional probability
and Bayes’ theorem. The caselet provides a brief about selection of candidates by the political
parties in India for the general elections. New Progressive Party, a newly launched political party
in India, having analyzed and understood the pulse of the public, tries to select the candidates
for the general elections much before its schedule. The selection crieteria was based on – age,
education, clean image (without corruption charges), gender, etc.The Party Secretary wanted to
estimate the chances of selection of a candidate in random with possible combinations of gender,
age, education and a clean image.The caselet focuses on the use of Bayes’ theorem in estimating
the probability of selection of candidate – a female and of age less than 45 years, in random
with possible combinations.
Pedagogical Objectives
• To understand the basics of probability and laws of probability
• To study the application of conditional probability
• To have an in-depth understanding of Bayes’ theorem and its application
CASELET
ABSTRACT
© www.etcases.com

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