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RESEARCH


AUTUMN 2008
EUROPEAN
Market indicators



European rental cycles
Offices                                        Madrid, Moscow                                                                   Barcelona, London
                                          Edinburgh, Paris
                          Brussels, Dublin, Stockholm
       Amsterdam, Frankfurt, Milan, Rome, Vienna
                       Copenhagen, Geneva



                                                                                           Munich, Warsaw
                                                                               Lisbon
                                                                                           Budapest, Prague




Distribution
                                                                       Moscow
Copenhagen, Dublin, Edinburgh, London, Stockholm
                                                                                                                                  Prague

                                                      Geneva

                Brussels, Budapest, Madrid




                                                                             Amsterdam, Barcelona, Frankfurt
                                                                      Lisbon, Munich, Paris, Vienna, Warsaw
                                                                     Milan, Rome




Shopping centres                               Barcelona, Brussels, Madrid                                                    Amsterdam, Dublin, London, Vienna
                                              Milan, Rome, Warsaw
                                                       Stockholm
                                                     Moscow
                                              Geneva, Paris                                                                           Prague


                                                                                         Lisbon
                                    Budapest



                                                                             Copenhagen

                                                                   Edinburgh, Frankfurt, Munich


The Knight Frank wave depicts the current position of selected European centres with respect to their local prime rental cycle. As demand swells relative to supply
and rents rise, centres move towards the crest of the wave. As demand ebbs and rental levels weaken, centres start to move down the wave towards the trough.
Some markets will ride the wave more quickly than others. Similarly, some markets will tread water for periods of time or move only gently through the wave.
AUTUMN 2008
EUROPEAN
Market indicators




  Market monitor – Autumn 2008

                                                 Offices                                         Distribution                                         Retail (shopping centres)
  City                           Prime rents               Prime yields                  Prime rents        Prime yields                           Prime rents        Prime yields
                                 (€/sq m/yr)                   (%)                       (€/sq m/yr)            (%)                                (€/sq m/yr)            (%)
  Amsterdam                            350                      6.00                           95                        6.50                          1,200                       5.25
  Barcelona                            330                       5.50                        103                         6.75                          1,458                       5.50
  Brussels                             285                       5.75                          55                        6.75                          1,200                       5.25
  Budapest                            240                        6.25                          72                        7.25                          1,200                       6.25
  Copenhagen                           250                       5.25                          75                        6.50                          1,000                       5.50
  Dublin                              700                        4.75                         116                        6.25                          4,500*                      4.75
  Edinburgh                           388                        6.25                          95                        7.25                          2,381*                      6.25
  Frankfurt                           468                        5.25                          78                        6.75                          1,920*                      5.75
  Geneva                              496                        5.25                         112                        7.00                            650                       5.75
  Lisbon                               258                       6.25                          84                        7.25                            900                       6.25
  London                            1,497                        5.50                         176                        6.75                          5,987*                      5.75
  Madrid                               504                       5.25                        104                         7.00                           1,625                      5.25
  Milan                                550                       5.25                          70                        7.00                            700                       5.50
  Moscow                             1,267                      8.50                           95                        9.50                          1,330                       8.50
  Munich                               378                      5.00                           78                        6.75                          1,800*                      5.75
  Paris                               840                        4.75                          56                        6.50                          3,000                       5.00
  Prague                               258                       5.75                          54                        7.50                            600                       6.25
  Rome                                 500                       5.50                         60                         7.25                            650                       5.50
  Stockholm                            500                      5.00                         100                         6.75                           1,100                      5.50
  Vienna                               276                       4.75                         60                         7.00                            960                       5.50
  Warsaw                               420                       5.75                          78                        7.00                          1,080                       5.75
  Source: Knight Frank


Indicative prime yields, as quoted locally, based upon a hypothetical Grade A unit. Office rents are for prime city area Grade A space, 2,000 sq m. Shopping Centre rents are based on prime covered
shopping malls, quoted on best position, 100 sq m units. Distribution rents are for prime industrial space of units over 5,000 sq m. The data above is provided for general reference purposes only.
Local market conditions will vary. *Zoned/weighted figure.

Figure 1
European office vacancy rates                    (%)

20



15



10



 5



 0
     Amsterdam Brussels             Dublin       Frankfurt       Lisbon        London        Madrid         Milan        Moscow         Munich          Paris        Prague        Warsaw


Source: Knight Frank                                       Q4 2006              Q2 2007             Q4 2007            Q2 2008



General enquiries                                                  European Investment Team                                            European Valuations Team
Matthew Colbourne                                                  Andrew Sim                                                          Nick Powlesland
Senior Analyst                                                     Partner, Head of European Investment                                Partner, Head of European Valuations
+44 (0)20 7861 1238                                                +44 (0)20 7861 1193                                                 +44 (0)20 7861 1283
matthew.colbourne@knightfrank.com                                  andrew.sim@knightfrank.com                                          nick.powlesland@knightfrank.com


                                                                   www.knightfrank.com
                                                                   Knight Frank LLP is a limited liability partnership registered in England with registered number OC305934.
                                                                   Our registered office is 55 Baker Street, London, W1U 8AN, where you may look at a list of members’ names.

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Get Research Resource4

  • 1. RESEARCH AUTUMN 2008 EUROPEAN Market indicators European rental cycles Offices Madrid, Moscow Barcelona, London Edinburgh, Paris Brussels, Dublin, Stockholm Amsterdam, Frankfurt, Milan, Rome, Vienna Copenhagen, Geneva Munich, Warsaw Lisbon Budapest, Prague Distribution Moscow Copenhagen, Dublin, Edinburgh, London, Stockholm Prague Geneva Brussels, Budapest, Madrid Amsterdam, Barcelona, Frankfurt Lisbon, Munich, Paris, Vienna, Warsaw Milan, Rome Shopping centres Barcelona, Brussels, Madrid Amsterdam, Dublin, London, Vienna Milan, Rome, Warsaw Stockholm Moscow Geneva, Paris Prague Lisbon Budapest Copenhagen Edinburgh, Frankfurt, Munich The Knight Frank wave depicts the current position of selected European centres with respect to their local prime rental cycle. As demand swells relative to supply and rents rise, centres move towards the crest of the wave. As demand ebbs and rental levels weaken, centres start to move down the wave towards the trough. Some markets will ride the wave more quickly than others. Similarly, some markets will tread water for periods of time or move only gently through the wave.
  • 2. AUTUMN 2008 EUROPEAN Market indicators Market monitor – Autumn 2008 Offices Distribution Retail (shopping centres) City Prime rents Prime yields Prime rents Prime yields Prime rents Prime yields (€/sq m/yr) (%) (€/sq m/yr) (%) (€/sq m/yr) (%) Amsterdam 350 6.00 95 6.50 1,200 5.25 Barcelona 330 5.50 103 6.75 1,458 5.50 Brussels 285 5.75 55 6.75 1,200 5.25 Budapest 240 6.25 72 7.25 1,200 6.25 Copenhagen 250 5.25 75 6.50 1,000 5.50 Dublin 700 4.75 116 6.25 4,500* 4.75 Edinburgh 388 6.25 95 7.25 2,381* 6.25 Frankfurt 468 5.25 78 6.75 1,920* 5.75 Geneva 496 5.25 112 7.00 650 5.75 Lisbon 258 6.25 84 7.25 900 6.25 London 1,497 5.50 176 6.75 5,987* 5.75 Madrid 504 5.25 104 7.00 1,625 5.25 Milan 550 5.25 70 7.00 700 5.50 Moscow 1,267 8.50 95 9.50 1,330 8.50 Munich 378 5.00 78 6.75 1,800* 5.75 Paris 840 4.75 56 6.50 3,000 5.00 Prague 258 5.75 54 7.50 600 6.25 Rome 500 5.50 60 7.25 650 5.50 Stockholm 500 5.00 100 6.75 1,100 5.50 Vienna 276 4.75 60 7.00 960 5.50 Warsaw 420 5.75 78 7.00 1,080 5.75 Source: Knight Frank Indicative prime yields, as quoted locally, based upon a hypothetical Grade A unit. Office rents are for prime city area Grade A space, 2,000 sq m. Shopping Centre rents are based on prime covered shopping malls, quoted on best position, 100 sq m units. Distribution rents are for prime industrial space of units over 5,000 sq m. The data above is provided for general reference purposes only. Local market conditions will vary. *Zoned/weighted figure. Figure 1 European office vacancy rates (%) 20 15 10 5 0 Amsterdam Brussels Dublin Frankfurt Lisbon London Madrid Milan Moscow Munich Paris Prague Warsaw Source: Knight Frank Q4 2006 Q2 2007 Q4 2007 Q2 2008 General enquiries European Investment Team European Valuations Team Matthew Colbourne Andrew Sim Nick Powlesland Senior Analyst Partner, Head of European Investment Partner, Head of European Valuations +44 (0)20 7861 1238 +44 (0)20 7861 1193 +44 (0)20 7861 1283 matthew.colbourne@knightfrank.com andrew.sim@knightfrank.com nick.powlesland@knightfrank.com www.knightfrank.com Knight Frank LLP is a limited liability partnership registered in England with registered number OC305934. Our registered office is 55 Baker Street, London, W1U 8AN, where you may look at a list of members’ names.