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INDIA
2023
Why the G20 Should Lead
Multilateral Reform for
Inclusive Responsible
AI Governance for the
Global South
June 2023
Shamira Ahmed, Executive Director, Data Economy Policy Hub (DepHUB)
Dio Herdiawan Tobing, Head, Public Policy, Asia, World Benchmarking
Alliance (WBA)
Mohammed Soliman, Director, Strategic Technologies and Cyber Security
Program, Middle East Institute (MEI)
Task Force 7
Towards Reformed Multilateralism: Transforming Global
Institutions and Frameworks
T20 Policy Brief
Abstract
3
ABSTRACT
A
rtificial intelligence (AI)
creates unique challenges
for the Global South.
While AI presents
opportunities for ‘leapfrogging’, it can
also result in considerable adverse
externalities if it is developed and
deployed irresponsibly.
Despite being more susceptible to the
negative impacts of AI, current global
AI governance initiatives do not reflect
Global South realities. Multilateral reform
for global AI governance is urgently
needed to facilitate a transversal,
mission-oriented approach that
incorporates multiple stakeholders and
ensures the legitimacy of international
cooperation. This will help guarantee
that systemic consolidation of power and
control is addressed, digital dividends
are distributed more equitably, and
existential AI risks are mitigated to suit
the various socioeconomic realities of
both the Global South and Global North.
This policy brief recommends that
the G20 lead efforts to reflect our
interdependent, culturally diverse,
and modern society by amplifying
participation of the Global South in the
development of global AI governance.
The Challenge
1
5
THE CHALLENGE
T
he disruptive impact
of artificial intelligence
(AI) cannot only be
viewed from a techno-
deterministic lens. As much as
technology influences society, society
also impacts technological innovations
via governance, principles, technical
standards, diffusion, adaptation,
and integration.1
On the one hand,
robust national systems of innovation
(NSI) require effective domestic
governance of science technology
and innovation (STI) and coordination
between the triple helix actors.2
On
the other hand, our multidimensional
transnational interdependencies
highlight that international cooperation
for responsible AI governance3
is
necessary if the majority of the Global
South are to catch up and compete
with technologically advanced high-
income countries in the Global North.
This will ultimately enable the Global
South to navigate the multidimensional
challenges and existential risks
that AI potentially presents to our
interdependent global system.
The following challenges underline the need
for reformed multilateralism for inclusive
responsible AI global governance:
The rise of neo-techno-
nationalists and global
regulatory uncertainty
For decades, harmonised global
technical standards, regulations,
policies, and norms have enabled
access to global (digital) public goods,
technology, and knowledge transfers,
and the deployment of cutting-edge
lifesaving research. They have also
facilitated the unprecedented speed of
development in frontier technologies
that we now associate with data-driven
digital transformation.4
Paradoxically,
these hyper-globalisation-induced
processes have also negatively
impacted developing countries
because many STI policy instruments
that have been created to improve
research and development (R&D) and
broader innovation ecosystems in the
Global North often fail to capture the
techno-socio-political complexities of
innovation ecosystems in the Global
South.5,6
Geopolitics and global market-
driven capitalist agendas have also
played a role in influencing institutions
that shape global governance,7
often
to suit techno-nationalist agendas.8
The competition however, for data
control and tech supremacy has
transitioned beyond techno-nationalism
and precipitated to a neo-techno-
6 THE CHALLENGE
nationalist race, spearheaded by a few
geopolitical powerhouses that influence
the development of the data-driven
digital economy.9
The AI Big Three—China, the European
Union (EU) and the US—arguably shape
the new global order of governance,
deployment, and development of AI and
the broader data-driven digital economy
in support of their interests. This has
led to a fragmented international
regulatory regime,10
which lacks clear
harmonised guidelines, values, and
technical standards that support the
developmental needs of countries in
the Global South. It is evident that the
AI Big Three aim not only to control and
own global critical infrastructure and
software, and hardware value chains
that are prerequisites for national AI
deployments. Their objective is also
the diffusion of ideological values
and technical standards to control,
reshape institutions, and frame global
governance of AI developments and
deploymentsbeyondtheirjurisdictions.11
At an industry level, the AI Big Three
are headquarters of the top 200 most
influential digital technology companies
worldwide, and they shape current
industry-led global AI governance with
ethical AI frameworks.12
Exclusionary global AI
governance mechanisms
and uneven power dynamics
Various global multistakeholder
initiatives have raised awareness
about AI governance challenges with
diverse stakeholders to address the
many aspects of AI governance,
including tackling issues related to
human rights, data governance, and
innovation (see Table 1). However,
the lack of formal decision-making
structures, binding mechanisms, and
enforceable regulations undermines
the effectiveness and impact of
these existing initiatives, leading to a
fragmented and inconsistent landscape
of global AI governance.13
There is an insufficient emphasis on
addressing representation imbalances
and power asymmetries, resulting in the
limited influence of the key stakeholders,
including the academia, civil society,
private sector, and public authorities
of the Global South in shaping global
AI governance. There is also a lack of
consideration for the fact that Western
knowledge, values, and ideas, which
function well in one environment might
not function as effectively when adopted
elsewhere or be maintained after
7
THE CHALLENGE
Table 1: The current actors and institutions in global AI governance
Institution Description
Role in AI
Governance
Advantages Limitations
Specialised
Institution
United
Nations
Intergovernmental
organization
Facilitating
international
discussions on
AI policies and
standards
Global reach and
legitimacy
Lack of binding
enforcement
power
ITU (International
Telecommunication
Union)
Roundtable 3C on
AI under the United
Nations Secretary-
General’s (UNSG)
Digital Roadmap
OECD
(Organisation
for Economic
Co-operation
and
Development)
International
economic
organisation
Developing
principles and
guidelines for
trustworthy AI
Strong research
and policy
expertise
Limited
membership,
primarily
focused on
developed
countries
OECD AI Policy
Observatory
G20
Forum for
international
economic
cooperation
Addressing global
challenges and
opportunities of AI
Involvement of
major economies
Limited ability to
enforce policies
across member
states
N/A
World
Economic
Forum
International
organisation for
public-private
cooperation
Advancing
responsible AI
development and
deployment
Multi-stakeholder
engagement and
partnerships
Participation
limited to
member
organisations
Global AI Council,
Center for the
Fourth Industrial
Revolution (C4IR)
AI Global
Governance
Commission
Independent
expert
commission
Researching
and providing
recommendations
on AI governance
Neutral and
independent
expertise
Limited direct
policymaking
authority
N/A
Partnership
on AI (PAI)
Multi-stakeholder
initiative
Promoting ethical AI
principles and best
practices
Collaboration
among diverse
stakeholders
Voluntary
participation,
non-binding
commitments
N/A
Global
Partnership
for AI
International
collaboration
platform
Developing
AI policies
and fostering
responsible AI
innovation
Focus on AI
ethics, inclusion,
and human rights
Relatively new
initiative, impact
remains to be
seen
ISO/IEC JTC 1/
SC 42 (Artificial
Intelligence)
Multinational
Tech
Companies
Google,
Microsoft, IBM,
etc.
Developing and
implementing AI
technologies
Cutting-edge
research and
development
capabilities
Potential for
concentration
of power and
influence
IEEE Standards
Association, ISO/
IEC JTC 1/SC 42
Information
Technology
Industry Council
(ITI)
IEEE
(Institute of
Electrical and
Electronics
Engineers)
Professional
association
Setting technical
standards for AI
Broad technical
expertise
and industry
participation
Primarily
focuses on
technical
aspects of AI
governance
IEEE Standards
Association
Source: Various sources
8 THE CHALLENGE
conditions change. This is particularly
so given the exponential breakthroughs
that are commonplace in general-use
AI developments. 14
Furthermore, many Global South
actors have also argued that
current transnational AI governance
frameworks are exclusionary. Their
expertise in interpreting AI risks
has been overlooked, and existing
initiatives do not adequately consider
the perspectives of Global South
experts. Without active measures to
facilitate meaningful participation in the
multidimensional global AI governance
discourse, countries in the Global South
will likely find it challenging to limit the
harm caused by AI-based disruptions.
Lack of effective transversal
governance solutions for
overlapping challenges
In the rapidly evolving landscape
of technological advancements,
addressing interdisciplinary challenges
requires effective transversal
governance solutions. AI has the
potential to play a significant role
in transnational STI ecosystems by
enabling new forms of collaboration,
accelerating the pace of discovery and
innovation, and enhancing the efficiency
and effectiveness of R&D processes,
to address interconnected economic,
social, and environmental challenges.
Adapting STI ecosystems to benefit
from AI deployments presents not only
opportunities but also challenges and
risks that are dependent on a range of
factors including AI enablers, existing
structural inequities, the extent of AI
adoption, and the level of investment in
AI R&D. Quality machine-readable data
plays a critical role in AI governance.
Thus, data governance is a critical
component of AI governance, as the
quality and integrity of the data used
can have significant implications for the
outcomes of the AI system. Effective
data governance is crucial to fostering
innovation by enabling the development
and implementation of AI technologies
that are ethical, responsible, and
effective in reaching STI policy goals,
especially given the breakneck speed
with which AI advances such as
generative AI are taking place.
Diverging AI impacts and
contrasting regional realities
The countries most prepared to reap
the benefits from the datafication
of socioeconomic activity and
technological progress associated with
9
THE CHALLENGE
AI are those that are already equipped
with the critical digital infrastructure and
enabling economic factor endowments15
associated with higher internet
penetration.16
While the potential risks
of AI can be similarly experienced
across the world, the Global South
is potentially more vulnerable to the
estimated harms associated with
AI due to transversal systemic
constraints, including historical legacies
of structural marginalisation.17
Countries with the highest number of
innovators, shareholders, and investors
who provide the intellectual and
physical capital to power AI systems will
typically be the biggest beneficiaries of
AI. This will widen the disproportionate
wealth disparity between countries
that rely on capital and those that
rely on labour and natural resources,
including many low and middle-income
countries .18
As evidenced by previous
industrial revolutions, the benefits of
widespread technological disruptions
are distributed unevenly.19
The G20’s Role
2
11
THE G20’S ROLE
D
iscussions on responsible
AI global governance has
become a regular part of
the G20 agenda. Several
initiatives and working groups have been
established where discussions typically
focus on three main areas: ethical
considerations, economic implications,
and regulatory frameworks. While the
G20 AI Principles provide a framework
for countries and organisations to
develop and deploy AI in a way that
is beneficial and addresses concerns
related to ethics, privacy, and security,
there is limited consideration of the
distributional aspects and existing
multidimensional power dynamics that
shape global AI governance.
The G20 has a history of success in
creating consensus and coordinating
action-oriented inclusive frameworks
that support the developmental
agenda and leverage the potential
of international cooperation despite
tensions and sometimes contrasting
stances.a
The G20 has historically also
beencalledupontocreateacoordinating
committee for the governance of artificial
intelligence and data (CCGAID)20
that
simultaneously institutionalises linkages
between relevant actors within the G20
and the broader global responsible AI,
data, and STI regime, and amplifies
multistakeholder participation of the
Global South in the development of
global AI governance processes.
Inclusive ultistakeholder interdisciplinary
debates, particularly for potentially
disruptive technologies such as AI
are crucial to ensure that systemic
consolidation of power and control
are addressed.
a The G20 Financial Stability Board (FSB) and The OECD/G20 Base Erosion and Profit Shifting (BEPS)
initiative
Recommendations
to the G20
3
13
RECOMMENDATIONS TO THE G20
Create an inclusive
framework to promote
a decolonial-informed
approach
Different regions and cultures may
have different interpretations of what
constitutes ethical AI, which can lead
to disagreements on governance.
The identification of areas where
cross-cultural agreement on norms,
standards, or rules and where alternative
interpretations and approaches are
acceptable or even desirable is a
fundamental difficulty in developing
inclusive AI ethics and governance.
Furthermore, given that ‘fairness’ and
‘security’ are contested concepts
that can lead to disagreements on AI
governance policies, we propose the
establishment of a Global AI Knowledge
Hub, a centralised platform for sharing
best practices, research findings,
and policy recommendations on AI
governance. Such a platform would
address ethical issues and involve
expertsandcitizensinthetransformation
of technical and social considerations
into governance mechanisms, thereby
benefitting countries of both the Global
North and Global South.
As part of a mission-oriented21
multistakeholder committee, the
CCGAID can promote the G20 AI
Principles by initiating an inclusive
framework that ensures the involvement
of multistakeholder representatives
from the Global South. It is important
that the inclusive framework not simply
be exclusive to current G20 members,
and that various players from the
Global South must be present and
heard during both the creation of the
CCGAID and the subsequent drafting
of technical standards, regulations,
and implementation strategies. The
inclusive framework is suitable for
meta-governance mechanisms for
reformed multilateralism. It can also
be used to build on existing initiatives
such as data-free flows with trust
(DFFT),22
just data value creation
(JDVC), and responsible AI.23
Given the increasing significance of
regional coordination, regional political
and economic organisations from the
Global South, such as the African Union
Commission , Association of Southeast
Asian Nations, and the Southern
Common Market (better known as
Mercosur) should also be included as
part of the G20 CCGAID. The CCGAID
inclusive framework must be grounded
in an inter-vertical approach, which
would provide a forum for multilateral
policy formulation and mechanisms for
14 RECOMMENDATIONS TO THE G20
collaborative capacity-building, those
that analyse, synthesise, and build
upon links between varied experiences
in different verticals. For example,
lessons learned from the successful
DFFT, JDVC, and responsible AI of
data ecosystems with more AI maturity
would inspire solutions to challenges in
data-transfers and AI risks in another
field. Such reflections would also
allow multilateral institutions to adopt
reflexivity to identify impending global
and societal needs, and also tailor
institutional objectives that support
existing initiatives.
A decolonial-informed approach (DIA)
to responsible AI governance can help
address power imbalances, encourage
capacity building to legitimise
international cooperation, and ensure
that the expertise, experience,
and perspectives of Global South
stakeholders are considered.
To support a DIA, the CCGAID must
establish a dedicated Global South
Working Group (GSWG) that includes
multistakeholder representatives from
the Global South. This working group
would ensure the inclusion of diverse
perspectives in shaping respobsible
AI governance frameworks, facilitate
capacity building and collaborative
learningprogrammes,providetechnical
assistance, fund research partnerships,
offer scholarships for Global South
researchers and policymakers, and
facilitate the exchange of knowledge
and best practices among participating
countries.
The GSWG should also ensure that
the different stakeholder groups are
sufficiently equipped to navigate
the complex landscape of data,
digitalisation, responsible AI, and
STI and are involved in initiatives to
foster international collaboration on
crosscutting data, digitalisation, RAI,
and STI challenges.
Coordinate transversal
policies and agile regulatory
frameworks
The CCGAID should establish
mechanisms to coordinate policies
across different sectors and domains
to ensure coherence in addressing
crosscutting challenges related to
responsible AI, data, digitalisation,
and STI governance. The CCGAID
should be motivated by financing and
capacity-building mechanisms for the
implementation of agreed technical
standards and regulations that would
15
RECOMMENDATIONS TO THE G20
assist in improving the Global South’s
digital public infrastructure, as well
as by strategies to guide Global
South policymakers in the formulation
of domestic responsible AI policy
frameworks compliant with global data
governance requirements, to foster
their STI ecosystems. Regulatory
frameworks should also be flexible
enough to balance AI innovations with
risk management recommendations on
AI governance and other mega-trends
such as climate change, demographic
shifts, urbanisation, digital technologies,
and inequalities.24
Crosscutting challenges arise due to
regulatory fragmentation and lack of
interoperability in data ecosystems.
Global policies should promote
data integration, standardisation,
and secure sharing mechanisms to
facilitate seamless collaboration and
strengthening of multi-level data
ecosystems. Transversal governance
should address issues of bias, privacy,
accountability, ethics, and transparency
in AI systems. For developing nations,
it is important to co-create conceptual
and normative global AI frameworks that
align with their specific requirements.
By adopting a holistic and collaborative
approach, policymakers can tackle the
complexity of crosscutting governance
domains, promote responsible
innovation, and ensure that the benefits
of data-driven technologies are
harnessed for sustainable and inclusive
digital development, suited to various
innovation ecosystems.
Collaborate with other
multilateral data and AI
governance initiatives to
prevent duplication of efforts
Several supranational initiatives have
been launched to promote responsible
AI governance, development, and
deployment that support the Sustainable
Development Goals. Given the rapid
pace of technological advancements,
the CCGAID must collaborate with
other multilateral organisations to pool
resources and leverage investments
in capacity-building programmes
to enhance stakeholder skills and
knowledge in order for them to
understand and navigate the complex
landscape of data, digitalisation, AI, and
STI as well as develop and implement
agile regulatory frameworks that keep
up with technological advancements
while safeguarding the public interest,
privacy, and security.
16 RECOMMENDATIONS TO THE G20
Attribution: Shamira Ahmed, Dio Herdiawan Tobing, and Mohammed Soliman, “Why the G20 Should
Lead Multilateral Reform for Inclusive Responsible AI Governance for the Global South,” T20 Policy Brief,
June 2023.
However, there needs to be more
emphasis on the global distributional
issues associated with AI,25
which
requires a comprehensive approach
that involves multiple stakeholders and
careful consideration of the potential
impacts of AI and the co-creation of
policies, regulations, and deadline-
oriented implementable interventions,
which can mitigate adverse effects,
while promoting positive outcomes for
all of society.
International organisations collaborating
and building on existing multilateral
initiatives can identify global
opportunities and guide future
investments. They can strengthen
oversight, facilitate research on common
challenges, and promote the sharing
of best practices to govern generative
AI, foundational models, and data to
support responsible AI governance.
Organisations such as the World Bank,
Organization for Economic Cooperation
and Development, and the United
Nations can work together with the G20
to establish clear objectives and identify
areas of overlap or complementarity
in global data, digitalisation, and
responsible AI initiatives.
This collaboration must include
multilateral developmental partnerships
with developed nations that have
already implemented AI governance
frameworks, which can provide
valuable cross-sectoral lessons
and knowledge exchange. Regular
consultations, joint research projects,
and the sharing of best practices
and expertise can facilitate this
collaboration. Furthermore, as part of
the inclusive framework, the CCGAID
should facilitate initiatives with other
multilateral institutions on technology
transfers to bridge the data and digital
divide and ensure equitable access
to AI capabilities, particularly in the
Global South.
17
Endnotes
1 Walter Mattli, “The politics and economics of international institutional standards setting:
an introduction,” Journal of European Public Policy 8, no. 3, 2001, 328-344, https://doi.
org/10.1080/13501760110056004
2 Yuzhuo Cai and Marcelo Amaral, “The Triple Helix Model and the Future of Innovation: A
Reflection on the Triple Helix Research Agenda,” Triple Helix 8, no. 2. 2021. 217-229.
3 Kutoma Wakunuma, George Ogoh, Damian Eke, and Simi Akintoye, “Responsible AI, SDGs,
and AI Governance in Africa,” 2022 IST-Africa Conference (IST-Africa), 2022, https://doi.
org/10.23919/IST-Africa56635.2022.9845598
4 United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, “Technology and Innovation
Report 2021,” UNCTAD, 2021, https://unctad.org/publication/technology-and-innovation-
report-2021.
5 Chux U Daniels, Olga Ustyuzhantseva, and Wei Yao, “Innovation for inclusive development,
public policy support and triple helix: perspectives from BRICS,” African Journal of Science,
Technology, Innovation and Development 9, no. 5.2017,513-527.
6 Raphael Kaplinsky and Erika Kraemer-Mbula, “Innovation and Uneven Development: The
Challenge for Low- and Middle-Income Economies,” Research Policy 51, no. 2.2022,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2021.104394
7 Daron Acemoglu and Simon Johnson, Power and Progress: Our Thousand-Year Struggle
Over Technology and Prosperity (New York: PublicAffairs, 2023)
8 Yadong Luo, “Illusions of techno-nationalism,” Journal of International Business Studies 53,
2022, 550-567
9 Jing Cheng and Jinghan Zeng, “Shaping AI’s Future? China in Global AI Governance,”
Journal of Contemporary China, 2022, https://doi.org/10.1080/10670564.2022.2107391
10 Ren Bin Lee ,Dixon, “A principled governance for emerging AI regimes: lessons from China,
the European Union, and the United States”, AI Ethics,2022, https://doi.org/10.1007/
s43681-022-00205-0
11 Charlotte Siegmann and Markus Anderljung, “The Brussels Effect and Artificial Intelligence:
How EU Regulation Will Impact the Global AI Market” Centre for the Governance of AI,
2022, https://www.governance.ai/research-paper/brussels-effect-ai
12 World Benchmarking Aliance (WBA), 2023 Digital Inclusion Benchmark datasethttps://www.
worldbenchmarkingalliance.org
13 LewinSchmitt, “Mapping global AI governance: a nascent regime in a fragmented landscape.
AI Ethics 2, 2022, 303–314
14 Dani Rodrik, “When Ideas and Technologies Cause More Harm than Good,” Project
Syndicate, February 9, 2023, https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/when-ideas-
and-technologies-cause-more-harm-than-good-by-dani-rodrik-2023-02
18
15 Srinivasan Thirukodikaval Nilakanta and Quibria Muhammed, “Technological Progress,
Factor Endowments and Structural Change: A Note,” The Bangladesh Development Studies
32, no. 4, 2009, 95–105
16 United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, “Structural Transformation, Industry
4.0 and inequality: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy Challenges,” UNCTAD, 2019,
https://unctad.org/system/files/official-document/ciid43_en.pdf
17 Chinmayi Arun, “AI and the Global South: Designing for Other Worlds,” In Markus D. Dubber,
Frank Pasquale, and Sunit Das (eds.), The Oxford Handbook of Ethics of AI (Oxford: Oxford
University Press, 2019).
18 Anton Korinek, Martin Schindler, and Joseph Stiglitz. “Technological Progress, Artificial
Intelligence, and Inclusive Growth,” IMF Working Papers 2021/166, 2021, https://www.imf.
org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2021/06/11/Technological-Progress-Artificial-Intelligence-
and-Inclusive-Growth-460695
19 UNCTAD, “Technology and Innovation Report”
20 Thorsten Jelinek, Wendell Wallach, and Danil Kerimi, “Policy Brief: The Creation of a G20
Coordinating Committee for The Governance Of Artificial Intelligence,” AI and Ethics,
2021,141-150.
21 Mariana Mazzucato, “Catch-up and Mission-oriented Innovation,” in Arkebe Oqubay and
Kenichi Ohno (eds), How Nations Learn: Technological Learning, Industrial Policy, and
Catch-up (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2019)
22 Fumiko Kudo, Ryosuke Sakaki, and Jonathan Soble, “Every Country Has Its Own Digital
Laws. How Can We Get Data Flowing Freely Between Them?,” WeForum, May 20, 2022,
https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2022/05/cross-border-data-regulation-dfft/
23 Shamira Ahmed, “Rethinking Data Governance for Just Public Data Value Creation and
Responsible Artificial Intelligence in Africa,” Medium, May 5, 2023, https://shamiraahmed.
medium.com/rethinking-data-governance-for-just-public-data-value-creation-and-
responsible-artificial-926b83d4ba48
24 United Nations Environment Programme, “Report for the UN 75th Anniversary: Shaping the
Trends of Our Time,” UNEP, September 17, 2020, https://www.unep.org/resources/report/
Shaping-Trends-Our-Time-Report
25 Ekkehard Ernst, Rossana Merola, and Daniel Samaan, “The economics of artificial
intelligence: Implications for the future of work,” ILO Future Of Work Research Paper Series,
2018, https://www.ilo.org/wcmsp5/groups/public/---dgreports/---cabinet/documents/
publication/wcms_647306.pdf
INDIA 2023

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AI-Governance, AIWS Guidelines

  • 1. INDIA 2023 Why the G20 Should Lead Multilateral Reform for Inclusive Responsible AI Governance for the Global South June 2023 Shamira Ahmed, Executive Director, Data Economy Policy Hub (DepHUB) Dio Herdiawan Tobing, Head, Public Policy, Asia, World Benchmarking Alliance (WBA) Mohammed Soliman, Director, Strategic Technologies and Cyber Security Program, Middle East Institute (MEI) Task Force 7 Towards Reformed Multilateralism: Transforming Global Institutions and Frameworks T20 Policy Brief
  • 3. 3 ABSTRACT A rtificial intelligence (AI) creates unique challenges for the Global South. While AI presents opportunities for ‘leapfrogging’, it can also result in considerable adverse externalities if it is developed and deployed irresponsibly. Despite being more susceptible to the negative impacts of AI, current global AI governance initiatives do not reflect Global South realities. Multilateral reform for global AI governance is urgently needed to facilitate a transversal, mission-oriented approach that incorporates multiple stakeholders and ensures the legitimacy of international cooperation. This will help guarantee that systemic consolidation of power and control is addressed, digital dividends are distributed more equitably, and existential AI risks are mitigated to suit the various socioeconomic realities of both the Global South and Global North. This policy brief recommends that the G20 lead efforts to reflect our interdependent, culturally diverse, and modern society by amplifying participation of the Global South in the development of global AI governance.
  • 5. 5 THE CHALLENGE T he disruptive impact of artificial intelligence (AI) cannot only be viewed from a techno- deterministic lens. As much as technology influences society, society also impacts technological innovations via governance, principles, technical standards, diffusion, adaptation, and integration.1 On the one hand, robust national systems of innovation (NSI) require effective domestic governance of science technology and innovation (STI) and coordination between the triple helix actors.2 On the other hand, our multidimensional transnational interdependencies highlight that international cooperation for responsible AI governance3 is necessary if the majority of the Global South are to catch up and compete with technologically advanced high- income countries in the Global North. This will ultimately enable the Global South to navigate the multidimensional challenges and existential risks that AI potentially presents to our interdependent global system. The following challenges underline the need for reformed multilateralism for inclusive responsible AI global governance: The rise of neo-techno- nationalists and global regulatory uncertainty For decades, harmonised global technical standards, regulations, policies, and norms have enabled access to global (digital) public goods, technology, and knowledge transfers, and the deployment of cutting-edge lifesaving research. They have also facilitated the unprecedented speed of development in frontier technologies that we now associate with data-driven digital transformation.4 Paradoxically, these hyper-globalisation-induced processes have also negatively impacted developing countries because many STI policy instruments that have been created to improve research and development (R&D) and broader innovation ecosystems in the Global North often fail to capture the techno-socio-political complexities of innovation ecosystems in the Global South.5,6 Geopolitics and global market- driven capitalist agendas have also played a role in influencing institutions that shape global governance,7 often to suit techno-nationalist agendas.8 The competition however, for data control and tech supremacy has transitioned beyond techno-nationalism and precipitated to a neo-techno-
  • 6. 6 THE CHALLENGE nationalist race, spearheaded by a few geopolitical powerhouses that influence the development of the data-driven digital economy.9 The AI Big Three—China, the European Union (EU) and the US—arguably shape the new global order of governance, deployment, and development of AI and the broader data-driven digital economy in support of their interests. This has led to a fragmented international regulatory regime,10 which lacks clear harmonised guidelines, values, and technical standards that support the developmental needs of countries in the Global South. It is evident that the AI Big Three aim not only to control and own global critical infrastructure and software, and hardware value chains that are prerequisites for national AI deployments. Their objective is also the diffusion of ideological values and technical standards to control, reshape institutions, and frame global governance of AI developments and deploymentsbeyondtheirjurisdictions.11 At an industry level, the AI Big Three are headquarters of the top 200 most influential digital technology companies worldwide, and they shape current industry-led global AI governance with ethical AI frameworks.12 Exclusionary global AI governance mechanisms and uneven power dynamics Various global multistakeholder initiatives have raised awareness about AI governance challenges with diverse stakeholders to address the many aspects of AI governance, including tackling issues related to human rights, data governance, and innovation (see Table 1). However, the lack of formal decision-making structures, binding mechanisms, and enforceable regulations undermines the effectiveness and impact of these existing initiatives, leading to a fragmented and inconsistent landscape of global AI governance.13 There is an insufficient emphasis on addressing representation imbalances and power asymmetries, resulting in the limited influence of the key stakeholders, including the academia, civil society, private sector, and public authorities of the Global South in shaping global AI governance. There is also a lack of consideration for the fact that Western knowledge, values, and ideas, which function well in one environment might not function as effectively when adopted elsewhere or be maintained after
  • 7. 7 THE CHALLENGE Table 1: The current actors and institutions in global AI governance Institution Description Role in AI Governance Advantages Limitations Specialised Institution United Nations Intergovernmental organization Facilitating international discussions on AI policies and standards Global reach and legitimacy Lack of binding enforcement power ITU (International Telecommunication Union) Roundtable 3C on AI under the United Nations Secretary- General’s (UNSG) Digital Roadmap OECD (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development) International economic organisation Developing principles and guidelines for trustworthy AI Strong research and policy expertise Limited membership, primarily focused on developed countries OECD AI Policy Observatory G20 Forum for international economic cooperation Addressing global challenges and opportunities of AI Involvement of major economies Limited ability to enforce policies across member states N/A World Economic Forum International organisation for public-private cooperation Advancing responsible AI development and deployment Multi-stakeholder engagement and partnerships Participation limited to member organisations Global AI Council, Center for the Fourth Industrial Revolution (C4IR) AI Global Governance Commission Independent expert commission Researching and providing recommendations on AI governance Neutral and independent expertise Limited direct policymaking authority N/A Partnership on AI (PAI) Multi-stakeholder initiative Promoting ethical AI principles and best practices Collaboration among diverse stakeholders Voluntary participation, non-binding commitments N/A Global Partnership for AI International collaboration platform Developing AI policies and fostering responsible AI innovation Focus on AI ethics, inclusion, and human rights Relatively new initiative, impact remains to be seen ISO/IEC JTC 1/ SC 42 (Artificial Intelligence) Multinational Tech Companies Google, Microsoft, IBM, etc. Developing and implementing AI technologies Cutting-edge research and development capabilities Potential for concentration of power and influence IEEE Standards Association, ISO/ IEC JTC 1/SC 42 Information Technology Industry Council (ITI) IEEE (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers) Professional association Setting technical standards for AI Broad technical expertise and industry participation Primarily focuses on technical aspects of AI governance IEEE Standards Association Source: Various sources
  • 8. 8 THE CHALLENGE conditions change. This is particularly so given the exponential breakthroughs that are commonplace in general-use AI developments. 14 Furthermore, many Global South actors have also argued that current transnational AI governance frameworks are exclusionary. Their expertise in interpreting AI risks has been overlooked, and existing initiatives do not adequately consider the perspectives of Global South experts. Without active measures to facilitate meaningful participation in the multidimensional global AI governance discourse, countries in the Global South will likely find it challenging to limit the harm caused by AI-based disruptions. Lack of effective transversal governance solutions for overlapping challenges In the rapidly evolving landscape of technological advancements, addressing interdisciplinary challenges requires effective transversal governance solutions. AI has the potential to play a significant role in transnational STI ecosystems by enabling new forms of collaboration, accelerating the pace of discovery and innovation, and enhancing the efficiency and effectiveness of R&D processes, to address interconnected economic, social, and environmental challenges. Adapting STI ecosystems to benefit from AI deployments presents not only opportunities but also challenges and risks that are dependent on a range of factors including AI enablers, existing structural inequities, the extent of AI adoption, and the level of investment in AI R&D. Quality machine-readable data plays a critical role in AI governance. Thus, data governance is a critical component of AI governance, as the quality and integrity of the data used can have significant implications for the outcomes of the AI system. Effective data governance is crucial to fostering innovation by enabling the development and implementation of AI technologies that are ethical, responsible, and effective in reaching STI policy goals, especially given the breakneck speed with which AI advances such as generative AI are taking place. Diverging AI impacts and contrasting regional realities The countries most prepared to reap the benefits from the datafication of socioeconomic activity and technological progress associated with
  • 9. 9 THE CHALLENGE AI are those that are already equipped with the critical digital infrastructure and enabling economic factor endowments15 associated with higher internet penetration.16 While the potential risks of AI can be similarly experienced across the world, the Global South is potentially more vulnerable to the estimated harms associated with AI due to transversal systemic constraints, including historical legacies of structural marginalisation.17 Countries with the highest number of innovators, shareholders, and investors who provide the intellectual and physical capital to power AI systems will typically be the biggest beneficiaries of AI. This will widen the disproportionate wealth disparity between countries that rely on capital and those that rely on labour and natural resources, including many low and middle-income countries .18 As evidenced by previous industrial revolutions, the benefits of widespread technological disruptions are distributed unevenly.19
  • 11. 11 THE G20’S ROLE D iscussions on responsible AI global governance has become a regular part of the G20 agenda. Several initiatives and working groups have been established where discussions typically focus on three main areas: ethical considerations, economic implications, and regulatory frameworks. While the G20 AI Principles provide a framework for countries and organisations to develop and deploy AI in a way that is beneficial and addresses concerns related to ethics, privacy, and security, there is limited consideration of the distributional aspects and existing multidimensional power dynamics that shape global AI governance. The G20 has a history of success in creating consensus and coordinating action-oriented inclusive frameworks that support the developmental agenda and leverage the potential of international cooperation despite tensions and sometimes contrasting stances.a The G20 has historically also beencalledupontocreateacoordinating committee for the governance of artificial intelligence and data (CCGAID)20 that simultaneously institutionalises linkages between relevant actors within the G20 and the broader global responsible AI, data, and STI regime, and amplifies multistakeholder participation of the Global South in the development of global AI governance processes. Inclusive ultistakeholder interdisciplinary debates, particularly for potentially disruptive technologies such as AI are crucial to ensure that systemic consolidation of power and control are addressed. a The G20 Financial Stability Board (FSB) and The OECD/G20 Base Erosion and Profit Shifting (BEPS) initiative
  • 13. 13 RECOMMENDATIONS TO THE G20 Create an inclusive framework to promote a decolonial-informed approach Different regions and cultures may have different interpretations of what constitutes ethical AI, which can lead to disagreements on governance. The identification of areas where cross-cultural agreement on norms, standards, or rules and where alternative interpretations and approaches are acceptable or even desirable is a fundamental difficulty in developing inclusive AI ethics and governance. Furthermore, given that ‘fairness’ and ‘security’ are contested concepts that can lead to disagreements on AI governance policies, we propose the establishment of a Global AI Knowledge Hub, a centralised platform for sharing best practices, research findings, and policy recommendations on AI governance. Such a platform would address ethical issues and involve expertsandcitizensinthetransformation of technical and social considerations into governance mechanisms, thereby benefitting countries of both the Global North and Global South. As part of a mission-oriented21 multistakeholder committee, the CCGAID can promote the G20 AI Principles by initiating an inclusive framework that ensures the involvement of multistakeholder representatives from the Global South. It is important that the inclusive framework not simply be exclusive to current G20 members, and that various players from the Global South must be present and heard during both the creation of the CCGAID and the subsequent drafting of technical standards, regulations, and implementation strategies. The inclusive framework is suitable for meta-governance mechanisms for reformed multilateralism. It can also be used to build on existing initiatives such as data-free flows with trust (DFFT),22 just data value creation (JDVC), and responsible AI.23 Given the increasing significance of regional coordination, regional political and economic organisations from the Global South, such as the African Union Commission , Association of Southeast Asian Nations, and the Southern Common Market (better known as Mercosur) should also be included as part of the G20 CCGAID. The CCGAID inclusive framework must be grounded in an inter-vertical approach, which would provide a forum for multilateral policy formulation and mechanisms for
  • 14. 14 RECOMMENDATIONS TO THE G20 collaborative capacity-building, those that analyse, synthesise, and build upon links between varied experiences in different verticals. For example, lessons learned from the successful DFFT, JDVC, and responsible AI of data ecosystems with more AI maturity would inspire solutions to challenges in data-transfers and AI risks in another field. Such reflections would also allow multilateral institutions to adopt reflexivity to identify impending global and societal needs, and also tailor institutional objectives that support existing initiatives. A decolonial-informed approach (DIA) to responsible AI governance can help address power imbalances, encourage capacity building to legitimise international cooperation, and ensure that the expertise, experience, and perspectives of Global South stakeholders are considered. To support a DIA, the CCGAID must establish a dedicated Global South Working Group (GSWG) that includes multistakeholder representatives from the Global South. This working group would ensure the inclusion of diverse perspectives in shaping respobsible AI governance frameworks, facilitate capacity building and collaborative learningprogrammes,providetechnical assistance, fund research partnerships, offer scholarships for Global South researchers and policymakers, and facilitate the exchange of knowledge and best practices among participating countries. The GSWG should also ensure that the different stakeholder groups are sufficiently equipped to navigate the complex landscape of data, digitalisation, responsible AI, and STI and are involved in initiatives to foster international collaboration on crosscutting data, digitalisation, RAI, and STI challenges. Coordinate transversal policies and agile regulatory frameworks The CCGAID should establish mechanisms to coordinate policies across different sectors and domains to ensure coherence in addressing crosscutting challenges related to responsible AI, data, digitalisation, and STI governance. The CCGAID should be motivated by financing and capacity-building mechanisms for the implementation of agreed technical standards and regulations that would
  • 15. 15 RECOMMENDATIONS TO THE G20 assist in improving the Global South’s digital public infrastructure, as well as by strategies to guide Global South policymakers in the formulation of domestic responsible AI policy frameworks compliant with global data governance requirements, to foster their STI ecosystems. Regulatory frameworks should also be flexible enough to balance AI innovations with risk management recommendations on AI governance and other mega-trends such as climate change, demographic shifts, urbanisation, digital technologies, and inequalities.24 Crosscutting challenges arise due to regulatory fragmentation and lack of interoperability in data ecosystems. Global policies should promote data integration, standardisation, and secure sharing mechanisms to facilitate seamless collaboration and strengthening of multi-level data ecosystems. Transversal governance should address issues of bias, privacy, accountability, ethics, and transparency in AI systems. For developing nations, it is important to co-create conceptual and normative global AI frameworks that align with their specific requirements. By adopting a holistic and collaborative approach, policymakers can tackle the complexity of crosscutting governance domains, promote responsible innovation, and ensure that the benefits of data-driven technologies are harnessed for sustainable and inclusive digital development, suited to various innovation ecosystems. Collaborate with other multilateral data and AI governance initiatives to prevent duplication of efforts Several supranational initiatives have been launched to promote responsible AI governance, development, and deployment that support the Sustainable Development Goals. Given the rapid pace of technological advancements, the CCGAID must collaborate with other multilateral organisations to pool resources and leverage investments in capacity-building programmes to enhance stakeholder skills and knowledge in order for them to understand and navigate the complex landscape of data, digitalisation, AI, and STI as well as develop and implement agile regulatory frameworks that keep up with technological advancements while safeguarding the public interest, privacy, and security.
  • 16. 16 RECOMMENDATIONS TO THE G20 Attribution: Shamira Ahmed, Dio Herdiawan Tobing, and Mohammed Soliman, “Why the G20 Should Lead Multilateral Reform for Inclusive Responsible AI Governance for the Global South,” T20 Policy Brief, June 2023. However, there needs to be more emphasis on the global distributional issues associated with AI,25 which requires a comprehensive approach that involves multiple stakeholders and careful consideration of the potential impacts of AI and the co-creation of policies, regulations, and deadline- oriented implementable interventions, which can mitigate adverse effects, while promoting positive outcomes for all of society. International organisations collaborating and building on existing multilateral initiatives can identify global opportunities and guide future investments. They can strengthen oversight, facilitate research on common challenges, and promote the sharing of best practices to govern generative AI, foundational models, and data to support responsible AI governance. Organisations such as the World Bank, Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, and the United Nations can work together with the G20 to establish clear objectives and identify areas of overlap or complementarity in global data, digitalisation, and responsible AI initiatives. This collaboration must include multilateral developmental partnerships with developed nations that have already implemented AI governance frameworks, which can provide valuable cross-sectoral lessons and knowledge exchange. Regular consultations, joint research projects, and the sharing of best practices and expertise can facilitate this collaboration. Furthermore, as part of the inclusive framework, the CCGAID should facilitate initiatives with other multilateral institutions on technology transfers to bridge the data and digital divide and ensure equitable access to AI capabilities, particularly in the Global South.
  • 17. 17 Endnotes 1 Walter Mattli, “The politics and economics of international institutional standards setting: an introduction,” Journal of European Public Policy 8, no. 3, 2001, 328-344, https://doi. org/10.1080/13501760110056004 2 Yuzhuo Cai and Marcelo Amaral, “The Triple Helix Model and the Future of Innovation: A Reflection on the Triple Helix Research Agenda,” Triple Helix 8, no. 2. 2021. 217-229. 3 Kutoma Wakunuma, George Ogoh, Damian Eke, and Simi Akintoye, “Responsible AI, SDGs, and AI Governance in Africa,” 2022 IST-Africa Conference (IST-Africa), 2022, https://doi. org/10.23919/IST-Africa56635.2022.9845598 4 United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, “Technology and Innovation Report 2021,” UNCTAD, 2021, https://unctad.org/publication/technology-and-innovation- report-2021. 5 Chux U Daniels, Olga Ustyuzhantseva, and Wei Yao, “Innovation for inclusive development, public policy support and triple helix: perspectives from BRICS,” African Journal of Science, Technology, Innovation and Development 9, no. 5.2017,513-527. 6 Raphael Kaplinsky and Erika Kraemer-Mbula, “Innovation and Uneven Development: The Challenge for Low- and Middle-Income Economies,” Research Policy 51, no. 2.2022, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2021.104394 7 Daron Acemoglu and Simon Johnson, Power and Progress: Our Thousand-Year Struggle Over Technology and Prosperity (New York: PublicAffairs, 2023) 8 Yadong Luo, “Illusions of techno-nationalism,” Journal of International Business Studies 53, 2022, 550-567 9 Jing Cheng and Jinghan Zeng, “Shaping AI’s Future? China in Global AI Governance,” Journal of Contemporary China, 2022, https://doi.org/10.1080/10670564.2022.2107391 10 Ren Bin Lee ,Dixon, “A principled governance for emerging AI regimes: lessons from China, the European Union, and the United States”, AI Ethics,2022, https://doi.org/10.1007/ s43681-022-00205-0 11 Charlotte Siegmann and Markus Anderljung, “The Brussels Effect and Artificial Intelligence: How EU Regulation Will Impact the Global AI Market” Centre for the Governance of AI, 2022, https://www.governance.ai/research-paper/brussels-effect-ai 12 World Benchmarking Aliance (WBA), 2023 Digital Inclusion Benchmark datasethttps://www. worldbenchmarkingalliance.org 13 LewinSchmitt, “Mapping global AI governance: a nascent regime in a fragmented landscape. AI Ethics 2, 2022, 303–314 14 Dani Rodrik, “When Ideas and Technologies Cause More Harm than Good,” Project Syndicate, February 9, 2023, https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/when-ideas- and-technologies-cause-more-harm-than-good-by-dani-rodrik-2023-02
  • 18. 18 15 Srinivasan Thirukodikaval Nilakanta and Quibria Muhammed, “Technological Progress, Factor Endowments and Structural Change: A Note,” The Bangladesh Development Studies 32, no. 4, 2009, 95–105 16 United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, “Structural Transformation, Industry 4.0 and inequality: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy Challenges,” UNCTAD, 2019, https://unctad.org/system/files/official-document/ciid43_en.pdf 17 Chinmayi Arun, “AI and the Global South: Designing for Other Worlds,” In Markus D. Dubber, Frank Pasquale, and Sunit Das (eds.), The Oxford Handbook of Ethics of AI (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2019). 18 Anton Korinek, Martin Schindler, and Joseph Stiglitz. “Technological Progress, Artificial Intelligence, and Inclusive Growth,” IMF Working Papers 2021/166, 2021, https://www.imf. org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2021/06/11/Technological-Progress-Artificial-Intelligence- and-Inclusive-Growth-460695 19 UNCTAD, “Technology and Innovation Report” 20 Thorsten Jelinek, Wendell Wallach, and Danil Kerimi, “Policy Brief: The Creation of a G20 Coordinating Committee for The Governance Of Artificial Intelligence,” AI and Ethics, 2021,141-150. 21 Mariana Mazzucato, “Catch-up and Mission-oriented Innovation,” in Arkebe Oqubay and Kenichi Ohno (eds), How Nations Learn: Technological Learning, Industrial Policy, and Catch-up (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2019) 22 Fumiko Kudo, Ryosuke Sakaki, and Jonathan Soble, “Every Country Has Its Own Digital Laws. How Can We Get Data Flowing Freely Between Them?,” WeForum, May 20, 2022, https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2022/05/cross-border-data-regulation-dfft/ 23 Shamira Ahmed, “Rethinking Data Governance for Just Public Data Value Creation and Responsible Artificial Intelligence in Africa,” Medium, May 5, 2023, https://shamiraahmed. medium.com/rethinking-data-governance-for-just-public-data-value-creation-and- responsible-artificial-926b83d4ba48 24 United Nations Environment Programme, “Report for the UN 75th Anniversary: Shaping the Trends of Our Time,” UNEP, September 17, 2020, https://www.unep.org/resources/report/ Shaping-Trends-Our-Time-Report 25 Ekkehard Ernst, Rossana Merola, and Daniel Samaan, “The economics of artificial intelligence: Implications for the future of work,” ILO Future Of Work Research Paper Series, 2018, https://www.ilo.org/wcmsp5/groups/public/---dgreports/---cabinet/documents/ publication/wcms_647306.pdf