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Market Research
Objectives of Lecture on Market Research

This lecture should lead you to an understanding of the
uses and abuses of market research. If, in the future, there
is talk of commissioning market research for an NPD
project (or other research you may be working on) you
should be able to:
   - evaluate the usefulness (or otherwise) of market
   research for the problem you are involved with
   - discuss appropriate types of research with confidence
   - set yourself realistic expectations regarding the
   results/ timing
“It is a capital mistake to theorise
  before one has data”

          Sir Arthur Conan Doyle
Research on Agatha Christie

HarperCollins found sales of Agatha Christie
novels declining in 1985

•Quantitative & qualitative research commissioned

•Readers liked “niceness” of the crimes,
 but covers were gruesome and bloody

•Result: new cover designs commissioned
 and in the first year sales rose 40%
Research at N.Brown
•   High rate of returns in 1993
•   Manchester University paid £100k to
    research women’s sizes
•   50,000 measurements taken
•   Women have “thicker waists, lower
    busts and conical figures”
•   Shape of clothes was changed
•   Returns down to 27% (vs industry
    average of 35%)
Structure of Market Research
            Lecture


• Spend on Market Research

• Types of Market Research

• Potential Problems
Market Research vs Marketing Research
               (strictly speaking...)

Market Research      Researching the immediate competitive
                     environment of the marketplace, including
                     customers, competitors, suppliers,
                     distributors and retailers
Marketing Research    Includes all the above plus:
                     - companies and their strategies for products
                       and markets
                     - the wider environment within which the firm
                      operates (e.g. political, social, etc)
Market(ing) Research: Definition


The systematic design, collection, analysis and
reporting of data and findings relevant to a specific
marketing situation facing the organisation
Spending on Market Research by Sector in
                the UK
                                Other
            Non-ad. research
            agencies
        Ad. agencies           4% 5%
                          4%
   Retailers and
   wholesalers       9%

                                              Manufacturing
                                        44%   Companies
                    13%
   Public sector


                               21%



                   Service companies
The Ten Most Common Market Research
                          Activities
                                                                             Directly
              Activity                  Percentage of companies doing        relevant to
                                        activity*                            NPD

Determination of market characteristics                                                     97
Measurement of market potential                                                             97

Market share analysis                                                                       97

Sales analysis                                                                         92
Studies of business trends                                                         91
Short range forecasting                                                           89
Competitive product studies                                                       87
Long range forecasting                                                            87

Pricing studies                                                              83

Testing existing products                                                    80

                 * based on research activities of 599 companies in the US
Top 10 market research
                  activities
Market Measurement                             18%
New Product development/concept testing        14%
Ad or brand awareness monitoring/tracking      13%
Customer Satisfaction (inc Mystery Shopping)   10%
Usage and Attitude Studies                     7%
Media Research & evaluation                    6%
Advertising developing and pre-testing         5%
Social Surveys for central/local government    4%
Brand/corporate reputation                     4%
Omnibus Studies                                3%

             Source: BMRA
Market Research Budgets


1 - 2% of company sales = total budget


                         of this:

    50% - 80%                        20% - 50%
    in-house                         externally
  85% of Fortune 500                1. Syndicated - service
  companies have                    research firms
  internal departments
                                    2. Custom research firms
                                    3. Specialty research firms
External Market Research Firms
      Types                                Description

1. Syndicated - service research   Data gathered periodically from
firms                              customers and distribution channels and
                                   then sold to clients (e.g. A.C. Nielson)

2. Custom market research firms    Hired to carry out specific research
                                   projects for clients. The firm conducts the
                                   survey and the results are the property of
                                   one client only (e.g. Research
                                   International)
3. Specialty line research firms   Firms providing a specialised service to
                                   other market research firms, e.g. a firm
                                   selling field interviewing services (e.g.
                                   Continental Research)
Why Conduct Market Research in New
      Product Development?


- The product must appeal to the customer
(however widely defined)
- Timely market research can help you mould the
product to the consumer’s need/wants
- Market research tend to point out successes and
failures before products are launched “for real”
- As a result, it can save you money and time
WARNING!

Market Research is about understanding consumer
reactions to the product. Marketing may understand the
consumer best but R&D may well (early on) understand
the product best




                     Don’t simply
                     hand M.R.
                     over to
                     marketing!
Types of Market Research


By Source         By Methodology   By Objectives


- Primary         - Qualitative    - Exploratory
- Secondary       - Quantitative   - Descriptive
                                   - Causal
                                   (or experimental)
Types of Market Research: By Source


Primary     Collection of data specifically for the problem or
            project in hand
Secondary   Based on data previously collected for purposes
            other than the research in hand (e.g. published
            articles, government stats, etc)
Types of Market Research: By
                         Methodology

                             Qualitative      Quantitative

Type of Question             Probing          Simple
Sample Size                  Small            Large
Information per respondent   High             Low(ish)
Questioner’s skill           High             Low(ish)
Analyst’s skill              High             High
Type of analysis             Subjective,      Objective,
                             Interpretative   Statistical
Ability to replicate         Low              High
Areas probed                 Attitudes        Choices
                             Feelings         Frequency
                             Motivations      Demographics
Benefits of Qualitative Market Research
                 vs Quantitative
 Benefit                      Comment/Example

Cheaper                       Smaller sample size

Probes in-depth motivations   Allows managers to observe (through
and feelings                  one way mirror) ‘real’ consumer
                              reaction to the issue - e.g. comments
                              and associations (e.g. Levis) regarding
                              a new product fresh from the labs

Often useful precursor        Gives the research department a low
to quantitative research      cost and timely sense of which
                              issues to probe in quantitative
                              research
Qualitative vs Quantitative
                              Total
                              Mkt Quant Qual
                              Share
 Market Measurement           18.4% 20.8% 3.3%

 NPD/Concept testing          13.8% 11.6% 27.3%


 Ad/brand awareness           12.7% 14.4% 2.2%
 tracking
 Customer satisfaction        9.7%   10.4% 5.4%
 (incl mystery shopping)
 Usage and attitude surveys   6.6%   6.0%   10.4%



 Source BMRA,
Types of Market Research: By Objective

• Exploratory   Preliminary data needed to develop an idea
                further. Eg outline concepts, gather insights,
                formulate hypotheses

• Descriptive   Describe an element of an ideas precisely. Eg
                who is the target market, how large is it, how
                        will it develop
• Causal        Test a cause and effect relationship, e.g. price
                elasticity. Done through experiment
The Market Research Process

  1. Defining the      2. Developing       3. Collecting      4. Analysing        5. Presenting
  problem and          the research        the                the                 the findings
  objectives           plan                information        information


Steps
  Distinguish          Decide on           Information is     Statistical         Overall conclusions
  between the          - budget            collected          manipulation of     to be presented
  research type                            according to       the data            rather than
                       - data sources
  needed e.g.                              the plan (N.B.     collected (e.g.     overwhelming
                       - research                             regression) or
  - exploratory        approaches          it is often done                       statistical
                                           by external        subjective          methodologies
  - descriptive        - research                             analysis of focus
                       instruments         firms)
  - causal                                                    groups
                       - sampling plan
                       - contact methods

Comments
  If a problem is      The plan needs      This phase is      Significant         Can take various
  vaguely defined,     to be decided       the most costly    difference in       forms:
  the results can      upfront but         and the most       type of analysis    - oral presentation
  have little          flexible enough     liable to error    according to
                                                                                  - written conclusions
  bearing on the       to incorporate                         whether market      supported by analysis
  key issues           changes/                               research is
                       iterations                             quantitative or     - data tables
                                                              qualitative
Potential Problems with Market Research

1.     When and how not to do it
2.     Problems with research buyers vs suppliers
3.     Frequent technical pitfalls
4.     Problems with traditional market research
When and How Not to Conduct Market
               Research

             Lack of resources
Closed
mindset                              Research results not
                    Poor             actionable
                    timing
                    re:
                    marke
  Late timing re:   tplace
  process              Vague
                       objectives

                       Cost outweighs benefit
When and How Not to Conduct Market
                     Research
        Occasion                        Comments/Example
Lack of resources      If quantitative research is needed, it is not worth
                       doing unless a statistically significant sample can
                       be used
Research results not   Where psychographic data (for example) is used
actionable             which won’t help the company form firm actions

Closed mindset         When research is used only as a rubber stamp of a
                       preconceived idea
Late timing re:        When research results come too late to
process                influence the decision

Poor timing re:        If a product is in the ‘decline’ phase (e.g. records)
marketplace            there’s little point in researching new product
                       varieties
Vague objectives       Market research cannot be helpful unless it is
                       probing a particular issue
Cost outweighs         The expected value of the information should
benefit                outweigh the cost of gathering the data
Cost/Benefit of Market Research: ‘Rule
                  of Thumb’ matrix         C = Cost
                                                             B = Benefit

                            B>C (?)             B>C


              Large   (e.g. new brand     (e.g. High
                      of frozen fish)     Definition T.V.)
Market Size
                           C>B                  B>C (?)

                      (e.g. replacement   (e.g. computer aided
              Small
                      screw for           metal stamping
                      spectacles)         machines)


                            Low                  High

                            Expected Profit Margin
Problems With Research
            Buyers vs Suppliers

       Buyer                             Suppliers

• Narrow concept of research      • Variable quality of market
                                    researchers
• Research used tokenistically
                                  • Market researchers not
                                    sufficiently demanding
• Unrealistic view of timeframe

                                  • Technical problems
Problems With Research Buyers vs Suppliers - Detail
        Problems with Buyer                                  Problems with Supplier
        of Research                                          of Research
- Narrow concept of research                       - Variable quality of market researchers
     • many managers see M.R. as no more                • little uniformity of professionalism
     than fact-finding                                  across the industry
     • they therefore spend little time                 • many small, poorly qualified
     defining the problem or explaining the             companies
     context
     • the results are irrelevant                  - Market researchers are not sufficiently
                                                   demanding
      • a vicious circle arises                         • upfront time often insufficient
 - Research used tokenistically
                                                        • little contact throughout process
      • used to confirm existing views rather
      than objective look at marketplace           - Technical problems arise e.g.
- Unrealistic view of time frames                       • problem ill-defined
     • often results are expected very rapidly          • questionnaires poorly constructed
    • research therefore commissioned too
    late
    • research firms bow to time pressure and
    results are sub-optimal
                                          Differing styles
            M.R. documents are often phrased in an abstract, tentative way (and rely
            on jargon) whilst managers expect concrete, down to earth
            recommendations
Problems with Supplier of Research

• Variable quality of market researchers
   – little uniformity of professionalism across the industry
   – many small, poorly qualified companies
• Market researchers are not sufficiently
  demanding
   – upfront time often insufficient
   – little contact throughout process
• Technical problems arise e.g.
   – problem ill-defined
   – questionnaires poorly constructed
Frequent Technical Pitfalls

1.    Poor definition of problem
2.    Designing the questionnaire
3.    Sample size small
4.    Data collection inadequate
Issues to consider in
          questionnaire design
•   Sensitivity of question
•   Bias in formulation
•   Cultural issues
•   Repetition
•   Respondent motivation
•   Questioner training
•   Pre-testing
•   Comprehensiveness
•   Realism
•   Ease of completion
Sample Airline Questionnaire
1. What is your total income to the nearest hundred
pounds?
2. Are you an occasional or frequent flyer?
3. Do you like this airline?
4. How many airline ads did you see last spring
compared to this spring?
5. What are the most salient and determinant attributes
in your evaluation of airlines?
6. Do you think it is right for the government to tax air
tickets and deprive a lot of people of the chance to fly?
Dodgy Questions: Airline Example
          Questions                    Objections
1. What is your total income to   - the respondent probably doesn’t
the nearest hundred pounds?       know the answer with this degree of
                                  accuracy
                                  - the firm doesn’t need to know the
                                  answer with this degree of accuracy
                                  - people are not keen to reveal
                                  income that accurately
                                  - a questionnaire should never begin
                                  with such a personal question

2. Are you an occasional or       - how do you define occasional
frequent flyer?                   versus frequent: everyone will
                                  define it differently
3. Do you like this airline?      - ‘like’ is a relative term
                                  - will people answer it honestly
                                  when phrased so blatantly?
Dodgy Questions: Airline Example - cont’d
           Questions                   Objections

4. How many airline ads did you    - Who can remember?
see last spring compared to this   - What do you call ‘spring’?
spring?
                                   - What is an ad? Is it TV,
                                   magazine, poster or what?

5. What are the most salient and   - What’s meant by ‘salient’ and
determinant attributes in your     ‘determinant’?
evaluation of airlines?            - This sounds pompous and
                                   arrogant even if people do
                                   understand

6. Do you think it is right for    - All objectivity is out of the
the government to tax air          window
tickets and deprive a lot of       - Why ask if you’ve already made
people of the chance to fly?       your mind up of the effects?
Problems with Traditional Market Research

1. Market research has allowed prominent product
failures, and wrong predictions
2. Markets are increasingly becoming micro-
segmented (e.g. sports shoes aimed at affluent
fashion conscious women specifically for aerobics),
so mass market research becomes correspondingly
irrelevant
3. It is helpful for improvements, but less so for
radical innovations
4. For more accurate targeting it may be
advantageous to work with leading customers within
the target group
Careful how you ask the question


Q. Do you approve of smoking whilst praying?
           A: No


Q. Do you approve of praying whilst smoking?
           A:Yes
Market Research Failures: The 1992
                           Election
Polls Prediction on eve of election = 1 point Labour lead
               Actual election result = 8 point Tory lead




                           Reasons*                                          Now:
                                                                             - Adjusted
- Late swing to Tories (maybe accounts for 1/4 of error)
                                                                             polls
- Inadequate weighting of results to incorporate:                            “weight”
                                                                             results
    • Tory voters’ reluctance to reveal intentions
                                                                             - Some
    •“Spiral of silence” - reluctance to go against the fashion              polls done
                                                                             by secret
- Poor sampling methods                                                      ballot


    * according to inquiry chaired by David Butler, Professor of Economics
Coca Cola Failure: Chronology


May 1985    Old Coke withdrawn
            New Coke introduced
July        Old Coke reintroduced as Coke Classic
Coca Cola Failure: Background and Research


- Early 80s, share losses to Pepsi
- New Product research carried out
   • $4m cost
   • 200,000 taste tests
   • 60% of consumers preferred it in blind tests
- BUT research was narrowly defined
   • considered taste not emotions
   • dropping Old Coke not mentioned
U.S. Reaction to Old Coke’s Return

Political                Senator David Prior of Arkansas on the
                         Senate Floor:
                         “A very meaningful moment in the history
                         of America, this shows that some
                         national institutions cannot be changed”
Media                    ABC interrupted its soap opera, General
                         Hospital on Wednesday afternoon to
                         break the news
Economic                 Coca Cola’s share price rose to its
                         highest level in 12 years
Limited Use of Market Research

“Formal market analyses continue to be useful for extending
product lines, but they are often misleading when applied to
radical innovations. Market studies predicted that Intel’s
microprocessor would never sell more than 10% as many units
as there were minicomputers, and that Sony’s transistor radios
and miniature TV sets would fail in the marketplace.


At the same time, many essential failures such as Ford’s Edsel
and supersonic transport were studied and planned
exhaustively on paper, but lost contact with the customers’
real needs.
                      Source: James Brian Quinn
New Market Research


Traditional Market   Reliance on lead customers
  Research


                     • interactive development

                     • increasingly popular (3M,
                       HP, Sony, Raychem)

                     • Better for true innovations
Large Company Reliance on Customer’s Views

   What              Why               Who                   How
Many               Traditional        3M                Radically new
experienced        market                               products
                                      Hewlett-Packard
large companies    research for                         introduced by
are relying more   truly innovative   Sony              small teams
on interactive     new products                         working closely
                                      Raychem
development        has frequently                       with lead
with lead          proved                               customers (e.g.
customers          misleading                           retailers). With
                                                        this info. designs
                                                        rapidly modified
                                                        and interactive
                                                        changes made
Market Research: Summary

1. Market Research is usually an integral part of
understanding innovations - you ignore it at your
peril....
2. But it must be timely, objective and relevant,
otherwise it is worse than useless, leading you down
the wrong path
3. So, be involved as far as you can be, especially up
front and don’t let the jargon deter you!

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Market Research Objectives and Types

  • 2. Objectives of Lecture on Market Research This lecture should lead you to an understanding of the uses and abuses of market research. If, in the future, there is talk of commissioning market research for an NPD project (or other research you may be working on) you should be able to: - evaluate the usefulness (or otherwise) of market research for the problem you are involved with - discuss appropriate types of research with confidence - set yourself realistic expectations regarding the results/ timing
  • 3. “It is a capital mistake to theorise before one has data” Sir Arthur Conan Doyle
  • 4. Research on Agatha Christie HarperCollins found sales of Agatha Christie novels declining in 1985 •Quantitative & qualitative research commissioned •Readers liked “niceness” of the crimes, but covers were gruesome and bloody •Result: new cover designs commissioned and in the first year sales rose 40%
  • 5. Research at N.Brown • High rate of returns in 1993 • Manchester University paid £100k to research women’s sizes • 50,000 measurements taken • Women have “thicker waists, lower busts and conical figures” • Shape of clothes was changed • Returns down to 27% (vs industry average of 35%)
  • 6. Structure of Market Research Lecture • Spend on Market Research • Types of Market Research • Potential Problems
  • 7. Market Research vs Marketing Research (strictly speaking...) Market Research Researching the immediate competitive environment of the marketplace, including customers, competitors, suppliers, distributors and retailers Marketing Research Includes all the above plus: - companies and their strategies for products and markets - the wider environment within which the firm operates (e.g. political, social, etc)
  • 8. Market(ing) Research: Definition The systematic design, collection, analysis and reporting of data and findings relevant to a specific marketing situation facing the organisation
  • 9. Spending on Market Research by Sector in the UK Other Non-ad. research agencies Ad. agencies 4% 5% 4% Retailers and wholesalers 9% Manufacturing 44% Companies 13% Public sector 21% Service companies
  • 10. The Ten Most Common Market Research Activities Directly Activity Percentage of companies doing relevant to activity* NPD Determination of market characteristics 97 Measurement of market potential 97 Market share analysis 97 Sales analysis 92 Studies of business trends 91 Short range forecasting 89 Competitive product studies 87 Long range forecasting 87 Pricing studies 83 Testing existing products 80 * based on research activities of 599 companies in the US
  • 11. Top 10 market research activities Market Measurement 18% New Product development/concept testing 14% Ad or brand awareness monitoring/tracking 13% Customer Satisfaction (inc Mystery Shopping) 10% Usage and Attitude Studies 7% Media Research & evaluation 6% Advertising developing and pre-testing 5% Social Surveys for central/local government 4% Brand/corporate reputation 4% Omnibus Studies 3% Source: BMRA
  • 12. Market Research Budgets 1 - 2% of company sales = total budget of this: 50% - 80% 20% - 50% in-house externally 85% of Fortune 500 1. Syndicated - service companies have research firms internal departments 2. Custom research firms 3. Specialty research firms
  • 13. External Market Research Firms Types Description 1. Syndicated - service research Data gathered periodically from firms customers and distribution channels and then sold to clients (e.g. A.C. Nielson) 2. Custom market research firms Hired to carry out specific research projects for clients. The firm conducts the survey and the results are the property of one client only (e.g. Research International) 3. Specialty line research firms Firms providing a specialised service to other market research firms, e.g. a firm selling field interviewing services (e.g. Continental Research)
  • 14. Why Conduct Market Research in New Product Development? - The product must appeal to the customer (however widely defined) - Timely market research can help you mould the product to the consumer’s need/wants - Market research tend to point out successes and failures before products are launched “for real” - As a result, it can save you money and time
  • 15. WARNING! Market Research is about understanding consumer reactions to the product. Marketing may understand the consumer best but R&D may well (early on) understand the product best Don’t simply hand M.R. over to marketing!
  • 16. Types of Market Research By Source By Methodology By Objectives - Primary - Qualitative - Exploratory - Secondary - Quantitative - Descriptive - Causal (or experimental)
  • 17. Types of Market Research: By Source Primary Collection of data specifically for the problem or project in hand Secondary Based on data previously collected for purposes other than the research in hand (e.g. published articles, government stats, etc)
  • 18. Types of Market Research: By Methodology Qualitative Quantitative Type of Question Probing Simple Sample Size Small Large Information per respondent High Low(ish) Questioner’s skill High Low(ish) Analyst’s skill High High Type of analysis Subjective, Objective, Interpretative Statistical Ability to replicate Low High Areas probed Attitudes Choices Feelings Frequency Motivations Demographics
  • 19. Benefits of Qualitative Market Research vs Quantitative Benefit Comment/Example Cheaper Smaller sample size Probes in-depth motivations Allows managers to observe (through and feelings one way mirror) ‘real’ consumer reaction to the issue - e.g. comments and associations (e.g. Levis) regarding a new product fresh from the labs Often useful precursor Gives the research department a low to quantitative research cost and timely sense of which issues to probe in quantitative research
  • 20. Qualitative vs Quantitative Total Mkt Quant Qual Share Market Measurement 18.4% 20.8% 3.3% NPD/Concept testing 13.8% 11.6% 27.3% Ad/brand awareness 12.7% 14.4% 2.2% tracking Customer satisfaction 9.7% 10.4% 5.4% (incl mystery shopping) Usage and attitude surveys 6.6% 6.0% 10.4% Source BMRA,
  • 21. Types of Market Research: By Objective • Exploratory Preliminary data needed to develop an idea further. Eg outline concepts, gather insights, formulate hypotheses • Descriptive Describe an element of an ideas precisely. Eg who is the target market, how large is it, how will it develop • Causal Test a cause and effect relationship, e.g. price elasticity. Done through experiment
  • 22. The Market Research Process 1. Defining the 2. Developing 3. Collecting 4. Analysing 5. Presenting problem and the research the the the findings objectives plan information information Steps Distinguish Decide on Information is Statistical Overall conclusions between the - budget collected manipulation of to be presented research type according to the data rather than - data sources needed e.g. the plan (N.B. collected (e.g. overwhelming - research regression) or - exploratory approaches it is often done statistical by external subjective methodologies - descriptive - research analysis of focus instruments firms) - causal groups - sampling plan - contact methods Comments If a problem is The plan needs This phase is Significant Can take various vaguely defined, to be decided the most costly difference in forms: the results can upfront but and the most type of analysis - oral presentation have little flexible enough liable to error according to - written conclusions bearing on the to incorporate whether market supported by analysis key issues changes/ research is iterations quantitative or - data tables qualitative
  • 23. Potential Problems with Market Research 1. When and how not to do it 2. Problems with research buyers vs suppliers 3. Frequent technical pitfalls 4. Problems with traditional market research
  • 24. When and How Not to Conduct Market Research Lack of resources Closed mindset Research results not Poor actionable timing re: marke Late timing re: tplace process Vague objectives Cost outweighs benefit
  • 25. When and How Not to Conduct Market Research Occasion Comments/Example Lack of resources If quantitative research is needed, it is not worth doing unless a statistically significant sample can be used Research results not Where psychographic data (for example) is used actionable which won’t help the company form firm actions Closed mindset When research is used only as a rubber stamp of a preconceived idea Late timing re: When research results come too late to process influence the decision Poor timing re: If a product is in the ‘decline’ phase (e.g. records) marketplace there’s little point in researching new product varieties Vague objectives Market research cannot be helpful unless it is probing a particular issue Cost outweighs The expected value of the information should benefit outweigh the cost of gathering the data
  • 26. Cost/Benefit of Market Research: ‘Rule of Thumb’ matrix C = Cost B = Benefit B>C (?) B>C Large (e.g. new brand (e.g. High of frozen fish) Definition T.V.) Market Size C>B B>C (?) (e.g. replacement (e.g. computer aided Small screw for metal stamping spectacles) machines) Low High Expected Profit Margin
  • 27. Problems With Research Buyers vs Suppliers Buyer Suppliers • Narrow concept of research • Variable quality of market researchers • Research used tokenistically • Market researchers not sufficiently demanding • Unrealistic view of timeframe • Technical problems
  • 28. Problems With Research Buyers vs Suppliers - Detail Problems with Buyer Problems with Supplier of Research of Research - Narrow concept of research - Variable quality of market researchers • many managers see M.R. as no more • little uniformity of professionalism than fact-finding across the industry • they therefore spend little time • many small, poorly qualified defining the problem or explaining the companies context • the results are irrelevant - Market researchers are not sufficiently demanding • a vicious circle arises • upfront time often insufficient - Research used tokenistically • little contact throughout process • used to confirm existing views rather than objective look at marketplace - Technical problems arise e.g. - Unrealistic view of time frames • problem ill-defined • often results are expected very rapidly • questionnaires poorly constructed • research therefore commissioned too late • research firms bow to time pressure and results are sub-optimal Differing styles M.R. documents are often phrased in an abstract, tentative way (and rely on jargon) whilst managers expect concrete, down to earth recommendations
  • 29. Problems with Supplier of Research • Variable quality of market researchers – little uniformity of professionalism across the industry – many small, poorly qualified companies • Market researchers are not sufficiently demanding – upfront time often insufficient – little contact throughout process • Technical problems arise e.g. – problem ill-defined – questionnaires poorly constructed
  • 30. Frequent Technical Pitfalls 1. Poor definition of problem 2. Designing the questionnaire 3. Sample size small 4. Data collection inadequate
  • 31. Issues to consider in questionnaire design • Sensitivity of question • Bias in formulation • Cultural issues • Repetition • Respondent motivation • Questioner training • Pre-testing • Comprehensiveness • Realism • Ease of completion
  • 32. Sample Airline Questionnaire 1. What is your total income to the nearest hundred pounds? 2. Are you an occasional or frequent flyer? 3. Do you like this airline? 4. How many airline ads did you see last spring compared to this spring? 5. What are the most salient and determinant attributes in your evaluation of airlines? 6. Do you think it is right for the government to tax air tickets and deprive a lot of people of the chance to fly?
  • 33. Dodgy Questions: Airline Example Questions Objections 1. What is your total income to - the respondent probably doesn’t the nearest hundred pounds? know the answer with this degree of accuracy - the firm doesn’t need to know the answer with this degree of accuracy - people are not keen to reveal income that accurately - a questionnaire should never begin with such a personal question 2. Are you an occasional or - how do you define occasional frequent flyer? versus frequent: everyone will define it differently 3. Do you like this airline? - ‘like’ is a relative term - will people answer it honestly when phrased so blatantly?
  • 34. Dodgy Questions: Airline Example - cont’d Questions Objections 4. How many airline ads did you - Who can remember? see last spring compared to this - What do you call ‘spring’? spring? - What is an ad? Is it TV, magazine, poster or what? 5. What are the most salient and - What’s meant by ‘salient’ and determinant attributes in your ‘determinant’? evaluation of airlines? - This sounds pompous and arrogant even if people do understand 6. Do you think it is right for - All objectivity is out of the the government to tax air window tickets and deprive a lot of - Why ask if you’ve already made people of the chance to fly? your mind up of the effects?
  • 35. Problems with Traditional Market Research 1. Market research has allowed prominent product failures, and wrong predictions 2. Markets are increasingly becoming micro- segmented (e.g. sports shoes aimed at affluent fashion conscious women specifically for aerobics), so mass market research becomes correspondingly irrelevant 3. It is helpful for improvements, but less so for radical innovations 4. For more accurate targeting it may be advantageous to work with leading customers within the target group
  • 36. Careful how you ask the question Q. Do you approve of smoking whilst praying? A: No Q. Do you approve of praying whilst smoking? A:Yes
  • 37. Market Research Failures: The 1992 Election Polls Prediction on eve of election = 1 point Labour lead Actual election result = 8 point Tory lead Reasons* Now: - Adjusted - Late swing to Tories (maybe accounts for 1/4 of error) polls - Inadequate weighting of results to incorporate: “weight” results • Tory voters’ reluctance to reveal intentions - Some •“Spiral of silence” - reluctance to go against the fashion polls done by secret - Poor sampling methods ballot * according to inquiry chaired by David Butler, Professor of Economics
  • 38. Coca Cola Failure: Chronology May 1985 Old Coke withdrawn New Coke introduced July Old Coke reintroduced as Coke Classic
  • 39. Coca Cola Failure: Background and Research - Early 80s, share losses to Pepsi - New Product research carried out • $4m cost • 200,000 taste tests • 60% of consumers preferred it in blind tests - BUT research was narrowly defined • considered taste not emotions • dropping Old Coke not mentioned
  • 40. U.S. Reaction to Old Coke’s Return Political Senator David Prior of Arkansas on the Senate Floor: “A very meaningful moment in the history of America, this shows that some national institutions cannot be changed” Media ABC interrupted its soap opera, General Hospital on Wednesday afternoon to break the news Economic Coca Cola’s share price rose to its highest level in 12 years
  • 41. Limited Use of Market Research “Formal market analyses continue to be useful for extending product lines, but they are often misleading when applied to radical innovations. Market studies predicted that Intel’s microprocessor would never sell more than 10% as many units as there were minicomputers, and that Sony’s transistor radios and miniature TV sets would fail in the marketplace. At the same time, many essential failures such as Ford’s Edsel and supersonic transport were studied and planned exhaustively on paper, but lost contact with the customers’ real needs. Source: James Brian Quinn
  • 42. New Market Research Traditional Market Reliance on lead customers Research • interactive development • increasingly popular (3M, HP, Sony, Raychem) • Better for true innovations
  • 43. Large Company Reliance on Customer’s Views What Why Who How Many Traditional 3M Radically new experienced market products Hewlett-Packard large companies research for introduced by are relying more truly innovative Sony small teams on interactive new products working closely Raychem development has frequently with lead with lead proved customers (e.g. customers misleading retailers). With this info. designs rapidly modified and interactive changes made
  • 44. Market Research: Summary 1. Market Research is usually an integral part of understanding innovations - you ignore it at your peril.... 2. But it must be timely, objective and relevant, otherwise it is worse than useless, leading you down the wrong path 3. So, be involved as far as you can be, especially up front and don’t let the jargon deter you!