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Gas Prices and
the effect on
U.S. Oil
Consumption
 By: Benjamin Falkowitz
Hypothesis
 As gas prices
 increase, U.S.
 consumption of oil will
 decrease due to a
 lack of demand and
                                
                            
 willingness to buy at
 higher prices

 We  are looking for an
 inverse relationship for
 the two variables. That
 is, as one goes up, the
 other will go down.
Meaning of the Data
   The chart on the previous slide depicts how
    gas prices rose at an average of 31.3 cents
    per gallon in the six years between 2002 and
    2007. Then, during the height of the Great
    Recession, the yearly average gas price fell
    roughly 92 cents per gallon.

   Over the period between 2002 and 2009, the
    average yearly price of gas was $2.32/gal
Meaning of the Data
 The previous slide shows that U.S. oil
  consumption rose slightly between 2001
  and 2004, and then was fairly steady until
  2007
 Since 2007 U.S. consumption dropped
  sharply
 The average yearly consumption over the
  8 year span was 20.12 million barrels per
  day
Comparison of the Two
     Statistics
Comparing the Data using
     Time Series
Comparing the Statistics Using
         a Scatter Plot



Millions of
barrels of
oil per day




              Price of Gas in $/gal
Conclusion & Findings
   There seems to be no real connection between gas price, and U.S.
    oil consumption

   As gas prices rose between 2002 and 2004, oil consumption also
    grew

   Gas prices then continued to grow steadily between ‘04 and ‘08
    as U.S. oil consumption leveled out in that same time

   Then, when gas prices dropped significantly between 2008 and
    2009, so did U.S. consumption

   The initial incline in gas prices did not deter U.S. oil
    consumption, and the subsequent fall in gas prices did not result in
    higher consumption

   Essentially, there is not an inverse relationship between gas prices
    and oil consumption, as our initial hypothesis stated.
Sources

 http://data.bls.gov/cgi-
  bin/surveymost?ap
 http://www.indexmundi.com/g/g.aspx?v
  =91&c=us&l=en

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Correlation of U.S. Gas Prices and Yearly National Oil Consumption

  • 1. Gas Prices and the effect on U.S. Oil Consumption By: Benjamin Falkowitz
  • 2. Hypothesis  As gas prices increase, U.S. consumption of oil will decrease due to a lack of demand and   willingness to buy at higher prices  We are looking for an inverse relationship for the two variables. That is, as one goes up, the other will go down.
  • 3.
  • 4. Meaning of the Data  The chart on the previous slide depicts how gas prices rose at an average of 31.3 cents per gallon in the six years between 2002 and 2007. Then, during the height of the Great Recession, the yearly average gas price fell roughly 92 cents per gallon.  Over the period between 2002 and 2009, the average yearly price of gas was $2.32/gal
  • 5.
  • 6. Meaning of the Data  The previous slide shows that U.S. oil consumption rose slightly between 2001 and 2004, and then was fairly steady until 2007  Since 2007 U.S. consumption dropped sharply  The average yearly consumption over the 8 year span was 20.12 million barrels per day
  • 7. Comparison of the Two Statistics
  • 8. Comparing the Data using Time Series
  • 9. Comparing the Statistics Using a Scatter Plot Millions of barrels of oil per day Price of Gas in $/gal
  • 10. Conclusion & Findings  There seems to be no real connection between gas price, and U.S. oil consumption  As gas prices rose between 2002 and 2004, oil consumption also grew  Gas prices then continued to grow steadily between ‘04 and ‘08 as U.S. oil consumption leveled out in that same time  Then, when gas prices dropped significantly between 2008 and 2009, so did U.S. consumption  The initial incline in gas prices did not deter U.S. oil consumption, and the subsequent fall in gas prices did not result in higher consumption  Essentially, there is not an inverse relationship between gas prices and oil consumption, as our initial hypothesis stated.
  • 11. Sources  http://data.bls.gov/cgi- bin/surveymost?ap  http://www.indexmundi.com/g/g.aspx?v =91&c=us&l=en