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APRIL 2019
The National Oil
Company Database
Content
Cover illustration by Andriy Privalov
Key messages
•	 NRGI’s National Oil Company Database, available at www.nationaloilcompanydata.org, provides the world’s
largest set of open data on NOC production, revenues, spending and transfers to government, with more
than 70,000 data points from 71 companies worldwide from 2011 to 2017.
•	 NOCs produce 55 percent of the world’s oil and gas, an estimated 85 million barrels of oil equivalent per
day. They dominate the production landscape within some of the world’s most oil-rich countries, including
Saudi Arabia, Mexico, Venezuela and Iran, and play a central role in the oil and gas sector in many emerging
producers. In 2017, NOCs that published data on their assets reported combined assets of $3.1 trillion.
•	 At least 25 countries are “NOC-dependent,” meaning that the NOC collects revenues equivalent to more
than 20 percent of all government revenues. The fiscal health of many countries and their governments’
ability to use oil revenues to finance development depends heavily on how well the NOC is run, how much
revenue it transfers to the state, and the quality of its spending.
•	 Many NOCs carry big debts, sometimes 10 percent or more of their countries’ GDP. Several NOCs have
required multi-billion dollar government bail-outs in recent years, becoming a costly drain on public
finances.
•	 Almost two-thirds of NOCs exhibit “weak,” “poor” or “failing” performance on public transparency, as
measured by the Resource Governance Index. The database research further highlights these deficiencies.
Reporting on expenditures, transfers to the government and the breakdown of oil and gas production from
different sources remain weak in many countries.
FOREWORD................................................................................................................................................................................................1
INTRODUCTION........................................................................................................................................................................................2
DATABASE METHODOLOGY..................................................................................................................................................................7
KEY FINDINGS........................................................................................................................................................................................ 12
CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS................................................................................................................................ 22
COMPANIES IN THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE....................................................................................................... 24
ENDNOTES.............................................................................................................................................................................................. 26
1
THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE
We have all seen the headlines. The giant “Car
Wash” pay-for-play scandal in Brazil, spilling
over to the rest of the continent. Allegations of
billions gone missing from oil sales in Nigeria.
Oil company debts totaling around a quarter of
GDP in conflict-ravaged Venezuela. National oil
companies (NOCs) are at the center of governance
challenges in many resource-dependent countries.
Their success or failure is inextricably linked to the
macroeconomic health and development prospects
of their countries.
In our work over the years, however, we at the
Natural Resource Governance Institute (NRGI)
have seen the bright side as well. We have worked
with NOC leaders in Ghana, motivated to learn
from the successes – and failures – of companies
that have been at the oil game much longer than
they have. We have brainstormed with officials
from the planning ministry in Indonesia, as they
wrestle with policy choices to help reinvigorate
their country’s flagship NOC. And we have
supported – and been inspired by – countless
journalists, activists and researchers, committed
to understanding whether these companies are
contributing to national development, and pushing
them to deliver results.
Many of these companies rank among the richest
entities in the world. But it has been difficult
to truly understand how they are managing
public resources and to create strong incentives
for performance. One common challenge that
permeates these experiences – the positive and the
negative – has been a lack of solid, publicly available
comparative data on their revenues, spending,
balance sheets and transfers to governments. We
are one of a number of organizations working to
encourage and provide advice on more extensive,
more consistent reporting by these companies.
And thanks to strong leadership, indeed several
NOCs have taken a number of important steps
forward, even though significant gaps remain.
But even where NOCs have started to put more
information in the public domain, questions
abound. “What do I do with this information?”
“How can we analyze whether a company is doing
well with the resources it’s been given?” “Why do
different NOCs do what they do, and what risks do
they bring?”
It is these questions that inspired the creation
of NRGI’s National Oil Company Database,
presented in this report and the only publicly
available resource of its kind. We wanted to take
advantage of the growing amount of information in
the public domain and help make sense of it, and to
fill gaps in knowledge and understanding of these
massively influential companies. In the future,
we hope that disclosures will continue to expand,
illuminating areas that remain dark, and that NOCs
– and the governments and citizens in their home
countries – will take advantage of an increasingly
data-rich environment to improve benchmarking,
reduce governance risk and increase their
contributions to national development.
Daniel Kaufmann
President and CEO
Natural Resource Governance Institute
Patrick R.P. Heller
Advisor
Natural Resource Governance Institute
Foreword
2
THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE
The National Oil Company Database helps
fill a significant gap in knowledge of the global
economy. national oil companies (NOCs) produce
approximately 55 percent of the world’s oil and
gas, pumping out an estimated 85 million barrels
of oil equivalent per day.1
The World Bank has
estimated that they control up to 90 percent of
global oil and gas reserves, thereby serving as
gatekeepers for international oil companies’ access
to hydrocarbons.2
Within their home countries,
NOCs influence the degree to which billions of
people benefit—or suffer—as a result of their
countries’ hydrocarbon wealth. Many of these
companies manage multi-billion-dollar portfolios
of public assets, execute complex projects across
their territories and at sea, employ citizens in the
tens or hundreds of thousands, and perform a
range of public services from providing energy to
building infrastructure.
Effective NOCs deliver significant value to their state
shareholders via fiscal revenue contributions to the
treasury, successful exploration efforts, and the devel-
opment of new skills and technologies. Many NOCs,
however, have struggled to generate sustained finan-
cial returns and/or have been beset by corruption.
Some also struggle with mixed mandates and unclear
directions from their political masters.
Despite their importance, NOCs have traditionally
been poorly understood partly thanks to weak and
uneven reporting, sparse research, and an absence of
publicly available comparative data. Without solid
information, governments, oversight bodies and
market players struggle to assess NOC performance
and develop strategies for how these influential
entities can generate greater benefits for citizens.
In order to address these challenges, the Natural
Resource Governance Institute (NRGI) has
assembled the world’s most comprehensive open
database on NOCs. The National Oil Company
Database is an online, interactive tool that enables
a wide range of users—from government officials
and NOC executives to journalists and activists—
to better understand the roles played by these
companies and hold them accountable to generate
returns on public investment. This database
gathers in one place detailed information derived
from public sources and compiled according to a
consistent methodology to facilitate benchmarking
of companies and cross-cutting analysis of their
roles, impacts and reform prospects.
At the time of its launch in early 2019, the database
covers 71 NOCs headquartered in 61 countries
worldwide. It provides data on 11 indicator groups,
including NOC production, revenue generation,
fiscal transfers to government and operational
and financial performance, covering a seven-year
time series (2011 to 2017).3
For the year 2017, the
database includes data on NOCs with total revenues
of $1.9 trillion and total assets of $3.1 trillion.4
Introduction
THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE
Download the results of a data
query or the entire dataset.
Select indicator from
11 indicator groups.
Data filters allow users to
sort based on company
characteristics.
“Explore by indicator” page (www.nationaloilcompanydata.org/indicator).
This page provides users with the opportunity to examine specific data points across different NOCs.
It is designed to facilitate comparisons among companies and over time.
Select based on
country or company.
Consult source documents, explore the com-
pany’s website or examine related data on the
Resource Governance Index.
“Explore by company” page (www.nationaloilcompanydata.org/indicator).
This page allows a user to see all available information for one NOC together in one place.
NRGI’s National Oil Company Database at a glance, April 2019
Website: www.nationaloilcompanydata.org
Companies included: 71
Home countries represented: 61, across all regions of the world
Time period covered: 2011—2017
Indicators measured: 135
Individual data points: more than 70,000
3
THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE
Mexico | Pemex
Colombia | Ecopetrol
Cuba | CUPET
Peru | Perupetro
Bolivia | YPFB
Argentina | YPF
Brazil | Petrobras
	Official information not found
	0 boe/day
	Between 0 and 100,000 boe/day
	Between 100,000 and 500,000 boe/day
	Above 500,000 boe/day
Venezuela | PDVSA
Suriname | Staatsolie
Trinidad and Tobago | Petrotrin
Norway | Equinor
Denmark | Orsted
Gabon | Gabon Oil Company
Equatorial Guinea | GEPetrol
Cameroon | SNH
Nigeria | NNPC
Congo | SNPC
Angola | Sonangol
Namibia | NAMCOR
Ghana | GNPC (PIAC)
Egypt | EGPC
Tunisia | ETAP
Côte d’Ivoire | Petroci
Liberia | NOCAL
Libya | NOC Libya
Algeria | Sonatrach
Ecuador Petroamazonas
Petroecuador
Jamaica | PCJ
Ukraine | Naftogaz
Companies in the
National Oil Company
Database, by production
NOC production level, 2017 or most recent4
THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE
Brunei | PetroleumBrunei
China
| CNOOC/CNOOC Limited
CNPC/PetroChina
Sinopec Group/Corp.
Kazakhstan | KazMunayGas
Turkmenistan | Turkmengaz
Russia
Gazprom
Rosneft
Mozambique | ENH
South Africa | PetroSA
Timor-Leste | Timor GAP
Indonesia | Pertamina
Bangladesh | Petrobangla
Philippines | PNOC
Myanmar | MOGE
Azerbaijan | SOCAR
Kuwait | KPC
Qatar | Qatar Petroleum
Bahrain | BAPCO
United Arab Emirates
n ADNOC
n ENOC
n IPIC
n TAQA
Iran | NIOC
India | ONGC
Saudi Arabia | Saudi Aramco
Yemen | YOGC
Iraq | Basra Oil Company
South Sudan | Nilepet
Chad | SHT
Sudan | Sudapet
Kenya | National Oil Kenya
Democratic Republic of Congo | Sonahydroc
Tanzania | TPDC
Oman | OOC
Malaysia | Petronas
Vietnam | PetroVietnam
Thailand | PTT
5
6
THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE
The database bolsters arguments for more
transparent reporting by state-owned enterprises,
by highlighting persistent weaknesses in reporting
on several critical indicators, demonstrating the
value of consistent reporting for policymaking and
oversight, and identifying several prominent NOCs
that publish very little useful data. Table 2 on page
21 below provides details on some of the most
important transparency gaps.
The database is an online tool. It allows users
to view all available data for one company, or to
“explore by indicator” and view comparative data
across a range of NOCs. It features data filters that
allow a user to compare data across sub-groups
of NOCs based on region or production profile.
Users can download the entire dataset including
source information in CSV format. The database
also provides links to a specially-created document
library, www.resourcedata.org/organization/noc-
library, which houses the official source documents
from which the data were drawn.
This report summarizes the central findings and
provides an overview of how the database was
developed and how it can be used to bolster efforts
to support NOC governance. Another companion
paper, Massive and Misunderstood: Data-Driven
Insights into National Oil Companies, provides
in-depth analysis deriving from NRGI experts’
examination of the data.
The database bolsters arguments for more transparent reporting, by
highlighting persistent weaknesses, demonstrating the value of consistent
reporting, and identifying several prominent NOCs that publish little
useful data.
7
THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE
The database covers companies (a) in which the
state has a majority ownership stake and/or a
“golden share” that gives it effective control over
decision-making; (b) that are defined by national
legislation and/or national practice as an enterprise;
and (c) that are involved in upstream activities
related to the exploration, production, processing
and/or regulation of oil and gas.5
The data on NOCs in the database are derived
exclusively from official government and NOC
sources. Companies’ annual and financial reports
are the principal source of information for most
companies in the database. NRGI supplemented
these data with information on NOCs from
other government reports, including filings by
ministries of oil, energy and finance and EITI
reports. Data-gathering and the definition of major
benchmarks focused on the companies’ upstream
roles in exploration, production and revenue-
generation. Beyond this NOC-specific data, the
database draws contextual indicators on home-
country economies and government finances from
international institutions such as the International
Monetary Fund and World Bank. The database also
provides users with links to several resources to
support further analysis, including the underlying
documents that served as the source data, NRGI’s
Resource Governance Index and the websites of the
NOCs themselves.
NRGI selected indicators for the database in
accordance with several goals:
•	 Providing information on the scale of NOC
activities, including production, revenues,
expenditures, assets and liabilities
•	 Facilitating benchmarking of NOC performance
and return on public investment, to enable
company and government leaders to set
ambitious targets and measure success
•	 Informing fiscal policy, which dictates the share
of revenues that an NOC can spend and the
share that must be transferred to government
•	 Deepening global understanding of NOC
reporting practices and priorities for
transparency reform
To address these topics, the project team collected
data on 135 indicators, grouped into eleven
indicator groups, as illustrated in Box 3.
Database methodology
8
THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE
National Oil Company Database: Methodology
Guide contains a detailed description the database’s
construction. The data collection approach was
designed to mitigate the challenges that have
traditionally impeded systematic comparative
analysis of NOCs. The most important
longstanding data challenge has been a failure
by many NOCs to report publicly. This problem
persists, as is discussed in detail below. But by
seeking information across a wide range of official
platforms and sources, NRGI was able to capture
and present in one place more public information
than has been previously assembled.
Even when companies have made information
available, it has often been difficult for regulators,
legislators and public interest groups to use it, and
especially to compare data across NOCs. Not all
NOCs report according to International Financial
Reporting Standards (IFRS) and even when they do
follow core accounting principles, there is significant
variation in how they report and categorize
data. In order to maximize consistency of data
and comparability between NOCs, the database
employs a standard definition for each indicator.6
PROXIES FOR
REPORTING BEST
PRACTICES
Reporting
questions
Country
variables
Exploration,
production and
employees
Revenues
Transfers to
government
Expenditures
Cash flows
Financial
performance
Operational
performance
NOC data in
context
Balance sheet
DATA ASSEMBLED FROM
COMPANY AND GOVERNMENT
REPORTING
DATA COLLECTED FROM
PUBLIC DATA SETS
PERFORMANCE METRICS -
CALCULATED BY US
Figure 1. Indicator groups in the National Oil Company Database
9
THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE
Table 1 summarizes the major challenges
associated with assembling the data and how
database project staff have approached them:
Although NRGI was not able to eliminate these
data challenges completely, the project produced
figures of significant statistical value, with more
than 70,000 individual data points.7
Figures 2 and
3 help illustrate the coverage NRGI was able to
achieve in the database. As shown in Figure 2, the
database contains production data from 51 NOCs
that together produced 69 million barrels of oil
equivalent per day for 2013. This is 81 percent of
what Rystad Energy has reported as the total global
production by NOCs.8
NOCs disclose other data less often than they
disclose production data. Figure 3 provides an
example. Using the same Rystad Energy figures
on total NOC production, it shows the share
of production from companies that published
sufficient information for NRGI to record their
total revenues. Here the database has revenue data
capturing 58 percent of NOC production. Some
major players are missing, including important
Middle East producers.9
Table 1. Data challenges and mitigation approaches
Challenge Description Mitigation
Availability Data disclosure is still poor among many NOCs,
including such major companies as the National
Iranian Oil Company and the Nigerian National
Petroleum Corporation. Data on certain indicators –
e.g., expenditures and employment – was generally
weak across the company sample.
NRGI conducted thorough research of a wide range
of official sources in order to capture as much
information as possible. The accompanying analysis
emphasizes indicators for which a relatively large
amount of data is available.
Reliability Because the data derives exclusively from official
government sources, it replicates any false or
misleading information in government reports.
The database allows users to filter by whether the
report from which data derived was subject to
independent audit.
Inconsistent
terminology
An inconsistent use of terms creates challenges
for cross-company comparisons. NOCs report
information to serve different audiences and
according to different national traditions and
accounting principles. Even where companies
are reporting in accordance with international
accounting principles, there is significant variation in
how they categorize information.
The data-gathering methodology applied consistent
approaches to each company, including by
examining the detailed notes included in financial
reports and other source documents. In some
cases, this required NRGI to either aggregate or
disaggregate information from the financial reports
in order to keep the measurements as consistent as
possible.
Data interpretation The variety among NOCs in terms of goals, geology
and national context poses challenges for cross-
company comparisons. Unnuanced comparisons
between, e.g., a new non-operating NOC such as
Timor Leste’s Timor GAP and a global giant such
as Russia’s Gazprom, could result in irresponsible
conclusions.
To facilitate coherent cross-company analysis, NRGI
created various peer groups to compare similar NOCs
to one another as much as possible.
10
THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE
All other
16,527 k boe/d
ADNOC (ARE)
4,015 k boe/d
BAPCO
(BHR)
143 k boe/d
Basra Oil Company (IRQ)
2,160 k boe/d
CNOOC Limited
(CHN) 1,128 k
boe/d
CNPC (CHN)
4,884 k boe/d
Ecopetrol (COL)
788 k boe/d
Equinor (NOR)
1,677 k boe/d
Gazprom (RUS)
9,061 k boe/d
KPC (KWT)
3,477 k boe/d
KazMunayGas
(KAZ)
571k boe/d
NNPC (NGA)
1,245 k boe/d
Naftogaz
(UKR)
308 k boe/d
ONGC (IND)
932 k boe/d
PDVSA (VEN)
3,811 k boe/d
PTT (THA)
293 k boe/d
Pemex (MEX)
3,653 k boe/d
Pertamina (IDN)
466 k boe/d
Petroamazonas
(ECU)
335 k boe/d
Petrobangla
(BGD)
402 k boe/d
Petrobras (BRA)
2,540 k boe/d
Petroecuador
(ECU)
340 k boe/d
Petronas (MYS)
2,131 k boe/d
Rosneft (RUS)
4,900 k boe/d
SOCAR (AZE)
287 k boe/d
Saudi Aramco (SAU)
11,588 k boe/d
Sinopec Corp
(CHN)
1,222 k boe/d
Sonangol (AGO)
803 k boe/d
Sonatrach (DZA)
3,367 k boe/d
TAQA (ARE)
142 k boe/d
YPF (ARG)
493 k boe/d
YPFB (BOL)
444 k boe/d
Production
datanotreported
Production
datareported
Figure 2. Coverage of total global NOC production in the National Oil Company Database, 2013
11
THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE
ADNOC (ARE)
4,015 k boe/d
All other
16,527 k boe/d
BAPCO
(BHR)
143 k
boe/d
Basra Oil Company (IRQ)
2,160 k boe/d
NNPC (NGA)
1,245 k boe/d
Saudi Aramco (SAU)
11,588 k boe/d
CNOOC Limited
(CHN)
1,128 k boe/d
ETAP (TUN)
83 k boe/d
Ecopetrol
(COL)
788 k boe/d
Equinor (NOR)
1,677 k boe/d
Gazprom (RUS)
9,061 k boe/d
KPC (KWT)
3,477 k boe/d
KazMunayGas
(KAZ)
571 k boe/d
Naftogaz
(UKR)
308 k boe/d
ONGC (IND)
932 k boe/d
PTT (THA)
293 k boe/d
Pemex (MEX)
3,653 k boe/d
PDVSA (VEN)
3,811 k boe/d
CNPC (CHN)
4,884 k boe/d
Pertamina
(IDN)
466 k boe/d
Petroamazonas
(ECU)
335 k boe/d
Petrobangla
(BGD)
402 k boe/d
Petrobras (BRA)
2,540 k boe/d
Petroecuador
(ECU)
340 k boe/d
Petronas (MYS)
2,131 k boe/d
Rosneft (RUS)
4,900 k boe/d
SNPC (COG)
122 k boe/d
SOCAR (AZE)
287 k boe/d
Sinopec Corp (CHN)
1,222 k boe/d
Sonangol
(AGO)
803 k boe/d
Sonatrach (DZA)
3,367 k boe/d
TAQA (ARE)
142 k boe/d
YPF (ARG)
493 k boe/d
YPFB (BOL)
444 k boe/d
Revenue
data not reported
Revenue
data reported
Figure 3. NOC production by companies reporting revenues and those not reporting revenues, 2013
12
THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE
Analysis of the database draws out several signifi-
cant findings about NOC influence, performance
and strategy. For a detailed discussion of these find-
ings, see Massive and Misunderstood: Data-Driven
Insights into National Oil Companies. The data
illustrate that NOCs are larger, more influential and
riskier than has previously been evident, and point
to steps that government and NOC leadership can
take in order to increase their rate of success.
Scale and influence: NOCs are giants,
managing larger portfolios and collecting
more public revenue than was previously
understood.
NOCs are massive. This basic fact has been known
by oil-watchers for some time, but a historical
lack of consistent and comparative data has made
it difficult to fully understand their impact on
their home economies. The database paints a more
thorough picture of the scale and impact of NOCs.
NOCs particularly dominate production within
their borders. “Domestic NOCs”—which produce
oil and gas largely in their home countries—were
responsible for 76 percent of their countries’
total production over the course of the data
period. Major producers such as Saudi Arabia,
Kuwait and Mexico—with long histories of oil
production and strongly nationalist approaches
to the sector—drive this trend. NOCs in these
countries were responsible for almost 100 percent
of national production. Some “internationalized
NOCs”—such as Malaysia’s Petronas and several
large Chinese NOCs—have taken their show
on the road, and are supplementing oil and gas
production at home with ambitious exploration
and production activities abroad.
NOCs collect huge flows of public revenues,
making them critical players in the public financial
management of their home countries. The
Key findings
Figure 4. NOC total revenues as a percentage of general government revenue, 201310
168 % − SOCAR (AZE)
20%
0%
50%
100%
150%
PDVSA(VEN)
Petronas(MYS)
KPC(KWT)
Sonatrach(DZA)
PTT(THA)
YPFB(BOL)
Sonangol(AGO)
Staatsolie(SUR)
SNPC(COG)
NNPC(NGA)
Petrotrin(TTO)
PetroVietnam(VNM)
QatarPetroleum(QAT)
Pertamina(IDN)
Pemex(MEX)
Petroecuador(ECU)
PCJ(JAM)
Equinor(NOR)
KazMunayGas(KAZ)
IPIC(ARE)
Ecopetrol(COL)
Petroamazonas(ECU)
Gazprom(RUS)
Rosneft(RUS)
MOGE(MMR)
SinopecGroup(CHN)
CNPC(CHN)
Petrobras(BRA)
SHT(TCD)
Naftogaz(UKR)
ENOC(ARE)
ETAP(TUN)
GNPC(GHA)
YPF(ARG)
ONGC(IND)
Petroci(CIV)
Orsted(DNK)
Perupetro(PER)
Petrobangla(BGD)
TAQA(ARE)
CNOOC(CHN)
NOCAL(LBR)
ENH(MOZ)
PetroSA(ZAF)
TPDC(TZA)
PNOC(PHL)
Sonahydroc(COD)
TimorGAP(TLS)
COMPANY TYPE: ■ Domestic producers ■ Internationalized operators ■ Pre−production NOCs
13
THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE
International Monetary Fund defines a country
as oil-dependent if more than 20 percent of all
government revenues come from the sector.
Adapting this definition, NRGI’s data reveal that
worldwide there were at least 25 NOC-dependent
countries—where an NOC, by itself, collected
funds equivalent to 20 percent or more of all
government revenues—in the high-price year of
2013.11
In many cases, flows to NOCs dwarf the
revenue that governments collect from foreign
aid or domestic instruments such as income tax.
The Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation,
for example, collected oil and gas sales revenue
equivalent to a range of 45 percent to 74 percent
of general government revenue across the years
for which data was available. Given the number of
NOCs that still do not report on their revenues, the
total number of NOC-dependent countries likely
exceeds the 25 that are directly captured here.
Of the 42 countries for which there is sufficient
constituent data for 2013, 55 percent were
NOC-dependent.
NOCs amass large assets. Nineteen NOCs in the
sample reported assets in excess of $50 billion. In
2017, the collective assets of the top ten NOCs
in the database that reported on this figure—
which excludes several large companies that did
not report their assets—exceeded those of the
world’s ten largest international oil companies,
as illustrated in Figure 5.12
The sheer amount of
national wealth concentrated in these companies
can sometimes contribute to a sense that they are
“too big to fail,” with consequences for governance
and performance incentives.
Total assets
of 10 largest
international oil
companies, 2017
$1.95
trillion
Total assets
of top 10
national oil companies
captured in
database, 2017
$2.51
trillion
Figure 5. National oil company assets in context
14
THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE
Not all NOCs produce large amounts of oil and
gas or generate giant revenues in absolute terms.
But even NOCs operating at relatively small
scales—such as Suriname’s Staatsolie or the Ghana
National Petroleum Corporation—have a major
influence on their countries’ oil sectors and broader
economies.
Risks: NOCs spend a lot of the money they
collect, and many take on large debts.
Many NOCs have delivered strong value to their
citizens, including by increasing revenue flows to
government, promoting the growth of the oil and
gas sector, developing a cadre of skilled staff and
delivering a range of non-fiscal benefits such as
infrastructure construction. But the reverse is also
true, with some NOCs struggling to deliver value,
saddled with contradictory roles and susceptible to
rent-seeking and political manipulation.
The data create a clearer picture of just how large
the reverberations across the economy can be if an
NOC does not succeed. The huge shares of public
revenues that NOCs collect are one factor. When
a NOC’s revenues are equivalent to 20 percent—
or even 5 percent—of public revenues there is
a strong risk of the company becoming a state-
within-a-state and executing a sort of shadow fiscal
policy. NOCs can end up being the largest spenders
in the public sector, but often do not go through
the typical public sector budgeting or oversight
process. This underscores the need for well-
targeted rules setting the level at which the NOC
must transfer revenues to the treasury, and strong
oversight of NOC spending.
Most NOCs transfer less than 25 percent of their
gross revenues to their governments. The median
NOC in the sample transferred 23 percent of its
revenues to the government in the high-price year
of 2013. By 2015, when prices had plummeted,
this figure dropped to 17 percent. NOCs spend
most of the rest on company operations and
investments. This is fitting in some cases, for NOCs
participating in complex commercial projects in
pursuit of long-term benefits, or for NOCs tasked
with direct delivery of public services such as
energy provision or infrastructure construction.
But it comes at an opportunity cost, as every dollar
spent by an NOC is unavailable in the immediate
term for spending by the government on health,
education or other development needs.
There is significant variation among NOCs in the
sample in terms of how much they transfer to
the state, ranging from less than 5 percent (e.g.,
Thailand’s PTT) to more than 90 percent (e.g.,
Chad’s Société des Hydrocarbures du Tchad).
NOCs also vary widely in how they structure
such transfers. In 2013, amid a sustained period
of record high prices, fewer than half of the NOCs
in the sample reported paying a dividend to
government shareholders. Twelve of the 13 NOCs
in the sample that traded some shares on a public
stock exchange paid a dividend. Less than one-
third of the non-listed NOCs did so, even during
the recent boom years when oil prices topped
$100 per barrel.
The median NOC in the sample transferred 23 percent of its revenues
to the government in the high-price year of 2013. By 2015, this figure
dropped to 17 percent.
15
THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE
Setting policy on requirements for NOC transfers
requires a careful balance and alignment with
clear goals. If a state taxes a commercially oriented
NOC too heavily, it impedes the company’s ability
to invest in long-term growth and efficiency.
Conversely, if an NOC consistently transfers only
small amounts to the state, the potential fiscal
benefits from oil and gas can go unrealized. Some
NOC officials describe their companies as profit-
seekers—and use that rhetoric to justify heavy
spending—but consistently fail to pay dividends to
the state.
Many NOCs are significantly indebted. The
database identifies 18 companies with long-term
liabilities equal to more than 5 percent of the total
GDP of their home country, as illustrated in Figure
6. In extreme cases such as Venezuela’s PDVSA or
Angola’s Sonangol, NOC debt has risen above 20
percent of GDP. When extremely high NOC debt
combines with other performance challenges, the
company can become a risk to broader economic
sustainability. This is particularly true in countries
where dominant NOCs are essentially “too big to
fail.”
−10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
SOCAR(AZE)
PDVSA(VEN)
Sonangol(AGO)
Equinor(NOR)
Staatsolie(SUR)
Pemex(MEX)
Petrotrin(TTO)
Petronas(MYS)
KazMunayGas(KAZ)
Petrobras(BRA)
Ecopetrol(COL)
IPIC(ARE)
KPC(KWT)
TAQA(ARE)
Naftogaz(UKR)
YPFB(BOL)
Rosneft(RUS)
PTT(THA)
Gazprom(RUS)
Orsted(DNK)
YPF(ARG)
Pertamina(IDN)
Petroecuador(ECU)
Sonatrach(DZA)
ETAP(TUN)
CNPC(CHN)
ONGC(IND)
SinopecGroup(CHN)
CNOOC(CHN)
GNPC(GHA)
PetroSA(ZAF)
Perupetro(PER)
TPDC(TZA)
Petrobangla(BGD)
%GDP
LONG−TERM LIABILITIES: ■ Domestic producers ■ Internationalized operators EQUITY: Total equity
Figure 6. Long-term NOC liabilities and equity as a percentage of GDP, 2015
16
THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE
In such cases, the NOC can require costly bailouts
from the state, meaning that instead of being a
boon to the state coffers, it becomes a drain. Several
governments—ranging from those of major oil
producers such as Mexico and Kazakhstan to
Namibia, which doesn’t even produce oil yet—have
spent hundreds of millions, even billions of dollars
bailing out NOCs in recent years. As of early 2019,
a committee of creditors had declared Venezuela's
PDVSA to be in default on its debts.
Several NOCs have long-term liabilities that are
multiple times that of annual government revenues
from natural resources, including Colombia’s
Ecopetrol (3.8 times), Indonesia’s Pertamina (1.8
times) and Suriname’s Staatsolie (4.6 times).
ANNUAL
GOVERNMENT
RESOURCE
REVENUE
NOC
LONG-TERM
LIABILITIES
3.8X
1.8X
4.6X
INDONESIA’S
PERTAMINA
COLOMBIA’S
ECOPETROL
SURINAME’S
STAATSOLLE
Figure 7. Illustrative national oil company long-term liabilities
as multiples of government natural resource revenues
17
THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE
During the recent oil boom, many NOCs spent
most of the revenue windfall they received,
rather than passing it to the treasury.
The database shows that when NOC revenues
rose during the boom period of 2011—2014,
their transfers to governments remained relatively
flat. Instead, the average NOC appears to have
directed large shares of boom-time windfalls to
the company’s own expenditures: both capital and
operating expenditures rose significantly.
These trends mirror broader trends in the industry
among IOCs, which also increased spending
during the boom. In the case of NOCs, the trends
are likely the result of a range of factors, including
high average costs across the industry, government
policy that incentivized NOC spending and
investment during the boom, and increases in IOC
tax payments that financed fiscal priorities.13
In
some cases, NOC spending is also closely linked
to inefficiency and weak management incentives
in times of plenty. Spending also rises in some
cases because of political pressure and corruption,
as illustrated by the high-profile scandals around
NOCs such as Brazil’s Petrobras.14
Figure 8. Median annual changes over time, oil price and various NOC indicators (2011 = 100)
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
2011(OilPrice:100)
2012(OilPrice:100.2)
2013(OilPrice:97.5)
2014(OilPrice:89)
2015(OilPrice:47.1)
2016(OilPrice:39.3)
2017(OilPrice:48.6)
Capex Oil price Opex
Revenue Transfers
18
THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE
When prices crashed, NOC transfers to
governments dropped more sharply than revenues.
This is further illustrated by Figure 9, which
highlights the asymmetry between the boom
and bust periods. When NOC revenues rose,
their transfers to the state tended to rise less than
proportionally (illustrated by the blue line being
less steep than 45 degrees). When revenues fell,
transfers tended to drop more than proportionately
(the red line is slightly steeper than 45 degrees).
This suggests that many NOCs spent a large share
of the boom period’s upside but then passed along
the downside impact to their governments. For
NOCs that can convert that boom-time spending
into long-term growth, this trade-off may have
been worthwhile. But for some countries the fiscal
revenue sacrificed by NOC spending during the
boom may not have generated a meaningful return.
Figure 9. Relationship between change in NOC revenues
and change in NOC transfers to government, 2012 to 2017
−100%
−50%
0%
50%
−100% −50% 0% 50% 100%
Change in revenues year-over-year
Changeintransfersyear-over-year
OBSERVATIONS (company+year)
Decrease in revenues
Increase in revenues
COMPANY GROUP
Domestic producers
Internationalized operators
Pre−production NOCs
19
THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE
Transparency: Many NOCs still do not report
consistently on key data that are essential
for oversight.
This research confirms and builds upon the findings
of the 2017 Resource Governance Index (RGI),
which showed that public reporting by many NOCs
remains insufficient. Of the 52 NOCs studied in
the index, 62 percent exhibited “weak,” “poor” or
“failing” performance on public transparency.
Data indicate that NOC transparency is closely
linked to the overall governance environment
in a country, as is illustrated by Figure 10. The
figure shows the RGI scores on NOC disclosure
broken down by the country’s performance on
the Worldwide Governance Indicators’ control
of corruption and voice and accountability
measures.15
This graph shows that NOCs tend
to report the least data in the countries with the
biggest shortcomings in corruption and freedoms
of association, assembly and participation.
Figure 10. Resource Governance Index national oil company
disclosure score per Worldwide Governance Indicator terciles16
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
1.2 - 31.7 31.7 - 63.4 63.4 - 98.7 1.2 - 25.6 25.6 - 54.8 54.8 - 98.7
Control of corruption
NOCdisclosurescore
Voice and Accountability
20
THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE
In spite of these broad trends, the national
context is not always so determinative, and
some NOCs report extensively even in countries
with considerable governance shortcomings.
Figure 11 illustrates the RGI scores for NOC
disclosure in relation to countries’ scores on the
“open data” subcomponent of the index, which
measures a country’s overall practices in making
data accessible to the public. Some NOCs—such
as the Ghana National Petroleum Corporation
and Malaysia’s Petronas—disclose more than
overall national trends in data availability would
suggest, as is illustrated by their position above
the 45-degree line in the figure. This illustrates
that strong leadership by company or government
officials can result in disclosure even in challenging
environments. By the same token, some NOCs—
such as Petroecuador and the Egyptian General
Petroleum Corporation—are more opaque
than would be predicted by their countries’
overall open data score, suggesting there may be
reform opportunities in countries with positive
experience at data dissemination.
Figure 11. Resource Governance Index NOC disclosure score relative
to RGI open data subcomponent score
Ecuador
Egypt
Ghana Malaysia
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
NOCdisclosurescore
Country open data subcomponent score
r = 0.49
21
THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE
The National Oil Company Database adds further
nuance to the RGI findings. Within the larger data-
base sample of 71 NOCs, some companies reported
in almost all of the fields on production, revenues,
transfers and performance. As a result the database
provides a rich basis on which to analyze trends and
specific companies in a much more evidence-rich
way than has previously been possible. While this
is helpful for analysts, shortcomings remain. Some
companies—including major industry players
such as the National Iranian Oil Company—report
almost none of the necessary information. Overall,
only 20 of the 71 companies in the sample produced
information sufficient to populate the ten key indi-
cators summarized in Table 2.
Companies in the Middle East and North
Africa—home to many of the world’s largest
NOCs—produced the least information on
average.17
The release in April 2019 by Saudi
Aramco of significant financial data as part of a
prospectus developed for potential investors
represents a positive step forward that runs counter
to that company’s history of opacity and the broader
trends in the region. When aggregated, sub-Saharan
Africa’s NOCs—including established companies
such as Nigeria’s NNPC and Angola’s Sonangol as
well as NOCs in up-and-coming oil producers such
as Tanzania—finished second from the bottom,
despite more extensive disclosure in countries such
as Ghana. Overall, company disclosure is weakest in
the areas of employment and spending. This opacity
has potentially serious consequences for the public’s
ability to scrutinize NOC priorities, efficiency and
company contributions to public employment.
Indicator All
Asia-
Pacific Eurasia
Latin America/
Caribbean
Middle
East/
North
Africa
Sub-
Saharan
Africa
Western
Europe
Number of companies in sample 71 16 6 13 17 17 2
Total oil and gas production 75% 69% 83% 92% 59% 76% 100%
Revenues from oil, gas, product sales 63% 69% 83% 85% 29% 65% 100%
Total NOC revenues 66% 88% 83% 85% 35% 53% 100%
Net income from core revenues 51% 69% 67% 77% 24% 29% 100%
Total transfers to the treasury 65% 88% 83% 77% 24% 65% 100%
Capital expenditures 48% 63% 83% 69% 24% 24% 100%
Operational expenditures 56% 81% 83% 85% 24% 29% 100%
Cash flows from operations 51% 63% 83% 77% 24% 29% 100%
Total assets 59% 81% 83% 85% 35% 29% 100%
Employees 45% 50% 67% 46% 29% 41% 100%
Table 2. NOC reporting on key indicators, by region, 2015
22
THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE
In light of the market and governance challenges
they face, how could NOCs and their governments
maximize their chances of success? Creating
clear and transparent performance benchmarks
is one step. Some NOCs—including Colombia’s
Ecopetrol and Malaysia’s Petronas—take a strong
approach to rigorous benchmarking. But many
governments have struggled to define what NOC
“success” looks like, or to create a performance-
based culture in which an NOC’s leadership is
accountable for achieving clear targets.
Benchmarking efforts are necessarily complex,
especially because the catch-all term “national oil
company” encompasses a wide range of entities
with varying roles, resources and experience.
Some governments prioritize the maximization
of fiscal revenues delivered to the country’s
treasury. Others prioritize the NOC’s commercial
effectiveness or a growth strategy designed to
extend the company’s portfolio or capacity.
Still others call upon the NOC to deliver value
to citizens through public services rather than
commercial success, such as by providing public
employment, infrastructure or energy, or by
promoting the local private sector.
These neat descriptions belie the complexity of
many real-world NOCs, which are called upon
to play various roles simultaneously. Developing
strong benchmarks requires a clear and honest
assessment by government and NOC leaders of
which goals are most important, especially as
few NOCs have enough resources to accomplish
everything simultaneously.
Continued improvements in public reporting are
critical for the enhancement of benchmarking
and other elements of NOC governance. For NOC
leaders and governments, access to clear and
consistent data can support strategic planning
and performance-oriented management. For
researchers, journalists and activists, greater
transparency can facilitate more effective public
oversight and constructive contributions to
debates about what roles NOCs should play. But
these advances require purposeful action.
In the process of building the database NRGI
came across several indicators that are essential for
strong citizen oversight of NOCs and where there
remain major gaps in the detail and consistency
of company reporting. Some of these items
have to date attracted scant attention in global
transparency initiatives. They include:
•	 Company expenditures. Although NOCs
spend large amount of public revenue, there
remain huge deficiencies in mechanisms for
reporting on the nature and purpose of these
expenditures. These represent some of the
most important choices in national public
financial management, but expenditures
proved to be the most difficult category of
information to capture in the database. Many
companies report almost no information
on spending (as Table 2 illustrates). Even
among companies that do report, there is little
consistency and it is difficult for analysts to use
most companies’ reports to thoroughly and
accurately assess spending choices.
Conclusions and policy implications
23
THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE
•	 The distribution of transfers to government
across fiscal vehicles and jurisdictions.
Many NOCs fail to report on disaggregated
transfers to government. Reports from
internationalized NOCs are often missing
detailed lists of how much the companies have
paid in the different jurisdictions in which
they operate. Many reports also lack a clear
explanation of the basis upon which various
NOC transfers to the state (including income
taxes, royalties, dividends and the transfer
of sales proceeds) are determined, making
it difficult to assess whether a company is
“paying what it should” to the state.
•	 The composition of an NOC’s production,
including how much it produces from fields that
it “operates.” NOCs “produce” oil and gas via
a range of mechanisms—from extracting it
from the ground themselves as operators, to
receiving it in kind from a larger partner in a
venture, or as an in lieu tax payment. Knowing
an NOC’s true “operated production” is
important in order to truly understand the
scope of its role and to analyze its costs,
efficiency and contributions to the state. Yet
this granular information is scant; NRGI was
only able to compile clear figures on operated
production for 23 percent (16 of 71) of
companies for 2015.
Long-term improvements in the thoroughness
and consistency of NOC disclosures are
necessary to enhance the abilities of NOCs and
their governments to benchmark performance
effectively, and of citizens to scrutinize how well
these companies are managing public resources.
Several international initiatives—including the
Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative and
the OECD’s Working Party on State Ownership
and Privatisation Practices—have taken important
steps to advance international standards on NOC
transparency. Such initiatives should prioritize
filling some of these outstanding gaps in publicly
available information, and create forums for
sharing of experiences on reporting among NOCs.
For governments and NOCs, a deeper
investment in transparency requires both
technical and political commitments. From a
technical standpoint, the National Oil Company
Database, its associated publications and many
international initiatives provide a starting point
to identify and fill gaps. Politically, some NOCs
have shown the ability to “lead” and institute
strong reporting systems even amidst broader
governance challenges. Yet in some countries,
NOC executives and government officials view
robust and consistent reporting as a burden. In fact,
transparent reporting is among the most important
tools for building public trust and the development
of a performance culture that will ultimately
benefit citizens.
24
THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE
Company (short name) Company (full name) Home country
ADNOC Abu Dhabi National Oil Company United Arab Emirates
BAPCO Bahrain Petroleum Company Bahrain
Basra Oil Company Basra Oil Company Iraq
CNOOC China National Offshore Oil Corporation China
CNOOC Limited China National Offshore Oil Corporation Limited China
CNPC China National Petroleum Corporation China
CUPET Cuba Petróleo Union Cuba
Ecopetrol Ecopetrol Colombia
EGPC Egyptian General Petroleum Corporation Egypt
ENH Empresa Nacional de Hidrocarbonetos Mozambique
ENOC Emirates National Oil Company United Arab Emirates
Equinor Equinor Norway
ETAP Entreprise Tunisienne d’Activités Pétrolières Tunisia
Gabon Oil Company Gabon Oil Company Gabon
Gazprom Gazprom Russia
GEPetrol GEPetrol Equatorial Guinea
GNPC Ghana National Petroleum Corporation Ghana
IPIC International Petroleum Investment Company United Arab Emirates
KazMunayGas KazMunayGas Kazakhstan
KPC Kuwait Petroleum Corporation Kuwait
MOGE Myanma Oil and Gas Enterprise Myanmar
Naftogaz Naftogaz Ukraine
NAMCOR National Petroleum Corporation of Namibia Namibia
National Oil Kenya National Oil Corporation of Kenya Kenya
Nilepet Nile Petroleum Corporation South Sudan
NIOC National Iranian Oil Company Iran
NNPC Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation Nigeria
NOC Libya National Oil Corporation of Libya Libya
NOCAL National Oil Company of Liberia Liberia
ONGC Oil and Natural Gas Corporation India
OOC Oman Oil Company Oman
Orsted Orsted Denmark
PCJ Petroleum Corporation of Jamaica Jamaica
PDVSA Petróleos de Venezuela, S.A. Venezuela
Pemex Petróleos Mexicanos Mexico
Pertamina PT Pertamina (Persero) Indonesia
Companies in the National Oil Company
Database
25
THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE
Company (short name) Company (full name) Home country
Perupetro Perupetro Peru
Petroamazonas Petroamazonas Ecuador
Petrobangla Petrobangla Bangladesh
Petrobras Petróleo Brasileiro Brazil
PetroChina PetroChina China
Petroci Société Nationale d’Opérations Pétrolières de la Côte d’Ivoire Côte d‘Ivoire
Petroecuador Petroecuador Ecuador
PetroleumBrunei PetroleumBrunei Brunei
Petronas Petroliam Nasional Berhad Malaysia
PetroSA PetroSA South Africa
Petrotrin Petroleum Company of Trinidad and Tobago Trinidad and Tobago
PetroVietnam PetroVietnam Vietnam
PNOC Philippine National Oil Company Philippines
PTT PTT Public Company Limited Thailand
Qatar Petroleum Qatar Petroleum Qatar
Rosneft Rosneft Russia
Saudi Aramco Saudi Aramco Saudi Arabia
SHT Société des Hydrocarbures du Tchad Chad
Sinopec Corp China Petroleum and Chemical Corporation China
Sinopec Group China Petroleum and Chemical Corporation—Group China
SNH Société Nationale des Hydrocarbures Cameroon
SNPC Société Nationale des Pétroles du Congo Congo (Rep.)
SOCAR State Oil Company of Azerbaijan Republic Azerbaijan
Sonahydroc Société Nationale des Hydrocarbures Dem. Rep. of Congo
Sonangol Sonangol Group Angola
Sonatrach Sonatrach Algeria
Staatsolie Staatsolie Suriname
Sudapet Sudan National Petroleum Corporation Sudan
TAQA Abu Dhabi National Energy Company United Arab Emirates
Timor GAP Timor GAP Timor-Leste
TPDC Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation Tanzania
Turkmengaz Turkmengaz Turkmenistan
YOGC Yemen Oil and Gas Corporation Yemen
YPF Yacimientos Petrolíferos Fiscales Argentina
YPFB Yacimientos Petrolíferos Fiscales Bolivianos Bolivia
26
THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE
1 	 Rystad Energy, UCube Database reported average for the
2011 to 2017 period. According to Rystad, NOC production
represented 55 percent of total oil and gas production
worldwide over this period. Estimates from the World Bank
earlier this decade put NOCs’ share of global oil production
at 75 percent, and their share of global reserves at 90
percent. Silvana Tordo, Brandon S. Tracy and Noora Arfaa.
National Oil Companies and Value Creation (World Bank,
2011).
2 	 Silvana Tordo, Brandon S. Tracy and Noora Arfaa. National Oil
Companies and Value Creation (World Bank, 2011).
3 	 The figures and statistics in this report reflects data in the
NRGI National Oil Company database as of February 28,
2019. These data draw on reports that were published by
NOCs and their governments through the end of the data
collection period, September 30, 2018, with one exception.
On April 1, 2019, Saudi Aramco released an investor
prospectus including consolidated financial statements
covering the years 2016, 2017 and 2018. Because of the
size and influence of Saudi Aramco, and the complete
absence of any financial data from the company before
the release of the prospectus, we opted to include figures
derived from it in the database.
4 	 Some NOCs had not yet reported on key indicators for
2016 and 2017 during the data collection period. As more
companies report, we expect these figures for 2017 will rise
in future updates to the database.
5 	 The project’s definition of scope means that the database
does not include companies that are exclusively active in
downstream operations or joint ventures in which a state
entity may own a minority share.
6 	 Data collection involved examining the detailed notes in
financial reports and other source documents in order to
enter data consistently with the project methodology. In
some cases, this approach means that the database’s stated
value for a data point differs from the stated value for a
similarly-titled figure within the source report.
7 	 Reporting on company expenditures and profits remain
the areas of greatest inconsistency among NOCs. As such,
NRGI’s confidence in the consistency of the data is highest
for indicators on production, revenues, transfers, cash flows
and balance sheets.
8 	 Rystad Energy, UCube Database. Rystad Energy estimates
that total production by NOCs in 2013 averaged 85 million
barrels of oil equivalent per day.
9 	 On April 1, 2019, just before the publication of this report,
Saudi Aramco released an investor prospectus including
consolidated financial statements detailing the company’s
revenues for 2016, 2017 and 2018. The company’s revenues
for 2013 remain unavailable.
10 	The data for all of the NOCs in Figure 4 are calculated as NOC
total gross revenues as a percentage of general government
revenues, with one exception. The Nigerian National
Petroleum Corporation did not publish data sufficient for us
to include a figure on the company’s total gross revenues
(including its revenues from oil and gas sales plus revenues
from other lines of business). But through Nigeria’s EITI
reports, we were able to assemble data on the revenues that
NNPC collected from sales of oil and gas, which represents
the overwhelming share of its total. As such, and because
this sales revenues is equivalent to such a sizable amount
of the total revenues of the Nigerian government, we opted
to include it here. Thus for NNPC the percentage shown in
Figure 4 is revenues from oil, gas and product sales divided
by general government revenues.
11 	These 25 countries include the 23 countries with NOCs
shown in Figure 4 to be above the 20 percent threshold—
with data derived from the National Oil Company Database,
plus Saudi Arabia and Iran, which did not officially disclose
revenues for 2013 but which play a dominant role in their
oil-dependent economies. The financial prospectus and
consolidated financial statements released by Saudi Aramco
on April 1, 2019 included figures on the company’s revenues
for 2016, 2017 and 2018, which showed that it was well
above the 20 percent threshold for NOC dependency for
those years.
12 	The top ten NOCs were China National Petroleum
Corporation (headquartered in China), Sinopec Group
(China), Gazprom (Russia), Saudi Aramco (Saudi Arabia),
Rosneft (Russia), Petrobras (Brazil), China National
Offshore Oil Corporation (China), Petronas (Malaysia),
Kuwait Petroleum Corporation (Kuwait) and Pemex
(Mexico). Top ten international oil companies by total
assets taken from Fortune, 2017 Global 500, www.fortune.
com/global500/2017/list/filtered?sortBy=assets. These
companies were: Royal Dutch Shell, ExxonMobil, BP, Chevron,
Total, ENI, ConocoPhillips, Lukoil, Repsol and Phillips 66.
Endnotes
27
THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE
13 	The trends associated with NOC revenues and spending as
oil prices evolve largely match broader trends within the
industry and among IOCs. See Gerhard Toews and Alexander
Naumov, “The Relationship Between Oil Price and Costs in
the Oil and Gas Industry” (Oxford Centre for the Analysis of
Resource Rich Economies, 2015), www.economics. ox.ac.uk/
materials/papers/13819/paper152.pdf.
14 	For a thorough description of the nature and impact of the
Petrobras scandal, see U.S. Department of Justice, “Petróleo
Brasileiro S.A.—Petrobras Agrees to Pay More than $850
Million for FCPA Violations,” 27 September 2008, www.
justice.gov/opa/pr/petr-leo-brasileiro-sa-petrobras-agrees-
pay-more-850-million-fcpa-violations.
15 	World Bank, Worldwide Governance Indicators, http://info.
worldbank.org/governance/wgi/#home.
16 	The “NOC disclosure” measure featured on this figure is
calculated by averaging the scores for 5 NOC disclosure-
specific indicators that are included in the State-owned
Enterprises subcomponent of the 2017 RGI. The questions
that served as the basis for this measure can be accessed at
www.resourcegovernanceindex.org.
17 	Exceptions to the general lack of reporting within the
region were the UAE-based TAQA (which provided sufficient
information for us to complete the data on all 10 of the
key indicators in 2015), the Kuwait Petroleum Corporation
(nine indicators), Tunisia’s Entreprise Tunisienne d’Activités
Pétrolières (eight indicators) and the UAE’s International
Petroleum Investment Company (eight indicators).
28
THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
The National Oil Company Database and accompanying analysis were developed with contributions
by a large team of NRGI staff and partners, under the leadership of Patrick Heller. Anna Fleming
led the project’s data management, including developing the data architecture and analytical tools.
David Mihalyi co-authored the paper which serves as the source of several of the findings in this
report. Alexandra Gillies led the overall quality control of this report and other publications. Suneeta
Kaimal, Liz McGrath and Lee Bailey provided guidance on research and publication strategy. The
original data collection template for the database was developed by Giancarlo Lazzáro. Researchers
responsible for data collection and review included Nour Berro, Lidia Cano Pecharromán, Rose
Davis, Charlotte Huebner, Naoko Takahashi, and Felix Wei Xin Tan. A network of reviewers
and advisors provided invaluable inputs and feedback on the data template, associated analysis
and drafts, including Aisha Adam, Tony Addison, Theo Ahwireng, Frian Aarsnes, Andrew
Bauer, Carlos Bellorin, Jim Cust, Galib Efendiev, Audrey Gaughran, Alonso Hidalgo, Charlotte
Huebner, Poppy Ismalina, Daniel Kaufmann, Thomas Lassourd, Marie Lintzer, Paasha Mahdavi,
Alexander Malden, David Manley, Valérie Marcel, Jimena Montoya Villavicencio, Keith Myers,
Fernando Patzy, Zira John Quaghe, Laura Robinson, Khin Saw Htay, Aaron Sayne, Amir Shafaie,
Alina Skripets, Berit Tvedt, Claudia Viale and Armando Zamora. The group responsible for
conceptualizing and developing the online database platform included Thomas Morrison, Anders
Pedersen, Adina Petrean (and her team at Vitamin Software), Alexander Podsechin (and his team at
SoftGrad Solutions), Andriy Privalov and Hari Subhash. The team at the Center for Law, Energy 
Environment, U.C. – Berkeley, including Jordan Diamond and Luke Sherman, provided intellectual
and logistical resources of great value to the development of the project.
The Natural Resource Governance Institute (NRGI) helps people to
realize  the benefits of their countries’ endowments of oil, gas and minerals.
We do this through technical advice, advocacy, applied research, policy
analysis, and capacity development. We work with innovative agents of
change within government ministries, civil society, the media, legislatures,
the private sector, and international institutions to promote accountable
and effective governance in the extractive industries.
www.resourcegovernance.org
APRIL 2019
Massive and
Misunderstood
Data-Driven Insights
into National Oil
Companies
Patrick R. P. Heller and David Mihalyi
Contents
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY................................................................................................................................ 1
I. UNDER-ANALYZED BEHEMOTHS.......................................................................................................... 6
II. THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE......................................................................................10
III. SIZE AND IMPACT OF NATIONAL OIL COMPANIES......................................................................15
IV. BENCHMARKING NATIONAL OIL COMPANIES BY VALUE ADDITION......................................29
V. TRANSPARENCY AND NATIONAL OIL COMPANY REPORTING..................................................54
VI. CONCLUSIONS AND STEPS FOR FURTHER RESEARCH.............................................................61
APPENDIX 1. NOCs IN NRGI’S NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE...........................................62
APPENDIX 2. CHANGES IN NOC ECONOMIC DATA AS REVENUES CHANGED..........................66
Key messages
•	 National oil companies (NOCs) produce the majority of the world’s oil and gas.
They dominate the production landscape in some of the world’s most oil-rich
countries, including Saudi Arabia, Mexico, Venezuela and Iran, and play a central
role in the oil and gas sector in many emerging producers. In 2017, NOCs that
published data on their assets reported combined assets of $3.1 trillion.
•	 At least 25 countries are “NOC-dependent,” meaning that the national oil company
collects revenues equivalent to more than 20 percent of all government revenues.
The fiscal health of many countries – and governments’ ability to use oil revenues
to finance development – depend heavily on how well the NOC is run, how much
revenue it is required to transfer to the state, and the quality of its spending.
•	 Many NOCs carry big debts, sometimes as much as 10 or even 20 percent of their
countries’ GDP. Several NOCs have required multi-billion-dollar government bail-
outs in recent years, becoming a costly drain on public finances.
•	 Sixty-two percent of NOCs exhibit “weak,” “poor” or “failing” performance on
public transparency, as measured by the Resource Governance Index. Interna-
tional transparency actors should promote better NOC reporting on expenditures,
transfers to the government and the breakdown of oil and gas production from
different sources. NOCs and their governments should develop key performance
indicators based clear goals, and benchmark rigorously.
•	 NRGI’s National Oil Company Database, available at www.nationaloilcompanydata.
org, provides the largest set of open data on NOC production, revenues, spending
and transfers to government in the world, with more than 70,000 data points from
71 NOCs worldwide from 2011 to 2017.
1
Massive and Misunderstood: Data-Driven Insights into National Oil Companies
Executive summary
National oil companies (NOCs) produce the majority of the world’s oil and gas,
pumping out an estimated 85 million barrels of oil equivalent per day. Within their
home countries, NOCs influence the degree to which billions of people benefit (or
suffer) from their countries’ hydrocarbon assets. Many of these companies manage
multi-billion-dollar portfolios of public assets, execute complex projects across their
territories and at sea, employ citizens in the tens or hundreds of thousands, and
perform a range of public services from providing energy to building infrastructure.
Despite their importance, NOCs are poorly understood thanks to weak and uneven
reporting, sparse research, and an absence of publicly available comparative data.
Without solid information, governments, oversight bodies and market players
struggle to assess NOC performance and develop strategies for how these influential
entities can generate greater benefits for citizens.
To help address this gap, Natural Resource Governance Institute (NRGI) assembled
a database on NOC production, revenue generation, fiscal transfers to the state,
and operational and financial performance that covers 71 companies headquartered
in 61 countries worldwide, from 2011 to 2017. The database resides at
www.nationaloilcompanydata.org.
NOCs are giants, managing larger portfolios and collecting more public
revenue than was previously understood.
NOCs are massive. This basic fact has been known by oil-watchers for some time,
but a historical lack of consistent and comparative data has made it difficult to fully
understand their impact on their home economies. Our data paint a more thorough
picture of the scale and impact of NOCs.
NOCs particularly dominate production within their borders. “Domestic NOCs”—
which produce oil and gas largely in their home countries—were responsible
for 76 percent of their countries’ total production over the course of our data
period. In some major producers like Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Mexico, NOCs
were responsible for almost 100 percent of production. Some “internationalized
NOCs”—such as Malaysia’s Petronas and several large NOCs based in China—
have taken their show on the road, and are supplementing oil and gas production
at home with ambitious exploration and production abroad. This underscores that
effective governance of the oil sector is impossible without strategic and accountable
management of NOCs.
NOCs collect huge flows of public revenues, making them critical players in the
public financial management of their home countries. The International Monetary
Fund defines a country as oil-dependent if more than 20 percent of all government
revenues come from the sector. Adapting this definition, our data reveal that there
are at least 25 NOC-dependent countries worldwide, where an NOC, by itself,
collects funds equivalent to 20 percent or more of all government revenues. In many
cases, flows to NOCs dwarf the revenue that governments collect from foreign
aid or domestic instruments such as income tax. The Nigerian National Petroleum
Corporation, for example, collected revenue from its oil and gas sales equivalent to a
Data reveal that
worldwide there are
at least 25 NOC-
dependent countries,
where an NOC, by
itself, collects funds
equivalent to 20
percent or more of all
government revenues.
2
Massive and Misunderstood: Data-Driven Insights into National Oil Companies
range of 45 percent to 74 percent of general government revenue across the years for
which data were available.
NOCs spend a lot.
Many NOCs have delivered strong value to their citizen shareholders, including
by increasing revenue flows to government, promoting the growth of the oil and
gas sector, developing a cadre of skilled staff and delivering a range of non-fiscal
benefits. But the reverse is also true, with some NOCs struggling to deliver value,
saddled with contradictory roles and susceptible to rent-seeking and political
manipulation.
Our data create a clearer picture of just how large the reverberations across the
economy can be if an NOC does not succeed. The huge shares of public revenues
that NOCs collect are one factor. When a NOC’s revenues are equivalent to 20
percent—or even just 5 percent—of public revenues there is a strong risk of the
company becoming a state-within-a-state and executing a sort of shadow fiscal
policy. NOCs can end up being the largest spenders in the public sector, but often
do not go through the typical public sector budgeting or oversight process. This
underscores the need for well-targeted rules setting the level at which the NOC
must transfer revenues to the treasury.
Most NOCs transferred less than 25 percent of their gross revenues to their
governments. The median NOC in our sample transferred 23 percent of revenues to
government in 2013. By 2015, when prices had plummeted, this figure dropped to
17 percent. NOCs spend most of the rest, on company operations and investments.
This is fitting in some cases, for NOCs participating in complex commercial projects
in pursuit of long-term benefits, or for NOCs tasked with direct delivery of public
services. But it comes at an opportunity cost, as every dollar spent by an NOC is
unavailable in the immediate term for spending by the government on health,
education or other development needs.
There is significant variation among NOCs in the sample in terms of how much they
transfer to the state, ranging from less than 5 percent (such as Thailand’s PTT) to
more than 90 percent (such as Chad’s Société des Hydrocarbures du Tchad).
NOCs also vary widely in how such transfers are structured. In 2013, amid a
sustained period of record high prices, fewer than half of the NOCs in the sample
reported paying a dividend to state shareholders. Twelve of the 13 NOCs in the
sample that traded some shares on a public stock exchange paid a dividend. Less
than one-third of the non-listed NOCs did so, even during the recent boom years
when oil prices topped $100 per barrel.
Setting policy on the requirements for NOC transfers requires a careful balance and
alignment with clear goals. If a state taxes a commercially oriented NOC too heav-
ily, it impedes the company’s ability to invest in long-term growth and efficiency.
Conversely, if an NOC consistently transfers only small amounts to the state, the po-
tential fiscal benefits from oil and gas can go unrealized. Some NOC officials describe
their companies as profit-seekers—and use that rhetoric to justify heavy spending—
but consistently fail to pay dividends to the state, even during boom times.
NOCs can end up
being the largest
spenders in the public
sector, but often
do not go through
the typical public
sector budgeting or
oversight process. This
underscores the need
for well-targeted rules
setting the level at
which the NOC must
transfer revenues to
the treasury.
3
Massive and Misunderstood: Data-Driven Insights into National Oil Companies
Many NOCs take on debt, creating risks for their countries’ economies.
Many NOCs are significantly indebted. We identified 18 companies with long-term
liabilities equal to more than 5 percent of the total GDP of their home country. In
extreme cases such as Venezuela’s PDVSA, NOC debt has risen above 20 percent of
GDP. When extremely high NOC debt combines with other performance challenges,
the company can become a risk to broader economic sustainability. This is particularly
true in countries where dominant NOCs are essentially “too big to fail.”
In such cases, the NOC can require costly bailouts from the state, meaning that instead
of being a boon to the state coffers, it becomes a drain. Several governments—ranging
from major oil producers such as Mexico and Kazakhstan to Namibia, which doesn’t
even produce oil yet—have spent hundreds of millions, even billions of dollars bailing
out NOCs in recent years. As of early 2019, a committee of creditors had declared
Venezuela’s PDVSA to be in default on its debts.
During the recent oil boom, many NOCs spent most of the revenue windfall
they received, rather than passing it to their countries’ treasuries.
Our data show that when NOC revenues rose during the boom years 2011—
2014, their transfers to governments remained relatively flat. Instead, the average
NOC appears to have directed large shares of boom-time windfalls to their own
expenditures—both capital and operating expenditures rose significantly. This
increase in spending among NOCs mirrors trends observed among international oil
companies (IOCs), which also increased spending during the boom.
These trends are likely the result of a range of factors, including high average costs
across the industry, government policy that incentivized NOC spending and
investment during the boom, and increases in IOC tax payments that financed
fiscal priorities. In some cases, NOC spending is also closely linked to inefficiency
and weak management incentives in times of plenty. Spending rises in some cases
because of political pressure and corruption, as illustrated by the high-profile
scandals around NOCs such as Brazil’s Petrobras.
When prices crashed, NOC transfers to governments dropped more sharply than
revenues. This suggests that many NOCs spent a large share of the boom period’s
upside but then passed along the downside impact to their governments. For NOCs
that can convert that boom-time spending into long-term growth, this trade-off
may have been worthwhile. But for some countries the fiscal revenue sacrificed by
NOC spending during the boom may not generate a meaningful return.
There is significant variance among NOCs on measures of commercial
efficiency.
NOCs often have complex mandates. Governments task some with becoming
commercially efficient entities that deliver value to citizens by exploring new
frontiers, reducing production costs or promoting technological innovation.
Others are required to sacrifice the commercial bottom line in favor of delivering
public goods such as subsidized energy or large-scale employment. The data reveal
significant differences among NOCs on various measures of commercial efficiency.
We identified 18
companies with
long-term liabilities
equal to more than
5 percent of the total
GDP of their home
country.
4
Massive and Misunderstood: Data-Driven Insights into National Oil Companies
NOC reporting on employees is spotty, but staffing levels among NOCs that did
report range from around 100 employees—such as Timor Leste’s Timor GAP—to
hundreds of thousands—such as the Chinese giant Sinopec. This range reflects the
variety among NOCs in role and scope. Measuring how much oil a company produces
per employee is one way to assess how much it prioritizes commercial efficiency
versus other public goods. Overall, the larger an NOC’s workforce, the less it produces
per employee. But in this respect too the variance is substantial. Our data show that
publicly listed NOCs—which generally prioritize the pursuit of commercial profit—
tend to generate higher production-per-employee than unlisted NOCs.
Governments and NOCs should define company roles more clearly and
invest in more consistent benchmarking.
In light of the challenges, how do NOCs and their governments maximize their
chances of success? Creating clear and transparent performance benchmarks is one
step. Some NOCs—including Colombia’s Ecopetrol and Malaysia’s Petronas—exhibit
a strong approach to rigorous benchmarking. But many countries have struggled to
define what “success” for an NOC looks like or to create a performance-based culture
in which the NOC’s leadership is accountable for achieving clear targets.
One challenge is that the catch-all term “national oil company” encompasses a
wide range of entities with varying roles, resources and experience. NOCs and
governments need to be clear in defining companies’ principal goals and developing
benchmarks accordingly. We identify three broad types of NOCs:
•	 The primary goal of a “cash cow” is to deliver fiscal revenues to the
government’s treasury, and its performance benchmarks should prioritize
overall government revenues from the NOC and the sector, and the share of
NOC revenues paid to the government.
•	 A “profit seeker” NOC prioritizes commercial success, in the form of profit and
the development of commercial skills and efficiency. If successful, a profit seeker
will deliver significant long-term financial returns to the state in the form of
dividends and income taxes. But the company’s short-term incentives may
include a desire to minimize payments to the state.
•	 A “state supplement” NOC delivers value to citizens through public services
rather than commercial success, such as by providing public employment,
energy and fuel, promoting the local private sector and infrastructure
construction.
These neat categories belie the complexity of many real-world NOCs, which are
called upon to play various roles simultaneously. Developing strong benchmarks,
however, requires a clear and honest assessment of which goals are most important,
especially as few NOCs have enough resources to accomplish everything
simultaneously.
Developing strong
benchmarks requires
a clear and honest
assessment of which
goals are most
important, especially
as few NOCs have
enough resources
to accomplish
everything
simultaneously.
5
Massive and Misunderstood: Data-Driven Insights into National Oil Companies
There are major shortcomings in NOC transparency, and many companies
fail to report critical information necessary for oversight.
Our research confirms and builds upon the findings of the 2017 Resource
Governance Index (RGI), which showed that public reporting by many NOCs
remains insufficient. Of the 52 NOCs studied in the RGI, 62 percent exhibited
“weak,” “poor” or “failing” performance on public transparency. Within the
larger sample in the NOC database, some companies produced almost all of the
information we sought on production, revenues, transfers and performance.
Others produced none of it, or produced it in a manner that made it difficult to
discern its accuracy. Overall, only 20 of the 71 companies in the sample produced
sufficient information for NRGI to be able to enter data for all ten of the most critical
indicators in the database.
Companies in the Middle East and North Africa—home to many of the world’s
largest NOCs—produced the least information on average. Sub-Saharan Africa—
which combines established companies such as Nigeria’s NNPC and Angola’s
Sonangol as well as NOCs in up-and-coming oil producers such as Tanzania—
finished second from the bottom, despite more extensive disclosure in some
countries such as Ghana. Overall, company disclosure is weakest in the areas of
employment and spending. This opacity has potentially serious consequences
for the public’s ability to scrutinize NOC priorities, efficiency and company
contributions to public employment.
In the process of building the database came across several indicators that have not
attracted much attention in global transparency initiatives but which are essential
for strong citizen oversight of NOCs. We recommend that international efforts to
encourage better reporting among NOCs prioritize more detailed reporting on:
•	 company expenditures
•	 the breakdown of transfers to government across fiscal vehicles and
jurisdictions (for NOCs operating abroad)
•	 how much production a company produces in fields that it “operates”—
meaning that the company either runs the field exclusively or is the lead
company responsible for managing the finances and the operations of a project
with partners
Long-term improvements in the thoroughness and consistency of NOC disclosures
will enhance the abilities of NOCs and their governments to benchmark
performance effectively, and of citizens to scrutinize how well these companies are
managing public resources.
Long-term
improvements in
the thoroughness
and consistency of
NOC disclosures
will enhance the
abilities of NOCs and
their governments
to benchmark
performance
effectively, and of
citizens to scrutinize
how well these
companies are
managing public
resources.
6
Massive and Misunderstood: Data-Driven Insights into National Oil Companies
I. Under-analyzed behemoths
National oil companies (NOCs) play a dominant role in international energy
markets and in the economies of oil and gas producing countries across the world.
NOCs produce the majority of the world’s oil and gas, pumping out an estimated
85 million barrels of oil equivalent per day.1
They control up to 90 percent of global
reserves, thereby serving as gatekeepers for international oil companies’ access
to hydrocarbons.2
Within their home jurisdictions, NOCs can determine in large
measure the degree to which billions of people benefit—or not—from their national
hydrocarbon assets. These companies often rank among the largest single collectors
of public-sector revenues. They manage multi-billion-dollar portfolios of public
assets, execute complex projects across their territories and at sea, employ citizen
staffs in the tens or hundreds of thousands and perform a range of public services
from providing energy to constructing infrastructure.
In many oil-dependent countries, NOCs sit at the epicenter of the oil economy,
playing a fundamental role in every facet of public governance. Even in new oil
producers with smaller NOCs, the companies can be critical to ambitions to use the
sector as a driver of development. At their best, NOCs can be revenue generators,
technological innovators and sources of national pride. At their worst, they have
enabled rent-seeking by politicians, diverted money from the public, mismanaged
precious natural resource deposits and engaged in regime-rattling corruption.3
Over the years, a few intrepid researchers have sought to examine NOC performance
and governance, analyze trends across companies and make recommendations to
NOC leaders and their government and citizen shareholders.4
Some international
organizations including the Organization for Economic Cooperation and
Development (OECD) and the Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (EITI)
have increasingly sought to incorporate guidance on NOC reporting and corporate
1	 Rystad Energy, UCube Database, reported average for the 2011 to 2017 period. According to Rystad,
NOC production represented 55 percent of total oil and gas production worldwide over this period.
Estimates from the World Bank earlier this decade put NOCs’ share of global oil production at 75
percent, and their share of global reserves at 90 percent. Silvana Tordo, Brandon S. Tracy and Noora
Arfaa. National Oil Companies and Value Creation (World Bank, 2011).
2	 Tordo, et al., National Oil Companies and Value Creation.
3	 In recent years, prominent cases where NOCs have been linked to devastating corruption include
Brazil, where the “car wash” scandal caused billions of dollars in lost public assets and resulted in
convictions of hundreds of prominent officials; Mexico, where Pemex has been accused of accepting
millions of dollars in bribes; and Congo-Brazzaville, where senior officials at the Société Nationale
des Pétroles du Congo have allegedly engaged in arbitrage in oil sales in order to enrich politically-
connected businesses to the tune of hundreds of millions of dollars.
4	 Among the most important analyses of NOC governance and performance are Valerie Marcel, Oil
Titans (Brookings Institution Press, 2006); Tordo, et al., National Oil Companies and Value Creation;
Christian Wolf, “Does Ownership Matter? The Performance and Efficiency of State Oil versus Private
Oil,” Energy Policy 37 (2009): 2642—52; Stacey L. Eller, Peter R. Hartley and Kenneth B. Medlock III,
“Empirical Evidence on the Operational Efficiency of National Oil Companies,” Empirical Economics 40
(2010): 623—643; David G. Victor, David R. Hults and Mark Thurber, eds., Oil and Governance: State-
Owned Enterprises and the World Oil Supply (Cambridge University Press, 2012); Miranda L. Wainberg,
Dmitry Volkov and Michelle Michot Foss, Commercial Frameworks for National Oil Companies (Center
for Energy Economics Working Paper, 2007); James A. Baker Institute for Public Policy, The Role of
National Oil Companies in International Energy Markets (Rice University, 2007).
7
Massive and Misunderstood: Data-Driven Insights into National Oil Companies
governance into their standards and guidelines.5
Additionally, a number of journalists
and watchdogs have dug deeply into the evolution of specific NOCs.6
But in comparison to their economic importance, NOCs have been significantly
under-researched, and there remain huge gaps in public understanding of their
roles, performance, opportunities and risks. This stems in part from the lack of
data about NOCs. NOCs remain opaque: the 2017 Resource Governance Index
showed that 62 percent of the 52 NOCs surveyed exhibited “weak,” “poor” or
“failing” performance on public transparency.7
Even when companies have made
some public information available, it has traditionally been difficult for regulators,
legislators and public interest groups to use it. The reports are often company-
specific, partial and geared to narrow audiences such as investors.
Without good data, and especially without comparative data across companies, it is
extremely difficult to assess how well an NOC is performing. Given their size and
impact, this is a huge shortcoming. Citizens, legislators, regulators, investors, journalists
and other observers all need better tools to answer important questions such as:
•	 Is the company managing public resources efficiently?
•	 Is the company investing effectively in pursuit of a coherent strategy?
•	 Is the government collecting enough in taxes and other transfers from the
NOC? Is it collecting too much?
•	 Does the company’s portfolio create risks for the broader economy that need to
be addressed?
This paper, and the database behind it, use publicly available data to help answer
these questions more effectively. We collected information from public reporting
on 71 NOCs, headquartered in 61 countries, from 2011 to 2017.8
This work
was made possible by growth in the amount of information that NOCs and their
governments put into the public domain, via company financial statements and
public reporting mechanisms such as EITI. The resulting database, available at
www.nationaloilcompanydata.org, is the largest open resource in the world on
NOCs, and covers their production, revenues, expenditures, balance sheets,
taxation and performance.
5	 Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Guidelines on Corporate Governance of
State-Owned Enterprises—2015 Edition (OECD, 2015); Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative,
The EITI Standard 2016 (EITI International Secretariat, 2016).
6	 In-depth investigations of NOCs have been conducted on large producers such as Brazil’s Petrobras—
see, e.g., Jonathan Watts, “Operation Car Wash: Is This the Biggest Corruption Scandal in History?” The
Guardian, June 1 2017; and Nigeria’s NNPC—see, e.g., Aaron Sayne, Alexandra Gillies and Christina
Katsouris, Inside NNPC Oil Sales: A Case for Reform in Nigeria (New York, Natural Resource Governance
Institute, 2015), resourcegovernance.org/sites/default/files/NRGI_InsideNNPCOilSales_CompleteReport.
pdf. Detailed analyses have also been published on several smaller NOCs with important roles in their home
economies. See, e.g., The Sentry, Fueling Atrocities: Oil and War in South Sudan (2018), cdn.thesentry.org/
wp-content/uploads/2018/03/FuelingAtrocities_Sentry_March2018_final.pdf.
7	 Natural Resource Governance Institute, 2017 Resource Governance Index (2017). The index assessed
NOC transparency according to the rules and disclosure practices associated with its operations
and finances. Of the 52 countries where an NOC was assessed, only six exhibited what the index
categorized as “good” practice.
8	 The National Oil Company Database is designed to be a “living” tool, and NRGI will update it
periodically as more information becomes available in the public domain. The data used in this paper
reflect the database as of February 28, 2019. These data draw on reports that were published by NOCs
and their governments through the end of the data collection period, September 30, 2018, with one
exception. On April 1, 2019, Saudi Aramco released an investor prospectus including consolidated
financial statements covering the years 2016, 2017 and 2018. Because of the size and influence of
Saudi Aramco, and the complete absence of any financial data from the company before the release
of the prospectus, we opted to include figures derived from it in the database.
8
Massive and Misunderstood: Data-Driven Insights into National Oil Companies
After a brief explanation of our methodology, this paper examines what the data tell
us about the influence of NOCs globally and within their home economies.
The data we assembled make it clearer than ever that NOCs are giants. In a general
sense, this has been known for some time, but our data-gathering lends significantly
more shape to our understanding of NOC size and influence, especially within their
home economies. We have found that:
•	 Many governments depend on NOCs for major revenues. We identified 25
countries for which NOC revenues were equivalent to more than 20 percent of
total government revenues in 2013.9
These numbers would grow even higher
if several large NOCs that are currently opaque began reporting their revenues
more systematically.
•	 NOCs have amassed large assets, and large liabilities. There is significant
variance in size among NOCs, but many companies have accumulated huge
asset bases, measured in both absolute terms and in relation to their economies.
Several NOCs have also taken on debts that add up to substantial shares of GDP.
Examining comparative data on NOC liabilities allows analysts to more fully
assess the debt challenges facing a company or a national economy.
Box 1. The Natural Resource Governance Institute’s work on state-
owned enterprises
This paper and the associated database form part of NRGI’s portfolio of work on state-
owned enterprise governance. This work includes research, advocacy and technical
assistance at the global level, as well as in several countries including Azerbaijan, the
Democratic Republic of Congo, Ghana, Guinea, Indonesia, Mexico, Mongolia, Myanmar,
Tanzania, Tunisia and Uganda. The projects target five major topics:
1	 Reporting and transparency practices
2	 Performance benchmarking and financial flows
3	 Institutional structure and oversight
4	 Commodity trading accountability
5	 Reducing corruption risks
For more information, visit
www.resourcegovernance.org/topics/state-owned-enterprises.
9	 The large fiscal space that NOCs occupy amplifies the importance of decisions made by governments
and NOCs about how much an NOC is allowed to spend and how much they pay to the treasury. These
policies have a massive impact on the government’s ability to use oil revenues for development
spending. For further discussion, see Patrick R.P. Heller, Paasha Mahdavi and Johannes Schreuder,
Reforming National Oil Companies: Nine Recommendations (Natural Resource Governance Institute,
2014), 10—11; Paasha Mahdavi, Power Grab: Political Survival Through Extractive Resource
Nationalization (University of California Santa Barbara, unpublished manuscript, 2019).
9
Massive and Misunderstood: Data-Driven Insights into National Oil Companies
After shedding new light on the size and influence of NOCs, this paper summarizes
lessons from the data relevant to NOC performance. This section begins by digging
into a fundamental factor: not all NOCs are alike, and benchmarking efforts must be
tailored to the roles of specific NOCs. We build on existing literature to suggest an
NOC typology. We then use the typology in our analysis of two main issues related
to policy and performance.
Fiscal transfers between NOCs and their governments
When an NOC collects revenue, not all of that revenue makes it to the treasury.
In fact, our data reveal that most NOCs transfer less than 25 percent of their
gross revenues to government. We discuss metrics for analyzing how heavily a
government should tax revenues that accrue to the NOC, balancing the need for
companies to reinvest revenues in their businesses against the opportunity cost of
the money that NOCs spend.
Operational performance
The stated goals of most NOCs include contributing to the effective development of
the country’s petroleum sector and generating strong returns on state investments.
We examine several core metrics for assessing company efficiency and the returns
that NOCs generate on public investment and provide recommendations on how gov-
ernments and companies can use these benchmarks to achieve different types of goals.
Finally, this paper analyzes the state of NOC transparency and makes concrete
recommendations for improving NOC reporting going forward. We offer insights
on areas of persistent weakness in reporting systems that require priority attention,
both in individual company disclosure policies and international efforts including
the EITI Standard, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Fiscal Transparency
Code and OECD Guidelines on Corporate Governance of State-Owned
Enterprises.10
These critical disclosure gaps include information on disaggregated
expenditure, transfers to government and key performance indicators (KPIs).
10	 The most recent official versions of these resources are: EITI, The EITI Standard 2016; International
Monetary Fund, Fiscal Transparency Initiative: Integration of Natural Resource Management Issues
(International Monetary Fund, 2019); OECD, Guidelines on Corporate Governance of State-Owned
Enterprises, 2015.
Most NOCs transfer
less than 25 percent of
their gross revenues to
government.
10
Massive and Misunderstood: Data-Driven Insights into National Oil Companies
II. The National Oil Company
Database
The data that we use in this paper derive from the National Oil Company Database,
which NRGI launched publicly in 2019. As of the finalization of this paper, the
database contained entries for 71 NOCs from 61 home countries and covered
the period from 2011 to 2017.11
Our data on NOCs derive exclusively from
official government and NOC sources. Companies’ annual and financial reports
are the principal source of information for most companies in the database. We
supplemented these data with information on NOCs from other government
reports, including filings by ministries of oil, energy and finance and EITI reports.12
Our data-gathering and the definition of major benchmarks focuses mostly on the
companies’ upstream roles in exploration, production and revenue-generation.13
Beyond this NOC-specific data, we used data from the IMF and World Bank for
contextual indicators on home-country economies and government finances; data
from the International Centre for Tax and Development on government resource
revenues; data from British Petroleum on national oil and gas production; and the
World Bank’s Wealth of Nations database on subsoil wealth.
For a detailed description of the project methodology, see National Oil Company
Database: Methodology Guide.14
(See Appendix 1 for a complete list of companies in
the database.)
11	 In developing our sample, we adapted a definition of “state-owned enterprise” derived from the
OECD’s definition, with slight modifications. We consider the defining characteristics of an SOE to be
that (a) the state has a majority ownership stake and/or a “golden share” that gives it effective control
over decision-making; and (b) national legislation and/or national practice defines the entity as an
enterprise. This definition is deliberately inclusive, incorporating companies that range from 100
percent state-owned to mixed-ownership and with a range of different tasks and mandates. See OECD,
Guidelines on Corporate Governance of State-Owned Enterprises, 14—15.
12	 In some countries, such as Azerbaijan and Norway, detailed information on the company is available
both in company annual/financial reports and in an EITI report or other official document. These
different reports often use divergent accounting principles. In these cases, we relied on the data
from the company reports as our information source. In other countries, such as the Democratic
Republic of Congo and Nigeria, the NOC itself produced little or no data for the years in question, but
some information on revenue flows are available via EITI. In these cases, we used EITI as the source
of information for the database. In a third category of countries—comprising Cameroon, Cote
d’Ivoire, Ghana and Liberia –the company produced a small amount of information and there was also
information in an EITI or other official document (in the case of Ghana, reporting by the Public Interest
and Accountability Committee). In these cases, since the accounting standards among the documents
appeared to diverge, we recorded two separate data sheets, rather than merging them into one.
13	 In contrast to Tordo, et al., we did not measure downstream (refinery) performance or the share
of local content in NOC employment or other inputs, because our early research indicated that
standardizing company reporting on such figures would impose large additional costs on this research
process with uncertain results. See Tordo, et al., National Oil Companies and Value Creation, 41. In an
upcoming research project with Valerie Marcel, we plan to develop a more comprehensive approach
to help African NOCs benchmark their own performance along various axes that extend beyond their
upstream activities. In such a benchmarking, companies would rely initially on their own internal
reporting. We hope that in the future public reporting will be sufficient to enable comparative analysis.
14	 In building on these measurements and tailoring them to make them relevant to missions and
objectives of state-owned oil companies, we drew inspiration and measures from existing research
on NOC performance, notably from Tordo, et al., National Oil Companies and Value Creation (on
state ownership levels, project costs and profitability); Nadeja Victor, On Measuring the Performance
of National Oil Companies—Program on Energy and Sustainable Development Working Paper 64
(Stanford University Program on Energy and Sustainable Development, 2007) (on NOC employment
and efficiency); David Manley, James Cust and Georgia Cecchinato, “Stranded Nations?” The Climate
Policy Implications for Fossil-Fuel-Rich Developing Countries—Oxcarre Policy Paper 34 (Oxford
Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies, 2016) (on NOC utilization of public assets);
William L. Megginson and Jeffrey M. Netter, “From State to Market: A Survey of Empirical Studies on
Privatization,” Journal of Finance 49 (2001): 403—52 (on financial returns among SOEs); and Wolf,
“Does Ownership Matter?” (on various efficiency measurements).
11
Massive and Misunderstood: Data-Driven Insights into National Oil Companies
Box 2. NRGI’s National Oil Company Database at a glance, April 2019
Website: www.nationaloilcompanydata.org
Companies included: 71
Home countries represented: 61, across all regions of the world
Time period covered: 2011–2017
Indicators measured: 135
Individual data points: more than 70,000
Download the results of a data
query or the entire dataset.
Select indicator from
11 indicator groups.
Data filters allow users to
sort based on company
characteristics.
“Explore by indicator” page (www.nationaloilcompanydata.org/indicator). This page provides users with the
opportunity to examine specific data points across different NOCs. It is designed to facilitate comparisons among
companies and over time.
Select based on
country or company.
Consult source documents, explore the com-
pany’s website or examine related data on the
Resource Governance Index.
“Explore by company” page (www.nationaloilcompanydata.org/indicator). This page allows a user to see all available
information for one NOC together in one place.
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
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National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute
National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute

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National oil company database a project by the natural resource governance institute

  • 1. APRIL 2019 The National Oil Company Database
  • 2. Content Cover illustration by Andriy Privalov Key messages • NRGI’s National Oil Company Database, available at www.nationaloilcompanydata.org, provides the world’s largest set of open data on NOC production, revenues, spending and transfers to government, with more than 70,000 data points from 71 companies worldwide from 2011 to 2017. • NOCs produce 55 percent of the world’s oil and gas, an estimated 85 million barrels of oil equivalent per day. They dominate the production landscape within some of the world’s most oil-rich countries, including Saudi Arabia, Mexico, Venezuela and Iran, and play a central role in the oil and gas sector in many emerging producers. In 2017, NOCs that published data on their assets reported combined assets of $3.1 trillion. • At least 25 countries are “NOC-dependent,” meaning that the NOC collects revenues equivalent to more than 20 percent of all government revenues. The fiscal health of many countries and their governments’ ability to use oil revenues to finance development depends heavily on how well the NOC is run, how much revenue it transfers to the state, and the quality of its spending. • Many NOCs carry big debts, sometimes 10 percent or more of their countries’ GDP. Several NOCs have required multi-billion dollar government bail-outs in recent years, becoming a costly drain on public finances. • Almost two-thirds of NOCs exhibit “weak,” “poor” or “failing” performance on public transparency, as measured by the Resource Governance Index. The database research further highlights these deficiencies. Reporting on expenditures, transfers to the government and the breakdown of oil and gas production from different sources remain weak in many countries. FOREWORD................................................................................................................................................................................................1 INTRODUCTION........................................................................................................................................................................................2 DATABASE METHODOLOGY..................................................................................................................................................................7 KEY FINDINGS........................................................................................................................................................................................ 12 CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS................................................................................................................................ 22 COMPANIES IN THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE....................................................................................................... 24 ENDNOTES.............................................................................................................................................................................................. 26
  • 3. 1 THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE We have all seen the headlines. The giant “Car Wash” pay-for-play scandal in Brazil, spilling over to the rest of the continent. Allegations of billions gone missing from oil sales in Nigeria. Oil company debts totaling around a quarter of GDP in conflict-ravaged Venezuela. National oil companies (NOCs) are at the center of governance challenges in many resource-dependent countries. Their success or failure is inextricably linked to the macroeconomic health and development prospects of their countries. In our work over the years, however, we at the Natural Resource Governance Institute (NRGI) have seen the bright side as well. We have worked with NOC leaders in Ghana, motivated to learn from the successes – and failures – of companies that have been at the oil game much longer than they have. We have brainstormed with officials from the planning ministry in Indonesia, as they wrestle with policy choices to help reinvigorate their country’s flagship NOC. And we have supported – and been inspired by – countless journalists, activists and researchers, committed to understanding whether these companies are contributing to national development, and pushing them to deliver results. Many of these companies rank among the richest entities in the world. But it has been difficult to truly understand how they are managing public resources and to create strong incentives for performance. One common challenge that permeates these experiences – the positive and the negative – has been a lack of solid, publicly available comparative data on their revenues, spending, balance sheets and transfers to governments. We are one of a number of organizations working to encourage and provide advice on more extensive, more consistent reporting by these companies. And thanks to strong leadership, indeed several NOCs have taken a number of important steps forward, even though significant gaps remain. But even where NOCs have started to put more information in the public domain, questions abound. “What do I do with this information?” “How can we analyze whether a company is doing well with the resources it’s been given?” “Why do different NOCs do what they do, and what risks do they bring?” It is these questions that inspired the creation of NRGI’s National Oil Company Database, presented in this report and the only publicly available resource of its kind. We wanted to take advantage of the growing amount of information in the public domain and help make sense of it, and to fill gaps in knowledge and understanding of these massively influential companies. In the future, we hope that disclosures will continue to expand, illuminating areas that remain dark, and that NOCs – and the governments and citizens in their home countries – will take advantage of an increasingly data-rich environment to improve benchmarking, reduce governance risk and increase their contributions to national development. Daniel Kaufmann President and CEO Natural Resource Governance Institute Patrick R.P. Heller Advisor Natural Resource Governance Institute Foreword
  • 4. 2 THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE The National Oil Company Database helps fill a significant gap in knowledge of the global economy. national oil companies (NOCs) produce approximately 55 percent of the world’s oil and gas, pumping out an estimated 85 million barrels of oil equivalent per day.1 The World Bank has estimated that they control up to 90 percent of global oil and gas reserves, thereby serving as gatekeepers for international oil companies’ access to hydrocarbons.2 Within their home countries, NOCs influence the degree to which billions of people benefit—or suffer—as a result of their countries’ hydrocarbon wealth. Many of these companies manage multi-billion-dollar portfolios of public assets, execute complex projects across their territories and at sea, employ citizens in the tens or hundreds of thousands, and perform a range of public services from providing energy to building infrastructure. Effective NOCs deliver significant value to their state shareholders via fiscal revenue contributions to the treasury, successful exploration efforts, and the devel- opment of new skills and technologies. Many NOCs, however, have struggled to generate sustained finan- cial returns and/or have been beset by corruption. Some also struggle with mixed mandates and unclear directions from their political masters. Despite their importance, NOCs have traditionally been poorly understood partly thanks to weak and uneven reporting, sparse research, and an absence of publicly available comparative data. Without solid information, governments, oversight bodies and market players struggle to assess NOC performance and develop strategies for how these influential entities can generate greater benefits for citizens. In order to address these challenges, the Natural Resource Governance Institute (NRGI) has assembled the world’s most comprehensive open database on NOCs. The National Oil Company Database is an online, interactive tool that enables a wide range of users—from government officials and NOC executives to journalists and activists— to better understand the roles played by these companies and hold them accountable to generate returns on public investment. This database gathers in one place detailed information derived from public sources and compiled according to a consistent methodology to facilitate benchmarking of companies and cross-cutting analysis of their roles, impacts and reform prospects. At the time of its launch in early 2019, the database covers 71 NOCs headquartered in 61 countries worldwide. It provides data on 11 indicator groups, including NOC production, revenue generation, fiscal transfers to government and operational and financial performance, covering a seven-year time series (2011 to 2017).3 For the year 2017, the database includes data on NOCs with total revenues of $1.9 trillion and total assets of $3.1 trillion.4 Introduction
  • 5. THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE Download the results of a data query or the entire dataset. Select indicator from 11 indicator groups. Data filters allow users to sort based on company characteristics. “Explore by indicator” page (www.nationaloilcompanydata.org/indicator). This page provides users with the opportunity to examine specific data points across different NOCs. It is designed to facilitate comparisons among companies and over time. Select based on country or company. Consult source documents, explore the com- pany’s website or examine related data on the Resource Governance Index. “Explore by company” page (www.nationaloilcompanydata.org/indicator). This page allows a user to see all available information for one NOC together in one place. NRGI’s National Oil Company Database at a glance, April 2019 Website: www.nationaloilcompanydata.org Companies included: 71 Home countries represented: 61, across all regions of the world Time period covered: 2011—2017 Indicators measured: 135 Individual data points: more than 70,000 3
  • 6. THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE Mexico | Pemex Colombia | Ecopetrol Cuba | CUPET Peru | Perupetro Bolivia | YPFB Argentina | YPF Brazil | Petrobras Official information not found 0 boe/day Between 0 and 100,000 boe/day Between 100,000 and 500,000 boe/day Above 500,000 boe/day Venezuela | PDVSA Suriname | Staatsolie Trinidad and Tobago | Petrotrin Norway | Equinor Denmark | Orsted Gabon | Gabon Oil Company Equatorial Guinea | GEPetrol Cameroon | SNH Nigeria | NNPC Congo | SNPC Angola | Sonangol Namibia | NAMCOR Ghana | GNPC (PIAC) Egypt | EGPC Tunisia | ETAP Côte d’Ivoire | Petroci Liberia | NOCAL Libya | NOC Libya Algeria | Sonatrach Ecuador Petroamazonas Petroecuador Jamaica | PCJ Ukraine | Naftogaz Companies in the National Oil Company Database, by production NOC production level, 2017 or most recent4
  • 7. THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE Brunei | PetroleumBrunei China | CNOOC/CNOOC Limited CNPC/PetroChina Sinopec Group/Corp. Kazakhstan | KazMunayGas Turkmenistan | Turkmengaz Russia Gazprom Rosneft Mozambique | ENH South Africa | PetroSA Timor-Leste | Timor GAP Indonesia | Pertamina Bangladesh | Petrobangla Philippines | PNOC Myanmar | MOGE Azerbaijan | SOCAR Kuwait | KPC Qatar | Qatar Petroleum Bahrain | BAPCO United Arab Emirates n ADNOC n ENOC n IPIC n TAQA Iran | NIOC India | ONGC Saudi Arabia | Saudi Aramco Yemen | YOGC Iraq | Basra Oil Company South Sudan | Nilepet Chad | SHT Sudan | Sudapet Kenya | National Oil Kenya Democratic Republic of Congo | Sonahydroc Tanzania | TPDC Oman | OOC Malaysia | Petronas Vietnam | PetroVietnam Thailand | PTT 5
  • 8. 6 THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE The database bolsters arguments for more transparent reporting by state-owned enterprises, by highlighting persistent weaknesses in reporting on several critical indicators, demonstrating the value of consistent reporting for policymaking and oversight, and identifying several prominent NOCs that publish very little useful data. Table 2 on page 21 below provides details on some of the most important transparency gaps. The database is an online tool. It allows users to view all available data for one company, or to “explore by indicator” and view comparative data across a range of NOCs. It features data filters that allow a user to compare data across sub-groups of NOCs based on region or production profile. Users can download the entire dataset including source information in CSV format. The database also provides links to a specially-created document library, www.resourcedata.org/organization/noc- library, which houses the official source documents from which the data were drawn. This report summarizes the central findings and provides an overview of how the database was developed and how it can be used to bolster efforts to support NOC governance. Another companion paper, Massive and Misunderstood: Data-Driven Insights into National Oil Companies, provides in-depth analysis deriving from NRGI experts’ examination of the data. The database bolsters arguments for more transparent reporting, by highlighting persistent weaknesses, demonstrating the value of consistent reporting, and identifying several prominent NOCs that publish little useful data.
  • 9. 7 THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE The database covers companies (a) in which the state has a majority ownership stake and/or a “golden share” that gives it effective control over decision-making; (b) that are defined by national legislation and/or national practice as an enterprise; and (c) that are involved in upstream activities related to the exploration, production, processing and/or regulation of oil and gas.5 The data on NOCs in the database are derived exclusively from official government and NOC sources. Companies’ annual and financial reports are the principal source of information for most companies in the database. NRGI supplemented these data with information on NOCs from other government reports, including filings by ministries of oil, energy and finance and EITI reports. Data-gathering and the definition of major benchmarks focused on the companies’ upstream roles in exploration, production and revenue- generation. Beyond this NOC-specific data, the database draws contextual indicators on home- country economies and government finances from international institutions such as the International Monetary Fund and World Bank. The database also provides users with links to several resources to support further analysis, including the underlying documents that served as the source data, NRGI’s Resource Governance Index and the websites of the NOCs themselves. NRGI selected indicators for the database in accordance with several goals: • Providing information on the scale of NOC activities, including production, revenues, expenditures, assets and liabilities • Facilitating benchmarking of NOC performance and return on public investment, to enable company and government leaders to set ambitious targets and measure success • Informing fiscal policy, which dictates the share of revenues that an NOC can spend and the share that must be transferred to government • Deepening global understanding of NOC reporting practices and priorities for transparency reform To address these topics, the project team collected data on 135 indicators, grouped into eleven indicator groups, as illustrated in Box 3. Database methodology
  • 10. 8 THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE National Oil Company Database: Methodology Guide contains a detailed description the database’s construction. The data collection approach was designed to mitigate the challenges that have traditionally impeded systematic comparative analysis of NOCs. The most important longstanding data challenge has been a failure by many NOCs to report publicly. This problem persists, as is discussed in detail below. But by seeking information across a wide range of official platforms and sources, NRGI was able to capture and present in one place more public information than has been previously assembled. Even when companies have made information available, it has often been difficult for regulators, legislators and public interest groups to use it, and especially to compare data across NOCs. Not all NOCs report according to International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and even when they do follow core accounting principles, there is significant variation in how they report and categorize data. In order to maximize consistency of data and comparability between NOCs, the database employs a standard definition for each indicator.6 PROXIES FOR REPORTING BEST PRACTICES Reporting questions Country variables Exploration, production and employees Revenues Transfers to government Expenditures Cash flows Financial performance Operational performance NOC data in context Balance sheet DATA ASSEMBLED FROM COMPANY AND GOVERNMENT REPORTING DATA COLLECTED FROM PUBLIC DATA SETS PERFORMANCE METRICS - CALCULATED BY US Figure 1. Indicator groups in the National Oil Company Database
  • 11. 9 THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE Table 1 summarizes the major challenges associated with assembling the data and how database project staff have approached them: Although NRGI was not able to eliminate these data challenges completely, the project produced figures of significant statistical value, with more than 70,000 individual data points.7 Figures 2 and 3 help illustrate the coverage NRGI was able to achieve in the database. As shown in Figure 2, the database contains production data from 51 NOCs that together produced 69 million barrels of oil equivalent per day for 2013. This is 81 percent of what Rystad Energy has reported as the total global production by NOCs.8 NOCs disclose other data less often than they disclose production data. Figure 3 provides an example. Using the same Rystad Energy figures on total NOC production, it shows the share of production from companies that published sufficient information for NRGI to record their total revenues. Here the database has revenue data capturing 58 percent of NOC production. Some major players are missing, including important Middle East producers.9 Table 1. Data challenges and mitigation approaches Challenge Description Mitigation Availability Data disclosure is still poor among many NOCs, including such major companies as the National Iranian Oil Company and the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation. Data on certain indicators – e.g., expenditures and employment – was generally weak across the company sample. NRGI conducted thorough research of a wide range of official sources in order to capture as much information as possible. The accompanying analysis emphasizes indicators for which a relatively large amount of data is available. Reliability Because the data derives exclusively from official government sources, it replicates any false or misleading information in government reports. The database allows users to filter by whether the report from which data derived was subject to independent audit. Inconsistent terminology An inconsistent use of terms creates challenges for cross-company comparisons. NOCs report information to serve different audiences and according to different national traditions and accounting principles. Even where companies are reporting in accordance with international accounting principles, there is significant variation in how they categorize information. The data-gathering methodology applied consistent approaches to each company, including by examining the detailed notes included in financial reports and other source documents. In some cases, this required NRGI to either aggregate or disaggregate information from the financial reports in order to keep the measurements as consistent as possible. Data interpretation The variety among NOCs in terms of goals, geology and national context poses challenges for cross- company comparisons. Unnuanced comparisons between, e.g., a new non-operating NOC such as Timor Leste’s Timor GAP and a global giant such as Russia’s Gazprom, could result in irresponsible conclusions. To facilitate coherent cross-company analysis, NRGI created various peer groups to compare similar NOCs to one another as much as possible.
  • 12. 10 THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE All other 16,527 k boe/d ADNOC (ARE) 4,015 k boe/d BAPCO (BHR) 143 k boe/d Basra Oil Company (IRQ) 2,160 k boe/d CNOOC Limited (CHN) 1,128 k boe/d CNPC (CHN) 4,884 k boe/d Ecopetrol (COL) 788 k boe/d Equinor (NOR) 1,677 k boe/d Gazprom (RUS) 9,061 k boe/d KPC (KWT) 3,477 k boe/d KazMunayGas (KAZ) 571k boe/d NNPC (NGA) 1,245 k boe/d Naftogaz (UKR) 308 k boe/d ONGC (IND) 932 k boe/d PDVSA (VEN) 3,811 k boe/d PTT (THA) 293 k boe/d Pemex (MEX) 3,653 k boe/d Pertamina (IDN) 466 k boe/d Petroamazonas (ECU) 335 k boe/d Petrobangla (BGD) 402 k boe/d Petrobras (BRA) 2,540 k boe/d Petroecuador (ECU) 340 k boe/d Petronas (MYS) 2,131 k boe/d Rosneft (RUS) 4,900 k boe/d SOCAR (AZE) 287 k boe/d Saudi Aramco (SAU) 11,588 k boe/d Sinopec Corp (CHN) 1,222 k boe/d Sonangol (AGO) 803 k boe/d Sonatrach (DZA) 3,367 k boe/d TAQA (ARE) 142 k boe/d YPF (ARG) 493 k boe/d YPFB (BOL) 444 k boe/d Production datanotreported Production datareported Figure 2. Coverage of total global NOC production in the National Oil Company Database, 2013
  • 13. 11 THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE ADNOC (ARE) 4,015 k boe/d All other 16,527 k boe/d BAPCO (BHR) 143 k boe/d Basra Oil Company (IRQ) 2,160 k boe/d NNPC (NGA) 1,245 k boe/d Saudi Aramco (SAU) 11,588 k boe/d CNOOC Limited (CHN) 1,128 k boe/d ETAP (TUN) 83 k boe/d Ecopetrol (COL) 788 k boe/d Equinor (NOR) 1,677 k boe/d Gazprom (RUS) 9,061 k boe/d KPC (KWT) 3,477 k boe/d KazMunayGas (KAZ) 571 k boe/d Naftogaz (UKR) 308 k boe/d ONGC (IND) 932 k boe/d PTT (THA) 293 k boe/d Pemex (MEX) 3,653 k boe/d PDVSA (VEN) 3,811 k boe/d CNPC (CHN) 4,884 k boe/d Pertamina (IDN) 466 k boe/d Petroamazonas (ECU) 335 k boe/d Petrobangla (BGD) 402 k boe/d Petrobras (BRA) 2,540 k boe/d Petroecuador (ECU) 340 k boe/d Petronas (MYS) 2,131 k boe/d Rosneft (RUS) 4,900 k boe/d SNPC (COG) 122 k boe/d SOCAR (AZE) 287 k boe/d Sinopec Corp (CHN) 1,222 k boe/d Sonangol (AGO) 803 k boe/d Sonatrach (DZA) 3,367 k boe/d TAQA (ARE) 142 k boe/d YPF (ARG) 493 k boe/d YPFB (BOL) 444 k boe/d Revenue data not reported Revenue data reported Figure 3. NOC production by companies reporting revenues and those not reporting revenues, 2013
  • 14. 12 THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE Analysis of the database draws out several signifi- cant findings about NOC influence, performance and strategy. For a detailed discussion of these find- ings, see Massive and Misunderstood: Data-Driven Insights into National Oil Companies. The data illustrate that NOCs are larger, more influential and riskier than has previously been evident, and point to steps that government and NOC leadership can take in order to increase their rate of success. Scale and influence: NOCs are giants, managing larger portfolios and collecting more public revenue than was previously understood. NOCs are massive. This basic fact has been known by oil-watchers for some time, but a historical lack of consistent and comparative data has made it difficult to fully understand their impact on their home economies. The database paints a more thorough picture of the scale and impact of NOCs. NOCs particularly dominate production within their borders. “Domestic NOCs”—which produce oil and gas largely in their home countries—were responsible for 76 percent of their countries’ total production over the course of the data period. Major producers such as Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Mexico—with long histories of oil production and strongly nationalist approaches to the sector—drive this trend. NOCs in these countries were responsible for almost 100 percent of national production. Some “internationalized NOCs”—such as Malaysia’s Petronas and several large Chinese NOCs—have taken their show on the road, and are supplementing oil and gas production at home with ambitious exploration and production activities abroad. NOCs collect huge flows of public revenues, making them critical players in the public financial management of their home countries. The Key findings Figure 4. NOC total revenues as a percentage of general government revenue, 201310 168 % − SOCAR (AZE) 20% 0% 50% 100% 150% PDVSA(VEN) Petronas(MYS) KPC(KWT) Sonatrach(DZA) PTT(THA) YPFB(BOL) Sonangol(AGO) Staatsolie(SUR) SNPC(COG) NNPC(NGA) Petrotrin(TTO) PetroVietnam(VNM) QatarPetroleum(QAT) Pertamina(IDN) Pemex(MEX) Petroecuador(ECU) PCJ(JAM) Equinor(NOR) KazMunayGas(KAZ) IPIC(ARE) Ecopetrol(COL) Petroamazonas(ECU) Gazprom(RUS) Rosneft(RUS) MOGE(MMR) SinopecGroup(CHN) CNPC(CHN) Petrobras(BRA) SHT(TCD) Naftogaz(UKR) ENOC(ARE) ETAP(TUN) GNPC(GHA) YPF(ARG) ONGC(IND) Petroci(CIV) Orsted(DNK) Perupetro(PER) Petrobangla(BGD) TAQA(ARE) CNOOC(CHN) NOCAL(LBR) ENH(MOZ) PetroSA(ZAF) TPDC(TZA) PNOC(PHL) Sonahydroc(COD) TimorGAP(TLS) COMPANY TYPE: ■ Domestic producers ■ Internationalized operators ■ Pre−production NOCs
  • 15. 13 THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE International Monetary Fund defines a country as oil-dependent if more than 20 percent of all government revenues come from the sector. Adapting this definition, NRGI’s data reveal that worldwide there were at least 25 NOC-dependent countries—where an NOC, by itself, collected funds equivalent to 20 percent or more of all government revenues—in the high-price year of 2013.11 In many cases, flows to NOCs dwarf the revenue that governments collect from foreign aid or domestic instruments such as income tax. The Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation, for example, collected oil and gas sales revenue equivalent to a range of 45 percent to 74 percent of general government revenue across the years for which data was available. Given the number of NOCs that still do not report on their revenues, the total number of NOC-dependent countries likely exceeds the 25 that are directly captured here. Of the 42 countries for which there is sufficient constituent data for 2013, 55 percent were NOC-dependent. NOCs amass large assets. Nineteen NOCs in the sample reported assets in excess of $50 billion. In 2017, the collective assets of the top ten NOCs in the database that reported on this figure— which excludes several large companies that did not report their assets—exceeded those of the world’s ten largest international oil companies, as illustrated in Figure 5.12 The sheer amount of national wealth concentrated in these companies can sometimes contribute to a sense that they are “too big to fail,” with consequences for governance and performance incentives. Total assets of 10 largest international oil companies, 2017 $1.95 trillion Total assets of top 10 national oil companies captured in database, 2017 $2.51 trillion Figure 5. National oil company assets in context
  • 16. 14 THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE Not all NOCs produce large amounts of oil and gas or generate giant revenues in absolute terms. But even NOCs operating at relatively small scales—such as Suriname’s Staatsolie or the Ghana National Petroleum Corporation—have a major influence on their countries’ oil sectors and broader economies. Risks: NOCs spend a lot of the money they collect, and many take on large debts. Many NOCs have delivered strong value to their citizens, including by increasing revenue flows to government, promoting the growth of the oil and gas sector, developing a cadre of skilled staff and delivering a range of non-fiscal benefits such as infrastructure construction. But the reverse is also true, with some NOCs struggling to deliver value, saddled with contradictory roles and susceptible to rent-seeking and political manipulation. The data create a clearer picture of just how large the reverberations across the economy can be if an NOC does not succeed. The huge shares of public revenues that NOCs collect are one factor. When a NOC’s revenues are equivalent to 20 percent— or even 5 percent—of public revenues there is a strong risk of the company becoming a state- within-a-state and executing a sort of shadow fiscal policy. NOCs can end up being the largest spenders in the public sector, but often do not go through the typical public sector budgeting or oversight process. This underscores the need for well- targeted rules setting the level at which the NOC must transfer revenues to the treasury, and strong oversight of NOC spending. Most NOCs transfer less than 25 percent of their gross revenues to their governments. The median NOC in the sample transferred 23 percent of its revenues to the government in the high-price year of 2013. By 2015, when prices had plummeted, this figure dropped to 17 percent. NOCs spend most of the rest on company operations and investments. This is fitting in some cases, for NOCs participating in complex commercial projects in pursuit of long-term benefits, or for NOCs tasked with direct delivery of public services such as energy provision or infrastructure construction. But it comes at an opportunity cost, as every dollar spent by an NOC is unavailable in the immediate term for spending by the government on health, education or other development needs. There is significant variation among NOCs in the sample in terms of how much they transfer to the state, ranging from less than 5 percent (e.g., Thailand’s PTT) to more than 90 percent (e.g., Chad’s Société des Hydrocarbures du Tchad). NOCs also vary widely in how they structure such transfers. In 2013, amid a sustained period of record high prices, fewer than half of the NOCs in the sample reported paying a dividend to government shareholders. Twelve of the 13 NOCs in the sample that traded some shares on a public stock exchange paid a dividend. Less than one- third of the non-listed NOCs did so, even during the recent boom years when oil prices topped $100 per barrel. The median NOC in the sample transferred 23 percent of its revenues to the government in the high-price year of 2013. By 2015, this figure dropped to 17 percent.
  • 17. 15 THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE Setting policy on requirements for NOC transfers requires a careful balance and alignment with clear goals. If a state taxes a commercially oriented NOC too heavily, it impedes the company’s ability to invest in long-term growth and efficiency. Conversely, if an NOC consistently transfers only small amounts to the state, the potential fiscal benefits from oil and gas can go unrealized. Some NOC officials describe their companies as profit- seekers—and use that rhetoric to justify heavy spending—but consistently fail to pay dividends to the state. Many NOCs are significantly indebted. The database identifies 18 companies with long-term liabilities equal to more than 5 percent of the total GDP of their home country, as illustrated in Figure 6. In extreme cases such as Venezuela’s PDVSA or Angola’s Sonangol, NOC debt has risen above 20 percent of GDP. When extremely high NOC debt combines with other performance challenges, the company can become a risk to broader economic sustainability. This is particularly true in countries where dominant NOCs are essentially “too big to fail.” −10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% SOCAR(AZE) PDVSA(VEN) Sonangol(AGO) Equinor(NOR) Staatsolie(SUR) Pemex(MEX) Petrotrin(TTO) Petronas(MYS) KazMunayGas(KAZ) Petrobras(BRA) Ecopetrol(COL) IPIC(ARE) KPC(KWT) TAQA(ARE) Naftogaz(UKR) YPFB(BOL) Rosneft(RUS) PTT(THA) Gazprom(RUS) Orsted(DNK) YPF(ARG) Pertamina(IDN) Petroecuador(ECU) Sonatrach(DZA) ETAP(TUN) CNPC(CHN) ONGC(IND) SinopecGroup(CHN) CNOOC(CHN) GNPC(GHA) PetroSA(ZAF) Perupetro(PER) TPDC(TZA) Petrobangla(BGD) %GDP LONG−TERM LIABILITIES: ■ Domestic producers ■ Internationalized operators EQUITY: Total equity Figure 6. Long-term NOC liabilities and equity as a percentage of GDP, 2015
  • 18. 16 THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE In such cases, the NOC can require costly bailouts from the state, meaning that instead of being a boon to the state coffers, it becomes a drain. Several governments—ranging from those of major oil producers such as Mexico and Kazakhstan to Namibia, which doesn’t even produce oil yet—have spent hundreds of millions, even billions of dollars bailing out NOCs in recent years. As of early 2019, a committee of creditors had declared Venezuela's PDVSA to be in default on its debts. Several NOCs have long-term liabilities that are multiple times that of annual government revenues from natural resources, including Colombia’s Ecopetrol (3.8 times), Indonesia’s Pertamina (1.8 times) and Suriname’s Staatsolie (4.6 times). ANNUAL GOVERNMENT RESOURCE REVENUE NOC LONG-TERM LIABILITIES 3.8X 1.8X 4.6X INDONESIA’S PERTAMINA COLOMBIA’S ECOPETROL SURINAME’S STAATSOLLE Figure 7. Illustrative national oil company long-term liabilities as multiples of government natural resource revenues
  • 19. 17 THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE During the recent oil boom, many NOCs spent most of the revenue windfall they received, rather than passing it to the treasury. The database shows that when NOC revenues rose during the boom period of 2011—2014, their transfers to governments remained relatively flat. Instead, the average NOC appears to have directed large shares of boom-time windfalls to the company’s own expenditures: both capital and operating expenditures rose significantly. These trends mirror broader trends in the industry among IOCs, which also increased spending during the boom. In the case of NOCs, the trends are likely the result of a range of factors, including high average costs across the industry, government policy that incentivized NOC spending and investment during the boom, and increases in IOC tax payments that financed fiscal priorities.13 In some cases, NOC spending is also closely linked to inefficiency and weak management incentives in times of plenty. Spending also rises in some cases because of political pressure and corruption, as illustrated by the high-profile scandals around NOCs such as Brazil’s Petrobras.14 Figure 8. Median annual changes over time, oil price and various NOC indicators (2011 = 100) 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 2011(OilPrice:100) 2012(OilPrice:100.2) 2013(OilPrice:97.5) 2014(OilPrice:89) 2015(OilPrice:47.1) 2016(OilPrice:39.3) 2017(OilPrice:48.6) Capex Oil price Opex Revenue Transfers
  • 20. 18 THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE When prices crashed, NOC transfers to governments dropped more sharply than revenues. This is further illustrated by Figure 9, which highlights the asymmetry between the boom and bust periods. When NOC revenues rose, their transfers to the state tended to rise less than proportionally (illustrated by the blue line being less steep than 45 degrees). When revenues fell, transfers tended to drop more than proportionately (the red line is slightly steeper than 45 degrees). This suggests that many NOCs spent a large share of the boom period’s upside but then passed along the downside impact to their governments. For NOCs that can convert that boom-time spending into long-term growth, this trade-off may have been worthwhile. But for some countries the fiscal revenue sacrificed by NOC spending during the boom may not have generated a meaningful return. Figure 9. Relationship between change in NOC revenues and change in NOC transfers to government, 2012 to 2017 −100% −50% 0% 50% −100% −50% 0% 50% 100% Change in revenues year-over-year Changeintransfersyear-over-year OBSERVATIONS (company+year) Decrease in revenues Increase in revenues COMPANY GROUP Domestic producers Internationalized operators Pre−production NOCs
  • 21. 19 THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE Transparency: Many NOCs still do not report consistently on key data that are essential for oversight. This research confirms and builds upon the findings of the 2017 Resource Governance Index (RGI), which showed that public reporting by many NOCs remains insufficient. Of the 52 NOCs studied in the index, 62 percent exhibited “weak,” “poor” or “failing” performance on public transparency. Data indicate that NOC transparency is closely linked to the overall governance environment in a country, as is illustrated by Figure 10. The figure shows the RGI scores on NOC disclosure broken down by the country’s performance on the Worldwide Governance Indicators’ control of corruption and voice and accountability measures.15 This graph shows that NOCs tend to report the least data in the countries with the biggest shortcomings in corruption and freedoms of association, assembly and participation. Figure 10. Resource Governance Index national oil company disclosure score per Worldwide Governance Indicator terciles16 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 1.2 - 31.7 31.7 - 63.4 63.4 - 98.7 1.2 - 25.6 25.6 - 54.8 54.8 - 98.7 Control of corruption NOCdisclosurescore Voice and Accountability
  • 22. 20 THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE In spite of these broad trends, the national context is not always so determinative, and some NOCs report extensively even in countries with considerable governance shortcomings. Figure 11 illustrates the RGI scores for NOC disclosure in relation to countries’ scores on the “open data” subcomponent of the index, which measures a country’s overall practices in making data accessible to the public. Some NOCs—such as the Ghana National Petroleum Corporation and Malaysia’s Petronas—disclose more than overall national trends in data availability would suggest, as is illustrated by their position above the 45-degree line in the figure. This illustrates that strong leadership by company or government officials can result in disclosure even in challenging environments. By the same token, some NOCs— such as Petroecuador and the Egyptian General Petroleum Corporation—are more opaque than would be predicted by their countries’ overall open data score, suggesting there may be reform opportunities in countries with positive experience at data dissemination. Figure 11. Resource Governance Index NOC disclosure score relative to RGI open data subcomponent score Ecuador Egypt Ghana Malaysia 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 NOCdisclosurescore Country open data subcomponent score r = 0.49
  • 23. 21 THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE The National Oil Company Database adds further nuance to the RGI findings. Within the larger data- base sample of 71 NOCs, some companies reported in almost all of the fields on production, revenues, transfers and performance. As a result the database provides a rich basis on which to analyze trends and specific companies in a much more evidence-rich way than has previously been possible. While this is helpful for analysts, shortcomings remain. Some companies—including major industry players such as the National Iranian Oil Company—report almost none of the necessary information. Overall, only 20 of the 71 companies in the sample produced information sufficient to populate the ten key indi- cators summarized in Table 2. Companies in the Middle East and North Africa—home to many of the world’s largest NOCs—produced the least information on average.17 The release in April 2019 by Saudi Aramco of significant financial data as part of a prospectus developed for potential investors represents a positive step forward that runs counter to that company’s history of opacity and the broader trends in the region. When aggregated, sub-Saharan Africa’s NOCs—including established companies such as Nigeria’s NNPC and Angola’s Sonangol as well as NOCs in up-and-coming oil producers such as Tanzania—finished second from the bottom, despite more extensive disclosure in countries such as Ghana. Overall, company disclosure is weakest in the areas of employment and spending. This opacity has potentially serious consequences for the public’s ability to scrutinize NOC priorities, efficiency and company contributions to public employment. Indicator All Asia- Pacific Eurasia Latin America/ Caribbean Middle East/ North Africa Sub- Saharan Africa Western Europe Number of companies in sample 71 16 6 13 17 17 2 Total oil and gas production 75% 69% 83% 92% 59% 76% 100% Revenues from oil, gas, product sales 63% 69% 83% 85% 29% 65% 100% Total NOC revenues 66% 88% 83% 85% 35% 53% 100% Net income from core revenues 51% 69% 67% 77% 24% 29% 100% Total transfers to the treasury 65% 88% 83% 77% 24% 65% 100% Capital expenditures 48% 63% 83% 69% 24% 24% 100% Operational expenditures 56% 81% 83% 85% 24% 29% 100% Cash flows from operations 51% 63% 83% 77% 24% 29% 100% Total assets 59% 81% 83% 85% 35% 29% 100% Employees 45% 50% 67% 46% 29% 41% 100% Table 2. NOC reporting on key indicators, by region, 2015
  • 24. 22 THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE In light of the market and governance challenges they face, how could NOCs and their governments maximize their chances of success? Creating clear and transparent performance benchmarks is one step. Some NOCs—including Colombia’s Ecopetrol and Malaysia’s Petronas—take a strong approach to rigorous benchmarking. But many governments have struggled to define what NOC “success” looks like, or to create a performance- based culture in which an NOC’s leadership is accountable for achieving clear targets. Benchmarking efforts are necessarily complex, especially because the catch-all term “national oil company” encompasses a wide range of entities with varying roles, resources and experience. Some governments prioritize the maximization of fiscal revenues delivered to the country’s treasury. Others prioritize the NOC’s commercial effectiveness or a growth strategy designed to extend the company’s portfolio or capacity. Still others call upon the NOC to deliver value to citizens through public services rather than commercial success, such as by providing public employment, infrastructure or energy, or by promoting the local private sector. These neat descriptions belie the complexity of many real-world NOCs, which are called upon to play various roles simultaneously. Developing strong benchmarks requires a clear and honest assessment by government and NOC leaders of which goals are most important, especially as few NOCs have enough resources to accomplish everything simultaneously. Continued improvements in public reporting are critical for the enhancement of benchmarking and other elements of NOC governance. For NOC leaders and governments, access to clear and consistent data can support strategic planning and performance-oriented management. For researchers, journalists and activists, greater transparency can facilitate more effective public oversight and constructive contributions to debates about what roles NOCs should play. But these advances require purposeful action. In the process of building the database NRGI came across several indicators that are essential for strong citizen oversight of NOCs and where there remain major gaps in the detail and consistency of company reporting. Some of these items have to date attracted scant attention in global transparency initiatives. They include: • Company expenditures. Although NOCs spend large amount of public revenue, there remain huge deficiencies in mechanisms for reporting on the nature and purpose of these expenditures. These represent some of the most important choices in national public financial management, but expenditures proved to be the most difficult category of information to capture in the database. Many companies report almost no information on spending (as Table 2 illustrates). Even among companies that do report, there is little consistency and it is difficult for analysts to use most companies’ reports to thoroughly and accurately assess spending choices. Conclusions and policy implications
  • 25. 23 THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE • The distribution of transfers to government across fiscal vehicles and jurisdictions. Many NOCs fail to report on disaggregated transfers to government. Reports from internationalized NOCs are often missing detailed lists of how much the companies have paid in the different jurisdictions in which they operate. Many reports also lack a clear explanation of the basis upon which various NOC transfers to the state (including income taxes, royalties, dividends and the transfer of sales proceeds) are determined, making it difficult to assess whether a company is “paying what it should” to the state. • The composition of an NOC’s production, including how much it produces from fields that it “operates.” NOCs “produce” oil and gas via a range of mechanisms—from extracting it from the ground themselves as operators, to receiving it in kind from a larger partner in a venture, or as an in lieu tax payment. Knowing an NOC’s true “operated production” is important in order to truly understand the scope of its role and to analyze its costs, efficiency and contributions to the state. Yet this granular information is scant; NRGI was only able to compile clear figures on operated production for 23 percent (16 of 71) of companies for 2015. Long-term improvements in the thoroughness and consistency of NOC disclosures are necessary to enhance the abilities of NOCs and their governments to benchmark performance effectively, and of citizens to scrutinize how well these companies are managing public resources. Several international initiatives—including the Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative and the OECD’s Working Party on State Ownership and Privatisation Practices—have taken important steps to advance international standards on NOC transparency. Such initiatives should prioritize filling some of these outstanding gaps in publicly available information, and create forums for sharing of experiences on reporting among NOCs. For governments and NOCs, a deeper investment in transparency requires both technical and political commitments. From a technical standpoint, the National Oil Company Database, its associated publications and many international initiatives provide a starting point to identify and fill gaps. Politically, some NOCs have shown the ability to “lead” and institute strong reporting systems even amidst broader governance challenges. Yet in some countries, NOC executives and government officials view robust and consistent reporting as a burden. In fact, transparent reporting is among the most important tools for building public trust and the development of a performance culture that will ultimately benefit citizens.
  • 26. 24 THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE Company (short name) Company (full name) Home country ADNOC Abu Dhabi National Oil Company United Arab Emirates BAPCO Bahrain Petroleum Company Bahrain Basra Oil Company Basra Oil Company Iraq CNOOC China National Offshore Oil Corporation China CNOOC Limited China National Offshore Oil Corporation Limited China CNPC China National Petroleum Corporation China CUPET Cuba Petróleo Union Cuba Ecopetrol Ecopetrol Colombia EGPC Egyptian General Petroleum Corporation Egypt ENH Empresa Nacional de Hidrocarbonetos Mozambique ENOC Emirates National Oil Company United Arab Emirates Equinor Equinor Norway ETAP Entreprise Tunisienne d’Activités Pétrolières Tunisia Gabon Oil Company Gabon Oil Company Gabon Gazprom Gazprom Russia GEPetrol GEPetrol Equatorial Guinea GNPC Ghana National Petroleum Corporation Ghana IPIC International Petroleum Investment Company United Arab Emirates KazMunayGas KazMunayGas Kazakhstan KPC Kuwait Petroleum Corporation Kuwait MOGE Myanma Oil and Gas Enterprise Myanmar Naftogaz Naftogaz Ukraine NAMCOR National Petroleum Corporation of Namibia Namibia National Oil Kenya National Oil Corporation of Kenya Kenya Nilepet Nile Petroleum Corporation South Sudan NIOC National Iranian Oil Company Iran NNPC Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation Nigeria NOC Libya National Oil Corporation of Libya Libya NOCAL National Oil Company of Liberia Liberia ONGC Oil and Natural Gas Corporation India OOC Oman Oil Company Oman Orsted Orsted Denmark PCJ Petroleum Corporation of Jamaica Jamaica PDVSA Petróleos de Venezuela, S.A. Venezuela Pemex Petróleos Mexicanos Mexico Pertamina PT Pertamina (Persero) Indonesia Companies in the National Oil Company Database
  • 27. 25 THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE Company (short name) Company (full name) Home country Perupetro Perupetro Peru Petroamazonas Petroamazonas Ecuador Petrobangla Petrobangla Bangladesh Petrobras Petróleo Brasileiro Brazil PetroChina PetroChina China Petroci Société Nationale d’Opérations Pétrolières de la Côte d’Ivoire Côte d‘Ivoire Petroecuador Petroecuador Ecuador PetroleumBrunei PetroleumBrunei Brunei Petronas Petroliam Nasional Berhad Malaysia PetroSA PetroSA South Africa Petrotrin Petroleum Company of Trinidad and Tobago Trinidad and Tobago PetroVietnam PetroVietnam Vietnam PNOC Philippine National Oil Company Philippines PTT PTT Public Company Limited Thailand Qatar Petroleum Qatar Petroleum Qatar Rosneft Rosneft Russia Saudi Aramco Saudi Aramco Saudi Arabia SHT Société des Hydrocarbures du Tchad Chad Sinopec Corp China Petroleum and Chemical Corporation China Sinopec Group China Petroleum and Chemical Corporation—Group China SNH Société Nationale des Hydrocarbures Cameroon SNPC Société Nationale des Pétroles du Congo Congo (Rep.) SOCAR State Oil Company of Azerbaijan Republic Azerbaijan Sonahydroc Société Nationale des Hydrocarbures Dem. Rep. of Congo Sonangol Sonangol Group Angola Sonatrach Sonatrach Algeria Staatsolie Staatsolie Suriname Sudapet Sudan National Petroleum Corporation Sudan TAQA Abu Dhabi National Energy Company United Arab Emirates Timor GAP Timor GAP Timor-Leste TPDC Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation Tanzania Turkmengaz Turkmengaz Turkmenistan YOGC Yemen Oil and Gas Corporation Yemen YPF Yacimientos Petrolíferos Fiscales Argentina YPFB Yacimientos Petrolíferos Fiscales Bolivianos Bolivia
  • 28. 26 THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE 1 Rystad Energy, UCube Database reported average for the 2011 to 2017 period. According to Rystad, NOC production represented 55 percent of total oil and gas production worldwide over this period. Estimates from the World Bank earlier this decade put NOCs’ share of global oil production at 75 percent, and their share of global reserves at 90 percent. Silvana Tordo, Brandon S. Tracy and Noora Arfaa. National Oil Companies and Value Creation (World Bank, 2011). 2 Silvana Tordo, Brandon S. Tracy and Noora Arfaa. National Oil Companies and Value Creation (World Bank, 2011). 3 The figures and statistics in this report reflects data in the NRGI National Oil Company database as of February 28, 2019. These data draw on reports that were published by NOCs and their governments through the end of the data collection period, September 30, 2018, with one exception. On April 1, 2019, Saudi Aramco released an investor prospectus including consolidated financial statements covering the years 2016, 2017 and 2018. Because of the size and influence of Saudi Aramco, and the complete absence of any financial data from the company before the release of the prospectus, we opted to include figures derived from it in the database. 4 Some NOCs had not yet reported on key indicators for 2016 and 2017 during the data collection period. As more companies report, we expect these figures for 2017 will rise in future updates to the database. 5 The project’s definition of scope means that the database does not include companies that are exclusively active in downstream operations or joint ventures in which a state entity may own a minority share. 6 Data collection involved examining the detailed notes in financial reports and other source documents in order to enter data consistently with the project methodology. In some cases, this approach means that the database’s stated value for a data point differs from the stated value for a similarly-titled figure within the source report. 7 Reporting on company expenditures and profits remain the areas of greatest inconsistency among NOCs. As such, NRGI’s confidence in the consistency of the data is highest for indicators on production, revenues, transfers, cash flows and balance sheets. 8 Rystad Energy, UCube Database. Rystad Energy estimates that total production by NOCs in 2013 averaged 85 million barrels of oil equivalent per day. 9 On April 1, 2019, just before the publication of this report, Saudi Aramco released an investor prospectus including consolidated financial statements detailing the company’s revenues for 2016, 2017 and 2018. The company’s revenues for 2013 remain unavailable. 10 The data for all of the NOCs in Figure 4 are calculated as NOC total gross revenues as a percentage of general government revenues, with one exception. The Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation did not publish data sufficient for us to include a figure on the company’s total gross revenues (including its revenues from oil and gas sales plus revenues from other lines of business). But through Nigeria’s EITI reports, we were able to assemble data on the revenues that NNPC collected from sales of oil and gas, which represents the overwhelming share of its total. As such, and because this sales revenues is equivalent to such a sizable amount of the total revenues of the Nigerian government, we opted to include it here. Thus for NNPC the percentage shown in Figure 4 is revenues from oil, gas and product sales divided by general government revenues. 11 These 25 countries include the 23 countries with NOCs shown in Figure 4 to be above the 20 percent threshold— with data derived from the National Oil Company Database, plus Saudi Arabia and Iran, which did not officially disclose revenues for 2013 but which play a dominant role in their oil-dependent economies. The financial prospectus and consolidated financial statements released by Saudi Aramco on April 1, 2019 included figures on the company’s revenues for 2016, 2017 and 2018, which showed that it was well above the 20 percent threshold for NOC dependency for those years. 12 The top ten NOCs were China National Petroleum Corporation (headquartered in China), Sinopec Group (China), Gazprom (Russia), Saudi Aramco (Saudi Arabia), Rosneft (Russia), Petrobras (Brazil), China National Offshore Oil Corporation (China), Petronas (Malaysia), Kuwait Petroleum Corporation (Kuwait) and Pemex (Mexico). Top ten international oil companies by total assets taken from Fortune, 2017 Global 500, www.fortune. com/global500/2017/list/filtered?sortBy=assets. These companies were: Royal Dutch Shell, ExxonMobil, BP, Chevron, Total, ENI, ConocoPhillips, Lukoil, Repsol and Phillips 66. Endnotes
  • 29. 27 THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE 13 The trends associated with NOC revenues and spending as oil prices evolve largely match broader trends within the industry and among IOCs. See Gerhard Toews and Alexander Naumov, “The Relationship Between Oil Price and Costs in the Oil and Gas Industry” (Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies, 2015), www.economics. ox.ac.uk/ materials/papers/13819/paper152.pdf. 14 For a thorough description of the nature and impact of the Petrobras scandal, see U.S. Department of Justice, “Petróleo Brasileiro S.A.—Petrobras Agrees to Pay More than $850 Million for FCPA Violations,” 27 September 2008, www. justice.gov/opa/pr/petr-leo-brasileiro-sa-petrobras-agrees- pay-more-850-million-fcpa-violations. 15 World Bank, Worldwide Governance Indicators, http://info. worldbank.org/governance/wgi/#home. 16 The “NOC disclosure” measure featured on this figure is calculated by averaging the scores for 5 NOC disclosure- specific indicators that are included in the State-owned Enterprises subcomponent of the 2017 RGI. The questions that served as the basis for this measure can be accessed at www.resourcegovernanceindex.org. 17 Exceptions to the general lack of reporting within the region were the UAE-based TAQA (which provided sufficient information for us to complete the data on all 10 of the key indicators in 2015), the Kuwait Petroleum Corporation (nine indicators), Tunisia’s Entreprise Tunisienne d’Activités Pétrolières (eight indicators) and the UAE’s International Petroleum Investment Company (eight indicators).
  • 30. 28 THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE ACKNOWLEDGMENTS The National Oil Company Database and accompanying analysis were developed with contributions by a large team of NRGI staff and partners, under the leadership of Patrick Heller. Anna Fleming led the project’s data management, including developing the data architecture and analytical tools. David Mihalyi co-authored the paper which serves as the source of several of the findings in this report. Alexandra Gillies led the overall quality control of this report and other publications. Suneeta Kaimal, Liz McGrath and Lee Bailey provided guidance on research and publication strategy. The original data collection template for the database was developed by Giancarlo Lazzáro. Researchers responsible for data collection and review included Nour Berro, Lidia Cano Pecharromán, Rose Davis, Charlotte Huebner, Naoko Takahashi, and Felix Wei Xin Tan. A network of reviewers and advisors provided invaluable inputs and feedback on the data template, associated analysis and drafts, including Aisha Adam, Tony Addison, Theo Ahwireng, Frian Aarsnes, Andrew Bauer, Carlos Bellorin, Jim Cust, Galib Efendiev, Audrey Gaughran, Alonso Hidalgo, Charlotte Huebner, Poppy Ismalina, Daniel Kaufmann, Thomas Lassourd, Marie Lintzer, Paasha Mahdavi, Alexander Malden, David Manley, Valérie Marcel, Jimena Montoya Villavicencio, Keith Myers, Fernando Patzy, Zira John Quaghe, Laura Robinson, Khin Saw Htay, Aaron Sayne, Amir Shafaie, Alina Skripets, Berit Tvedt, Claudia Viale and Armando Zamora. The group responsible for conceptualizing and developing the online database platform included Thomas Morrison, Anders Pedersen, Adina Petrean (and her team at Vitamin Software), Alexander Podsechin (and his team at SoftGrad Solutions), Andriy Privalov and Hari Subhash. The team at the Center for Law, Energy Environment, U.C. – Berkeley, including Jordan Diamond and Luke Sherman, provided intellectual and logistical resources of great value to the development of the project.
  • 31.
  • 32. The Natural Resource Governance Institute (NRGI) helps people to realize  the benefits of their countries’ endowments of oil, gas and minerals. We do this through technical advice, advocacy, applied research, policy analysis, and capacity development. We work with innovative agents of change within government ministries, civil society, the media, legislatures, the private sector, and international institutions to promote accountable and effective governance in the extractive industries. www.resourcegovernance.org
  • 33. APRIL 2019 Massive and Misunderstood Data-Driven Insights into National Oil Companies Patrick R. P. Heller and David Mihalyi
  • 34. Contents EXECUTIVE SUMMARY................................................................................................................................ 1 I. UNDER-ANALYZED BEHEMOTHS.......................................................................................................... 6 II. THE NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE......................................................................................10 III. SIZE AND IMPACT OF NATIONAL OIL COMPANIES......................................................................15 IV. BENCHMARKING NATIONAL OIL COMPANIES BY VALUE ADDITION......................................29 V. TRANSPARENCY AND NATIONAL OIL COMPANY REPORTING..................................................54 VI. CONCLUSIONS AND STEPS FOR FURTHER RESEARCH.............................................................61 APPENDIX 1. NOCs IN NRGI’S NATIONAL OIL COMPANY DATABASE...........................................62 APPENDIX 2. CHANGES IN NOC ECONOMIC DATA AS REVENUES CHANGED..........................66 Key messages • National oil companies (NOCs) produce the majority of the world’s oil and gas. They dominate the production landscape in some of the world’s most oil-rich countries, including Saudi Arabia, Mexico, Venezuela and Iran, and play a central role in the oil and gas sector in many emerging producers. In 2017, NOCs that published data on their assets reported combined assets of $3.1 trillion. • At least 25 countries are “NOC-dependent,” meaning that the national oil company collects revenues equivalent to more than 20 percent of all government revenues. The fiscal health of many countries – and governments’ ability to use oil revenues to finance development – depend heavily on how well the NOC is run, how much revenue it is required to transfer to the state, and the quality of its spending. • Many NOCs carry big debts, sometimes as much as 10 or even 20 percent of their countries’ GDP. Several NOCs have required multi-billion-dollar government bail- outs in recent years, becoming a costly drain on public finances. • Sixty-two percent of NOCs exhibit “weak,” “poor” or “failing” performance on public transparency, as measured by the Resource Governance Index. Interna- tional transparency actors should promote better NOC reporting on expenditures, transfers to the government and the breakdown of oil and gas production from different sources. NOCs and their governments should develop key performance indicators based clear goals, and benchmark rigorously. • NRGI’s National Oil Company Database, available at www.nationaloilcompanydata. org, provides the largest set of open data on NOC production, revenues, spending and transfers to government in the world, with more than 70,000 data points from 71 NOCs worldwide from 2011 to 2017.
  • 35. 1 Massive and Misunderstood: Data-Driven Insights into National Oil Companies Executive summary National oil companies (NOCs) produce the majority of the world’s oil and gas, pumping out an estimated 85 million barrels of oil equivalent per day. Within their home countries, NOCs influence the degree to which billions of people benefit (or suffer) from their countries’ hydrocarbon assets. Many of these companies manage multi-billion-dollar portfolios of public assets, execute complex projects across their territories and at sea, employ citizens in the tens or hundreds of thousands, and perform a range of public services from providing energy to building infrastructure. Despite their importance, NOCs are poorly understood thanks to weak and uneven reporting, sparse research, and an absence of publicly available comparative data. Without solid information, governments, oversight bodies and market players struggle to assess NOC performance and develop strategies for how these influential entities can generate greater benefits for citizens. To help address this gap, Natural Resource Governance Institute (NRGI) assembled a database on NOC production, revenue generation, fiscal transfers to the state, and operational and financial performance that covers 71 companies headquartered in 61 countries worldwide, from 2011 to 2017. The database resides at www.nationaloilcompanydata.org. NOCs are giants, managing larger portfolios and collecting more public revenue than was previously understood. NOCs are massive. This basic fact has been known by oil-watchers for some time, but a historical lack of consistent and comparative data has made it difficult to fully understand their impact on their home economies. Our data paint a more thorough picture of the scale and impact of NOCs. NOCs particularly dominate production within their borders. “Domestic NOCs”— which produce oil and gas largely in their home countries—were responsible for 76 percent of their countries’ total production over the course of our data period. In some major producers like Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Mexico, NOCs were responsible for almost 100 percent of production. Some “internationalized NOCs”—such as Malaysia’s Petronas and several large NOCs based in China— have taken their show on the road, and are supplementing oil and gas production at home with ambitious exploration and production abroad. This underscores that effective governance of the oil sector is impossible without strategic and accountable management of NOCs. NOCs collect huge flows of public revenues, making them critical players in the public financial management of their home countries. The International Monetary Fund defines a country as oil-dependent if more than 20 percent of all government revenues come from the sector. Adapting this definition, our data reveal that there are at least 25 NOC-dependent countries worldwide, where an NOC, by itself, collects funds equivalent to 20 percent or more of all government revenues. In many cases, flows to NOCs dwarf the revenue that governments collect from foreign aid or domestic instruments such as income tax. The Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation, for example, collected revenue from its oil and gas sales equivalent to a Data reveal that worldwide there are at least 25 NOC- dependent countries, where an NOC, by itself, collects funds equivalent to 20 percent or more of all government revenues.
  • 36. 2 Massive and Misunderstood: Data-Driven Insights into National Oil Companies range of 45 percent to 74 percent of general government revenue across the years for which data were available. NOCs spend a lot. Many NOCs have delivered strong value to their citizen shareholders, including by increasing revenue flows to government, promoting the growth of the oil and gas sector, developing a cadre of skilled staff and delivering a range of non-fiscal benefits. But the reverse is also true, with some NOCs struggling to deliver value, saddled with contradictory roles and susceptible to rent-seeking and political manipulation. Our data create a clearer picture of just how large the reverberations across the economy can be if an NOC does not succeed. The huge shares of public revenues that NOCs collect are one factor. When a NOC’s revenues are equivalent to 20 percent—or even just 5 percent—of public revenues there is a strong risk of the company becoming a state-within-a-state and executing a sort of shadow fiscal policy. NOCs can end up being the largest spenders in the public sector, but often do not go through the typical public sector budgeting or oversight process. This underscores the need for well-targeted rules setting the level at which the NOC must transfer revenues to the treasury. Most NOCs transferred less than 25 percent of their gross revenues to their governments. The median NOC in our sample transferred 23 percent of revenues to government in 2013. By 2015, when prices had plummeted, this figure dropped to 17 percent. NOCs spend most of the rest, on company operations and investments. This is fitting in some cases, for NOCs participating in complex commercial projects in pursuit of long-term benefits, or for NOCs tasked with direct delivery of public services. But it comes at an opportunity cost, as every dollar spent by an NOC is unavailable in the immediate term for spending by the government on health, education or other development needs. There is significant variation among NOCs in the sample in terms of how much they transfer to the state, ranging from less than 5 percent (such as Thailand’s PTT) to more than 90 percent (such as Chad’s Société des Hydrocarbures du Tchad). NOCs also vary widely in how such transfers are structured. In 2013, amid a sustained period of record high prices, fewer than half of the NOCs in the sample reported paying a dividend to state shareholders. Twelve of the 13 NOCs in the sample that traded some shares on a public stock exchange paid a dividend. Less than one-third of the non-listed NOCs did so, even during the recent boom years when oil prices topped $100 per barrel. Setting policy on the requirements for NOC transfers requires a careful balance and alignment with clear goals. If a state taxes a commercially oriented NOC too heav- ily, it impedes the company’s ability to invest in long-term growth and efficiency. Conversely, if an NOC consistently transfers only small amounts to the state, the po- tential fiscal benefits from oil and gas can go unrealized. Some NOC officials describe their companies as profit-seekers—and use that rhetoric to justify heavy spending— but consistently fail to pay dividends to the state, even during boom times. NOCs can end up being the largest spenders in the public sector, but often do not go through the typical public sector budgeting or oversight process. This underscores the need for well-targeted rules setting the level at which the NOC must transfer revenues to the treasury.
  • 37. 3 Massive and Misunderstood: Data-Driven Insights into National Oil Companies Many NOCs take on debt, creating risks for their countries’ economies. Many NOCs are significantly indebted. We identified 18 companies with long-term liabilities equal to more than 5 percent of the total GDP of their home country. In extreme cases such as Venezuela’s PDVSA, NOC debt has risen above 20 percent of GDP. When extremely high NOC debt combines with other performance challenges, the company can become a risk to broader economic sustainability. This is particularly true in countries where dominant NOCs are essentially “too big to fail.” In such cases, the NOC can require costly bailouts from the state, meaning that instead of being a boon to the state coffers, it becomes a drain. Several governments—ranging from major oil producers such as Mexico and Kazakhstan to Namibia, which doesn’t even produce oil yet—have spent hundreds of millions, even billions of dollars bailing out NOCs in recent years. As of early 2019, a committee of creditors had declared Venezuela’s PDVSA to be in default on its debts. During the recent oil boom, many NOCs spent most of the revenue windfall they received, rather than passing it to their countries’ treasuries. Our data show that when NOC revenues rose during the boom years 2011— 2014, their transfers to governments remained relatively flat. Instead, the average NOC appears to have directed large shares of boom-time windfalls to their own expenditures—both capital and operating expenditures rose significantly. This increase in spending among NOCs mirrors trends observed among international oil companies (IOCs), which also increased spending during the boom. These trends are likely the result of a range of factors, including high average costs across the industry, government policy that incentivized NOC spending and investment during the boom, and increases in IOC tax payments that financed fiscal priorities. In some cases, NOC spending is also closely linked to inefficiency and weak management incentives in times of plenty. Spending rises in some cases because of political pressure and corruption, as illustrated by the high-profile scandals around NOCs such as Brazil’s Petrobras. When prices crashed, NOC transfers to governments dropped more sharply than revenues. This suggests that many NOCs spent a large share of the boom period’s upside but then passed along the downside impact to their governments. For NOCs that can convert that boom-time spending into long-term growth, this trade-off may have been worthwhile. But for some countries the fiscal revenue sacrificed by NOC spending during the boom may not generate a meaningful return. There is significant variance among NOCs on measures of commercial efficiency. NOCs often have complex mandates. Governments task some with becoming commercially efficient entities that deliver value to citizens by exploring new frontiers, reducing production costs or promoting technological innovation. Others are required to sacrifice the commercial bottom line in favor of delivering public goods such as subsidized energy or large-scale employment. The data reveal significant differences among NOCs on various measures of commercial efficiency. We identified 18 companies with long-term liabilities equal to more than 5 percent of the total GDP of their home country.
  • 38. 4 Massive and Misunderstood: Data-Driven Insights into National Oil Companies NOC reporting on employees is spotty, but staffing levels among NOCs that did report range from around 100 employees—such as Timor Leste’s Timor GAP—to hundreds of thousands—such as the Chinese giant Sinopec. This range reflects the variety among NOCs in role and scope. Measuring how much oil a company produces per employee is one way to assess how much it prioritizes commercial efficiency versus other public goods. Overall, the larger an NOC’s workforce, the less it produces per employee. But in this respect too the variance is substantial. Our data show that publicly listed NOCs—which generally prioritize the pursuit of commercial profit— tend to generate higher production-per-employee than unlisted NOCs. Governments and NOCs should define company roles more clearly and invest in more consistent benchmarking. In light of the challenges, how do NOCs and their governments maximize their chances of success? Creating clear and transparent performance benchmarks is one step. Some NOCs—including Colombia’s Ecopetrol and Malaysia’s Petronas—exhibit a strong approach to rigorous benchmarking. But many countries have struggled to define what “success” for an NOC looks like or to create a performance-based culture in which the NOC’s leadership is accountable for achieving clear targets. One challenge is that the catch-all term “national oil company” encompasses a wide range of entities with varying roles, resources and experience. NOCs and governments need to be clear in defining companies’ principal goals and developing benchmarks accordingly. We identify three broad types of NOCs: • The primary goal of a “cash cow” is to deliver fiscal revenues to the government’s treasury, and its performance benchmarks should prioritize overall government revenues from the NOC and the sector, and the share of NOC revenues paid to the government. • A “profit seeker” NOC prioritizes commercial success, in the form of profit and the development of commercial skills and efficiency. If successful, a profit seeker will deliver significant long-term financial returns to the state in the form of dividends and income taxes. But the company’s short-term incentives may include a desire to minimize payments to the state. • A “state supplement” NOC delivers value to citizens through public services rather than commercial success, such as by providing public employment, energy and fuel, promoting the local private sector and infrastructure construction. These neat categories belie the complexity of many real-world NOCs, which are called upon to play various roles simultaneously. Developing strong benchmarks, however, requires a clear and honest assessment of which goals are most important, especially as few NOCs have enough resources to accomplish everything simultaneously. Developing strong benchmarks requires a clear and honest assessment of which goals are most important, especially as few NOCs have enough resources to accomplish everything simultaneously.
  • 39. 5 Massive and Misunderstood: Data-Driven Insights into National Oil Companies There are major shortcomings in NOC transparency, and many companies fail to report critical information necessary for oversight. Our research confirms and builds upon the findings of the 2017 Resource Governance Index (RGI), which showed that public reporting by many NOCs remains insufficient. Of the 52 NOCs studied in the RGI, 62 percent exhibited “weak,” “poor” or “failing” performance on public transparency. Within the larger sample in the NOC database, some companies produced almost all of the information we sought on production, revenues, transfers and performance. Others produced none of it, or produced it in a manner that made it difficult to discern its accuracy. Overall, only 20 of the 71 companies in the sample produced sufficient information for NRGI to be able to enter data for all ten of the most critical indicators in the database. Companies in the Middle East and North Africa—home to many of the world’s largest NOCs—produced the least information on average. Sub-Saharan Africa— which combines established companies such as Nigeria’s NNPC and Angola’s Sonangol as well as NOCs in up-and-coming oil producers such as Tanzania— finished second from the bottom, despite more extensive disclosure in some countries such as Ghana. Overall, company disclosure is weakest in the areas of employment and spending. This opacity has potentially serious consequences for the public’s ability to scrutinize NOC priorities, efficiency and company contributions to public employment. In the process of building the database came across several indicators that have not attracted much attention in global transparency initiatives but which are essential for strong citizen oversight of NOCs. We recommend that international efforts to encourage better reporting among NOCs prioritize more detailed reporting on: • company expenditures • the breakdown of transfers to government across fiscal vehicles and jurisdictions (for NOCs operating abroad) • how much production a company produces in fields that it “operates”— meaning that the company either runs the field exclusively or is the lead company responsible for managing the finances and the operations of a project with partners Long-term improvements in the thoroughness and consistency of NOC disclosures will enhance the abilities of NOCs and their governments to benchmark performance effectively, and of citizens to scrutinize how well these companies are managing public resources. Long-term improvements in the thoroughness and consistency of NOC disclosures will enhance the abilities of NOCs and their governments to benchmark performance effectively, and of citizens to scrutinize how well these companies are managing public resources.
  • 40. 6 Massive and Misunderstood: Data-Driven Insights into National Oil Companies I. Under-analyzed behemoths National oil companies (NOCs) play a dominant role in international energy markets and in the economies of oil and gas producing countries across the world. NOCs produce the majority of the world’s oil and gas, pumping out an estimated 85 million barrels of oil equivalent per day.1 They control up to 90 percent of global reserves, thereby serving as gatekeepers for international oil companies’ access to hydrocarbons.2 Within their home jurisdictions, NOCs can determine in large measure the degree to which billions of people benefit—or not—from their national hydrocarbon assets. These companies often rank among the largest single collectors of public-sector revenues. They manage multi-billion-dollar portfolios of public assets, execute complex projects across their territories and at sea, employ citizen staffs in the tens or hundreds of thousands and perform a range of public services from providing energy to constructing infrastructure. In many oil-dependent countries, NOCs sit at the epicenter of the oil economy, playing a fundamental role in every facet of public governance. Even in new oil producers with smaller NOCs, the companies can be critical to ambitions to use the sector as a driver of development. At their best, NOCs can be revenue generators, technological innovators and sources of national pride. At their worst, they have enabled rent-seeking by politicians, diverted money from the public, mismanaged precious natural resource deposits and engaged in regime-rattling corruption.3 Over the years, a few intrepid researchers have sought to examine NOC performance and governance, analyze trends across companies and make recommendations to NOC leaders and their government and citizen shareholders.4 Some international organizations including the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) and the Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (EITI) have increasingly sought to incorporate guidance on NOC reporting and corporate 1 Rystad Energy, UCube Database, reported average for the 2011 to 2017 period. According to Rystad, NOC production represented 55 percent of total oil and gas production worldwide over this period. Estimates from the World Bank earlier this decade put NOCs’ share of global oil production at 75 percent, and their share of global reserves at 90 percent. Silvana Tordo, Brandon S. Tracy and Noora Arfaa. National Oil Companies and Value Creation (World Bank, 2011). 2 Tordo, et al., National Oil Companies and Value Creation. 3 In recent years, prominent cases where NOCs have been linked to devastating corruption include Brazil, where the “car wash” scandal caused billions of dollars in lost public assets and resulted in convictions of hundreds of prominent officials; Mexico, where Pemex has been accused of accepting millions of dollars in bribes; and Congo-Brazzaville, where senior officials at the Société Nationale des Pétroles du Congo have allegedly engaged in arbitrage in oil sales in order to enrich politically- connected businesses to the tune of hundreds of millions of dollars. 4 Among the most important analyses of NOC governance and performance are Valerie Marcel, Oil Titans (Brookings Institution Press, 2006); Tordo, et al., National Oil Companies and Value Creation; Christian Wolf, “Does Ownership Matter? The Performance and Efficiency of State Oil versus Private Oil,” Energy Policy 37 (2009): 2642—52; Stacey L. Eller, Peter R. Hartley and Kenneth B. Medlock III, “Empirical Evidence on the Operational Efficiency of National Oil Companies,” Empirical Economics 40 (2010): 623—643; David G. Victor, David R. Hults and Mark Thurber, eds., Oil and Governance: State- Owned Enterprises and the World Oil Supply (Cambridge University Press, 2012); Miranda L. Wainberg, Dmitry Volkov and Michelle Michot Foss, Commercial Frameworks for National Oil Companies (Center for Energy Economics Working Paper, 2007); James A. Baker Institute for Public Policy, The Role of National Oil Companies in International Energy Markets (Rice University, 2007).
  • 41. 7 Massive and Misunderstood: Data-Driven Insights into National Oil Companies governance into their standards and guidelines.5 Additionally, a number of journalists and watchdogs have dug deeply into the evolution of specific NOCs.6 But in comparison to their economic importance, NOCs have been significantly under-researched, and there remain huge gaps in public understanding of their roles, performance, opportunities and risks. This stems in part from the lack of data about NOCs. NOCs remain opaque: the 2017 Resource Governance Index showed that 62 percent of the 52 NOCs surveyed exhibited “weak,” “poor” or “failing” performance on public transparency.7 Even when companies have made some public information available, it has traditionally been difficult for regulators, legislators and public interest groups to use it. The reports are often company- specific, partial and geared to narrow audiences such as investors. Without good data, and especially without comparative data across companies, it is extremely difficult to assess how well an NOC is performing. Given their size and impact, this is a huge shortcoming. Citizens, legislators, regulators, investors, journalists and other observers all need better tools to answer important questions such as: • Is the company managing public resources efficiently? • Is the company investing effectively in pursuit of a coherent strategy? • Is the government collecting enough in taxes and other transfers from the NOC? Is it collecting too much? • Does the company’s portfolio create risks for the broader economy that need to be addressed? This paper, and the database behind it, use publicly available data to help answer these questions more effectively. We collected information from public reporting on 71 NOCs, headquartered in 61 countries, from 2011 to 2017.8 This work was made possible by growth in the amount of information that NOCs and their governments put into the public domain, via company financial statements and public reporting mechanisms such as EITI. The resulting database, available at www.nationaloilcompanydata.org, is the largest open resource in the world on NOCs, and covers their production, revenues, expenditures, balance sheets, taxation and performance. 5 Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Guidelines on Corporate Governance of State-Owned Enterprises—2015 Edition (OECD, 2015); Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative, The EITI Standard 2016 (EITI International Secretariat, 2016). 6 In-depth investigations of NOCs have been conducted on large producers such as Brazil’s Petrobras— see, e.g., Jonathan Watts, “Operation Car Wash: Is This the Biggest Corruption Scandal in History?” The Guardian, June 1 2017; and Nigeria’s NNPC—see, e.g., Aaron Sayne, Alexandra Gillies and Christina Katsouris, Inside NNPC Oil Sales: A Case for Reform in Nigeria (New York, Natural Resource Governance Institute, 2015), resourcegovernance.org/sites/default/files/NRGI_InsideNNPCOilSales_CompleteReport. pdf. Detailed analyses have also been published on several smaller NOCs with important roles in their home economies. See, e.g., The Sentry, Fueling Atrocities: Oil and War in South Sudan (2018), cdn.thesentry.org/ wp-content/uploads/2018/03/FuelingAtrocities_Sentry_March2018_final.pdf. 7 Natural Resource Governance Institute, 2017 Resource Governance Index (2017). The index assessed NOC transparency according to the rules and disclosure practices associated with its operations and finances. Of the 52 countries where an NOC was assessed, only six exhibited what the index categorized as “good” practice. 8 The National Oil Company Database is designed to be a “living” tool, and NRGI will update it periodically as more information becomes available in the public domain. The data used in this paper reflect the database as of February 28, 2019. These data draw on reports that were published by NOCs and their governments through the end of the data collection period, September 30, 2018, with one exception. On April 1, 2019, Saudi Aramco released an investor prospectus including consolidated financial statements covering the years 2016, 2017 and 2018. Because of the size and influence of Saudi Aramco, and the complete absence of any financial data from the company before the release of the prospectus, we opted to include figures derived from it in the database.
  • 42. 8 Massive and Misunderstood: Data-Driven Insights into National Oil Companies After a brief explanation of our methodology, this paper examines what the data tell us about the influence of NOCs globally and within their home economies. The data we assembled make it clearer than ever that NOCs are giants. In a general sense, this has been known for some time, but our data-gathering lends significantly more shape to our understanding of NOC size and influence, especially within their home economies. We have found that: • Many governments depend on NOCs for major revenues. We identified 25 countries for which NOC revenues were equivalent to more than 20 percent of total government revenues in 2013.9 These numbers would grow even higher if several large NOCs that are currently opaque began reporting their revenues more systematically. • NOCs have amassed large assets, and large liabilities. There is significant variance in size among NOCs, but many companies have accumulated huge asset bases, measured in both absolute terms and in relation to their economies. Several NOCs have also taken on debts that add up to substantial shares of GDP. Examining comparative data on NOC liabilities allows analysts to more fully assess the debt challenges facing a company or a national economy. Box 1. The Natural Resource Governance Institute’s work on state- owned enterprises This paper and the associated database form part of NRGI’s portfolio of work on state- owned enterprise governance. This work includes research, advocacy and technical assistance at the global level, as well as in several countries including Azerbaijan, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Ghana, Guinea, Indonesia, Mexico, Mongolia, Myanmar, Tanzania, Tunisia and Uganda. The projects target five major topics: 1 Reporting and transparency practices 2 Performance benchmarking and financial flows 3 Institutional structure and oversight 4 Commodity trading accountability 5 Reducing corruption risks For more information, visit www.resourcegovernance.org/topics/state-owned-enterprises. 9 The large fiscal space that NOCs occupy amplifies the importance of decisions made by governments and NOCs about how much an NOC is allowed to spend and how much they pay to the treasury. These policies have a massive impact on the government’s ability to use oil revenues for development spending. For further discussion, see Patrick R.P. Heller, Paasha Mahdavi and Johannes Schreuder, Reforming National Oil Companies: Nine Recommendations (Natural Resource Governance Institute, 2014), 10—11; Paasha Mahdavi, Power Grab: Political Survival Through Extractive Resource Nationalization (University of California Santa Barbara, unpublished manuscript, 2019).
  • 43. 9 Massive and Misunderstood: Data-Driven Insights into National Oil Companies After shedding new light on the size and influence of NOCs, this paper summarizes lessons from the data relevant to NOC performance. This section begins by digging into a fundamental factor: not all NOCs are alike, and benchmarking efforts must be tailored to the roles of specific NOCs. We build on existing literature to suggest an NOC typology. We then use the typology in our analysis of two main issues related to policy and performance. Fiscal transfers between NOCs and their governments When an NOC collects revenue, not all of that revenue makes it to the treasury. In fact, our data reveal that most NOCs transfer less than 25 percent of their gross revenues to government. We discuss metrics for analyzing how heavily a government should tax revenues that accrue to the NOC, balancing the need for companies to reinvest revenues in their businesses against the opportunity cost of the money that NOCs spend. Operational performance The stated goals of most NOCs include contributing to the effective development of the country’s petroleum sector and generating strong returns on state investments. We examine several core metrics for assessing company efficiency and the returns that NOCs generate on public investment and provide recommendations on how gov- ernments and companies can use these benchmarks to achieve different types of goals. Finally, this paper analyzes the state of NOC transparency and makes concrete recommendations for improving NOC reporting going forward. We offer insights on areas of persistent weakness in reporting systems that require priority attention, both in individual company disclosure policies and international efforts including the EITI Standard, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Fiscal Transparency Code and OECD Guidelines on Corporate Governance of State-Owned Enterprises.10 These critical disclosure gaps include information on disaggregated expenditure, transfers to government and key performance indicators (KPIs). 10 The most recent official versions of these resources are: EITI, The EITI Standard 2016; International Monetary Fund, Fiscal Transparency Initiative: Integration of Natural Resource Management Issues (International Monetary Fund, 2019); OECD, Guidelines on Corporate Governance of State-Owned Enterprises, 2015. Most NOCs transfer less than 25 percent of their gross revenues to government.
  • 44. 10 Massive and Misunderstood: Data-Driven Insights into National Oil Companies II. The National Oil Company Database The data that we use in this paper derive from the National Oil Company Database, which NRGI launched publicly in 2019. As of the finalization of this paper, the database contained entries for 71 NOCs from 61 home countries and covered the period from 2011 to 2017.11 Our data on NOCs derive exclusively from official government and NOC sources. Companies’ annual and financial reports are the principal source of information for most companies in the database. We supplemented these data with information on NOCs from other government reports, including filings by ministries of oil, energy and finance and EITI reports.12 Our data-gathering and the definition of major benchmarks focuses mostly on the companies’ upstream roles in exploration, production and revenue-generation.13 Beyond this NOC-specific data, we used data from the IMF and World Bank for contextual indicators on home-country economies and government finances; data from the International Centre for Tax and Development on government resource revenues; data from British Petroleum on national oil and gas production; and the World Bank’s Wealth of Nations database on subsoil wealth. For a detailed description of the project methodology, see National Oil Company Database: Methodology Guide.14 (See Appendix 1 for a complete list of companies in the database.) 11 In developing our sample, we adapted a definition of “state-owned enterprise” derived from the OECD’s definition, with slight modifications. We consider the defining characteristics of an SOE to be that (a) the state has a majority ownership stake and/or a “golden share” that gives it effective control over decision-making; and (b) national legislation and/or national practice defines the entity as an enterprise. This definition is deliberately inclusive, incorporating companies that range from 100 percent state-owned to mixed-ownership and with a range of different tasks and mandates. See OECD, Guidelines on Corporate Governance of State-Owned Enterprises, 14—15. 12 In some countries, such as Azerbaijan and Norway, detailed information on the company is available both in company annual/financial reports and in an EITI report or other official document. These different reports often use divergent accounting principles. In these cases, we relied on the data from the company reports as our information source. In other countries, such as the Democratic Republic of Congo and Nigeria, the NOC itself produced little or no data for the years in question, but some information on revenue flows are available via EITI. In these cases, we used EITI as the source of information for the database. In a third category of countries—comprising Cameroon, Cote d’Ivoire, Ghana and Liberia –the company produced a small amount of information and there was also information in an EITI or other official document (in the case of Ghana, reporting by the Public Interest and Accountability Committee). In these cases, since the accounting standards among the documents appeared to diverge, we recorded two separate data sheets, rather than merging them into one. 13 In contrast to Tordo, et al., we did not measure downstream (refinery) performance or the share of local content in NOC employment or other inputs, because our early research indicated that standardizing company reporting on such figures would impose large additional costs on this research process with uncertain results. See Tordo, et al., National Oil Companies and Value Creation, 41. In an upcoming research project with Valerie Marcel, we plan to develop a more comprehensive approach to help African NOCs benchmark their own performance along various axes that extend beyond their upstream activities. In such a benchmarking, companies would rely initially on their own internal reporting. We hope that in the future public reporting will be sufficient to enable comparative analysis. 14 In building on these measurements and tailoring them to make them relevant to missions and objectives of state-owned oil companies, we drew inspiration and measures from existing research on NOC performance, notably from Tordo, et al., National Oil Companies and Value Creation (on state ownership levels, project costs and profitability); Nadeja Victor, On Measuring the Performance of National Oil Companies—Program on Energy and Sustainable Development Working Paper 64 (Stanford University Program on Energy and Sustainable Development, 2007) (on NOC employment and efficiency); David Manley, James Cust and Georgia Cecchinato, “Stranded Nations?” The Climate Policy Implications for Fossil-Fuel-Rich Developing Countries—Oxcarre Policy Paper 34 (Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies, 2016) (on NOC utilization of public assets); William L. Megginson and Jeffrey M. Netter, “From State to Market: A Survey of Empirical Studies on Privatization,” Journal of Finance 49 (2001): 403—52 (on financial returns among SOEs); and Wolf, “Does Ownership Matter?” (on various efficiency measurements).
  • 45. 11 Massive and Misunderstood: Data-Driven Insights into National Oil Companies Box 2. NRGI’s National Oil Company Database at a glance, April 2019 Website: www.nationaloilcompanydata.org Companies included: 71 Home countries represented: 61, across all regions of the world Time period covered: 2011–2017 Indicators measured: 135 Individual data points: more than 70,000 Download the results of a data query or the entire dataset. Select indicator from 11 indicator groups. Data filters allow users to sort based on company characteristics. “Explore by indicator” page (www.nationaloilcompanydata.org/indicator). This page provides users with the opportunity to examine specific data points across different NOCs. It is designed to facilitate comparisons among companies and over time. Select based on country or company. Consult source documents, explore the com- pany’s website or examine related data on the Resource Governance Index. “Explore by company” page (www.nationaloilcompanydata.org/indicator). This page allows a user to see all available information for one NOC together in one place.