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Recent Network Trends in Asia and Oceania

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Recent Network Trends in Asia and Oceania, by Cody Williams. A presentation given at APRICOT 2016’s APOPS Plenary II session on 23 February 2016.

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Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Recent Trends in Asia & Oceania Cody Williams
Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Overall Bandwidth Growth in Asia
Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Overall Bandwidth Growth in Oceania
Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Comparing Growth by Region Annual Growth in International Used Bandwidth, 2006-2015
Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com How Asia Bandwidth is Connected Asia Used Bandwidth Connected by Region, 2015
Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com How Oceania is Connected Oceania Used Bandwidth Connected by Region, 2015
Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Examining Growth by Country Compound Annual Growth Rate, Used Bandwidth 2011-2015
Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Continued Rise of Private Networks 32% Used Bandwidth On The Trans-Pacific Route, 2010-2015
Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Locations of Major Data Centers, 2015
Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Locations of Major Data Centers, 2017
Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com The Move To 100 Gbps Wavelengths Potential Capacity, Southern Cross North Leg (Tbps)
Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com But What About The Future? Lit and Potential Trans-Pacific Capacity 2015-2025 Exhaustion in mid-2018 Potential of existing cables 2015
Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Capacity Exhaustion Continued Lit and Potential Trans-Pacific Capacity 2015-2025 Exhaustion in 2021 Potential of existing cables plus FASTER, SEA-US, & NCP
Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Capacity Exhaustion Continued Lit and Potential Trans-Pacific Capacity 2015-2025 Exhaustion in 2023 Potential if all older cables could theoretically accommodate 100 x 100G
Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Capacity Exhaustion Continued Lit and Potential Trans-Pacific Capacity 2015-2025 Exhaustion in mid-2023 Potential with adding 1 new 72 Tbps cable
Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com And A Snapshot Of Spending On Cables, 2015-17
Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Proposed Cables, 2016-2018
Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Prices Still Falling Median Monthly Lease, 10 Gbps Wavelength
Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Prices Vary By Geography Median Lease Price, 10 Gbps wavelength, Q4 2015.
Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com And By Carrier Median & Price Range for 10 Gbps on Los Angeles-Tokyo, 2012-2015
Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Transport Price Differences Narrowing 10 Gbps Wavelength Lease Price Multiples over London-New York
Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Overall Conclusions •  Demand remains strong, 43% growth between 2014 and 2015 for Asia and Oceania. •  Private Network demand continues to grow, 61% on the Trans-Pacific route between 2014 and 2015. •  Price variance narrowing on many routes, with multiples of the London-New York route narrowing. •  We’ll need more cables, increases in optical transmission technology, or likely both to meet future demand.
Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Cody Williams C: 1.571.213.6788 cwilliams@telegeography.com Thank You!

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Recent Network Trends in Asia and Oceania

  • 1. Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Recent Trends in Asia & Oceania Cody Williams
  • 2. Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Overall Bandwidth Growth in Asia
  • 3. Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Overall Bandwidth Growth in Oceania
  • 4. Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Comparing Growth by Region Annual Growth in International Used Bandwidth, 2006-2015
  • 5. Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com How Asia Bandwidth is Connected Asia Used Bandwidth Connected by Region, 2015
  • 6. Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com How Oceania is Connected Oceania Used Bandwidth Connected by Region, 2015
  • 7. Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Examining Growth by Country Compound Annual Growth Rate, Used Bandwidth 2011-2015
  • 8. Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Continued Rise of Private Networks 32% Used Bandwidth On The Trans-Pacific Route, 2010-2015
  • 9. Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Locations of Major Data Centers, 2015
  • 10. Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Locations of Major Data Centers, 2017
  • 11. Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com The Move To 100 Gbps Wavelengths Potential Capacity, Southern Cross North Leg (Tbps)
  • 12. Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com But What About The Future? Lit and Potential Trans-Pacific Capacity 2015-2025 Exhaustion in mid-2018 Potential of existing cables 2015
  • 13. Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Capacity Exhaustion Continued Lit and Potential Trans-Pacific Capacity 2015-2025 Exhaustion in 2021 Potential of existing cables plus FASTER, SEA-US, & NCP
  • 14. Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Capacity Exhaustion Continued Lit and Potential Trans-Pacific Capacity 2015-2025 Exhaustion in 2023 Potential if all older cables could theoretically accommodate 100 x 100G
  • 15. Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Capacity Exhaustion Continued Lit and Potential Trans-Pacific Capacity 2015-2025 Exhaustion in mid-2023 Potential with adding 1 new 72 Tbps cable
  • 16. Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com And A Snapshot Of Spending On Cables, 2015-17
  • 17. Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Proposed Cables, 2016-2018
  • 18. Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Prices Still Falling Median Monthly Lease, 10 Gbps Wavelength
  • 19. Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Prices Vary By Geography Median Lease Price, 10 Gbps wavelength, Q4 2015.
  • 20. Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com And By Carrier Median & Price Range for 10 Gbps on Los Angeles-Tokyo, 2012-2015
  • 21. Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Transport Price Differences Narrowing 10 Gbps Wavelength Lease Price Multiples over London-New York
  • 22. Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Overall Conclusions •  Demand remains strong, 43% growth between 2014 and 2015 for Asia and Oceania. •  Private Network demand continues to grow, 61% on the Trans-Pacific route between 2014 and 2015. •  Price variance narrowing on many routes, with multiples of the London-New York route narrowing. •  We’ll need more cables, increases in optical transmission technology, or likely both to meet future demand.
  • 23. Carlsbad, CA | Washington, DC | Exeter, UK | Singapore | www.telegeography.com | info@telegeography.com Cody Williams C: 1.571.213.6788 cwilliams@telegeography.com Thank You!