1. AUSTRALIA
IN
THE
ASIAN
CENTURY
Gordon
de
Brouwer
27
November
2012
2. AUSTRALIA
IN
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ASIAN
CENTURY
Roadmap
for
the
whole
of
Australia
National
State
Local
Cities
People-‐to-‐
people
Government-‐to-‐
government
Business-‐to-‐
business
Migration
Education
Tourism
Culture
Entertainment
Trade
Investment
Value chains
Research
3. AUSTRALIA
IN
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Broad
consulta<on
themes
• Improving
Australia’s
Asia-‐relevant
capabiliHes
– literacy
is
more
than
language
learning
• People
to
people
links
– need
for
increased
two
way
collaboraHon
and
exchange
• ImplicaHons
of
Asia’s
rise
– strategic
compeHHon
/
economic
interdependence
– economic
trends
–
supply
chains
/
investment
• Australia’s
compeHHveness
4. AUSTRALIA
IN
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Asia’s
economic
rise
Note: The bubble area in Chart 1 reflects the size of GDP for Asia’s economies, adjusted for purchasing power parity in 2011 prices (Maddison 2010, IMF 2012c,
The Conference Board 2012 and Treasury projections). See glossary for definition of Asia and description of projections.
5. AUSTRALIA
IN
THE
ASIAN
CENTURY
Chart
A.1:
Rising
Asian
income
per
person
Percentage
of
income
per
person
in
North
America
and
Europe
Notes: GDP is adjusted for purchasing power parity (1990 prices). See glossary for definitions of North America and Europe.
Sources: Maddison (2010) and The Conference Board (2012).
6. AUSTRALIA
IN
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ASIAN
CENTURY
Figure
2.1:
Asia
to
become
the
centre
of
global
economic
activity
Note: At each point in time, the centre of world economic gravity was calculated by weighting the GDP for each civilisation or country and measuring its relative
importance against the known world economic capacity at that point. The centre of economic gravity slowly shifted from East Asia to Europe, then more quickly to
the Atlantic and in more recent decades it has shifted quickly back towards Asia.
Source: McKinsey & Company (2012).
7. AUSTRALIA
IN
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Figure
2.2:
Growing
consumer
markets
of
Asia
Note: ‘Middle class’ is defined as those households with daily expenditures of between US$10 and US$100 per person. The black border circles and orange
border circles depict the size of the middle-class population in 2009 and 2030 respectively.
Source: Kharas & Gertz (2010).
8. AUSTRALIA
IN
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CENTURY
Chart
1.2:
Asia’s
demographic
dividend
Share
of
working-‐age
population
Source: UN (2011b).
9. AUSTRALIA
IN
THE
ASIAN
CENTURY
Chart
C.1:
Demand
for
food
will
grow
Global
demand
by
commodity
Global
food
demand
Source: Linehan et al. (2012).
10. AUSTRALIA
IN
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ASIAN
CENTURY
Chart
3.9:
Australia’s
agricultural
exports
to
Asia
have
risen
Value
of
Australian
agricultural
exports
(nominal)
Source: ABARES (2011).
11. AUSTRALIA
IN
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ASIAN
CENTURY
Chart
3.7(a):
Australia’s
penetration
into
Asia’s
resource
markets
Imports
of
Australian
iron
ore
Per
cent
of
domestic
consumption
Weight
Source: Bureau of Resources and Energy Economics.
12. AUSTRALIA
IN
THE
ASIAN
CENTURY
Chart
3.7(b):
Australia’s
penetration
into
Asia’s
resource
markets
Imports
of
Australian
coking
coal
Per
cent
of
domestic
consumption
Weight
Source: Bureau of Resources and Energy Economics.
13. AUSTRALIA
IN
THE
ASIAN
CENTURY
Chart
4.7:
Growth
in
international
student
enrolments
in
Australia
Note: VET stands for vocational education and training. ELICOS stands for English language intensive courses for overseas students. ‘Other’ includes non-award
courses and enabling courses.
Source: AEI (2012b).
14. AUSTRALIA
IN
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ASIAN
CENTURY
Figure
9.1:
ScientiKic
links
between
Australia
and
Asian
nations
2002
2010
Sources: Thomson Reuters (2011a) and Scopus.
15. AUSTRALIA
IN
THE
ASIAN
CENTURY
The
Asian
century
is
an
Australian
opportunity.
As
the
global
centre
of
gravity
shi7s
to
our
region,
the
tyranny
of
distance
is
being
replaced
by
the
prospects
of
proximity.
Australia
is
located
in
the
right
place
at
the
right
<me—in
the
Asian
region
in
the
Asian
century.
16. AUSTRALIA
IN
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ASIAN
CENTURY
Scope
of
White
Paper
• Roadmap
for
the
whole
of
Australia
• Comprehensive
review
of
economic
and
strategic
change
to
2025
• DomesHc
economic
and
social
policies
• Australia’s
external
relaHons
17. AUSTRALIA
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Five
na<onal
direc<ons
Productive and resilient economy
Build capability (Asia-literacy)
Business collaboration
Sustainable security
Deeper and broader relationships
18. AUSTRALIA
IN
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ASIAN
CENTURY
Twenty-‐five
na<onal
objec<ves
for
2025
2012
Skills and
education
Innovation
system
Infrastructure
Communication
infrastructure
Tax and
transfers
2
3
4
5
Regulatory
reform
Environmental
sustainability
Macro
and financial
frameworks
School
system
Asia literacy
in schools
7
8
9
10
Asian
languages
Universities
VET
systems
Asia-capable
leaders
Adaptable
regions
11
12
13
14
15
Social
Foundations
Asia-capable
businesses
Economic
integration
with Asia
Agriculture
and food
Sustainable
security
16
17
18
19
20
2025
Human
security
Effective
diplomacy
Comprehensive
relationships
People-to
-people links
Cultural links
21
22
23
24
25
Australia
will
be
a
more
prosperous
and
resilient
naHon,
fully
part
of
the
region
and
open
to
the
world
19. AUSTRALIA
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Metrics
for
success,
by
2025
• Australia’s
GDP
per
person
in
the
world’s
top
10
• World
top
5
for
most
efficiently
regulated
• World
top
10
for
our
innovaHon
system
• 10
Australian
universiHes
in
the
world’s
top
100
• School
system
in
world’s
top
five
• Students
have
conHnuous
access
to
priority
Asian
languages
• Studies
of
Asia
core
part
of
Australian
school
curriculum
20. AUSTRALIA
IN
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ASIAN
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Metrics
for
success,
by
2025
• Australia’s
trade
with
Asia
will
be
at
least
one-‐third
of
GDP
• Our
diplomaHc
network
with
a
larger
footprint
across
Asia
• One-‐third
of
board
members
of
Australia’s
top
companies
and
Commonwealth
bodies
deeply
Asia
literate
• One-‐third
of
senior
APS
leadership
deeply
Asia
literate
21. AUSTRALIA
IN
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ASIAN
CENTURY
Chart
9.1:
DFAT
staff
posted
overseas
Note: As of June 2012. Multilateral refers to staff accredited to international organisations.
Source: Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade.
22. AUSTRALIA
IN
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ASIAN
CENTURY
Chart
9.2:
Diplomatic
posts
in
Asia
Note: Compiled using data as of July 2012 from relevant foreign ministries websites. Asia refers to Bangladesh, Bhutan, Brunei, Cambodia, China, Timor-Leste,
Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Japan, Laos, Malaysia, Maldives, Mongolia, Myanmar, Nepal, Pakistan, the Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Sri Lanka,
Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam.
Source: Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade.
24. AUSTRALIA
IN
THE
ASIAN
CENTURY
Press
headlines
included
• Region's
seal
of
approval
for
our
Asian
Century
• Clinton
applauds
Gillard's
Asian
Century
white
paper
• Asian
Century
overview
‘lacks
detail’
• Li[
the
standard
of
debate
about
China
