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Delaying	
  demen,a	
  
and	
  cogni,ve	
  decline.	
  
Tony	
  Bayer	
  
School	
  of	
  Medicine	
  
Cardiff	
  University	
  
Public	
  a)tudes	
  to	
  demen1a	
  
9%
13% 14%
20%
38%
Diabetes Stroke Heart
disease
Alzheimer's
disease
Cancer
7%
15% 14%
31%
27%
Diabetes Stroke Heart
disease
Alzheimer's
disease
Cancer
A3er	
  cancer,	
  Alzheimer’s	
  disease	
  is	
  the	
  
condi1on	
  people	
  fear	
  the	
  most…	
  
…	
  but	
  a3er	
  age	
  55,	
  Alzheimer’s	
  	
  	
  	
  
disease	
  is	
  the	
  most	
  feared	
  
MetaLife Survey 2010
A	
  global	
  challenge	
  
Demen,a	
  Risk	
  Factors	
  Across	
  the	
  Life	
  Cycle	
  
Developmental	
  and	
  early	
  life	
  risk	
  factors	
  
•  Good	
  infant	
  health	
  (larger	
  skull	
  size)	
  	
  
•  Good	
  early	
  life	
  nutri,on	
  (longer	
  leg	
  length)	
  
•  Higher	
  level	
  of	
  educa1on	
  (and	
  higher	
  
occupa,onal	
  aHainment)	
  	
  
	
  
??	
  May	
  increase	
  ‘cogni/ve	
  reserve’	
  
Metaanalysis	
  for	
  adjusted	
  effect	
  of	
  
educa,on	
  on	
  risk	
  of	
  incident	
  demen,a	
  
(World	
  Alzheimer	
  Report	
  2014)	
  
Psychological	
  factors	
  
•  Early	
  parental	
  death	
  
•  Mid	
  and	
  late	
  life	
  depression	
  	
  
•  Anxiety	
  
•  Psychological	
  distress	
  (neuro,cism,	
  
conscien,ousness)	
  
•  Sleep	
  disturbance	
  (&	
  benzodiazepine	
  drugs)	
  
Meta-­‐analysis	
  for	
  adjusted	
  effect	
  of	
  
depression	
  on	
  risk	
  of	
  incident	
  demen,a	
  
(World	
  Alzheimer	
  Report	
  2014)	
  
Lifestyle	
  factors	
  
•  Smoking	
  
•  Excessive	
  alcohol	
  
•  Lack	
  of	
  physical	
  ac,vity	
  
•  Lack	
  of	
  cogni1ve	
  and	
  social	
  s1mula1on	
  
•  Lack	
  of	
  healthy,	
  balanced	
  diet	
  
•  Significant	
  head	
  injury	
  
Meta-­‐analysis	
  for	
  adjusted	
  effect	
  of	
  ex-­‐
smokers	
  versus	
  never-­‐smokers	
  on	
  risk	
  
of	
  incident	
  demen,a	
  (World	
  Alzheimer	
  
Report	
  2014)	
  
Cardiovascular	
  risk	
  factors	
  
•  Hypertension	
  in	
  mid-­‐life	
  
•  Obesity	
  in	
  mid-­‐life	
  
•  Hyperlipidaemia	
  in	
  mid-­‐life	
  
•  Diabetes	
  mellitus	
  in	
  late-­‐life	
  
Forest	
  plot	
  for	
  associa,on	
  of	
  diabetes	
  
in	
  late	
  life	
  and	
  incident	
  demen,a	
  
(World	
  Alzheimer	
  Report	
  2014)	
  
Recent	
  studies	
  suggest	
  falling	
  
demen1a	
  prevalence	
  	
  	
  
 
Had	
  men	
  in	
  the	
  Caerphilly	
  
Cohort	
  each	
  been	
  urged	
  at	
  
baseline	
  35y	
  ago	
  to	
  adopt	
  one	
  
addi/onal	
  healthy	
  behaviour,	
  
and	
  if	
  only	
  half	
  had	
  complied,	
  
there	
  would	
  have	
  been	
  13%	
  less	
  
demen+a	
  
Opportunity	
  missed?	
  
Midlife	
  risk	
  profile,	
  20	
  year	
  predic1on	
  
Kivipelto	
  et	
  al,	
  Lancet	
  Neurology	
  2006	
  	
  
2%	
  
Finnish	
  	
  Geriatric	
  Interven1on	
  Study	
  to	
  	
  
Prevent	
  Cogni1ve	
  Disability	
  
2-­‐year	
  mul,centre	
  RCT	
  with	
  1260	
  
par,cipants	
  aged	
  60-­‐77	
  years	
  with	
  
Demen,a	
  Risk	
  Score	
  >	
  6	
  	
  
Randomized	
  (1:1)	
  to:	
  
•  	
  mul,domain	
  interven,on	
  group	
  
(nutri,onal	
  guidance,	
  physical	
  
exercise,	
  cogni,ve	
  training	
  and	
  
social	
  ac,vi,es	
  &	
  management	
  of	
  
vascular	
  risk	
  factors)	
  or	
  	
  
•  control	
  group	
  (regular	
  health	
  
advice)	
  
Finnish	
  	
  Geriatric	
  Interven1on	
  Study	
  to	
  	
  
Prevent	
  Cogni1ve	
  Disability	
  
Preliminary	
  results	
  at	
  2	
  years	
  show	
  beneficial	
  effect	
  of	
  
interven,on	
  on:	
  	
  
•  Overall	
  cogni,ve	
  performance	
  (NTB)	
  (p<0.001)	
  
•  Memory	
  (p<0.05)	
  
•  Execu,ve	
  func,on	
  (p<0.05)	
  
•  Psychomotor	
  speed	
  (p<0.05)	
  
Effects	
  more	
  prominent	
  in	
  elderly	
  (>70)	
  and	
  those	
  with	
  
worse	
  cogni,on	
  at	
  baseline	
  
Drop	
  out	
  rate	
  was	
  only	
  11%	
  and	
  par,cipants’	
  experiences	
  
were	
  very	
  posi,ve,	
  despite	
  musculoskeletal	
  pain	
  associated	
  
with	
  exercise	
   Kivipelto	
  	
  AAIC	
  Presenta,on	
  July	
  2014	
  
What’s	
  happening	
  in	
  Wales?	
  
“If	
  we	
  can	
  all	
  enter	
  old	
  age	
  with	
  beBer	
  
developed,	
  healthier	
  brains	
  we	
  are	
  likely	
  to	
  
live	
  longer,	
  happier	
  and	
  more	
  independent	
  
lives	
  with	
  a	
  much	
  reduced	
  chance	
  of	
  
developing	
  demen/a”	
  

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Delay Cognitive Decline Through Lifestyle Changes

  • 1. Delaying  demen,a   and  cogni,ve  decline.   Tony  Bayer   School  of  Medicine   Cardiff  University  
  • 2. Public  a)tudes  to  demen1a   9% 13% 14% 20% 38% Diabetes Stroke Heart disease Alzheimer's disease Cancer 7% 15% 14% 31% 27% Diabetes Stroke Heart disease Alzheimer's disease Cancer A3er  cancer,  Alzheimer’s  disease  is  the   condi1on  people  fear  the  most…   …  but  a3er  age  55,  Alzheimer’s         disease  is  the  most  feared   MetaLife Survey 2010
  • 4. Demen,a  Risk  Factors  Across  the  Life  Cycle  
  • 5. Developmental  and  early  life  risk  factors   •  Good  infant  health  (larger  skull  size)     •  Good  early  life  nutri,on  (longer  leg  length)   •  Higher  level  of  educa1on  (and  higher   occupa,onal  aHainment)       ??  May  increase  ‘cogni/ve  reserve’   Metaanalysis  for  adjusted  effect  of   educa,on  on  risk  of  incident  demen,a   (World  Alzheimer  Report  2014)  
  • 6. Psychological  factors   •  Early  parental  death   •  Mid  and  late  life  depression     •  Anxiety   •  Psychological  distress  (neuro,cism,   conscien,ousness)   •  Sleep  disturbance  (&  benzodiazepine  drugs)   Meta-­‐analysis  for  adjusted  effect  of   depression  on  risk  of  incident  demen,a   (World  Alzheimer  Report  2014)  
  • 7. Lifestyle  factors   •  Smoking   •  Excessive  alcohol   •  Lack  of  physical  ac,vity   •  Lack  of  cogni1ve  and  social  s1mula1on   •  Lack  of  healthy,  balanced  diet   •  Significant  head  injury   Meta-­‐analysis  for  adjusted  effect  of  ex-­‐ smokers  versus  never-­‐smokers  on  risk   of  incident  demen,a  (World  Alzheimer   Report  2014)  
  • 8. Cardiovascular  risk  factors   •  Hypertension  in  mid-­‐life   •  Obesity  in  mid-­‐life   •  Hyperlipidaemia  in  mid-­‐life   •  Diabetes  mellitus  in  late-­‐life   Forest  plot  for  associa,on  of  diabetes   in  late  life  and  incident  demen,a   (World  Alzheimer  Report  2014)  
  • 9. Recent  studies  suggest  falling   demen1a  prevalence      
  • 10.   Had  men  in  the  Caerphilly   Cohort  each  been  urged  at   baseline  35y  ago  to  adopt  one   addi/onal  healthy  behaviour,   and  if  only  half  had  complied,   there  would  have  been  13%  less   demen+a   Opportunity  missed?  
  • 11. Midlife  risk  profile,  20  year  predic1on   Kivipelto  et  al,  Lancet  Neurology  2006     2%  
  • 12. Finnish    Geriatric  Interven1on  Study  to     Prevent  Cogni1ve  Disability   2-­‐year  mul,centre  RCT  with  1260   par,cipants  aged  60-­‐77  years  with   Demen,a  Risk  Score  >  6     Randomized  (1:1)  to:   •   mul,domain  interven,on  group   (nutri,onal  guidance,  physical   exercise,  cogni,ve  training  and   social  ac,vi,es  &  management  of   vascular  risk  factors)  or     •  control  group  (regular  health   advice)  
  • 13. Finnish    Geriatric  Interven1on  Study  to     Prevent  Cogni1ve  Disability   Preliminary  results  at  2  years  show  beneficial  effect  of   interven,on  on:     •  Overall  cogni,ve  performance  (NTB)  (p<0.001)   •  Memory  (p<0.05)   •  Execu,ve  func,on  (p<0.05)   •  Psychomotor  speed  (p<0.05)   Effects  more  prominent  in  elderly  (>70)  and  those  with   worse  cogni,on  at  baseline   Drop  out  rate  was  only  11%  and  par,cipants’  experiences   were  very  posi,ve,  despite  musculoskeletal  pain  associated   with  exercise   Kivipelto    AAIC  Presenta,on  July  2014  
  • 15. “If  we  can  all  enter  old  age  with  beBer   developed,  healthier  brains  we  are  likely  to   live  longer,  happier  and  more  independent   lives  with  a  much  reduced  chance  of   developing  demen/a”