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What would it take for a 25 year old 
to achieve financial freedom by 40?
To build wealth from investing make 
sure to have high exposure to the 
stock market when you are young
A young person who is 
focused on achieving 
financial freedom will need 
to be very disciplined. I 
have a pretty complex 
financial simulation model 
to try to answer this, but 
I will try to keep it simple 
with this post. The person’s 
first step will be to take on 
a very high level of equity 
market risk, this cannot be 
achieved by putting money 
into a bond or the bank. 
My advice is to hold 
110 minus your age 
in a highly diversified 
passive equity fund.
If that choice is not available then consider a 
diversified and as low cost equity fund as the 
investor can get. This would mean that a 25 year 
old should allocate about 85% to equity. Next a 25 
year old would need to determine at what age they 
want to target achieving financial independence. 
Then they need to determine their per month 
income target-there definition of financial 
independence income. After that they must 
estimate long term returns of stocks and bonds, as 
well as their expectation of inflation over that time. 
Finally, they would need to consider the amount of 
savings or investments they already have which 
can be applied to achieving this goal.
A 25 year old should 
allocate about 85% 
to equity
Questions to ask 
What age do you want to achieve financial independence? 
What does financial independence mean to you? 
What are your long-term stock and bond return expectations? 
What do you expect inflation to be over this time? 
Do you already have some savings or investments in place?
It takes very high monthly 
contributions and a long time 
to build wealth in the stock market
So a person who wants to be financially 
independent at 40 years old, should start by 
thinking about the income in today’s dollars that 
they would need to live on. Let’s assume that 
US$5,000 per month would be enough passive 
income. 
Next they need to estimate their long term returns 
in the stock market over their 15 year investment 
horizon, let’s use 8% (maybe 5% from capital 
gains and 3% from dividend yield-but remember 
to reinvest those dividends!). And for bonds they 
expect 4%. We next need an estimate of inflation to 
see what US$5,000 per month would become at the 
end of the period and let’s use 3% for that. 
Finally, do they have any savings now, let’s say no.
We can now combine this info with other assumptions 
that I make in my model of this and we can calculate 
that to achieve this dream the person would need to 
be investing about US$4,300 per month. 
This amount is much larger than many would 
think. Part of it is that the person’s investment 
horizon is short. 
If we extend it to 50 years old it would reduce to 
US$2,500 per month. If the person was lucky and the 
stock market returned 10%, it would require US$1,600 
per month. Of course this is all based on assumptions 
and things can always go differently than planned, 
so an investor may want to exceed their predicted 
contributions, especially in the early years.
Own a diversified equity portfolio, 
invest regularly, don’t try to time 
the market and don’t sell
A 25 year old dreaming about financial independence through investing at 40 is facing a very difficult 
task. When it comes to investing, time is probably the most important factor. This is because over time 
your money compounds by earning interest on the interest you earned in the prior periods. 
The exponential increase from this really starts to take off after about 20 years. 
So a 15 year time horizon does not really allow for this full benefit. To achieve this task you would need to 
get high exposure to the equity market since that is the only place where you can get as high a return as 
was need. Probably most important with regard to this is that you make regular purchases of the equity 
fund or ETF and that you almost NEVER sell, only buy.
www.andrewstotz.com

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How a 25-Year-Old Can Achieve Financial Freedom by Age 40 in 15 Years

  • 1. What would it take for a 25 year old to achieve financial freedom by 40?
  • 2. To build wealth from investing make sure to have high exposure to the stock market when you are young
  • 3. A young person who is focused on achieving financial freedom will need to be very disciplined. I have a pretty complex financial simulation model to try to answer this, but I will try to keep it simple with this post. The person’s first step will be to take on a very high level of equity market risk, this cannot be achieved by putting money into a bond or the bank. My advice is to hold 110 minus your age in a highly diversified passive equity fund.
  • 4. If that choice is not available then consider a diversified and as low cost equity fund as the investor can get. This would mean that a 25 year old should allocate about 85% to equity. Next a 25 year old would need to determine at what age they want to target achieving financial independence. Then they need to determine their per month income target-there definition of financial independence income. After that they must estimate long term returns of stocks and bonds, as well as their expectation of inflation over that time. Finally, they would need to consider the amount of savings or investments they already have which can be applied to achieving this goal.
  • 5. A 25 year old should allocate about 85% to equity
  • 6. Questions to ask What age do you want to achieve financial independence? What does financial independence mean to you? What are your long-term stock and bond return expectations? What do you expect inflation to be over this time? Do you already have some savings or investments in place?
  • 7. It takes very high monthly contributions and a long time to build wealth in the stock market
  • 8. So a person who wants to be financially independent at 40 years old, should start by thinking about the income in today’s dollars that they would need to live on. Let’s assume that US$5,000 per month would be enough passive income. Next they need to estimate their long term returns in the stock market over their 15 year investment horizon, let’s use 8% (maybe 5% from capital gains and 3% from dividend yield-but remember to reinvest those dividends!). And for bonds they expect 4%. We next need an estimate of inflation to see what US$5,000 per month would become at the end of the period and let’s use 3% for that. Finally, do they have any savings now, let’s say no.
  • 9. We can now combine this info with other assumptions that I make in my model of this and we can calculate that to achieve this dream the person would need to be investing about US$4,300 per month. This amount is much larger than many would think. Part of it is that the person’s investment horizon is short. If we extend it to 50 years old it would reduce to US$2,500 per month. If the person was lucky and the stock market returned 10%, it would require US$1,600 per month. Of course this is all based on assumptions and things can always go differently than planned, so an investor may want to exceed their predicted contributions, especially in the early years.
  • 10. Own a diversified equity portfolio, invest regularly, don’t try to time the market and don’t sell
  • 11. A 25 year old dreaming about financial independence through investing at 40 is facing a very difficult task. When it comes to investing, time is probably the most important factor. This is because over time your money compounds by earning interest on the interest you earned in the prior periods. The exponential increase from this really starts to take off after about 20 years. So a 15 year time horizon does not really allow for this full benefit. To achieve this task you would need to get high exposure to the equity market since that is the only place where you can get as high a return as was need. Probably most important with regard to this is that you make regular purchases of the equity fund or ETF and that you almost NEVER sell, only buy.