2. What will the communication technology
landscape look like in 2023 AD?
3. Topics to Discuss
Communication Technologies
Tablets and E-readers
Television and Radio
Cell Phones
Communication Theories
Social Learning Theory
Media System Dependency Theory
Critical Mass Theory
4. Tablets and E-readers
First tablet PC introduced by Microsoft in
2000 (Wikipedia.org)
Did not become popular until the iPad was
introduced in 2010
Tablet market makes up 21% of total
computer sales (Grant & Meadows, p. 173)
First e-reader introduced by Sony in the early
1990s (Grant & Meadows, p. 190)
E-readers, particularly Barnes and Nobles’
Nook and Amazon’s Kindle, have completely
transformed the book publishing industry.
6. Social Learning Theory
This theory involves social cognition and
learned behavior associated with one’s
environment
In an article titled The Touch-Screen
Generation, Hanna Rosin describes
children as young as three-years old who
can navigate the interface of an iPad as
well as any adult (theatlantic.com)
7. Television and Radio
Both communication technologies
dominated the second half of the
twentieth century
Television and radio have
become vital communication
methods in the arena of politics
Before the emergence of the
Internet, television and radio
served as the primary source for
local and world news among the
majority of the population
8. Televisions of the Future
Televisions in 2023 will be
equipped to respond to voice
commands - even in the most
basic models (remember, the
remote control was once a luxury)
High Definition and 3-D
capabilities will be the standard
and not the exception
Network television will be
replaced by online subscription
services (a trend we are currently
witnessing with Hulu and Netflix
gaining prominence in the
market)
9. Media System Dependency Theory
According to Ball-Rokeach & DeFleur, there are six reasons that
people engage in media dependency (Grant & Meadows, p. 31):
1. Social Understanding
2. Self-understanding
3. Action Orientation
4. Interaction Orientation
5. Solitary Play
6. Social Play
The Media System Dependency Theory explains why so
many people claim to be “addicted” to television; because
they feel that by watching it they are gaining “social
understanding” which in turn helps them gain “self-
understanding”
10. Cell Phones
First mobile phone
invented in 1973 by Martin
Cooper; however, its bulk
and lack of a transmitting
network did not entice
investors or consumers
(Grant & Meadows, p. 254)
Smartphones begin
appearing on shelves in
early 2000s, the first
iPhone in 2007 (Grant &
Meadows, p. 255)
11. Cell Phones of the Future
In 2023, cell phones will
capitalize on their “accessory”
status as companies compete
for designs that will allow the
user to “wear” their cell phones,
instead of carry them in their
purse or pocket
Video messaging will replace
text messaging
The digital assistant will become
a standard application on all cell
phones
12. Critical Mass Theory
Grant and Meadows describe critical mass as the
“stage in the diffusion process that an interactive
medium has to reach in order for adoption to take
off” (p. 29).
The Critical Mass Theory is vital to the
sustainability of any communication technology
that requires interaction from another user;
because in order for the technology to serve its
purpose, there must be someone on the receiving
end of the communication.
13. Conclusion
In 2023:
Wireless will still be king
Voice commands and
face-to-face capability
will be standard on all
communication
technologies
Tablets will eventually
replace all print
publications
14. Sources
Grant, A. and Meadows, J. (2012). Communication
Technology Update and Fundamentals. Waltham,
MA: Focal Press
Rosin, Hanna. "The Touch-Screen Generation." The
Atlantic. N.p., 13 Mar. 2013. Web. 29 Apr. 2013.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HistoryofTabletComputers