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Глобализация
Алан Фриман
2,800
3,300
3,800
4,300
4,800
5,300
5,800
6,300
6,800
7,300
1970
1972
1974
1976
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
22,000
24,000
26,000
28,000
30,000
World GDP (Right-hand scale)
World GDP per capita (Left-hand scale)
Millions of $1995
$1995 per capita
GDP per capita $1995 1982 2000 Annual %
growth
Rest of the World $1,457 $1,116 -1.47%
Advanced or advancing
countries $15,383 $26,134 2.99%
$0
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
$25,000
$30,000
$35,000
$40,000 1970
1972
1974
1976
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
Euro Area
North America
South-East Asia
Rest of World
Real GDP per capita, $1995
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
North America
Euro Area
South-East Asia
Rest of World
Share of world GDP, real $1995
0%
100%
200%
300%
400%
500%
600%
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
North America
Euro Area
South-East Asia
Rest of World
Real GDP per capita, 1970=100
GDP per capita $1995 Growth
1980-90
Growth
1990-2000
Southeast Asia 68.4% 19.5%
EuroZone 25.2% -8.4%
North America 24.8% 21.2%
Investment as share of Own GDP, G7+Korea
10%
20%
30%
40%
1957Q1
1958Q1
1959Q1
1960Q1
1961Q1
1962Q1
1963Q1
1964Q1
1965Q1
1966Q1
1967Q1
1968Q1
1969Q1
1970Q1
1971Q1
1972Q1
1973Q1
1974Q1
1975Q1
1976Q1
1977Q1
1978Q1
1979Q1
1980Q1
1981Q1
1982Q1
1983Q1
1984Q1
1985Q1
1986Q1
1987Q1
1988Q1
1989Q1
1990Q1
1991Q1
1992Q1
1993Q1
1994Q1
1995Q1
1996Q1
1997Q1
1998Q1
1999Q1
2000Q1
Europe North America South East Asia
US Investment and savings % of GDP
15%
16%
17%
18%
19%
20%
21%
22%
23%
24%
55Q1
57Q1
59Q1
61Q1
63Q1
65Q1
67Q1
69Q1
71Q1
73Q1
75Q1
77Q1
79Q1
81Q1
83Q1
85Q1
87Q1
89Q1
91Q1
93Q1
95Q1
97Q1
99Q1
Savings %
Investment %
4 per. Mov. Avg. (Savings %)
Source: OECD Quarterly National Accounts CD-ROM
Net lending as share of investment
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
59Q1
60Q1
61Q1
62Q1
63Q1
64Q1
65Q1
66Q1
67Q1
68Q1
69Q1
70Q1
71Q1
72Q1
73Q1
74Q1
75Q1
76Q1
77Q1
78Q1
79Q1
80Q1
81Q1
82Q1
83Q1
84Q1
85Q1
86Q1
87Q1
88Q1
89Q1
90Q1
91Q1
92Q1
93Q1
94Q1
95Q1
96Q1
97Q1
98Q1
99Q1
2000
USA Japan
Emerging Economies
dollar index 1993=100
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
1994
1994
1994
1994
1995
1995
1995
1995
1996
1996
1996
1996
1996
1997
1997
1997
1997
1998
1998
1998
1998
1999
1999
1999
1999
1999
2000
2000
2000
2000
2001
2001
2001
2001
S
ource:IMF IFS
China
Hong Kong
India
Indonesia
Malaysia
Philippines
S
ingapore
S
outh Korea
Taiwan
Thailand
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
Mexico
Venezuela
Turkey
Czech Republic
Hungary
Poland
Value of $100 invested in stock market in 1992

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Goodbye globalization