Stock technical analysis

1. BASIC FUNDAMENTAL

3. Saham
Preferen
Saham
Biasa
JENIS SAHAM
JENIS SAHAM

4. WAKTU PERDAGANGAN
Hari
Senin -Kamis
Jum’at
Sesi I Sesi II
9:30 – 12:00 WIB 13:30 – 16:00 WIB
9:30 – 11:30 WIB 14:00 – 16:00 WIB
* Khusus untuk pasar tunai hanya diperdagangkan pada sesi I
PRA PEMBUKAAN
Waktu Aktivitas
9:10:00 – 9:25:00 WIB
9:25:01 – 09:29.59 WIB
Anggota Bursa memasukkan penawaran jual atau
permintaan beli
JATS melakukan proses pembentukan harga pra-pembukaan
dan alokasi transaksi yang terjadi

5. FRAKSI HARGA
Harga Step Value Maksimum Price Step
< Rp. 200
Rp. 200 - < Rp. 500
Rp. 500 - < Rp. 2.000
Rp. 2.000 - < Rp. 5.000
> Rp. 5.000
Rp. 1
Rp. 5
Rp. 10
Rp. 25
Rp. 50
Rp. 10
Rp. 50
Rp. 100
Rp. 250
Rp. 500

6. 20%
25%
35%
Range Harga
> Rp. 5.000
> Rp. 200 – Rp. 5.000
> Rp. 50 – Rp. 200
AUTO REJECTION
* Untuk saham yang ditawarkan pada pasar perdana memiliki batas auto rejection sebesar 2 x dari range harga yang telah ditetapkan

7. REGULER NEGOSIASI TUNAI
TAWAR MENAWAR SECARA
INDIVIDUAL
PENYELESAIAN TRANSAKSI
BERDASARKAN KEDUA BELAH
PIHAK
ODD LOT <500 LEMBAR
TAWAR MENAWAR SECARA
BERKESINAMBUNGAN
PENYELESAIN TRANSAKSI T+3
DALAM SATUAN LOT = 100
LEMBAR
MELALUI JATS SECARA REMOTE
TRADING
ANGGOTA BURSA GAGAL
MEMENUHI KEWAJIBAN T+3
SUMBER : BEI

8. PSIKOLOGI MARKET
• How the Market work
• Apakah ‘Price’ ?
• Apakah ‘Market’ ?

9. HOW THE MARKET WORKS
ABCD
BID Harga OFFER
2075 185
2050 200
1003 2025
585 2000
320 1975
Beli saham ABCD:
• Rp 2025, 23 lot
• Rp 2000, 585 lot
• Rp 2025, 980 lot
• Rp 1975,
320 lot
Jual saham
ABCD:
• Rp 2050,
200 lot
• Rp 2075,
185 lot
Jika Jual saham ABCD di Rp 2025 sebanyak
3 lot,
maka Bid tinggal 1000 lot.
 Time and Price Priority

10. HOW THE EXCHANGE WORKS

11. PRICE AND MARKET
BID Harga OFFER
2075 185
2050 200
1003 2025
585 2000
320 1975
BUYERS
SELLERS
ABCD
Buyers dan Sellers selalu dalam keadaan
konfrontasi. Buyers ingin murah, sellers
ingin mahal. Sesekali ada kompromi, saat
buyers/sellers mengalah.
Motivasi ?
Motivasi?
Fakta!

12. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Basic

13. Technical Analysis:
1. Market discount everything
2. Price moves by trend
3. History repeat itself
Market Phase:
1. Accumulation
2. Public participation
3. Distribution

14. Jenis Chart
Line chart
Bar Chart
Candlestick

15. Basic Term
Uptrend
Downtrend
Sideways
HH
HL
LH
LL
Trend Line
Trend Line
Trend Line

16. Trading Horizon:
1. Short term (<1 month)
2. Medium (1-12 mts)
3. Long term (> 1year)
Chart Analysis:
1. Minutes chart (1m, 5m, 1hr)
2. Daily chart
3. Weekly chart
4. Monthly chart

17. More about Trend
Minor trend Secondary trend
Major trend
Pull-back
Trend Line
Resistance
Support
Resistance
Support
Break-out

18. Whipsaws (2nd Day Rule)
False breakout
(cut loss - tolerance)
Resistance
1500 - Support

19. Revising Trendline

20. Channel Line Channel Line
HH
HL
Trend Line
SELL
BUY
Normal margin
Short-sell margin
LH
LL
Trend Line
Channel Line
BUY
SELL
Short-sell margin
Normal margin

21. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Classic Theory

22. FAN PRINCIPLE

23. DOW THEORY
HH
HL
LL1
LL2
LH1
LH2
SELL
Support
HH
HL
Lower High tdk terbentuk
LL1
LL2
X -SELL
Support

24. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Key Components

25. GAPS
1. Common Gap
2. Break-away Gap
3. Run-away Gap
4. Exhaustion Gap

26. GAPS
1. Common Gap
2. Break-away Gap
Gap-Up
Gap-Down

27. GAPS
1. Run-away Gap
2. Exhaustion Gap

28. VOLUME
CHART TIME
COMPONENT

30. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Chart Pattern
- Reversal Pattern
- Continuation Pattern

31. Reversal Patterns
- Head & Shoulder
- Inverted head & shoulder
- Triple tops/bottoms
- double tops/bottoms
- Horn top/bottom
Continuation
Patterns
- Triangle
- Flag
- Pennant
- Wedge
- Rectangle
- Cup & handle

32. Reversal Patterns
- Head & Shoulder
- Inverted head & shoulder
 Timeline 1-6 bln
 Reverse correlation thd volume

33. Reversal Patterns
- Head & Shoulder
- Inverted head & shoulder

34. The hound of Bakersville !!

35. Reversal Patterns
- Triple Tops/Bottoms

36. Reversal Patterns
- Double Tops/Bottoms

37. Reversal Patterns
- Double Tops/Bottoms

38. Reversal Patterns
- HornTops/Bottoms
 Similar to double tops/bottom, only in shorter time duration (1-3 weeks)
 Mgkn disertai gaps  island reversal

39. Continuation Patterns
- Triangle (Months)

40. Continuation Patterns
- Triangle
 Volume biasanya turun pada saat pembentukan triangle
 Breakout diikuti penguatan volume
 Volume yg terus meningkat bisa menjadi indikasi reversal

41. Continuation Patterns
- Pennants (Weeks)

42. Continuation Patterns
- Pennants (Weeks)
 Volume biasanya turun pada saat pembentukan pennant
 Breakout diikuti penguatan volume
 Volume yg terus meningkat bisa menjadi indikasi reversal

43. Continuation Patterns
- Flag (Weeks)

44. Continuation Patterns
- Flag (Weeks)
 Aturan sama dgn pennant

45. Continuation Patterns
- Wedge (3-6 months)

46. Continuation Patterns
- Wedge (2-6 months)
 Ada kalanya wedge menjadi reversal pattern

47. Continuation Patterns
- Rectangle (Months)
 Fase konsolidasi
 Tdk ada petunjuk spesifik tentang volume
 Tunggu konfirmasi breakout

48. Continuation Patterns
- Rectangle (Months)

49. Continuation Patterns
- Cup & Handle (Months)

50. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Candle Stick

51. Candle Stick
- Doji & Marubozu
Marubozu

52. Candle Stick
1 Candle
- Bullish reversal
- Bearish reversal
2 Candle
- Bullish reversal
- Bearish reversal
3 Candle
- Bullish reversal
- Bearish reversal

53. 1 Candle
- Bullish reversal
1 Candle
- Bearish reversal
dragonfly hammer
Bullish belt hold
Grave stone Shooting star Bearish belt hold

54. 2 Candle
- Bullish reversal
Bullish pregnant Bullish pregnant
cross
Bullish homing
pigeon
Matching low
Bullish engulfing
Piercing line Tweezer bottom

55. 2 Candle
- Bearish reversal
Bearish pregnant Bearish pregnant
cross
Bearish homing
pigeon
Matching high
Bearish engulfing
Dark cloud cover Tweezer top