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A geodemographic analysis of the ethnicity and
identity of Twitter users in Greater London

Muhammad Adnan, Guy Lansley, Paul Longley
Department of Geography, University College London

Web: http://www.uncertaintyofidentity.com
Introduction
• Use of Social media services has increased
   • But how representative social media data sets are of the
     Census or Electoral roll data ?


• This paper provides an Ethnicity, Age, and Gender analysis
  of Twitter users
   • A comparison is provided with the 2011 Census data


• Could have potential applications in cyber maketing and
  cyber security
Twitter (www.twitter.com)

• Online social-networking and micro blogging service
   • Launched in 2006


• Users can send messages of 140 characters or less

• Approximately 200 million active users

• 350 million tweets daily

• In 2012, UK and London were ranked 4th and 3rd,
  respectively, in terms of the number of posted tweets
Data available through the Twitter API

•   User Creation Date         •   Geo Enabled
•   Followers                  •   Latitude
•   Friends                    •   Longitude
•   User ID                    •   Tweet date and time
•   Language                   •   Tweet text
•   Location
•   Name
•   Screen Name
•   Time Zone

Users can download 1% sample of the live tweets through the API
4 million geo-tagged tweets downloaded during August and
  December, 2012
4 million geo-tagged tweets downloaded during August and
  December, 2012
Predicting Ethnicity of Twitter Users by
using their ‘Names’
Analysing Names on Twitter

• Some examples of NAME variations on Twitter

       Real Names                 Fake Names

Kevin Hodge                 Castor 5.
Andre Alves                 WHAT IS LOVE?
Jose de Franco              MysticMind
Carolina Thomas, Dr.        KIRILL_aka_KID
Prof. Martha Del Val        Vanessa
Fabíola Sanchez Fernandes   Petuna
Classifying Twitter Data to ethnic origins
• Applied ONOMAP (www.onomap.org) on FORENAME +
  SURNAME pairs

                             Kevin Hodge (ENGLISH)
                             Andre de Franco (ITALIAN)
                             …
                             …
                             …
                             …
Tweeting Activity by different Ethnic Groups
Segregation in different ethnic groups of Twitter
Users
• We used Information Theory Index (Thiel’s H) to compare
  segregation between different Twitter ethnic groups




   Where (for each Twitter ethnic group)
          E = Greater London’s Entropy
          Ei = Entropy of each output area in Greater London
          T = Population of London
          ti = Population of each output area in Greater London

• 0= No Segregation ; 1=Maximum Segregation
Segregation in different ethnic groups of Twitter
Users
0= No Segregation ; 1=Maximum Segregation

   Ethnic Groups     Domestic      Week Days   Week Nights   Weekend
                   buildings and
                     gardens
 British               0.483         0.211        0.401        0.315
 Irish                  0.67         0.357        0.571        0.475
 White Other            0.63         0.303         0.51        0.42
 Pakistani             0.765         0.488        0.679        0.633
 Indian                0.748         0.451        0.673        0.59
 Bangladeshi           0.864         0.671        0.834        0.784

 Black Caribbean       0.831         0.548        0.808        0.666
 Black African         0.764         0.492        0.704        0.64
 Chinese               0.712         0.403        0.608        0.524
 Other                  0.71         0.374        0.593        0.497
Comparison of Ethnic Groups between ‘2011
Census’ and ‘Twitter’
• Onomap groups were aggregated to match the appropriate
  groups from the Census


                       White     White                                      Black
 London     Total
                       British   other
                                         Indian   Pakistani   Bangladeshi
                                                                            African
                                                                                    Chinese

 Week
               53611   71.35% 12.12%     2.63%     2.63%        1.82%       1.52%    1.74%
 Night
 Week Day      80676   73.12% 11.80%     2.41%     2.41%        1.56%       1.25%    1.61%

 Weekend       67351   72.86% 12.17%     2.61%     2.61%        1.67%       1.39%    1.73%


 2011 Census           44.89% 12.65%     6.64%     2.74%        2.72%       7.02%    1.52%
Comparison of the distribution of ethnicity with the
2011 Census
                White British (Quintiles)




     2011 Census                     Twitter
Gender and Age Analysis of Twitter Users
Gender Analysis of Twitter Users

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

 0%
        Male             Female           Unisex           Not Found
               Number of Tweets   Number of Unique Users
Monica: Age estimation from given names
• Original data provided by CACI, consisting of a total of
  12,000 names from a sample of almost 7 million
  individuals

• However, this sample did not account for people under the
  age of 18

• Birth certificate data from 1994 to 2011 was used to
  supplement the dataset (total of 9.7 million names)

• Data was then standardised by the age structure from the
  2011 Census
Monica: Age estimation from given names
          45%
          40%
          35%
          30%
Percent




          25%
          20%
          15%
          10%
          5%
          0%



                               Age group
                PAUL   BETTY    GUY        MUHAMMAD
Age-Sex structure of Twitter Users and 2011 Census




              Male             Female
Generalised Land Use Database

                                   GLUD                    Tweets per
                                              Tweets (%)
                                  category                    km2

                                Open Water      1.11        402.71

                                Domestic
                                                12.93       1748.52
                                Buildings

                                Non-
                                Domestic        14.14       3468.55
                                Buildings

                                Road            29.36       2681.84
                                Path            0.84        1204.20
                                Rail            2.17        1962.57

                                Green Space     10.91       303.62

                                Domestic
                                                17.69       867.89
                                Gardens

                                Other           10.86       1637.06
Hourly Twitter Activity by Land Use
                        40.0%


                        35.0%


                        30.0%
 Percentage of Tweets




                        25.0%


                        20.0%


                        15.0%


                        10.0%


                        5.0%


                        0.0%



                                                         Time
                                Non-Domestic Buildings      Transport   Residential
Conclusion

• An insight into the ethnic, gender, and age distribution of the
  Twitter users

• A first attempt to compare any social media data set with the
  census of population

• Future work will involve the investigation of micro-level
  activity patterns of twitter users during different times of the
  day

• We also envisage to extend this analysis to other social
  media services i.e. FourSquare, Facebook etc.

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A Geodemographic Analysis of Ethnicity and Identity of Twitter Users in Greater London

  • 1. A geodemographic analysis of the ethnicity and identity of Twitter users in Greater London Muhammad Adnan, Guy Lansley, Paul Longley Department of Geography, University College London Web: http://www.uncertaintyofidentity.com
  • 2. Introduction • Use of Social media services has increased • But how representative social media data sets are of the Census or Electoral roll data ? • This paper provides an Ethnicity, Age, and Gender analysis of Twitter users • A comparison is provided with the 2011 Census data • Could have potential applications in cyber maketing and cyber security
  • 3. Twitter (www.twitter.com) • Online social-networking and micro blogging service • Launched in 2006 • Users can send messages of 140 characters or less • Approximately 200 million active users • 350 million tweets daily • In 2012, UK and London were ranked 4th and 3rd, respectively, in terms of the number of posted tweets
  • 4. Data available through the Twitter API • User Creation Date • Geo Enabled • Followers • Latitude • Friends • Longitude • User ID • Tweet date and time • Language • Tweet text • Location • Name • Screen Name • Time Zone Users can download 1% sample of the live tweets through the API
  • 5. 4 million geo-tagged tweets downloaded during August and December, 2012
  • 6. 4 million geo-tagged tweets downloaded during August and December, 2012
  • 7. Predicting Ethnicity of Twitter Users by using their ‘Names’
  • 8. Analysing Names on Twitter • Some examples of NAME variations on Twitter Real Names Fake Names Kevin Hodge Castor 5. Andre Alves WHAT IS LOVE? Jose de Franco MysticMind Carolina Thomas, Dr. KIRILL_aka_KID Prof. Martha Del Val Vanessa Fabíola Sanchez Fernandes Petuna
  • 9. Classifying Twitter Data to ethnic origins • Applied ONOMAP (www.onomap.org) on FORENAME + SURNAME pairs Kevin Hodge (ENGLISH) Andre de Franco (ITALIAN) … … … …
  • 10. Tweeting Activity by different Ethnic Groups
  • 11. Segregation in different ethnic groups of Twitter Users • We used Information Theory Index (Thiel’s H) to compare segregation between different Twitter ethnic groups Where (for each Twitter ethnic group) E = Greater London’s Entropy Ei = Entropy of each output area in Greater London T = Population of London ti = Population of each output area in Greater London • 0= No Segregation ; 1=Maximum Segregation
  • 12. Segregation in different ethnic groups of Twitter Users 0= No Segregation ; 1=Maximum Segregation Ethnic Groups Domestic Week Days Week Nights Weekend buildings and gardens British 0.483 0.211 0.401 0.315 Irish 0.67 0.357 0.571 0.475 White Other 0.63 0.303 0.51 0.42 Pakistani 0.765 0.488 0.679 0.633 Indian 0.748 0.451 0.673 0.59 Bangladeshi 0.864 0.671 0.834 0.784 Black Caribbean 0.831 0.548 0.808 0.666 Black African 0.764 0.492 0.704 0.64 Chinese 0.712 0.403 0.608 0.524 Other 0.71 0.374 0.593 0.497
  • 13. Comparison of Ethnic Groups between ‘2011 Census’ and ‘Twitter’ • Onomap groups were aggregated to match the appropriate groups from the Census White White Black London Total British other Indian Pakistani Bangladeshi African Chinese Week 53611 71.35% 12.12% 2.63% 2.63% 1.82% 1.52% 1.74% Night Week Day 80676 73.12% 11.80% 2.41% 2.41% 1.56% 1.25% 1.61% Weekend 67351 72.86% 12.17% 2.61% 2.61% 1.67% 1.39% 1.73% 2011 Census 44.89% 12.65% 6.64% 2.74% 2.72% 7.02% 1.52%
  • 14. Comparison of the distribution of ethnicity with the 2011 Census White British (Quintiles) 2011 Census Twitter
  • 15. Gender and Age Analysis of Twitter Users
  • 16. Gender Analysis of Twitter Users 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Male Female Unisex Not Found Number of Tweets Number of Unique Users
  • 17. Monica: Age estimation from given names • Original data provided by CACI, consisting of a total of 12,000 names from a sample of almost 7 million individuals • However, this sample did not account for people under the age of 18 • Birth certificate data from 1994 to 2011 was used to supplement the dataset (total of 9.7 million names) • Data was then standardised by the age structure from the 2011 Census
  • 18. Monica: Age estimation from given names 45% 40% 35% 30% Percent 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Age group PAUL BETTY GUY MUHAMMAD
  • 19. Age-Sex structure of Twitter Users and 2011 Census Male Female
  • 20. Generalised Land Use Database GLUD Tweets per Tweets (%) category km2 Open Water 1.11 402.71 Domestic 12.93 1748.52 Buildings Non- Domestic 14.14 3468.55 Buildings Road 29.36 2681.84 Path 0.84 1204.20 Rail 2.17 1962.57 Green Space 10.91 303.62 Domestic 17.69 867.89 Gardens Other 10.86 1637.06
  • 21. Hourly Twitter Activity by Land Use 40.0% 35.0% 30.0% Percentage of Tweets 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% Time Non-Domestic Buildings Transport Residential
  • 22. Conclusion • An insight into the ethnic, gender, and age distribution of the Twitter users • A first attempt to compare any social media data set with the census of population • Future work will involve the investigation of micro-level activity patterns of twitter users during different times of the day • We also envisage to extend this analysis to other social media services i.e. FourSquare, Facebook etc.