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Latest Economic
Statistics
May 28, 2014
IT-VET, Belize City
Outline
• Consumer Price Index for April 2014
• External Trade Statistics at end of April
2014
• GDP growth in first quarter of 2014
• Questions and Comments
APRIL 2014 CPI
April 2014 Inflation Rate
• Consumer prices continue to trend upwards
but at a slightly slower rate than at the start of
year.
• Between April last year and April this year
they increased by an average of 1.3 percent.
• Average rate of inflation for first four months
of 2014 is 1.6 percent.
April 2014 Inflation Rate cont’d
• Increase mainly fueled by higher food,
transportation and housing, water, electricity,
and gas prices.
• In April 2014, the rate of inflation rate stood at
2.0 percent in both US and Canada and 3.5
percent in Mexico.
EXTERNAL TRADE
STATISTICS
JANUARY - APRIL 2014
IMPORTS
• Imports increased 3.8 percent to $602 million
between January and April 2014.
• Increased spending on all major categories of
goods except free zone purchases, which has
fallen by $18 million.
• In absolute terms, largest increase was in
purchases from Mexico and Central America
DOMESTIC EXPORTS
• Earnings down $44 million or 17.9% in first
four months of year ($205mn vs. $249mn)
• Sugar and crude petroleum combine for $34
of total decrease
• Decreased sales of all major exports except
marine products.
• Receipts from minor exports remained at $32
million.
GDP GROWTH IN Q1-2014
Belize’s
economy slips
0.4 percent in
first quarter of
2014.
• Belize’s economy has not declined in the past
19 years
• During that period, only once before (2009)
was there been a decline in the first quarter;
growth was 0.6 percent in that year.
Sector
Q1-2014
Growth
Comments
20.6%
• Except for Q3-2013, Fishing has
performed well since mid 2012.
• Shrimp farming responsible for growth
49.8%
• Sharp decline in electricity generation
in first half of last year
• Recovery in Q1-2014
13.1%
• Double-digit growth in both cruise and
overnight visitors
6.7%
• Boosted by public sector construction
•Most consecutive quarterly increases
(11)
Sector
Q1-2014
Growth Comments
-9.8%
• Declines in sugarcane, citrus and bananas
• Fifth consecutive decline
• Fall in Q1-2013 was almost twice as large
-23.1%
• Oil production has been declining steadily
• Production at lowest level ever
• Export earnings down $18 million at end of
April 2014
17.0%
• Consistent with crop production, sugar and
citrus processing were weaker in quarter.
•Beer production up almost 7% while soft
drink and flour production remained fixed
-2.7%
• First quarterly decline since Q1-2012
• Very strong increase in Q1-2013
Agriculture
Oil
Manufacturing
Wholesale & Retail Trade
THANK YOU!
QUESTIONS
OR
COMMENTS

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How the Belize Economy did in First Quarter, 2014

  • 1. Latest Economic Statistics May 28, 2014 IT-VET, Belize City
  • 2. Outline • Consumer Price Index for April 2014 • External Trade Statistics at end of April 2014 • GDP growth in first quarter of 2014 • Questions and Comments
  • 4. April 2014 Inflation Rate • Consumer prices continue to trend upwards but at a slightly slower rate than at the start of year. • Between April last year and April this year they increased by an average of 1.3 percent. • Average rate of inflation for first four months of 2014 is 1.6 percent.
  • 5. April 2014 Inflation Rate cont’d • Increase mainly fueled by higher food, transportation and housing, water, electricity, and gas prices. • In April 2014, the rate of inflation rate stood at 2.0 percent in both US and Canada and 3.5 percent in Mexico.
  • 7. IMPORTS • Imports increased 3.8 percent to $602 million between January and April 2014. • Increased spending on all major categories of goods except free zone purchases, which has fallen by $18 million. • In absolute terms, largest increase was in purchases from Mexico and Central America
  • 8. DOMESTIC EXPORTS • Earnings down $44 million or 17.9% in first four months of year ($205mn vs. $249mn) • Sugar and crude petroleum combine for $34 of total decrease • Decreased sales of all major exports except marine products. • Receipts from minor exports remained at $32 million.
  • 9. GDP GROWTH IN Q1-2014
  • 10. Belize’s economy slips 0.4 percent in first quarter of 2014.
  • 11. • Belize’s economy has not declined in the past 19 years • During that period, only once before (2009) was there been a decline in the first quarter; growth was 0.6 percent in that year.
  • 12. Sector Q1-2014 Growth Comments 20.6% • Except for Q3-2013, Fishing has performed well since mid 2012. • Shrimp farming responsible for growth 49.8% • Sharp decline in electricity generation in first half of last year • Recovery in Q1-2014 13.1% • Double-digit growth in both cruise and overnight visitors 6.7% • Boosted by public sector construction •Most consecutive quarterly increases (11)
  • 13. Sector Q1-2014 Growth Comments -9.8% • Declines in sugarcane, citrus and bananas • Fifth consecutive decline • Fall in Q1-2013 was almost twice as large -23.1% • Oil production has been declining steadily • Production at lowest level ever • Export earnings down $18 million at end of April 2014 17.0% • Consistent with crop production, sugar and citrus processing were weaker in quarter. •Beer production up almost 7% while soft drink and flour production remained fixed -2.7% • First quarterly decline since Q1-2012 • Very strong increase in Q1-2013 Agriculture Oil Manufacturing Wholesale & Retail Trade
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