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Assignment:
InvestmentAnalysis & portfolio management
Submitted To:
Mr. Abrar Hussain
Submitted By:
Ayesha Bibi (12007)
Tahira Ayub (BB12015)
Fazeela Mushtaq (BB12020)
Farwa Yousaf (BB12027)
Zubaida Abaiadullah (BB12061)
University of Punjab, Gujranwala Campus
Gujranwala
Table of Contents
Introduction.......................................................................................................................................3
Minimum Variance Portfolio ...............................................................................................................5
Beta of the Portfolio: ..........................................................................................................................6
Combination of Risky and Riskless portfolio .........................................................................................7
Ratios................................................................................................................................................8
Sharp Ratio=...................................................................................................................................8
CV=................................................................................................................................................8
Treynors Measure=.........................................................................................................................8
JenksonAlpha=...............................................................................................................................8
Appraisal Ratio=..............................................................................................................................8
Introduction
We are risk averse investors. We seek professional answers to our financial problems. We seek
answers from our advisors, including tax and wealth strategists, stockbrokers, bankers, and real
estate brokers. When seek the proper market knowledge that helps us to invest our money in
good company or in buying of shares of financially stable companies. We want a guarantee of
our money before investing in any company. We prefer to invest in those companies that provide
high return and low risk. We prefer to invest in those companies that provide normal return with
low risk, as compared to those companies that provide high return and high risk.
First of all we search the KSE website to thoroughly to understands the pattern of prices of
different shares of of companies. Then we observe the sectors of KSE.We choose top 17 sectors
of KSE i.e AUTOMOBILE ASSEMBLER, AUTOMOBILE PARTS & ACCESSORIES,
CABLE & ELECTRICAL GOODS, CEMENT, CHEMICAL, CLOSE - END MUTUAL FUND,
COMMERCIAL BANKS, ENGINEERING, FERTILIZER, FOOD & PERSONAL CARE
PRODUCTS, GLASS & CERAMICS, INSURANCE, INV. BANKS / INV. COS. /
SECURITIES COS, JUTE etc.We choose almost 30 companies for making portfolio of
minimum variance, maximum variance portfolio , risk free, and risky asset combined portfolio.
The name of companies we choose from these sectors are Millat Tractors Limited, Thal
Limited, Pak Elektron Limited, Cherat Cement Company Limited, Fauji Cement
Company Limited, Indus Motor Company Limited, Kohat Cement Limited, Lucky Cement
Limited, I.C.I. Pakistan Limited, Pakistan State Oil Company Limited, Shell Pakistan
Limited, Packages Limited,colgate,Bata Pakistan Ltd,Noon Pakistan Ltd,Bank of
Punjab,KE Ltd, Jahangir Siddiqui Company Limited,Fauji fertilizer, Pakistan Tobacco
Company Limited,Honda altas cars, Hub power company Ltd,Oil and gas development
company Ltd, National Bank of Pakistan,
We take the daily data of these companies for 5 years from 2010-2014.And by analysis of this
data we select 28 companies on the basis of their returns.The companies that we select are Millat
Tractors Limited, Thal Limited, Pak Elektron Limited, Cherat Cement Company Limited, Fauji
Cement Company Limited, Indus Motor Company Limited, Kohat Cement Limited, Lucky
Cement Limited, I.C.I. Pakistan Limited, Pakistan State Oil Company Limited, , Packages
Limited, colgate, Bata Pakistan Ltd, Noon Pakistan Ltd, Bank of Punjab, KE Ltd, Jahangir
Siddiqui Company Limited , Pakistan Tobacco Company Limited, Honda altas cars,Hub power
company .
We compute Arithmetic mean, Geometric mean, variances, standard deviation and covariance’s
of that companies data. Our benchmark rate is KSE 100.
Minimum Variance Portfolio
We select 20 best companies out of 30 with maximum returns and minimum variance.
We shuffle all these companies with different weights and see their different pattern of
variance, return and standard deviation. All the companies give maximum return and
minimum variance.
Return of the Portfolio:
0.00114472
Variance of the portfolio:
0.48
Standard deviation:
0.69
weights R V STD
INDU 0.05 0.0008316 0.0011766 0.0343015
ICI 0.09 0.0014555 0.5786014 0.7606585
LUCK 0.02 0.0001375 0.0017225 0.0415036
PSO 0.07 0.0012051 0.0003312 0.0181979
PKGS 0.06 0.0008907 0.000627 0.0250395
THALL 0.03 0.0003949 0.0006781 0.0260394
MTL 0.02 0.0001147 0.0003366 0.0183459
FFC 0.06 0.0009848 0.0002783 0.0166824
HCAR 0.07 0.0017815 0.0023842 0.0488281
SCBPL 0.04 0.0007629 0.0018808 0.0433678
OGDC 0.03 0.000464 0.000207 0.0143864
HUBC 0.04 0.000684 0.0004726 0.0217398
BOP 0.02 0.0001022 0.0010552 0.0324832
KEL 0.05 0.0009304 0.0015591 0.039485
JSCL 0.04 0.0006005 0.0025671 0.0506663
KOHC 0.11 0.0024933 0.0009994 0.0316135
PAKT 0.08 0.0017304 0.0020114 0.0448482
NOPK 0.03 0.000127 0.0015948 0.0399353
BATA 0.05 0.0009795 0.0011668 0.0341586
PAEL 0.04 0.0005949 0.001521 0.0390003
Beta of the Portfolio:
Beta of portfolio=0.122097
COM Beta weights
INDU -0.02983 0.01
ICI -0.08145 0.01
LUCK 0.56611 0.12
PSO 0.158031 0.1
PKGS -0.02321 0.02
THALL 0.046381 0.04
MTL -0.04267 0.03
FFC 0.020116 0.05
HCAR 0.023881 0.03
SCBPL 0.010499 0.04
OGDC -0.01308 0.01
HUBC -0.0262 0.01
BOP 0.101798 0.1
KEL -0.1087 0.01
JSCL 0.19613 0.05
KOHC 0.025345 0.08
PAKT 0.076852 0.13
NOPK 0.051884 0.1
BATA -0.10193 0.02
PAEL 0.088639 0.04
1
Combination of Risky and Riskless portfolio
We make a combination portfolio of risky and riskless assets. Riskless assets are given as T-
Bills issued by the government of Pakistan. 85% was invested in risky asset and 15% was
invested in riskless assets. The maximum return 0.0178 is given by the combination of the
portfolio. Variance is 0.0063 and SD is 7.96%
weights R V STD
INDU 0.04 0.000832 0.001177 0.034301
ICI 0.08 0.001455 0.578601 0.760659
LUCK 0.02 0.000138 0.001723 0.041504
PSO 0.06 0.001205 0.000331 0.018198
PKGS 0.07 0.000891 0.000627 0.025039
THALL 0.03 0.000395 0.000678 0.026039
MTL 0.02 0.000115 0.000337 0.018346
FFC 0.05 0.000985 0.000278 0.016682
HCAR 0.08 0.001782 0.002384 0.048828
SCBPL 0.02 0.000763 0.001881 0.043368
OGDC 0.01 0.000464 0.000207 0.014386
HUBC 0.02 0.000684 0.000473 0.02174
BOP 0.02 0.000102 0.001055 0.032483
KEL 0.02 0.00093 0.001559 0.039485
JSCL 0.03 0.0006 0.002567 0.050666
KOHC 0.13 0.002493 0.000999 0.031614
PAKT 0.07 0.00173 0.002011 0.044848
NOPK 0.03 0.000127 0.001595 0.039935
BATA 0.03 0.00098 0.001167 0.034159
PAEL 0.02 0.000595 0.001521 0.039
t-bills 0.15 0.111721 0.000262 0.016177
Risky and riskless portfolio
Return of Portfolio variance of portfolio Standard Deviation
0.0178 0.0063 7.96%
Ratios
Sharp Ratio= 0.0094-0.00178/0.003848
1.98
Thisratio showsthe selectedcompaniesare givingexcessreturnatperunitof risk.
CV= 0.003848/0.0008633
4.45 per unit
It shows4.45 at per unitof risk.
Treynors Measure=
0.0094-0.000178/0.12209
0.062
It showsexcessreturnof 0.062 per unitof systematicrisk.
Jenkson
Alpha= 0.0078
It showsthe overreturncalculatedbyCAPM.
Appraisal Ratio= 0.068
It shows the unsystematic risk which can be controlled by the Company.
Project on KSE 25 companies

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Project on KSE 25 companies

  • 1. Assignment: InvestmentAnalysis & portfolio management Submitted To: Mr. Abrar Hussain Submitted By: Ayesha Bibi (12007) Tahira Ayub (BB12015) Fazeela Mushtaq (BB12020) Farwa Yousaf (BB12027) Zubaida Abaiadullah (BB12061) University of Punjab, Gujranwala Campus Gujranwala
  • 2. Table of Contents Introduction.......................................................................................................................................3 Minimum Variance Portfolio ...............................................................................................................5 Beta of the Portfolio: ..........................................................................................................................6 Combination of Risky and Riskless portfolio .........................................................................................7 Ratios................................................................................................................................................8 Sharp Ratio=...................................................................................................................................8 CV=................................................................................................................................................8 Treynors Measure=.........................................................................................................................8 JenksonAlpha=...............................................................................................................................8 Appraisal Ratio=..............................................................................................................................8
  • 3. Introduction We are risk averse investors. We seek professional answers to our financial problems. We seek answers from our advisors, including tax and wealth strategists, stockbrokers, bankers, and real estate brokers. When seek the proper market knowledge that helps us to invest our money in good company or in buying of shares of financially stable companies. We want a guarantee of our money before investing in any company. We prefer to invest in those companies that provide high return and low risk. We prefer to invest in those companies that provide normal return with low risk, as compared to those companies that provide high return and high risk. First of all we search the KSE website to thoroughly to understands the pattern of prices of different shares of of companies. Then we observe the sectors of KSE.We choose top 17 sectors of KSE i.e AUTOMOBILE ASSEMBLER, AUTOMOBILE PARTS & ACCESSORIES, CABLE & ELECTRICAL GOODS, CEMENT, CHEMICAL, CLOSE - END MUTUAL FUND, COMMERCIAL BANKS, ENGINEERING, FERTILIZER, FOOD & PERSONAL CARE PRODUCTS, GLASS & CERAMICS, INSURANCE, INV. BANKS / INV. COS. / SECURITIES COS, JUTE etc.We choose almost 30 companies for making portfolio of minimum variance, maximum variance portfolio , risk free, and risky asset combined portfolio. The name of companies we choose from these sectors are Millat Tractors Limited, Thal Limited, Pak Elektron Limited, Cherat Cement Company Limited, Fauji Cement Company Limited, Indus Motor Company Limited, Kohat Cement Limited, Lucky Cement Limited, I.C.I. Pakistan Limited, Pakistan State Oil Company Limited, Shell Pakistan Limited, Packages Limited,colgate,Bata Pakistan Ltd,Noon Pakistan Ltd,Bank of Punjab,KE Ltd, Jahangir Siddiqui Company Limited,Fauji fertilizer, Pakistan Tobacco Company Limited,Honda altas cars, Hub power company Ltd,Oil and gas development company Ltd, National Bank of Pakistan, We take the daily data of these companies for 5 years from 2010-2014.And by analysis of this data we select 28 companies on the basis of their returns.The companies that we select are Millat Tractors Limited, Thal Limited, Pak Elektron Limited, Cherat Cement Company Limited, Fauji Cement Company Limited, Indus Motor Company Limited, Kohat Cement Limited, Lucky Cement Limited, I.C.I. Pakistan Limited, Pakistan State Oil Company Limited, , Packages
  • 4. Limited, colgate, Bata Pakistan Ltd, Noon Pakistan Ltd, Bank of Punjab, KE Ltd, Jahangir Siddiqui Company Limited , Pakistan Tobacco Company Limited, Honda altas cars,Hub power company . We compute Arithmetic mean, Geometric mean, variances, standard deviation and covariance’s of that companies data. Our benchmark rate is KSE 100.
  • 5. Minimum Variance Portfolio We select 20 best companies out of 30 with maximum returns and minimum variance. We shuffle all these companies with different weights and see their different pattern of variance, return and standard deviation. All the companies give maximum return and minimum variance. Return of the Portfolio: 0.00114472 Variance of the portfolio: 0.48 Standard deviation: 0.69 weights R V STD INDU 0.05 0.0008316 0.0011766 0.0343015 ICI 0.09 0.0014555 0.5786014 0.7606585 LUCK 0.02 0.0001375 0.0017225 0.0415036 PSO 0.07 0.0012051 0.0003312 0.0181979 PKGS 0.06 0.0008907 0.000627 0.0250395 THALL 0.03 0.0003949 0.0006781 0.0260394 MTL 0.02 0.0001147 0.0003366 0.0183459 FFC 0.06 0.0009848 0.0002783 0.0166824 HCAR 0.07 0.0017815 0.0023842 0.0488281 SCBPL 0.04 0.0007629 0.0018808 0.0433678 OGDC 0.03 0.000464 0.000207 0.0143864 HUBC 0.04 0.000684 0.0004726 0.0217398 BOP 0.02 0.0001022 0.0010552 0.0324832 KEL 0.05 0.0009304 0.0015591 0.039485 JSCL 0.04 0.0006005 0.0025671 0.0506663 KOHC 0.11 0.0024933 0.0009994 0.0316135 PAKT 0.08 0.0017304 0.0020114 0.0448482 NOPK 0.03 0.000127 0.0015948 0.0399353 BATA 0.05 0.0009795 0.0011668 0.0341586 PAEL 0.04 0.0005949 0.001521 0.0390003
  • 6. Beta of the Portfolio: Beta of portfolio=0.122097 COM Beta weights INDU -0.02983 0.01 ICI -0.08145 0.01 LUCK 0.56611 0.12 PSO 0.158031 0.1 PKGS -0.02321 0.02 THALL 0.046381 0.04 MTL -0.04267 0.03 FFC 0.020116 0.05 HCAR 0.023881 0.03 SCBPL 0.010499 0.04 OGDC -0.01308 0.01 HUBC -0.0262 0.01 BOP 0.101798 0.1 KEL -0.1087 0.01 JSCL 0.19613 0.05 KOHC 0.025345 0.08 PAKT 0.076852 0.13 NOPK 0.051884 0.1 BATA -0.10193 0.02 PAEL 0.088639 0.04 1
  • 7. Combination of Risky and Riskless portfolio We make a combination portfolio of risky and riskless assets. Riskless assets are given as T- Bills issued by the government of Pakistan. 85% was invested in risky asset and 15% was invested in riskless assets. The maximum return 0.0178 is given by the combination of the portfolio. Variance is 0.0063 and SD is 7.96% weights R V STD INDU 0.04 0.000832 0.001177 0.034301 ICI 0.08 0.001455 0.578601 0.760659 LUCK 0.02 0.000138 0.001723 0.041504 PSO 0.06 0.001205 0.000331 0.018198 PKGS 0.07 0.000891 0.000627 0.025039 THALL 0.03 0.000395 0.000678 0.026039 MTL 0.02 0.000115 0.000337 0.018346 FFC 0.05 0.000985 0.000278 0.016682 HCAR 0.08 0.001782 0.002384 0.048828 SCBPL 0.02 0.000763 0.001881 0.043368 OGDC 0.01 0.000464 0.000207 0.014386 HUBC 0.02 0.000684 0.000473 0.02174 BOP 0.02 0.000102 0.001055 0.032483 KEL 0.02 0.00093 0.001559 0.039485 JSCL 0.03 0.0006 0.002567 0.050666 KOHC 0.13 0.002493 0.000999 0.031614 PAKT 0.07 0.00173 0.002011 0.044848 NOPK 0.03 0.000127 0.001595 0.039935 BATA 0.03 0.00098 0.001167 0.034159 PAEL 0.02 0.000595 0.001521 0.039 t-bills 0.15 0.111721 0.000262 0.016177 Risky and riskless portfolio Return of Portfolio variance of portfolio Standard Deviation 0.0178 0.0063 7.96%
  • 8. Ratios Sharp Ratio= 0.0094-0.00178/0.003848 1.98 Thisratio showsthe selectedcompaniesare givingexcessreturnatperunitof risk. CV= 0.003848/0.0008633 4.45 per unit It shows4.45 at per unitof risk. Treynors Measure= 0.0094-0.000178/0.12209 0.062 It showsexcessreturnof 0.062 per unitof systematicrisk. Jenkson Alpha= 0.0078 It showsthe overreturncalculatedbyCAPM. Appraisal Ratio= 0.068 It shows the unsystematic risk which can be controlled by the Company.