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Ziva Narendra Arifin
FAA CPL ASMEL/IR
Southwind Aviation Academy
Brownsville, TX, USA - 1997
BSc. In ABA w/. Minor in Flight Ops
Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University
Daytona Beach, FL, USA – 2003
FW – NC212 Ops/CSE
Airfast Indonesia - 2005 – 2010
Founder/Co-Chairman
Idea Group Indonesia – 2011 – 2014
Founder/CEO
Aviatory Indonesia – 2014 – present
Leader - Indonesian Alumni Chapter
Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University – 2012 -
present
Prologue – NBAA Insider
“Projected global airline industry growth,
combined with competition from other
industries, means that business aviation faces
increasing pressure to attract and retain the
number of quality employees that it needs to
meet demand.”
“We’re seeing a lot of articles about a pilot
shortage, but these issues affect more than
the flight deck.”
“Before, you’d post a job and you’d be flooded
with quality resumes in no time. Today, the
resumes are still coming in, but there is less
potential in those candidates.”
“…more companies are moving to
supplemental or contract crew – part-time
workers – to meet their staffing
requirements.”
Pointers
1. Highlights
2. Insights
3. Stats
4. Recognizing the HC challenges
5. The process chain
6. The solution
7. The final product
Highlights in Indonesia’s Civil Aviation
1924: First commercial flight to Batavia (Jakarta) by KLM
1928: Establishment of KNILM
1937: Indonesia among Amelia Earhart’s circumnavigation route
1946: The birth of AURI (TNI-AU/Indonesian Air Force)
1947: The first Indonesian experimental aircraft was built
1949: The birth of Garuda Indonesian Airways
1976: PT IPTN (now PT DI) was established
1977: The “two-man cockpit” concept was conceived
1985: Indonesian woman selected as NASA STS-61-H specialist
1986: The 1st Indonesian Airshow
1996: The 2nd Indonesian Airshow
2000: Deregulation of Indonesian airline industry
Air Transport at a Glance
• More than 4-billion
global passengers
annual turnover
• Advances in NG
technologies
• Remains as strong
driving factor of
world economy
– Generating
income of more
than 2,4-billion
dollars worldwide
• More than 58-
million global
aviation workforce
General Statistics – AOCs
0
10
20
30
40
Part 121
Part 135
Others (91,
137,141)
21
35 38
7
3
0
In Effect Revoked/Suspended
(Source: DGCA CAR 2016)
General Statistics – Airborne
0
20,000,000
40,000,000
60,000,000
80,000,000
Aircraft
(hours) Passengers
Cargo (tonnes)
772,136
63,107,935
474,439192,020
8,104,802
82,040
Domestic International
(Source: DGCA
2014)
Aviation HC Challenges in Indonesia –
Contributing Factors
• Pre-1997 crisis
• Market monopoly both in supply (training providers) and demand
(carriers)
• Few jobs, surplus HC especially pilots - still viewed as highly
desired career path
• Good standing in global recognition - Indonesian carriers still
dominate the Southeast Asian market
• Post-1997 crisis
• Market downsized, collapse of businesses due to financial incap,
fewer training providers available
• Fewer jobs, higher HC surplus - becoming less/least desired career
path
• Stalemate in global standing - flagship carrier losing access to the
US
Aviation HC Shortage in Indonesia –
Contributing Factors (cont’d)
• The 2000s - today
– Deregulation of airline industry - establishment of new airlines, rise of
LCCs
– New privately-owned training providers take presence, decline of
older institutions
– Drastic expansion of the air carrier market, more planes, HC from
previous surplus gradually absorbed, but still very low rate of
regeneration, focused primarily in attempt to achieve quantity
demanded but overlooked the quality aspect
– Aviation slowly becoming a desired career path once again
– Dramatic change in safety culture - high volume, low quality
– Country risk and safety rating reached an all-time low by mid-2000s
– Banning by the EU and FAA towards Indonesian operators
Aviation HC Shortage in Indonesia –
Contributing Factors (cont’d)
• The 2000s - today
– Banning by the EU and FAA towards Indonesian operators
– Poor global standing
– Domestic air transport market demand more than 5,000 qualified
personnel annually
– More than 3,000 aviation jobs will be left vacant within the next 3
years
– Absorption of fresh workers
• < 15% of pilots
• > 30% engineers/technical roles
• > 40% flight attendants
• < 10% of FOO
• < 5% of aviation university graduates
Business & Charter Aviation HC – What Are the
Problems?
• Commonly produce
entry-level talents
• Very minimum
resources and
facilities
• Still driving towards
fulfilling demands of
the airline industry
• Courses typically
are generic
Training
Facilitators
•Mainly oriented at
high recruitment
standards
•Very slim opportunity
for cadets/fresh
graduates to enter
•Has not yet seen the
benefit of long-term
HC investment
(education)
•Safe-play following
market dynamics
B&C Operators
• Only less than 30% of
expenditures spent on
air transport services
•Heavily depending on
prevailing market
conditions
•Still not yet eager to
invest in aviation as
long-term catalyst
•Also safe-play, the
shorter the contract
term the better (on
client-based works)
Market/Clients
Challenges in Indonesia’s Air Charter HC –
Does it Really Exist?
The answer is
“YES”,
but have they been properly
addressed?
The Solution?
Always have been, is, and always will be - PARTNERSHIP
Client/Market
FacilitatorsOperators
- Invest in market
research and
intelligence
- Proactive marketing
activities
- Think long-term –
never lose faith in
apprentice programs
- Provide periodic
projections of air
transport utilization
- Invest in sustainable HC
- Put more confidence in
place
- Increase awareness of
market demands
- Invest in quality
trainers/educators
- Constant
communications with
end users
The Solution? (cont’d)
Client/Market
FacilitatorsOperators
The key to sustainable quality HC is by strengthening mutual
relationship between not only the users but also the regulator and
neighboring stakeholders – delivering the right message for what
the industry really needs.
Standardization
The Final Product
• A more predictive and sustainable quality HC regeneration
system at an optimized production rate
• Minimizing downtime between manpower turnover
• A more balanced enrollment – training – recruitment ratio
• Increase competitiveness against global aviation
workforce
• Help relieve the “bottleneck” situation with current
unemployment pool
• Create a more desirable career path for young talents
• Business and air charter industry can enable themselves
as the “port of entry” for future aviation professionals
instead of focusing their demands on experienced
workers.
About Aviatory Indonesia
• Founded in August 2014.
• Established and managed by pilots with professional experience in operational,
managerial, regulatory, as well as academic roles.
• Provide aviation services, education partnership, and business development
consulting.
• Work closely with operators, academic institutions, regulators, media, and
communities.
• Aim to integrate various potentials in aviation and produce solutions that benefit
the industry and its stakeholders for the long run.
Thank You

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Ziva Arifin for IBCAS 2016

  • 1.
  • 2. Ziva Narendra Arifin FAA CPL ASMEL/IR Southwind Aviation Academy Brownsville, TX, USA - 1997 BSc. In ABA w/. Minor in Flight Ops Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University Daytona Beach, FL, USA – 2003 FW – NC212 Ops/CSE Airfast Indonesia - 2005 – 2010 Founder/Co-Chairman Idea Group Indonesia – 2011 – 2014 Founder/CEO Aviatory Indonesia – 2014 – present Leader - Indonesian Alumni Chapter Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University – 2012 - present
  • 3. Prologue – NBAA Insider “Projected global airline industry growth, combined with competition from other industries, means that business aviation faces increasing pressure to attract and retain the number of quality employees that it needs to meet demand.” “We’re seeing a lot of articles about a pilot shortage, but these issues affect more than the flight deck.” “Before, you’d post a job and you’d be flooded with quality resumes in no time. Today, the resumes are still coming in, but there is less potential in those candidates.” “…more companies are moving to supplemental or contract crew – part-time workers – to meet their staffing requirements.”
  • 4. Pointers 1. Highlights 2. Insights 3. Stats 4. Recognizing the HC challenges 5. The process chain 6. The solution 7. The final product
  • 5. Highlights in Indonesia’s Civil Aviation 1924: First commercial flight to Batavia (Jakarta) by KLM 1928: Establishment of KNILM 1937: Indonesia among Amelia Earhart’s circumnavigation route 1946: The birth of AURI (TNI-AU/Indonesian Air Force) 1947: The first Indonesian experimental aircraft was built 1949: The birth of Garuda Indonesian Airways 1976: PT IPTN (now PT DI) was established 1977: The “two-man cockpit” concept was conceived 1985: Indonesian woman selected as NASA STS-61-H specialist 1986: The 1st Indonesian Airshow 1996: The 2nd Indonesian Airshow 2000: Deregulation of Indonesian airline industry
  • 6. Air Transport at a Glance • More than 4-billion global passengers annual turnover • Advances in NG technologies • Remains as strong driving factor of world economy – Generating income of more than 2,4-billion dollars worldwide • More than 58- million global aviation workforce
  • 7. General Statistics – AOCs 0 10 20 30 40 Part 121 Part 135 Others (91, 137,141) 21 35 38 7 3 0 In Effect Revoked/Suspended (Source: DGCA CAR 2016)
  • 8. General Statistics – Airborne 0 20,000,000 40,000,000 60,000,000 80,000,000 Aircraft (hours) Passengers Cargo (tonnes) 772,136 63,107,935 474,439192,020 8,104,802 82,040 Domestic International (Source: DGCA 2014)
  • 9. Aviation HC Challenges in Indonesia – Contributing Factors • Pre-1997 crisis • Market monopoly both in supply (training providers) and demand (carriers) • Few jobs, surplus HC especially pilots - still viewed as highly desired career path • Good standing in global recognition - Indonesian carriers still dominate the Southeast Asian market • Post-1997 crisis • Market downsized, collapse of businesses due to financial incap, fewer training providers available • Fewer jobs, higher HC surplus - becoming less/least desired career path • Stalemate in global standing - flagship carrier losing access to the US
  • 10. Aviation HC Shortage in Indonesia – Contributing Factors (cont’d) • The 2000s - today – Deregulation of airline industry - establishment of new airlines, rise of LCCs – New privately-owned training providers take presence, decline of older institutions – Drastic expansion of the air carrier market, more planes, HC from previous surplus gradually absorbed, but still very low rate of regeneration, focused primarily in attempt to achieve quantity demanded but overlooked the quality aspect – Aviation slowly becoming a desired career path once again – Dramatic change in safety culture - high volume, low quality – Country risk and safety rating reached an all-time low by mid-2000s – Banning by the EU and FAA towards Indonesian operators
  • 11. Aviation HC Shortage in Indonesia – Contributing Factors (cont’d) • The 2000s - today – Banning by the EU and FAA towards Indonesian operators – Poor global standing – Domestic air transport market demand more than 5,000 qualified personnel annually – More than 3,000 aviation jobs will be left vacant within the next 3 years – Absorption of fresh workers • < 15% of pilots • > 30% engineers/technical roles • > 40% flight attendants • < 10% of FOO • < 5% of aviation university graduates
  • 12. Business & Charter Aviation HC – What Are the Problems? • Commonly produce entry-level talents • Very minimum resources and facilities • Still driving towards fulfilling demands of the airline industry • Courses typically are generic Training Facilitators •Mainly oriented at high recruitment standards •Very slim opportunity for cadets/fresh graduates to enter •Has not yet seen the benefit of long-term HC investment (education) •Safe-play following market dynamics B&C Operators • Only less than 30% of expenditures spent on air transport services •Heavily depending on prevailing market conditions •Still not yet eager to invest in aviation as long-term catalyst •Also safe-play, the shorter the contract term the better (on client-based works) Market/Clients
  • 13. Challenges in Indonesia’s Air Charter HC – Does it Really Exist? The answer is “YES”, but have they been properly addressed?
  • 14. The Solution? Always have been, is, and always will be - PARTNERSHIP Client/Market FacilitatorsOperators - Invest in market research and intelligence - Proactive marketing activities - Think long-term – never lose faith in apprentice programs - Provide periodic projections of air transport utilization - Invest in sustainable HC - Put more confidence in place - Increase awareness of market demands - Invest in quality trainers/educators - Constant communications with end users
  • 15. The Solution? (cont’d) Client/Market FacilitatorsOperators The key to sustainable quality HC is by strengthening mutual relationship between not only the users but also the regulator and neighboring stakeholders – delivering the right message for what the industry really needs. Standardization
  • 16. The Final Product • A more predictive and sustainable quality HC regeneration system at an optimized production rate • Minimizing downtime between manpower turnover • A more balanced enrollment – training – recruitment ratio • Increase competitiveness against global aviation workforce • Help relieve the “bottleneck” situation with current unemployment pool • Create a more desirable career path for young talents • Business and air charter industry can enable themselves as the “port of entry” for future aviation professionals instead of focusing their demands on experienced workers.
  • 17. About Aviatory Indonesia • Founded in August 2014. • Established and managed by pilots with professional experience in operational, managerial, regulatory, as well as academic roles. • Provide aviation services, education partnership, and business development consulting. • Work closely with operators, academic institutions, regulators, media, and communities. • Aim to integrate various potentials in aviation and produce solutions that benefit the industry and its stakeholders for the long run.