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THE BRAIN GAIN DEBATE –A REPETITION? by PAL TAMAS [HAS Budapest]
Shares of “high skill” and “low skill” jobs 1970-2005 Defined by KLEMS by educational attainment: high skill is degree or equivalent; low skill is basic schooling. Source: EU KLEMS database
International migration ,[object Object],Int’l migration and development ,[object Object],Peter Stalker (2007) www.pstalker.com
Basic conflict ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Post-soviet controversy ,[object Object],[object Object]
Moral panic in rhetorics ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Hirschmann A- ,[object Object]
Development Effect Contentious Conventional wisdom – no effect “ There is no direct link between poverty, economic development, population growth, and social and political change on the one  hand, and international migration on the other.” (Report to Danish Foreign Ministry 2002). Even counter effect – migration hump “ international migration does not stem from a lack of economic growth and development, but from development itself”.   (Massey 2003).
North America
 
National Science Foundation Division of Science Resources Statistics Top 11 countries with citizens with at least a tertiary-level education residing abroad in OECD countries (2000) Source: Docquier and Marfouk, International Migration by Educational Attainment (1990-2000), World Bank
Remittances ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
Remittances: Inflows ,[object Object],Int’l migration and development Remittance inflows (2006): US$297 billion,  of which US$221 billion went to developing countries (World Bank, 2008)
Remittances: Outflows Int’l migration and development ,[object Object],Remittance outflows (2006): US$206 billion,  of which US$162 billion came from developed countries (World Bank, 2008)
CERN Users in the World – A Global VO Europe:  267 institutes, 4603 users Elsewhere:  208 institutes, 1632 users
 
 
 
 
OFFSHORING AND THE KNOWLEDGE ECONOMY – POSSIBLE SCENARIOS [Brinkley] Large scale offshoring including many high skill jobs Significant offshoring effects across significant range of occupations Modest offshoring effects in some parts of labour market Transition to knowledge economy stalls, creating a high skills, low pay economy as offshoring and threat of offshoring depresses wages and reduces employment. Partially successful transition, with large scale offshoring of some “knowledge worker” jobs causing major structural difficulties across wide range of occupations. Successful transition towards a more knowledge based economy in response to globalisation and changes in technology.
 
Chinese Student Flows, 1985-2005, NSF
Foreign-born proportion of S&E degree holders in the United States: 2003 Source: NSF/SRS SESTAT 2003

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P.tamash brain drain2011

  • 1. THE BRAIN GAIN DEBATE –A REPETITION? by PAL TAMAS [HAS Budapest]
  • 2. Shares of “high skill” and “low skill” jobs 1970-2005 Defined by KLEMS by educational attainment: high skill is degree or equivalent; low skill is basic schooling. Source: EU KLEMS database
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8. Development Effect Contentious Conventional wisdom – no effect “ There is no direct link between poverty, economic development, population growth, and social and political change on the one hand, and international migration on the other.” (Report to Danish Foreign Ministry 2002). Even counter effect – migration hump “ international migration does not stem from a lack of economic growth and development, but from development itself”. (Massey 2003).
  • 10.  
  • 11. National Science Foundation Division of Science Resources Statistics Top 11 countries with citizens with at least a tertiary-level education residing abroad in OECD countries (2000) Source: Docquier and Marfouk, International Migration by Educational Attainment (1990-2000), World Bank
  • 12.
  • 13.  
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16. CERN Users in the World – A Global VO Europe: 267 institutes, 4603 users Elsewhere: 208 institutes, 1632 users
  • 17.  
  • 18.  
  • 19.  
  • 20.  
  • 21. OFFSHORING AND THE KNOWLEDGE ECONOMY – POSSIBLE SCENARIOS [Brinkley] Large scale offshoring including many high skill jobs Significant offshoring effects across significant range of occupations Modest offshoring effects in some parts of labour market Transition to knowledge economy stalls, creating a high skills, low pay economy as offshoring and threat of offshoring depresses wages and reduces employment. Partially successful transition, with large scale offshoring of some “knowledge worker” jobs causing major structural difficulties across wide range of occupations. Successful transition towards a more knowledge based economy in response to globalisation and changes in technology.
  • 22.  
  • 23. Chinese Student Flows, 1985-2005, NSF
  • 24. Foreign-born proportion of S&E degree holders in the United States: 2003 Source: NSF/SRS SESTAT 2003