Apple’s usage of substrate-like PCBs in the latest iPhone 8 and X will revolutionize the substrate and PCB markets.
ADVANCED SUBSTRATES MUST ANSWER DEMANDS ON BOTH THE SCALING AND FUNCTIONAL ROADMAPS
The semiconductor industry’s trends are affecting the semiconductor package and package-to board interconnect level. Performance-driven applications like PCs and smartphones are giving way to functional applications that are plotting the semiconductor industry’s future course: IoT, the automotive market, 5G connectivity, AR & VR, and AI. Handling large amounts of data generated by new applications will also be crucial, meaning
that improved data processing performance and semiconductor scaling will continue as semiconductor industry drivers.
More information on that report at https://www.i-micronews.com/advanced-packaging-report/product/status-of-advanced-substrates-2018-embedded-dies-interconnects-substrates-like-pcb-trends.html
27. The semiconductor industry’s trends are affecting
the semiconductor package and package-to-
board interconnect level. Performance-driven
applications like PCs and smartphones are giving
way to functional applications that are plotting the
semiconductor industry’s future course: IoT, the
automotive market, 5G connectivity, AR & VR,
and AI. Handling large amounts of data generated
by new applications will also be crucial, meaning
that improved data processing performance
and semiconductor scaling will continue as
semiconductor industry drivers.
Advanced semiconductor packaging is seen as a way
to increase the value of a semiconductor product
by adding functionality, maintaining/increasing
performance, and lowering cost – and to this end,
PCB is not just an interconnection but also an
integration solution.
On the scaling roadmap, three competition zones
are active below the 30/30um line width/space:
• Board vs. package substrate (between L/S 30/30
um and L/S 20/20um)
- Leading to substrate-Like PCBs (SLP)
• Package substrate vs. no substrate (fan-out)
(around L/S 10/10um and sub-L/S 10/10 um)
- Flip-chip substrates, embedded die in PLP
substrate, competing with fan-out WLP/PLP
• TSV packaging vs. TSV-less packaging alternatives
(between L/S 5/5 um and L/S 1/1 um, possibly
lower)
- 2.5D (i.e. Si interposer) configurations vs. high-
density fan-out
The functional roadmap for advanced substrates
is linked to devices that do not primarily require
interconnect scaling but must satisfy particular
demands such as high frequency, high reliability,
higher power, etc. Such advanced packaging types
include RF SiPs for 5G mmWave and embedded
die-in-substrate for higher reliability/power
applications. This report focuses particularly on
SLP and embedded die-in-substrate, with insights
on the overall PCB and IC substrate (FCCSP /
FCBGA) business.
STATUS OF ADVANCED SUBSTRATES 2018: EMBEDDED
DIES INTERCONNECTS, SUBSTRATE LIKE PCB TRENDS
Market Technology report - March 2018
ADVANCED SUBSTRATES MUST ANSWER DEMANDS ON BOTH
THE SCALING AND FUNCTIONAL ROADMAPS
Apple’s usage of substrate-like PCBs in the latest iPhone 8 and X will revolutionize the substrate
and PCB markets.
KEY FEATURES OF THE REPORT
Get the sample of the report
on www.i-Micronews.com
• Advanced substrates segmentation
• Terminology definition
• Segmentation by types of
substrates
• Segmentation by players and
respective business models
• Analysis of the impact of iPhone
• Financial analysis of revenues
made by top 100 PCB/substrate
manufacturers
• Focus on top 20 and selected
players
• Analysis by geographical zone
• Substrate-based package analysis
including embedded die
• Updated market forecasts 2016-
2023
• Embedded die IP dynamics and
players ranking
• Embedded die technology review
by player
• Supply chain analysis and shifting
business models
• Outlook on new market drivers
and emerging applications for
embedded die
WHAT’S NEW
• Overview report on advanced
substrates that builds on 2 previous
reports, “Advanced
Substrates Overview 2017:
From IC Package to Board” and
“Embedded Die Packaging:
Technology and Market Trends
2017”
• Financial analysis of PCB/substrate
manufacturers
• Substrate-like PCB business
• Market forecasts for IC substrates,
SLP and embedded die/
interconnects including MCeP and
EMIB
• Embedded die IP landscape 100/10010/101/10.1/0.1
L/S [um/um]
5/5
Subtractive
30/30
Layerthickness(Cu+dielectric),[um]
0.1
1
10
100
Board
Embedded Die
in Substrate
Substrate-Like PCBs (SLP)
Transition of boards from
subtractive to mSAP
process process, turning
boards into large substrates
ICsubstrates
Scaling roadmap
(FC vs. FO vs. 2.5D)
Functional roadmap
(SiP, RF, Power)
SLP part
of scaling roadmap
Board vs. IC
substrate
(Yole Développement, March 2018)
SUBSTRATE-LIKE PCBS: A CLASH OF TWO WORLDS
The transition from the subtractive to the mSAP
process and from PCB to substrate-like PCB is
under way in high-end smartphones, driven by
Apple and its iPhone 8/iPhone X. Other high-
end smartphone suppliers such as Samsung and
Huawei are expected to join in the near future.
SLP is a term that attempts to describe the
transition of a board into a product with package-
substrate-like features. Standard HDI and non-
HDI boards use variations of the subtractive
manufacturing process, while package substrates
(i.e. FC/WB CSP/BGA) use mSAP or SAP. SLP is
Scaling/functional roadmap for advanced substrates in 2018
This report includes global trends
in patent application identified by
KnowMade but does not include an
in-depth analysis of any patents.
28. 3
0 1 1 1 3 7 5 5 8 11 8 9 13 6 16 24
60
81 77
125
159
225
280
263 258
186
212
196
172
233
185
148
107
17
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Numberofpublications
1rst publication year
Patents
Patent families
(1) A patent family is a set of patents filed in multiple countries by a common inventor(s) to protect a single invention.
(2)There is typically a 12-18 months delay between the moment a inventor files for a patent and the moment it is published and becomes visible to the public.
Shift vs time evolution
of patent filing(2)
Innovation
triggers
Activity
takes off
Extension of
priority patents
Based on the
current trend,
we expect more
than 100 patent
families for 2018.
Note:The data
corresponding to
the year 2018 is not
complete since
patent search was
done in February
2018.
Significant
slowing down
Activity
decreases
Significant
Acceleration
Extension of
priority patents
7,190 patents (3,100 patent families1), including 3,488 granted patents and 1,124 pending patent applications
STATUS OF ADVANCED SUBSTRATES 2018: EMBEDDED DIES INTERCONNECTS, SUBSTRATE LIKE PCB TRENDS
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS: THEWAR BETWEEN PLAYERS
With SLP’s appearance in Apple’s latest iPhones, PCB
and substrate manufacturers have started producing
SLP and investing in mSAP. The 28 selected PCB/
substrate manufacturers are all believed to have mSAP
technology, and some of them can manufacture SLP.
Driven by high-end smartphone demand, certain players
appears to have high capital expenditures. Meanwhile,
some large players show steady revenue in their PCB/
substrate business. This report furnishes detailed
information concerning these players’ financial activities
in PCB/substrate manufacturing and other areas.
In order to differentiate their activities during the fierce
competition happening within the PCB/substrate world,
some players are trying to build PCB/substrates with
more value inside.
in fact a large substrate, manufactured in mSAP, in
the size and function of a board. The benefits of an
SLP compared to a standard or HDI board include
higher line resolution, better electrical performance,
and the potential for space and energy-saving, which
are very important in a cramped, energy-limited
smartphone environment.
SLP’s entry opens a new market and disrupts the
supply chain. The SLP market is estimated at $1.9B
in 2016 and $2.24B by 2023, with a 64% CAGR 2017
- 2023. SLP manufacturing will not just recover the
substrate market, but also give it a significant boost.
However, from a technology-readiness point of view,
although the mSAP process is mature for processing
package substrate, considerable challenges still exist
for manufacturing substrates in PCB-size.
This report presents comprehensive details regarding
the SLP market, covering the supply chain and
offering a technology comparison of the subtractive/
mSAP/SAP processes. Also included are comparative
teardowns of the iPhone 8, iPhone X, and Samsung
S8.
Embedded die packaging - Time evolution of patent publications
PCB revenues in cellphones
(Yole Développement, March 2018)
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Substrate-like PCB Smartphone PCB revenue Feature/Voice PCB revenue
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Revenue($B)
Total SLP CAGR2017-2023
: 64%
(KnowMade, March 2018)
One prevalent trend amongst substrate makers is not to
sellthesubstrateasaninterconnectionbutasanintegration
solution, which may consist of embedding a die and an
interconnection-like EMIB technology, or simply building a
package around the substrate, like MCeP technology.
The adoption of these packaging platforms has been
confirmed within the last few years, and products are
already commercialized. The embedded die package
has sweet spots in different applications, and the
rationale to adopt it vary from miniaturization and/
or thermal management for power applications, to
anti-tampering for defense applications. This package
is adopted when no other lower-cost packages offer
viable solutions.
ThelargenumberofRDprojectsinpowerapplications,
especially those related to automotive and defense,
illustrates the growing interest in using PCB/substrates
as more than an interconnect.
EMBEDDED DIE AND INTERCONNECTS: A NEW OPPORTUNITY FOR SUBSTRATE
MAKERS AND OSATS?
29. Find more
details about
this report here:
MARKET TECHNOLOGY REPORT
COMPANIES CITED IN THE REPORT (non exhaustive list)
AMD, Amkor, Amphenol, AMS, Aoshikang, Apple, AOI, ATS, ASE, Avago, Benchmark, Boardtek,
Bosch, Career, Celestica, Chin Poon, ChipBond, ChipMOS, CMK, Compeq, Continental, Cosmotech,
Cyntec, Daeduck, Daimler, Deca Technologies, Dyconex AG, Dynamic, Eastern, Elmos Semiconductor,
Ericsson, Epoche and Esp, Flex, Flexium, Foxconn, Fujikura, Fujitsu, GaN Systems, General Electric,
Gold Circuit, HannStar Board, Hella, HiSilicon, Hitachi Chemical, HighTec EDV Systeme, Hofmann
Leiterplatten, Huatian, Huawei, Ibiden, Ichia, Inari Berhad, Infineon, Intel, Isu Petasys, Jabil, JCET,
J-devices, Juniper Networks, KCE Electronics, Kingboard, Kinsus, Kinwong, KYEC, Kyocera, Kyoden,
Lenovo, LG Innotek, Maxim, Meiko, Mflex, MGC, Microsemi, Nanium, Nantong Fujitsu, Nan Ya PCB,
Nepes, Nippon Mektron, Nitto Denko, NTK, NXP, OKI, Olympic, ON Semiconductor, Oracle,
Panasonic, Plessey, Plexus, Powertech Technology, Porsche, Qualcomm, Renesas, Samsung, Sanmina,
Sarda Technologies, Schweizer, Shennan Circuit, Rohm Semiconductor, Shinko, SK Hynix, Somacis,
Soundchip SA, SPIL, STATS ChipPAC, St Jude Medical, Starkey, ST Microelectronics, Sumitomo Denko,
Taiyo Yuden, TCL, TDK-EPCOS, Texas Instruments, Thalès, TTM Technologies, Toppan, Qorvo,
Qualcomm, TSMC, Unimicron, Unisem, Unitech, UTAC, Valeo, Wus Group, Würth Elektronik,
Wuzhou, Xilinx, Yamamoto Manufacturing, Young Poong Group, ZD Tech… and many more
AUTHORS
Emilie Jolivet is a Technology
Market Analyst in the
Advanced Packaging Semicon.
Manufacturing team at Yole
Développement (Yole). After an
internship at Freescale, she took
the position of RD engineer in
photovoltaic business and co-
authored several scientific articles.
Prior Yole, Emilie joined EV
Group as a business development
manager. Emilie holds a Master’s
degree in Applied Physics
specializing in Microelectronics
from INSA Toulouse (France) and
an MBA from IAE Lyon (France).
Introduction 6
Executive summary 12
Advanced substrate segmentation 37
PCB/Substrate/RDL segmentation
Report scope
PCB/substrate market drivers and dynamics 47
Advanced packaging drivers
Board and advanced substrate drivers
Competing platforms (board vs. IC substrate,
IC substrate vs. WLP)
Disruptions and opportunities
IC substrates market forecasts
Substrate-Like PCB product 68
Drivers and market dynamics
SLP market forecasts and supply chain
PCB technology analysis
- Process flow comparison
- Physical teardown analysis
- Roadmap
Financials analysis 105
Top 100 PCB/substrate manufacturers rankings
Top 20 selected manufacturers
- Business model
- PCB/substrate revenue analysis
- PCB/substrate revenue market forecast
Company financial analysis – selected players
Embedded die in laminate package 136
Introduction
- Technology segmentation
- Cost consideration
Drivers applications
- Rationale for embedded die adoption
- Applications by market
Market forecasts
- Embedded die forecasts in units and revenues
breakdown by market including MCeP
- Embedded bridge/interconnections forecasts in units
Embedded die package players
- Embedded die business models analysis
- Supply chain
- IP landscape incl. dynamics and players
Technology and roadmaps
- Main technology review by player
Conclusions 224
Report methodology 228
Yole Développement presentation 230
TABLE OF CONTENTS (complete content on i-Micronews.com)
Vivienne Hsu is a Technology
Market Analyst at Yole
Développement (Yole). As part
of the Advanced Packaging
Semicon. Manufacturing team,
Vivienne contributes to the
development of these activities.
She is engaged in the production
of market research reports and
customized services. Graduated
from Phelma, Grenoble INP
(France), she completed her
Master’s degree in Materials
Science by carrying out a thesis
at EDF.
Dr. Nicolas Baron is CEO and co-
founder of KnowMade. He is leading the
Microelectonics and Nanotechnology
scientific and patent analysis
department. He holds a PhD in Physics
from the University of Nice Sophia-
Antipolis, plus a University Diploma
in Intellectual Property Strategy and
Innovation from the European Institute
for Enterprise and Intellectual Property
(IEEPI Strasbourg), France.
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Andrej Ivankovic was a member
of the Advanced Packaging
Semicon. Manufacturing team
at Yole Développement (Yole).
Previously, Andrej served at IMEC
with a position focused on 3D IC
technology. He also worked in
parallel at GLOBALFOUNDRIES.
His first position takes place at
ON Semiconductor to develop
reliability tests, failure analysis, and
characterization of power electronics
and packages. Andrej holds a master’s
degree in Electrical Engineering from
the University of Zagreb (Croatia),
and a PhD in Mechanical Engineering
from KU Leuven (Belgium).
KnowMade’s team realized the patent
analysis:
In this report, you will find a deep analysis of
the applications where embedded die package
is employed, the latest products featuring EMIB
technology (Intel), MCeP technology (Shinko), and
embedded die package, and market forecasts for
these respective platforms from 2017 - 2023. In
addition, a deep patents analysis of the IP landscape
including time evolution of patents publications and
leading patents applicants is including in the report.
30. ORDER FORM
Status of Advanced Substrates 2018:
Embedded Dies Interconnects, Substrate Like PCB Trends
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