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Platt’s 21st Annual Coal
Properties & Investment Conference


       The Coal Business from a
   Global Capital Markets Perspective

                          --------

                        Tim Alch
         V.P & Senior Minerals Business Analyst
          Behre Dolbear & Company (USA), Inc.
                  New York, New York
                    +1.845.480.1434
From a Lender’s, Investor’s and Owner’s
     View – Perspective is Important
• Who is driving business
• What else has changed
• What capital looks for
• Prepare for the best/worst
• Be realistic

                           BEHRE DOLBEAR
                           founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
Who is Driving the Bus(iness)?
• This is a Decade of the Emerging Market Consumer
    People want and May get what ‘we’ enjoy.
•   Urbanization and rising middle class continues to
    drive energy and coal consumption, esp. in China
•   In the next 20 years, the US may be out spent by a
    rising ‘middle class’ in China (330M) and elsewhere
•   GDP growth in China, Asia, Latin America, etc. will
    likely exceed growth in the OECD nations
•   Struggling to keep pace will be commodity supply
    chain logistics including coal, fueling price volatility
•   Growth may exceed current expectations
                                           BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                           founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
Asia is Where Most People Live and
               Emerging Markets Grow Faster




Source: The Economist
                                     BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                     founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
More Consumers, More Money & Minerals Consumed




                            BEHRE DOLBEAR
                            founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
China Now Consumes as Much
    Coal as the Rest of World                                          (Source: USA EiA)


• China’s coal use grew by 325 million tons in 2011, equal to 87% of the
   374 mt global increase in coal use. Of the 2.9 billion tons of global coal
   demand growth since 2000, China accounted for 2.3 bt (82%) (US EIA)




                                                        BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                                        founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
China’s Share of Global Copper, Steel, Iron
    Ore, Etc. Consumption Also Exploded




Source: UBS
                               BEHRE DOLBEAR
                               founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
Behre Dolbear Recent Coal Related Engagements
     (Some Detail About Behre Dolbear’s Work is Shown at Back)

•   Australia                     •   Mexico
•   Botswana                      •   Mongolia
•   Brazil                        •   Mozambique
•   Canada                        •   New Zealand
•   China                         •   Nigeria
•   Colombia                      •   Philippines
•   Germany                       •   Russia
•   India                         •   USA
•   Indonesia                     •   Vietnam



                                             BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                             founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
China and Other Emerging
      Markets are Expanding
• China’s GDP is growing at ±8% pa and
  adding power gen capacity equal to UK’s
  capacity in each of past/next 10± years
• China is largest consumer of minerals
• China shifts from export led to consumer
  based economy as other emerging market
  nations expand resource intense sectors
  consuming resources, energy, coal, etc.

                            BEHRE DOLBEAR
                            founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
China’s Recent Population Growth is Hard to Fathom




                                  BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                  founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
China is Urbanizing & Powering On
• In each year for the next 15 years, China will move
  20 million people into cities, consuming more resources




                                        BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                        founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
China Produces Half Global Steel
          Source: http://designbuildsource.com.au




                                                    BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                                    founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
The BIC’s Growth in the Past 10 Years
                 Broke a Long Period of Flat Pricing
                                                                     Nominal Industrial Metal Average Prices
                                                                                  1970 - 2012
                                                                 Aluminum   Copper   Lead    Zinc    Nickel
     $ Per Tonne (Copper, Lead, Zinc, Aluminum)




                                                  10,000                                                                   40,000
                                                   9,000
                                                            Capital                    Capital        Capital              35,000
                                                   8,000
                                                           Destruction
                                                                               ?     Destruction      Creation             30,000
                                                   7,000




                                                                                                                                     $ Per Tonne Nickel
                                                   6,000                                                                   25,000

                                                   5,000                                                                   20,000
                                                   4,000                                                                   15,000
                                                   3,000
                                                                                                                           10,000
                                                   2,000
                                                   1,000                                                                   5,000

                                                      0                                                                    0




Data Source: USGS and LME
                                                                                                    BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                                                                                    founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
Coal is Different
• 96% of coal is used by PowerGen & Steel
• Two KPIs of modern economic growth
• Not as fungible as precious & base metals
• Demand patterns are more predictable
• Markets and end users are more
  specifically defined
• Transport can be (a near) dominant factor

                             BEHRE DOLBEAR
                             founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
China’s Power is Fueled by Coal
•    China had an estimated total installed electricity generating capacity of 1,073 GW in 2011. The largest
     in the world and increased by 9+% from 2010 and doubled from 519 GW in 2005
•    Installed capacity may double again by 2030 to meet rising demand, particularly from main
     urban areas in the East and South of the country (FACTS Global Energy) with gas-fired capacity too




                                                                          BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                                                          founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
Robust, Tempered Coal Outlook
• Continuing modernization in Developing World
    is driving energy, metals at greater rates
•   Estimates vary e.g. 300 GW of new coal fired
    plants may come online requiring about 900 mt
    of new supply – equal to US output now
•   Declining ore grade, fewer large deposits, high
    capital costs, Best Practices, larger Gov ‘takes’,
    changing political winds etc. curtail investments
    and reduced capex throughout mining sector
•   Thus, production may struggle to meet future
    demands and lead to sporadic price spikes
                                     BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                     founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
Coal is Forecast to Fuel a Large Share of
Future Total Global Electricity Generation
                EIA AEO2013 Reference




                                        BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                        founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
Future Growth of Global Electricity Production Will
    Be in the Non OECD and Be Coal Fueled




                                  BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                  founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
A Rising Standard of Living is
   Often Measured by Electricity & Steel
BBC News 20 February 2013 Last updated at 05:53 ET

Bulgaria government to resign, PM Boiko Borisov says
• The government's resignation follows nationwide
  protests against high electricity prices
• Bulgaria's government has announced it is resigning after nationwide
    protests against high electricity prices and austerity measures, Prime
    Minister Boiko Borisov has said. The PM said he had decided to go after
    protesters against rising electricity prices clashed with police in Sofia……
    ________________________________________________________
• There are weekly rolling ‘Black Outs’ in 1/3 of India
• Brief widespread outages after recent storms in USA
• In today’s world, People without Power is Not Good

                                                        BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                                        founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
In the Top Ten Commodities by Global
      Projects in 2011: Gold 1; Coal 7
• Investors, lenders and speculators have been attracted to the
      precious metals markets: Is the world investing enough in coal?




Source: Intierra                                   BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                                   founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
Closer to Home: What Has Changed

• USA crude oil production increased by 790,000
    bbl/d from 2011 to 2012, the largest increase in
    annual output since the beginning of U.S.
    commercial crude oil production in 1859
•   U.S. EIA expects U.S. crude oil production to
    continue rising over the next two years
•   Fuel Switching to Nat Gas by Generators drove
    coal share to ~36% in Sept/Oct 2012
•   Greater efficiency and slow GDP growth have
    impacted U.S. power consumption
                                     BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                     founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
Share of Total US Generation by Coal was Hit by
                  Natural Gas
                                   (Source: US EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook Feb 2013)


U.S. Electricity Generation by Fuel, All Sectors
thousand megawatthours per day

  14,000
                                                                                  Forecast
  12,000


  10,000                                                                                                   Coal
                                                                42.3%    37.4%    39.1%      39.1%         Natural gas
                           48.5%    48.2%             44.8%
           49.6%   49.0%                     44.4%
   8,000                                                                                                   Petroleum
                                                                                                           Nuclear
   6,000
                                                                         30.3%    28.2%      27.6%         Hydropower
                                                      23.9%     24.7%
           18.8%   20.1%   21.6%    21.4%    23.3%
   4,000                                                                                                   Renewables
                                                                                                           Other sources
   2,000


       0
           2005    2006    2007     2008     2009     2010      2011     2012     2013       2014




                                                                                    BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                                                                    founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
Coal Prices in USA Basins are Down in 2012
     and Off from 2008 Highs   (US EIA Feb 2013)




                            BEHRE DOLBEAR
                            founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
Be Realistic about Near Term Coal Use – Impact of
      Nat Gas Can Not Be Underestimated
             U.S Coal Consumption Forecast by U.S. EIA – Feb 2013




                                                            BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                                            founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
Higher Rail Costs Challenge USA Coal
    Operators = Another Not So Favorable Trend

•   From 2001 to 2010 average cost of railing coal to power plants rose by almost 50% in USA
•   Railroad transport accounts for more than 70% of U.S. coal destined to generators
•   So rail rates impact cost of coal delivered to power plants – often borne by producers




                                                                   BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                                                   founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
What Capital is Looking for –
    More Hard Work Will/Can/May Help
• Offset higher capital, operating costs
• Other than higher prices – What can offset
  higher costs?
• Hard Work, Implementing Best Practices,
  Process Improvements, New Markets, etc.
• Dig in and focus on doing best possible
• There is no panecea – especially with low
  Natural Gas prices
                             BEHRE DOLBEAR
                             founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
                             © 2011 Behre Dolbear Group Inc. All Rights Reserved
Coal Production Costs are Rising

• Transport logistics are big factor
• Quality, grade and usage are related
• Rising costs reflect mining method:
   Surface coal in the Powder River Basin cost
    is (±US$6.00+ per ton)
   Underground coal in Alabama cost is
    (±US$45.00+ per ton)
• Competition is fierce

                                BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
US Coal Exports Are Trending Higher (US$ Billions)

• Exports to Asia have grown, though not without challenges




                                              BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                              founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
Can New Export Terminals on West Coast help Boost
       U.S. Coal Exports to 200 mtpa = Black Gold




Source: U.S. EIA, Short-Term Energy Outlook, U.S. Census data. Note: Data for 2012 are through August. Export share by
coal type assumes a continuation of current volumes. October STEO forecast used in chart. The steam coal 95% growth
estimate assumes the STEO forecast with current year-to-date steam/met export ratio.


                                                                                    BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                                                                    founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
Export Markets = USA’s Coal Hope
• China’s efforts to consolidate and improve its coal
    industry is a massive undertaking
•   China will continue to rely upon coal imports to fuel its
    power generating sector for many years to come
•   Likewise, as India modernizes and expands its coal-
    fueled generating capacity – it too requires significant
    imported coal for blending and primary fuel
•   India’s metals, steel industry is forecast to be another
    large consumer of metallurgical coal




                                         BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                         founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
Coal Trade Has Its Challenges
• There continues to be a shortage of skilled laborers
  and experienced professionals
• The U.S. needs to resolve export logistics to compete
  and aggressively expand into seaborne markets
• Others face logistical, transport, etc. hurdles
• Environmental, permiting and social concerns defer
  investment and development of new capacity
• Increased government take and NGOs slow expansion



                                     BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                     founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
Global Growth and Fear –
     Suggest Coal Acquisitions
• Global paradigm shifts as Middle Class and
  Urbanization drives resource demand
• Minerals markets subject to price spikes may
  provide sufficient investment returns to
  attract capital from some investors
• Stability and security of fuel supply is key
• Valuations of USA coal on a long term basis
  – may now be attractive


                               BEHRE DOLBEAR
                               founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
                               © 2011 Behre Dolbear Group Inc. All Rights Reserved
Some See the Value in Coal –
M&A Targeted Coal in 2012 (US$B)                                                                      (Source E&Y)




                                       2012 M&A Activity by Target Commodity
             25
                  21.4

             20
                         17.9


             15                 14.2
                                           13.4
$ Billions




                                                                                                            10.6
             10
                                                   7.3
                                                           5.3
              5                                                   4.0     3.9        3.6
                                                                                                2.3

              0




                                                                          BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                                                          founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
China’s Outbound Acquisitions Have
 Grown (US$ Billions and Volume)




                       BEHRE DOLBEAR
                       founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
China’s Coal Deals Rank #2 After Gold




Source: Ernst and Young   BEHRE DOLBEAR
                          founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
M&A Drivers in Coal
• Coal share valuations over corrected in 2H12
• Low profits force sale of low margin, downstream assets
• Significant cross-border investment and M&A likely
• Majors and Strategic investors with strong balance
  sheets may opportunistically acquire key assets
• Increased price volatility and resource nationalism,
  including higher government taxes and royalties may
  contribute to stability of supply and quality concerns
• Risk management is very important to acquirers
• There are less undeveloped attractive assets in
  developed countries
                                       BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                       founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
                                       © 2011 Behre Dolbear Group Inc. All Rights Reserved
Consolidation Likely to Continue
• Valuations are less expensive than greenfield
   investment
• Consolidation to form Super and Larger Majors is likely
• Strategic M&A may buoy coal assets and share prices
• SOEs, SWFs e.g. Japan, Korea, India may continue to
   acquire strategic metals and coal resources, etc.
• Fewer companies control larger share of minerals –
   giving some producers greater market leverage



                                        BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                        founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
Where are Assets are On Value Curve - and Cost Curve
                       Source: BMO




                                     BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                     founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
Getting and Keeping Business
•   Quality Control is essential & challenging
•   Consistent quality product is key
•   Bid realistic achievable coal specs
•   Respond to customer problems
•   Focus on What you are Best at: Remind
    all stakeholders, What that is



                                 BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                 founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
Capital Ideas for 1H2013
• Equity markets in 2012 were turbulent and hit lows
• Banks, investors, and operators are risk adverse
• Alternative, strategic interests, private equity, SWFs,
    SOEs are opportunistically stepping into resources
•   This trend may / will likely continue in 2013
•   Management, stakeholders, employees, partners, and
    customers should be realistic about options
•   Now is not the best time to over reach
•   Thank you


                                          BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                          founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
                                          © 2011 Behre Dolbear Group Inc. All Rights Reserved
Behre Dolbear’s Coal Services
• Specializes in executive level consultancy to financial
  institutions, independent investors, large and small coal
  producers, coal consumers, and government agencies.
• Our technical advisories address full spectrum of engineering
  and operating activities, including exploration, resource and
  reserve definition and review, mine design, project development,
  coal preparation, production and operations planning, sales,
  transportation, coal characterization, and coal utilization.
• Our business advisories address project justification and
  finance, capital budgets, operating costs, organizational
  structures, and planning for profit optimization.
• We also support legal and accounting firms and insurance
  companies with litigation and arbitration assistance, business
  interruption valuations, and expert opinion statements.

                                              BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                              founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
                                              © 2011 Behre Dolbear Group Inc. All Rights Reserved
The Behre Dolbear Group
• Behre Dolbear has 12 offices in 8 countries and completed 210+
  jobs in 55+ countries in each of the last 5 years using our global
  network of 125+ professionals in all major mining markets
• We perform studies and advise a wide range of entities in the
  mining, banking, investment, financial, legal and accounting
  sectors, and government agencies around the world
• Our experience spans technical, operating, and financial issues
  in the base, precious and ferrous metals, coal, uranium, fertilizer
  and industrial minerals, gemstones, and construction materials
                            THANK YOU
                             Tim Alch
             V.P. & Senior Minerals Business Analyst
              Behre Dolbear & Company (USA), Inc.
              100 Park Avenue, New York City 10017
            +1.845.480.1434 Tim.Alch@dolbear.com

                                               BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                               founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
                                               © 2011 Behre Dolbear Group Inc. All Rights Reserved
The Behre Dolbear Group




               BEHRE DOLBEAR
               founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
Appendix
• Characteristics of Scoping, Pre Feasibility
 and Full Scale Feasibility Studies




                            BEHRE DOLBEAR
                            founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
Characteristics of Scoping, Pre-Feasibility, and
     Full-Scale Feasibility Studies – A1
                                   Potential Areas of Investigation
                                    for Proposed Mining Projects

       PROPERTY INFORMATION                           MANAGEMENT AND LABOR
      Location, topography and climate                Management organization requirements
      Land ownership and royalties                    Labor requirements
        Property history
        Current status                                PRODUCTS, MARKETS AND SALES
                                                      Products
       GEOLOGY AND RESOURCES                          Markets
       Geological description                         Prices
       Mineralogy                                     Sales
       Drilling, sampling and assaying
       Evaluation techniques                          ENVIRONMENTAL AND PERMITTING
       Mineral resource estimate                      Permit list
                                                      Environmental impact
       MINING                                         Compliance costs
       Ore reserve estimate
                                                      Compliance cost timing
       Mining method and plans
       Mining equipment                               Reclamation expenses
       Material handing
       Material handling equipment                    FINANCIAL ISSUES
       Historical and forecast production             Taxes
       Consumables                                    Royalties
       Mining capital estimates                       Fees
       Mining operating cost estimates                Licenses

       PROCESSING                                     DEVELOPMENT COSTS AND SCHEDULE
       Ore sampling and testwork                      Development cost estimate
       Processing method                              Development schedule
       Other required processes                       Development methodology
       Process equipment
       Historical and forecast production             POLITICAL & SOCIAL CONSIDERATIONS
       Consumables                                    Economic benefits and costs
       Processing capital estimates
                                                      Government considerations
       Processing operating cost estimates
                                                      Other issues
                                                 
       INFRASTRUCTURE
                                                     PROJECT ECONOMICS
       Industrial infrastructure facilities
       Social infrastructure facilities               Economic parameters
       Utilities, power, water                        Discount rate determination
       Infrastructure capital estimates               Cash flows
       Infrastructure operating cost estimates        Investor returns
                                                      Debt analysis
                                                      Sensitivities




                                                                   BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                                                   founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
Characteristics of Scoping, Pre-Feasibility, and
       Full-Scale Feasibility Studies – A2
                                                          (continued)
                                                      CONCEPTUAL
                   CATEGORY                                                    PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY         FEASIBILITY STUDY
                                                  STUDY/SCOPING STUDY

INTRODUCTION
Location, Topography, and Climate
Site location map                                           •Yes                         •Yes                         •Yes
Ownership and Royalties
Claims list                                                  •No                          •No                         •Yes
Claims map                                                    No                          Yes                          Yes
Current Status and History
Historical chronology                                        No                           No                           Yes
Information on past production, if any                       No                           No                           Yes
GEOLOGY AND RESOURCES
Geological Description
Geological map                                               Yes                          Yes                          Yes
Geological cross-sections                                    No                           Yes                          Yes
Drilling, Sampling, and Assaying
Parameters                                                   Yes                          Yes                          Yes
Drill hole location map                                      Yes                          Yes                          Yes
Sampling/assaying flow diagram and assessment                No                           Yes                          Yes
Assay check assessment and graph                             No                           Yes                          Yes
Mineral Resource Estimate
Resource methodology determination and approach               Yes                          Yes                          Yes
Geologic model limits                                         Yes                          Yes                          Yes
Lithology/tonnage factors/code                                No                           Yes                          Yes
Cumulative frequency of samples verses grade                  No                           Yes                          Yes
Variograms                                                    No                           Yes                          Yes
Resource Estimate                                 Industry Standards (NI 43-   Industry Standards (NI 43-   Industry Standards (NI 43-
                                                       101, JORC, etc.)             101, JORC, etc.)             101, JORC, etc.)


                                                                                  BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                                                                  founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
Characteristics of Scoping, Pre-Feasibility, and
       Full-Scale Feasibility Studies – A3
                                                                (continued)
                                                           CONCEPTUAL                     PRE-FEASIBILITY
                   CATEGORY                                                                                            FEASIBILITY STUDY
                                                       STUDY/SCOPING STUDY                       STUDY

MINING
Ore Reserve Estimate
      Reserve and resource calculation parameters           Assumed Values                 Test-Based Values             Test-Based Values
      Cutoff grade equations                                       No                              Yes                           Yes
      Reserve and resource estimate                        Industry Standards              Industry Standards            Industry Standards
Mining Method and Plans
Mining parameters                                     Yes, minimal engineering basis   Yes, some geotechnical data              Yes
Hydrology/geotechnical parameters                                   No                             Yes                          Yes
Mining equipment list                                               No                             Yes                          Yes
Consumables list                                                    No                             Yes                          Yes
Material handling systems                                           No                             Yes                          Yes
Material handling equipment                                         No                             Yes                          Yes
Personnel list                                                      No                             Yes                          Yes
Surface mining                                                      No                             Yes                          Yes
      Final pit and dump outlines                           Yes, simple outline                    Yes                          Yes
      Incremental pit and dump outlines                             No                             Yes                          Yes
Underground mining
      General mine development                             Yes, general outline                   Yes                           Yes
      Mining approach (stoping, cut and fill, etc.)       Yes, general approach                   Yes                           Yes
Production Schedule
      Historical production, if any                                 Yes                           Yes                           Yes
      Annual ore and waste tonnage and grade               Yes, division of total                 Yes                           Yes
Mining Capital and Operating Cost Estimates
      Mining operating cost estimates                      Yes, factored ±45%                   Yes, ±30%                     Yes, ±15%
      Mining capital cost estimates                        Yes, factored ±45%             Yes, from engineering      Yes, from vendor quotes and
                                                                                                 manuals ±30%                  take-offs ±15%



                                                                                          BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                                                                          founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
Characteristics of Scoping, Pre-Feasibility, and
       Full-Scale Feasibility Studies – A4
                                                          (continued)

                                                      CONCEPTUAL
                  CATEGORY                                                    PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY          FEASIBILITY STUDY
                                                  STUDY/SCOPING STUDY

PROCESSING
Ore Sampling and Test Work
Test work data                                       No, assumed values          No, preliminary data         No, preliminary data
Processing Methods and Plans
Processing methods                                 Yes, general approach                 Yes                          Yes
Processing parameters                             Yes, minimal engineering               Yes                          Yes
Equipment list                                                No                         Yes                          Yes
Consumables list                                              No                         No                           Yes
Personnel list                                                No                         Yes                          Yes
Material balance                                              No                         Yes                          Yes
Flow diagram                                                  No                         Yes                          Yes
Site plan                                         Yes, simple block diagram              Yes                          Yes
General arrangement drawings                                  No                         No                           Yes
Production Schedule
Historical production, if any                                No                          Yes                          Yes
Annual production tonnage and grade                          Yes                         Yes                          Yes
Off-site Processing Cost Estimates
Concentration charges                               Yes, division of total     Yes, preliminary estimate           Yes, quote
Smelting and refining charges                                No                Yes, preliminary estimate           Yes, quote
Other charges                                                No                Yes, preliminary estimate           Yes, quote
Material handling and transport                              No                Yes, preliminary estimate           Yes, quote
Insurance and sales charges                                  No                           No                       Yes, quote
Processing Capital and Operating Cost Estimates
Processing operating cost estimates                  Yes, factored ±45%               Yes, ±30%                     Yes, ±15%
Processing capital cost estimates                    Yes, factored ±45%         Yes, from engineering      Yes, from vendor quotes and
                                                                                   manuals ±30%                   take-offs ±15%


                                                                                  BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                                                                  founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
Characteristics of Scoping, Pre-Feasibility, and
       Full-Scale Feasibility Studies – A5
                                                             (continued)
                                                          CONCEPTUAL
                   CATEGORY                                                       PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY         FEASIBILITY STUDY
                                                      STUDY/SCOPING STUDY

INFRASTRUCTURE
Industrial Infrastructure Facilities
Facilities list                                        Yes, with minimum detail             Yes                          Yes
Power and water parameters                                 Yes, preliminary                 Yes                          Yes
Full site plan                                                    No                        Yes                          Yes
Social Infrastructure Facilities
Facilities list                                        Yes, with minimum detail              Yes                         Yes
Housing                                                           No                  Yes, preliminary                   Yes
Schools                                                           No                  Yes, preliminary                   Yes
Hospitals                                                         No                  Yes, preliminary                   Yes
Other                                                             No                  Yes, preliminary                   Yes
Infrastructure Capital and Operating Cost Estimates
Consumables list                                                  No                         Yes                           Yes
Personnel list                                                    No                         Yes                           Yes
Infrastructure operating cost estimates                  Yes, factored ±45%               Yes, ±30%                    Yes, ±15%
Infrastructure capital cost estimates                    Yes, factored ±45%         Yes, from engineering      Yes, from vendor quotes &
                                                                                       manuals ±30%                  take-offs ±15%
MANAGEMENT, LABOR & ADMINISTRATION

Personnel
Personnel lists                                                  No                         Yes                          Yes
Training requirements                                            No                         Yes                          Yes
Personnel Capital & Operating Cost Estimates
Consumables list                                                  No                         No                          •Yes
Personnel operating cost estimates                       Yes, factored ±45%              Yes, ±30%                    Yes, ±15%
Personnel capital cost                                   Yes, factored ±45%              Yes, ±30%                    Yes, ±15%


                                                                                     BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                                                                     founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
Characteristics of Scoping, Pre-Feasibility, and
       Full-Scale Feasibility Studies – A6
                                                           (continued)
                                                         CONCEPTUAL         PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY         FEASIBILITY STUDY
                                                     STUDY/SCOPING STUDY
                   CATEGORY
MARKETS, PRODUCTS AND SALES

Markets, Products and Sales
Products                                                Yes, preliminary               Yes                          Yes
Volume                                                  Yes, preliminary               Yes                          Yes
Prices                                                  Yes, preliminary               Yes                          Yes
Sales organization                                             No               Yes, preliminary             Yes, preliminary
Sales Related Capital and Operating Cost Estimates
Personnel list                                                  No                   Yes                           Yes
Consumables list                                                No                    No                           No
Sales related operating cost estimates                 Yes, factored ±45%         Yes, ±30%                    Yes, ±15%
Sales related capital cost estimates                   Yes, factored ±45%         Yes, ±30%                    •Yes, ±15%

ENVIRONMENTAL AND PERMITTING

Environmental
Permit list                                                    No                     Yes                          Yes
Environmental Impacts                                   Yes, preliminary              Yes                          Yes
Environmental Compliance Cost Estimates
Personnel list                                                  No                   Yes                          Yes
Environmental related operating cost estimates         Yes, factored ±45%         Yes, ±30%                    Yes, ±15%
Environmental related capital cost estimates           Yes, factored ±45%         Yes, ±30%                    Yes, ±15%




                                                                               BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                                                               founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
Characteristics of Scoping, Pre-Feasibility, and
       Full-Scale Feasibility Studies – A7
                                                         (continued)

                                                       CONCEPTUAL
                   CATEGORY                                               PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY         FEASIBILITY STUDY
                                                   STUDY/SCOPING STUDY

DEVELOPMENT SCHEDULE AND COSTS
Development Schedule
Development methodology                               •Yes, preliminary            •Yes                          •Yes
Development schedule                                  Yes, preliminary             Yes                            Yes
Development Costs
Personnel list                                               No                    Yes                             Yes
Development related operating cost estimates                 No                 Yes, ±30%                      Yes, ±15%
Development related capital cost estimates                   No                 Yes, ±30%              Yes, from vendor quotes &
                                                                                                             take-offs ±15%



PROJECT ECONOMICS

Financial Issues
Taxes                                                 Yes, preliminary              Yes                          Yes
Royalties                                             Yes, preliminary              Yes                          Yes
Fees                                                  Yes, preliminary              Yes                          Yes
Licenses                                              Yes, preliminary              Yes                          Yes
Economic Issues
Economic parameters                                   Yes, preliminary               Yes                         Yes
Discount rate determination                           Yes, preliminary               Yes                         Yes
Cash flows                                            Yes, preliminary               Yes                         Yes
Investor returns                                      Yes, preliminary               Yes                         Yes
Debt analysis                                                No                      No                          Yes
                                 1.Sensitivities             No               Yes, preliminary                   Yes



                                                                             BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                                                             founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
Characteristics of Scoping, Pre-Feasibility, and
      Full-Scale Feasibility Studies – A8
                                            (continued)

                                       CONCEPTUAL
              CATEGORY                                           PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY          FEASIBILITY STUDY
                                   STUDY/SCOPING STUDY

SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS
Operational Parameters             Mostly assumed and factored     Some engineering basis       Some engineering basis
Title and ownership                            Yes                          Yes                          Yes
Geology                                        Yes                          Yes                          Yes
Ore reserves                                   Yes                          Yes                          Yes
Mining and processing rates                    Yes                          Yes                          Yes
Development period and mine life               Yes                          Yes                          Yes
Metal/mineral recoveries                       Yes                          Yes                          Yes
Sales                                          Yes                          Yes                          Yes
Operating cost estimates                       Yes                          Yes                          Yes
Capital cost estimates                         Yes                          Yes                          Yes
Financial Parameters
Cash Flows                                    Yes                           Yes                          Yes
NPV, IRR, and ROI                             Yes                           Yes                          Yes




                                                                     BEHRE DOLBEAR
                                                                     founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS

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Platt's Coal Properties & Investments Presentation by Tim Alch from Behre Dolbear on March 7 2013

  • 1. Platt’s 21st Annual Coal Properties & Investment Conference The Coal Business from a Global Capital Markets Perspective -------- Tim Alch V.P & Senior Minerals Business Analyst Behre Dolbear & Company (USA), Inc. New York, New York +1.845.480.1434
  • 2. From a Lender’s, Investor’s and Owner’s View – Perspective is Important • Who is driving business • What else has changed • What capital looks for • Prepare for the best/worst • Be realistic BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 3. Who is Driving the Bus(iness)? • This is a Decade of the Emerging Market Consumer People want and May get what ‘we’ enjoy. • Urbanization and rising middle class continues to drive energy and coal consumption, esp. in China • In the next 20 years, the US may be out spent by a rising ‘middle class’ in China (330M) and elsewhere • GDP growth in China, Asia, Latin America, etc. will likely exceed growth in the OECD nations • Struggling to keep pace will be commodity supply chain logistics including coal, fueling price volatility • Growth may exceed current expectations BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 4. Asia is Where Most People Live and Emerging Markets Grow Faster Source: The Economist BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 5. More Consumers, More Money & Minerals Consumed BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 6. China Now Consumes as Much Coal as the Rest of World (Source: USA EiA) • China’s coal use grew by 325 million tons in 2011, equal to 87% of the 374 mt global increase in coal use. Of the 2.9 billion tons of global coal demand growth since 2000, China accounted for 2.3 bt (82%) (US EIA) BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 7. China’s Share of Global Copper, Steel, Iron Ore, Etc. Consumption Also Exploded Source: UBS BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 8. Behre Dolbear Recent Coal Related Engagements (Some Detail About Behre Dolbear’s Work is Shown at Back) • Australia • Mexico • Botswana • Mongolia • Brazil • Mozambique • Canada • New Zealand • China • Nigeria • Colombia • Philippines • Germany • Russia • India • USA • Indonesia • Vietnam BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 9. China and Other Emerging Markets are Expanding • China’s GDP is growing at ±8% pa and adding power gen capacity equal to UK’s capacity in each of past/next 10± years • China is largest consumer of minerals • China shifts from export led to consumer based economy as other emerging market nations expand resource intense sectors consuming resources, energy, coal, etc. BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 10. China’s Recent Population Growth is Hard to Fathom BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 11. China is Urbanizing & Powering On • In each year for the next 15 years, China will move 20 million people into cities, consuming more resources BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 12. China Produces Half Global Steel Source: http://designbuildsource.com.au BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 13. The BIC’s Growth in the Past 10 Years Broke a Long Period of Flat Pricing Nominal Industrial Metal Average Prices 1970 - 2012 Aluminum Copper Lead Zinc Nickel $ Per Tonne (Copper, Lead, Zinc, Aluminum) 10,000 40,000 9,000 Capital Capital Capital 35,000 8,000 Destruction ? Destruction Creation 30,000 7,000 $ Per Tonne Nickel 6,000 25,000 5,000 20,000 4,000 15,000 3,000 10,000 2,000 1,000 5,000 0 0 Data Source: USGS and LME BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 14. Coal is Different • 96% of coal is used by PowerGen & Steel • Two KPIs of modern economic growth • Not as fungible as precious & base metals • Demand patterns are more predictable • Markets and end users are more specifically defined • Transport can be (a near) dominant factor BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 15. China’s Power is Fueled by Coal • China had an estimated total installed electricity generating capacity of 1,073 GW in 2011. The largest in the world and increased by 9+% from 2010 and doubled from 519 GW in 2005 • Installed capacity may double again by 2030 to meet rising demand, particularly from main urban areas in the East and South of the country (FACTS Global Energy) with gas-fired capacity too BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 16. Robust, Tempered Coal Outlook • Continuing modernization in Developing World is driving energy, metals at greater rates • Estimates vary e.g. 300 GW of new coal fired plants may come online requiring about 900 mt of new supply – equal to US output now • Declining ore grade, fewer large deposits, high capital costs, Best Practices, larger Gov ‘takes’, changing political winds etc. curtail investments and reduced capex throughout mining sector • Thus, production may struggle to meet future demands and lead to sporadic price spikes BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 17. Coal is Forecast to Fuel a Large Share of Future Total Global Electricity Generation EIA AEO2013 Reference BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 18. Future Growth of Global Electricity Production Will Be in the Non OECD and Be Coal Fueled BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 19. A Rising Standard of Living is Often Measured by Electricity & Steel BBC News 20 February 2013 Last updated at 05:53 ET Bulgaria government to resign, PM Boiko Borisov says • The government's resignation follows nationwide protests against high electricity prices • Bulgaria's government has announced it is resigning after nationwide protests against high electricity prices and austerity measures, Prime Minister Boiko Borisov has said. The PM said he had decided to go after protesters against rising electricity prices clashed with police in Sofia…… ________________________________________________________ • There are weekly rolling ‘Black Outs’ in 1/3 of India • Brief widespread outages after recent storms in USA • In today’s world, People without Power is Not Good BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 20. In the Top Ten Commodities by Global Projects in 2011: Gold 1; Coal 7 • Investors, lenders and speculators have been attracted to the precious metals markets: Is the world investing enough in coal? Source: Intierra BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 21. Closer to Home: What Has Changed • USA crude oil production increased by 790,000 bbl/d from 2011 to 2012, the largest increase in annual output since the beginning of U.S. commercial crude oil production in 1859 • U.S. EIA expects U.S. crude oil production to continue rising over the next two years • Fuel Switching to Nat Gas by Generators drove coal share to ~36% in Sept/Oct 2012 • Greater efficiency and slow GDP growth have impacted U.S. power consumption BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 22. Share of Total US Generation by Coal was Hit by Natural Gas (Source: US EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook Feb 2013) U.S. Electricity Generation by Fuel, All Sectors thousand megawatthours per day 14,000 Forecast 12,000 10,000 Coal 42.3% 37.4% 39.1% 39.1% Natural gas 48.5% 48.2% 44.8% 49.6% 49.0% 44.4% 8,000 Petroleum Nuclear 6,000 30.3% 28.2% 27.6% Hydropower 23.9% 24.7% 18.8% 20.1% 21.6% 21.4% 23.3% 4,000 Renewables Other sources 2,000 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 23. Coal Prices in USA Basins are Down in 2012 and Off from 2008 Highs (US EIA Feb 2013) BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 24. Be Realistic about Near Term Coal Use – Impact of Nat Gas Can Not Be Underestimated U.S Coal Consumption Forecast by U.S. EIA – Feb 2013 BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 25. Higher Rail Costs Challenge USA Coal Operators = Another Not So Favorable Trend • From 2001 to 2010 average cost of railing coal to power plants rose by almost 50% in USA • Railroad transport accounts for more than 70% of U.S. coal destined to generators • So rail rates impact cost of coal delivered to power plants – often borne by producers BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 26. What Capital is Looking for – More Hard Work Will/Can/May Help • Offset higher capital, operating costs • Other than higher prices – What can offset higher costs? • Hard Work, Implementing Best Practices, Process Improvements, New Markets, etc. • Dig in and focus on doing best possible • There is no panecea – especially with low Natural Gas prices BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS © 2011 Behre Dolbear Group Inc. All Rights Reserved
  • 27. Coal Production Costs are Rising • Transport logistics are big factor • Quality, grade and usage are related • Rising costs reflect mining method:  Surface coal in the Powder River Basin cost is (±US$6.00+ per ton)  Underground coal in Alabama cost is (±US$45.00+ per ton) • Competition is fierce BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 28. US Coal Exports Are Trending Higher (US$ Billions) • Exports to Asia have grown, though not without challenges BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 29. Can New Export Terminals on West Coast help Boost U.S. Coal Exports to 200 mtpa = Black Gold Source: U.S. EIA, Short-Term Energy Outlook, U.S. Census data. Note: Data for 2012 are through August. Export share by coal type assumes a continuation of current volumes. October STEO forecast used in chart. The steam coal 95% growth estimate assumes the STEO forecast with current year-to-date steam/met export ratio. BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 30. Export Markets = USA’s Coal Hope • China’s efforts to consolidate and improve its coal industry is a massive undertaking • China will continue to rely upon coal imports to fuel its power generating sector for many years to come • Likewise, as India modernizes and expands its coal- fueled generating capacity – it too requires significant imported coal for blending and primary fuel • India’s metals, steel industry is forecast to be another large consumer of metallurgical coal BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 31. Coal Trade Has Its Challenges • There continues to be a shortage of skilled laborers and experienced professionals • The U.S. needs to resolve export logistics to compete and aggressively expand into seaborne markets • Others face logistical, transport, etc. hurdles • Environmental, permiting and social concerns defer investment and development of new capacity • Increased government take and NGOs slow expansion BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 32. Global Growth and Fear – Suggest Coal Acquisitions • Global paradigm shifts as Middle Class and Urbanization drives resource demand • Minerals markets subject to price spikes may provide sufficient investment returns to attract capital from some investors • Stability and security of fuel supply is key • Valuations of USA coal on a long term basis – may now be attractive BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS © 2011 Behre Dolbear Group Inc. All Rights Reserved
  • 33. Some See the Value in Coal – M&A Targeted Coal in 2012 (US$B) (Source E&Y) 2012 M&A Activity by Target Commodity 25 21.4 20 17.9 15 14.2 13.4 $ Billions 10.6 10 7.3 5.3 5 4.0 3.9 3.6 2.3 0 BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 34. China’s Outbound Acquisitions Have Grown (US$ Billions and Volume) BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 35. China’s Coal Deals Rank #2 After Gold Source: Ernst and Young BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 36. M&A Drivers in Coal • Coal share valuations over corrected in 2H12 • Low profits force sale of low margin, downstream assets • Significant cross-border investment and M&A likely • Majors and Strategic investors with strong balance sheets may opportunistically acquire key assets • Increased price volatility and resource nationalism, including higher government taxes and royalties may contribute to stability of supply and quality concerns • Risk management is very important to acquirers • There are less undeveloped attractive assets in developed countries BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS © 2011 Behre Dolbear Group Inc. All Rights Reserved
  • 37. Consolidation Likely to Continue • Valuations are less expensive than greenfield investment • Consolidation to form Super and Larger Majors is likely • Strategic M&A may buoy coal assets and share prices • SOEs, SWFs e.g. Japan, Korea, India may continue to acquire strategic metals and coal resources, etc. • Fewer companies control larger share of minerals – giving some producers greater market leverage BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 38. Where are Assets are On Value Curve - and Cost Curve Source: BMO BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 39. Getting and Keeping Business • Quality Control is essential & challenging • Consistent quality product is key • Bid realistic achievable coal specs • Respond to customer problems • Focus on What you are Best at: Remind all stakeholders, What that is BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 40. Capital Ideas for 1H2013 • Equity markets in 2012 were turbulent and hit lows • Banks, investors, and operators are risk adverse • Alternative, strategic interests, private equity, SWFs, SOEs are opportunistically stepping into resources • This trend may / will likely continue in 2013 • Management, stakeholders, employees, partners, and customers should be realistic about options • Now is not the best time to over reach • Thank you BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS © 2011 Behre Dolbear Group Inc. All Rights Reserved
  • 41. Behre Dolbear’s Coal Services • Specializes in executive level consultancy to financial institutions, independent investors, large and small coal producers, coal consumers, and government agencies. • Our technical advisories address full spectrum of engineering and operating activities, including exploration, resource and reserve definition and review, mine design, project development, coal preparation, production and operations planning, sales, transportation, coal characterization, and coal utilization. • Our business advisories address project justification and finance, capital budgets, operating costs, organizational structures, and planning for profit optimization. • We also support legal and accounting firms and insurance companies with litigation and arbitration assistance, business interruption valuations, and expert opinion statements. BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS © 2011 Behre Dolbear Group Inc. All Rights Reserved
  • 42. The Behre Dolbear Group • Behre Dolbear has 12 offices in 8 countries and completed 210+ jobs in 55+ countries in each of the last 5 years using our global network of 125+ professionals in all major mining markets • We perform studies and advise a wide range of entities in the mining, banking, investment, financial, legal and accounting sectors, and government agencies around the world • Our experience spans technical, operating, and financial issues in the base, precious and ferrous metals, coal, uranium, fertilizer and industrial minerals, gemstones, and construction materials THANK YOU Tim Alch V.P. & Senior Minerals Business Analyst Behre Dolbear & Company (USA), Inc. 100 Park Avenue, New York City 10017 +1.845.480.1434 Tim.Alch@dolbear.com BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS © 2011 Behre Dolbear Group Inc. All Rights Reserved
  • 43. The Behre Dolbear Group BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 44. Appendix • Characteristics of Scoping, Pre Feasibility and Full Scale Feasibility Studies BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 45. Characteristics of Scoping, Pre-Feasibility, and Full-Scale Feasibility Studies – A1 Potential Areas of Investigation for Proposed Mining Projects PROPERTY INFORMATION MANAGEMENT AND LABOR Location, topography and climate Management organization requirements Land ownership and royalties Labor requirements Property history Current status PRODUCTS, MARKETS AND SALES Products GEOLOGY AND RESOURCES Markets Geological description Prices Mineralogy Sales Drilling, sampling and assaying Evaluation techniques ENVIRONMENTAL AND PERMITTING Mineral resource estimate Permit list Environmental impact MINING Compliance costs Ore reserve estimate Compliance cost timing Mining method and plans Mining equipment Reclamation expenses Material handing Material handling equipment FINANCIAL ISSUES Historical and forecast production Taxes Consumables Royalties Mining capital estimates Fees Mining operating cost estimates Licenses PROCESSING DEVELOPMENT COSTS AND SCHEDULE Ore sampling and testwork Development cost estimate Processing method Development schedule Other required processes Development methodology Process equipment Historical and forecast production POLITICAL & SOCIAL CONSIDERATIONS Consumables Economic benefits and costs Processing capital estimates Government considerations Processing operating cost estimates Other issues  INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECT ECONOMICS Industrial infrastructure facilities Social infrastructure facilities Economic parameters Utilities, power, water Discount rate determination Infrastructure capital estimates Cash flows Infrastructure operating cost estimates Investor returns Debt analysis Sensitivities BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 46. Characteristics of Scoping, Pre-Feasibility, and Full-Scale Feasibility Studies – A2 (continued) CONCEPTUAL CATEGORY PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY FEASIBILITY STUDY STUDY/SCOPING STUDY INTRODUCTION Location, Topography, and Climate Site location map •Yes •Yes •Yes Ownership and Royalties Claims list •No •No •Yes Claims map No Yes Yes Current Status and History Historical chronology No No Yes Information on past production, if any No No Yes GEOLOGY AND RESOURCES Geological Description Geological map Yes Yes Yes Geological cross-sections No Yes Yes Drilling, Sampling, and Assaying Parameters Yes Yes Yes Drill hole location map Yes Yes Yes Sampling/assaying flow diagram and assessment No Yes Yes Assay check assessment and graph No Yes Yes Mineral Resource Estimate Resource methodology determination and approach Yes Yes Yes Geologic model limits Yes Yes Yes Lithology/tonnage factors/code No Yes Yes Cumulative frequency of samples verses grade No Yes Yes Variograms No Yes Yes Resource Estimate Industry Standards (NI 43- Industry Standards (NI 43- Industry Standards (NI 43- 101, JORC, etc.) 101, JORC, etc.) 101, JORC, etc.) BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 47. Characteristics of Scoping, Pre-Feasibility, and Full-Scale Feasibility Studies – A3 (continued) CONCEPTUAL PRE-FEASIBILITY CATEGORY FEASIBILITY STUDY STUDY/SCOPING STUDY STUDY MINING Ore Reserve Estimate Reserve and resource calculation parameters Assumed Values Test-Based Values Test-Based Values Cutoff grade equations No Yes Yes Reserve and resource estimate Industry Standards Industry Standards Industry Standards Mining Method and Plans Mining parameters Yes, minimal engineering basis Yes, some geotechnical data Yes Hydrology/geotechnical parameters No Yes Yes Mining equipment list No Yes Yes Consumables list No Yes Yes Material handling systems No Yes Yes Material handling equipment No Yes Yes Personnel list No Yes Yes Surface mining No Yes Yes Final pit and dump outlines Yes, simple outline Yes Yes Incremental pit and dump outlines No Yes Yes Underground mining General mine development Yes, general outline Yes Yes Mining approach (stoping, cut and fill, etc.) Yes, general approach Yes Yes Production Schedule Historical production, if any Yes Yes Yes Annual ore and waste tonnage and grade Yes, division of total Yes Yes Mining Capital and Operating Cost Estimates Mining operating cost estimates Yes, factored ±45% Yes, ±30% Yes, ±15% Mining capital cost estimates Yes, factored ±45% Yes, from engineering Yes, from vendor quotes and manuals ±30% take-offs ±15% BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 48. Characteristics of Scoping, Pre-Feasibility, and Full-Scale Feasibility Studies – A4 (continued) CONCEPTUAL CATEGORY PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY FEASIBILITY STUDY STUDY/SCOPING STUDY PROCESSING Ore Sampling and Test Work Test work data No, assumed values No, preliminary data No, preliminary data Processing Methods and Plans Processing methods Yes, general approach Yes Yes Processing parameters Yes, minimal engineering Yes Yes Equipment list No Yes Yes Consumables list No No Yes Personnel list No Yes Yes Material balance No Yes Yes Flow diagram No Yes Yes Site plan Yes, simple block diagram Yes Yes General arrangement drawings No No Yes Production Schedule Historical production, if any No Yes Yes Annual production tonnage and grade Yes Yes Yes Off-site Processing Cost Estimates Concentration charges Yes, division of total Yes, preliminary estimate Yes, quote Smelting and refining charges No Yes, preliminary estimate Yes, quote Other charges No Yes, preliminary estimate Yes, quote Material handling and transport No Yes, preliminary estimate Yes, quote Insurance and sales charges No No Yes, quote Processing Capital and Operating Cost Estimates Processing operating cost estimates Yes, factored ±45% Yes, ±30% Yes, ±15% Processing capital cost estimates Yes, factored ±45% Yes, from engineering Yes, from vendor quotes and manuals ±30% take-offs ±15% BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 49. Characteristics of Scoping, Pre-Feasibility, and Full-Scale Feasibility Studies – A5 (continued) CONCEPTUAL CATEGORY PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY FEASIBILITY STUDY STUDY/SCOPING STUDY INFRASTRUCTURE Industrial Infrastructure Facilities Facilities list Yes, with minimum detail Yes Yes Power and water parameters Yes, preliminary Yes Yes Full site plan No Yes Yes Social Infrastructure Facilities Facilities list Yes, with minimum detail Yes Yes Housing No Yes, preliminary Yes Schools No Yes, preliminary Yes Hospitals No Yes, preliminary Yes Other No Yes, preliminary Yes Infrastructure Capital and Operating Cost Estimates Consumables list No Yes Yes Personnel list No Yes Yes Infrastructure operating cost estimates Yes, factored ±45% Yes, ±30% Yes, ±15% Infrastructure capital cost estimates Yes, factored ±45% Yes, from engineering Yes, from vendor quotes & manuals ±30% take-offs ±15% MANAGEMENT, LABOR & ADMINISTRATION Personnel Personnel lists No Yes Yes Training requirements No Yes Yes Personnel Capital & Operating Cost Estimates Consumables list No No •Yes Personnel operating cost estimates Yes, factored ±45% Yes, ±30% Yes, ±15% Personnel capital cost Yes, factored ±45% Yes, ±30% Yes, ±15% BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 50. Characteristics of Scoping, Pre-Feasibility, and Full-Scale Feasibility Studies – A6 (continued) CONCEPTUAL PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY FEASIBILITY STUDY STUDY/SCOPING STUDY CATEGORY MARKETS, PRODUCTS AND SALES Markets, Products and Sales Products Yes, preliminary Yes Yes Volume Yes, preliminary Yes Yes Prices Yes, preliminary Yes Yes Sales organization No Yes, preliminary Yes, preliminary Sales Related Capital and Operating Cost Estimates Personnel list No Yes Yes Consumables list No No No Sales related operating cost estimates Yes, factored ±45% Yes, ±30% Yes, ±15% Sales related capital cost estimates Yes, factored ±45% Yes, ±30% •Yes, ±15% ENVIRONMENTAL AND PERMITTING Environmental Permit list No Yes Yes Environmental Impacts Yes, preliminary Yes Yes Environmental Compliance Cost Estimates Personnel list No Yes Yes Environmental related operating cost estimates Yes, factored ±45% Yes, ±30% Yes, ±15% Environmental related capital cost estimates Yes, factored ±45% Yes, ±30% Yes, ±15% BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 51. Characteristics of Scoping, Pre-Feasibility, and Full-Scale Feasibility Studies – A7 (continued) CONCEPTUAL CATEGORY PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY FEASIBILITY STUDY STUDY/SCOPING STUDY DEVELOPMENT SCHEDULE AND COSTS Development Schedule Development methodology •Yes, preliminary •Yes •Yes Development schedule Yes, preliminary Yes Yes Development Costs Personnel list No Yes Yes Development related operating cost estimates No Yes, ±30% Yes, ±15% Development related capital cost estimates No Yes, ±30% Yes, from vendor quotes & take-offs ±15% PROJECT ECONOMICS Financial Issues Taxes Yes, preliminary Yes Yes Royalties Yes, preliminary Yes Yes Fees Yes, preliminary Yes Yes Licenses Yes, preliminary Yes Yes Economic Issues Economic parameters Yes, preliminary Yes Yes Discount rate determination Yes, preliminary Yes Yes Cash flows Yes, preliminary Yes Yes Investor returns Yes, preliminary Yes Yes Debt analysis No No Yes 1.Sensitivities No Yes, preliminary Yes BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS
  • 52. Characteristics of Scoping, Pre-Feasibility, and Full-Scale Feasibility Studies – A8 (continued) CONCEPTUAL CATEGORY PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY FEASIBILITY STUDY STUDY/SCOPING STUDY SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS Operational Parameters Mostly assumed and factored Some engineering basis Some engineering basis Title and ownership Yes Yes Yes Geology Yes Yes Yes Ore reserves Yes Yes Yes Mining and processing rates Yes Yes Yes Development period and mine life Yes Yes Yes Metal/mineral recoveries Yes Yes Yes Sales Yes Yes Yes Operating cost estimates Yes Yes Yes Capital cost estimates Yes Yes Yes Financial Parameters Cash Flows Yes Yes Yes NPV, IRR, and ROI Yes Yes Yes BEHRE DOLBEAR founded 1911 MINERALS INDUSTRY ADVISORS