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Leathe
r
Sector
Study
March
© The Pakistan Credit Rating Agency
1
LEATHER | INTRODUCTION
• Leather is one of the most widely traded commodities globally. The popularity of leather in
various industries comes from its high tensile strength, good heat insulation, flexibility and
durability.
• The primary raw material for leather industry is derived from slaughter houses and waste
from the meat industry. This raw material is processed and converted into usable leather in
tanneries. Hence, tanning industry is considered as one of the primary leather processing
units in the entire leather industry.
• The demand in leather industry is driven by the fashion industry that includes footwear,
garments, bags and belts. Apart from this, furniture and automotive industry also demand
leather. The broad categories of leather industry include:
• Tanned leather: Leather produced from treating skins and hides of animals
• Garments: includes leather jackets, long Coats, waist coats, pants, and accessories such
as gloves.
• Footwear: includes formal footwear, boots, sandals and clogs with leather uppers for both
men and women.
• Bags and Belts: includes wallets, handbags, backpacks, cosmetic cases, laptop bags
and leather belts.
• Furniture: majorly used for furniture covers.
• Automotive: majorly used for car interior, especially seat covers.
Livestock Raw hide/skin
Tanning
and
Polishing
Final Goods
LEATHER| INTRODUCTION
Production Process
Fashio
n
Industr
y
Retail
Source:
SOMO
2
Furnitur
e
Industr
y
Automotiv
e
Industry
Slaughter
Houses
Pre-
treatment
Leather Goods Manufacturing
Process
• The global leather industry consisting of tanned leather, leather garments,
gloves, bags & belts and footwear grew by ~6% YoY and reached a value
of USD~370bln in CY21 (USD~351bln in CY20).
• Approximately USD~34bln of leather and leather products were traded
globally in CY20. Tanned leather was the highest traded product, making
up ~22% of the total trade, followed by leather garments (~19%), gloves
(~4%) and footwear (~2%).
• Europe is the largest consumer of leather goods because of the strong
presence of fashion-driven countries, such as France and Italy, product and
technological innovations, rise in disposable income and online retailing.
• The Asian leather market is expected to witness fastest growth in the
coming years due to presence of large number of leather product
manufacturers in the region. Currently, China produces 67% of the world’s
shoes and exports 36% of its leather products.
• Factors such as high cost of leather products and absence of developed
supply chain in many major exporting countries is expected to hamper
the growth of global leather market. However, increasing investment by
well-known luxury brands and approach towards rising trends
development, such as bio-leather products, are factors that are
expected to create a whole new world of opportunities in the global
leather industry.
Source: PR Newswire, UN 2
LEATHER | GLOBAL INDUSTRY
Overview
Global Overview CY20 CY21
Market Size (USD bln) 350.7 370.0
Leather Trade - CY20 (USD bln)
Tanned Leather 7.2
Leather Garments 6.3
Leather Gloves 1.3
Leather Footwear 0.7
Others 18.0
Total 33.6
• The top ten countries collectively account for ~75% of the total global exports, where China alone contributes ~21% to the total,
followed by Italy (~14%). Other major exporters include India, Germany and Hong Kong.
Source: Trade 2
LEATHER | GLOBAL INDUSTRY
Exports
Top Exporters - CY20 (USD '000)
Tanned Leather Garment
s
Leather Gloves Leather Footwear
Italy 2,123,525 Italy 1,126,852 China 434,907 China 208,649
Brazil 556,862 China 823,972 Pakistan 225,195 Dominican Republic 120,469
China 497,230 India 602,636 India 179,692 Italy 63,012
Hong Kong 419,201 France 567,266 Germany 54,282 Singapore 39,682
Thailand 382,759 Pakistan 541,831 Sweden 35,959 Germany 29,842
Germany 313,203 Germany 363,045 Belgium 35,823 UAE 22,561
Austria 289,688 Netherlands 196,285 Bangladesh 30,453 Belgium 17,037
Vietnam 282,032 Hong Kong 192,904 Netherlands 28,582 Spain 14,637
India 255,945 Spain 179,061 France 22,147 Vietnam 14,577
Korea 210,951 UK 153,169 USA 22,067 Portugal 14,569
Other 1,894,180 Other 1,546,524 Other 244,160 Other 172,012
Total 7,225,576 Total 6,293,545 Total 1,313,267 Total 717,047
• USA is the biggest importer of leather and leather products, making up ~11% of the global imports, whereas Germany comes in
second with ~6% share. Other major importers include France and Vietnam.
Source: Trade 2
LEATHER | GLOBAL INDUSTRY
Imports
Top Importers - CY20 (USD '000)
Tanned Leather Garment
s
Leather Gloves Leather Footwear
Vietnam 869,929 USA 1,084,86
5
USA 311,963 Germany 62,990
China 781,743 Germany 556,266 Germany 109,461 USA 27,798
Hong Kong 435,314 France 473,423 Canada 90,519 Poland 25,444
USA 353,359 Italy 332,271 France 67,660 UK 23,666
Indonesia 276,336 China 329,124 Japan 63,694 France 19,432
Mexico 272,275 UK 287,599 Sweden 46,659 Vietnam 15,000
Germany 265,442 Japan 240,387 UK 41,790 Belgium 14,069
Italy 251,556 Netherlands 227,338 Netherlands 38,025 Singapore 12,527
Romania 229,394 Hong Kong 217,894 Belgium 36,570 UAE 10,328
Poland 221,427 Korea 184,334 Poland 33,057 Korea 9,885
Other 3,268,801 Other 2,360,04
4
Other 473,869 Other 495,908
Total 7,225,576 Total 6,293,54 Total 1,313,267 Total 717,047
• Pakistan’s leather industry earned a revenue of PKR~133bln in FY21
(USD~833mln), showing a growth of ~10% year-on-year as the international
trade resumed in FY21 after the COVID-19 hit.
• According to the Pakistan Tanners Association (PTA), Pakistan leather
industry is
~95% export-oriented. Exports clocked in at PKR~133bln in FY21, up from
PKR~120bln in FY20, depicting a growth of ~11%. Leather industry exports
account for almost ~3% of total country’s exports.
• The leather exports of the country observed this growth as there was a
~18% increase in the average unit price per square meter of tanned leather
to USD~12.9 in FY21 (USD~10.9 in FY20). Moreover, export volumes also
increased during the year. Volume of leather garments registered an
increase of ~29% while gloves and footwear surged by ~37% and ~22%
respectively.
• However, the sector has seen a declining trend in the last few years. Leather
exports stood at PKR~131bln in FY14 as compared to PKR~96bln in FY17.
The main reasons behind the decline were delays in collection of fresh hides
and skins particularly during Eid-ul-Adha, combined with absence of modern
preservation techniques to avoid spoilage. This trend reversed in FY18 due
to the export-friendly government policies.
Source: PTA, PBS, 3
LEATHER | LOCAL INDUSTRY
Overview
Local Overview
FY20 FY21
Market Size (~USD mln) 765 833
Market Size (~PKR bln) 121.2 133.7
Exports (~PKR bln) 120.4 133.3
No of players
~800 tanneries and
4 listed
companies
Exports Volume
Leather Garments (‘000 Sq. M) 1,002 1,288
Leather Gloves (‘000 Dozen) 5,061 6,911
Leather Tanned (‘000 Sq. M) 16,915 12,558
Leather Footwear (‘000 Pairs) 6,587 8,034
Industry Association
• Pakistan Tanners Association (PTA)
• Pakistan Leather Garments Manufacturers
and Exporters (PLGMEA)
• Pakistan Footwear Manufacturers Association
(PFMA)
• Amongst the exports, leather garments makeup ~34% of the total, followed by gloves (~31%), leather tanned (~19%), and leather
footwear (~13%). The industry is expected to continue to be one of five key export-oriented sectors (alongside textiles, sports goods,
surgical goods and carpets) due to the fact that several of Pakistan’s leather products enjoy duty free access to the European Union
(which is the largest consumer of leather goods globally) under the EU’s Generalized Scheme of Preferences (GSP+).
• Germany, USA, UK, Spain, Netherlands, and France are the most common export destination for leather and leather products from
Pakistan.
Source: PTA, 3
LEATHER | LOCAL INDUSTRY
Expo
rt
Top Exporters - FY21 (PKR mln)
Exports (~PKR
mln)
Garment
s
Leather Gloves Leather
Tanned
Leather Footwear
Germany 12,76
6
USA 10,274 Italy 4,250 Germany 5,394
FY20 FY21 USA 6,062 Canada 5,495 Vietnam 3,301 Italy 2,789
Spain 3,520 Germany 4,138 China 3,097 USA 2,047
Netherlands 3,345 Poland 2,198 Hongkong 2,210 Netherlands 1,515
Leather Gloves 33,512 41,630 UK 3,244 Sweden 2,098 Bangladesh 1,810 UK 1,115
France 3,006 UK 1,582 Korea 1,202 Spain 736
Belgium 1,615 Italy 1,365 Spain 1,075 France 621
Leather Footwear 16,885 17,389 Russia 1,335 Spain 1,245 Indonesia 965 Belgium 367
Italy 1,239 UAE 1,166 Germany 805 Yemen 256
Poland 1,198 France 1,128 South Africa 696 Afghanistan 226
Total 120,466 133,34
7
Others 8,558 Others 10,940 Others 6,378 Others 2,325
Total 45,88 Total 41,630 Total 25,790 Total 17,389
LEATHER | LOCAL INDUSTRY
14
Business Risk: Margins & Cost Structure
Source: PACRA Internal
Database, PSX
 Gross margins of leather sector have remained largely stable in the recent years, hovering within the range of ~25%-28%. The
gross margins dipped slightly to ~27% (~28% in FY19) and net margins declined to ~8% in FY20 (9% in FY19) due to the low
business activity in Europe caused by the COVID-related recession grips, and shift of exports revenue from India.
 With the resumption in economic activities, gross margins restored to ~28% in FY21. However, operating margins failed to
recover and instead declined further to ~6% in FY21 majorly because both air and sea freight charges increased significantly
due to COVID.
 Net margins improved to ~4% in FY21 (~2% in FY20) owing to historically low interest rates.
 Raw and packing material constitute ~67% of the total COGS, followed by salaries and wages (~10%) and fuel costs (~5%).
Note: Calculations are based on financials of 2 listed and 1 PACRA-
rated client.
25
%
27
%
28
%
11
%
10
% 8
%
6
%
6
%
9
%
5
%
2
%
6
%
4
%
0
%
5
%
10
%
25
%
20
%
15
%
30
%
FY1
7
FY1
8
FY1
9
FY2
0
FY2
1
Profitability
Margins
28%
26
%
Gross
Margins
Operating
Margins
Net
Margins
67
%
10
%
1
%
5%
17
%
COGS Breakup -
FY21
Raw and packing
materials consumed
Salaries, wages and
benefits
Fuel and
power
Repairs and
maintenance
Other
s
LEATHER | LOCAL INDUSTRY
Financial Risk
 Net working capital days of the sector were recorded at 74 days up
~21% YOY (FY20: 61 days).
 Net working capital days of the sector increased due to increase in
inventory days. The suppliers had to maintain higher inventory levels
in order to meet demand as the declining share of exports from
India due to lockdown in FY21 shifted to Pakistan.
 Receivable days of the sector were recorded at 40 days during FY21
(FY20: 45 days). Companies usually sell their products at a credit of
more than one month.
 The disruptions in supply chain caused delays in payments to
suppliers, resulting in an increase in trade payable days of the sector
during FY20 (~133 days) and FY21 (~136 days), up from ~93 days
in FY19.
Source: PSX, PACRA
Internal Database
15
Note: Calculations are based on financials of 2 listed and 1 PACRA-
rated client.
34
47 47 45
40
88 88
13
3
13
6
12
2
12
3
12
9
14
8
67
82
93
82
61
74
2
0
0
40
60
80
12
0
10
0
14
0
16
0
FY1
7
FY1
8
FY1
9
FY2
0
FY2
1
Working Capital Days
180 170
Receivable
Days
Payable
Days
Inventory
Days
Net WC
Days
LEATHER | LOCAL INDUSTRY
Financial Risk
 According to SBP numbers, total outstanding debt of the
sector was recorded around PKR~41,831mln at end-Feb’22,
as compared to PKR~35,699 at end-Jun’21, depicting a
growth of ~17%.
 Export financing constitute major portion (~36%) of the total
debt as the sector is export oriented. This is followed by
short term and long term borrowing that makeup ~31% and
~23% of the total respectively.
 The sector is moderately leveraged. Gearing ratio of the
sector was recorded at ~40% during FY21 (FY20: ~39%).
Source: SBP, PSX, PACRA
Internal Database.
16
Note: Calculations are based on financials of 2 listed and 1 PACRA-
rated client.
36
%
31
%
23
%
7
%
Borrowing Mix -
Feb'22
3%
Export
Financing
Short term
Long term
Bills Purchased &
Discounted Others
Source: 12
LEATHER | LOCAL INDUSTRY
Tax and Regulatory Structure
PCT
Code
Description
Custom Duty
Additional
Custom
Duty
Regulatory
Duty
Total
FY21 FY22 FY21 FY22 FY21 FY22 FY21 FY22
42.03
Articles of apparel and clothing
accessories, of leather or of
composition leather.
20% 20% 7% 7% 0% 0% 27% 27%
64.03
Footwear with outer soles of rubber,
plastics, leather or composition leather
and uppers of leather. 20% 20% 7% 7% 0% 0% 27% 27%
4202.112Suit-cases, of leather or composition
leather
20% 20% 7% 7% 0% 0% 27% 27%
4202.21
Handbags, whether or not with shoulder
strap, including those without handle:
With outer surface of leather or of
composition leather 20% 20% 7% 7% 0% 0% 27% 27%
4202.31
Articles of a kind normally carried in the
pocket or in the handbag: With outer
surface of leather or of composition
leather
20% 20% 7% 7% 0% 0% 27% 27%
14
LEATHER | LOCAL INDUSTRY
SWOT Analysis
• Insufficient degree of advanced
technology, resulting in higher cost of
production as compared to international
competitors
• Lack of skilled labor force in the country
• Lack of strong presence in the global
fashion market
• Ample availability of raw material (hides
and skins of animals) locally
• Export friendly government policies
Strengths
Threat
s
Opportunitie
s
Weakness
es
• The introduction of low-priced
alternatives, such as synthetic leather
• High concentration in the European
market
• Increasing fashion consciousness, resulting
in a new market for leather garments and
footwear
• High untapped potential for exports in USA
and China
• Depreciating PKR, resulting in
increased revenue
• Both Global and Pakistan’s economy are on the path of recovery after the decline witnessed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, which
caused suspension in international travel and trade, leading to restricted demand for leather products. Now, with significant relaxations in
lockdowns in various countries and the government’s prudent policies, the leather industry of Pakistan is witnessing steady recovery.
• The growing population, in confluence with increasing fashion consciousness and demand for comfortable fashion products are escalating
the demand for leather products globally. Moreover, the growing interest in travelling is boosting the demand for leather products, especially
travel and luggage bags. The inflating income levels of individuals, particularly after the COVID, is also expected to increase the demand
for luxury and high-quality leather products.
• The fact that leather is one of the five export-oriented sector, and 80% of the sector comprises of SMEs, has made it a priority for
government policies. In Sep 2021, government allowed the SME exporters to get financing from banks without any collateral security. The
sector enjoys refund on sales tax as well. Moreover, the depreciating exchange rate has resulted in lower cost of Pakistani products in the
international market.
• The hike in policy rate during FY22 by 250bps has increased the finance costs for the industry. The inflation level in the country is also
consistently rising. The inflation rate accelerated to ~13% in Jan’22 as compared to ~5% in same period last year (Jan’21), and the
growth is expected to remain in double digits in the near future, negatively impacting the disposable incomes, and hence the demand for
high-quality and high-cost leather products.
• Going forward, the sector is expected to face challenges from regional competitors, particularly India, and increasing inflation and
finance costs. However, depreciating exchange rate, support from government, and changing fashion trends are expected to keep
the demand intact.
15
LEATHER | OUTLOOK & FUTURE PROSPECTS
Outlook: Stable
• Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
(PBS)
• Pakistan Stock Exchange
(PSX)
• State Bank of Pakistan (PBS)
• PACRA Database
• PR Newswire
• SOMO
• UN Comtrade
• PR Newswire
• Trade Map
LEATHER | BIBLIOGRAPHY
Research Team Saniya Tauseef
Asst. Manager
saniya.tauseef@pacra.co
m
Momina Rehman
Associate Analyst
momina.rehman@pacra.c
om
Contact Number: +92 42 35869504
DISCLAIMER
PACRA has used due care in preparation of this document. Our information has been obtained from sources we
consider to be reliable but its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed. The information in this document may
be copied or otherwise reproduced, in whole or in part, provided the source is duly acknowledged. The
presentation should not be relied upon as professional advice.
16

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leather (1).pptx

  • 2. 1 LEATHER | INTRODUCTION • Leather is one of the most widely traded commodities globally. The popularity of leather in various industries comes from its high tensile strength, good heat insulation, flexibility and durability. • The primary raw material for leather industry is derived from slaughter houses and waste from the meat industry. This raw material is processed and converted into usable leather in tanneries. Hence, tanning industry is considered as one of the primary leather processing units in the entire leather industry. • The demand in leather industry is driven by the fashion industry that includes footwear, garments, bags and belts. Apart from this, furniture and automotive industry also demand leather. The broad categories of leather industry include: • Tanned leather: Leather produced from treating skins and hides of animals • Garments: includes leather jackets, long Coats, waist coats, pants, and accessories such as gloves. • Footwear: includes formal footwear, boots, sandals and clogs with leather uppers for both men and women. • Bags and Belts: includes wallets, handbags, backpacks, cosmetic cases, laptop bags and leather belts. • Furniture: majorly used for furniture covers. • Automotive: majorly used for car interior, especially seat covers.
  • 3. Livestock Raw hide/skin Tanning and Polishing Final Goods LEATHER| INTRODUCTION Production Process Fashio n Industr y Retail Source: SOMO 2 Furnitur e Industr y Automotiv e Industry Slaughter Houses Pre- treatment Leather Goods Manufacturing Process
  • 4. • The global leather industry consisting of tanned leather, leather garments, gloves, bags & belts and footwear grew by ~6% YoY and reached a value of USD~370bln in CY21 (USD~351bln in CY20). • Approximately USD~34bln of leather and leather products were traded globally in CY20. Tanned leather was the highest traded product, making up ~22% of the total trade, followed by leather garments (~19%), gloves (~4%) and footwear (~2%). • Europe is the largest consumer of leather goods because of the strong presence of fashion-driven countries, such as France and Italy, product and technological innovations, rise in disposable income and online retailing. • The Asian leather market is expected to witness fastest growth in the coming years due to presence of large number of leather product manufacturers in the region. Currently, China produces 67% of the world’s shoes and exports 36% of its leather products. • Factors such as high cost of leather products and absence of developed supply chain in many major exporting countries is expected to hamper the growth of global leather market. However, increasing investment by well-known luxury brands and approach towards rising trends development, such as bio-leather products, are factors that are expected to create a whole new world of opportunities in the global leather industry. Source: PR Newswire, UN 2 LEATHER | GLOBAL INDUSTRY Overview Global Overview CY20 CY21 Market Size (USD bln) 350.7 370.0 Leather Trade - CY20 (USD bln) Tanned Leather 7.2 Leather Garments 6.3 Leather Gloves 1.3 Leather Footwear 0.7 Others 18.0 Total 33.6
  • 5. • The top ten countries collectively account for ~75% of the total global exports, where China alone contributes ~21% to the total, followed by Italy (~14%). Other major exporters include India, Germany and Hong Kong. Source: Trade 2 LEATHER | GLOBAL INDUSTRY Exports Top Exporters - CY20 (USD '000) Tanned Leather Garment s Leather Gloves Leather Footwear Italy 2,123,525 Italy 1,126,852 China 434,907 China 208,649 Brazil 556,862 China 823,972 Pakistan 225,195 Dominican Republic 120,469 China 497,230 India 602,636 India 179,692 Italy 63,012 Hong Kong 419,201 France 567,266 Germany 54,282 Singapore 39,682 Thailand 382,759 Pakistan 541,831 Sweden 35,959 Germany 29,842 Germany 313,203 Germany 363,045 Belgium 35,823 UAE 22,561 Austria 289,688 Netherlands 196,285 Bangladesh 30,453 Belgium 17,037 Vietnam 282,032 Hong Kong 192,904 Netherlands 28,582 Spain 14,637 India 255,945 Spain 179,061 France 22,147 Vietnam 14,577 Korea 210,951 UK 153,169 USA 22,067 Portugal 14,569 Other 1,894,180 Other 1,546,524 Other 244,160 Other 172,012 Total 7,225,576 Total 6,293,545 Total 1,313,267 Total 717,047
  • 6. • USA is the biggest importer of leather and leather products, making up ~11% of the global imports, whereas Germany comes in second with ~6% share. Other major importers include France and Vietnam. Source: Trade 2 LEATHER | GLOBAL INDUSTRY Imports Top Importers - CY20 (USD '000) Tanned Leather Garment s Leather Gloves Leather Footwear Vietnam 869,929 USA 1,084,86 5 USA 311,963 Germany 62,990 China 781,743 Germany 556,266 Germany 109,461 USA 27,798 Hong Kong 435,314 France 473,423 Canada 90,519 Poland 25,444 USA 353,359 Italy 332,271 France 67,660 UK 23,666 Indonesia 276,336 China 329,124 Japan 63,694 France 19,432 Mexico 272,275 UK 287,599 Sweden 46,659 Vietnam 15,000 Germany 265,442 Japan 240,387 UK 41,790 Belgium 14,069 Italy 251,556 Netherlands 227,338 Netherlands 38,025 Singapore 12,527 Romania 229,394 Hong Kong 217,894 Belgium 36,570 UAE 10,328 Poland 221,427 Korea 184,334 Poland 33,057 Korea 9,885 Other 3,268,801 Other 2,360,04 4 Other 473,869 Other 495,908 Total 7,225,576 Total 6,293,54 Total 1,313,267 Total 717,047
  • 7. • Pakistan’s leather industry earned a revenue of PKR~133bln in FY21 (USD~833mln), showing a growth of ~10% year-on-year as the international trade resumed in FY21 after the COVID-19 hit. • According to the Pakistan Tanners Association (PTA), Pakistan leather industry is ~95% export-oriented. Exports clocked in at PKR~133bln in FY21, up from PKR~120bln in FY20, depicting a growth of ~11%. Leather industry exports account for almost ~3% of total country’s exports. • The leather exports of the country observed this growth as there was a ~18% increase in the average unit price per square meter of tanned leather to USD~12.9 in FY21 (USD~10.9 in FY20). Moreover, export volumes also increased during the year. Volume of leather garments registered an increase of ~29% while gloves and footwear surged by ~37% and ~22% respectively. • However, the sector has seen a declining trend in the last few years. Leather exports stood at PKR~131bln in FY14 as compared to PKR~96bln in FY17. The main reasons behind the decline were delays in collection of fresh hides and skins particularly during Eid-ul-Adha, combined with absence of modern preservation techniques to avoid spoilage. This trend reversed in FY18 due to the export-friendly government policies. Source: PTA, PBS, 3 LEATHER | LOCAL INDUSTRY Overview Local Overview FY20 FY21 Market Size (~USD mln) 765 833 Market Size (~PKR bln) 121.2 133.7 Exports (~PKR bln) 120.4 133.3 No of players ~800 tanneries and 4 listed companies Exports Volume Leather Garments (‘000 Sq. M) 1,002 1,288 Leather Gloves (‘000 Dozen) 5,061 6,911 Leather Tanned (‘000 Sq. M) 16,915 12,558 Leather Footwear (‘000 Pairs) 6,587 8,034 Industry Association • Pakistan Tanners Association (PTA) • Pakistan Leather Garments Manufacturers and Exporters (PLGMEA) • Pakistan Footwear Manufacturers Association (PFMA)
  • 8. • Amongst the exports, leather garments makeup ~34% of the total, followed by gloves (~31%), leather tanned (~19%), and leather footwear (~13%). The industry is expected to continue to be one of five key export-oriented sectors (alongside textiles, sports goods, surgical goods and carpets) due to the fact that several of Pakistan’s leather products enjoy duty free access to the European Union (which is the largest consumer of leather goods globally) under the EU’s Generalized Scheme of Preferences (GSP+). • Germany, USA, UK, Spain, Netherlands, and France are the most common export destination for leather and leather products from Pakistan. Source: PTA, 3 LEATHER | LOCAL INDUSTRY Expo rt Top Exporters - FY21 (PKR mln) Exports (~PKR mln) Garment s Leather Gloves Leather Tanned Leather Footwear Germany 12,76 6 USA 10,274 Italy 4,250 Germany 5,394 FY20 FY21 USA 6,062 Canada 5,495 Vietnam 3,301 Italy 2,789 Spain 3,520 Germany 4,138 China 3,097 USA 2,047 Netherlands 3,345 Poland 2,198 Hongkong 2,210 Netherlands 1,515 Leather Gloves 33,512 41,630 UK 3,244 Sweden 2,098 Bangladesh 1,810 UK 1,115 France 3,006 UK 1,582 Korea 1,202 Spain 736 Belgium 1,615 Italy 1,365 Spain 1,075 France 621 Leather Footwear 16,885 17,389 Russia 1,335 Spain 1,245 Indonesia 965 Belgium 367 Italy 1,239 UAE 1,166 Germany 805 Yemen 256 Poland 1,198 France 1,128 South Africa 696 Afghanistan 226 Total 120,466 133,34 7 Others 8,558 Others 10,940 Others 6,378 Others 2,325 Total 45,88 Total 41,630 Total 25,790 Total 17,389
  • 9. LEATHER | LOCAL INDUSTRY 14 Business Risk: Margins & Cost Structure Source: PACRA Internal Database, PSX  Gross margins of leather sector have remained largely stable in the recent years, hovering within the range of ~25%-28%. The gross margins dipped slightly to ~27% (~28% in FY19) and net margins declined to ~8% in FY20 (9% in FY19) due to the low business activity in Europe caused by the COVID-related recession grips, and shift of exports revenue from India.  With the resumption in economic activities, gross margins restored to ~28% in FY21. However, operating margins failed to recover and instead declined further to ~6% in FY21 majorly because both air and sea freight charges increased significantly due to COVID.  Net margins improved to ~4% in FY21 (~2% in FY20) owing to historically low interest rates.  Raw and packing material constitute ~67% of the total COGS, followed by salaries and wages (~10%) and fuel costs (~5%). Note: Calculations are based on financials of 2 listed and 1 PACRA- rated client. 25 % 27 % 28 % 11 % 10 % 8 % 6 % 6 % 9 % 5 % 2 % 6 % 4 % 0 % 5 % 10 % 25 % 20 % 15 % 30 % FY1 7 FY1 8 FY1 9 FY2 0 FY2 1 Profitability Margins 28% 26 % Gross Margins Operating Margins Net Margins 67 % 10 % 1 % 5% 17 % COGS Breakup - FY21 Raw and packing materials consumed Salaries, wages and benefits Fuel and power Repairs and maintenance Other s
  • 10. LEATHER | LOCAL INDUSTRY Financial Risk  Net working capital days of the sector were recorded at 74 days up ~21% YOY (FY20: 61 days).  Net working capital days of the sector increased due to increase in inventory days. The suppliers had to maintain higher inventory levels in order to meet demand as the declining share of exports from India due to lockdown in FY21 shifted to Pakistan.  Receivable days of the sector were recorded at 40 days during FY21 (FY20: 45 days). Companies usually sell their products at a credit of more than one month.  The disruptions in supply chain caused delays in payments to suppliers, resulting in an increase in trade payable days of the sector during FY20 (~133 days) and FY21 (~136 days), up from ~93 days in FY19. Source: PSX, PACRA Internal Database 15 Note: Calculations are based on financials of 2 listed and 1 PACRA- rated client. 34 47 47 45 40 88 88 13 3 13 6 12 2 12 3 12 9 14 8 67 82 93 82 61 74 2 0 0 40 60 80 12 0 10 0 14 0 16 0 FY1 7 FY1 8 FY1 9 FY2 0 FY2 1 Working Capital Days 180 170 Receivable Days Payable Days Inventory Days Net WC Days
  • 11. LEATHER | LOCAL INDUSTRY Financial Risk  According to SBP numbers, total outstanding debt of the sector was recorded around PKR~41,831mln at end-Feb’22, as compared to PKR~35,699 at end-Jun’21, depicting a growth of ~17%.  Export financing constitute major portion (~36%) of the total debt as the sector is export oriented. This is followed by short term and long term borrowing that makeup ~31% and ~23% of the total respectively.  The sector is moderately leveraged. Gearing ratio of the sector was recorded at ~40% during FY21 (FY20: ~39%). Source: SBP, PSX, PACRA Internal Database. 16 Note: Calculations are based on financials of 2 listed and 1 PACRA- rated client. 36 % 31 % 23 % 7 % Borrowing Mix - Feb'22 3% Export Financing Short term Long term Bills Purchased & Discounted Others
  • 12. Source: 12 LEATHER | LOCAL INDUSTRY Tax and Regulatory Structure PCT Code Description Custom Duty Additional Custom Duty Regulatory Duty Total FY21 FY22 FY21 FY22 FY21 FY22 FY21 FY22 42.03 Articles of apparel and clothing accessories, of leather or of composition leather. 20% 20% 7% 7% 0% 0% 27% 27% 64.03 Footwear with outer soles of rubber, plastics, leather or composition leather and uppers of leather. 20% 20% 7% 7% 0% 0% 27% 27% 4202.112Suit-cases, of leather or composition leather 20% 20% 7% 7% 0% 0% 27% 27% 4202.21 Handbags, whether or not with shoulder strap, including those without handle: With outer surface of leather or of composition leather 20% 20% 7% 7% 0% 0% 27% 27% 4202.31 Articles of a kind normally carried in the pocket or in the handbag: With outer surface of leather or of composition leather 20% 20% 7% 7% 0% 0% 27% 27%
  • 13. 14 LEATHER | LOCAL INDUSTRY SWOT Analysis • Insufficient degree of advanced technology, resulting in higher cost of production as compared to international competitors • Lack of skilled labor force in the country • Lack of strong presence in the global fashion market • Ample availability of raw material (hides and skins of animals) locally • Export friendly government policies Strengths Threat s Opportunitie s Weakness es • The introduction of low-priced alternatives, such as synthetic leather • High concentration in the European market • Increasing fashion consciousness, resulting in a new market for leather garments and footwear • High untapped potential for exports in USA and China • Depreciating PKR, resulting in increased revenue
  • 14. • Both Global and Pakistan’s economy are on the path of recovery after the decline witnessed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, which caused suspension in international travel and trade, leading to restricted demand for leather products. Now, with significant relaxations in lockdowns in various countries and the government’s prudent policies, the leather industry of Pakistan is witnessing steady recovery. • The growing population, in confluence with increasing fashion consciousness and demand for comfortable fashion products are escalating the demand for leather products globally. Moreover, the growing interest in travelling is boosting the demand for leather products, especially travel and luggage bags. The inflating income levels of individuals, particularly after the COVID, is also expected to increase the demand for luxury and high-quality leather products. • The fact that leather is one of the five export-oriented sector, and 80% of the sector comprises of SMEs, has made it a priority for government policies. In Sep 2021, government allowed the SME exporters to get financing from banks without any collateral security. The sector enjoys refund on sales tax as well. Moreover, the depreciating exchange rate has resulted in lower cost of Pakistani products in the international market. • The hike in policy rate during FY22 by 250bps has increased the finance costs for the industry. The inflation level in the country is also consistently rising. The inflation rate accelerated to ~13% in Jan’22 as compared to ~5% in same period last year (Jan’21), and the growth is expected to remain in double digits in the near future, negatively impacting the disposable incomes, and hence the demand for high-quality and high-cost leather products. • Going forward, the sector is expected to face challenges from regional competitors, particularly India, and increasing inflation and finance costs. However, depreciating exchange rate, support from government, and changing fashion trends are expected to keep the demand intact. 15 LEATHER | OUTLOOK & FUTURE PROSPECTS Outlook: Stable
  • 15. • Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) • Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) • State Bank of Pakistan (PBS) • PACRA Database • PR Newswire • SOMO • UN Comtrade • PR Newswire • Trade Map LEATHER | BIBLIOGRAPHY Research Team Saniya Tauseef Asst. Manager saniya.tauseef@pacra.co m Momina Rehman Associate Analyst momina.rehman@pacra.c om Contact Number: +92 42 35869504 DISCLAIMER PACRA has used due care in preparation of this document. Our information has been obtained from sources we consider to be reliable but its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed. The information in this document may be copied or otherwise reproduced, in whole or in part, provided the source is duly acknowledged. The presentation should not be relied upon as professional advice. 16