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ENC1101 Writing an Argument Paper
Write a position paper to
· Organize and outline your viewpoint on an issue
· Formally inform others of your position
as a foundation to build resolution to difficult problems
· Present a unique, though biased, solution
or a unique approach to solving a problem
· Frame the discussion in order to define the "playing field."
This can put you in an advantageous position with those who
may not be so well prepared as regards the issues behind their
positions
· Establish your credibility
Here you are demonstrating that you have a command of the
issues and the research behind them, and can present them
clearly
· Let your passion be demonstrated in the force of your
argument
rather than in the use of emotional terms
· Guide you in being consistent in maintaining your position in
negotiation
The better prepared you are
the more disadvantaged are your opponents and more likely they
will defer to you
Guidelines:
· Format should be consistent with MLA guidelines
· Limit yourself to three pages plus a work cited page
· Three-four in text citations
· 4 sources (2 from mdc data base and 2 from google scholar)
Research:
· Develop supporting evidence for both sides
including factual knowledge, statistical evidence, authoritative
testimony
· Identify the issues and prejudices keeping in mind your
audience
List these as appropriate and anticipate counterclaims
· Assume familiarity with basic concepts
but define unfamiliar terms/concepts or state meanings that
define your point of departure
· Refer to those who agree with your position to assist you in
developing your argument
· Familiarize yourself with those who disagree with you to
prepare your defense.
Summarize their argument and evidence, then refute
Introduction:
Consider your audience:
start with a topic sentence or two that attracts attention and
summarizes the issue
Inform the reader of your point of view
Development:
Focus on three main points to develop
Each topic is developed with
· a general statement of the position
· an elaboration that references documents and source data
· past experiences and authoritative testimony
· conclusion restating the position
Establish flow from paragraph to paragraph
· Keep your voice active
· Quote sources to establish authority
· Stay focused on your point of view throughout the essay
· Focus on logical arguments
· Don't lapse into summary
in the development--wait for the conclusion
Conclusion
· Summarize, then conclude, your argument
· Refer to the first paragraph/opening statements
as well as the main points
· does the conclusion restate the main ideas?
· reflect the succession and importance of the arguments
· logically conclude their development?
Share a draft with others
to better develop the paper and ensure that your argument is
clear
Revise, spell-check, and succeed in building your case.
Name: weeks 1-3
Probability Island
You will collect the data for the population of an island
community. Then you will use and evaluate probability models.
You will be using this data for the next parts of your project.
Your ship is carrying 150 passengers – 75 adult females and 75
adult males – all in good health. An intense storm occurs and
your ship hits rocks and wrecks off the coast of a deserted
island in the Pacific Ocean. This island has the necessary
natural resources for human survival.
The ages of your passengers are recorded in the table below.
Age
Female
Male
20-29
10
10
30-39
10
10
40-49
10
10
50-59
15
15
60-69
15
15
70+
15
15
Total
75
75
Directions: Probability of births
1. For each woman aged 20-39, roll a die one time. If you get a
6, the woman has a baby. Flip a coin. If it’s heads, it’s a girl.
If it’s tails, it’s a boy. Complete Chart 1 on the next page to
track the births per year and the number of boys and girls.
Repeat this simulation for ten years. Note: There are 20 women
in these age groups. They are numbered 1 through 20 in the
chart. For the purposes of this project, assume all women in
these age groups remain capable of having children; keep
everyone in their assigned age groups.
2. Assuming the births occur as recorded, and that no one dies,
what is the population of your island at the end of the ten-year
period? Use Chart 2 to clearly show the population of your
island at the end of each year.
3. Showing your work, calculate the theoretical probability and
the experimental probability of:
a) A woman giving birth in any given year
b) Having a baby and it being a girl
c) Having a baby and it being a boy
4. Compare the theoretical probabilities to the experimental
probabilities. Use these results to discuss any similarities and/or
differences.
Chart 1.
Woman
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year
6
Year
7
Year
8
Year
9
Year
10
1
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
G
X
2
X
G
X
B
X
X
G
X
G
X
3
X
X
X
X
X
B
X
X
X
X
4
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
B
X
X
5
G
X
X
X
G
X
X
X
X
X
6
X
X
X
X
G
X
X
B
X
X
7
X
X
G
X
X
X
X
X
B
X
8
X
X
X
X
G
X
X
X
X
X
9
X
X
B
G
X
B
X
X
X
X
10
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
11
X
X
B
X
X
B
X
X
X
X
12
X
X
B
B
X
X
X
X
X
X
13
G
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
14
G
X
X
X
B
X
X
X
X
X
15
X
G
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
16
X
X
X
G
X
X
X
X
B
X
17
G
X
X
X
X
B
X
B
X
X
18
B
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
19
X
X
X
X
G
X
X
X
X
X
20
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
Total boys
1
O
3
2
1
4
0
3
2
0
Total girls
4
2
1
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
Total Births
5
2
4
4
5
4
0
3
4
0
Chart 2
Year
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Male
75
76
76
79
81
82
86
86
89
91
91
Female
75
79
81
82
84
88
88
89
89
91
91
Total
150
155
157
161
165
170
174
175
178
182
182
3a- The probability of a woman having a baby any given year
would be.
The probability would be ½. You have a total of 10 years and 20
women. So in 10 years its possible 20 women can give birth any
given year.
3b- The probability of a woman having a baby and it being a
girl would.
A total of 16 girls were born over the 10 years out of 20
women. That would be a total out of 4/5.
3c-The probability of a woman having a baby and it being a boy
would be.
A total of 16 boys were born over the 10 years out of 20
women. That would also be a total of 4/5.
4. Out of 20 women in 10 years it is possible for any of them to
get pregnant. 16 girls are born and 16 boys are born which is
pretty even and would be the same just different genders.
Name: weeks 9-11
Graphing Island
Directions
Your population is thriving on your island. The data you have
collected now needs to be displayed and further analyzed. Use
the charts you created in the probability portion in weeks 1-3
for this part of the project. Always show your calculations or
explain how you used technology. Take a picture of your
calculator if you used that or submit your excel worksheet.
1. a. Create a Scatter Plot using the total population for each of
the years from the Probability Island. The horizontal axis
should always represent time.
b. Use linear regression or a trendline in Excel to find the
equation of the best fit line.
c. Find the Correlation Coefficient. Explain what this means
for your data.
d. Use the equation to predict the population in year 20.
2. a. Use the first and last data points of the total population for
each of the years from the Probability Island to find a linear
equation to model the data.
b. Graph the equation.
c. Compare the slope of the Linear Regression Line of question
1 with the slope of this line. Provide an explanation of why
they may similar or differ.
d. Use the equation to predict the population in year 20.
3. a. Assume that (0,150) represents the vertex of a quadratic
equation. Find a quadratic equation using the tenth-year
population as another point.
b. Graph the equation.
c. Use the equation to predict the population in year 20.
4. Using the equation y = 2x2 -9x +4, explain and demonstrate
how to find the x-intercepts, the y-intercept, the axis of
symmetry, and the vertex of a quadratic equation.

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ENC1101 Writing an Argument PaperWrite a position paper to· Or

  • 1. ENC1101 Writing an Argument Paper Write a position paper to · Organize and outline your viewpoint on an issue · Formally inform others of your position as a foundation to build resolution to difficult problems · Present a unique, though biased, solution or a unique approach to solving a problem · Frame the discussion in order to define the "playing field." This can put you in an advantageous position with those who may not be so well prepared as regards the issues behind their positions · Establish your credibility Here you are demonstrating that you have a command of the issues and the research behind them, and can present them clearly · Let your passion be demonstrated in the force of your argument rather than in the use of emotional terms · Guide you in being consistent in maintaining your position in negotiation The better prepared you are the more disadvantaged are your opponents and more likely they will defer to you Guidelines: · Format should be consistent with MLA guidelines · Limit yourself to three pages plus a work cited page · Three-four in text citations · 4 sources (2 from mdc data base and 2 from google scholar) Research: · Develop supporting evidence for both sides including factual knowledge, statistical evidence, authoritative testimony · Identify the issues and prejudices keeping in mind your
  • 2. audience List these as appropriate and anticipate counterclaims · Assume familiarity with basic concepts but define unfamiliar terms/concepts or state meanings that define your point of departure · Refer to those who agree with your position to assist you in developing your argument · Familiarize yourself with those who disagree with you to prepare your defense. Summarize their argument and evidence, then refute Introduction: Consider your audience: start with a topic sentence or two that attracts attention and summarizes the issue Inform the reader of your point of view Development: Focus on three main points to develop Each topic is developed with · a general statement of the position · an elaboration that references documents and source data · past experiences and authoritative testimony · conclusion restating the position Establish flow from paragraph to paragraph · Keep your voice active · Quote sources to establish authority · Stay focused on your point of view throughout the essay · Focus on logical arguments · Don't lapse into summary in the development--wait for the conclusion Conclusion · Summarize, then conclude, your argument · Refer to the first paragraph/opening statements as well as the main points · does the conclusion restate the main ideas? · reflect the succession and importance of the arguments
  • 3. · logically conclude their development? Share a draft with others to better develop the paper and ensure that your argument is clear Revise, spell-check, and succeed in building your case. Name: weeks 1-3 Probability Island You will collect the data for the population of an island community. Then you will use and evaluate probability models. You will be using this data for the next parts of your project. Your ship is carrying 150 passengers – 75 adult females and 75 adult males – all in good health. An intense storm occurs and your ship hits rocks and wrecks off the coast of a deserted island in the Pacific Ocean. This island has the necessary natural resources for human survival. The ages of your passengers are recorded in the table below. Age Female Male 20-29 10 10 30-39 10 10 40-49 10 10 50-59 15 15 60-69 15
  • 4. 15 70+ 15 15 Total 75 75 Directions: Probability of births 1. For each woman aged 20-39, roll a die one time. If you get a 6, the woman has a baby. Flip a coin. If it’s heads, it’s a girl. If it’s tails, it’s a boy. Complete Chart 1 on the next page to track the births per year and the number of boys and girls. Repeat this simulation for ten years. Note: There are 20 women in these age groups. They are numbered 1 through 20 in the chart. For the purposes of this project, assume all women in these age groups remain capable of having children; keep everyone in their assigned age groups. 2. Assuming the births occur as recorded, and that no one dies, what is the population of your island at the end of the ten-year period? Use Chart 2 to clearly show the population of your island at the end of each year. 3. Showing your work, calculate the theoretical probability and the experimental probability of: a) A woman giving birth in any given year b) Having a baby and it being a girl c) Having a baby and it being a boy 4. Compare the theoretical probabilities to the experimental probabilities. Use these results to discuss any similarities and/or differences. Chart 1. Woman Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
  • 14. 182 3a- The probability of a woman having a baby any given year would be. The probability would be ½. You have a total of 10 years and 20 women. So in 10 years its possible 20 women can give birth any given year. 3b- The probability of a woman having a baby and it being a girl would. A total of 16 girls were born over the 10 years out of 20 women. That would be a total out of 4/5. 3c-The probability of a woman having a baby and it being a boy would be. A total of 16 boys were born over the 10 years out of 20 women. That would also be a total of 4/5. 4. Out of 20 women in 10 years it is possible for any of them to get pregnant. 16 girls are born and 16 boys are born which is pretty even and would be the same just different genders. Name: weeks 9-11 Graphing Island Directions Your population is thriving on your island. The data you have collected now needs to be displayed and further analyzed. Use the charts you created in the probability portion in weeks 1-3 for this part of the project. Always show your calculations or explain how you used technology. Take a picture of your calculator if you used that or submit your excel worksheet. 1. a. Create a Scatter Plot using the total population for each of the years from the Probability Island. The horizontal axis should always represent time. b. Use linear regression or a trendline in Excel to find the
  • 15. equation of the best fit line. c. Find the Correlation Coefficient. Explain what this means for your data. d. Use the equation to predict the population in year 20. 2. a. Use the first and last data points of the total population for each of the years from the Probability Island to find a linear equation to model the data. b. Graph the equation. c. Compare the slope of the Linear Regression Line of question 1 with the slope of this line. Provide an explanation of why they may similar or differ. d. Use the equation to predict the population in year 20. 3. a. Assume that (0,150) represents the vertex of a quadratic equation. Find a quadratic equation using the tenth-year population as another point. b. Graph the equation. c. Use the equation to predict the population in year 20. 4. Using the equation y = 2x2 -9x +4, explain and demonstrate how to find the x-intercepts, the y-intercept, the axis of symmetry, and the vertex of a quadratic equation.