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Stavros	
  A.	
  ZENIOS	
  
University	
  of	
  Cyprus	
  
Senior	
  Fellow,	
  The	
  Wharton	
  School,	
  USA	
  
Transparency and Accountability:
Civil Society Calls for Reforms
Key	
  points	
  
¤ 	
  We	
  were	
  wronged	
  
¤ 	
  We	
  were	
  wrong	
  	
  	
  
We	
  were	
  wronged:	
  
	
  Impact	
  of	
  Greek	
  PSI	
  on	
  eurozone	
  countries	
  	
  
!! Cyprus! Greece! Germany! Belgium! France! Portugal!
! ! ! ! ! ! !
%!of!GDP! 23.03! 11.65! 0.14! 0.56! 0.25! 0.25!
Source:!EBA!and!author’s!calculations.!EBA!data!available!at!
http://www.eba.europa.eu/documents/10180/15935/CY006.pdf!
!
We were wronged:
ad hoc bail-in
¤  Directive 2014/59 issued in 2014.
¤  Article 44 -scope of bail-in:
¤  Exempts covered deposits
¤  Accrued salary
¤  Pension benefits
¤  Liabilities arising from the provision of goods or services that are critical to
the daily functioning of the creditor.
¤  Capital controls
Cyprus bail-in detrimental to notion of common currency.
We were wronged:
unfairness of the bail-in
¤  Bailed-in depositors of BOC contributed €3,806mil in cash and
received shares at €1.00 per share.
¤  CPB contributed net assets €425mil and received shares at €0.503.
¤  Capitalization of BOC was €371,95mil and received shares at €20,66.
¤  81.5% bailed-in depositors, 18.1% ex-CPB, 0.4% BOC shareholders.
¤  82.7% bailed-in depositors, 9.2% ex-CPB, 8.1% BOC shareholders.
Fail the John Rawles “veil of ignorance” test.
We were wronged:
narrative of money laundering
Spiegel, 5 November 2012
German Secret Services Secret report
Basel Institute of Governance
AML Index
Cyprus 4.93
Holland 5.03
Germany 5.80
Financial Action Task Force
Narrative of money laundering
Is it true? No it is not!
Fits Noam Chomsky theories.
We were wrong
Shadow economy
Political corruption
Cronyism
Shadow economy
Shadow Economies All over the World
Policy Research Working Paper 5356, The World Bank
Country % GDP
Switzerland 8.5
USA 8.6
Singapore 13
Ireland 12
Italy 21
Greece 24
Cyprus 25
EU-27 18.5
Political corruption
¤  GRECO Report of Council of Europe 2011
¤  Transparency in party financing
¤  Eight significant recommendations
¤  Only 2 partially complied by 2013
Don’t get mad, get even.
Transparency Now!
¤  Petition
¤  5000 signatures
¤  Public pressure –TV, radio, newspapers, social media
¤  Elections challenge
Approved by Council of Ministers, February 2015.
Cronyism
¤  Electoral reform: Horizontal Voting
Active citizens:
Regenerate, Reform, Reveal
E-petitions
Conclusions	
  
¤ 	
  We	
  are	
  fixing	
  our	
  mistakes	
  	
  
¤ 	
  EU	
  InsLtuLons	
  should	
  fix	
  theirs	
  	
  	
  
Βιβλιογραφία
Zenios,	
  S.A.,	
  The	
  Cyprus	
  debt:	
  Perfect	
  crisis	
  and	
  a	
  way	
  forward.
hXp://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2233239	
  
Zenios,	
  S.A.,	
  Fairness	
  and	
  reflexivity	
  in	
  the	
  Cyprus	
  bail	
  in
hXp://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2409284	
  
	
  	
  
	
  

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Transparency and Accountability: Civil society calls for reforms

  • 1. Stavros  A.  ZENIOS   University  of  Cyprus   Senior  Fellow,  The  Wharton  School,  USA   Transparency and Accountability: Civil Society Calls for Reforms
  • 2. Key  points   ¤   We  were  wronged   ¤   We  were  wrong      
  • 3. We  were  wronged:    Impact  of  Greek  PSI  on  eurozone  countries     !! Cyprus! Greece! Germany! Belgium! France! Portugal! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! %!of!GDP! 23.03! 11.65! 0.14! 0.56! 0.25! 0.25! Source:!EBA!and!author’s!calculations.!EBA!data!available!at! http://www.eba.europa.eu/documents/10180/15935/CY006.pdf! !
  • 4. We were wronged: ad hoc bail-in ¤  Directive 2014/59 issued in 2014. ¤  Article 44 -scope of bail-in: ¤  Exempts covered deposits ¤  Accrued salary ¤  Pension benefits ¤  Liabilities arising from the provision of goods or services that are critical to the daily functioning of the creditor. ¤  Capital controls Cyprus bail-in detrimental to notion of common currency.
  • 5. We were wronged: unfairness of the bail-in ¤  Bailed-in depositors of BOC contributed €3,806mil in cash and received shares at €1.00 per share. ¤  CPB contributed net assets €425mil and received shares at €0.503. ¤  Capitalization of BOC was €371,95mil and received shares at €20,66. ¤  81.5% bailed-in depositors, 18.1% ex-CPB, 0.4% BOC shareholders. ¤  82.7% bailed-in depositors, 9.2% ex-CPB, 8.1% BOC shareholders. Fail the John Rawles “veil of ignorance” test.
  • 6. We were wronged: narrative of money laundering
  • 7. Spiegel, 5 November 2012 German Secret Services Secret report
  • 8. Basel Institute of Governance AML Index Cyprus 4.93 Holland 5.03 Germany 5.80
  • 10. Narrative of money laundering Is it true? No it is not! Fits Noam Chomsky theories.
  • 11. We were wrong Shadow economy Political corruption Cronyism
  • 12. Shadow economy Shadow Economies All over the World Policy Research Working Paper 5356, The World Bank Country % GDP Switzerland 8.5 USA 8.6 Singapore 13 Ireland 12 Italy 21 Greece 24 Cyprus 25 EU-27 18.5
  • 13. Political corruption ¤  GRECO Report of Council of Europe 2011 ¤  Transparency in party financing ¤  Eight significant recommendations ¤  Only 2 partially complied by 2013 Don’t get mad, get even.
  • 14. Transparency Now! ¤  Petition ¤  5000 signatures ¤  Public pressure –TV, radio, newspapers, social media ¤  Elections challenge Approved by Council of Ministers, February 2015.
  • 17. Conclusions   ¤   We  are  fixing  our  mistakes     ¤   EU  InsLtuLons  should  fix  theirs      
  • 18. Βιβλιογραφία Zenios,  S.A.,  The  Cyprus  debt:  Perfect  crisis  and  a  way  forward. hXp://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2233239   Zenios,  S.A.,  Fairness  and  reflexivity  in  the  Cyprus  bail  in hXp://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2409284