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Private Savings 1
How can we ensure that Americans will have sufficient private
savings for their retirement?
Economic Perspectives and Public Policy
Seth Greek
Rollins College, ECO 404
Private Savings 2
Abstract
The purpose of this paper is to look at retirement savings and income in the United
States. Currently, about 20% of Americans do not save any of their income (Vasel, 2015). The
Social Security program, established to provide and supplement retirement income, is projected
to run out of funds at some point in the next century if legislative changes are not made (Social
Security Administration 2015). It is apparent that there is a retirement problem; it exists now,
and there are high chances of it getting worse in the future. This paper will discuss solutions to
this retirement problem, arguing that it is necessary to increase private savings so that more
Americans can retire. To do so fairly and justly, each economic perspective – the Left, the
Center, and the Right – will be considered. This paper will evaluate each economic perspective’s
values, basic beliefs, best practices, and evidence used in decision-making, to arrive at
conclusions that would be held by an economist of that perspective.
Introduction
Retirement – it’s a topic of many important discussions in both the public and private
spheres. It is the dream of almost every man and woman to be able to live a life of leisure
without work. Human physiology also necessitates this dream. Every person, if he lives long
enough, will be required to give up employment at some point due to old age. Retirement is an
issue of human weakness (in more ways than one), personal finance, and public policy. It’s an
issue of private property protections, economic stability, and even inequality.
Before moving forward, it is necessary to establish some basic definitions in order to
eliminate as much ambiguity and confusion as possible. Retirement is the point at which an
individual can cease employment for the rest of his life. To retire, an individual will need some
Private Savings 3
way to pay all of his bills – an income of money – as he will no longer have employment. For the
sake of simplicity, all sources of money to pay bills during retirement will be referred to as
retirement savings.
So for this paper, people will be separated into two categories: those who have access to
enough retirement savings to pay their bills during retirement, and those who do not. From this
division the policy question for this paper arises: How can we ensure that Americans will have
sufficient savings for their retirement? It’s been established that each individual must have
enough retirement savings (of some type) to retire and still be able to pay his bills. On a
macroeconomic level, there must be sufficient national savings allocated in such a way that each
American has access to at least the amount of money that he will need to live. National Savings
is understood to be a sum of public savings (which is funded by taxes) and private savings
(Piketty, 2013). Thus there are two different sources of savings that might help to answer the
policy question.
Public sources of retirement money are not typically considered savings in
macroeconomics. In the traditional sense, Americans pay taxes to the government, who then
spend that money in different ways, such as providing retirement income to those in need. Taxes,
less government expenditures, equals public savings. However for the sake of simplicity once
again, this paper will assume that tax money paid to the government is not immediately spent.
Instead, it must be “saved” for at least some period of time. So when the government needs to
allocate retirement income for Americans, it will use the public savings that are funded through
taxes.
These public savings are well known as social programs like Medicare and Social
Security. They are not actually savings programs, but they do provide money to retirees so that
Private Savings 4
they can pay their bills, so they will be considered public savings. Medicare is a health insurance
program for people age 65 and older. It is funded by a trust fund managed by the U.S. Treasury.
The trust fund is funded with a payroll tax of 1.45% up to an income ceiling of $118,500.
(Medicare.gov, 2015).
Social Security is often discussed when looking at retirement issues in the United States.
The Social Security Administration began in 1935, when the Social Security Board was signed
into law by President Roosevelt. It has since evolved to its current state. Today, Social Security
is funded in a similar manner to Medicare. It is funded by a trust fund that is managed by the
U.S. Treasury. Workers pay a Social Security tax of 6.2% up to an income ceiling of $118,500,
which finances the trust fund. Americans at retirement age (currently 66 years of age) can begin
receiving retirement income, which is based on their income that they received while they were
working. (Social Security Administration, 2015b).
This paper will make the assumption that the issue of retirement savings will need to be
handled without the utilization of these public savings programs in their current state. The reason
for this is simple. In A Summary of the 2014 Annual Reports by the Social Security and Medicare
Boards of Trustees, it is stated that “Neither Medicare nor Social Security can sustain projected
long-run program costs in full under currently scheduled financing, and legislative changes are
necessary to avoid disruptive consequences for beneficiaries and taxpayers.” (Social Security…
2015). Figure 1 provides a visual description of when the different trust funds are projected to
run out of money:
Private Savings 5
Figure 1
OASI: Old Age and Survivor’s Insurance
DI: Disability Insurance
HI: Hospital Insurance
Source: Social Security and Medicare Boards of Trustees,2015
The purpose of this paper is not to criticize any particular program, perspective, or point
of view. Instead, it is an attempt to look for solutions to the current retirement issues. Since the
“public savings” programs mentioned above are unsustainable in their current state, this paper
will move forward mostly considering private savings retirement solutions, though public
solutions will come into play later on for certain perspectives. This leads to a new and improved
policy question: How can we ensure that Americans will have sufficient private savings for
their retirement? But the current question is still quite vague and unclear. What exactly fits into
the category of private savings? And what level of savings should be deemed as sufficient?
It’s already been established that for this paper, retirement savings will be any source of
money that can be used to pay bills during retirement. Private savings is all income that is left
Private Savings 6
over after a person’s, household’s, or business’ taxes and bills have been paid. Private savings is
positive net wealth, and net wealth can be increased over time.
Wealth can take many different forms. Wealth, in the form of cash, can simply be placed
into a savings account at a bank. Wealth can be invested in a variety of ways. It can be invested
in real estate. It can be put into different investment vehicles like stocks, bonds, commodities,
mutual funds, and many others (I am not going to spend too much time defining these investment
options. What is important to know is that wealth can be invested, with the hope that a good
investment will be made, and the wealth will grow over time). And of course wealth can just be
kept as cash. Wealth is saved in a variety of different ways. It can be saved for different reasons,
such as making a large purchase like a car or a house, or taking a family vacation. However for
this paper, the purpose of saving up wealth will be for retirement. People save their surplus
income so that at some point, they will be able to cease working, retire, and still be able to pay
their bills.
Of course it is possible that an individual can have “employment” even after they’ve
“retired”. Many people have established themselves as business owners or experts in their field,
allowing them to earn an income while putting forth little time and effort, without being
traditionally employed. But for the purpose of this paper, these established experts and business
owners will simply be assumed to be wealthy, in that they have enough savings to retire. Just as
the average individual might work, be paid, and build up savings for retirement, the business
owners and experts have worked and earned knowledge and experience, and those things will
also provide money to pay bills during retirement.
Moving forward, private savings will be any type of wealth, or source of wealth, that can
be turned into cash to pay bills during retirement. Private savings will be cash, savings accounts,
Private Savings 7
investments, or any type of knowledge or expertise that will allow a person to retire, work very
little, and pay his bills.
Now, it will be helpful to define the amount of private savings required to retire. The idea
of retiring comfortable can be very vague, as some people might wish to travel the world. Some
people might wish to move somewhere new, retiring at the beach or in a different country. Some
people might wish to shower their grandchildren with gifts and vacations. There are countless
ways in which retirement can be lived out. To avoid the inherent complexity in this discussion,
this paper will only attempt to define an estimate of the minimum necessary to survive in the
U.S.
The Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) Living Wage Calculator estimates the
cost of living for all 50 states, as well as all counties within those states. This cost of living
calculator measures the amount of money necessary to survive at a certain standard of living.
MIT takes into account things like food, healthcare, housing, transportation, taxes, and other
necessities to estimate the amount of money that will be necessary to live in a certain city or
state. Taking a basic average of the calculator’s state results, it is estimated that an individual
needs an income of about $20,000 per year to maintain a sufficient standard of living in the
United States. For a household of two, it is estimated that they will need an income of about
$30,000 per year to maintain a sufficient standard of living (Glasmeier, 2015). These figures of
$20,000 per year for an individual and $30,000 per year for a couple will be a basic benchmark
to establish an “adequate” retirement income. This, of course, is the most basic minimum, but it
is necessary to avoid over-complexity.
With these figures, it can be quite simple to quickly and roughly estimate how much
savings that a person or household would require to meet the basic cost of living standard. To
Private Savings 8
calculate this, extremely conservative values will be used, so that only a minimum benchmark
can be established. For example, if a person or household had $1,000,000 in private retirement
savings, it would be quite easy to earn an annual rate of return of 5% on that money (Epperson,
2012). This would yield an annual income of $50,000. Even after taxes, at a rate of 20%, there
would still be $40,000 left over, which is still well-above the minimum costs of living in the
United States, and the principle investment would never be touched. Another way of looking at
this is according to life expectancy. The Social Security Administration expects a man or woman
that has reached the age of 65, to live, on average, to the age of about 85 (give or take a year or
so, with women projected to live slightly longer than men) (Social Security Administration,
2015a). A Gallup Poll in 2014 reported that the current average age of retirement in the U.S. is
62 (Rifkin, 2014). For the sake of easy, conservative math, that number can be rounded down to
60. Based on life expectancy, an individual retiree would need at minimum $20,000 per year for
about 25 years, which comes out to $500,000 (not invested, without any growth) These are very
rough estimates, done simply for the sake of getting a feeling for the amount of money that is
necessary to retire. $1,000,000 and $500,000 are huge sums of money, and this paper is not an
attempt to give investment or retirement advice. The figures shown above are simply an attempt
to explore the current retirement atmosphere in the United States in order to accurately propose
policy prescriptions later on.
Economic Contexts
The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis reports that the current personal savings rate (the
proportion of savings to income after taxes) in the U.S. is 5.5% (Federal Reserve Bank of St.
Private Savings 9
Louis, 2015). Figure 2 reports that the U.S. personal savings rate has been steadily declining
since the mid-1970s, where it peaked over 16%:
Figure 2
Source: St. Louis Fed
The National Institute on Retirement Security (NIRS, 2015) reported in 2010 that the
median retirement account balance for heads of household ages 25-64 in the U.S. was only
$3000. Even for retirement age individuals, ages 55-64, the median retirement account balance
for households with retirement accounts is only $100,000, which alone would not be enough to
live off of during retirement. Refer to Figure 3 for a description of median retirement account
balances:
Private Savings 10
Figure 3
Source: NIRS, 2015
Retirement USA, a national initiative working towards a new retirement system, reports
that “Half of people age 65 and over receive income of less than $18,337 a year from all sources.
One quarter have incomes of less than $11,139” (Retirement USA, 2015). And to make matters
worse, the Employee Benefit Research Institute reports that current life expectancies are
expected to rise by about a year over the next decade (Greene and Monga, 2013) see figure 4 for
a summary by the Wall Street Journal:
Private Savings 11
Figure 4
Source: Greene and Monga (2013)
Why are Americans having trouble saving for retirement? What are the economic and
political contexts that might be influencing human action leading up to retirement? And how
might our understanding of psychology and behavior help to explain the current retirement
problem? The answers to these questions will be discussed through the next sections, looking at
taxes, debt, and human behavior. And once the policy issue is more thoroughly understood, it
will be easier to address it from each perspective.
Taxes
The first way to understand private savings is by looking at disposable income, which is
the amount of income money that is left over after an individual has paid his taxes. When an
individual’s disposable income increases, he will spend some of it, and he will save some of it.
There are two ways to increase disposable income. The first way is to increase total income, such
as by getting a raise or a better-paying job. The second way is to pay less in taxes. This paper is
not meant to be a guide on getting a raise or getting a better-paying job, but it is important to
understand that things like education and training have a strong effect on increasing disposable
Private Savings 12
income and private savings. The three economic perspectives, however, will be very concerned
with U.S. tax law, as it is a macroeconomic tool that can greatly influence private savings.
The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) reported in 2008 that overwhelming complexity is
one of the biggest obstacles that the IRS must overcome. They reported that the U.S. Internal
Revenue Code is currently over 3.7 million words. The code is also growing rapidly, tripling in
length since 1975. The tax compliance industry is estimated to cost the U.S. economy about 14%
(almost $200 billion) of all aggregate tax income that the United States brings in (IRS, 2008).
But with the goal of just understanding private retirement savings, it will only be helpful to
understand a few specific parts of the tax code. The next few paragraphs will be concerned with
income taxes, real estate taxes, the capital gain tax, and the taxation of retirement-specific
accounts.
The U.S. income tax is progressive, in that the tax rate will typically increase as income
increases. In Figure 5 found below, the marginal tax rates according to income are summarized:
Figure 5
If your filing status is Single
Taxable Income
But not Marginal
RateOver --- over ---
$0 $9,225 10%
$9,225 $37,450 15%
$37,450 $90,750 25%
$90,750 $189,300 28%
$189,300 $411,500 33%
$411,500 $413,200 35%
$413,200 and over 39.6%
Source: TPC 2014
Private Savings 13
The marginal rate system can be a bit confusing at first, but it is easily explained. For example,
an individual might make $50,000 per year. That individual would pay a 10% tax rate on the first
$9,225 that he makes, which would result in an income tax of $922.50. The individual would
then pay a 15% tax rate on the next portion of income, from $9,225 to $37,450 ($28,335 total, so
the income tax on this portion of income would be $4,233.75). Lastly, the individual would pay a
25% tax rate on all income made in excess of $37,450, up to $90,750. Since the individual made
a total of $50,000 in the year, he would pay the 25% rate on $12,550, which is $3,137.50. So, in
total, the individual will have paid $8,293.70, or an effective tax rate of 16.5%.
Almost all forms of property are taxed by local governments in the United States. It
would take an entire study to properly discuss property taxes, since each county has different real
estate values, valuation methods, and tax needs. For a quick summary of median property taxes
in the U.S., refer to the map, Figure 6 below:
Figure 6
Source: Tax Foundation (2011)
Private Savings 14
It’s important to understand that property taxes affect private savings in multiple ways. First,
people might invest in real estate as a form of retirement savings. If property taxes are high, it
might push people away from investing in real estate, or vice versa. Also, a homeowner will
have to pay property taxes on his home. This lowers disposable income, which in turn might lead
to lower savings.
Assets can also be taxed, if they result in a capital gain (if the asset is sold for more
money than was paid for it). Capital gains can occur with all types of assets, such as real estate,
stocks, and even antiques. In a 2015 discussion of capital gains and losses, the IRS reports that
most capital gains will be taxed at a rate of 15%, though individuals in the highest tax bracket
will pay a capital gains rate of 20% (IRS, 2015a). Capital gains taxes are important to understand
because they affect how individuals will invest and save their money.
There are an incredible amount of investment options that are specifically for retirement.
Some are taxed differently than others, so only a few of the most popular programs will be
discussed below in Figure 7:
Figure 7
Type of Account Contributions Growth Retirement
Distributions
Other
Features
401K, 403B Contributions are
made pre-tax
Not Taxed Retirement
Distributions are
taxed
Employer
Matching
Potential,
Distribution
Rules
Individual
Retirement
Account (IRA)
Pre-tax Not taxed Retirement
Distributions are
taxed
Distribution
Rules
Roth IRA Post-tax Not taxed Not taxed No
Distribution
Rules
Source: IRS (2015)b
Private Savings 15
There are just a few features of these retirement-specific accounts that should be remembered.
First, the way money is taxed will affect the type of account that an individual might use for
retirement saving. Second, the way people feel about the future might affect what type of
account they will use. And third, employer-related programs, like employer matching, or even
just having an employer that encourages the use of a retirement account, can encourage people to
save for retirement.
Debt
High levels of household debt can also affect the savings patterns in the U.S. To
understand these potential effects, it can be helpful to know a little basic accounting first. An
individual’s net wealth is equal to his assets (like cash, savings, a house, cars, and other
belongings) less any liabilities he might have (like a home loan, credit card debt, or student
loans). So when people have debt, they will need to pay off that debt at some point using their
assets. Debt can also prevent people from building up savings in the first place, since making
payments means there is less income left over to save.
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York reports that U.S. Household Debt is currently at
$11.83 trillion, though it has decreased almost 7% since its peak in 2008 (The Federal Reserve
Bank of New York, 2015). The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau estimates that student
loans outstanding totals about $1.2 trillion, and it’s been growing rapidly in the past decade (the
outstanding loan balance increased by 20% between 2011 and 2013) (The Federal Reserve Bank
of New York, 2015). Rising debt is not necessarily a negative indicator. More student loans
means more people are getting an education, and earning a higher wage in the workforce.
Household debt can mean that lots of people are buying houses as well. Thus, rising debt can be
either a positive or a negative, so the statistics are open to interpretation.
Private Savings 16
Human Behavior
One might argue that saving for retirement is simply an issue of rationality. It makes
sense that people should exercise a bit of self-control and planning in order to have enough
money to retire later on. So why don’t more people do it? There have been many studies that
attempt to answer this question. In a paper in The Journal of Economic Perspectives, Benartzi
and Thaler suggest that people are too passive, in that they aren’t willing to take the time to learn
about retirement plans, or adjust their current strategies (Benartzi and Thaler, 2007). In The
Economic Journal, Moav and Neeman suggest that people neglect saving and opt to spend more
so that they can send false signals of wealth to their peers (Moav and Neeman, 2012). The point
is that simple, “rational” retirement planning is not as simple as it might seem. Even if an
individual does have a plan, they have to stick to that plan for decades. Emotions, peers,
emergencies, and human desires all play important roles in our ability to save for retirement. And
on top of all of those human factors, taxes, debt, and income also factor into the equation.
In the next section, the three major economic perspectives – Left, Center, and Right –
will be explained and evaluated, in order to properly address the policy question: How can we
ensure that Americans will have sufficient private savings, so that they can at least afford
the minimum costs of living during their retirement?
Economic Perspectives
It is almost impossible to properly debate a topic without first having a strong
understanding of the values and beliefs of those who disagree with you. It is with this in mind
that this section is written, because it is of the utmost importance to be able to understand all
arguments, from differing perspectives. Once this understanding has occurred, a proper,
Private Savings 17
constructive, and educational debate can occur. There are three major economic perspectives
today: the Left, Center, and Right. This section will discuss each of these perspectives,
evaluating their values, beliefs about market systems, theories and methods, and how the types of
evidence that they use to approach policy problems. For a summary of the following evaluation,
refer to figure 7:
Figure 7
Left Center Right
Values and Norms  Democracy
 Egalitarianism
 Exceptions for personal
responsibility
 Rights of future citizens
 Efficiency
 Freedom tempered by
fairness
 Private Property
constrained by
efficiency and market
failures (if necessary)
 Personal responsibility
for the able, others need
temporary/lifelong help
 Freedom
 Private Property Rights
 Personal Responsibility
(Absoluteresponsibility
is ideal)
BasicBeliefs about
appropriate roles of
government and market
mechanisms
 The market is possibly
the best way to allocate
resources, but often fails
 Government should
intervene to meet
certain goals, the market
can meet others
 Unstable financial
system, with a history
of causing
macroeconomic failures
 Market mechanisms are
default unless failures
are proven
 Unstable financial
system, causing
macroeconomic failures
 Governments can fail
just as markets do
 Guidance with
macroeconomic policies
is necessary
 Market systemis self-
correcting, relatively
stable, and is the best
alternative
 Government failures -
Minimum government
involvement in
economic life is best
 Pareto Optimality
The main types of
economicthinking usedto
analyze the problem
 Structuralist
(Institutions)
 Focus on conflicts of
interest among groups
 Statistics/econometrics,
comparing and
evaluating past policies
 Theories of human
behavior
 Reductionist/Atomistic
 A priorideductivism –
models with
incompletely rational,
yet maximizing agents
with constraints
 General Equilibrium
Theory
 Econometrics
 Theories of human
behavior
 Reductionist/Atomistic
 A priorideductivism –
models with fully
rational, maximizing
agents
 General Equilibrium
Theory, but market
failures are not so
disruptive
The main types of evidence
usedto support the
ideological view
 Cost-benefit analysis to
compare government-
related solutions
 Econometrics when
results are consistent
with theory.
Alternatives to
 Quantitativestudy leads
to conclusion, then
comparison of market
vs. government
alternatives
 Econometrics when
results are consistent
with theory. Market
allocation is preferred
Private Savings 18
greed/market allocation
are preferred
 History of market
failures, growing
inequality from 1975 to
the present
The most likely policy
proposal
 Focus on equality – tax
breaks for poor to save
money.
 Savings incentives with
focus on the poor
 Pressures on
investment/development
to create dynamic
capitalism
 Focus: using limited
resources most
effectively
 Focus on rewarding
good behavior
 Governmental options -
tax breaks to increase
saving
 Market options –
savings incentives
 Tax cuts making saving
as inexpensive as
possible
 Laissez Faire optimal
Values and Norms
The Left perspective holds the values of democracy, egalitarianism, and consideration
for the rights of future citizens. At the center of the Left’s values is the belief that all humans
deserve at least basic human rights and opportunities. The Left believes that democracy, in all
aspects of life, is the best way to ensure that all people will have equal opportunities and rights.
Democracy should be reached in all spheres: political, social, and economic. Since all people are
equal, all people should have a similar say in political and economic decisions. The Left takes
major issue with things like growing inequality (shown below in figure 8) because it shows
evidence that true democracy is not taking place.
Private Savings 19
Figure 8
Source: Gordon (2014)
Couple growing inequality with the recent study, “Testing Theories of American Politics: Elites,
Interest Groups, and Average Citizens”, which shows strong evidence that ordinary Americans
have almost no influence in affecting policy decisions, while the wealthy and business interests
exercise lots of control over policy decisions (Gilens and Page, 2014). The Left sees a significant
democratic failure in the United States. They argue that in order to ensure equality for all people,
in the present and in the future, true democracy needs to be maintained in all public spheres. The
Left also argues that since there are inherent inequalities in society (unequal distribution of
wealth, social status, and the basic fact that each person is different), it will sometimes be
necessary to have exceptions for personal responsibility. A person’s work ethic and planning are
not all that decide his success in life. Family wealth, living environment, intelligence, and
Private Savings 20
countless other factors will play important roles in each individual’s life. As a result, some
people will be better off than others, and the Left argues that this should be corrected for as much
as possible to ensure a certain level of equality.
The Right holds the values of freedom, private property rights, and absolute personal
responsibility. The Right argues that there is nothing more important than the individual.
Individuals have different strengths and weaknesses, and each has the ability to live a successful
life in his own way. The Right often would refer to the American Dream, stating that anyone can
be incredibly successful with hard work and recognition of their strengths and advantages.
Entrepreneurs without college educations can turn into multibillionaires in the U.S. The average
Joe can work hard for 40 years, save consistently, and retire happily with his family. The Right
argues that individual freedom and personal responsibility must be encouraged and held in the
highest regards. Private property rights must be strictly enforced, so that individuals can trust that
they will be able to reap the benefits of their hard work. When all individuals are allowed the
freedom to pursue their own interests, knowing that they must take personal responsibility for
their own actions, the economy (and society, as a whole) will reach its best, most efficient level.
The Center holds to the values of economic efficiency, freedom, and private property
protections and personal responsibility. However the Center holds that freedom, personal
responsibility, and private property protections are not absolute – there are certain situations in
which they must be tempered or constrained. The Center has arisen out of the conflict between
the Left and the Right, and as a result its values closely resemble those of the other two
perspectives. The Center would consider them to be realistic, in that it is most focused on what is
most efficient. It recognizes many of the inherent inequalities in humanity (intelligence,
community, wealth), and admits that life is unfair. However it also recognizes the importance of
Private Savings 21
individual freedom. Personal responsibility is very important for the Center, but they still
recognize that some people should not be held personally responsible for the situations that they
have been born into, such as the sick, disabled, elderly, or otherwise disadvantaged. Private
property protections are great at encouraging lots of people to work hard, but the Center also
holds that in some situations it might be necessary to find other ways to reach maximum
efficiency and avoid market failures. Since the Center is most concerned with efficiency, it is
willing to pull from the values of both the Left and the Right. The Center would argue that it
looks to be the most unbiased, taking the best values and arguments and doing what is best for
the largest majority of people.
Basic Beliefs about Appropriate Roles of Government and Market Mechanisms
The Left argues that the financial market is unstable, and it has a well-defined history of
causing market failures. The Left does admit that the free market can be quite efficient at
allocating resources, though it often fails. The Left recognizes that it will be unrealistic and
inefficient to completely disregard the free market, but it refuses to adhere strictly to the free
market. As a result, it is absolutely necessary that the government should intervene to meet
certain goals and avoid market failures. The Left argues that the free market produces a lot of
negative externalities, or costs that affect people who were not involved in the initial activity.
These negative externalities are market failures that need to be corrected for with government
policy and regulation. The Left holds that government regulation and intervention, while costly,
are less costly than market failures left unchecked.
The Right believes that a free market without any outside intervention is most efficient,
in that it is self-correcting and relatively stable. The Right argues that when all individuals are
given the freedom to pursue their own self-interests within the market, the market will reach a
Private Savings 22
point of equilibrium, where resources are allocated most efficiently. This is accomplished based
on the concept of Pareto Optimality. Individuals will make transactions when they benefit from
them. If a transaction was going to leave one person worse off than when he started, he would
not participate in that transaction. Now imagine if an entire economy acted in this manner. Each
person would only make transactions that he benefitted from, and each person would stop
making transactions when they would no longer benefit. The economy would reach Pareto
Optimality, where no more transactions can take place without making one person worse off than
before. In this Pareto Optimal economy, each person partakes in profitable actions, and refuses
costly actions, and the economy establishes an efficient equilibrium. The Right argues that
government intervention prevents individuals from reaching Pareto Optimality, either by
preventing people from making beneficial transactions, or by causing people to make
transactions that will leave them worse off. When this occurs, the Right argues, individual
freedom and responsibility are neglected, forcing individuals to act in unnatural ways.
The Center exists between the Right and the Left. They hold that free market
mechanisms are costless. They are costless initially, at least. The Left would argue that they
cause negative externalities, which can be even more costly than the cost of government
intervention. Since free markets are costless, and they’ve had a history of efficiently allocating
resources through supply and demand, the Center will often default to free market solutions. But
in instances of macroeconomic failure, where historical data provides evidence that market
failures and negative externalities have occurred, the Center will consider government
intervention solutions. The Center argues that certain areas of the market have a history of
instability and failure, such as the stock market, with a history of crashes, or the banking system,
with a history of liquidity crises, and macroeconomic guidance and regulation are necessary to
Private Savings 23
avoid future large-scale failure. However government action should not be used lightly. Any
government program is costly, and there must be sufficient, convincing, historical-data-
supported evidence for the Center to select government solutions instead of free market
solutions.
The Main Types of Economic Thinking Used to Analyze Problems, and the Main Types of
Evidence Used to Support the Ideological View
The Left looks at economic policy issues through the lenses of structuralism and
institutionalism. These theories essentially state that human behavior and culture is closely
intertwined with the institutions (structures) that exist around them. Humanity cannot be
understood without first considering institutions and structures. A person is born with unique
qualities, but he is also shaped by his family, community, culture, and government. These
intertwining factors create trends and similarities that lead to deeper truths within society. The
Left argues that the structures and institutions within the United States have led to inherent
conflicts of interests that create inequality, a lack of true democracy, and unequal access to
opportunity. For example, the Left argues that the upper class, as an institution, has interests that
conflict with the lower class. The wealthy are rational individuals who wish their wealth to grow.
The wealthy will also tend to employ other less wealthy people, so they have a direct influence
on the lives of the lower classes. They have little to no interest in passing on the wealth growth to
the lower classes, because it would be economically irrational to give away money to other
people. As a result, conflicts of interests might prevent the entire economy from enjoying
economic growth. The Left sees these conflicts of interests all throughout society, where those
with less power and influence will suffer while those with more will not. As conflicts of interests
Private Savings 24
are uncovered, and the understanding of human behavior is expanded, the Left strives to take
corrective and preventative steps to create a more equal and democratic economy.
The Left will also often use statistics and econometrics to evaluate past policies. In the
grand scheme of things, the economic Left is a fairly new movement. Institutional inequality can
be found everywhere in history. The battle-strong ruled the weak, the masters controlled the
slaves, or the lords dictated the actions of the peasants. Only in the last few centuries have the
lay-people began to gain true equality and opportunity. The Left uses statistics and econometrics
to argue against Right policies, attempting to prove that valuing freedom and personal
responsibility above all else is costly and inefficient. The Left will also point to recent policies
(typically from Western Europe) that have shown evidence of the benefits of Leftist ideology.
The Left especially likes to draw attention to the growing levels of inequality from the 1980s to
the present. Mainly Right-focused policies have been prescribed during that time period, and
economic data shows that, without a doubt, inequality has grown.
It’s also important to point out that the Left, just like any other perspective, is biased
towards their own perspective. The Left uses cost-benefit analysis in their decision-making, but
only to compare between government/intervention-related solutions. The Left believes that the
free-market has provided enough evidence of failure, so they will typically neglect free-market
options. The Left will also only utilize econometric data when the results are consistent with
their theory.
The Right, in contrast to the Left, is reductionist and atomistic, in that they look to
reduce the economy to its simplest terms. The Right has done this using a priori deductivism.
“A priori” is Latin for “what come before”. When brought together with deductivism, which is
an attempt to build upwards from theory, it’s apparent that the Right favors a basic, widely-
Private Savings 25
applicable theoretical model from which it can build upwards. The Right accomplishes this with
two theories: agency and the General Equilibrium Theory.
The Right uses the concept of agency to reduce the economy to its most basic elements.
An economy is a group of people, interacting and participating in transactions. There are two
parts to an economy: the people and the ways that they interact. Agency is concerned with the
people within the economy. The Right takes people and reduces them to rational, maximizing
agents. These agents are assumed to be fully rational, in that each agent has a perfect
understanding of his own tastes and preferences, and he will act in the most cost-effective
manner to accomplish his goals. An agent makes well-informed decisions because he has perfect
information about the market. An agent is only concerned with reducing costs and maximizing
benefits, as it pertains to his tastes and preferences.
The General Equilibrium Theory builds upon the idea of agency, and explains that a
natural price, or price equilibrium, will be reached as rational producers supply products and
rational agents demand them. These forces, supply and demand, occur without any outside
intervention, to bring an entire economy to an efficient equilibrium.
It’s important to note that the Right does not view these theories as scientific fact, but
instead as models that allow for the best understanding of why most things happen the way that
they do. The Right holds that the economy, with millions of individuals, who each have
countless preferences and emotions that complicate their preferences, would be impossible to
model. Instead, the Right opts to say that since most people act rationally most of the time,
perfect agency can be assumed.
When looking at policy proposal, the Right’s decision-making process can actually be
quite simple. Cost-benefit analysis doesn’t have a role to play, as the Right’s suggestions to most
Private Savings 26
policy issues is to reduce the government’s intervention in that arena. The Right will take into
account econometric data, but they are very biased (just as the Left is) towards only looking for
results that are consistent with their theory. When the data shows that market allocation is the
best option, the Right will use it to their advantage.
The Center is also Reductionist and Atomistic in its approach. It begins its a priori
deductivism approach by assuming an agency model and the General Equilibrium Theory,
just like with the Right. However for the Center, their agents are assumed to be incompletely
rational, and maximizing with constraints. This is an attempt to have their models account for
potential irrationality and non-maximizing activities that are actually predicted by the theories of
human behavior that are being developed.
The Center will use econometrics and well-rounded quantitative study. With the results,
they can use cost-benefit analysis to compare market and government alternatives to policy
problems. Market alternatives will be the default if evidence is not convincing, but convincing
evidence will lead to government alternative prescriptions.
Perspectives, Contexts, and Prescriptions
In summary, this paper has evaluated the retirement savings issue in the United States. In
their current state, public savings cannot be trusted to provide consistent retirement income in the
long run, so this problem will require a private savings solution, at least for this paper, since
revamping Social Security is a whole different topic. Issues such as taxes, household debt,
human weakness, and the different types of retirement accounts available are important factors
that the different economic perspectives will consider in the next section, as they look to tackle
the retirement savings problem according to their own specific values and beliefs. First the Left
Private Savings 27
will be considered, followed by the Right and then the Center. Refer back to the perspectives
chart in Figure 7 as necessary, as it will be helpful to make connections between the
values/market beliefs and the policy prescriptions.
Left Perspective, Contexts and Prescriptions
Recall that the Left is most concerned with the values of equality and democracy. The
Left interprets the retirement savings problem as a result of conflicts of interest between the
upper and lower classes. The upper class, wealthy citizens will never have trouble retiring. It is
only the lower class that will be unable to retire because they have inadequate savings. The lower
class will have to work far into their old age so that they can support themselves.
The Left is especially troubled by the high levels of household debt in the economy.
Larson’s article in The New Labor Forum argues that student loan debt (and other debt) is
preventing the lower class from moving forward in the economy. He argues that student loan
debt is almost enslaving, in that it creates a vicious cycle that holds the lower class down in
poverty. (Larson, 2014). Hudson, in a paper for the Levy Economics Institute of Bard College,
builds upon this when he states that debt and interest payments essentially cause the lower class
to be enslaved to the upper class. He describes the current age as a “neo-serfdom” where the
upper class enjoys a “free lunch” while the lower class works to pay off their debt (Hudson,
2012).
The Left sees a market failure that needs to be addressed. The financial system, in its
current state, has failed to allocate resources properly to those who need it. As a result, the
American lower class is unable to save enough money to have a secure retirement. The Left sees
negative externalities that have resulted from this market failure – inequality is increasing at such
Private Savings 28
a rapid pace that democracy is disappearing (Figure 8). The upper class citizens are able to enjoy
their retirement while the lower class is withheld the fundamental right of retiring in their old
age. The Left sees an economic structure that is setting up the lower class to fail. And as the
lower class is unable to save money, they will also be unable to pass on wealth to the next
generation. The Left sees current citizens and future citizens lacking fundamental rights.
The Left will use government intervention to attempt to correct the retirement savings
market failure. They will direct their focus towards the lower class, as the upper class already has
an excess of private retirement savings. The Left will begin by seeing a failure of the free
market. They will then ask the question: How can the government most efficiently allocate
retirement savings so that all Americans can enjoy at least a basic level of retirement
comfort?
The best way to understand the Left’s solutions to the wealth and retirement savings
problem is by studying the recent work of Thomas Piketty. In his book Capital in the Twenty-
First Century, Piketty proposes a solution to growing inequality. He argues that since wealth is
consistently growing so quickly, it would make sense to implement a wealth tax. This tax would
vary from about 1% to as high as 10% (a millionaire would pay a lower tax rate while a
billionaire would pay a higher tax rate). Piketty argues that since wealth grows so rapidly, those
without wealth will continue to miss out on economic growth and inequality will continue to
worsen (Piketty, 2013).
The Left would see Piketty’s wealth tax as a great solution, as it would allow the
government to reallocate resources where the free market has failed. Increased tax revenue from
a wealth tax could be used to lessen the tax burden on the lower class, effectively increasing their
disposable income and in turn increasing their savings. Alternatively, the funds from a wealth tax
Private Savings 29
could be used to rescue and revive Social Security. A wealth tax would actively combat the
conflicts of interest between the upper and lower classes, re-allocating wealth where the free
market has failed.
There are many other solutions that the Left would consider as well, as long as they
focused on equipping the lower classes with the tools they need for success. The Left might
support government sponsored finance/budgeting education for the lower class. Or the Left
would also support specialized retirement plans for the lower class, with tax exemptions or tax
credits for those who utilize retirement savings accounts. The Left would focus on investing
heavily in the lower class, creating upward pressure that would create a more dynamic capitalist
market.
Right Perspective, Contexts and Prescriptions
The Right’s approach to this policy issue will focus on its value of freedom and personal
responsibility. The Right will see the current retirement troubles in two ways. First, they will
argue that it is a summation of many individuals who have not been personally responsible in
planning for their future. They believe that if an individual chooses to neglect his future, then he
should suffer the consequences. Second, the Right will argue that the government interference in
the market for retirement savings has disturbed the natural order. In a completely free market,
people would have no expectations of help or assistance from the government. Without a
government safety net for retirement, most people would plan for their retirement on their own.
The Right sees savings as a one of the tools that the economy uses to self-regulate. In a
paper for the Foundation for Economic Education, Patterson points out that saving is a way of
channeling money to those who will actively spend it. And when that money is moved to those
Private Savings 30
who will spend it, the economy will enjoy long-term growth. Patterson also argues that
consumption produces activity, but not necessarily growth. Savings is a way in which the
economy naturally grows (Patterson, 2013).
The Right’s policy prescription would be mainly focused on taxes. Income taxes, real
estate taxes, and capital gains taxes have made saving money too expensive. Income taxes lower
disposable income, so individuals can’t save as much. Real estate taxes make real estate more
expensive to own. Capital gains taxes decrease profits from investments. The Right argues that
the key to fixing increasing retirement savings is to make saving money as cheap and costless as
possible. In a perfect world, the Right would have absolutely minimal taxes – only enough to
enforce private property protections. In a more realistic world, the Right would look to decrease
taxes as much as possible. Decreasing taxes would make saving cheaper for all citizens, lower
and upper class, so the Right would be treating all people equally.
In a tax and budget bulletin for the Cato Institute, Edwards and Christian discuss
removing barriers from Roth IRA accounts (Edwards and Christian, 2002). They suggest making
these retirement accounts more accessible, making them less retirement-specific and more
savings-specific, since taxes and barriers can be intimidating and discouraging. In another piece
for the Cato Institute, Viard criticizes the current U.S. tax code for double taxation (Viard, 2014).
There are multiple ways in which money is taxed twice. One way is that income is taxed when it
is earned, and then when that income is invested and grown, it is taxed again. Another way that
money can be doubly taxed is with businesses and dividends. A business will pay income taxes
on its earnings. Then if it pays dividends to its shareholders, the shareholders will pay capital
gains taxes on those dividends. In both of these instances, taxes are collected twice on money
that has only been earned once. The Right sees the tax code as inefficient and overbearing. In
Private Savings 31
order for retirement savings to be increased to sufficient levels, the Right will look for ways to
minimize tax burdens on retirement savers.
The Right would also appreciate any solutions that the free market offers for increasing
positive saving behavior. One such market solution is reported in a paper by Biafore in Better
Investing. Biafore discusses a program called “SaveUp” that tracks spending and saving habits. It
rewards people with credits when they perform financially responsible tasks like paying off
credit card debt or increasing the balance in their bank account. Credits can then be redeemed for
gift cards or to enter lotteries for larger winnings (Biafore, 2012). SaveUp is a free market-
supplied solution to incentivizing and increasing savings, proving that the free market will
always supply natural solutions to policy issues.
The Right might also consider Social Security. In a 1997 paper for the Cato Institute,
Feldstein argues that Social Security should be eliminated. Doing so, he states, would increase
private savings and allow individuals to pursue better returns on their wealth. Feldstein argues
that Social Security is an inefficient way to allocate retirement savings, adding that Social
Security prevents people from getting a competitive rate of return on their wealth (Feldstein,
1997). The program also has administration costs to consider. Eliminating Social Security would
avoid the program’s potential long-term demise, or it would avoid the inevitable debate that
would come with rewriting the Social Security laws.
The Right will focus on freedom and personal responsibility, protecting private property
as much as possible to incentivize people to save as much as they can. The lower the tax burden,
the more people will be willing to save. And when people are saving more, the economy can
grow naturally, with everyone benefitting equally.
Private Savings 32
Center Perspective, Contexts and Prescriptions
The Center sees the current lack of retirement savings as a signal of inefficiency in the
market. While the Center supports the wealthy and their freedom to continue to build wealth,
they also question the fairness in having 50% of Americans at risk of retiring without sufficient
savings. The Center will not specifically blame this problem on personal responsibility or market
inefficiency, because in reality they are probably both partially to blame. For the Center, it is
most important to simply admit that there definitely is a retirement problem in the U.S. The
Center will then begin comparing market solutions against government solutions, weighing out
the costs and benefits of each to arrive at the most efficient solution. The Center will first look at
market solutions, since they are the cheapest to implement and the most cost-efficient to
maintain.
In a paper for the Center for Economic Policy Research, Baker advocates a default
savings program, where individuals would automatically be enlisted into an income contribution
program (like a 401K) without having to opt in. Baker argues that low income individuals are at
an inherent disadvantage when it comes to saving for retirement, and he concludes that a
voluntary default program like the one suggested above could raise retirement income in the
bottom two quintiles by 15-20% (Baker and Rosnick, 2011). Remember that half of Americans
have less than $18,337 annually in retirement income, so an increase of 15-20% could bring a
substantial amount of Americans above or closer to that number.
Baker and Rosnick’s plan is corroborated by Madrian and Shea, who in 2001 studied the
effects of automatic 401K enrollment plans. They find that under automatic enrollment,
employees will not only continue to participate and contribute to their retirement accounts, but
they will also maintain the default contribution amount instead of opting to reduce it (Madrian
Private Savings 33
and Shea, 2001). This study is important because it shows that retirement plans can be slightly
changed to encourage people to save more. Doing so is not unfair towards anyone, as people are
still allowed to make their own choices regarding saving and planning.
It’s also important to consider how people think and respond to experiences. In a paper
for The Journal of Finance, Choi et al discuss how personal experiences with 401K and other
investment programs will affect future retirement behavior. They find that when an individual
has a very positive experience, such as consistently high returns, they can be expected to
continue to save and even increase the amount of money that they save (Choi et al, 2009).
In a 2003 volume of The Journal of Economic Psychology, Watson discussed the effects
of materialistic views on savings and debt behavior. Watson finds a negative relationship
between materialism and saving (Watson, 2003). The Center would take this into consideration
when trying to increase retirement savings. Initiatives like budgeting and finance education could
work against an individual’s materialistic views and propensity to save. The problem with
education is that it typically requires government intervention, which can be potentially
expensive and difficult to implement. The previous suggestions (automatic enrollment 401Ks,
enrollment rewards, and loyalty benefits) could all be implemented easily within the market. But
finance education would have to be proven quantitatively that it is more rewarding than it is
costly.
In a recent paper for the Brookings Institute, Gale et al argue that addressing the growing
student loan problem could be very helpful in increasing retirement savings. They find that high
student loan balances will influence career selection, and they will decrease home ownership and
retirement savings. In the paper, they suggest higher education reform as a solution. Lowering
Private Savings 34
the cost of education with tax credits or financial aid grants, or implementing more income-based
repayment programs could increase private retirement savings in the future (Gale et al, 2014).
The main obstacle for the Center to overcome will be finding enough quantitative
evidence to support their government-related solutions. Market solutions like automatic
enrollment in retirement accounts or employer-supplied financial education would be fairly low-
cost to implement and offer promising results. Government solutions, on the other hand, promise
rewards but at a higher cost. Convincing quantitative data, showing that retirement sources will
be allocated efficiently and effectively to those who need it, will be necessary for the Center to
utilize government solutions.
Conclusion
50% of Americans’ annual retirement incomes are less than the national average cost of
living (RETIREMENT USA). The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis reports that the current
personal savings rate is just 5.5%, which is not enough for an individual to build up sufficient
retirement savings. CNNMoney reports that about 20% of Americans are not saving anything for
retirement. The Right sees freedom and responsibility failures, as well as government failures in
this policy problem. The Left sees market failure as the root of the retirement problem. They
argue that institutional inequality is creating downward forces on the lower class, which will
continue until the government takes steps to properly reallocate resources. The Center sees
efficiency problems in the market for retirement. It is unfair and economically inefficient that
50% of Americans might be unable to meet even a basic cost of living with their retirement
income. The Center recognizes that something must be done, regardless of the cause of this
problem.
Private Savings 35
It’s important to know that the retirement problem discussed in this paper is less a current
problem than it is a potential future problem. Social Security will provide retirement income for
those who need it for a majority of the next century. This paper is a recognition of future troubles
that could result from a failure of the Social Security Program. The Left, Right, and Center
prescribe solutions, momentarily ignoring Social Security, to increase private savings and allow
more Americans to retire comfortably. By evaluating the values and beliefs of each perspective,
a more constructive debate is possible and probable. As a result, a variety of solutions have been
contributed. Automatic enrollment 401Ks, tax reductions, and financial education have been
prescribed to increase private retirement savings; each proposal has its merits and its costs. The
most important thing to remember is that each economic perspective, in its own way, strives to
maximize economic efficiency and help people to succeed.
Private Savings 36
Works Cited
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Private Savings 37
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Private Savings 40
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ECO 404 Private Savings Final Draft 1

  • 1. Private Savings 1 How can we ensure that Americans will have sufficient private savings for their retirement? Economic Perspectives and Public Policy Seth Greek Rollins College, ECO 404
  • 2. Private Savings 2 Abstract The purpose of this paper is to look at retirement savings and income in the United States. Currently, about 20% of Americans do not save any of their income (Vasel, 2015). The Social Security program, established to provide and supplement retirement income, is projected to run out of funds at some point in the next century if legislative changes are not made (Social Security Administration 2015). It is apparent that there is a retirement problem; it exists now, and there are high chances of it getting worse in the future. This paper will discuss solutions to this retirement problem, arguing that it is necessary to increase private savings so that more Americans can retire. To do so fairly and justly, each economic perspective – the Left, the Center, and the Right – will be considered. This paper will evaluate each economic perspective’s values, basic beliefs, best practices, and evidence used in decision-making, to arrive at conclusions that would be held by an economist of that perspective. Introduction Retirement – it’s a topic of many important discussions in both the public and private spheres. It is the dream of almost every man and woman to be able to live a life of leisure without work. Human physiology also necessitates this dream. Every person, if he lives long enough, will be required to give up employment at some point due to old age. Retirement is an issue of human weakness (in more ways than one), personal finance, and public policy. It’s an issue of private property protections, economic stability, and even inequality. Before moving forward, it is necessary to establish some basic definitions in order to eliminate as much ambiguity and confusion as possible. Retirement is the point at which an individual can cease employment for the rest of his life. To retire, an individual will need some
  • 3. Private Savings 3 way to pay all of his bills – an income of money – as he will no longer have employment. For the sake of simplicity, all sources of money to pay bills during retirement will be referred to as retirement savings. So for this paper, people will be separated into two categories: those who have access to enough retirement savings to pay their bills during retirement, and those who do not. From this division the policy question for this paper arises: How can we ensure that Americans will have sufficient savings for their retirement? It’s been established that each individual must have enough retirement savings (of some type) to retire and still be able to pay his bills. On a macroeconomic level, there must be sufficient national savings allocated in such a way that each American has access to at least the amount of money that he will need to live. National Savings is understood to be a sum of public savings (which is funded by taxes) and private savings (Piketty, 2013). Thus there are two different sources of savings that might help to answer the policy question. Public sources of retirement money are not typically considered savings in macroeconomics. In the traditional sense, Americans pay taxes to the government, who then spend that money in different ways, such as providing retirement income to those in need. Taxes, less government expenditures, equals public savings. However for the sake of simplicity once again, this paper will assume that tax money paid to the government is not immediately spent. Instead, it must be “saved” for at least some period of time. So when the government needs to allocate retirement income for Americans, it will use the public savings that are funded through taxes. These public savings are well known as social programs like Medicare and Social Security. They are not actually savings programs, but they do provide money to retirees so that
  • 4. Private Savings 4 they can pay their bills, so they will be considered public savings. Medicare is a health insurance program for people age 65 and older. It is funded by a trust fund managed by the U.S. Treasury. The trust fund is funded with a payroll tax of 1.45% up to an income ceiling of $118,500. (Medicare.gov, 2015). Social Security is often discussed when looking at retirement issues in the United States. The Social Security Administration began in 1935, when the Social Security Board was signed into law by President Roosevelt. It has since evolved to its current state. Today, Social Security is funded in a similar manner to Medicare. It is funded by a trust fund that is managed by the U.S. Treasury. Workers pay a Social Security tax of 6.2% up to an income ceiling of $118,500, which finances the trust fund. Americans at retirement age (currently 66 years of age) can begin receiving retirement income, which is based on their income that they received while they were working. (Social Security Administration, 2015b). This paper will make the assumption that the issue of retirement savings will need to be handled without the utilization of these public savings programs in their current state. The reason for this is simple. In A Summary of the 2014 Annual Reports by the Social Security and Medicare Boards of Trustees, it is stated that “Neither Medicare nor Social Security can sustain projected long-run program costs in full under currently scheduled financing, and legislative changes are necessary to avoid disruptive consequences for beneficiaries and taxpayers.” (Social Security… 2015). Figure 1 provides a visual description of when the different trust funds are projected to run out of money:
  • 5. Private Savings 5 Figure 1 OASI: Old Age and Survivor’s Insurance DI: Disability Insurance HI: Hospital Insurance Source: Social Security and Medicare Boards of Trustees,2015 The purpose of this paper is not to criticize any particular program, perspective, or point of view. Instead, it is an attempt to look for solutions to the current retirement issues. Since the “public savings” programs mentioned above are unsustainable in their current state, this paper will move forward mostly considering private savings retirement solutions, though public solutions will come into play later on for certain perspectives. This leads to a new and improved policy question: How can we ensure that Americans will have sufficient private savings for their retirement? But the current question is still quite vague and unclear. What exactly fits into the category of private savings? And what level of savings should be deemed as sufficient? It’s already been established that for this paper, retirement savings will be any source of money that can be used to pay bills during retirement. Private savings is all income that is left
  • 6. Private Savings 6 over after a person’s, household’s, or business’ taxes and bills have been paid. Private savings is positive net wealth, and net wealth can be increased over time. Wealth can take many different forms. Wealth, in the form of cash, can simply be placed into a savings account at a bank. Wealth can be invested in a variety of ways. It can be invested in real estate. It can be put into different investment vehicles like stocks, bonds, commodities, mutual funds, and many others (I am not going to spend too much time defining these investment options. What is important to know is that wealth can be invested, with the hope that a good investment will be made, and the wealth will grow over time). And of course wealth can just be kept as cash. Wealth is saved in a variety of different ways. It can be saved for different reasons, such as making a large purchase like a car or a house, or taking a family vacation. However for this paper, the purpose of saving up wealth will be for retirement. People save their surplus income so that at some point, they will be able to cease working, retire, and still be able to pay their bills. Of course it is possible that an individual can have “employment” even after they’ve “retired”. Many people have established themselves as business owners or experts in their field, allowing them to earn an income while putting forth little time and effort, without being traditionally employed. But for the purpose of this paper, these established experts and business owners will simply be assumed to be wealthy, in that they have enough savings to retire. Just as the average individual might work, be paid, and build up savings for retirement, the business owners and experts have worked and earned knowledge and experience, and those things will also provide money to pay bills during retirement. Moving forward, private savings will be any type of wealth, or source of wealth, that can be turned into cash to pay bills during retirement. Private savings will be cash, savings accounts,
  • 7. Private Savings 7 investments, or any type of knowledge or expertise that will allow a person to retire, work very little, and pay his bills. Now, it will be helpful to define the amount of private savings required to retire. The idea of retiring comfortable can be very vague, as some people might wish to travel the world. Some people might wish to move somewhere new, retiring at the beach or in a different country. Some people might wish to shower their grandchildren with gifts and vacations. There are countless ways in which retirement can be lived out. To avoid the inherent complexity in this discussion, this paper will only attempt to define an estimate of the minimum necessary to survive in the U.S. The Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) Living Wage Calculator estimates the cost of living for all 50 states, as well as all counties within those states. This cost of living calculator measures the amount of money necessary to survive at a certain standard of living. MIT takes into account things like food, healthcare, housing, transportation, taxes, and other necessities to estimate the amount of money that will be necessary to live in a certain city or state. Taking a basic average of the calculator’s state results, it is estimated that an individual needs an income of about $20,000 per year to maintain a sufficient standard of living in the United States. For a household of two, it is estimated that they will need an income of about $30,000 per year to maintain a sufficient standard of living (Glasmeier, 2015). These figures of $20,000 per year for an individual and $30,000 per year for a couple will be a basic benchmark to establish an “adequate” retirement income. This, of course, is the most basic minimum, but it is necessary to avoid over-complexity. With these figures, it can be quite simple to quickly and roughly estimate how much savings that a person or household would require to meet the basic cost of living standard. To
  • 8. Private Savings 8 calculate this, extremely conservative values will be used, so that only a minimum benchmark can be established. For example, if a person or household had $1,000,000 in private retirement savings, it would be quite easy to earn an annual rate of return of 5% on that money (Epperson, 2012). This would yield an annual income of $50,000. Even after taxes, at a rate of 20%, there would still be $40,000 left over, which is still well-above the minimum costs of living in the United States, and the principle investment would never be touched. Another way of looking at this is according to life expectancy. The Social Security Administration expects a man or woman that has reached the age of 65, to live, on average, to the age of about 85 (give or take a year or so, with women projected to live slightly longer than men) (Social Security Administration, 2015a). A Gallup Poll in 2014 reported that the current average age of retirement in the U.S. is 62 (Rifkin, 2014). For the sake of easy, conservative math, that number can be rounded down to 60. Based on life expectancy, an individual retiree would need at minimum $20,000 per year for about 25 years, which comes out to $500,000 (not invested, without any growth) These are very rough estimates, done simply for the sake of getting a feeling for the amount of money that is necessary to retire. $1,000,000 and $500,000 are huge sums of money, and this paper is not an attempt to give investment or retirement advice. The figures shown above are simply an attempt to explore the current retirement atmosphere in the United States in order to accurately propose policy prescriptions later on. Economic Contexts The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis reports that the current personal savings rate (the proportion of savings to income after taxes) in the U.S. is 5.5% (Federal Reserve Bank of St.
  • 9. Private Savings 9 Louis, 2015). Figure 2 reports that the U.S. personal savings rate has been steadily declining since the mid-1970s, where it peaked over 16%: Figure 2 Source: St. Louis Fed The National Institute on Retirement Security (NIRS, 2015) reported in 2010 that the median retirement account balance for heads of household ages 25-64 in the U.S. was only $3000. Even for retirement age individuals, ages 55-64, the median retirement account balance for households with retirement accounts is only $100,000, which alone would not be enough to live off of during retirement. Refer to Figure 3 for a description of median retirement account balances:
  • 10. Private Savings 10 Figure 3 Source: NIRS, 2015 Retirement USA, a national initiative working towards a new retirement system, reports that “Half of people age 65 and over receive income of less than $18,337 a year from all sources. One quarter have incomes of less than $11,139” (Retirement USA, 2015). And to make matters worse, the Employee Benefit Research Institute reports that current life expectancies are expected to rise by about a year over the next decade (Greene and Monga, 2013) see figure 4 for a summary by the Wall Street Journal:
  • 11. Private Savings 11 Figure 4 Source: Greene and Monga (2013) Why are Americans having trouble saving for retirement? What are the economic and political contexts that might be influencing human action leading up to retirement? And how might our understanding of psychology and behavior help to explain the current retirement problem? The answers to these questions will be discussed through the next sections, looking at taxes, debt, and human behavior. And once the policy issue is more thoroughly understood, it will be easier to address it from each perspective. Taxes The first way to understand private savings is by looking at disposable income, which is the amount of income money that is left over after an individual has paid his taxes. When an individual’s disposable income increases, he will spend some of it, and he will save some of it. There are two ways to increase disposable income. The first way is to increase total income, such as by getting a raise or a better-paying job. The second way is to pay less in taxes. This paper is not meant to be a guide on getting a raise or getting a better-paying job, but it is important to understand that things like education and training have a strong effect on increasing disposable
  • 12. Private Savings 12 income and private savings. The three economic perspectives, however, will be very concerned with U.S. tax law, as it is a macroeconomic tool that can greatly influence private savings. The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) reported in 2008 that overwhelming complexity is one of the biggest obstacles that the IRS must overcome. They reported that the U.S. Internal Revenue Code is currently over 3.7 million words. The code is also growing rapidly, tripling in length since 1975. The tax compliance industry is estimated to cost the U.S. economy about 14% (almost $200 billion) of all aggregate tax income that the United States brings in (IRS, 2008). But with the goal of just understanding private retirement savings, it will only be helpful to understand a few specific parts of the tax code. The next few paragraphs will be concerned with income taxes, real estate taxes, the capital gain tax, and the taxation of retirement-specific accounts. The U.S. income tax is progressive, in that the tax rate will typically increase as income increases. In Figure 5 found below, the marginal tax rates according to income are summarized: Figure 5 If your filing status is Single Taxable Income But not Marginal RateOver --- over --- $0 $9,225 10% $9,225 $37,450 15% $37,450 $90,750 25% $90,750 $189,300 28% $189,300 $411,500 33% $411,500 $413,200 35% $413,200 and over 39.6% Source: TPC 2014
  • 13. Private Savings 13 The marginal rate system can be a bit confusing at first, but it is easily explained. For example, an individual might make $50,000 per year. That individual would pay a 10% tax rate on the first $9,225 that he makes, which would result in an income tax of $922.50. The individual would then pay a 15% tax rate on the next portion of income, from $9,225 to $37,450 ($28,335 total, so the income tax on this portion of income would be $4,233.75). Lastly, the individual would pay a 25% tax rate on all income made in excess of $37,450, up to $90,750. Since the individual made a total of $50,000 in the year, he would pay the 25% rate on $12,550, which is $3,137.50. So, in total, the individual will have paid $8,293.70, or an effective tax rate of 16.5%. Almost all forms of property are taxed by local governments in the United States. It would take an entire study to properly discuss property taxes, since each county has different real estate values, valuation methods, and tax needs. For a quick summary of median property taxes in the U.S., refer to the map, Figure 6 below: Figure 6 Source: Tax Foundation (2011)
  • 14. Private Savings 14 It’s important to understand that property taxes affect private savings in multiple ways. First, people might invest in real estate as a form of retirement savings. If property taxes are high, it might push people away from investing in real estate, or vice versa. Also, a homeowner will have to pay property taxes on his home. This lowers disposable income, which in turn might lead to lower savings. Assets can also be taxed, if they result in a capital gain (if the asset is sold for more money than was paid for it). Capital gains can occur with all types of assets, such as real estate, stocks, and even antiques. In a 2015 discussion of capital gains and losses, the IRS reports that most capital gains will be taxed at a rate of 15%, though individuals in the highest tax bracket will pay a capital gains rate of 20% (IRS, 2015a). Capital gains taxes are important to understand because they affect how individuals will invest and save their money. There are an incredible amount of investment options that are specifically for retirement. Some are taxed differently than others, so only a few of the most popular programs will be discussed below in Figure 7: Figure 7 Type of Account Contributions Growth Retirement Distributions Other Features 401K, 403B Contributions are made pre-tax Not Taxed Retirement Distributions are taxed Employer Matching Potential, Distribution Rules Individual Retirement Account (IRA) Pre-tax Not taxed Retirement Distributions are taxed Distribution Rules Roth IRA Post-tax Not taxed Not taxed No Distribution Rules Source: IRS (2015)b
  • 15. Private Savings 15 There are just a few features of these retirement-specific accounts that should be remembered. First, the way money is taxed will affect the type of account that an individual might use for retirement saving. Second, the way people feel about the future might affect what type of account they will use. And third, employer-related programs, like employer matching, or even just having an employer that encourages the use of a retirement account, can encourage people to save for retirement. Debt High levels of household debt can also affect the savings patterns in the U.S. To understand these potential effects, it can be helpful to know a little basic accounting first. An individual’s net wealth is equal to his assets (like cash, savings, a house, cars, and other belongings) less any liabilities he might have (like a home loan, credit card debt, or student loans). So when people have debt, they will need to pay off that debt at some point using their assets. Debt can also prevent people from building up savings in the first place, since making payments means there is less income left over to save. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York reports that U.S. Household Debt is currently at $11.83 trillion, though it has decreased almost 7% since its peak in 2008 (The Federal Reserve Bank of New York, 2015). The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau estimates that student loans outstanding totals about $1.2 trillion, and it’s been growing rapidly in the past decade (the outstanding loan balance increased by 20% between 2011 and 2013) (The Federal Reserve Bank of New York, 2015). Rising debt is not necessarily a negative indicator. More student loans means more people are getting an education, and earning a higher wage in the workforce. Household debt can mean that lots of people are buying houses as well. Thus, rising debt can be either a positive or a negative, so the statistics are open to interpretation.
  • 16. Private Savings 16 Human Behavior One might argue that saving for retirement is simply an issue of rationality. It makes sense that people should exercise a bit of self-control and planning in order to have enough money to retire later on. So why don’t more people do it? There have been many studies that attempt to answer this question. In a paper in The Journal of Economic Perspectives, Benartzi and Thaler suggest that people are too passive, in that they aren’t willing to take the time to learn about retirement plans, or adjust their current strategies (Benartzi and Thaler, 2007). In The Economic Journal, Moav and Neeman suggest that people neglect saving and opt to spend more so that they can send false signals of wealth to their peers (Moav and Neeman, 2012). The point is that simple, “rational” retirement planning is not as simple as it might seem. Even if an individual does have a plan, they have to stick to that plan for decades. Emotions, peers, emergencies, and human desires all play important roles in our ability to save for retirement. And on top of all of those human factors, taxes, debt, and income also factor into the equation. In the next section, the three major economic perspectives – Left, Center, and Right – will be explained and evaluated, in order to properly address the policy question: How can we ensure that Americans will have sufficient private savings, so that they can at least afford the minimum costs of living during their retirement? Economic Perspectives It is almost impossible to properly debate a topic without first having a strong understanding of the values and beliefs of those who disagree with you. It is with this in mind that this section is written, because it is of the utmost importance to be able to understand all arguments, from differing perspectives. Once this understanding has occurred, a proper,
  • 17. Private Savings 17 constructive, and educational debate can occur. There are three major economic perspectives today: the Left, Center, and Right. This section will discuss each of these perspectives, evaluating their values, beliefs about market systems, theories and methods, and how the types of evidence that they use to approach policy problems. For a summary of the following evaluation, refer to figure 7: Figure 7 Left Center Right Values and Norms  Democracy  Egalitarianism  Exceptions for personal responsibility  Rights of future citizens  Efficiency  Freedom tempered by fairness  Private Property constrained by efficiency and market failures (if necessary)  Personal responsibility for the able, others need temporary/lifelong help  Freedom  Private Property Rights  Personal Responsibility (Absoluteresponsibility is ideal) BasicBeliefs about appropriate roles of government and market mechanisms  The market is possibly the best way to allocate resources, but often fails  Government should intervene to meet certain goals, the market can meet others  Unstable financial system, with a history of causing macroeconomic failures  Market mechanisms are default unless failures are proven  Unstable financial system, causing macroeconomic failures  Governments can fail just as markets do  Guidance with macroeconomic policies is necessary  Market systemis self- correcting, relatively stable, and is the best alternative  Government failures - Minimum government involvement in economic life is best  Pareto Optimality The main types of economicthinking usedto analyze the problem  Structuralist (Institutions)  Focus on conflicts of interest among groups  Statistics/econometrics, comparing and evaluating past policies  Theories of human behavior  Reductionist/Atomistic  A priorideductivism – models with incompletely rational, yet maximizing agents with constraints  General Equilibrium Theory  Econometrics  Theories of human behavior  Reductionist/Atomistic  A priorideductivism – models with fully rational, maximizing agents  General Equilibrium Theory, but market failures are not so disruptive The main types of evidence usedto support the ideological view  Cost-benefit analysis to compare government- related solutions  Econometrics when results are consistent with theory. Alternatives to  Quantitativestudy leads to conclusion, then comparison of market vs. government alternatives  Econometrics when results are consistent with theory. Market allocation is preferred
  • 18. Private Savings 18 greed/market allocation are preferred  History of market failures, growing inequality from 1975 to the present The most likely policy proposal  Focus on equality – tax breaks for poor to save money.  Savings incentives with focus on the poor  Pressures on investment/development to create dynamic capitalism  Focus: using limited resources most effectively  Focus on rewarding good behavior  Governmental options - tax breaks to increase saving  Market options – savings incentives  Tax cuts making saving as inexpensive as possible  Laissez Faire optimal Values and Norms The Left perspective holds the values of democracy, egalitarianism, and consideration for the rights of future citizens. At the center of the Left’s values is the belief that all humans deserve at least basic human rights and opportunities. The Left believes that democracy, in all aspects of life, is the best way to ensure that all people will have equal opportunities and rights. Democracy should be reached in all spheres: political, social, and economic. Since all people are equal, all people should have a similar say in political and economic decisions. The Left takes major issue with things like growing inequality (shown below in figure 8) because it shows evidence that true democracy is not taking place.
  • 19. Private Savings 19 Figure 8 Source: Gordon (2014) Couple growing inequality with the recent study, “Testing Theories of American Politics: Elites, Interest Groups, and Average Citizens”, which shows strong evidence that ordinary Americans have almost no influence in affecting policy decisions, while the wealthy and business interests exercise lots of control over policy decisions (Gilens and Page, 2014). The Left sees a significant democratic failure in the United States. They argue that in order to ensure equality for all people, in the present and in the future, true democracy needs to be maintained in all public spheres. The Left also argues that since there are inherent inequalities in society (unequal distribution of wealth, social status, and the basic fact that each person is different), it will sometimes be necessary to have exceptions for personal responsibility. A person’s work ethic and planning are not all that decide his success in life. Family wealth, living environment, intelligence, and
  • 20. Private Savings 20 countless other factors will play important roles in each individual’s life. As a result, some people will be better off than others, and the Left argues that this should be corrected for as much as possible to ensure a certain level of equality. The Right holds the values of freedom, private property rights, and absolute personal responsibility. The Right argues that there is nothing more important than the individual. Individuals have different strengths and weaknesses, and each has the ability to live a successful life in his own way. The Right often would refer to the American Dream, stating that anyone can be incredibly successful with hard work and recognition of their strengths and advantages. Entrepreneurs without college educations can turn into multibillionaires in the U.S. The average Joe can work hard for 40 years, save consistently, and retire happily with his family. The Right argues that individual freedom and personal responsibility must be encouraged and held in the highest regards. Private property rights must be strictly enforced, so that individuals can trust that they will be able to reap the benefits of their hard work. When all individuals are allowed the freedom to pursue their own interests, knowing that they must take personal responsibility for their own actions, the economy (and society, as a whole) will reach its best, most efficient level. The Center holds to the values of economic efficiency, freedom, and private property protections and personal responsibility. However the Center holds that freedom, personal responsibility, and private property protections are not absolute – there are certain situations in which they must be tempered or constrained. The Center has arisen out of the conflict between the Left and the Right, and as a result its values closely resemble those of the other two perspectives. The Center would consider them to be realistic, in that it is most focused on what is most efficient. It recognizes many of the inherent inequalities in humanity (intelligence, community, wealth), and admits that life is unfair. However it also recognizes the importance of
  • 21. Private Savings 21 individual freedom. Personal responsibility is very important for the Center, but they still recognize that some people should not be held personally responsible for the situations that they have been born into, such as the sick, disabled, elderly, or otherwise disadvantaged. Private property protections are great at encouraging lots of people to work hard, but the Center also holds that in some situations it might be necessary to find other ways to reach maximum efficiency and avoid market failures. Since the Center is most concerned with efficiency, it is willing to pull from the values of both the Left and the Right. The Center would argue that it looks to be the most unbiased, taking the best values and arguments and doing what is best for the largest majority of people. Basic Beliefs about Appropriate Roles of Government and Market Mechanisms The Left argues that the financial market is unstable, and it has a well-defined history of causing market failures. The Left does admit that the free market can be quite efficient at allocating resources, though it often fails. The Left recognizes that it will be unrealistic and inefficient to completely disregard the free market, but it refuses to adhere strictly to the free market. As a result, it is absolutely necessary that the government should intervene to meet certain goals and avoid market failures. The Left argues that the free market produces a lot of negative externalities, or costs that affect people who were not involved in the initial activity. These negative externalities are market failures that need to be corrected for with government policy and regulation. The Left holds that government regulation and intervention, while costly, are less costly than market failures left unchecked. The Right believes that a free market without any outside intervention is most efficient, in that it is self-correcting and relatively stable. The Right argues that when all individuals are given the freedom to pursue their own self-interests within the market, the market will reach a
  • 22. Private Savings 22 point of equilibrium, where resources are allocated most efficiently. This is accomplished based on the concept of Pareto Optimality. Individuals will make transactions when they benefit from them. If a transaction was going to leave one person worse off than when he started, he would not participate in that transaction. Now imagine if an entire economy acted in this manner. Each person would only make transactions that he benefitted from, and each person would stop making transactions when they would no longer benefit. The economy would reach Pareto Optimality, where no more transactions can take place without making one person worse off than before. In this Pareto Optimal economy, each person partakes in profitable actions, and refuses costly actions, and the economy establishes an efficient equilibrium. The Right argues that government intervention prevents individuals from reaching Pareto Optimality, either by preventing people from making beneficial transactions, or by causing people to make transactions that will leave them worse off. When this occurs, the Right argues, individual freedom and responsibility are neglected, forcing individuals to act in unnatural ways. The Center exists between the Right and the Left. They hold that free market mechanisms are costless. They are costless initially, at least. The Left would argue that they cause negative externalities, which can be even more costly than the cost of government intervention. Since free markets are costless, and they’ve had a history of efficiently allocating resources through supply and demand, the Center will often default to free market solutions. But in instances of macroeconomic failure, where historical data provides evidence that market failures and negative externalities have occurred, the Center will consider government intervention solutions. The Center argues that certain areas of the market have a history of instability and failure, such as the stock market, with a history of crashes, or the banking system, with a history of liquidity crises, and macroeconomic guidance and regulation are necessary to
  • 23. Private Savings 23 avoid future large-scale failure. However government action should not be used lightly. Any government program is costly, and there must be sufficient, convincing, historical-data- supported evidence for the Center to select government solutions instead of free market solutions. The Main Types of Economic Thinking Used to Analyze Problems, and the Main Types of Evidence Used to Support the Ideological View The Left looks at economic policy issues through the lenses of structuralism and institutionalism. These theories essentially state that human behavior and culture is closely intertwined with the institutions (structures) that exist around them. Humanity cannot be understood without first considering institutions and structures. A person is born with unique qualities, but he is also shaped by his family, community, culture, and government. These intertwining factors create trends and similarities that lead to deeper truths within society. The Left argues that the structures and institutions within the United States have led to inherent conflicts of interests that create inequality, a lack of true democracy, and unequal access to opportunity. For example, the Left argues that the upper class, as an institution, has interests that conflict with the lower class. The wealthy are rational individuals who wish their wealth to grow. The wealthy will also tend to employ other less wealthy people, so they have a direct influence on the lives of the lower classes. They have little to no interest in passing on the wealth growth to the lower classes, because it would be economically irrational to give away money to other people. As a result, conflicts of interests might prevent the entire economy from enjoying economic growth. The Left sees these conflicts of interests all throughout society, where those with less power and influence will suffer while those with more will not. As conflicts of interests
  • 24. Private Savings 24 are uncovered, and the understanding of human behavior is expanded, the Left strives to take corrective and preventative steps to create a more equal and democratic economy. The Left will also often use statistics and econometrics to evaluate past policies. In the grand scheme of things, the economic Left is a fairly new movement. Institutional inequality can be found everywhere in history. The battle-strong ruled the weak, the masters controlled the slaves, or the lords dictated the actions of the peasants. Only in the last few centuries have the lay-people began to gain true equality and opportunity. The Left uses statistics and econometrics to argue against Right policies, attempting to prove that valuing freedom and personal responsibility above all else is costly and inefficient. The Left will also point to recent policies (typically from Western Europe) that have shown evidence of the benefits of Leftist ideology. The Left especially likes to draw attention to the growing levels of inequality from the 1980s to the present. Mainly Right-focused policies have been prescribed during that time period, and economic data shows that, without a doubt, inequality has grown. It’s also important to point out that the Left, just like any other perspective, is biased towards their own perspective. The Left uses cost-benefit analysis in their decision-making, but only to compare between government/intervention-related solutions. The Left believes that the free-market has provided enough evidence of failure, so they will typically neglect free-market options. The Left will also only utilize econometric data when the results are consistent with their theory. The Right, in contrast to the Left, is reductionist and atomistic, in that they look to reduce the economy to its simplest terms. The Right has done this using a priori deductivism. “A priori” is Latin for “what come before”. When brought together with deductivism, which is an attempt to build upwards from theory, it’s apparent that the Right favors a basic, widely-
  • 25. Private Savings 25 applicable theoretical model from which it can build upwards. The Right accomplishes this with two theories: agency and the General Equilibrium Theory. The Right uses the concept of agency to reduce the economy to its most basic elements. An economy is a group of people, interacting and participating in transactions. There are two parts to an economy: the people and the ways that they interact. Agency is concerned with the people within the economy. The Right takes people and reduces them to rational, maximizing agents. These agents are assumed to be fully rational, in that each agent has a perfect understanding of his own tastes and preferences, and he will act in the most cost-effective manner to accomplish his goals. An agent makes well-informed decisions because he has perfect information about the market. An agent is only concerned with reducing costs and maximizing benefits, as it pertains to his tastes and preferences. The General Equilibrium Theory builds upon the idea of agency, and explains that a natural price, or price equilibrium, will be reached as rational producers supply products and rational agents demand them. These forces, supply and demand, occur without any outside intervention, to bring an entire economy to an efficient equilibrium. It’s important to note that the Right does not view these theories as scientific fact, but instead as models that allow for the best understanding of why most things happen the way that they do. The Right holds that the economy, with millions of individuals, who each have countless preferences and emotions that complicate their preferences, would be impossible to model. Instead, the Right opts to say that since most people act rationally most of the time, perfect agency can be assumed. When looking at policy proposal, the Right’s decision-making process can actually be quite simple. Cost-benefit analysis doesn’t have a role to play, as the Right’s suggestions to most
  • 26. Private Savings 26 policy issues is to reduce the government’s intervention in that arena. The Right will take into account econometric data, but they are very biased (just as the Left is) towards only looking for results that are consistent with their theory. When the data shows that market allocation is the best option, the Right will use it to their advantage. The Center is also Reductionist and Atomistic in its approach. It begins its a priori deductivism approach by assuming an agency model and the General Equilibrium Theory, just like with the Right. However for the Center, their agents are assumed to be incompletely rational, and maximizing with constraints. This is an attempt to have their models account for potential irrationality and non-maximizing activities that are actually predicted by the theories of human behavior that are being developed. The Center will use econometrics and well-rounded quantitative study. With the results, they can use cost-benefit analysis to compare market and government alternatives to policy problems. Market alternatives will be the default if evidence is not convincing, but convincing evidence will lead to government alternative prescriptions. Perspectives, Contexts, and Prescriptions In summary, this paper has evaluated the retirement savings issue in the United States. In their current state, public savings cannot be trusted to provide consistent retirement income in the long run, so this problem will require a private savings solution, at least for this paper, since revamping Social Security is a whole different topic. Issues such as taxes, household debt, human weakness, and the different types of retirement accounts available are important factors that the different economic perspectives will consider in the next section, as they look to tackle the retirement savings problem according to their own specific values and beliefs. First the Left
  • 27. Private Savings 27 will be considered, followed by the Right and then the Center. Refer back to the perspectives chart in Figure 7 as necessary, as it will be helpful to make connections between the values/market beliefs and the policy prescriptions. Left Perspective, Contexts and Prescriptions Recall that the Left is most concerned with the values of equality and democracy. The Left interprets the retirement savings problem as a result of conflicts of interest between the upper and lower classes. The upper class, wealthy citizens will never have trouble retiring. It is only the lower class that will be unable to retire because they have inadequate savings. The lower class will have to work far into their old age so that they can support themselves. The Left is especially troubled by the high levels of household debt in the economy. Larson’s article in The New Labor Forum argues that student loan debt (and other debt) is preventing the lower class from moving forward in the economy. He argues that student loan debt is almost enslaving, in that it creates a vicious cycle that holds the lower class down in poverty. (Larson, 2014). Hudson, in a paper for the Levy Economics Institute of Bard College, builds upon this when he states that debt and interest payments essentially cause the lower class to be enslaved to the upper class. He describes the current age as a “neo-serfdom” where the upper class enjoys a “free lunch” while the lower class works to pay off their debt (Hudson, 2012). The Left sees a market failure that needs to be addressed. The financial system, in its current state, has failed to allocate resources properly to those who need it. As a result, the American lower class is unable to save enough money to have a secure retirement. The Left sees negative externalities that have resulted from this market failure – inequality is increasing at such
  • 28. Private Savings 28 a rapid pace that democracy is disappearing (Figure 8). The upper class citizens are able to enjoy their retirement while the lower class is withheld the fundamental right of retiring in their old age. The Left sees an economic structure that is setting up the lower class to fail. And as the lower class is unable to save money, they will also be unable to pass on wealth to the next generation. The Left sees current citizens and future citizens lacking fundamental rights. The Left will use government intervention to attempt to correct the retirement savings market failure. They will direct their focus towards the lower class, as the upper class already has an excess of private retirement savings. The Left will begin by seeing a failure of the free market. They will then ask the question: How can the government most efficiently allocate retirement savings so that all Americans can enjoy at least a basic level of retirement comfort? The best way to understand the Left’s solutions to the wealth and retirement savings problem is by studying the recent work of Thomas Piketty. In his book Capital in the Twenty- First Century, Piketty proposes a solution to growing inequality. He argues that since wealth is consistently growing so quickly, it would make sense to implement a wealth tax. This tax would vary from about 1% to as high as 10% (a millionaire would pay a lower tax rate while a billionaire would pay a higher tax rate). Piketty argues that since wealth grows so rapidly, those without wealth will continue to miss out on economic growth and inequality will continue to worsen (Piketty, 2013). The Left would see Piketty’s wealth tax as a great solution, as it would allow the government to reallocate resources where the free market has failed. Increased tax revenue from a wealth tax could be used to lessen the tax burden on the lower class, effectively increasing their disposable income and in turn increasing their savings. Alternatively, the funds from a wealth tax
  • 29. Private Savings 29 could be used to rescue and revive Social Security. A wealth tax would actively combat the conflicts of interest between the upper and lower classes, re-allocating wealth where the free market has failed. There are many other solutions that the Left would consider as well, as long as they focused on equipping the lower classes with the tools they need for success. The Left might support government sponsored finance/budgeting education for the lower class. Or the Left would also support specialized retirement plans for the lower class, with tax exemptions or tax credits for those who utilize retirement savings accounts. The Left would focus on investing heavily in the lower class, creating upward pressure that would create a more dynamic capitalist market. Right Perspective, Contexts and Prescriptions The Right’s approach to this policy issue will focus on its value of freedom and personal responsibility. The Right will see the current retirement troubles in two ways. First, they will argue that it is a summation of many individuals who have not been personally responsible in planning for their future. They believe that if an individual chooses to neglect his future, then he should suffer the consequences. Second, the Right will argue that the government interference in the market for retirement savings has disturbed the natural order. In a completely free market, people would have no expectations of help or assistance from the government. Without a government safety net for retirement, most people would plan for their retirement on their own. The Right sees savings as a one of the tools that the economy uses to self-regulate. In a paper for the Foundation for Economic Education, Patterson points out that saving is a way of channeling money to those who will actively spend it. And when that money is moved to those
  • 30. Private Savings 30 who will spend it, the economy will enjoy long-term growth. Patterson also argues that consumption produces activity, but not necessarily growth. Savings is a way in which the economy naturally grows (Patterson, 2013). The Right’s policy prescription would be mainly focused on taxes. Income taxes, real estate taxes, and capital gains taxes have made saving money too expensive. Income taxes lower disposable income, so individuals can’t save as much. Real estate taxes make real estate more expensive to own. Capital gains taxes decrease profits from investments. The Right argues that the key to fixing increasing retirement savings is to make saving money as cheap and costless as possible. In a perfect world, the Right would have absolutely minimal taxes – only enough to enforce private property protections. In a more realistic world, the Right would look to decrease taxes as much as possible. Decreasing taxes would make saving cheaper for all citizens, lower and upper class, so the Right would be treating all people equally. In a tax and budget bulletin for the Cato Institute, Edwards and Christian discuss removing barriers from Roth IRA accounts (Edwards and Christian, 2002). They suggest making these retirement accounts more accessible, making them less retirement-specific and more savings-specific, since taxes and barriers can be intimidating and discouraging. In another piece for the Cato Institute, Viard criticizes the current U.S. tax code for double taxation (Viard, 2014). There are multiple ways in which money is taxed twice. One way is that income is taxed when it is earned, and then when that income is invested and grown, it is taxed again. Another way that money can be doubly taxed is with businesses and dividends. A business will pay income taxes on its earnings. Then if it pays dividends to its shareholders, the shareholders will pay capital gains taxes on those dividends. In both of these instances, taxes are collected twice on money that has only been earned once. The Right sees the tax code as inefficient and overbearing. In
  • 31. Private Savings 31 order for retirement savings to be increased to sufficient levels, the Right will look for ways to minimize tax burdens on retirement savers. The Right would also appreciate any solutions that the free market offers for increasing positive saving behavior. One such market solution is reported in a paper by Biafore in Better Investing. Biafore discusses a program called “SaveUp” that tracks spending and saving habits. It rewards people with credits when they perform financially responsible tasks like paying off credit card debt or increasing the balance in their bank account. Credits can then be redeemed for gift cards or to enter lotteries for larger winnings (Biafore, 2012). SaveUp is a free market- supplied solution to incentivizing and increasing savings, proving that the free market will always supply natural solutions to policy issues. The Right might also consider Social Security. In a 1997 paper for the Cato Institute, Feldstein argues that Social Security should be eliminated. Doing so, he states, would increase private savings and allow individuals to pursue better returns on their wealth. Feldstein argues that Social Security is an inefficient way to allocate retirement savings, adding that Social Security prevents people from getting a competitive rate of return on their wealth (Feldstein, 1997). The program also has administration costs to consider. Eliminating Social Security would avoid the program’s potential long-term demise, or it would avoid the inevitable debate that would come with rewriting the Social Security laws. The Right will focus on freedom and personal responsibility, protecting private property as much as possible to incentivize people to save as much as they can. The lower the tax burden, the more people will be willing to save. And when people are saving more, the economy can grow naturally, with everyone benefitting equally.
  • 32. Private Savings 32 Center Perspective, Contexts and Prescriptions The Center sees the current lack of retirement savings as a signal of inefficiency in the market. While the Center supports the wealthy and their freedom to continue to build wealth, they also question the fairness in having 50% of Americans at risk of retiring without sufficient savings. The Center will not specifically blame this problem on personal responsibility or market inefficiency, because in reality they are probably both partially to blame. For the Center, it is most important to simply admit that there definitely is a retirement problem in the U.S. The Center will then begin comparing market solutions against government solutions, weighing out the costs and benefits of each to arrive at the most efficient solution. The Center will first look at market solutions, since they are the cheapest to implement and the most cost-efficient to maintain. In a paper for the Center for Economic Policy Research, Baker advocates a default savings program, where individuals would automatically be enlisted into an income contribution program (like a 401K) without having to opt in. Baker argues that low income individuals are at an inherent disadvantage when it comes to saving for retirement, and he concludes that a voluntary default program like the one suggested above could raise retirement income in the bottom two quintiles by 15-20% (Baker and Rosnick, 2011). Remember that half of Americans have less than $18,337 annually in retirement income, so an increase of 15-20% could bring a substantial amount of Americans above or closer to that number. Baker and Rosnick’s plan is corroborated by Madrian and Shea, who in 2001 studied the effects of automatic 401K enrollment plans. They find that under automatic enrollment, employees will not only continue to participate and contribute to their retirement accounts, but they will also maintain the default contribution amount instead of opting to reduce it (Madrian
  • 33. Private Savings 33 and Shea, 2001). This study is important because it shows that retirement plans can be slightly changed to encourage people to save more. Doing so is not unfair towards anyone, as people are still allowed to make their own choices regarding saving and planning. It’s also important to consider how people think and respond to experiences. In a paper for The Journal of Finance, Choi et al discuss how personal experiences with 401K and other investment programs will affect future retirement behavior. They find that when an individual has a very positive experience, such as consistently high returns, they can be expected to continue to save and even increase the amount of money that they save (Choi et al, 2009). In a 2003 volume of The Journal of Economic Psychology, Watson discussed the effects of materialistic views on savings and debt behavior. Watson finds a negative relationship between materialism and saving (Watson, 2003). The Center would take this into consideration when trying to increase retirement savings. Initiatives like budgeting and finance education could work against an individual’s materialistic views and propensity to save. The problem with education is that it typically requires government intervention, which can be potentially expensive and difficult to implement. The previous suggestions (automatic enrollment 401Ks, enrollment rewards, and loyalty benefits) could all be implemented easily within the market. But finance education would have to be proven quantitatively that it is more rewarding than it is costly. In a recent paper for the Brookings Institute, Gale et al argue that addressing the growing student loan problem could be very helpful in increasing retirement savings. They find that high student loan balances will influence career selection, and they will decrease home ownership and retirement savings. In the paper, they suggest higher education reform as a solution. Lowering
  • 34. Private Savings 34 the cost of education with tax credits or financial aid grants, or implementing more income-based repayment programs could increase private retirement savings in the future (Gale et al, 2014). The main obstacle for the Center to overcome will be finding enough quantitative evidence to support their government-related solutions. Market solutions like automatic enrollment in retirement accounts or employer-supplied financial education would be fairly low- cost to implement and offer promising results. Government solutions, on the other hand, promise rewards but at a higher cost. Convincing quantitative data, showing that retirement sources will be allocated efficiently and effectively to those who need it, will be necessary for the Center to utilize government solutions. Conclusion 50% of Americans’ annual retirement incomes are less than the national average cost of living (RETIREMENT USA). The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis reports that the current personal savings rate is just 5.5%, which is not enough for an individual to build up sufficient retirement savings. CNNMoney reports that about 20% of Americans are not saving anything for retirement. The Right sees freedom and responsibility failures, as well as government failures in this policy problem. The Left sees market failure as the root of the retirement problem. They argue that institutional inequality is creating downward forces on the lower class, which will continue until the government takes steps to properly reallocate resources. The Center sees efficiency problems in the market for retirement. It is unfair and economically inefficient that 50% of Americans might be unable to meet even a basic cost of living with their retirement income. The Center recognizes that something must be done, regardless of the cause of this problem.
  • 35. Private Savings 35 It’s important to know that the retirement problem discussed in this paper is less a current problem than it is a potential future problem. Social Security will provide retirement income for those who need it for a majority of the next century. This paper is a recognition of future troubles that could result from a failure of the Social Security Program. The Left, Right, and Center prescribe solutions, momentarily ignoring Social Security, to increase private savings and allow more Americans to retire comfortably. By evaluating the values and beliefs of each perspective, a more constructive debate is possible and probable. As a result, a variety of solutions have been contributed. Automatic enrollment 401Ks, tax reductions, and financial education have been prescribed to increase private retirement savings; each proposal has its merits and its costs. The most important thing to remember is that each economic perspective, in its own way, strives to maximize economic efficiency and help people to succeed.
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  • 37. Private Savings 37 Feldstein, M. (1997). Privatizing social security: the $10 trillion opportunity. The Cato Institute. Accessed April 25, 2015. URL: http://www.cato.org/pubs/ssps/ssp7.html Gale, W., Harris, B., Renaud, B., and Rodihan, K. (2014). Student Loans Rising / An overview of causes, consequences, and policy options. Tax Policy Center, Urban Institute and Brookings Institute. Accessed 2/22/15. URL: http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/research/files/papers/2014/05/student-loan-debt- rising-gale-harris/student_loans_rising_gale_harris_09052014.pdf Gilens, M. and Page, B. I. (2014). Testing theories of American politics: elites, interest groups, and average citizens. American Political Science Association. Accessed April 25, 2015. URL: http://journals.cambridge.org/action/displayAbstract?fromPage=online&aid=9354310&fi leId=S1537592714001595 Glasmeier, A. K. (2015). Living wage calculator. Poverty in America. Accessed April 23, 2015. URL: http://livingwage.mit.edu/ Gordon, C. (2014). Growing apart / a political history of american inequality. Accessed April 24, 2015. URL: http://scalar.usc.edu/works/growing-apart-a-political-history-of-american- inequality/index Greene, K. and Monga, V. (2013). Workers saving too little to retire. The Wall Street Journal. Accessed April 20, 2015. URL: http://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424127887323639604578368823406398606 Hudson, M. (2012). The road to debt deflation, debt peonage, and neofeudalism. Levy Economics Institute of Bard College. Accessed 2/22/15. URL: http://www.levyinstitute.org/pubs/wp_708.pdf
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