Relationship between Housing & New Car Transactions

1. The Real Estate v Automotive Trade Off
Relationship between Housing & New Car Transactions
savills.com

2. Price Trade Off
List Price
% of average FTB % of Average UK
Deposit
House Price
Sq ft in Mayfair
Ford Focus 1.6 Zetec
16,805
57%
7%
7
BMW 320i Sport
27,200
93%
11%
12
Mecedes E Class Estate
AMG Sport 7G Tronic Plus
38,750
133%
16%
17
Porsche 911 Carrera
73,413
251%
30%
32
Aston Martin DB9 V12
Volante Techtronic
143,080
490%
58%
63
Bentley Continental
Supersports Convertible
182,100
623%
74%
80
Source: Savills, www.carpages.co.uk, CML, ONS

3. House Sales v New Car registrations
UK Housing Transactions (LHS)
All New Car Registrations (RHS)
3,000,000
All new car registrations to Dec 13
95% of 18 month pre-crunch average
Up 11% in past year
Annual Housing Transactions
1,750,000
2,625,000
1,500,000
2,250,000
1,250,000
1,875,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
750,000
1,125,000
500,000
All new UK housing transactions to Dec 13
66% of 18 month pre-crunch average
Up 16% in past year
250,000
375,000
-
Mar-06
Jun-06
Sep-06
Dec-06
Mar-07
Jun-07
Sep-07
Dec-07
Mar-08
Jun-08
Sep-08
Dec-08
Mar-09
Jun-09
Sep-09
Dec-09
Mar-10
Jun-10
Sep-10
Dec-10
Mar-11
Jun-11
Sep-11
Dec-11
Mar-12
Jun-12
Sep-12
Dec-12
Mar-13
Jun-13
Sep-13
Dec-13
-
750,000
Source: SMMT, HMRC
Annual Car Registrations
2,000,000

4. First Time Buyers v Ford & Vauxhall
First Time Buyers
Ford & Vauxhall
800,000
Ford & Vauxhall registrations to Nov 13
86% of 18 month pre-crunch average
Up 10% in past year
360,000
640,000
270,000
480,000
180,000
320,000
90,000
First time buyer transactions to Nov 13
66% of 18 month pre-crunch average
Up 21% in past year
-
Mar-06
Jun-06
Sep-06
Dec-06
Mar-07
Jun-07
Sep-07
Dec-07
Mar-08
Jun-08
Sep-08
Dec-08
Mar-09
Jun-09
Sep-09
Dec-09
Mar-10
Jun-10
Sep-10
Dec-10
Mar-11
Jun-11
Sep-11
Dec-11
Mar-12
Jun-12
Sep-12
Dec-12
Mar-13
Jun-13
Sep-13
Dec-13
-
160,000
Source: SMMT, CML
Annual Car Registrations
Annual Housing Transactions
450,000

5. Cash Buyers v Mercedes, BMW and Lexus
Cash Buyers
Mercedes, BMW and Lexus
300,000
400,000
240,000
300,000
180,000
200,000
Mercedes, BMW & Lexus registrations to Dec 13
118% of 18 month pre-crunch average
Up 12% in past year
100,000
60,000
Cash buyer transactions to Dec 13
100% of 18 month pre-crunch average
Up 15% in past year
Mar-06
Jun-06
Sep-06
Dec-06
Mar-07
Jun-07
Sep-07
Dec-07
Mar-08
Jun-08
Sep-08
Dec-08
Mar-09
Jun-09
Sep-09
Dec-09
Mar-10
Jun-10
Sep-10
Dec-10
Mar-11
Jun-11
Sep-11
Dec-11
Mar-12
Jun-12
Sep-12
Dec-12
Mar-13
Jun-13
Sep-13
Dec-13
-
120,000
Source: SMMT, Savills using HMRC and CML
-
Annual Car Registrations
Annual Housing Transactions
500,000

6. Prime London v Aston Martin, Bentley & Porsche
New Registrations of Aston Martin, Bentley and Porsche
House Sales in RBKC, Westminster, Camden and Hammersmith & Fulham
18,000
Top London Borough transactions to Oct 13
69% of 18 month pre-crunch average
Up 10% in past year
16,000
Aston Martin, Bentley & Porsche registrations to Oct 13
75% of 18 month pre-crunch average
Up 3% in past year
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
Source: SMMT, Land Registry
Dec-13
Sep-13
Jun-13
Mar-13
Dec-12
Sep-12
Jun-12
Mar-12
Dec-11
Sep-11
Jun-11
Mar-11
Dec-10
Sep-10
Jun-10
Mar-10
Dec-09
Sep-09
Jun-09
Mar-09
Dec-08
Sep-08
Jun-08
Mar-08
Dec-07
Sep-07
Jun-07
Mar-07
Dec-06
Sep-06
Jun-06
Mar-06
6,000