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Unit-2: Energy Accounting Framework
Content
• Economic theory of demand
• Production and cost market structure
• National energy map of India
• Energy subsidy – National and international perspectives
2
The Economics of Demand
3
What Is Demand Theory?
•Demand theory is an economic principle relating to the
relationship between consumer demand for goods and
services and their prices in the market
•Demand theory forms the basis for the demand curve, which
relates consumer desire to the amount of goods available
•It describes the way that changes in the quantity of a good or
service demanded by consumers affects its price in the
market
•The theory states that the higher the price of a product is, all
else equal, the less of it will be demanded, inferring a
downward sloping demand curve
•Likewise, the more demand that occurs, the greater the price
will be for a given supply
Economics of Demand
 Need to discuss
• The Demand Curve
• Elasticity of Demand
• Changes in Demand
4
Demand Curve
• Explain the law of demand
• Interpret a demand schedule and demand curve
5
Demand Curve
• Demand
• Law of demand
• Marginal utility
• Law of diminishing marginal utility
• Demand curve
• Quantity demanded
• Individual demand
• Market demand
6
Demand & Law of Demand
•Demand indicates how much of a product
consumers are both willing and able to buy at
each possible price during a given period, other
things remaining constant
•The law of demand says that quantity demanded
varies inversely with price, other things constant.
Thus, the higher the price, the smaller the
quantity demanded
7
Law of Demand
• Demand, wants, and needs
• Substitution effect
• The change in the relative price (the price of one good
relative to the prices of other goods) causes the
substitution effect
• If all prices changed by same margin, there would be
no substitution effect
• Income effect
• Money income – the number of dollars you receive per
period
• Real income – measure in terms of how many goods and
services you can buy
• Diminishing marginal utility
• Marginal utility – additional satisfaction you derive from
each item
• Law of marginal utility you derive from each additional
item consumed decreases as your consumption increases
(example: pizza slices) 8
Contd…
•Diminishing marginal utility
•Marginal utility – additional satisfaction you
derive from each item
•Law of marginal utility you derive from each
additional item consumed decreases as your
consumption increases (example: pizza slices)
9
Demand Schedule
and Demand Curve
•Demand versus quantity demanded
•Individual demand
•Market demand
10
Demand Schedule
11
Price Quantity Demanded
per Pizza per Week (millions)
a 150 8
b 120 14
c 90 20
d 60 26
e 30 32
Demand Curve for Pizza
12
8 14 20 26 32
Millions of pizzas per week
150
120
90
60
30
0
Price
per
pizza
a
b
c
d
e
D
Individual Demand for Pizzas
13
120
80
40
1
(c) Alok
120
80
40
1 2
(b) Prithvi
120
80
40
Price
1 2 3
Pizzas (per week)
(a) Himanshu
dH
d
P d
A
Market Demand for Pizzas
14
120
80
40
Price
1 2 3
Pizzas (per week)
(d) Market demand for pizzas
6
dH
dP
dA
D
+ + =
Elasticity of Demand
• Compute the elasticity of demand and
explain its relevance.
• Discuss factors that influence elasticity of
demand
15
Computing the
Elasticity of Demand
•Elasticity of demand measures the percentage
change in quantity demanded divided by
percentage change in price
16
Elasticity
of
demand
=
Percentage change in
quantity demanded
Percentage
change in price
Computing
Elasticity of Demand
•Elasticity values
• >1 it is elastic
• Percentage change in price will result in larger percentage
change in the quantity demanded
• =1 it is unit-elastic
• <1 it is inelastic
• Demand is usually more elastic at higher prices and
less elastic with lower prices
•Elasticity and total revenue
• Price x’s quantity demanded at that price
17
The Demand for Pizza
18
8 14 20 26 32
Millions of pizzas per week
150
120
90
60
30
0
Price
per
pizza
D
Determinants of
Demand Elasticity
• Availability of substitutes
• The greater the availability of substitutes for a good, the
greater the good’s elasticity of demand
• Share of consumer’s budget spent on the good
• Increase in prices reduced the demand because people
are not both willing and able to purchase @ higher
prices
• A matter of time
• The longer the adjustment period, the greater the
consumer’s ability to substitute
• Some elasticity estimates
• The elasticity of demand is greater in the long run
because consumers have more time to adjust
19
Demand Becomes
More Elastic Over Time
20
50 75 95100
Millions of gallons per day
0
1.25
1.00
Price
per
gallon
Dy
D m
Dw
Selected
Elasticities of Demand
Product Short Run Long Run
Electricity (residential) 0.1 1.9
Air travel 0.1 2.4
Medical care and hospitalization 0.3 0.9
Gasoline 0.4 1.5
Movies 0.9 3.7
Natural gas (residential) 1.4 2.1
21
Other Determinants of Demand
•Consumer Income
•The prices of related goods
•The number and composition of
consumers
•Consumer expectations
•Consumer tastes
22
Changes in Consumer
Income
•If income ↑, consumers willing and able to buy more
which ↑ demand
•Demand curve shifts to the right
•Two categories of goods:
•Normal goods – demand increases as money
income increases
•Inferior goods – demand decreases as money
income increases
•Examples: used clothing, bus rides, etc.
23
Changes in the Prices of Related
Goods
•Substitutes
•Decrease in price of one item will reduce the
demand for a substitute
•Example: Tacos and Pizza
•Complements
•Certain goods used together
•Example: airline tickets and car rentals
•A decrease in the price of one shifts the demand
of the other rightward
24
Cont…
•Changes in size or composition of the population
will increase demand and shift the curve to the
right
•Changes in consumer expectations can shift the
demand curve to the left or the right
•Changes in consumer tastes
•Tastes are your likes and dislikes as a consumer
25
Movement along the Curve
•Movement vs. Shift
•A change in price, causes a movement
along the demand curve, changes the
quantity demanded
•A change in one of the determinants of
demand other than price causes a shift of
a demand curve
26
Extensions of Demand Analysis
•Role of time
•Your willingness to pay more for time-
saving goods depends on the opportunity
cost of your time!
27
Energy subsidy – National and
international perspectives
What is Subsidy?
• A subsidy, often viewed as the converse of a tax, is an
instrument of fiscal policy. It is derived from the Latin word
'subsidium‘, means a subsidy literally implies coming to
assistance from behind.
• Subsidies are a kind of incentive which play an important
role in economic development of developing countries
• Subsidies bring out desired changes by effecting optimal
allocation of resources, stabilizing the price of essential
good & services, redistributing income in favour of poor
people thus achieving the twin objective of growth &
equity of nation.
28
29
The objective is subsidy is often creating a wedge between
consumer prices and producer costs which lead to:
• changes in demand/ supply decisions
• inducing higher consumption/ production
• offsetting market imperfections including internalisation of
externalities
• achievement of social policy objectives including
redistribution of income, population control, etc.
• Subsidies, by means of creating a wedge between
• consumer prices and producer costs, lead to changes in
• demand/ supply decisions
Advantages of Subsidy
• Reduces cost of production
• To increase consumption and production, the government
can offer a subsidy to reduce the price and increase quantity
• Enables greater social efficiency. Consumers end up paying
the socially efficient price which includes the external benefit.
30
• Subsidy = P0 -P2
• The supply curve shifts to S2 and Price falls from P1 to P2
• People will now consume more at Q1
• Q1 = Social Efficiency: because SMC = SMB
Disadvantages of Subsidy
• According to the UNESCO, India has the lowest public
expenditure on higher education per student in the world.
• As much as 39% of subsidised kerosene is stolen.
• Subsidies may also lead to perverse or unintended
economic effects.. They would result in inefficient resource
allocation if imposed on a competitive market.
• By diverting economic resources away from areas where
their marginal productivity would be higher. Generalised
subsidies waste resources. 31
• A price control may lead to lower production and shortages
and thus generate black markets resulting in profits to
operators in such markets and economic rents to privileged
people who have access to the distribution of the good
concerned at the controlled price
32
Effects of Subsidies
• A locative effects: these relate to the sectoral allocation of
resources. Subsidies help draw more resources towards the
subsidized sector
• Redistributive effects: these generally depend upon the
elasticities of demands of the relevant groups for the
subsidized good as well as the elasticity of supply of the
same good and the mode of administering the subsidy
• Fiscal effects: subsidies have obvious fiscal effects since a
large part of subsidies emanate from the budget. They
directly increase fiscal deficits. Subsidies may also indirectly
affect the budget adversely by drawing resources away from
tax-yielding sectors towards sectors that may have a low
tax-revenue potential.
33
• Trade effects: a regulated price, which is substantially lower than
the market clearing price, may reduce domestic supply and lead
to an increase in imports. On the other hand, subsidies to
domestic producers may enable them to offer internationally
competitive prices, reducing imports or raising exports
Other Effects
• Subsidies have some fiscal effects since a large part of subsidies
emanate from the budget. They directly increase fiscal deficits
• Subsidies may also indirectly affect the budget adversely by
drawing resources away from tax-yielding sectors towards
sectors that may have a low tax-revenue potential
• A regulated price, which is substantially lower than the market
clearing price, may reduce domestic supply and lead to an
increase in imports.
34
•On the other hand, subsidies to domestic
producers may enable them to offer
internationally competitive prices, reducing
imports or raising exports.
•Subsidies have a tendency to self-perpetuate.
They create vested interests and acquire political
hues.
•It is difficult to control over subsidy in India as it
transmitted through market which has much
more imperfections.
35
Rationale of Subsidies
• Subsidies are justified in the presence of positive
externalities because in these cases consideration of social
benefits would require higher level of consumption than
what would be obtained on the basis of private benefits
only
• Subsidies, as converse of an indirect tax, constitute an
important fiscal instrument for modifying market
determined outcomes. While taxes reduce disposable
income, subsidies inject money into circulation.
• Subsidies affect the economy through the commodity
market by lowering the relative price of the subsidized
commodity, thereby generating an increase in its demand
36
• With an indirect tax, the price of the taxed commodity
increases, and the quantity at which the market for that
commodity is cleared, falls, other things remaining the same
• Taxes appear on the revenue side of government budgets, and
subsidies, on the expenditure side
37
Classification of Subsidies
•Public Good-defense, Police & General
administration( non rivalry,
•excludability)
•Merit Good- Protection against disease,
environmental protection, education
(external benefit to society)
•Non Merit-Individual customer
38
Different Types of Subsidy
1. Cash Subsidy: Providing food or fertilizer to
consumer at lower price.
2. Interest or credit subsidies
3. Tax subsidies
4. In kind subsidies
5. Procurement subsidies
6. Regulatory subsidy
39
Subsidies in India
40
• Subsidies have increased in India for several reasons. In
particular this proliferation can be traced to
1)the expanse of governmental activities
2) relatively weak determination of governments to
recover costs from the respective users of the subsidies,
even when this may be desirable on economic grounds, and
3) generally low efficiency levels of governmental activities.
41
• In the context of their economic effects, subsidies have
been subjected to an intense debate in India in recent
years. Some of the major issues that have emerged in the
literature are indicated below:
1. Whether the magnitude and incidence of subsidies, explicit and
implicit, have spun out of control; their burden on government
finances being unbearable, and their cost being felt in terms of a
decline of real public investment in agriculture.
2. Whether agricultural subsidies distort the cropping pattern and
lead to inter-regional disparities in development
3. Whether general subsidies on scarce inputs like water and
power have distorted their optimal allocation
4. Whether subsidies basically cover only inefficiencies in the
provision of governmental services
5. Whether subsidies like (food subsidies) have a predominant
urban bias
6. Whether subsidies are mistargeted
7. Whether subsidies have a deleterious effect on general
economic growth of sectors not covered by the subsidies
8. Whether agricultural subsidies are biased against small and
marginal farmers
9. How should government services be priced or recovery rates
determined
10. What is the impact of subsidies on the quality of environment
and ecology
42
Central Goverment Subisdies
Trends in the subsidies given by Central
Government ( Year 1994-95)
• The bulk of the Central Govt's subsidies arise on the provision
of economic services, which account for 88% of thetotal
subsidies (10% on merit services and 78% on non-merit)
• The recovery rates in the social end economic services are
very low (around 10%)
• Subsidies on non-merit goods are more than five times those
on merit goods, which reflects on an unduly large and ill-
directed subsidy regime.
• The bulk of subsidies on merit goods go for the construction of
roads and bridges, followed by elementary education and
scientific research
• Amongst non-merit services, the biggest recipients are
industries and agriculture and allied services
43
• 78% of subsidies which go for non-merit economic services
are amenable to economic pricing.
• Even if one allows for a part of these subsidies being given
in the interest of redistribution or provision of human
needs, a substantial part must be due to inefficiency costs of
public provision of these services and/or inessential input
or output subsidies
• Subsidies to Central Public Enterprises are estimated
separately as the excess of imputed return on the equity
held and loans given by the central government to these
enterprises, over actual receipts in the form of dividends
and interests.
• Subsidy in this manner is calculated for each enterprise.
They are aggregated according to cognate groups.
44
EXPLICIT
• The most important explicit subsidies administered through
the Central Government budget are food and fertilizer
subsidies, and until recently, export subsidies
• These subsidies account for about 30% of the total central
subsidies in a year and have grown at a rate of approx 10%
per annum over the period 1971-72 to 1996-97.
• The relative importance of different explicit subsidies has
changed over the years. E.g., food subsidies accounted for
about 70% of total Central explicit subsidies in 1974-75
• Since then, its relative share fell steadily reaching its lowest
of 20.15% in 1990-91. Thence onwards, it has risen steadily
reaching a figure of 40% in 1995-96
45
• Export subsidies have been on the decline except for the
spurt in the late 1980s, whereas the relative share of the
food subsidies has been rising although in a cyclical pattern.
• As a proportion of GDP, explicit Central govt. subsidies were
just about 0.305 in 1971-72. they continued to increase
steadily reaching a peak of 2.38% in 1989-90
46
State Government Subsidies
• Subsidies given by 15 non-special category States were estimated
for 1993- 94, the latest year for which reasonably detailed data
were available for all these States
• The trends thrown up by the study are:
• Subsidies in social services and economic services both constitute
half each of the total subsidies given by the States.
• The proportion of merit subsidies is much higher in social services
visĂ -versa economic services
• The overall recovery rate is 5.81% of the total cost (less than 2%
in social services and approx. 9% in economic services).
• There is a distinct tendency for the per capita subsidies to rise as
the per capita incomes rise.
• None of the 15 States spends more than 30-35% of total subsidies
on merit goods.
47
• None of the 15 States spends more than 30-35% of total
subsidies on merit goods.
• The recovery rates for merit services show variation in a
narrow band whereas the largest variations are recorded for
recovery rates for non-merit economic services
• The near zero surpluses for all services show that subsidies
are mainly financed by tax-revenues and borrowing in the
States.
• More than one-fifth of non-merit social subsidies accrue to
education, sports and art & culture
• In economic services, irrigation accounts for nearly a quarter
of services whereas power accounts for around 12%.
• Lastly, subsidies to States' public enterprises are large but
recovery in the form of interests and dividends is extremely
low.
48
Central and State-Aggerate
Subsidies
• Total non-merit subsidy for the Central and State
governments taken together amount to Rs. 1021452.4
million in 1994-95, which is 10.71% of GDP at market prices.
The share of Central government in this is 35.37%, i.e.
roughly half of corresponding State government subsidies
• The recovery-rate for the Centre, in the case of non-merit
subsidies, is 12.13%, which is somewhat higher than the
corresponding figure of 9.28% for the States
• The difference in recovery rates is striking for non-merit
social services, being 18.14% for the Centre and 3.97% for
the States. It is only marginally different for non-merit
economic services (11.65% for Centre and 12.87% for
States) where, in fact, States do better
49
50
• The total non-merit subsidies for the year 1994-95
amounted to 10.71% of GDP at market prices, resulting in a
combined fiscal deficit of 7.3% for the Centre, States and
Union Territories
• Therefore, if these subsidies were phased out, the same
would have a discernible impact on the fiscal deficit
• It can be done by increasing the relevant user charges,
which would also lead to a reduction in their demand
51
Economic
Subsidies
Agriculture &
Cooperation
(16.4)
Irrigation &
Flood Control
(10.8)
Power & Energy
(7.6)
Industry (11.5) Transport (7.3)
Communication
& others (2.4)
Social
Subsidies
Education
(22%)
Health
(9%)
Water Supply
& Sanitation
(5%)
Rural
Housing and others
 In India subsidies can be classified in two categories
Inter state variation
• Proportionate distribution of subsidy is not done
• Panjab, Haryana, Maharashtra,& Gujrat has 20% of
population of India But they get 26% of subsidy
• Where as U.P., MP, Bihar & Orissa has 40% of population but
they get 31% of subsidy
• Bihar has more then 33% population below poverty line
compared to other states but receive less then 40% of
average subsidy where in Punjab poverty is 54% less then
average gets more the 40 % of average subsidy
• In Panjab, Haryana, Maharashtra,& Gujrat 18% of rural
population gets 25% of Subsidy where as in UP, MP, Bihar &
Orissa 44% of rural population gets 29% of subsidy
52
Different Definitions of Energy Subsidies and
Their Strengths and Weaknesses at
International Level
Definition Focus/
Methodology
Strengths WEAKNESSES
Organisation For Economic Co-operation
And Development (Oecd)
“Both direct budgetary
transfers and tax
expenditures that in some
way provide a benefit or
preference for fossil fuel
production or consumption
relative to alternatives.”
• The inventory
of support is first step to
identifying
subsidies to a sector
• Inventory
approach
• Broad
definition of
“support”
• Inventory
approach adds
to transparency
Can miss a range of
supports delivered
via price measures
(prevalent in
developing countries)
• No estimates for
nuclear or renewable
subsidies
World Bank (WB)
A deliberate policy action by
the government that
specifically targets fossil
fuels, or electricity or heat
generated from fossil fuels.
Support countries in their
subsidy measurement
Good overview
of approaches
to subsidy
calculation
No recent subsidy
calculations
of their own
• No estimates for
nuclear or renewable
subsidies
53
Contd..
Definition Focus/
Methodology
Strengths Weaknesses
World Trade Organization (WTO)
A financial contribution by a
government or any public
body within the territory of a
Member”, or when “There is
any form of price support
(where) a benefit is thereby
conferred.
How energy subsidies distort
trade
Dispute settlement
Near universal
Acceptance
Often referenced
Used by many as basis for
their analysis
Not widely used by
some of the main
institutions involved in
subsidy reform
International Energy Agency (IEA)
“Any government action
directed primarily at the energy
sector that lowers the cost of
energy production, raises the
price received by energy
producers or lowers the price
paid by energy consumers. It
can be applied to fossil and non-
fossil energy in the same way.”
On consumer subsidies,
rather than producer
subsidies
• Fossil and renewables
• Price-gap approach
•Broad definition
•Explicitly covers all
energy
• Applied only to
consumer subsidies
• Disagreement over
reference prices
• Can miss a range of
subsidies
• No nuclear numbers
54
Contd..
Definition Focus/
Methodology
Strengths Weaknesses
International Monetary Fund (Imf)
“Pre-tax consumer
subsidies arise when the
prices paid by consumers,
including both firms
(intermediate
consumption) and
households (final
consumption), are below
supply costs including
transport and distribution
costs.
Producer subsidies arise
when prices are above this
level. Post-tax consumer
subsidies arise when the
price paid by consumers is
below the supply cost of
energy plus an appropriate
“Pigouvian” (or
“corrective”) tax…”
Understanding
magnitude of
subsidies to
support reform
• Price-gap
and inventory
approach
Includes unpriced
Negative externalities
• Data intensive
• No estimates for
nuclear or renewables
55
Selected country and regional estimates
of renewable energy subsidies in 2017
Power
generation
Usd billion
Calculation
Method
Biofuels
Usd billion
European
Union*
78 Inventory and
Price-gap
10.9-11.9 Price-gap
China -5 Inventory 0.4 Price-gap
Japan 9 Inventory -0.2-0.3 Price-gap
United States 6.7 Inventory 14.1 Inventory and
price-gap
India 2.2 Price-gap 0.9 Price-gap
56
Energy Map of India
Energy independence to be first and highest priority. We
comprehensive energy security creating . an energy asset
profile our nation’s must achieve by 2020 by that allows our
economy to function with necessary abandon. We must
concurrently strive to achieve energy independence by 2030
through accretions to our traditional stockpiles and strategic
reserves as also skilful use of alternate and renewable sources
of energy.
President APJ Abdul Kalam
VISION FOR NATIONS
Energy Security International Market
• Global oil prices entering the "super-pike" phase
• Sustained price rise Vs growth rate & inflation
• Oil prices have crossed $70 per barrel
• High annual oil imports
• High energy consumption than that of any developed
country
• Insulation from ever-volatile international energy market
.
.
.
India Energy Status in World
India is both a major energy producer and consumer
Eleventh greatest energy producer, accounting for about 2.4%
of the world’s total annual energy production
World’s sixth greatest energy consumer, accounting for about
3.3% of the world’s total annual energy consumption
Despite its large annual energy production, India is a net
energy importer, mostly due to the large imbalance between
oil production and consumption
India ranks fifth in the world in terms of energy consumption.
Commercial energy consumption in India 3.5% of the world
consumption in 2002
Average annual growth rate of energy consumption about
6% during 1981 -2002
THE LOOMING CRISIS
 India has proven oil reserves of less than
6.5 years of our total present consumption
 World crisis ahead in the next few years
 Indian crisis even more severe !
 Unprecedented growth in hydrocarbon consumption –
gasoline the highest
 Biofuels one of the most adaptable options
Energy Scenario in India
India is both a major energy producer and consumer.
Eleventh greatest energy producer, accounting for about
2.4% of the world’s total annual energy production.
World’s sixth greatest energy consumer, accounting for
about
3.3% of the world’s total annual energy consumption.
Despite its large annual energy production, India is a net
energy importer, mostly due to the large imbalance between
oil production and consumption
Commercial energy consumption in India is 3.5% of the
world consumption.
Average annual growth rate of energy consumption is about
6% during 1998 - 2007.
Energy Sources – Indian Scenario
33%
8%
53%
1% 5%
Oil
LNG
Coal
Nuclear
Hydro
Major Concerns in Energy Sector in India
 Growing gap between demand and supply of commercial energy:
electricity, oil and gas.
 Oil intensification of Indian economy due to declining self
sufficiency in oil and increasing oil demand.
 Growing dependence on non-commercial energy sources like
fire-wood, cow-dung and agricultural wastes in rural areas.
 Inadequate development of eco-friendly energy sources
Including hydro and renewable energy.
 Urgency for controlling environmental pollution caused by
burning of fossil fuels and biomass energy.
 Need for sustainable energy pathway for India which will ensure
energy security.
 India’s current energy basket is coal dominated and is
likely to stay this way in the near future. Limited
domestic coal supply coupled with its poor quality.
 Low level of technological advancements and high
instance of environmental perils pose serious
challenges for over dependence on coal.
 Limited domestic reserves and uncertain foreign supply
of hydrocarbons in wake of their rising international
price have seriously impaired country’s energy security.
Energy Gaps
 Approximately 2.4 billion people use traditional
biomass for cooking
 Still 1.6 million people lack access to Electricity
 World’s energy needs will be up by 60% by the year
2030 with fossils fuel still being the dominant energy
mix
 Indoor biomass stoves kills up to 1.6 million
Women and children in developing countries
SOME MORE PROBLEMS
 Tarapur nuclear reactor requires refueling
 Gas pipeline from Turkmenistan, through
Pakistan, but questionable reserves
 Gas pipeline from Myanmar through
Bangladesh discouraged by U.S.
 Protests against hydro-electricdam at
Narmada
Energy Requirement of
India
Over the next 25 years, six fold increase projected
in electricity and four fold increase in crude oil
EconomicGrowth
Social Empowerment Environmental Sustenance
Economic
opportunity
Energy
Social
progress Environmentand
Healthprotection
Energy, Environment and
Sustainable Development
Future Scenario - 2030
 Global production of oil - peak by 2030
 60% of new investments in energy – electricity

 Renewable energy - meet 14% (world’s total primary
energy demand) - to remain same in 2030
Share of biofuels (transportation) - 1% but
will go to 3% by 2030
Other Options
 Renewable are indigenous, non-depleting,
modular and environment-friendly
 Renewables can provide energyaccess and meet
unmet demand
 Provide captive energy thus conserving fossil fuels and
electricity
 Supplement fossil fuels in transportation
 Renewables can contribute to energy
Security in a sustainable manner
TYPES OF ENERGY
 FOSSIL FUELS OIL & NATURAL GAS WITH COAL
INDEGINIOUS PRODUCTION
 HYDROGEN
 NUCLEAR ENERGRY
 BIOMASS TECH
 BIOFUEL
 ETHANOL BLEND
 ENERGY FROM WASTE
 RENEWABLE ENERGY
 SOLAR
 WIND
 HYDRO
 TIDAL
QUESTIONS
 How to ensure that planning for energy is not done in isolation?
 How to manage two conflicting issues, especially in the
developing countries going for a green growth where majority
of the population still lacks basic energy services?
 How to mobilize resources to create access to modern energy
services, given the background of rising energy insecurity and
economic instability due to rise in the oil prices?
Renewable Energy
• Renewable energy is the energy which is used &
renewed. Its sources could be derived from sun, wind,
water etc.
• There is no dearth of its sources
• Sunlight falling on the united state in one day contains more
then twice the energy we consume in an entire year
Renewable Energy
Renewable Energy: Better Option
Renewable energy (re) is a preferred option for india
 Large untapped re potential
 Vast land resources for production of biomass &
bio-fuels
 Abundant sunshine
 Increase in population and growing consumption
Plentiful sites for harnessing windenergy and small
hydro
Why renewable energy is particularly relevant for rural
India
 No access to on grid sys for rural population.
 Vision 2012
Importance of Stand-alone Renewable
Systems
Stand-alone re systems are economically viable
Standalone re systems shall :
Avoid the high costs involved in transmission capex.
Avoid distribution losses – technical & otherwise
Avoid recurring fuel cost
Boost the rural economy
Encourage self help groups & self dependence
Enable villageco-operatives to supply and/ or
monitor distribution
Make available much needed energy for basic needs
at the doorstep at affordable prices.
 Brings gain for Indian economy.
SOLAR POWER PROGRAMME
 Earliest source of energy known to the mankind.
 Salient features – wide-spread distribution, environment
friendly, and virtually inexhaustible supply
 India receives solar energy equivalent to
Over 5000 trillion kwh/year.
TODA
Y NEAR
TERM
MID
TERM
LONG
TERM
ROAD MAP FOR RENEWABLE,
SOLAR
WIND ENERGY
We have used the wind as energy source for a long time.
Chinese were using it to pump water for irrigating crops 4000
years ago. In Europe wind power was used in middle ages to
grind corn, which is where the term “wind mill” comes from.
WIND ENERGY
TODA
Y NEAR
TERM
MID
TERM
LONG
TERM
ROAD MAP FOR WIND ENERGY
HYDEL ENERGY
WE HAVE USED RUNNING WATER AS ENERGY SOURCE FOR
THOUSAND OF YEARS FOR GRINDING CORN. THE FIRST
HOUSE IN THE WORLD TO BE LIT BY HYDRO ELECTRICITY
WAS CRAGSIDE HOUSE IN ENGLAND IN 1878
WATER MILLS
TODA
Y NEAR
TERM
MID
TERM
LONG
TERM
ROAD MAP FOR HYDEL ENERGY
TIDAL ENERGY
Tidal energy is produced by using the kinetic energy of
the tides.
In order to produce some practical amounts of power
(electricity), a small difference between the high and
low tides of at least say five metres in required.
Dam is built across a river estuary. When the tides goes
in and out, the water flows through tunnels in the dam.
Power is generated as hydro electric power.
TODA
Y NEAR
TERM
MID
TERM
LONG
TERM
ROAD MAP FOR TIDAL ENERGY
TIDAL ENERGY AT A GLANCE
Exploitations of tidal energy is in initial stage, no
project installed so far.
The main potential sites for tidal power generation in India
are the Gulf of Kutch and the Gulf of Khambat (Cambay)
and the Gangetic Delta in the Sundarbans area of West
Bengal.
 Salient features:-
 Once built, tidal power is free
 It needs no fuel
 Not expensive to maintain
 Tides are totally perdictable
 Building a dam across in estuary is expensive
 Effect the habitat of birds and fish as it alter tidal
current
 Can provide power for around 10 hrs/day
TIDAL POWER INDIA: TIDAL ENERGY
POTENTIAL IN EXCESS OF 15 GIGAWATTS
IN A WRITTEN REPLY
INDIA'S
STATE
MINISTER OF
FOR NON-
CONVENTIONAL
ENERGY SOURCES
ESTIMATED THAT OVER
15,000 MW OF TIDAL
POWER POTENTIAL HAS
BEEN ESTIMATED IN
THE COUNTRY
GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
Derived from greek word “geo” means earth and
“thermal” means heat
Working priciple
 Hot rocks, underground heat, water to produce
steam.
 Holes are drilled down to the hot region, steam
comes up, is purified and used to drive turbines,
which drive electric generators.
 If there is no natural “ground water” in the hot
rocks, more holes are drilled and water is pumped
down to them.
TODA
Y NEAR
TERM
MID
TERM
LONG
TERM
ROAD MAP FOR GEO
THERMAL ENERGY
PRESENT STATUS
Geothermal energy based power production over the
world has gone up from 5800 mw to 8400 mw from
1998 to 1999.
In India it is in initial stage, no geothermal power
Project installed.
Ongoing projects:
Tattapani geothermal area in madhya pradesh
Puga geothermal area in ladakh
More than 300 geothermal potential sites
THRUST AREAS
Creation of geothermal data base.
Geothermal resource and manpower development
Its application for power generation.

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Economic theory of demand

  • 1.
  • 2. Unit-2: Energy Accounting Framework Content • Economic theory of demand • Production and cost market structure • National energy map of India • Energy subsidy – National and international perspectives 2
  • 3. The Economics of Demand 3 What Is Demand Theory? •Demand theory is an economic principle relating to the relationship between consumer demand for goods and services and their prices in the market •Demand theory forms the basis for the demand curve, which relates consumer desire to the amount of goods available •It describes the way that changes in the quantity of a good or service demanded by consumers affects its price in the market •The theory states that the higher the price of a product is, all else equal, the less of it will be demanded, inferring a downward sloping demand curve •Likewise, the more demand that occurs, the greater the price will be for a given supply
  • 4. Economics of Demand  Need to discuss • The Demand Curve • Elasticity of Demand • Changes in Demand 4
  • 5. Demand Curve • Explain the law of demand • Interpret a demand schedule and demand curve 5
  • 6. Demand Curve • Demand • Law of demand • Marginal utility • Law of diminishing marginal utility • Demand curve • Quantity demanded • Individual demand • Market demand 6
  • 7. Demand & Law of Demand •Demand indicates how much of a product consumers are both willing and able to buy at each possible price during a given period, other things remaining constant •The law of demand says that quantity demanded varies inversely with price, other things constant. Thus, the higher the price, the smaller the quantity demanded 7
  • 8. Law of Demand • Demand, wants, and needs • Substitution effect • The change in the relative price (the price of one good relative to the prices of other goods) causes the substitution effect • If all prices changed by same margin, there would be no substitution effect • Income effect • Money income – the number of dollars you receive per period • Real income – measure in terms of how many goods and services you can buy • Diminishing marginal utility • Marginal utility – additional satisfaction you derive from each item • Law of marginal utility you derive from each additional item consumed decreases as your consumption increases (example: pizza slices) 8
  • 9. Contd… •Diminishing marginal utility •Marginal utility – additional satisfaction you derive from each item •Law of marginal utility you derive from each additional item consumed decreases as your consumption increases (example: pizza slices) 9
  • 10. Demand Schedule and Demand Curve •Demand versus quantity demanded •Individual demand •Market demand 10
  • 11. Demand Schedule 11 Price Quantity Demanded per Pizza per Week (millions) a 150 8 b 120 14 c 90 20 d 60 26 e 30 32
  • 12. Demand Curve for Pizza 12 8 14 20 26 32 Millions of pizzas per week 150 120 90 60 30 0 Price per pizza a b c d e D
  • 13. Individual Demand for Pizzas 13 120 80 40 1 (c) Alok 120 80 40 1 2 (b) Prithvi 120 80 40 Price 1 2 3 Pizzas (per week) (a) Himanshu dH d P d A
  • 14. Market Demand for Pizzas 14 120 80 40 Price 1 2 3 Pizzas (per week) (d) Market demand for pizzas 6 dH dP dA D + + =
  • 15. Elasticity of Demand • Compute the elasticity of demand and explain its relevance. • Discuss factors that influence elasticity of demand 15
  • 16. Computing the Elasticity of Demand •Elasticity of demand measures the percentage change in quantity demanded divided by percentage change in price 16 Elasticity of demand = Percentage change in quantity demanded Percentage change in price
  • 17. Computing Elasticity of Demand •Elasticity values • >1 it is elastic • Percentage change in price will result in larger percentage change in the quantity demanded • =1 it is unit-elastic • <1 it is inelastic • Demand is usually more elastic at higher prices and less elastic with lower prices •Elasticity and total revenue • Price x’s quantity demanded at that price 17
  • 18. The Demand for Pizza 18 8 14 20 26 32 Millions of pizzas per week 150 120 90 60 30 0 Price per pizza D
  • 19. Determinants of Demand Elasticity • Availability of substitutes • The greater the availability of substitutes for a good, the greater the good’s elasticity of demand • Share of consumer’s budget spent on the good • Increase in prices reduced the demand because people are not both willing and able to purchase @ higher prices • A matter of time • The longer the adjustment period, the greater the consumer’s ability to substitute • Some elasticity estimates • The elasticity of demand is greater in the long run because consumers have more time to adjust 19
  • 20. Demand Becomes More Elastic Over Time 20 50 75 95100 Millions of gallons per day 0 1.25 1.00 Price per gallon Dy D m Dw
  • 21. Selected Elasticities of Demand Product Short Run Long Run Electricity (residential) 0.1 1.9 Air travel 0.1 2.4 Medical care and hospitalization 0.3 0.9 Gasoline 0.4 1.5 Movies 0.9 3.7 Natural gas (residential) 1.4 2.1 21
  • 22. Other Determinants of Demand •Consumer Income •The prices of related goods •The number and composition of consumers •Consumer expectations •Consumer tastes 22
  • 23. Changes in Consumer Income •If income ↑, consumers willing and able to buy more which ↑ demand •Demand curve shifts to the right •Two categories of goods: •Normal goods – demand increases as money income increases •Inferior goods – demand decreases as money income increases •Examples: used clothing, bus rides, etc. 23
  • 24. Changes in the Prices of Related Goods •Substitutes •Decrease in price of one item will reduce the demand for a substitute •Example: Tacos and Pizza •Complements •Certain goods used together •Example: airline tickets and car rentals •A decrease in the price of one shifts the demand of the other rightward 24
  • 25. Cont… •Changes in size or composition of the population will increase demand and shift the curve to the right •Changes in consumer expectations can shift the demand curve to the left or the right •Changes in consumer tastes •Tastes are your likes and dislikes as a consumer 25
  • 26. Movement along the Curve •Movement vs. Shift •A change in price, causes a movement along the demand curve, changes the quantity demanded •A change in one of the determinants of demand other than price causes a shift of a demand curve 26
  • 27. Extensions of Demand Analysis •Role of time •Your willingness to pay more for time- saving goods depends on the opportunity cost of your time! 27
  • 28. Energy subsidy – National and international perspectives What is Subsidy? • A subsidy, often viewed as the converse of a tax, is an instrument of fiscal policy. It is derived from the Latin word 'subsidium‘, means a subsidy literally implies coming to assistance from behind. • Subsidies are a kind of incentive which play an important role in economic development of developing countries • Subsidies bring out desired changes by effecting optimal allocation of resources, stabilizing the price of essential good & services, redistributing income in favour of poor people thus achieving the twin objective of growth & equity of nation. 28
  • 29. 29 The objective is subsidy is often creating a wedge between consumer prices and producer costs which lead to: • changes in demand/ supply decisions • inducing higher consumption/ production • offsetting market imperfections including internalisation of externalities • achievement of social policy objectives including redistribution of income, population control, etc. • Subsidies, by means of creating a wedge between • consumer prices and producer costs, lead to changes in • demand/ supply decisions
  • 30. Advantages of Subsidy • Reduces cost of production • To increase consumption and production, the government can offer a subsidy to reduce the price and increase quantity • Enables greater social efficiency. Consumers end up paying the socially efficient price which includes the external benefit. 30
  • 31. • Subsidy = P0 -P2 • The supply curve shifts to S2 and Price falls from P1 to P2 • People will now consume more at Q1 • Q1 = Social Efficiency: because SMC = SMB Disadvantages of Subsidy • According to the UNESCO, India has the lowest public expenditure on higher education per student in the world. • As much as 39% of subsidised kerosene is stolen. • Subsidies may also lead to perverse or unintended economic effects.. They would result in inefficient resource allocation if imposed on a competitive market. • By diverting economic resources away from areas where their marginal productivity would be higher. Generalised subsidies waste resources. 31
  • 32. • A price control may lead to lower production and shortages and thus generate black markets resulting in profits to operators in such markets and economic rents to privileged people who have access to the distribution of the good concerned at the controlled price 32
  • 33. Effects of Subsidies • A locative effects: these relate to the sectoral allocation of resources. Subsidies help draw more resources towards the subsidized sector • Redistributive effects: these generally depend upon the elasticities of demands of the relevant groups for the subsidized good as well as the elasticity of supply of the same good and the mode of administering the subsidy • Fiscal effects: subsidies have obvious fiscal effects since a large part of subsidies emanate from the budget. They directly increase fiscal deficits. Subsidies may also indirectly affect the budget adversely by drawing resources away from tax-yielding sectors towards sectors that may have a low tax-revenue potential. 33
  • 34. • Trade effects: a regulated price, which is substantially lower than the market clearing price, may reduce domestic supply and lead to an increase in imports. On the other hand, subsidies to domestic producers may enable them to offer internationally competitive prices, reducing imports or raising exports Other Effects • Subsidies have some fiscal effects since a large part of subsidies emanate from the budget. They directly increase fiscal deficits • Subsidies may also indirectly affect the budget adversely by drawing resources away from tax-yielding sectors towards sectors that may have a low tax-revenue potential • A regulated price, which is substantially lower than the market clearing price, may reduce domestic supply and lead to an increase in imports. 34
  • 35. •On the other hand, subsidies to domestic producers may enable them to offer internationally competitive prices, reducing imports or raising exports. •Subsidies have a tendency to self-perpetuate. They create vested interests and acquire political hues. •It is difficult to control over subsidy in India as it transmitted through market which has much more imperfections. 35
  • 36. Rationale of Subsidies • Subsidies are justified in the presence of positive externalities because in these cases consideration of social benefits would require higher level of consumption than what would be obtained on the basis of private benefits only • Subsidies, as converse of an indirect tax, constitute an important fiscal instrument for modifying market determined outcomes. While taxes reduce disposable income, subsidies inject money into circulation. • Subsidies affect the economy through the commodity market by lowering the relative price of the subsidized commodity, thereby generating an increase in its demand 36
  • 37. • With an indirect tax, the price of the taxed commodity increases, and the quantity at which the market for that commodity is cleared, falls, other things remaining the same • Taxes appear on the revenue side of government budgets, and subsidies, on the expenditure side 37
  • 38. Classification of Subsidies •Public Good-defense, Police & General administration( non rivalry, •excludability) •Merit Good- Protection against disease, environmental protection, education (external benefit to society) •Non Merit-Individual customer 38
  • 39. Different Types of Subsidy 1. Cash Subsidy: Providing food or fertilizer to consumer at lower price. 2. Interest or credit subsidies 3. Tax subsidies 4. In kind subsidies 5. Procurement subsidies 6. Regulatory subsidy 39
  • 40. Subsidies in India 40 • Subsidies have increased in India for several reasons. In particular this proliferation can be traced to 1)the expanse of governmental activities 2) relatively weak determination of governments to recover costs from the respective users of the subsidies, even when this may be desirable on economic grounds, and 3) generally low efficiency levels of governmental activities.
  • 41. 41 • In the context of their economic effects, subsidies have been subjected to an intense debate in India in recent years. Some of the major issues that have emerged in the literature are indicated below: 1. Whether the magnitude and incidence of subsidies, explicit and implicit, have spun out of control; their burden on government finances being unbearable, and their cost being felt in terms of a decline of real public investment in agriculture. 2. Whether agricultural subsidies distort the cropping pattern and lead to inter-regional disparities in development 3. Whether general subsidies on scarce inputs like water and power have distorted their optimal allocation 4. Whether subsidies basically cover only inefficiencies in the provision of governmental services 5. Whether subsidies like (food subsidies) have a predominant urban bias 6. Whether subsidies are mistargeted
  • 42. 7. Whether subsidies have a deleterious effect on general economic growth of sectors not covered by the subsidies 8. Whether agricultural subsidies are biased against small and marginal farmers 9. How should government services be priced or recovery rates determined 10. What is the impact of subsidies on the quality of environment and ecology 42
  • 43. Central Goverment Subisdies Trends in the subsidies given by Central Government ( Year 1994-95) • The bulk of the Central Govt's subsidies arise on the provision of economic services, which account for 88% of thetotal subsidies (10% on merit services and 78% on non-merit) • The recovery rates in the social end economic services are very low (around 10%) • Subsidies on non-merit goods are more than five times those on merit goods, which reflects on an unduly large and ill- directed subsidy regime. • The bulk of subsidies on merit goods go for the construction of roads and bridges, followed by elementary education and scientific research • Amongst non-merit services, the biggest recipients are industries and agriculture and allied services 43
  • 44. • 78% of subsidies which go for non-merit economic services are amenable to economic pricing. • Even if one allows for a part of these subsidies being given in the interest of redistribution or provision of human needs, a substantial part must be due to inefficiency costs of public provision of these services and/or inessential input or output subsidies • Subsidies to Central Public Enterprises are estimated separately as the excess of imputed return on the equity held and loans given by the central government to these enterprises, over actual receipts in the form of dividends and interests. • Subsidy in this manner is calculated for each enterprise. They are aggregated according to cognate groups. 44
  • 45. EXPLICIT • The most important explicit subsidies administered through the Central Government budget are food and fertilizer subsidies, and until recently, export subsidies • These subsidies account for about 30% of the total central subsidies in a year and have grown at a rate of approx 10% per annum over the period 1971-72 to 1996-97. • The relative importance of different explicit subsidies has changed over the years. E.g., food subsidies accounted for about 70% of total Central explicit subsidies in 1974-75 • Since then, its relative share fell steadily reaching its lowest of 20.15% in 1990-91. Thence onwards, it has risen steadily reaching a figure of 40% in 1995-96 45
  • 46. • Export subsidies have been on the decline except for the spurt in the late 1980s, whereas the relative share of the food subsidies has been rising although in a cyclical pattern. • As a proportion of GDP, explicit Central govt. subsidies were just about 0.305 in 1971-72. they continued to increase steadily reaching a peak of 2.38% in 1989-90 46
  • 47. State Government Subsidies • Subsidies given by 15 non-special category States were estimated for 1993- 94, the latest year for which reasonably detailed data were available for all these States • The trends thrown up by the study are: • Subsidies in social services and economic services both constitute half each of the total subsidies given by the States. • The proportion of merit subsidies is much higher in social services visĂ -versa economic services • The overall recovery rate is 5.81% of the total cost (less than 2% in social services and approx. 9% in economic services). • There is a distinct tendency for the per capita subsidies to rise as the per capita incomes rise. • None of the 15 States spends more than 30-35% of total subsidies on merit goods. 47
  • 48. • None of the 15 States spends more than 30-35% of total subsidies on merit goods. • The recovery rates for merit services show variation in a narrow band whereas the largest variations are recorded for recovery rates for non-merit economic services • The near zero surpluses for all services show that subsidies are mainly financed by tax-revenues and borrowing in the States. • More than one-fifth of non-merit social subsidies accrue to education, sports and art & culture • In economic services, irrigation accounts for nearly a quarter of services whereas power accounts for around 12%. • Lastly, subsidies to States' public enterprises are large but recovery in the form of interests and dividends is extremely low. 48
  • 49. Central and State-Aggerate Subsidies • Total non-merit subsidy for the Central and State governments taken together amount to Rs. 1021452.4 million in 1994-95, which is 10.71% of GDP at market prices. The share of Central government in this is 35.37%, i.e. roughly half of corresponding State government subsidies • The recovery-rate for the Centre, in the case of non-merit subsidies, is 12.13%, which is somewhat higher than the corresponding figure of 9.28% for the States • The difference in recovery rates is striking for non-merit social services, being 18.14% for the Centre and 3.97% for the States. It is only marginally different for non-merit economic services (11.65% for Centre and 12.87% for States) where, in fact, States do better 49
  • 50. 50 • The total non-merit subsidies for the year 1994-95 amounted to 10.71% of GDP at market prices, resulting in a combined fiscal deficit of 7.3% for the Centre, States and Union Territories • Therefore, if these subsidies were phased out, the same would have a discernible impact on the fiscal deficit • It can be done by increasing the relevant user charges, which would also lead to a reduction in their demand
  • 51. 51 Economic Subsidies Agriculture & Cooperation (16.4) Irrigation & Flood Control (10.8) Power & Energy (7.6) Industry (11.5) Transport (7.3) Communication & others (2.4) Social Subsidies Education (22%) Health (9%) Water Supply & Sanitation (5%) Rural Housing and others  In India subsidies can be classified in two categories
  • 52. Inter state variation • Proportionate distribution of subsidy is not done • Panjab, Haryana, Maharashtra,& Gujrat has 20% of population of India But they get 26% of subsidy • Where as U.P., MP, Bihar & Orissa has 40% of population but they get 31% of subsidy • Bihar has more then 33% population below poverty line compared to other states but receive less then 40% of average subsidy where in Punjab poverty is 54% less then average gets more the 40 % of average subsidy • In Panjab, Haryana, Maharashtra,& Gujrat 18% of rural population gets 25% of Subsidy where as in UP, MP, Bihar & Orissa 44% of rural population gets 29% of subsidy 52
  • 53. Different Definitions of Energy Subsidies and Their Strengths and Weaknesses at International Level Definition Focus/ Methodology Strengths WEAKNESSES Organisation For Economic Co-operation And Development (Oecd) “Both direct budgetary transfers and tax expenditures that in some way provide a benefit or preference for fossil fuel production or consumption relative to alternatives.” • The inventory of support is first step to identifying subsidies to a sector • Inventory approach • Broad definition of “support” • Inventory approach adds to transparency Can miss a range of supports delivered via price measures (prevalent in developing countries) • No estimates for nuclear or renewable subsidies World Bank (WB) A deliberate policy action by the government that specifically targets fossil fuels, or electricity or heat generated from fossil fuels. Support countries in their subsidy measurement Good overview of approaches to subsidy calculation No recent subsidy calculations of their own • No estimates for nuclear or renewable subsidies 53
  • 54. Contd.. Definition Focus/ Methodology Strengths Weaknesses World Trade Organization (WTO) A financial contribution by a government or any public body within the territory of a Member”, or when “There is any form of price support (where) a benefit is thereby conferred. How energy subsidies distort trade Dispute settlement Near universal Acceptance Often referenced Used by many as basis for their analysis Not widely used by some of the main institutions involved in subsidy reform International Energy Agency (IEA) “Any government action directed primarily at the energy sector that lowers the cost of energy production, raises the price received by energy producers or lowers the price paid by energy consumers. It can be applied to fossil and non- fossil energy in the same way.” On consumer subsidies, rather than producer subsidies • Fossil and renewables • Price-gap approach •Broad definition •Explicitly covers all energy • Applied only to consumer subsidies • Disagreement over reference prices • Can miss a range of subsidies • No nuclear numbers 54
  • 55. Contd.. Definition Focus/ Methodology Strengths Weaknesses International Monetary Fund (Imf) “Pre-tax consumer subsidies arise when the prices paid by consumers, including both firms (intermediate consumption) and households (final consumption), are below supply costs including transport and distribution costs. Producer subsidies arise when prices are above this level. Post-tax consumer subsidies arise when the price paid by consumers is below the supply cost of energy plus an appropriate “Pigouvian” (or “corrective”) tax…” Understanding magnitude of subsidies to support reform • Price-gap and inventory approach Includes unpriced Negative externalities • Data intensive • No estimates for nuclear or renewables 55
  • 56. Selected country and regional estimates of renewable energy subsidies in 2017 Power generation Usd billion Calculation Method Biofuels Usd billion European Union* 78 Inventory and Price-gap 10.9-11.9 Price-gap China -5 Inventory 0.4 Price-gap Japan 9 Inventory -0.2-0.3 Price-gap United States 6.7 Inventory 14.1 Inventory and price-gap India 2.2 Price-gap 0.9 Price-gap 56
  • 57. Energy Map of India
  • 58. Energy independence to be first and highest priority. We comprehensive energy security creating . an energy asset profile our nation’s must achieve by 2020 by that allows our economy to function with necessary abandon. We must concurrently strive to achieve energy independence by 2030 through accretions to our traditional stockpiles and strategic reserves as also skilful use of alternate and renewable sources of energy. President APJ Abdul Kalam VISION FOR NATIONS
  • 59. Energy Security International Market • Global oil prices entering the "super-pike" phase • Sustained price rise Vs growth rate & inflation • Oil prices have crossed $70 per barrel • High annual oil imports • High energy consumption than that of any developed country • Insulation from ever-volatile international energy market . . .
  • 60. India Energy Status in World India is both a major energy producer and consumer Eleventh greatest energy producer, accounting for about 2.4% of the world’s total annual energy production World’s sixth greatest energy consumer, accounting for about 3.3% of the world’s total annual energy consumption Despite its large annual energy production, India is a net energy importer, mostly due to the large imbalance between oil production and consumption India ranks fifth in the world in terms of energy consumption. Commercial energy consumption in India 3.5% of the world consumption in 2002 Average annual growth rate of energy consumption about 6% during 1981 -2002
  • 61. THE LOOMING CRISIS  India has proven oil reserves of less than 6.5 years of our total present consumption  World crisis ahead in the next few years  Indian crisis even more severe !  Unprecedented growth in hydrocarbon consumption – gasoline the highest  Biofuels one of the most adaptable options
  • 62. Energy Scenario in India India is both a major energy producer and consumer. Eleventh greatest energy producer, accounting for about 2.4% of the world’s total annual energy production. World’s sixth greatest energy consumer, accounting for about 3.3% of the world’s total annual energy consumption. Despite its large annual energy production, India is a net energy importer, mostly due to the large imbalance between oil production and consumption Commercial energy consumption in India is 3.5% of the world consumption. Average annual growth rate of energy consumption is about 6% during 1998 - 2007.
  • 63. Energy Sources – Indian Scenario 33% 8% 53% 1% 5% Oil LNG Coal Nuclear Hydro
  • 64. Major Concerns in Energy Sector in India  Growing gap between demand and supply of commercial energy: electricity, oil and gas.  Oil intensification of Indian economy due to declining self sufficiency in oil and increasing oil demand.  Growing dependence on non-commercial energy sources like fire-wood, cow-dung and agricultural wastes in rural areas.  Inadequate development of eco-friendly energy sources Including hydro and renewable energy.  Urgency for controlling environmental pollution caused by burning of fossil fuels and biomass energy.  Need for sustainable energy pathway for India which will ensure energy security.
  • 65.  India’s current energy basket is coal dominated and is likely to stay this way in the near future. Limited domestic coal supply coupled with its poor quality.  Low level of technological advancements and high instance of environmental perils pose serious challenges for over dependence on coal.  Limited domestic reserves and uncertain foreign supply of hydrocarbons in wake of their rising international price have seriously impaired country’s energy security.
  • 66. Energy Gaps  Approximately 2.4 billion people use traditional biomass for cooking  Still 1.6 million people lack access to Electricity  World’s energy needs will be up by 60% by the year 2030 with fossils fuel still being the dominant energy mix  Indoor biomass stoves kills up to 1.6 million Women and children in developing countries
  • 67. SOME MORE PROBLEMS  Tarapur nuclear reactor requires refueling  Gas pipeline from Turkmenistan, through Pakistan, but questionable reserves  Gas pipeline from Myanmar through Bangladesh discouraged by U.S.  Protests against hydro-electricdam at Narmada
  • 68. Energy Requirement of India Over the next 25 years, six fold increase projected in electricity and four fold increase in crude oil
  • 69. EconomicGrowth Social Empowerment Environmental Sustenance Economic opportunity Energy Social progress Environmentand Healthprotection Energy, Environment and Sustainable Development
  • 70. Future Scenario - 2030  Global production of oil - peak by 2030  60% of new investments in energy – electricity   Renewable energy - meet 14% (world’s total primary energy demand) - to remain same in 2030 Share of biofuels (transportation) - 1% but will go to 3% by 2030
  • 71. Other Options  Renewable are indigenous, non-depleting, modular and environment-friendly  Renewables can provide energyaccess and meet unmet demand  Provide captive energy thus conserving fossil fuels and electricity  Supplement fossil fuels in transportation  Renewables can contribute to energy Security in a sustainable manner
  • 72. TYPES OF ENERGY  FOSSIL FUELS OIL & NATURAL GAS WITH COAL INDEGINIOUS PRODUCTION  HYDROGEN  NUCLEAR ENERGRY  BIOMASS TECH  BIOFUEL  ETHANOL BLEND  ENERGY FROM WASTE  RENEWABLE ENERGY  SOLAR  WIND  HYDRO  TIDAL
  • 73.
  • 74. QUESTIONS  How to ensure that planning for energy is not done in isolation?  How to manage two conflicting issues, especially in the developing countries going for a green growth where majority of the population still lacks basic energy services?  How to mobilize resources to create access to modern energy services, given the background of rising energy insecurity and economic instability due to rise in the oil prices?
  • 76. • Renewable energy is the energy which is used & renewed. Its sources could be derived from sun, wind, water etc. • There is no dearth of its sources • Sunlight falling on the united state in one day contains more then twice the energy we consume in an entire year
  • 78. Renewable Energy: Better Option Renewable energy (re) is a preferred option for india  Large untapped re potential  Vast land resources for production of biomass & bio-fuels  Abundant sunshine  Increase in population and growing consumption Plentiful sites for harnessing windenergy and small hydro Why renewable energy is particularly relevant for rural India  No access to on grid sys for rural population.  Vision 2012
  • 79.
  • 80.
  • 81.
  • 82. Importance of Stand-alone Renewable Systems Stand-alone re systems are economically viable Standalone re systems shall : Avoid the high costs involved in transmission capex. Avoid distribution losses – technical & otherwise Avoid recurring fuel cost Boost the rural economy Encourage self help groups & self dependence Enable villageco-operatives to supply and/ or monitor distribution Make available much needed energy for basic needs at the doorstep at affordable prices.  Brings gain for Indian economy.
  • 83. SOLAR POWER PROGRAMME  Earliest source of energy known to the mankind.  Salient features – wide-spread distribution, environment friendly, and virtually inexhaustible supply  India receives solar energy equivalent to Over 5000 trillion kwh/year.
  • 84.
  • 86. WIND ENERGY We have used the wind as energy source for a long time. Chinese were using it to pump water for irrigating crops 4000 years ago. In Europe wind power was used in middle ages to grind corn, which is where the term “wind mill” comes from.
  • 88.
  • 89.
  • 91. HYDEL ENERGY WE HAVE USED RUNNING WATER AS ENERGY SOURCE FOR THOUSAND OF YEARS FOR GRINDING CORN. THE FIRST HOUSE IN THE WORLD TO BE LIT BY HYDRO ELECTRICITY WAS CRAGSIDE HOUSE IN ENGLAND IN 1878
  • 93.
  • 94.
  • 95.
  • 96.
  • 97.
  • 98.
  • 99.
  • 100.
  • 101.
  • 102.
  • 103. TIDAL ENERGY Tidal energy is produced by using the kinetic energy of the tides. In order to produce some practical amounts of power (electricity), a small difference between the high and low tides of at least say five metres in required. Dam is built across a river estuary. When the tides goes in and out, the water flows through tunnels in the dam. Power is generated as hydro electric power.
  • 105. TIDAL ENERGY AT A GLANCE Exploitations of tidal energy is in initial stage, no project installed so far. The main potential sites for tidal power generation in India are the Gulf of Kutch and the Gulf of Khambat (Cambay) and the Gangetic Delta in the Sundarbans area of West Bengal.  Salient features:-  Once built, tidal power is free  It needs no fuel  Not expensive to maintain  Tides are totally perdictable  Building a dam across in estuary is expensive  Effect the habitat of birds and fish as it alter tidal current  Can provide power for around 10 hrs/day
  • 106. TIDAL POWER INDIA: TIDAL ENERGY POTENTIAL IN EXCESS OF 15 GIGAWATTS IN A WRITTEN REPLY INDIA'S STATE MINISTER OF FOR NON- CONVENTIONAL ENERGY SOURCES ESTIMATED THAT OVER 15,000 MW OF TIDAL POWER POTENTIAL HAS BEEN ESTIMATED IN THE COUNTRY
  • 107. GEOTHERMAL ENERGY Derived from greek word “geo” means earth and “thermal” means heat Working priciple  Hot rocks, underground heat, water to produce steam.  Holes are drilled down to the hot region, steam comes up, is purified and used to drive turbines, which drive electric generators.  If there is no natural “ground water” in the hot rocks, more holes are drilled and water is pumped down to them.
  • 109. PRESENT STATUS Geothermal energy based power production over the world has gone up from 5800 mw to 8400 mw from 1998 to 1999. In India it is in initial stage, no geothermal power Project installed. Ongoing projects: Tattapani geothermal area in madhya pradesh Puga geothermal area in ladakh More than 300 geothermal potential sites
  • 110. THRUST AREAS Creation of geothermal data base. Geothermal resource and manpower development Its application for power generation.

Editor's Notes

  1. Starting point…With thanks to the peers and mentors at CES, for making me what I am today, especially Prof. Kaushik, Prof. Kandpal, Prof. Dutta, Prof. Tiwari for support and encouragement through discussion on R&D activities. Also I am grateful to Head CES, Prof. Dutta for giving me an opportunity to present what I have done so far and what I could do in Future here provided I pass the test and standards laid down by my peers? Let me assure you that I intend to do my very best!
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