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Safe haven in a
                                       challenging world
                                       SWEDEN – FROM CRISIS TO SUCCESS

                                       Bo Lundgren
                                       Director General
                                       Tokyo, May, 2012




1   2012-05-07 Investor presentation
GDP growth 1990-2013

                 Percent

                8.0

                6.0

                4.0

                2.0

                0.0

               -2.0

               -4.0

               -6.0




2   2012-05-07 Investor presentation
Central Government Debt 1990-2013

                 Percent
                 90
                 80
                 70
                 60
                 50
                 40
                 30
                 20
                 10
                   0




                                       Central Government Debt   Debt incl. on-lending




3   2012-05-07 Investor presentation
Reforms to increase stability and growth
    Reforms on monetary and fiscal policy frameworks together with deregulations
    and pension reforms have created a stable economic and budgetary environment

    • Medium-term budgetary framework
            – Budgetary framework established in 1997 and strengthened in 2011…
            – ...targeting an average surplus of 1 per cent of GDP for the general
                Government over the business cycle with close monitoring of spending...
            – …ceiling for government spending decided each year in advance by the
                Parliament


    • The Swedish central bank – The Riksbank – has an independent
       standing with a price stability objective




4   2012-05-07 Investor presentation
Reforms to increase stability and growth cont’d
    Reforms on monetary and fiscal policy frameworks together with deregulations
    and pension reforms have created a stable economic and budgetary environment

    • Pension reform established
            – Pensions now linked to life-long income
            – Defined contributions as a complement
            – The new system is robust to changes in overall income growth and demographics

    • Deregulation of product markets
            – Telecom
            – Transportation
            – Electricity
            – Labour market reform



5   2012-05-07 Investor presentation
Households’ debt, assets, housing expenditures
    and savings

               SEK bn                                                                                             % of disposable income

               600                                                                                                                   15

               500                                                                                                                   10

               400                                                                                                                   5

               300                                                                                                                   0

               200                                                                                                                   -5

               100                                                                                                                   -10

                   0                                                                                                                 -15
                    1970         1974   1978    1982       1986      1990       1994       1998      2002       2006    2010     2014

                                               Total wealth, excluding collective insurance
                                               Financial wealth, excluding housing and collective insurance
                                               Debt
                                               Housing expenditure
                                               Financial balance, excluding collective and real saving (right axis)


6   2012-05-07 Investor presentation
Gross borrowing in the capital market

               SEK bn

               120


               100


                 80


                 60


                 40


                 20


                  0
                                         2011                      2012                       2013

                                   Bonds in foreign currencies   Inflation-linked bonds   Government bonds




7   2012-05-07 Investor presentation
Net borrowing requirement

               SEK bn

                 20
                 10
                   0
                -10
                -20
                -30
                -40
                -50
                -60
                -70
                -80
                                       2011   2012   2013




8   2012-05-07 Investor presentation

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Presentation Bo Lundgren Tokyo 7-8 maj 2012

  • 1. Safe haven in a challenging world SWEDEN – FROM CRISIS TO SUCCESS Bo Lundgren Director General Tokyo, May, 2012 1 2012-05-07 Investor presentation
  • 2. GDP growth 1990-2013 Percent 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 -2.0 -4.0 -6.0 2 2012-05-07 Investor presentation
  • 3. Central Government Debt 1990-2013 Percent 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Central Government Debt Debt incl. on-lending 3 2012-05-07 Investor presentation
  • 4. Reforms to increase stability and growth Reforms on monetary and fiscal policy frameworks together with deregulations and pension reforms have created a stable economic and budgetary environment • Medium-term budgetary framework – Budgetary framework established in 1997 and strengthened in 2011… – ...targeting an average surplus of 1 per cent of GDP for the general Government over the business cycle with close monitoring of spending... – …ceiling for government spending decided each year in advance by the Parliament • The Swedish central bank – The Riksbank – has an independent standing with a price stability objective 4 2012-05-07 Investor presentation
  • 5. Reforms to increase stability and growth cont’d Reforms on monetary and fiscal policy frameworks together with deregulations and pension reforms have created a stable economic and budgetary environment • Pension reform established – Pensions now linked to life-long income – Defined contributions as a complement – The new system is robust to changes in overall income growth and demographics • Deregulation of product markets – Telecom – Transportation – Electricity – Labour market reform 5 2012-05-07 Investor presentation
  • 6. Households’ debt, assets, housing expenditures and savings SEK bn % of disposable income 600 15 500 10 400 5 300 0 200 -5 100 -10 0 -15 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 Total wealth, excluding collective insurance Financial wealth, excluding housing and collective insurance Debt Housing expenditure Financial balance, excluding collective and real saving (right axis) 6 2012-05-07 Investor presentation
  • 7. Gross borrowing in the capital market SEK bn 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2011 2012 2013 Bonds in foreign currencies Inflation-linked bonds Government bonds 7 2012-05-07 Investor presentation
  • 8. Net borrowing requirement SEK bn 20 10 0 -10 -20 -30 -40 -50 -60 -70 -80 2011 2012 2013 8 2012-05-07 Investor presentation