The Index has been moving up for the past 8 weeks and could continue further because the trend remains up. The risk we are facing is the overbought status seen on the RSI on both charts. The possibilities are becoming higher for a correction

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Daily Technical Trader – Qatar
Tuesday, 16 August 2016
Today’s Coverage
Ticker Price Target
GWCS 58.50 61.00
QSE Index
Level % Ch. Vol. (mn)
Last 11,128.17 0.67 5.6
Resistance/Support
Levels 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 11,150 11,300 11,500
Support 11,000 10,900 10,650
QSE Index Commentary
Overview:
The Index has been moving up for the
past 8 weeks and could continue further
because the trend remains up. The risk we
are facing is the overbought status seen
on the RSI on both charts. The
possibilities are becoming higher for a
correction.
Expected Resistance Level: 11,150
Expected Support Level: 11,000
QSE Index (Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
QSE Summary
Market Indicators 15 Aug 14 Aug %Ch.
Value Traded (QR mn) 371.9 230.6 61.3
Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 594.5 591.4 0.5
Volume (mn) 8.1 6.8 20.1
Number of Trans. 5,385 4,031 33.6
Companies Traded 42 43 -2.3
Market Breadth 26:14 27:12 –
QSE Indices
Market Indices Close 1D% RSI
Total Return 18,004.64 0.7 77.3
All Share Index 3,060.06 0.5 76.7
Banks 3,021.36 0.5 76.3
Industrials 3,356.33 0.5 71.0
Transportation 2,593.10 0.5 66.3
Real Estate 2,780.68 0.3 74.9
Insurance 4,500.91 1.1 68.4
Telecoms 1,259.03 2.0 83.2
Consumer Goods 6,565.66 -0.3 52.4
Al Rayan Islamic 4,239.64 0.3 76.0
RSI 14 (Overbought)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
ORDS 101.00 2.5 80.5
UDCD 21.24 0.1 79.2
BRES 38.00 0.9 78.0
CBQK 44.50 3.5 77.1
MARK 38.45 1.5 74.0
RSI 14 (Oversold)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
QSE Index (30min)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research

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Gulf Warehousing Co. (GWCS)
Price % Ch. Volume
Last 58.50 0.17 77,521
Resistance/Support
Levels (QR) 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 59.00 61.00 62.00
Support 58.00 57.60 57.00
Commentary
Overview:
The name has lagged the general market’s
movement; it could follow suit. Granted,
the traded volume remains low but we
have seen a slight pickup in volumes in
tandem with upticks.
Expected Target Price: QR61.00 – QR62.00
A price breakout above QR59.00 triggers
the buy recommendation.
Suggested Stop-Loss Price: QR57.60
(Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
(Hourly)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research

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Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages
Support Levels Resistance Levels
Ticker Close 3
rd
2
nd
1
st
Pivot 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA
QSE Index 11,128.17 10,968.56 11,019.11 11,050.34 11,100.89 11,151.44 11,182.67 11,233.22 10,245.95 10,137.73 10,111.90
Total Return 18,004.64 17,746.41 17,828.19 17,878.72 17,960.51 18,042.29 18,092.82 18,174.61 16,577.26 16,391.88 16,076.49
All Share 3,060.06 3,023.51 3,035.38 3,042.71 3,054.58 3,066.45 3,073.78 3,085.65 2,843.54 2,820.85 2,759.83
Al Rayan Islamic 4,239.64 4,199.26 4,213.30 4,221.98 4,236.02 4,250.06 4,258.74 4,272.78 3,953.80 3,942.75 3,829.83
Banks & Financials Services
MARK 38.45 37.45 37.74 37.91 38.20 38.49 38.66 38.95 35.10 34.63 35.40
CBQK 44.50 41.63 42.51 43.05 43.93 44.81 45.35 46.23 38.11 38.25 41.55
DHBK 39.70 38.23 38.65 38.91 39.33 39.75 40.01 40.43 36.23 36.34 39.15
QIBK 114.00 112.33 113.10 113.57 114.33 115.10 115.57 116.33 101.75 100.11 101.98
QIIK 65.20 64.73 64.92 65.04 65.23 65.42 65.54 65.73 62.95 63.32 65.09
Insurance
QATI 85.00 83.00 83.73 84.17 84.90 85.63 86.07 86.80 76.61 77.96 75.58
Consumer Goods & Services
MCGS 93.80 93.33 93.52 93.64 93.83 94.02 94.14 94.33 95.40 100.04 107.19
Industrials
IQCD 115.40 112.13 113.24 113.93 115.03 116.14 116.83 117.93 102.73 102.74 104.05
QEWS 232.40 230.33 230.94 231.32 231.93 232.54 232.92 233.53 214.49 209.78 205.73
GISS 36.35 36.12 36.25 36.33 36.47 36.60 36.68 36.82 36.87 36.30 40.71
QIGD 53.50 52.30 52.80 53.10 53.60 54.10 54.40 54.90 49.22 50.67 43.37
Real Estate
BRES 38.00 37.27 37.50 37.64 37.87 38.10 38.24 38.47 34.09 33.66 35.69
UDCD 21.24 20.88 20.99 21.07 21.18 21.29 21.37 21.48 19.42 19.19 19.87
ERES 19.90 19.61 19.71 19.77 19.87 19.97 20.03 20.13 18.69 18.30 17.02
MRDS 14.60 14.23 14.41 14.51 14.68 14.86 14.96 15.13 13.78 13.97 13.41
Telecommunication
ORDS 101.00 96.47 98.07 99.06 100.67 102.27 103.26 104.87 91.26 90.14 84.04
VFQS 12.20 12.01 12.09 12.13 12.20 12.28 12.32 12.39 11.01 11.41 11.53
Transportation
QGTS 24.75 24.40 24.53 24.60 24.72 24.85 24.92 25.04 23.69 23.45 23.22
QNNS 90.00 88.07 88.79 89.24 89.97 90.69 91.14 91.87 87.64 88.52 91.20
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock price

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Definitions:
Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening and
the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is lower
than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they
compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices.
Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher.
Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the
security price to head lower.
SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus considered
a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative price
direction and potential support/resistance levels.
Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in
a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally
use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be
considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold.
Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head &
shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc.
Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These
levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement.
Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot
Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.

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Contacts:
Zaid al-Nafoosi, CMT, CFTe Saugata Sarkar Shahan Keushgerian
Senior Research Analyst Head of Research Senior Research Analyst
Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6509
zaid.alnafoosi@qnbfs.com.qa saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa
Sahbi Kasraoui Youssef Elboghdady QNB Financial Services
Acting Head of Trading Head of Institutional Sales & Trading Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666
Tel: (+974) 4476 6544 Tel: (+974) 4476 6542 PO Box 24025
sahbi.alkasraoui@qnbfs.com.qa youssef.elboghdady@qnbfs.com.qa Doha, Qatar
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