Qatar stock exchange

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Daily Technical Trader – Qatar
Monday, 14 December 2015
Stock Covered Today
Ticker Price 1
st
Target
KCBK 16.80 17.70
QSE Index
Level % Ch. Vol. (mn)
Last 9,643.65 -3.71 6.5
Resistance/Support
Levels 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 9,800 10,000 10,100
Support 9,500 9,300 9,200
QSE Index Commentary
Overview:
The QSE Index dropped sharply in the
previous session and could wobble just
above the 9,500 points. Breaching the
mentioned level downwards might drag us
further to 9,300 due to the momentum
seen. We should mention that, based on
the 14-period RSI, the Index reached the
oversold area on both the weekly and the
daily chart. In addition, the
Expected Resistance Level: 9,800
Expected Support Level: 9,500
QSE Index (Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
QE Summary
Market Indicators 13 Dec 10 Dec %Ch.
Value Traded (QR mn) 261.8 256.2 2.2
Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 510.9 528.8 -3.4
Volume (mn) 6.9 7.0 -2.2
Number of Trans. 4,204 4,123 2.0
Companies Traded 40 39 2.6
Market Breadth 1:39 19:16 –
QE Indices
Market Indices Close 1D% RSI
Total Return 14,989.68 -3.7 20.8
All Share Index 2,575.79 -3.6 20.0
Banks 2,615.53 -3.9 26.0
Industrials 2,880.04 -4.1 24.5
Transportation 2,321.40 -4.1 28.9
Real Estate 2,161.62 -2.9 26.2
Insurance 3,919.39 -2.1 30.4
Telecoms 885.06 -2.7 37.4
Consumer 5,653.33 -2.7 9.4
Al Rayan Islamic 3,539.77 -4.2 16.5
RSI 14 (Over Bought)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
RSI 14 (Over Sold)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
ZHCD 78.00 -7.1 7.8
MRDS 13.49 -4.3 15.6
QCFS 38.00 0.0 17.7
MCGS 119.30 -0.8 18.0
NLCS 13.67 -5.2 18.3
QSE Index (30min)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research

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KCBK
Price % Ch. Volume
Last 16.80 -0.59 6,750
Resistance/Support
Levels (QR) 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 16.80 17.70 18.40
Support 16.70 16.40 16.00
Commentary
Overview:
KCBK has been trading in a downtrend,
and breaking the QR16.70 support level
will put the price in a new two-year low
territory. That been said, the momentum
indicators are showing some signs of
hope that the price might correct upwards.
Expected Target Price: QR17.70 --
QR18.40
A price breakaway above QR16.80
triggers the buy recommendation.
Suggested Stop-Loss Price:QR16.70
(Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
(Hourly)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research

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Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages
Support Levels Resistance Levels
Ticker Close 3
rd
2
nd
1
st
Pivot 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA
QSE Index 9,643.65 9,475.04 9,560.43 9,613.18 9,698.57 9,783.96 9,836.71 9,922.10 11,112.52 11,332.18 11,680.57
Total Return 14,989.68 14,727.60 14,860.32 14,942.32 15,075.04 15,207.76 15,289.76 15,422.48 17,272.82 17,614.25 18,126.31
All Share 2,575.79 2,533.29 2,555.27 2,568.85 2,590.83 2,612.81 2,626.39 2,648.37 2,958.95 3,020.35 3,114.26
Al Rayan Islamic 3,539.77 3,479.65 3,511.80 3,531.66 3,563.81 3,595.96 3,615.82 3,647.97 4,188.99 4,318.20 4,430.01
Banks & Financials Services
MARK 34.00 32.80 33.43 33.82 34.45 35.08 35.47 36.10 40.90 42.17 44.45
CBQK 44.00 43.47 43.77 43.96 44.27 44.57 44.76 45.07 51.63 53.77 55.40
DHBK 43.70 43.03 43.22 43.34 43.53 43.72 43.84 44.03 48.10 49.91 51.61
QIBK 105.50 101.50 103.79 105.21 107.50 109.79 111.21 113.50 117.21 114.37 109.05
QIIK 60.70 58.90 59.93 60.57 61.60 62.63 63.27 64.30 72.52 74.39 77.41
Insurance
QATI 79.20 77.67 78.35 78.78 79.47 80.15 80.58 81.27 90.66 93.91 90.47
Consumer Goods & Services
MCGS 119.30 110.10 113.81 116.09 119.80 123.51 125.79 129.50 151.39 161.48 164.21
Industrials
IQCD 97.60 94.67 95.97 96.77 98.07 99.37 100.17 101.47 115.83 123.19 131.98
QEWS 202.00 201.60 201.83 201.97 202.20 202.43 202.57 202.80 210.45 212.32 209.51
GISS 47.50 44.90 45.93 46.57 47.60 48.63 49.27 50.30 60.08 62.17 73.62
QIGD 33.90 32.73 33.21 33.51 33.98 34.46 34.76 35.23 43.09 45.41 46.76
Real Estate
BRES 38.00 37.07 37.45 37.68 38.07 38.45 38.68 39.07 43.23 44.37 46.99
UDCD 19.36 19.00 19.13 19.21 19.34 19.47 19.55 19.68 23.04 23.62 23.37
ERES 14.55 13.92 14.11 14.23 14.42 14.61 14.73 14.92 18.05 18.07 17.62
MRDS 13.49 12.91 13.13 13.27 13.49 13.71 13.85 14.07 15.85 16.30 17.39
Telecommunication
ORDS 68.50 64.90 66.20 67.00 68.30 69.60 70.40 71.70 74.60 74.87 86.02
VFQS 10.84 10.58 10.68 10.73 10.83 10.93 10.98 11.08 13.34 13.89 15.52
Transportation
QGTS 22.04 21.57 21.74 21.84 22.00 22.17 22.27 22.43 24.10 23.07 22.89
QNNS 93.00 90.40 91.62 92.38 93.60 94.82 95.58 96.80 97.57 97.52 98.65
Sources: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock close price

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Definitions:
Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening
and the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is
lower than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they
compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices.
Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher.
Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the
security price to head lower.
SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus
considered a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative
price direction and potential support/resistance levels.
Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in
a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally
use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be
considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold.
Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head &
shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc.
Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These
levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement.
Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot
Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.

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Contacts:
Zaid al-Nafoosi, CMT, CFTe Saugata Sarkar Shahan Keushgerian
Senior Research Analyst Head of Research Senior Research Analyst
Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6535
zaid.alnafoosi@qnbfs.com.qa saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa
QNB Financial Services SPC
Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666
PO Box 24025
Doha, Qatar
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