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COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 1 of 5
Daily Technical Trader – Qatar
Tuesday, 29 December 2015
Stocks Covered Today
Ticker Price 1
st
Target
QGTS 23.16 23.70
QSE Index
Level % Ch. Vol. (mn)
Last 10,397.95 0.92 2.7
Resistance/Support
Levels 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 10,500 10,700 10,900
Support 10,300 10,000 9,800
QSE Index Commentary
Overview:
The QSE Index is getting closer to the
10,500 level. The good news is that the
Index cleared away from the downtrend
line seen on the short term. The not-so-
good news is that the movement, thus far,
has been an up-move bounce. A singular
movement upwards on the daily chart is
not the ideal pattern we look for to change
in a trend.
Expected Resistance Level: 10,500
Expected Support Level: 10,300
QSE Index (Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
QE Summary
Market Indicators 28 Dec 27 Dec %Ch.
Value Traded (QR mn) 250.0 125.7 98.8
Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 549.3 544.6 0.9
Volume (mn) 6.2 3.7 68.8
Number of Trans. 3,255 2,219 46.7
Companies Traded 41 38 7.9
Market Breadth 30:7 22:13 –
QE Indices
Market Indices Close 1D% RSI
Total Return 16,162.12 0.9 52.6
All Share Index 2,765.40 0.8 51.8
Banks 2,772.95 0.2 48.8
Industrials 3,139.03 1.9 56.3
Transportation 2,417.44 -0.4 45.5
Real Estate 2,367.52 0.8 50.6
Insurance 4,223.62 2.0 52.6
Telecoms 974.48 1.6 57.6
Consumer 5,958.63 0.4 44.7
Al Rayan Islamic 3,845.21 1.0 50.5
RSI 14 (Over Bought)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
RSI 14 (Over Sold)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
QCFS 34.00 -0.6 0.3
ZHCD 77.50 -3.1 28.8
QSE Index (30min)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 2 of 5
QGTS
Price % Ch. Volume
Last 23.16 -0.39 233,960
Resistance/Support
Levels (QR) 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 23.27 23.70 23.95
Support 22.80 22.30 22.00
Commentary
Overview:
We see, from the daily chart, that the price
is bouncing off the 100SMA and 200SMA.
Due to the bearish Head and Shoulders
price formations that was molded between
October and November of this year, this
move is expected to be short lived. So this
should be considered as a short-term
trade idea.
Expected Target Price: QR25.70 –
QR25.95
A breakaway above QR23.27 triggers the
buy recommendation.
Suggested Stop-Loss Price: QR22.80
(Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
(Hourly)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 3 of 5
Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages
Support Levels Resistance Levels
Ticker Close 3
rd
2
nd
1
st
Pivot 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA
QSE Index 10,397.95 10,217.40 10,278.45 10,316.16 10,377.20 10,438.25 10,475.96 10,537.00 10,770.77 11,152.54 11,569.89
Total Return 16,162.12 15,881.48 15,976.36 16,034.99 16,129.87 16,224.75 16,283.38 16,378.26 16,741.62 17,335.03 17,972.42
All Share 2,765.40 2,721.36 2,736.30 2,745.53 2,760.47 2,775.41 2,784.64 2,799.58 2,869.70 2,971.02 3,086.91
Al Rayan Islamic 3,845.21 3,779.28 3,800.22 3,813.15 3,834.08 3,855.02 3,867.95 3,888.88 4,038.51 4,226.25 4,395.22
Banks & Financials Services
MARK 37.00 36.60 36.77 36.88 37.05 37.22 37.33 37.50 39.27 41.25 43.90
CBQK 45.30 44.77 44.96 45.08 45.27 45.46 45.58 45.77 49.28 52.79 54.48
DHBK 44.00 43.80 43.86 43.89 43.95 44.01 44.04 44.10 46.85 48.97 51.03
QIBK 108.50 107.23 107.77 108.10 108.63 109.17 109.50 110.03 115.23 114.29 109.31
QIIK 64.50 63.63 63.94 64.13 64.43 64.74 64.93 65.23 69.88 72.80 76.20
Insurance
QATI 87.00 84.33 85.10 85.57 86.33 87.10 87.57 88.33 88.08 92.18 90.75
Consumer Goods & Services
MCGS 121.50 118.30 119.29 119.91 120.90 121.89 122.51 123.50 140.42 154.69 162.51
Industrials
IQCD 108.10 102.83 104.67 105.80 107.63 109.47 110.60 112.43 111.28 120.03 129.69
QEWS 218.00 206.40 209.72 211.78 215.10 218.42 220.48 223.80 209.89 211.12 210.47
GISS 52.40 51.33 51.79 52.07 52.53 52.99 53.27 53.73 56.32 59.94 71.35
QIGD 37.40 36.33 36.79 37.07 37.53 37.99 38.27 38.73 41.08 44.01 46.37
Real Estate
BRES 40.10 38.77 39.23 39.51 39.97 40.43 40.71 41.17 42.03 43.27 46.51
UDCD 20.55 19.92 20.11 20.23 20.41 20.60 20.72 20.90 22.16 23.10 23.17
ERES 16.30 16.09 16.16 16.20 16.27 16.34 16.38 16.45 17.22 17.85 17.61
MRDS 14.32 14.04 14.14 14.19 14.29 14.39 14.44 14.54 15.30 15.88 17.17
Telecommunication
ORDS 73.60 71.20 72.16 72.75 73.70 74.66 75.25 76.20 73.11 73.72 83.87
VFQS 12.77 12.25 12.43 12.53 12.71 12.89 12.99 13.17 12.78 13.46 15.21
Transportation
QGTS 23.16 22.94 23.02 23.08 23.16 23.24 23.30 23.38 24.04 23.17 22.82
QNNS 94.60 94.20 94.39 94.51 94.70 94.89 95.01 95.20 96.84 97.00 97.99
Sources: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock price
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 4 of 5
Definitions:
Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening
and the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is
lower than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they
compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices.
Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher.
Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the
security price to head lower.
SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus
considered a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative
price direction and potential support/resistance levels.
Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in
a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally
use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be
considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold.
Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head &
shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc.
Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These
levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement.
Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot
Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 5 of 5
Contacts:
Zaid al-Nafoosi, CMT, CFTe Saugata Sarkar Shahan Keushgerian
Senior Research Analyst Head of Research Senior Research Analyst
Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6535
zaid.alnafoosi@qnbfs.com.qa saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa
QNB Financial Services SPC
Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666
PO Box 24025
Doha, Qatar
Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of QNB SAQ (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar
Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer,
promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or
indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice. We
therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that
QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy
and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be different or
contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to amend the
views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included
in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS.

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QSE Daily Technical Trader

  • 1. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 1 of 5 Daily Technical Trader – Qatar Tuesday, 29 December 2015 Stocks Covered Today Ticker Price 1 st Target QGTS 23.16 23.70 QSE Index Level % Ch. Vol. (mn) Last 10,397.95 0.92 2.7 Resistance/Support Levels 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 10,500 10,700 10,900 Support 10,300 10,000 9,800 QSE Index Commentary Overview: The QSE Index is getting closer to the 10,500 level. The good news is that the Index cleared away from the downtrend line seen on the short term. The not-so- good news is that the movement, thus far, has been an up-move bounce. A singular movement upwards on the daily chart is not the ideal pattern we look for to change in a trend. Expected Resistance Level: 10,500 Expected Support Level: 10,300 QSE Index (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research QE Summary Market Indicators 28 Dec 27 Dec %Ch. Value Traded (QR mn) 250.0 125.7 98.8 Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 549.3 544.6 0.9 Volume (mn) 6.2 3.7 68.8 Number of Trans. 3,255 2,219 46.7 Companies Traded 41 38 7.9 Market Breadth 30:7 22:13 – QE Indices Market Indices Close 1D% RSI Total Return 16,162.12 0.9 52.6 All Share Index 2,765.40 0.8 51.8 Banks 2,772.95 0.2 48.8 Industrials 3,139.03 1.9 56.3 Transportation 2,417.44 -0.4 45.5 Real Estate 2,367.52 0.8 50.6 Insurance 4,223.62 2.0 52.6 Telecoms 974.48 1.6 57.6 Consumer 5,958.63 0.4 44.7 Al Rayan Islamic 3,845.21 1.0 50.5 RSI 14 (Over Bought) Ticker Close 1D% RSI RSI 14 (Over Sold) Ticker Close 1D% RSI QCFS 34.00 -0.6 0.3 ZHCD 77.50 -3.1 28.8 QSE Index (30min) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 2. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 2 of 5 QGTS Price % Ch. Volume Last 23.16 -0.39 233,960 Resistance/Support Levels (QR) 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 23.27 23.70 23.95 Support 22.80 22.30 22.00 Commentary Overview: We see, from the daily chart, that the price is bouncing off the 100SMA and 200SMA. Due to the bearish Head and Shoulders price formations that was molded between October and November of this year, this move is expected to be short lived. So this should be considered as a short-term trade idea. Expected Target Price: QR25.70 – QR25.95 A breakaway above QR23.27 triggers the buy recommendation. Suggested Stop-Loss Price: QR22.80 (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research (Hourly) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 3. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 3 of 5 Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages Support Levels Resistance Levels Ticker Close 3 rd 2 nd 1 st Pivot 1 st 2 nd 3 rd 50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA QSE Index 10,397.95 10,217.40 10,278.45 10,316.16 10,377.20 10,438.25 10,475.96 10,537.00 10,770.77 11,152.54 11,569.89 Total Return 16,162.12 15,881.48 15,976.36 16,034.99 16,129.87 16,224.75 16,283.38 16,378.26 16,741.62 17,335.03 17,972.42 All Share 2,765.40 2,721.36 2,736.30 2,745.53 2,760.47 2,775.41 2,784.64 2,799.58 2,869.70 2,971.02 3,086.91 Al Rayan Islamic 3,845.21 3,779.28 3,800.22 3,813.15 3,834.08 3,855.02 3,867.95 3,888.88 4,038.51 4,226.25 4,395.22 Banks & Financials Services MARK 37.00 36.60 36.77 36.88 37.05 37.22 37.33 37.50 39.27 41.25 43.90 CBQK 45.30 44.77 44.96 45.08 45.27 45.46 45.58 45.77 49.28 52.79 54.48 DHBK 44.00 43.80 43.86 43.89 43.95 44.01 44.04 44.10 46.85 48.97 51.03 QIBK 108.50 107.23 107.77 108.10 108.63 109.17 109.50 110.03 115.23 114.29 109.31 QIIK 64.50 63.63 63.94 64.13 64.43 64.74 64.93 65.23 69.88 72.80 76.20 Insurance QATI 87.00 84.33 85.10 85.57 86.33 87.10 87.57 88.33 88.08 92.18 90.75 Consumer Goods & Services MCGS 121.50 118.30 119.29 119.91 120.90 121.89 122.51 123.50 140.42 154.69 162.51 Industrials IQCD 108.10 102.83 104.67 105.80 107.63 109.47 110.60 112.43 111.28 120.03 129.69 QEWS 218.00 206.40 209.72 211.78 215.10 218.42 220.48 223.80 209.89 211.12 210.47 GISS 52.40 51.33 51.79 52.07 52.53 52.99 53.27 53.73 56.32 59.94 71.35 QIGD 37.40 36.33 36.79 37.07 37.53 37.99 38.27 38.73 41.08 44.01 46.37 Real Estate BRES 40.10 38.77 39.23 39.51 39.97 40.43 40.71 41.17 42.03 43.27 46.51 UDCD 20.55 19.92 20.11 20.23 20.41 20.60 20.72 20.90 22.16 23.10 23.17 ERES 16.30 16.09 16.16 16.20 16.27 16.34 16.38 16.45 17.22 17.85 17.61 MRDS 14.32 14.04 14.14 14.19 14.29 14.39 14.44 14.54 15.30 15.88 17.17 Telecommunication ORDS 73.60 71.20 72.16 72.75 73.70 74.66 75.25 76.20 73.11 73.72 83.87 VFQS 12.77 12.25 12.43 12.53 12.71 12.89 12.99 13.17 12.78 13.46 15.21 Transportation QGTS 23.16 22.94 23.02 23.08 23.16 23.24 23.30 23.38 24.04 23.17 22.82 QNNS 94.60 94.20 94.39 94.51 94.70 94.89 95.01 95.20 96.84 97.00 97.99 Sources: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock price
  • 4. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 4 of 5 Definitions: Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening and the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is lower than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices. Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher. Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the security price to head lower. SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus considered a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative price direction and potential support/resistance levels. Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange. MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data. RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold. Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head & shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc. Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement. Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.
  • 5. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 5 of 5 Contacts: Zaid al-Nafoosi, CMT, CFTe Saugata Sarkar Shahan Keushgerian Senior Research Analyst Head of Research Senior Research Analyst Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 zaid.alnafoosi@qnbfs.com.qa saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa QNB Financial Services SPC Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666 PO Box 24025 Doha, Qatar Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of QNB SAQ (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice. We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be different or contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS.