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Asia-Pacific’s Potential for CCS: Role and
Promise of Carbon Markets to Ignite Deployment?
Paul Zakkour | Director | Carbon Counts
Asia Climate Summit
08.12.2022 | MBSCC, Singapore
Wide range of sectors/applications
2
Carbon geostorage is essential to achieving net zero by 2050
from every world region
Source: IEA NZE Roadmap 2021 Source: IEA Energy Technology Perspectives (ETP), 2020
And will need to encompass tech-based CDR to retain 1.5°C
3
Source: IPCC Sixth Assessment Report, 2022
In 2050 (Gt/yr) By 2100 (Gt)
BECCS DACCS BECCS DACCS
<1.5°C 2.75 0.02 330 30
<2°C - - 291 19
4
Geostorage in UNFCCC since 1996
Acceptance and standard-setting takes time
Updated from: Zakkour, P. D, Cook, G., Carter, A., Streck, C. and Chagas, T. (2011) Assessment of climate finance sources to accelerate carbon capture and storage
deployment in developing countries. A report by Carbon Counts and Climate Focus for the World Bank. 16th June 2011. Washington D.C.
COP11/CMP1
request for
workshop.
Parties submit
views
SBSTA24:
2 x CCS workshops
EB26:
Legal/tech
issues
COP12/CMP2
More proposals;
capacity bldg,
Parties submit
more views.
COP14/CMP4 to
decide
SBSTA27: request
2 x synthesis
reports, plus more
submissions from
Parties
2 x synthesis
reports
COP14/CMP4:
EB to recommend
COP/MOP what to
do. Use Experts
EB50
recommend
Positives &
Negatives for
CCS
Expert Report
produced for EB
SBSTA32:
Continued
discussion
of draft text.
2012
SBSTA31:
Draft text with
bracketed
for/against
inclusion
Two NM & PDDs
submitted
EB22:
boundaries,
leakage,
permanence.
Need COP
guidance
2005
Expert
Workshop:
Considered
technical and
legal issues
for CCS CDM
Synthesis
Report #3:
Based on
submissions
requested at
COP16
SBSTA36:
Considered:
1.Transboundary
issues
2.Global CER
reserve
COP18/CMP8
Transboundary
and Global CER
reserve decision
COP17/CMP7
Agrees
modalities and
procedures for
CCS in the CDM
COP15/CMP5:
“New” list for SBSTA
to work on and
advise CMP what to
do
More submissions
from Parties
COP16/CMP6
Decides CCS
eligible provided a
number of issues
resolved. New
M&Ps for CCS to
be developed by
COP17
CCS CDM
templates:
CCS CDM WG:
Established at
EB68
2022
[NOT MUCH]
….CCS in CDM was a long (and perhaps forgotten) journey…
2007 2011
2010
2008 2009
2005
Several factors drove the collapse
COP11/CMP1
request for
workshop.
Parties submit
views
SBSTA24:
2 x CCS workshops
EB26:
Legal/tech
issues
COP12/CMP2
More proposals;
capacity bldg,
Parties submit
more views.
COP14/CMP4 to
decide
SBSTA27: request
2 x synthesis
reports, plus more
submissions from
Parties
2 x synthesis
reports
COP14/CMP4:
EB to recommend
COP/MOP what to
do. Use Experts
EB50
recommend
Positives &
Negatives for
CCS
Expert Report
produced for EB
SBSTA32:
Continued
discussion
of draft text.
2012
SBSTA31:
Draft text with
bracketed
for/against
inclusion
Two NM & PDDs
submitted
EB22:
boundaries,
leakage,
permanence.
Need COP
guidance
2005
Expert
Workshop:
Considered
technical and
legal issues
for CCS CDM
Synthesis
Report #3:
Based on
submissions
requested at
COP16
SBSTA36:
Considered:
1.Transboundary
issues
2.Global CER
reserve
COP18/CMP8
Transboundary
and Global CER
reserve decision
COP17/CMP7
Agrees
modalities and
procedures for
CCS in the CDM
COP15/CMP5:
“New” list for SBSTA
to work on and
advise CMP what to
do
More submissions
from Parties
COP16/CMP6
Decides CCS
eligible provided a
number of issues
resolved. New
M&Ps for CCS to
be developed by
COP17
CCS CDM
templates:
CCS CDM WG:
Established at
EB68
2022
[NOT MUCH]
2007 2011
2010
2008 2009
2005
Global
Financial
Crisis
COP15
outcome
Quantitative & qualitative
restrictions in the EU ETS
Collapse of
C-price
Existing crediting standards (American Carbon Registry; Alberta Offsets) are geographically
restricted
Markets are essential to unlock near-term low cost potential
7
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Abatement cost
$/tCO2 avoided
Abatement potential
MtCO2 per year
Other
developing
Asia
Latin America
China
India
Other
Middle East
Africa
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Abatement cost
$/tCO2 avoided
Abatement potential
MtCO2 per year
Iron & Steel
Coal power
Chemicals
Gas processing
Gas power
Cement
Source: MACCs from: Zakkour, P. D, Cook, G., Carter, A., Streck, C. and Chagas, T. (2011) Assessment of climate finance sources to accelerate carbon capture and
storage deployment in developing countries. A report by Carbon Counts and Climate Focus for the World Bank. 16th June 2011. Washington D.C.
Data based on IEA Technology Roadmap for CCS. © OECD/International Energy Agency, 2009. Note: Includes cost of capture, transport and storage
IETA’s High Level Criteria for Carbon Geostorage
8
9
Asia-Pacific’s Potential for CCS
Role and Promise of Carbon Markets to Ignite Deployment?

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APAC Potential for CCS and C-Markets.pdf

  • 1. Asia-Pacific’s Potential for CCS: Role and Promise of Carbon Markets to Ignite Deployment? Paul Zakkour | Director | Carbon Counts Asia Climate Summit 08.12.2022 | MBSCC, Singapore
  • 2. Wide range of sectors/applications 2 Carbon geostorage is essential to achieving net zero by 2050 from every world region Source: IEA NZE Roadmap 2021 Source: IEA Energy Technology Perspectives (ETP), 2020
  • 3. And will need to encompass tech-based CDR to retain 1.5°C 3 Source: IPCC Sixth Assessment Report, 2022 In 2050 (Gt/yr) By 2100 (Gt) BECCS DACCS BECCS DACCS <1.5°C 2.75 0.02 330 30 <2°C - - 291 19
  • 5. Acceptance and standard-setting takes time Updated from: Zakkour, P. D, Cook, G., Carter, A., Streck, C. and Chagas, T. (2011) Assessment of climate finance sources to accelerate carbon capture and storage deployment in developing countries. A report by Carbon Counts and Climate Focus for the World Bank. 16th June 2011. Washington D.C. COP11/CMP1 request for workshop. Parties submit views SBSTA24: 2 x CCS workshops EB26: Legal/tech issues COP12/CMP2 More proposals; capacity bldg, Parties submit more views. COP14/CMP4 to decide SBSTA27: request 2 x synthesis reports, plus more submissions from Parties 2 x synthesis reports COP14/CMP4: EB to recommend COP/MOP what to do. Use Experts EB50 recommend Positives & Negatives for CCS Expert Report produced for EB SBSTA32: Continued discussion of draft text. 2012 SBSTA31: Draft text with bracketed for/against inclusion Two NM & PDDs submitted EB22: boundaries, leakage, permanence. Need COP guidance 2005 Expert Workshop: Considered technical and legal issues for CCS CDM Synthesis Report #3: Based on submissions requested at COP16 SBSTA36: Considered: 1.Transboundary issues 2.Global CER reserve COP18/CMP8 Transboundary and Global CER reserve decision COP17/CMP7 Agrees modalities and procedures for CCS in the CDM COP15/CMP5: “New” list for SBSTA to work on and advise CMP what to do More submissions from Parties COP16/CMP6 Decides CCS eligible provided a number of issues resolved. New M&Ps for CCS to be developed by COP17 CCS CDM templates: CCS CDM WG: Established at EB68 2022 [NOT MUCH] ….CCS in CDM was a long (and perhaps forgotten) journey… 2007 2011 2010 2008 2009 2005
  • 6. Several factors drove the collapse COP11/CMP1 request for workshop. Parties submit views SBSTA24: 2 x CCS workshops EB26: Legal/tech issues COP12/CMP2 More proposals; capacity bldg, Parties submit more views. COP14/CMP4 to decide SBSTA27: request 2 x synthesis reports, plus more submissions from Parties 2 x synthesis reports COP14/CMP4: EB to recommend COP/MOP what to do. Use Experts EB50 recommend Positives & Negatives for CCS Expert Report produced for EB SBSTA32: Continued discussion of draft text. 2012 SBSTA31: Draft text with bracketed for/against inclusion Two NM & PDDs submitted EB22: boundaries, leakage, permanence. Need COP guidance 2005 Expert Workshop: Considered technical and legal issues for CCS CDM Synthesis Report #3: Based on submissions requested at COP16 SBSTA36: Considered: 1.Transboundary issues 2.Global CER reserve COP18/CMP8 Transboundary and Global CER reserve decision COP17/CMP7 Agrees modalities and procedures for CCS in the CDM COP15/CMP5: “New” list for SBSTA to work on and advise CMP what to do More submissions from Parties COP16/CMP6 Decides CCS eligible provided a number of issues resolved. New M&Ps for CCS to be developed by COP17 CCS CDM templates: CCS CDM WG: Established at EB68 2022 [NOT MUCH] 2007 2011 2010 2008 2009 2005 Global Financial Crisis COP15 outcome Quantitative & qualitative restrictions in the EU ETS Collapse of C-price Existing crediting standards (American Carbon Registry; Alberta Offsets) are geographically restricted
  • 7. Markets are essential to unlock near-term low cost potential 7 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Abatement cost $/tCO2 avoided Abatement potential MtCO2 per year Other developing Asia Latin America China India Other Middle East Africa 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Abatement cost $/tCO2 avoided Abatement potential MtCO2 per year Iron & Steel Coal power Chemicals Gas processing Gas power Cement Source: MACCs from: Zakkour, P. D, Cook, G., Carter, A., Streck, C. and Chagas, T. (2011) Assessment of climate finance sources to accelerate carbon capture and storage deployment in developing countries. A report by Carbon Counts and Climate Focus for the World Bank. 16th June 2011. Washington D.C. Data based on IEA Technology Roadmap for CCS. © OECD/International Energy Agency, 2009. Note: Includes cost of capture, transport and storage
  • 8. IETA’s High Level Criteria for Carbon Geostorage 8
  • 9. 9 Asia-Pacific’s Potential for CCS Role and Promise of Carbon Markets to Ignite Deployment?