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PROJECT >> SPRING 2018 SPRING 2018 << PROJECT
Thevalueofprovidingaconfidentialforumfor
project teams to feed back their concerns
about an ongoing construction programme
has been demonstrated at the University of
East Anglia (UEA).
Post-project evaluations by construction
project management expert 3PM of their
project at UEA used a confidential process
for emerging risk and trend identification
during the construction of the new
sustainably designed enterprise centre at
the institution. The research, led by project
sponsor Dr John French, chair in enterprise
and sustainability and chief executive at the
UEA’s Adapt Low Carbon Group, focused
on using a risk service from ResoLex,
known as RADAR, to provide a safe and
confidential arena in which individual
project team members could feed back
information about different aspects of
the project.
Research from the University of East Anglia shows how earlier
identification of risks can save time and money on projects
On the radar
comparison against the standard weighted
risk profile for construction of TEC. The
researchers note that within construction,
while a delivery team can be adept at
solving an issue once found, the key to
improving risk management can be setting
up and promoting early warning of the
issue. If effective, the early warning results
in immediate resolution. If not, it passes
down the supply chain – with the potential
to re-emerge.
At various stages of the project, the
system meant that concerns that were
previously ‘off the radar’ came to light:
STAGE:ALIGNMENT
OF EXPECTATIONS
Issues raised – five months earlier:
l	 potentialstiflingofinnovationofnew
andunprovenmaterials;
l	 needforsupply-chaincontribution
tocostsolution;
l	 reconciliationofaspirations
andaffordability;
l	 mixed-usedesignconflicts;and
l	 lackofbudgetandprogrammeclarity.
STAGE:POST-CLOSEALIGNMENT
Issues raised – eight months earlier:
l	 seniormanagementteamchanges;
l	 rebuildingtrustfollowing
commercialnegotiations;
l	 moreeffectivelyengagingthewholeteam;
l	 progresstomeetsiteactivity
scheduletimescales;and
l	 increasingwiderstakeholder
engagementwiththeproject.
STAGE:PRODUCTION
RISKMITIGATION
Issues raised – nine months earlier:
l	 concernsaroundriskofusing
newandunprovenmaterials;
l	 programmeimpactofdesignissues
anddesigndelaysresultingfrom
latedecision-making;
l	 delaysinfinalising/approvingcurtain
walling,timberframeandfinishes
impactingonprogramme;
l	 furtherdesignreviewmeetingsnecessary
toensuremanagementteammembers’
expectationsaremet;and
l	 maintainingprojectwithinbudget.
Construction asset delivery generally
relies on two forms of cost control: cost
planning, undertaken on behalf of the
project sponsor; and cost estimating,
undertaken by the contractor. The former
is a top-down process, while the latter is a
bottom-up process. To achieve successful
<< FIVE DIMENSIONS >>
EARLY WARNINGS
The Enterprise Centre (TEC) is home
to the university’s new Centre for the
Built Environment. The researchers
wanted to determine whether the
risk-profiling service could identify
unforeseen risks and emerging trends
in a construction environment.
In construction, the inbuilt human
behavioural trait of over-optimistic
reporting means that standard risk
management techniques actively encourage
the ‘burying’ of unquantified construction
risks prior to commercial agreement.
For example, at commercial close,
the momentum of ‘winning’, together
with behavioural ‘optimism bias’, could
interfere with a robust risk assessment,
resulting in tier one contractors holding
both unknown and fully assessed risks.
Post-commercial close, these risks are
passed down the supply chain and can
end up with a party not best equipped to
manage them. During the asset delivery
phase, these risks appear as potential
conflict points and result in cost overruns.
The TEC construction scheme used
innovative materials and featured rigorous
and far-reaching sustainability targets,
but it became clear that the project was
unaffordable during the briefing stage,
so all team members had to work to find
solutions. Once a month, the project team
received a questionnaire that allowed
them to confidentially convey their
feelings about predefined key performance
areas. Their responses were collated,
analysed and anonymised, prior to being
incorporated into a report and shared
with everyone within the team and
senior management.
Examples of questions included, ‘will
there be enough funds to deliver full
requirements?’ and, ‘do you feel the team
is proactively identifying and mitigating
unnecessary risk within the context
of a pioneering project?’ ResoLex’s
risk RADAR engaged directly with
stakeholders, picking up information
earlier and providing warnings about
emerging risks. These were mapped for
delivery of the asset, there needs to be a
smooth transition from the cost plan to
the cost estimate as the key cost driver.
Failure to do so results in the generation
of contractual claims, which translate
into cost overruns.
Information from the RADAR reports
aided the asset delivery teams for TEC
with their knowledge of project issues
and informed the traditional risk register.
A standard risk profile might not have
picked up the spikes in cost concern so
early while the TEC project was ongoing.
But the UEA research found that early
warnings gave the asset delivery team the
opportunity to discuss and resolve
emerging issues within each
stage. Discussion of those
issues within an open
environment allowed the
asset delivery team to
put in place proper risk
mitigation measures.
It acted as a safety net
against the burying of
issues as risks and pushing
them down the supply chain,
only for them to come back up
the supply chain as conflicts
and potential cost overruns.
In terms of methodologies, the
behavioural-based approach developed
by ResoLex aligns statistically with
more established standard qualitative
(as distinct from quantitative) risk
management techniques. Building on
the more standard risk identification
techniques of brainstorming and
interviewing, RADAR gave UEA
real-time issue identification and
collaborative stakeholder feedback.
Confidentiality was key and, above
all, guaranteed anonymity, allowing
for unrestricted reporting of issues
known only to a project participant.
Working with the attributes of
participant anonymity, structured
information flow, simplicity
of feedback and finding
risks objectively and
independently, such systems
have the potential to support
the need of infrastructure
investors to find and control
issues through enhanced
de-risking of construction
by the finding of risks and
their objective re-evaluation by
construction team members. Further
benefits come from found risks
being objectively and independently
re-evaluated by team members, and
new, previously unseen risks evaluated
through risk analysis, independently
moderated by external experts.
Dr French says: “The reports added
value by enabling us to tackle issues early,
reducing conflict, and ultimately saved us
time and money.”
EARLY WARNINGS
GAVE THE ASSET
DELIVERY TEAM
THE OPPORTUNITY
TO DISCUSS AND
RESOLVE ISSUES
THE INBUILT HUMAN BEHAVIOURAL TRAIT OF
OVER-OPTIMISTIC REPORTING MEANS THAT
STANDARD RISK MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUES
ENCOURAGE THE ‘BURYING’ OF RISKS
Sustainability
iscoretoThe
Enterprise
CentreatUEA
DrJohnFrench

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How early risk warnings saved time and money on a university construction project

  • 1. 58 59 PROJECT >> SPRING 2018 SPRING 2018 << PROJECT Thevalueofprovidingaconfidentialforumfor project teams to feed back their concerns about an ongoing construction programme has been demonstrated at the University of East Anglia (UEA). Post-project evaluations by construction project management expert 3PM of their project at UEA used a confidential process for emerging risk and trend identification during the construction of the new sustainably designed enterprise centre at the institution. The research, led by project sponsor Dr John French, chair in enterprise and sustainability and chief executive at the UEA’s Adapt Low Carbon Group, focused on using a risk service from ResoLex, known as RADAR, to provide a safe and confidential arena in which individual project team members could feed back information about different aspects of the project. Research from the University of East Anglia shows how earlier identification of risks can save time and money on projects On the radar comparison against the standard weighted risk profile for construction of TEC. The researchers note that within construction, while a delivery team can be adept at solving an issue once found, the key to improving risk management can be setting up and promoting early warning of the issue. If effective, the early warning results in immediate resolution. If not, it passes down the supply chain – with the potential to re-emerge. At various stages of the project, the system meant that concerns that were previously ‘off the radar’ came to light: STAGE:ALIGNMENT OF EXPECTATIONS Issues raised – five months earlier: l potentialstiflingofinnovationofnew andunprovenmaterials; l needforsupply-chaincontribution tocostsolution; l reconciliationofaspirations andaffordability; l mixed-usedesignconflicts;and l lackofbudgetandprogrammeclarity. STAGE:POST-CLOSEALIGNMENT Issues raised – eight months earlier: l seniormanagementteamchanges; l rebuildingtrustfollowing commercialnegotiations; l moreeffectivelyengagingthewholeteam; l progresstomeetsiteactivity scheduletimescales;and l increasingwiderstakeholder engagementwiththeproject. STAGE:PRODUCTION RISKMITIGATION Issues raised – nine months earlier: l concernsaroundriskofusing newandunprovenmaterials; l programmeimpactofdesignissues anddesigndelaysresultingfrom latedecision-making; l delaysinfinalising/approvingcurtain walling,timberframeandfinishes impactingonprogramme; l furtherdesignreviewmeetingsnecessary toensuremanagementteammembers’ expectationsaremet;and l maintainingprojectwithinbudget. Construction asset delivery generally relies on two forms of cost control: cost planning, undertaken on behalf of the project sponsor; and cost estimating, undertaken by the contractor. The former is a top-down process, while the latter is a bottom-up process. To achieve successful << FIVE DIMENSIONS >> EARLY WARNINGS The Enterprise Centre (TEC) is home to the university’s new Centre for the Built Environment. The researchers wanted to determine whether the risk-profiling service could identify unforeseen risks and emerging trends in a construction environment. In construction, the inbuilt human behavioural trait of over-optimistic reporting means that standard risk management techniques actively encourage the ‘burying’ of unquantified construction risks prior to commercial agreement. For example, at commercial close, the momentum of ‘winning’, together with behavioural ‘optimism bias’, could interfere with a robust risk assessment, resulting in tier one contractors holding both unknown and fully assessed risks. Post-commercial close, these risks are passed down the supply chain and can end up with a party not best equipped to manage them. During the asset delivery phase, these risks appear as potential conflict points and result in cost overruns. The TEC construction scheme used innovative materials and featured rigorous and far-reaching sustainability targets, but it became clear that the project was unaffordable during the briefing stage, so all team members had to work to find solutions. Once a month, the project team received a questionnaire that allowed them to confidentially convey their feelings about predefined key performance areas. Their responses were collated, analysed and anonymised, prior to being incorporated into a report and shared with everyone within the team and senior management. Examples of questions included, ‘will there be enough funds to deliver full requirements?’ and, ‘do you feel the team is proactively identifying and mitigating unnecessary risk within the context of a pioneering project?’ ResoLex’s risk RADAR engaged directly with stakeholders, picking up information earlier and providing warnings about emerging risks. These were mapped for delivery of the asset, there needs to be a smooth transition from the cost plan to the cost estimate as the key cost driver. Failure to do so results in the generation of contractual claims, which translate into cost overruns. Information from the RADAR reports aided the asset delivery teams for TEC with their knowledge of project issues and informed the traditional risk register. A standard risk profile might not have picked up the spikes in cost concern so early while the TEC project was ongoing. But the UEA research found that early warnings gave the asset delivery team the opportunity to discuss and resolve emerging issues within each stage. Discussion of those issues within an open environment allowed the asset delivery team to put in place proper risk mitigation measures. It acted as a safety net against the burying of issues as risks and pushing them down the supply chain, only for them to come back up the supply chain as conflicts and potential cost overruns. In terms of methodologies, the behavioural-based approach developed by ResoLex aligns statistically with more established standard qualitative (as distinct from quantitative) risk management techniques. Building on the more standard risk identification techniques of brainstorming and interviewing, RADAR gave UEA real-time issue identification and collaborative stakeholder feedback. Confidentiality was key and, above all, guaranteed anonymity, allowing for unrestricted reporting of issues known only to a project participant. Working with the attributes of participant anonymity, structured information flow, simplicity of feedback and finding risks objectively and independently, such systems have the potential to support the need of infrastructure investors to find and control issues through enhanced de-risking of construction by the finding of risks and their objective re-evaluation by construction team members. Further benefits come from found risks being objectively and independently re-evaluated by team members, and new, previously unseen risks evaluated through risk analysis, independently moderated by external experts. Dr French says: “The reports added value by enabling us to tackle issues early, reducing conflict, and ultimately saved us time and money.” EARLY WARNINGS GAVE THE ASSET DELIVERY TEAM THE OPPORTUNITY TO DISCUSS AND RESOLVE ISSUES THE INBUILT HUMAN BEHAVIOURAL TRAIT OF OVER-OPTIMISTIC REPORTING MEANS THAT STANDARD RISK MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUES ENCOURAGE THE ‘BURYING’ OF RISKS Sustainability iscoretoThe Enterprise CentreatUEA DrJohnFrench