23. 估值分析
估值比率比较 (1)
与同行业同类公司相比,平潭海洋的模拟估值比率较低
企业价值/2012年的息税折旧摊销前利润 企业价值/2013年预期的息税折旧摊销前利润
10.0x 10.0x
8.0x 8.0x
7.0x 6.7x
6.6x 6.4x 6.4x
6.1x 5.9x 5.9x
6.0x 6.0x
4.0x
4.0x 4.0x 3.0x
2.0x 2.0x
- -
Mean - Fishing Median - Fishing Mean - Dredging Median - Dredging Pingtan Marine Mean - Fishing Median - Fishing Mean - Dredging Median - Dredging Pingtan Marine
Industry Industry Industry Industry Industry Industry Industry Industry
2012年的市盈率 2013年预期的市盈率
15.0x 15.0x
12.3x
11.7x 12.0x
12.0x
9.8x 9.8x 9.9x 10.0x
9.0x
9.0x 7.9x 9.0x 8.0x
6.0x 5.6x
6.0x
3.0x 3.0x
- -
Mean - Fishing Median - Fishing Mean - Dredging Median - Dredging Pingtan Marine Mean - Fishing Median - Fishing Mean - Dredging Median - Dredging Pingtan Marine
Industry Industry Industry Industry Industry Industry Industry Industry
备注:
来源: Capital IQ, 中国疏浚及平潭远洋的管理层
(1)假设平潭海洋的模拟财务数据等同于中国疏浚和平潭远洋的财务数据之和
23
24. 估值分析
利润率比较 (1)
平潭海洋模拟运营数据优于同行业其他公司
2012年的息税折旧摊销前利润率 2013年预期的息税折旧摊销前利润率
59.4%
60.0% 60.0%
50.0% 48.2%
50.0%
40.0% 40.0%
30.0% 30.0%
19.9% 21.2% 19.6%
20.0% 17.4%
14.4% 20.0% 16.1% 15.1%
12.3%
10.0% 10.0%
0.0% 0.0%
Mean - Fishing Median - Fishing Mean - Dredging Median - Dredging Pingtan Marine Mean - Fishing Median - Fishing Mean - Dredging Median - Dredging Pingtan Marine
Industry Industry Industry Industry Industry Industry Industry Industry
2012年的净利润率 2013年预期的净利润率
50.0% 50.0%
40.0% 37.8% 40.0% 38.1%
30.0% 30.0%
20.0% 20.0%
9.5% 10.3%
8.9% 9.4% 10.0% 7.8%
10.0% 7.2% 4.6%
3.9%
0.0%
0.0% Mean - Fishing Median - Fishing Mean - Dredging Median - Dredging Pingtan Marine
Mean - Fishing Median - Fishing Mean - Dredging Median - Dredging Pingtan Marine Industry Industry Industry Industry
Industry Industry Industry Industry
备注:
来源: Capital IQ, 中国疏浚及平潭远洋的管理层
(1)假设平潭海洋的模拟财务数据等同于中国疏浚和平潭远洋的财务数据之和
24
30. 附录
疏浚行业可比较公司数据分析
($ in millions, except per share data) Share % of
Price 52-Week Equity Enterprise EV/Revenue EV/EBITDA P/E
Name Ticker 1/26/13 High Value Value LTM FY2012E FY2013P LTM FY2012E FY2013P LTM FY2012E FY2013P FY2014P
Non-U.S. Exchanges
China Communications Construction Company SEHK:1800
Limited $ 1.04 96.1% $ 14,372.4 $ 26,460.6 0.58x 0.55x 0.50x 7.3x 6.6x 5.9x 9.6x 9.0x 8.0x 7.1x
Royal Boskalis Westminster NV ENXTAM:BOKA 45.85 98.4% 5,363.1 5,865.6 1.49 1.45 1.35 7.9 7.8 6.9 14.6 15.3 13.9 12.9
Penta-Ocean Construction Co. Ltd. TSE:1893 2.48 78.3% 709.9 981.1 0.25 0.24 0.23 6.4 6.1 6.2 35.5 35.5 31.0 27.6
National Marine Dredging Company ADX:NMDC 2.78 93.2% 632.8 734.1 0.89 NA NA 4.5 NA NA 5.7 NA NA NA
Benalec Holdings Berhad KLSE:BENALEC 0.41 83.8% 330.1 330.4 7.23 4.21 3.58 NM 7.2 5.6 NM 9.5 8.6 8.2
Hock Seng Lee Bhd KLSE:HSL 0.49 85.1% 272.1 214.1 1.08 1.04 0.92 5.2 5.2 4.6 9.1 9.2 8.1 7.6
Xiangyu Dredging Holdings Limited SEHK:871 0.25 64.6% 198.1 245.7 1.32 NA NA 3.7 3.2 2.8 4.9 4.9 4.2 3.5
Dredging Corp. of India Ltd. BSE:523618 4.17 69.7% 116.7 197.0 1.97 NA NA 10.4 NA NA NM NA NA NA
Non-U.S. Exchanges
Mean 1.85x 1.50x 1.32x 6.5x 6.0x 5.3x 13.2x 13.9x 12.3x 11.1x
Median 1.20 1.04 0.92 6.4 6.3 5.7 9.3 9.4 8.3 7.9
U.S. Listed:
Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation NasdaqGS:GLDD $ 9.42 95.9% $ 558.4 $ 775.0 1.20x 1.14x 0.99x 11.8x 9.2x 6.5x NM 38.6x 15.8x 11.1x
Orion Marine Group, Inc NYSE:ORN 7.61 92.2% 206.6 166.9 0.67 0.62 0.51 NM NM 7.5 NM NM NM 22.8
U.S. Listed:
Mean 0.93x 0.88x 0.75x 11.8x 9.2x 7.0x NM 38.6x 15.8x 17.0x
Median 0.93 0.88 0.75 11.8 9.2 7.0 NM 38.6 15.8 17.0
All Companies
Mean 1.67x 1.32x 1.16x 7.2x 6.5x 5.8x 13.2x 17.4x 12.8x 12.6x
Median 1.14 1.04 0.92 6.8 6.6 6.0 9.3 9.5 8.6 9.6
Source: Capital IQ, Thomson, Bloomberg and Company filings
30
31. 附录
捕鱼行业可比较公司数据分析
($ in millions, except per share data) Share % of
Price 52-Week Equity Enterprise EV/Revenue EV/EBITDA P/E
Name Ticker 1/26/13 High Value Value LTM FY2012P FY2013P LTM FY2012P FY2013P LTM FY2012P FY2013P
China-Based Fishing Companies
China Fishery Group Limited SGX:B0Z $ 0.51 50.7% $ 521.9 $ 1,046.0 1.73x 1.60x 1.65x
NA 5.3x 4.4x 4.3x 6.7x 4.8x 5.4x
Cnfc Overseas Fishery Co SZSE:000798 1.21 83.3% 387.4 361.8 6.52 NA NAA
N NM NA NA NM NA NA
ShangHai Kaichuang Marine International Co.,Ltd.
SHSE:600097 1.97 90.9% 398.3 411.8 3.40 NA NAA
N NM NA NA NM 20.4 17.5
China Ocean Resources Co., Ltd. KOSE:A900050 2.31 40.7% 173.1 275.2 2.33 NA NAA
N 5.4 NA NA 4.3 NA NA
Shandong Zhonglu Oceanic Fisheries Company Ltd SZSE:200992 0.70 96.1% 185.3 183.7 2.51 NA NAA
N NM NA NA NM NA NA
China-Based Fishing Companies
Mean 3.30x 1.60x 1.65x
NA 5.3x 4.4x 4.3x 5.5x 12.6x 11.4x
Median 2.51 1.60 1.65
NA 5.3 4.4 4.3 5.5 12.6 11.4
Global Fishing Companies
Austevoll Seafood ASA OB:AUSS $ 5.55 98.6% $ 1,122.2 $ 2,267.3 1.10x 1.08x 1.04x 9.9x 9.2x 6.5x 23.4x 17.6x 8.0x
Dongwon Industries Co., Ltd. KOSE:A006040 291.36 93.9% 979.9 1,371.0 0.95 0.91 0.84 6.9 6.3 5.4 9.4 9.0 7.7
Oceana Group Ltd. JSE:OCE 7.59 92.7% 760.7 741.1 1.44 1.39 1.17 7.7 7.7 7.2 16.7 15.7 13.5
Pescanova SA CATS:PVA 22.27 59.6% 643.7 1,805.6 0.79 0.76 0.72 7.1 6.8 6.1 7.9 7.3 6.0
Copeinca Asa OB:COP 8.12 92.2% 463.1 654.2 2.14 2.16 2.07 6.6 6.3 5.9 10.0 9.2 8.6
Silla Co., Ltd. KOSE:A004970 22.13 85.7% 348.8 298.2 0.99 NA NAA
N 12.0 NA NA 15.1 NA NA
Sanford Ltd. NZSE:SAN 3.65 94.6% 341.8 480.9 1.25 1.21 1.19 12.5 8.6 8.1 19.6 14.4 12.5
Austral Group S.A.A. BVL:AUSTRAC1 0.09 71.8% 233.0 301.7 1.10 NA NAA
N 3.8 NA NA 7.0 NA NA
Global Fishing Companies
Mean 1.22x 1.25x 1.17x 8.3x 7.5x 6.5x 13.6x 12.2x 9.4x
Median 1.10 1.15 1.10 7.4 7.3 6.3 12.6 11.8 8.3
All Companies
Mean 2.02x 1.30x 1.24x 7.7x 7.1x 6.2x 12.0x 12.3x 9.9x
Median 1.44 1.21 1.17 7.0 6.8 6.1 9.7 11.8 8.3
Source: Capital IQ, Thomson, Bloomberg and Company filings
31
Editor's Notes
1. 2nd bullet of Stable Fishing Environment has been deleted because it is very confusing
Need to understand how the number of boats will reach 60 in 2013 How many licenses have been approved for the boats? How will the construction of boats be financed? Who will build them and are there any contracts?
Are the 100 fishing licenses out of China or in China fishing or just an overall number?Are we planning to apply for additional six Indonesian fishing since we are projecting 40 by the end of 2012 but we only have 34 now?
Need to understand why company didn’t grow until recently since the Company was established in 1998.What is the cost to expand into processing business? Additional earnings expected to be generated with expansion? How will the fishing processing plants be financed?Where will the new boat be fishing?How long does it to build a new boat? What additional fishing methods and areas are being considered?