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Floods and financial stability
David-Jan Jansen
(De Nederlandsche Bank & Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam)
OECD and UN-Water
Ninth meeting of the Roundtable on Financing Water
9 February 2023
Views expressed in this presentation do not necessarily coincide with those of DNB or the Eurosystem.
Contact: d.jansen@dnb.nl
Floods and financial stability 1 / 6
Financial stability perspective
Will the financial system be able to support the real economy?
Quantifying impact of climate-related shocks
Transition (climate policy, technology)
Physical (extreme weather events)
Floods and financial stability 2 / 6
Flood risk in the Netherlands
Floods and financial stability 3 / 6
Estimating impact of floods on bank capital (work in progress)
Areas at risk
A (unprotected) in red
B (protected) in light gray
1 At-risk area may be unprotected or protected
2 Damages not covered by most insurance policies
3 Government support (Wts) possible—but
discretionary
4 Household buffers—but may be insufficient
5 Explore impact on banks’ credit risk
Floods and financial stability 4 / 6
Why?
Quantifying climate financial risks (system-wide perspective)
Create awareness
Support policy discussions
Floods and financial stability 5 / 6
Thank you!
Questions welcome at: d.jansen@dnb.nl
Homepage: https://sites.google.com/site/djansenresearch/
Floods and financial stability 6 / 6

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Presentation - 9th Roundtable on financing water, David-Jan Jansen

  • 1. Floods and financial stability David-Jan Jansen (De Nederlandsche Bank & Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam) OECD and UN-Water Ninth meeting of the Roundtable on Financing Water 9 February 2023 Views expressed in this presentation do not necessarily coincide with those of DNB or the Eurosystem. Contact: d.jansen@dnb.nl Floods and financial stability 1 / 6
  • 2. Financial stability perspective Will the financial system be able to support the real economy? Quantifying impact of climate-related shocks Transition (climate policy, technology) Physical (extreme weather events) Floods and financial stability 2 / 6
  • 3. Flood risk in the Netherlands Floods and financial stability 3 / 6
  • 4. Estimating impact of floods on bank capital (work in progress) Areas at risk A (unprotected) in red B (protected) in light gray 1 At-risk area may be unprotected or protected 2 Damages not covered by most insurance policies 3 Government support (Wts) possible—but discretionary 4 Household buffers—but may be insufficient 5 Explore impact on banks’ credit risk Floods and financial stability 4 / 6
  • 5. Why? Quantifying climate financial risks (system-wide perspective) Create awareness Support policy discussions Floods and financial stability 5 / 6
  • 6. Thank you! Questions welcome at: d.jansen@dnb.nl Homepage: https://sites.google.com/site/djansenresearch/ Floods and financial stability 6 / 6