FREE DOWNLOAD: https://netpicks.clickfunnels.com/dangers-lurking -- Stay Out Of Choppy Price Action Predicting the future is something humans having been doing since the dawn of time. From Nostradamus to tarot card readings, there will always be a business for trying to predict the future because the ability to act now on the knowledge of something that you know will happen in the future holds a huge advantage. But as a trader, do you need to predict the market’s future to make money? - See more at: http://www.netpicks.com/need-predict-markets-future-make-money/#sthash.EtG5oLVT.dpuf see more: http://www.netpicks.com/need-predict-markets-future-make-money/

1. Do you need to predict the market’s
future to make money?
http://www.netpicks.com/need-predict-markets-future-make-money/

2. Predicting the future is something
humans having been doing since the
dawn of time.

3. From Nostradamus to tarot card
readings, there will always be a
business for trying to predict the
future because the ability to act now
on the knowledge of something that
you know will happen in the future
holds a huge advantage.

4. But as a trader, do you need to predict
the market's future to make money?
Trying to predict single market events
is never easy. There are a sea of
professionals in the financial world
who frequently get it wrong.

5. Just as a broken clock is correct twice a
day, there's bound to be some hotshot
who gets it spot on.

6. But it's not just the inept that get it
wrong either. Errors in judgment are
understandable due to the
incomprehensibly large number of
variables to consider in forming a
hypothesis.

7. But then there's always outside factors
that have not yet influenced the
scenario.

8. Even after taking this into account,
people go on the financial news
channels trying to predict the market's
future.

9. But then they tend to talk in "ifs" and
"buts" rather giving definitive
predictions and of course, there's
never any disclosure on how the
scenario would impact their own
trading portfolio.

10. The problem with these guys though is
that it gets the average day trader into
the wrong mindset and whilst you
might think that this isn't something
you do, you might well be wrong.

11. Falling into the prediction trap is not
difficult if you're not careful. Historical
losses often put traders into a
defensive mindset and so when they
do take a trade, they've gotta be pretty
convinced that the trade will work -
but of course, this is no guarantee of
selecting a winning trade.

12. But when a trade does work, the
trader figures that they were right in
this instance and so in the future, they
struggle to find reasons why another
instance of the same sort of trade
doesn't work.

13. The perfect trades that we come
across in the markets and can spot by
scanning historical charts can also be
counter-productive.

14. Often markets end up testing specific
prices and possibly turn from a point
that we think of - but predicting this
and trading the behavior are two very
different things (often why analysts
don't make good traders).

15. Plus if you look closely, historical
charts are pockmarked with similar
setups that ended up failing - but we
remember the times when we were
right more clearly as it feeds into our
emotional self-belief system.

16. In any case, there's a big difference
between trying to predict market
movement on a broad scale over a
longer and non-specific amount of
time and doing the same over the
course of a couple of hours, a few
minutes or even a few seconds.

17. Day trading is done on a much smaller
timeframe and as such, there are
factors that affect the variability of
results.

18. Testing is one of these factors - when
we test a strategy we identify how
frequently it scores a winner, not what
the distribution of winners and losers
actually is.

19. The strength of day trading is that you
can take many, many trades - so you
can screw up on some and others can
just not work, but you still end up
turning a profit if the strategy has
sound logic behind it.

20. It is far more difficult to be specific
about which trades will win or lose.
When we trade, we have to make our
decisions on what the market has
already done.

21. The inferences we glean from the
market information is that it's
probable that other traders will do
something expected based on the
same information we see and we will
end up with a profitable trade.

22. What other traders will do is another
factor. On a very short timeframe, it
does not take very much of a change
for different traders to step in and
completely flip the situation on its
head.

23. And this is assuming we've got it right
anyway - of course, there are so many
different things going on in the market
at any one time that could influence
another trader, that it's effectively
impossible to keep track of everything.

24. Plus, just because something happens
in a market that is normally unrelated,
it could impact a large trader's or
fund's portfolio enough for them to
have to do something in the position
they have in the market you actually
trade.

25. The bottom line is, we can be right or
we can be wrong on a single trade and
it's a mug's game trying to predict
which it will be for the next trade you
take.

26. The simple fact is that you don't need
to try to predict what's going to
happen next - all you need is a strategy
that works more than it doesn't and
the ability to follow your trade plan.

27. So I'll leave the prediction game to the
market prognosticators who frequent
the financial news channels and stick
to trading the probabilities.