Lean Manufacturing tools for order management, Mix product planning, shorter the lead time, supply cycle, supply chain management, etc. This is a visual tool integrated with Kanban.
4. PS
Total Inventory in pipeline ~ Total Leadtime (T)
“Forecast must be projected at least time T ahead”
Forecasted
Demand
Throughput
Customer
Demand
Demand
Forecast is
100% accurate
Throughput = Demand
“Customer gets what they want when they want it”
Single Product Type
PP Disti Retail
Heijunka
5. Heijunka
Question #1: If demand greater than forecast, can
customer take the next available product?
“Yes, because there is only one type of product
and the immediate next piece is the same.”
Question #2: Will it lead to stock out in the future?
“Yes and only if the throughput is not increased
to fill the pipeline with additional demand.”
6. Heijunka
If Ican produce at demand,
Actual customer demand is
known to the supplier
Forecasted
Demand
Throughput
Customer
Demand
Demand
PS PP Disti Retail
“Throughput always equal to Demand”
“There will never be STOCK OUT!!!”
7. Heijunka
If Ican produce at demand,
Actual customer demand is
known to the supplier
PS
Forecasted
Demand
Throughput
Customer
Demand
Demand
PP Disti Retail
“Throughput always equal to Demand”
“Why do Ineed forecast???”
8. Heijunka
Produce only when receive order
“Too Late”
Actual customer demand is
known to the supplier
Forecasted
Demand
Throughput
Customer
Demand
Demand
Total Inventory in pipeline ~ Total Lead-time
“Customer has to wait for a lead time to receive his order.”
PS PP Disti Retail
9. Heijunka
Predict time T into the future and
guess what the customer wants
Total Inventory in pipeline ~ Total Lead-time
PS PP Disti Retail
“If we are accurate, customer gets what they want.”
Forecasted
Demand
Throughput
Customer
Demand
Demand
So we need forecast,
10. Heijunka
What happens when our
forecast is wrong?
guess what the customer wants
Total Inventory in pipeline ~ Total Leadtime (T)
PS PP Disti Retail
Forecasted
Demand
Throughput
Customer
Demand
Demand
+
“#1 Customer has to wait.” ~ Service Level
“#2 Lose the customer.”
“#3 Build Inventory.”
~ Sales ($)
~ Cost ($)
11. Heijunka
What if,
“#1 Customer CANNOT wait.”
and
“#2 We DO NOT WANT to lose the
customer.”
“#3 We HAVE TO build inventory.”
or
Buy a Crystal Ball
13. Heijunka
How to keep inventory low?
#1 Shorten Lead time
Total Inventory in pipeline ~ Total Leadtime (T)
PS PP Disti Retail
“Might not be always possible.”
“Volume too low to be economically viable.”
“Consolidation to yield economies of scale benefits”
14. Heijunka
How to keep inventory low?
# 2 Manage Demand
or
✖ ✔
“Is it possible?”
“Not an easy feat.”
“Not much successes.”
15. Heijunka
Is there other option?
“Yes
“Single Product!!!”
Actual customer demand is
known to the supplierForecasted
Demand
Throughput
Customer
Demand
Demand
PS PP Disti Retail
“Throughput always equal to Demand”
16. Heijunka
Who sell ONLY 1 product???
Actual customer demand is
known to the supplierForecasted
Demand
Throughput
Customer
Demand
Demand
PS PP Disti Retail
“Throughput always equal to Demand”
Are you crazy???
17. Heijunka
“NO!”
Total Inventory in pipeline ~ Total Leadtime (T)
PS PP Disti Retail
Actual customer demand is
known to the supplier
“Throughput always equal to Demand”
Here is how lean does it
18. Heijunka
“Level Product Mix”
Total Inventory in pipeline ~ Total Lead time (T)
PS PP Disti Retail
“Throughput always equal to Demand”
“The next required product is NOT far away”
+